for complete access.
All Games Thursday, November 18, 2021
FinalWin Prob.pScore
20
Wizards
33%101
97
8
Heat
67%108
112
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
104.39389.2
MIA logo MIA
119.19498.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.97
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:06.3HeatMarcus Garrett defensive rebound97
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:10.2WizardsIsaiah Todd misses two point floating jump shot97
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:24.7HeatOmer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 2 of 297
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.7HeatOmer Yurtseven makes regular free throw 1 of 297
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.7WizardsAaron Holiday shooting foul (Omer Yurtseven draws the foul)97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0WizardsIsaiah Todd makes three point jump shot (Joel Ayayi assists)97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0WizardsJoel Ayayi defensive rebound94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0HeatIsaiah Todd blocks Caleb Martin's two point driving floating jump shot94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point hook shot (Max Strus assists)94
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33WizardsBradley Beal misses two point driving floating bank jump shot94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:58HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13WizardsBradley Beal makes three point jump shot (Montrezl Harrell assists)94
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 2:16WizardsMontrezl Harrell offensive rebound91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:18WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot91
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 291
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 291
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33WizardsCorey Kispert shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:35HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38WizardsBradley Beal misses two point driving floating jump shot91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound91
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 2:53HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot91
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 3:10HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound91
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 3:13WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot91
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 3:17HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)91
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 3:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (P.J. Tucker assists)91
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 3:51WizardsBradley Beal makes two point bank jump shot91
1.0%
102
99.0%
Q4 - 4:03HeatMax Strus makes two point stepback jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)89
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 4:24WizardsCorey Kispert makes two point hook shot (Bradley Beal assists)89
1.0%
100
99.0%
Q4 - 4:35HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)87
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 4:57WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)87
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 5:00WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound84
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 5:02HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup84
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 5:14WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point dunk (Bradley Beal assists)84
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 282
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 282
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 5:29WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)82
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 5:44WizardsKyle Kuzma turnover (traveling)82
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 5:46WizardsBradley Beal defensive rebound82
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 5:49HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot82
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 6:06WizardsBradley Beal turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)82
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 6:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)82
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 6:24HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound82
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 6:26WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot82
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 6:40HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)82
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 6:40WizardsWizards defensive rebound82
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 6:40HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot82
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 6:44HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound82
1.5%
94
98.5%
Q4 - 6:49WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point pullup jump shot82
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 7:09HeatKyle Lowry makes two point running layup82
2.7%
94
97.3%
Q4 - 7:12HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound82
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 7:15WizardsBradley Beal misses three point pullup jump shot82
3.6%
92
96.4%
Q4 - 7:22WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound82
4.5%
92
95.5%
Q4 - 7:26HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot82
4.1%
92
95.9%
Q4 - 7:44WizardsKyle Kuzma makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot82
3.3%
92
96.7%
Q4 - 7:58HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Aaron Holiday draws the foul)80
2.6%
92
97.4%
Q4 - 8:17HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 280
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q4 - 8:17HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 280
3.2%
91
96.8%
Q4 - 8:17WizardsMontrezl Harrell shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)80
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 8:30WizardsDeni Avdija makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)80
3.9%
90
96.1%
Q4 - 8:50HeatMax Strus personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)77
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 8:50WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound77
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q4 - 8:50HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot77
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 8:59WizardsCorey Kispert makes two point layup (Kyle Kuzma assists)77
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 9:13HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)75
1.8%
90
98.2%
Q4 - 9:26WizardsAaron Holiday turnover (out of bounds lost ball)75
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 9:29WizardsCorey Kispert defensive rebound75
3.5%
87
96.5%
Q4 - 9:32HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot75
3.3%
87
96.7%
Q4 - 9:40HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound75
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 9:40HeatDeni Avdija blocks Bam Adebayo's two point tip layup75
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound75
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup75
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound75
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 9:47HeatMax Strus misses two point floating jump shot75
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 10:06WizardsKyle Kuzma makes two point cutting layup (Deni Avdija assists)75
3.2%
87
96.8%
Q4 - 10:17WizardsMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound73
2.7%
87
97.3%
Q4 - 10:20HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving layup73
2.5%
87
97.5%
Q4 - 10:28HeatMax Strus defensive rebound73
2.1%
87
97.9%
Q4 - 10:31WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point turnaround jump shot73
2.2%
87
97.8%
Q4 - 11:00HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot (Max Strus assists)73
2.6%
87
97.4%
Q4 - 11:28WizardsKyle Kuzma makes three point stepback jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)73
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 11:49HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)70
2.4%
85
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.70
3.0%
83
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.3WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound70
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q3 - 0:00.8HeatCaleb Martin misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot70
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q3 - 0:05.7HeatMax Strus defensive rebound70
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q3 - 0:08.7WizardsAaron Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot70
3.6%
83
96.4%
Q3 - 0:30.6HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 270
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 0:30.6HeatGabe Vincent misses regular free throw 1 of 270
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q3 - 0:30.6WizardsRaul Neto shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)70
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q3 - 0:36.4WizardsKyle Kuzma makes three point pullup jump shot70
4.1%
82
95.9%
Q3 - 0:48.5HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup67
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q3 - 1:03WizardsKyle Kuzma makes two point layup67
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q3 - 1:08WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound65
3.3%
80
96.7%
Q3 - 1:10HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup65
3.1%
80
96.9%
Q3 - 1:29WizardsDeni Avdija makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)65
2.6%
80
97.4%
Q3 - 1:50HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)62
1.8%
80
98.2%
Q3 - 2:03HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound62
3.1%
77
96.9%
Q3 - 2:06WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot62
3.3%
77
96.7%
Q3 - 2:24WizardsCorey Kispert defensive rebound62
3.7%
77
96.3%
Q3 - 2:27HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point turnaround bank hook shot62
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q3 - 2:46WizardsBradley Beal makes regular free throw 2 of 262
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 2:46WizardsBradley Beal makes regular free throw 1 of 261
3.0%
77
97.0%
Q3 - 2:46HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)60
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 2:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup60
2.6%
77
97.4%
Q3 - 3:14WizardsBradley Beal makes three point pullup jump shot60
3.4%
75
96.6%
Q3 - 3:19WizardsAnthony Gill defensive rebound57
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 3:23HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup57
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 3:35WizardsAnthony Gill personal foul (Loose ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)57
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 3:35WizardsBradley Beal turnover (out of bounds bad pass)57
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 3:59HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)57
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 4:11WizardsAnthony Gill personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)57
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 4:18WizardsAnthony Gill makes two point cutting layup (Bradley Beal assists)57
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 4:31WizardsWizards offensive rebound55
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q3 - 4:32WizardsRaul Neto misses three point jump shot55
2.8%
72
97.2%
Q3 - 4:54HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)55
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q3 - 5:09WizardsBradley Beal makes regular free throw 2 of 255
4.8%
69
95.2%
Q3 - 5:09WizardsBradley Beal makes regular free throw 1 of 254
4.7%
69
95.3%
Q3 - 5:09HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)53
4.6%
69
95.4%
Q3 - 5:09WizardsBradley Beal defensive rebound53
4.2%
69
95.8%
Q3 - 5:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot53
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 5:31HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound53
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q3 - 5:33WizardsKyle Kuzma misses regular free throw 2 of 253
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q3 - 5:33WizardsKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 253
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q3 - 5:33HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)52
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q3 - 5:53HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)52
3.6%
69
96.4%
Q3 - 6:05WizardsBradley Beal makes two point layup (Aaron Holiday assists)52
5.1%
66
94.9%
Q3 - 6:15HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Kuzma steals)50
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 6:21WizardsAaron Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)50
3.8%
66
96.2%
Q3 - 6:42HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)50
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 6:45WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)50
5.9%
63
94.1%
Q3 - 6:58WizardsBradley Beal makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot50
5.9%
63
94.1%
Q3 - 7:15HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk48
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q3 - 7:19WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)48
6.1%
61
93.9%
Q3 - 7:32HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)48
7.2%
61
92.8%
Q3 - 7:47WizardsAaron Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)48
9.3%
58
90.7%
Q3 - 8:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving bank jump shot48
11.1%
58
88.9%
Q3 - 8:24WizardsBradley Beal makes two point driving layup48
12.3%
56
87.7%
Q3 - 8:32WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound46
11.1%
56
88.9%
Q3 - 8:35HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point turnaround jump shot46
10.6%
56
89.4%
Q3 - 8:45HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound46
9.5%
56
90.5%
Q3 - 8:47WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot46
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q3 - 9:07HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)46
11.3%
56
88.7%
Q3 - 9:23WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Montrezl Harrell assists)46
14.2%
53
85.8%
Q3 - 9:39HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot44
12.8%
53
87.2%
Q3 - 9:54WizardsBradley Beal turnover (out of bounds bad pass)44
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q3 - 10:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup44
16.5%
51
83.5%
Q3 - 10:05HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound44
18.2%
49
81.8%
Q3 - 10:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup44
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q3 - 10:24WizardsBradley Beal makes two point stepback jump shot44
18.2%
49
81.8%
Q3 - 10:45HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)42
16.5%
49
83.5%
Q3 - 10:53HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound42
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q3 - 10:57WizardsAaron Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot42
18.9%
47
81.1%
Q3 - 11:05WizardsBradley Beal defensive rebound42
20.4%
47
79.6%
Q3 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot42
19.7%
47
80.3%
Q3 - 11:39WizardsAaron Holiday makes two point running finger roll layup (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)42
18.2%
47
81.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.40
16.4%
47
83.6%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound40
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 0:00.5HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot40
15.9%
47
84.1%
Q2 - 0:09.9HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound40
15.0%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 0:12.9WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot40
15.4%
47
84.6%
Q2 - 0:26.7WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound40
16.3%
47
83.7%
Q2 - 0:29.1HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 2 of 240
16.1%
47
83.9%
Q2 - 0:29.1HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 240
14.8%
47
85.2%
Q2 - 0:29.1WizardsAaron Holiday personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)40
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q2 - 0:29.1HeatHeat offensive rebound40
16.7%
46
83.3%
Q2 - 0:30.8HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot40
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 0:41.0WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Tucker steals)40
16.7%
46
83.3%
Q2 - 0:53.1HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot40
18.2%
46
81.8%
Q2 - 1:12WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (out of bounds bad pass)40
21.1%
44
78.9%
Q2 - 1:30HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 240
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 1:30HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 240
22.8%
43
77.2%
Q2 - 1:30WizardsAaron Holiday shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)40
23.1%
42
76.9%
Q2 - 1:43WizardsKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot40
25.6%
42
74.4%
Q2 - 1:57HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 237
20.4%
42
79.6%
Q2 - 1:57HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 237
20.8%
41
79.2%
Q2 - 1:57WizardsMontrezl Harrell personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)37
19.3%
41
80.7%
Q2 - 2:07WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)37
20.9%
41
79.1%
Q2 - 2:13WizardsBradley Beal defensive rebound34
17.2%
41
82.8%
Q2 - 2:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot34
16.7%
41
83.3%
Q2 - 2:34HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound34
15.5%
41
84.5%
Q2 - 2:36WizardsAaron Holiday misses two point driving layup34
16.0%
41
84.0%
Q2 - 2:50HeatKyle Lowry makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)34
17.2%
41
82.8%
Q2 - 3:05WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)34
19.1%
39
80.9%
Q2 - 3:09HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound34
19.1%
39
80.9%
Q2 - 3:13WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot34
19.7%
39
80.3%
Q2 - 3:32HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 234
21.3%
39
78.7%
Q2 - 3:32HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 234
21.6%
38
78.4%
Q2 - 3:32WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)34
21.9%
37
78.1%
Q2 - 4:01WizardsBradley Beal makes two point jump shot34
23.1%
37
76.9%
Q2 - 4:19HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving dunk32
21.2%
37
78.8%
Q2 - 4:21HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound32
23.1%
35
76.9%
Q2 - 4:24HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot32
24.5%
35
75.5%
Q2 - 4:26HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound32
23.0%
35
77.0%
Q2 - 4:29HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point jump shot32
24.5%
35
75.5%
Q2 - 4:46HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound32
23.0%
35
77.0%
Q2 - 4:48WizardsMontrezl Harrell misses two point layup32
23.7%
35
76.3%
Q2 - 5:00WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound32
25.2%
35
74.8%
Q2 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot32
24.4%
35
75.6%
Q2 - 5:17WizardsKyle Kuzma personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)32
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 5:21WizardsRaul Neto personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)32
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 5:43WizardsKyle Kuzma makes three point jump shot (Raul Neto assists)32
22.7%
35
77.3%
Q2 - 6:06HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds bad pass)29
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q2 - 6:07WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point putback layup29
17.5%
35
82.5%
Q2 - 6:10WizardsMontrezl Harrell offensive rebound27
16.3%
35
83.7%
Q2 - 6:11WizardsRaul Neto misses two point stepback jump shot27
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 6:27HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)27
16.3%
35
83.7%
Q2 - 6:39WizardsBradley Beal makes two point running dunk (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)27
19.1%
32
80.9%
Q2 - 6:43HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)25
17.9%
32
82.1%
Q2 - 6:58HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
15.9%
32
84.1%
Q2 - 7:01WizardsRaul Neto misses two point pullup jump shot25
16.9%
32
83.1%
Q2 - 7:23HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)25
18.0%
32
82.0%
Q2 - 7:24HeatMax Strus defensive rebound25
19.5%
30
80.5%
Q2 - 7:28WizardsBradley Beal misses three point jump shot25
20.0%
30
80.0%
Q2 - 7:44HeatGabe Vincent makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)25
21.3%
30
78.7%
Q2 - 7:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound25
23.1%
28
76.9%
Q2 - 7:50WizardsBradley Beal misses three point jump shot25
23.7%
28
76.3%
Q2 - 7:56WizardsWizards offensive rebound25
25.1%
28
74.9%
Q2 - 7:56WizardsCaleb Martin blocks Aaron Holiday's two point driving layup25
23.7%
28
76.3%
Q2 - 8:18HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)25
25.1%
28
74.9%
Q2 - 8:27HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound25
29.1%
25
70.9%
Q2 - 8:29WizardsDeni Avdija misses three point jump shot25
29.8%
25
70.2%
Q2 - 8:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)25
31.4%
25
68.6%
Q2 - 9:11WizardsAaron Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)25
33.3%
23
66.7%
Q2 - 9:21HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)25
35.7%
23
64.3%
Q2 - 9:21HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)25
33.3%
23
66.7%
Q2 - 9:36WizardsCorey Kispert makes three point jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)25
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q2 - 9:53HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot22
29.1%
23
70.9%
Q2 - 10:13HeatHeat defensive rebound22
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q2 - 10:13WizardsDeni Avdija misses two point driving layup22
31.8%
21
68.2%
Q2 - 10:21WizardsMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound22
33.4%
21
66.6%
Q2 - 10:25HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot22
32.7%
21
67.3%
Q2 - 10:46WizardsCorey Kispert makes three point jump shot (Aaron Holiday assists)22
31.1%
21
68.9%
Q2 - 11:06WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound19
26.7%
21
73.3%
Q2 - 11:09HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot19
26.2%
21
73.8%
Q2 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound19
25.1%
21
74.9%
Q2 - 11:23WizardsDeni Avdija misses two point layup19
25.6%
21
74.4%
Q2 - 11:38HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Deni Avdija draws the foul)19
26.8%
21
73.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.19
26.8%
21
73.2%
Q1 - 0:02.3HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound19
24.9%
21
75.1%
Q1 - 0:02.3WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot19
25.3%
21
74.7%
Q1 - 0:14.7HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 219
26.4%
21
73.6%
Q1 - 0:14.7HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 219
26.6%
20
73.4%
Q1 - 0:14.7WizardsRaul Neto personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)19
26.9%
19
73.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound19
28.6%
19
71.4%
Q1 - 0:32.0WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot19
29.1%
19
70.9%
Q1 - 0:41.4HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 219
30.3%
19
69.7%
Q1 - 0:41.4HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 219
30.8%
18
69.2%
Q1 - 0:41.4WizardsRaul Neto shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)19
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 0:44.3WizardsDeni Avdija turnover (bad pass) (Max Strus steals)19
30.6%
18
69.4%
Q1 - 1:05HeatJimmy Butler makes two point stepback jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)19
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q1 - 1:27HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound19
34.7%
16
65.3%
Q1 - 1:30WizardsRaul Neto misses regular free throw 2 of 219
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 1:30WizardsRaul Neto misses regular free throw 1 of 219
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 1:30HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Raul Neto draws the foul)19
38.4%
16
61.6%
Q1 - 1:52HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 219
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 1:52HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 219
36.9%
15
63.1%
Q1 - 1:52WizardsKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)19
37.2%
14
62.8%
Q1 - 1:52HeatMax Strus defensive rebound19
39.1%
14
60.9%
Q1 - 1:52WizardsAnthony Gill misses two point tip layup19
39.7%
14
60.3%
Q1 - 1:52WizardsAnthony Gill offensive rebound19
41.0%
14
59.0%
Q1 - 1:56WizardsDeni Avdija misses two point hook shot19
39.7%
14
60.3%
Q1 - 2:13HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup19
40.7%
14
59.3%
Q1 - 2:35WizardsCorey Kispert makes three point jump shot (Anthony Gill assists)19
42.9%
12
57.1%
Q1 - 2:42WizardsCorey Kispert defensive rebound16
38.6%
12
61.4%
Q1 - 2:46HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot16
37.9%
12
62.1%
Q1 - 3:02HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound16
35.9%
12
64.1%
Q1 - 3:05WizardsBradley Beal misses regular free throw 2 of 216
36.3%
12
63.7%
Q1 - 3:05WizardsBradley Beal makes regular free throw 1 of 216
37.8%
12
62.2%
Q1 - 3:05HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)15
37.5%
12
62.5%
Q1 - 3:18HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point driving layup15
36.3%
12
63.7%
Q1 - 3:26HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound15
38.0%
10
62.0%
Q1 - 3:28WizardsAnthony Gill misses two point layup15
38.8%
10
61.2%
Q1 - 3:36WizardsBradley Beal defensive rebound15
40.5%
10
59.5%
Q1 - 3:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point jump shot15
39.7%
10
60.3%
Q1 - 3:45HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound15
38.0%
10
62.0%
Q1 - 3:47HeatAnthony Gill blocks Jimmy Butler's two point layup15
39.7%
10
60.3%
Q1 - 3:53HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
38.0%
10
62.0%
Q1 - 3:56WizardsCorey Kispert misses two point reverse layup15
38.8%
10
61.2%
Q1 - 3:57WizardsCorey Kispert offensive rebound15
40.5%
10
59.5%
Q1 - 4:02WizardsBradley Beal misses three point running pullup jump shot15
38.2%
10
61.8%
Q1 - 4:07HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Bradley Beal steals)15
39.9%
10
60.1%
Q1 - 4:29WizardsBradley Beal turnover (out of bounds bad pass)15
37.5%
10
62.5%
Q1 - 4:41HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot15
39.9%
10
60.1%
Q1 - 4:55WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point alley-oop layup (Bradley Beal assists)15
41.7%
8
58.3%
Q1 - 5:14HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)13
39.1%
8
60.9%
Q1 - 5:18HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound13
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 5:23WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot13
41.5%
6
58.5%
Q1 - 5:39WizardsMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound13
43.1%
6
56.9%
Q1 - 5:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point cutting layup13
42.4%
6
57.6%
Q1 - 5:56WizardsBradley Beal makes two point driving layup (Aaron Holiday assists)13
40.9%
6
59.1%
Q1 - 6:00WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound11
39.2%
6
60.8%
Q1 - 6:04HeatKyle Lowry misses two point jump shot11
38.0%
6
62.0%
Q1 - 6:25WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point pullup bank jump shot11
36.8%
6
63.2%
Q1 - 6:43WizardsMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound9
34.9%
6
65.1%
Q1 - 6:46HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot9
34.4%
6
65.6%
Q1 - 7:03WizardsBradley Beal turnover (offensive foul)9
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 7:03WizardsBradley Beal offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)9
34.6%
6
65.4%
Q1 - 7:06WizardsBradley Beal defensive rebound9
34.6%
6
65.4%
Q1 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot9
34.0%
6
66.0%
Q1 - 7:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 7:25WizardsBradley Beal misses three point jump shot9
33.3%
6
66.7%
Q1 - 7:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Kyle Lowry assists)9
34.6%
6
65.4%
Q1 - 7:58WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point cutting dunk (Bradley Beal assists)9
36.3%
4
63.7%
Q1 - 8:06HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)7
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 8:14WizardsMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound7
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 8:18HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot7
33.8%
4
66.2%
Q1 - 8:27HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound7
32.4%
4
67.6%
Q1 - 8:29WizardsAaron Holiday misses two point driving floating jump shot7
33.0%
4
67.0%
Q1 - 8:37HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)7
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 8:44HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)7
34.4%
4
65.6%
Q1 - 8:50WizardsKyle Kuzma turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)7
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 8:56WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound7
38.0%
2
62.0%
Q1 - 9:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point stepback jump shot7
37.3%
2
62.7%
Q1 - 9:12WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point putback layup7
35.6%
2
64.4%
Q1 - 9:13WizardsMontrezl Harrell offensive rebound5
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 9:15WizardsMontrezl Harrell misses two point layup5
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 9:29HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Holiday steals)5
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 9:33HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound5
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 9:36WizardsMontrezl Harrell misses two point jump shot5
32.8%
2
67.2%
Q1 - 9:47WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound5
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 9:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running pullup jump shot5
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 9:55WizardsKyle Kuzma turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)5
32.2%
2
67.8%
Q1 - 9:59WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound5
34.2%
2
65.8%
Q1 - 10:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup5
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 10:09WizardsBradley Beal turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)5
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 10:25WizardsMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound5
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 10:28HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot5
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 10:48WizardsBradley Beal makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)5
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 11:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot2
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 11:28WizardsAaron Holiday makes two point running finger roll layup (Kyle Kuzma assists)2
29.9%
0
70.1%
Q1 - 11:38WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound0
28.6%
0
71.4%
Q1 - 11:41HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
28.1%
0
71.9%
Q1 - 12:00Montrezl Harrell vs. Bam Adebayo (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
27.0%
0
73.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.17 58.4%
MIA
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
16
27
59%
MIA
21
32
66%
Midrange
WAS
7
14
50%
MIA
10
24
42%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
15
22.5
36
42%
63%
MIA
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
Free Throws
WAS
6
10
60%
MIA
20
24
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Beal3071%15.0 / 21
K. Kuzma1973%9.5 / 13
C. Kispert1365%6.5 / 10
M. Harrell1267%6.0 / 9
K. Caldwell-Pope857%4.0 / 7
D. Avdija650%3.0 / 6
A. Holiday429%2.0 / 7
I. Todd375%1.5 / 2
A. Gill233%1.0 / 3
R. Neto0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler3267%16.0 / 24
B. Adebayo2059%10.0 / 17
G. Vincent1864%9.0 / 14
P. Tucker15107%7.5 / 7
K. Lowry844%4.0 / 9
C. Martin750%3.5 / 7
D. Robinson633%3.0 / 9
M. Strus338%1.5 / 4
O. Yurtseven2100%1.0 / 1
D. Dedmon125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
76
+7
-17
83
MIA
88
+9
-6
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.17 58.4%
MIA
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.8
113.3
WAS 104.3
MIA 119.1 +14.8
Pace
97.3
96.2
WAS 89.2
MIA 98.1 +8.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.0
WAS 16.1
MIA 14.7 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.3%
54.7%
WAS 59.1% +3.0%
MIA 56.1%
TO %
12.9%
14.2%
WAS 17.3%
MIA 6.1% +11.2%
ORB %
20.9%
23.5%
WAS 12.8%
MIA 17.9% +5.1%
FTrt
25.2
25.2
WAS 13.0
MIA 29.3 +16.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.7%
64.4%
WAS 65.8%
MIA 65.9% +0.1%
STL %
6.5%
7.6%
WAS 4.3%
MIA 10.6% +6.3%
BLK %
8.7%
7.1%
WAS 5.4% +3.0%
MIA 2.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.5%
56.8%
WAS 58.4% +0.7%
MIA 57.7%
Rim FG%
65.8%
63.4%
WAS 59.3%
MIA 65.6% +6.3%
Mid FG%
40.8%
41.4%
WAS 50.0% +8.3%
MIA 41.7%
3P %
34.2%
37.9%
WAS 41.7% +3.2%
MIA 38.5%
FT %
78.3%
80.8%
WAS 60.0%
MIA 83.3% +23.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.7%
30.6%
WAS 35.1%
MIA 39.0% +4.0%
Mid Att. %
29.7%
27.1%
WAS 18.2% +11.1%
MIA 29.3%
3P Att. %
35.6%
42.2%
WAS 46.8% +15.0%
MIA 31.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes25.023.0
Points97112
Rebounds3741
Assists2527
Steals410
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)17 (0)6 (0)
Fouls1913
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (2)7 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)34 (1)
Field Goals38-7741-82
At-the-Rim FG16-2721-32
Midrange FG7-1410-24
2-Point FG23-4131-56
3-Point FG15-3610-26
Free Throws6-1020-24
Fast Break Pts1513
2nd Chance Pts95
Points in Paint4050
Pts off Turnovers920
Bench Points2431
Biggest Lead718

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
20 Washington Wizards
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kyle Kuzma
#33 · PF · 6'9" 221 · 26
40.1
19
73%
13
7
1
0
3
2
0
13
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
4-9
44%
Montrezl Harrell
#6 · C · 6'8" 240 · 28
36.4
12
67%
9
2
0
0
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-0
-
Bradley Beal
#3 · SG · 6'4" 207 · 28
36.3
30
71%
6
5
1
0
6
1
0
6
5-6
83%
8-10
80%
3-8
38%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
#1 · SF · 6'5" 204 · 29
29.5
8
57%
1
2
1
0
3
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-6
33%
Aaron Holiday
#4 · PG · 6'0" 185 · 25
29.2
4
29%
0
5
1
0
4
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
Corey Kispert
#24 · SF · 6'6" 224 · 23
24.3
13
65%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
Deni Avdija
#9 · SF · 6'9" 240 · 21
19.6
6
50%
1
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
2-3
67%
Raul Neto
#19 · PG · 6'1" 179 · 30
13.0
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
Anthony Gill
#16 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 29
8.8
2
33%
2
1
0
1
0
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
Isaiah Todd
#14 · PF · 6'9" 219 · 20
1.4
3
75%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
Joel Ayayi
#17 · SG · 6'4" 180 · 22
1.4
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Spencer Dinwiddie
#26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Right Knee Injury Maintenance
Cassius Winston
#5 · PG · 6'1" 185 · 24
INACTIVE
Daniel Gafford
#21 · PF · 6'10" 265 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thumb; Right thumb sprain
Davis Bertans
#42 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Left Ankle Sprain
Thomas Bryant
#13 · C · 6'10" 248 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Left ACL Injury Recovery
Rui Hachimura
#8 · PF · 6'8" 230 · 24
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
58%
37
25
4
3
17
19
5
32
6-10
60%
23-41
56%
15-36
42%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.