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All Games Monday, November 15, 2021
FinalWin Prob.pScore
20
Heat
73%112
103
30
Thunder
27%103
90
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
104.09998.5
OKC logo OKC
91.89899.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

ThunderHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAOKC
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
100%
90
0%
Q4 - 0:12.5ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (out of bounds step)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.2HeatOmer Yurtseven turnover (traveling)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.1ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:49.0HeatHeat turnover (8-second violation)103
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.1HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound103
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:00ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot103
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:05HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)103
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:12ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)101
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:18HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)101
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound98
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 1:42ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot98
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 2:00HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)98
99.5%
87
0.5%
Q4 - 2:07HeatHeat offensive rebound95
98.9%
87
1.1%
Q4 - 2:09HeatKyle Lowry misses two point layup95
98.4%
87
1.6%
Q4 - 2:36ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point driving layup95
99.0%
87
1.0%
Q4 - 2:52ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound95
98.8%
85
1.2%
Q4 - 2:55HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot95
99.0%
85
1.0%
Q4 - 3:06HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound95
99.3%
85
0.7%
Q4 - 3:08ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point driving layup95
99.2%
85
0.8%
Q4 - 3:21ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound95
98.9%
85
1.1%
Q4 - 3:25HeatDarius Bazley blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup95
99.1%
85
0.9%
Q4 - 3:39HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound95
98.6%
85
1.4%
Q4 - 3:43ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot95
98.5%
85
1.5%
Q4 - 3:51ThunderThunder defensive rebound95
98.1%
85
1.9%
Q4 - 3:54HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot95
98.3%
85
1.7%
Q4 - 4:07ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)95
98.7%
85
1.3%
Q4 - 4:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 295
98.8%
85
1.2%
Q4 - 4:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 1 of 295
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 4:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 195
99.1%
83
0.9%
Q4 - 4:26HeatKZ Okpala technical foul95
99.2%
82
0.8%
Q4 - 4:26HeatKZ Okpala shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)95
99.2%
82
0.8%
Q4 - 4:45HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Darius Bazley steals)95
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 4:45ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point driving layup95
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 4:54ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound95
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 4:59HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot95
99.7%
80
0.3%
Q4 - 5:07HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound95
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 5:10ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot95
99.6%
80
0.4%
Q4 - 5:20HeatKZ Okpala makes two point tip layup95
99.5%
80
0.5%
Q4 - 5:20HeatKZ Okpala offensive rebound93
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 5:25HeatKZ Okpala misses two point layup93
99.1%
80
0.9%
Q4 - 5:39ThunderDarius Bazley makes regular free throw 2 of 293
99.3%
80
0.7%
Q4 - 5:39ThunderDarius Bazley misses regular free throw 1 of 293
99.4%
79
0.6%
Q4 - 5:39HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Darius Bazley draws the foul)93
99.2%
79
0.8%
Q4 - 5:42HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Luguentz Dort steals)93
99.3%
79
0.7%
Q4 - 5:59ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)93
99.5%
79
0.5%
Q4 - 6:07HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup93
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 6:12ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)91
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 6:19HeatMax Strus personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)91
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 6:34HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)91
99.2%
76
0.8%
Q4 - 6:34HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)91
99.4%
76
0.6%
Q4 - 6:46ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point layup91
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 6:48ThunderJosh Giddey offensive rebound91
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 6:51ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot91
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 6:59ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes technical free throw 1 of 191
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 6:59Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)91
99.6%
73
0.4%
Q4 - 7:12HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)91
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 7:20ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)89
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 7:27ThunderKenrich Williams turnover (traveling)89
99.4%
73
0.6%
Q4 - 7:45HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)89
99.2%
73
0.8%
Q4 - 7:52ThunderLuguentz Dort turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)86
98.7%
73
1.3%
Q4 - 8:06HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)86
97.9%
73
2.1%
Q4 - 8:15HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot86
97.9%
73
2.1%
Q4 - 8:18HeatMax Strus defensive rebound83
96.6%
73
3.4%
Q4 - 8:21ThunderKenrich Williams misses two point layup83
96.3%
73
3.7%
Q4 - 8:30HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Isaiah Roby draws the foul)83
95.7%
73
4.3%
Q4 - 8:38HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway jump shot83
95.7%
73
4.3%
Q4 - 9:07ThunderIsaiah Roby makes two point dunk (Kenrich Williams assists)81
94.2%
73
5.8%
Q4 - 9:16HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Aaron Wiggins steals)81
95.2%
71
4.8%
Q4 - 9:27HeatMax Strus defensive rebound81
96.3%
71
3.7%
Q4 - 9:30ThunderAleksej Pokusevski misses three point jump shot81
96.0%
71
4.0%
Q4 - 9:42ThunderAleksej Pokusevski defensive rebound81
95.3%
71
4.7%
Q4 - 9:45HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot81
95.6%
71
4.4%
Q4 - 10:07ThunderKenrich Williams makes two point pullup jump shot (Isaiah Roby assists)81
95.8%
71
4.2%
Q4 - 10:23HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot81
96.5%
69
3.5%
Q4 - 10:45ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (offensive foul)78
94.8%
69
5.2%
Q4 - 10:45ThunderAaron Wiggins offensive foul (Charge) (Max Strus draws the foul)78
93.5%
69
6.5%
Q4 - 10:58HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot78
93.5%
69
6.5%
Q4 - 11:16ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point pullup jump shot76
91.3%
69
8.7%
Q4 - 11:42HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot76
92.8%
67
7.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.74
91.3%
67
8.7%
Q3 - 0:01.5ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)74
90.9%
67
9.1%
Q3 - 0:20.6ThunderAaron Wiggins defensive rebound74
93.8%
64
6.2%
Q3 - 0:24.7HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot74
94.1%
64
5.9%
Q3 - 0:30.0HeatMax Strus defensive rebound74
94.9%
64
5.1%
Q3 - 0:31.5ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point driving layup74
94.6%
64
5.4%
Q3 - 0:43.6HeatKZ Okpala makes two point putback dunk74
93.8%
64
6.2%
Q3 - 0:43.6HeatKZ Okpala offensive rebound72
92.5%
64
7.5%
Q3 - 0:45.9HeatIsaiah Roby blocks Max Strus's two point jump shot72
91.5%
64
8.5%
Q3 - 1:02ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point running dunk (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)72
92.1%
64
7.9%
Q3 - 1:07HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander steals)72
93.2%
62
6.8%
Q3 - 1:21ThunderIsaiah Roby makes two point running layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)72
94.5%
62
5.5%
Q3 - 1:26ThunderIsaiah Roby defensive rebound72
95.3%
60
4.7%
Q3 - 1:29HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot72
95.6%
60
4.4%
Q3 - 1:49ThunderKenrich Williams makes two point jump shot (Isaiah Roby assists)72
96.2%
60
3.8%
Q3 - 2:17HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point floating jump shot72
96.3%
58
3.7%
Q3 - 2:35ThunderAleksej Pokusevski makes two point running dunk (Kenrich Williams assists)70
95.7%
58
4.3%
Q3 - 2:38ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound70
96.3%
56
3.7%
Q3 - 2:40HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot70
96.5%
56
3.5%
Q3 - 2:45HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound70
97.0%
56
3.0%
Q3 - 2:48ThunderAaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot70
96.8%
56
3.2%
Q3 - 3:10HeatMax Strus makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)70
96.0%
56
4.0%
Q3 - 3:24HeatHeat defensive rebound68
95.4%
56
4.6%
Q3 - 3:27ThunderKenrich Williams misses three point jump shot68
95.1%
56
4.9%
Q3 - 3:30ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound68
94.4%
56
5.6%
Q3 - 3:34HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot68
94.8%
56
5.2%
Q3 - 3:46HeatMax Strus defensive rebound68
95.4%
56
4.6%
Q3 - 3:51ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot68
95.1%
56
4.9%
Q3 - 4:02HeatKZ Okpala makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)68
94.2%
56
5.8%
Q3 - 4:17ThunderLuguentz Dort turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Tucker steals)66
93.4%
56
6.6%
Q3 - 4:21ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive rebound66
92.1%
56
7.9%
Q3 - 4:24ThunderP.J. Tucker blocks Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's two point floating jump shot66
93.0%
56
7.0%
Q3 - 4:40HeatTyler Herro makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot66
92.1%
56
7.9%
Q3 - 5:00HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound64
91.0%
56
9.0%
Q3 - 5:03ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot64
90.0%
56
10.0%
Q3 - 5:17ThunderIsaiah Roby defensive rebound64
88.9%
56
11.1%
Q3 - 5:20HeatJosh Giddey blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup64
89.4%
56
10.6%
Q3 - 5:39ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Tucker steals)64
90.5%
56
9.5%
Q3 - 5:54HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Take) (Josh Giddey draws the foul)64
88.9%
56
11.1%
Q3 - 5:56HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Josh Giddey steals)64
88.9%
56
11.1%
Q3 - 6:08ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point tip layup64
90.3%
56
9.7%
Q3 - 6:08ThunderJosh Giddey offensive rebound64
91.5%
54
8.5%
Q3 - 6:14ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot64
92.4%
54
7.6%
Q3 - 6:35HeatDewayne Dedmon makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)64
91.5%
54
8.5%
Q3 - 6:37HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound61
88.9%
54
11.1%
Q3 - 6:37ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses two point tip layup61
88.4%
54
11.6%
Q3 - 6:37ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl offensive rebound61
87.1%
54
12.9%
Q3 - 6:45ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses two point layup61
88.4%
54
11.6%
Q3 - 6:52ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound61
87.1%
54
12.9%
Q3 - 6:55HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot61
87.7%
54
12.3%
Q3 - 7:04HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound61
88.7%
54
11.3%
Q3 - 7:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot61
87.4%
54
12.6%
Q3 - 7:12HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound61
88.7%
54
11.3%
Q3 - 7:14ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point layup61
88.2%
54
11.8%
Q3 - 7:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)61
86.9%
54
13.1%
Q3 - 7:31HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound59
85.4%
54
14.6%
Q3 - 7:33ThunderLuguentz Dort misses two point running layup59
84.7%
54
15.3%
Q3 - 7:41ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound59
83.1%
54
16.9%
Q3 - 7:41HeatDarius Bazley blocks Duncan Robinson's three point pullup jump shot59
83.8%
54
16.2%
Q3 - 7:46HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound59
85.4%
54
14.6%
Q3 - 7:49HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot59
83.8%
54
16.2%
Q3 - 8:17ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)59
85.3%
54
14.7%
Q3 - 8:27HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)59
88.3%
51
11.7%
Q3 - 8:54ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)57
87.0%
51
13.0%
Q3 - 9:10HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)57
89.7%
48
10.3%
Q3 - 9:15ThunderLuguentz Dort turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)54
86.9%
48
13.1%
Q3 - 9:32HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)54
85.0%
48
15.0%
Q3 - 9:40ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander personal foul (Take) (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)51
81.3%
48
18.7%
Q3 - 9:43ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)51
81.3%
48
18.7%
Q3 - 9:58HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 3 of 351
78.7%
48
21.3%
Q3 - 9:58HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 350
78.4%
48
21.6%
Q3 - 9:58HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 349
78.0%
48
22.0%
Q3 - 9:58ThunderDarius Bazley shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)48
77.6%
48
22.4%
Q3 - 10:11ThunderDarius Bazley makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)48
74.3%
48
25.7%
Q3 - 10:27HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot48
78.9%
45
21.1%
Q3 - 10:42ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (offensive foul)46
76.8%
45
23.2%
Q3 - 10:42ThunderJosh Giddey offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)46
73.9%
45
26.1%
Q3 - 10:58ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound46
73.9%
45
26.1%
Q3 - 11:02HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot46
75.5%
45
24.5%
Q3 - 11:06HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound46
77.2%
45
22.8%
Q3 - 11:10ThunderDewayne Dedmon blocks Luguentz Dort's two point driving layup46
76.4%
45
23.6%
Q3 - 11:19HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)46
74.6%
45
25.4%
Q3 - 11:44ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point cutting layup (Darius Bazley assists)43
69.3%
45
30.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.43
71.9%
43
28.1%
Q2 - 0:00.5HeatKyle Lowry makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)43
73.1%
43
26.9%
Q2 - 0:22.8HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound41
69.8%
43
30.2%
Q2 - 0:26.5ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses three point jump shot41
69.2%
43
30.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)41
67.6%
43
32.4%
Q2 - 0:34.0HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound41
69.8%
43
30.2%
Q2 - 0:35.1HeatKyle Lowry misses two point floating jump shot41
68.3%
43
31.7%
Q2 - 0:58.1ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes two point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)41
69.8%
43
30.2%
Q2 - 1:07HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 241
73.7%
41
26.3%
Q2 - 1:07HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 240
73.4%
41
26.6%
Q2 - 1:07ThunderLuguentz Dort personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)39
73.0%
41
27.0%
Q2 - 1:15ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes two point cutting layup (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)39
70.3%
41
29.7%
Q2 - 1:31HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)39
73.7%
39
26.3%
Q2 - 1:55ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander assists)36
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 1:59ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound36
73.7%
36
26.3%
Q2 - 2:03HeatDarius Bazley blocks Tyler Herro's two point pullup jump shot36
74.3%
36
25.7%
Q2 - 2:16HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound36
75.9%
36
24.1%
Q2 - 2:20ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot36
75.2%
36
24.8%
Q2 - 2:22ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound36
73.5%
36
26.5%
Q2 - 2:25HeatJosh Giddey blocks P.J. Tucker's two point layup36
74.3%
36
25.7%
Q2 - 2:48ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)36
75.9%
36
24.1%
Q2 - 2:53ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound36
80.0%
33
20.0%
Q2 - 2:56HeatDarius Bazley blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point cutting layup36
80.6%
33
19.4%
Q2 - 3:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (offensive foul)36
82.0%
33
18.0%
Q2 - 3:13ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)36
79.8%
33
20.2%
Q2 - 3:26ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander defensive rebound36
79.8%
33
20.2%
Q2 - 3:26HeatKZ Okpala misses two point putback layup36
80.5%
33
19.5%
Q2 - 3:28HeatKZ Okpala offensive rebound36
82.0%
33
18.0%
Q2 - 3:29HeatKZ Okpala misses two point driving layup36
80.5%
33
19.5%
Q2 - 3:38ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)36
82.0%
33
18.0%
Q2 - 4:00HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)36
84.9%
30
15.1%
Q2 - 4:15HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound36
86.5%
30
13.5%
Q2 - 4:17ThunderJosh Giddey misses two point turnaround jump shot36
86.1%
30
13.9%
Q2 - 4:34HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)36
85.1%
30
14.9%
Q2 - 4:38HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound34
83.7%
30
16.3%
Q2 - 4:41ThunderJosh Giddey misses three point jump shot34
83.2%
30
16.8%
Q2 - 5:01HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (KZ Okpala assists)34
82.0%
30
18.0%
Q2 - 5:11HeatHeat offensive rebound31
79.0%
30
21.0%
Q2 - 5:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
77.3%
30
22.7%
Q2 - 5:21Jump ball. KZ Okpala vs. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (P.J. Tucker gains possession)31
79.0%
30
21.0%
Q2 - 5:26ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound31
76.6%
30
23.4%
Q2 - 5:29HeatJeremiah Robinson-Earl blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup31
77.3%
30
22.7%
Q2 - 5:38HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound31
78.9%
30
21.1%
Q2 - 5:42ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point driving dunk31
78.3%
30
21.7%
Q2 - 5:52HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)31
76.6%
30
23.4%
Q2 - 5:52HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)31
78.9%
30
21.1%
Q2 - 6:02ThunderJosh Giddey turnover (out of bounds bad pass)31
79.1%
30
20.9%
Q2 - 6:13HeatKZ Okpala makes regular free throw 2 of 231
76.8%
30
23.2%
Q2 - 6:13HeatKZ Okpala makes regular free throw 1 of 230
76.2%
30
23.8%
Q2 - 6:13ThunderTre Mann shooting foul (KZ Okpala draws the foul)29
75.5%
30
24.5%
Q2 - 6:14ThunderMike Muscala turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Tucker steals)29
75.3%
30
24.7%
Q2 - 6:31HeatGabe Vincent makes two point putback layup29
72.7%
30
27.3%
Q2 - 6:31HeatGabe Vincent offensive rebound27
71.0%
30
29.0%
Q2 - 6:36HeatKZ Okpala misses three point jump shot27
69.0%
30
31.0%
Q2 - 6:41ThunderTre Mann personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)27
71.0%
30
29.0%
Q2 - 6:56ThunderTy Jerome makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)27
71.0%
30
29.0%
Q2 - 7:00ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound27
74.8%
27
25.2%
Q2 - 7:03HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot27
75.9%
27
24.1%
Q2 - 7:06HeatMax Strus offensive rebound27
77.3%
27
22.7%
Q2 - 7:09HeatMax Strus misses two point floating jump shot27
75.9%
27
24.1%
Q2 - 7:30HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound27
77.3%
27
22.7%
Q2 - 7:34ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot27
76.7%
27
23.3%
Q2 - 7:46ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound27
75.2%
27
24.8%
Q2 - 7:48HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot27
75.9%
27
24.1%
Q2 - 8:04ThunderKenrich Williams turnover (offensive foul)27
77.0%
27
23.0%
Q2 - 8:04ThunderKenrich Williams offensive foul (Charge) (Max Strus draws the foul)27
75.1%
27
24.9%
Q2 - 8:07ThunderMike Muscala defensive rebound27
75.1%
27
24.9%
Q2 - 8:10HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot27
75.7%
27
24.3%
Q2 - 8:20ThunderMike Muscala personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)27
77.0%
27
23.0%
Q2 - 8:23HeatHeat offensive rebound27
77.0%
27
23.0%
Q2 - 8:23HeatTy Jerome blocks Max Strus's two point driving layup27
75.7%
27
24.3%
Q2 - 8:37HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound27
77.0%
27
23.0%
Q2 - 8:39ThunderTre Mann misses two point cutting layup27
76.5%
27
23.5%
Q2 - 9:04HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)27
75.0%
27
25.0%
Q2 - 9:13HeatHeat defensive rebound27
76.9%
27
23.1%
Q2 - 9:15ThunderTre Mann misses three point jump shot27
76.4%
27
23.6%
Q2 - 9:31HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 227
75.0%
27
25.0%
Q2 - 9:31HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 226
74.6%
27
25.4%
Q2 - 9:31ThunderTre Mann shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)26
76.0%
27
24.0%
Q2 - 9:47ThunderMike Muscala makes two point layup (Kenrich Williams assists)26
75.1%
27
24.9%
Q2 - 9:58ThunderTre Mann offensive rebound26
76.9%
25
23.1%
Q2 - 10:03ThunderTy Jerome misses three point jump shot26
78.3%
25
21.7%
Q2 - 10:15ThunderTre Mann defensive rebound26
77.0%
25
23.0%
Q2 - 10:16HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point hook shot26
77.6%
25
22.4%
Q2 - 10:25HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound26
78.8%
25
21.2%
Q2 - 10:30ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot26
78.3%
25
21.7%
Q2 - 10:44HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)26
77.0%
25
23.0%
Q2 - 10:55ThunderKenrich Williams makes regular free throw 2 of 223
73.4%
25
26.6%
Q2 - 10:55ThunderKenrich Williams misses regular free throw 1 of 223
74.1%
24
25.9%
Q2 - 10:55HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Kenrich Williams draws the foul)23
72.9%
24
27.1%
Q2 - 10:56ThunderMike Muscala offensive rebound23
73.3%
24
26.7%
Q2 - 10:59ThunderAaron Wiggins misses three point jump shot23
74.7%
24
25.3%
Q2 - 11:06ThunderKenrich Williams defensive rebound23
73.8%
24
26.2%
Q2 - 11:08HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot23
74.3%
24
25.7%
Q2 - 11:27ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (out of bounds bad pass)23
75.5%
24
24.5%
Q2 - 11:31HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Kenrich Williams steals)23
73.8%
24
26.2%
Q2 - 11:42HeatMax Strus defensive rebound23
75.5%
24
24.5%
Q2 - 11:44ThunderTre Mann misses two point floating jump shot23
75.0%
24
25.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.23
73.8%
24
26.2%
Q1 - 0:10.9HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound23
75.4%
24
24.6%
Q1 - 0:14.3ThunderTy Jerome misses three point jump shot23
75.0%
24
25.0%
Q1 - 0:22.6ThunderAleksej Pokusevski offensive rebound23
73.9%
24
26.1%
Q1 - 0:25.9ThunderMike Muscala misses three point jump shot23
75.0%
24
25.0%
Q1 - 0:35.5HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)23
73.9%
24
26.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0ThunderAleksej Pokusevski turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)20
69.8%
24
30.2%
Q1 - 0:45.4HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 220
68.1%
24
31.9%
Q1 - 0:45.4HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 219
67.5%
24
32.5%
Q1 - 0:45.4ThunderAleksej Pokusevski shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)18
66.7%
24
33.3%
Q1 - 0:59.1ThunderAaron Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Aleksej Pokusevski assists)18
65.7%
24
34.3%
Q1 - 1:17HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot18
70.3%
21
29.7%
Q1 - 1:26HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound15
66.0%
21
34.0%
Q1 - 1:32ThunderIsaiah Roby misses two point turnaround jump shot15
65.4%
21
34.6%
Q1 - 1:55HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 215
64.1%
21
35.9%
Q1 - 1:55HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 214
63.4%
21
36.6%
Q1 - 1:55ThunderAaron Wiggins shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)14
64.8%
21
35.2%
Q1 - 2:10ThunderAaron Wiggins turnover (out of bounds lost ball)14
64.7%
21
35.3%
Q1 - 2:14HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds step)14
62.5%
21
37.5%
Q1 - 2:23HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound14
64.7%
21
35.3%
Q1 - 2:27ThunderTy Jerome misses three point jump shot14
64.0%
21
36.0%
Q1 - 2:28ThunderLuguentz Dort offensive rebound14
62.5%
21
37.5%
Q1 - 2:31ThunderDewayne Dedmon blocks Luguentz Dort's two point driving layup14
64.0%
21
36.0%
Q1 - 2:41HeatCaleb Martin turnover (offensive foul)14
62.5%
21
37.5%
Q1 - 2:41HeatCaleb Martin offensive foul (Luguentz Dort draws the foul)14
64.6%
21
35.4%
Q1 - 2:50HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound14
64.6%
21
35.4%
Q1 - 2:54ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point pullup jump shot14
64.0%
21
36.0%
Q1 - 3:12HeatOmer Yurtseven turnover (offensive foul)14
62.3%
21
37.7%
Q1 - 3:12HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive foul (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl draws the foul)14
64.8%
21
35.2%
Q1 - 3:30ThunderAaron Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Luguentz Dort assists)14
64.8%
21
35.2%
Q1 - 3:36ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound14
68.4%
18
31.6%
Q1 - 3:40HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot14
69.1%
18
30.9%
Q1 - 3:48ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes regular free throw 2 of 214
70.6%
18
29.4%
Q1 - 3:48ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses regular free throw 1 of 214
70.9%
17
29.1%
Q1 - 3:48HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander draws the foul)14
69.4%
17
30.6%
Q1 - 4:12HeatKyle Lowry turnover (offensive foul)14
71.0%
17
29.0%
Q1 - 4:12HeatKyle Lowry offensive foul (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl draws the foul)14
73.0%
17
27.0%
Q1 - 4:30ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander makes two point driving layup14
72.9%
17
27.1%
Q1 - 4:36ThunderAaron Wiggins defensive rebound14
74.3%
15
25.7%
Q1 - 4:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot14
74.9%
15
25.1%
Q1 - 4:44ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point layup (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl assists)14
76.2%
15
23.8%
Q1 - 4:49ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound14
77.4%
13
22.6%
Q1 - 4:52HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point jump shot14
78.0%
13
22.0%
Q1 - 5:04ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)14
79.4%
13
20.6%
Q1 - 5:15HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)14
81.8%
10
18.2%
Q1 - 5:30ThunderJosh Giddey makes two point floating jump shot14
83.1%
10
16.9%
Q1 - 5:43HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)14
84.1%
8
15.9%
Q1 - 5:46HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound14
85.3%
8
14.7%
Q1 - 5:49ThunderOmer Yurtseven blocks Darius Bazley's two point layup14
85.0%
8
15.0%
Q1 - 6:10HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot14
84.1%
8
15.9%
Q1 - 6:19HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound12
83.1%
8
16.9%
Q1 - 6:23ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses three point stepback jump shot12
82.7%
8
17.3%
Q1 - 6:48HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)12
81.9%
8
18.1%
Q1 - 6:56ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Josh Giddey assists)9
79.4%
8
20.6%
Q1 - 7:00ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound9
81.9%
5
18.1%
Q1 - 7:05HeatDarius Bazley blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot9
82.5%
5
17.5%
Q1 - 7:13HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound9
83.4%
5
16.6%
Q1 - 7:15ThunderJosh Giddey misses two point driving layup9
83.0%
5
17.0%
Q1 - 7:21ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound9
82.1%
5
17.9%
Q1 - 7:23HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup9
82.5%
5
17.5%
Q1 - 7:43HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound9
83.4%
5
16.6%
Q1 - 7:45ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point stepback jump shot9
83.0%
5
17.0%
Q1 - 7:54ThunderDarius Bazley defensive rebound9
82.1%
5
17.9%
Q1 - 7:56HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving floating jump shot9
82.5%
5
17.5%
Q1 - 8:11HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound9
83.7%
5
16.3%
Q1 - 8:15ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses three point jump shot9
83.3%
5
16.7%
Q1 - 8:26ThunderLuguentz Dort defensive rebound9
82.4%
5
17.6%
Q1 - 8:29HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot9
82.8%
5
17.2%
Q1 - 8:37ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander turnover (lost ball) (Dewayne Dedmon steals)9
83.7%
5
16.3%
Q1 - 8:48HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)9
82.4%
5
17.6%
Q1 - 8:54HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound6
80.2%
5
19.8%
Q1 - 8:57ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point floating jump shot6
79.8%
5
20.2%
Q1 - 9:02ThunderThunder offensive rebound6
78.7%
5
21.3%
Q1 - 9:03ThunderDarius Bazley misses two point putback layup6
79.7%
5
20.3%
Q1 - 9:03ThunderDarius Bazley offensive rebound6
78.7%
5
21.3%
Q1 - 9:05ThunderDewayne Dedmon blocks Darius Bazley's two point layup6
79.7%
5
20.3%
Q1 - 9:12HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)6
78.7%
5
21.3%
Q1 - 9:25ThunderLuguentz Dort makes three point jump shot (Jeremiah Robinson-Earl assists)3
76.3%
5
23.7%
Q1 - 9:33ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound3
78.7%
2
21.3%
Q1 - 9:36HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point cutting layup3
79.1%
2
20.9%
Q1 - 9:54HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound3
80.1%
2
19.9%
Q1 - 9:59ThunderLuguentz Dort misses three point jump shot3
79.7%
2
20.3%
Q1 - 10:13HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot3
78.9%
2
21.1%
Q1 - 10:29ThunderLuguentz Dort makes two point running dunk0
76.5%
2
23.5%
Q1 - 10:31ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound0
77.6%
0
22.4%
Q1 - 10:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot0
78.0%
0
22.0%
Q1 - 10:53HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound0
79.0%
0
21.0%
Q1 - 10:55ThunderShai Gilgeous-Alexander misses two point fadeaway jump shot0
78.6%
0
21.4%
Q1 - 11:10ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl defensive rebound0
77.8%
0
22.2%
Q1 - 11:12HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point turnaround hook shot0
78.2%
0
21.8%
Q1 - 11:23HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound0
79.2%
0
20.8%
Q1 - 11:27ThunderJeremiah Robinson-Earl misses two point jump shot0
78.8%
0
21.2%
Q1 - 11:37ThunderJosh Giddey defensive rebound0
77.8%
0
22.2%
Q1 - 11:39HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot0
78.2%
0
21.8%
Q1 - 12:00Dewayne Dedmon vs. Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (P.J. Tucker gains possession)0
79.2%
0
20.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.4%
OKC
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
12
20
60%
OKC
14
28
50%
Midrange
MIA
7
22
32%
OKC
5
14
36%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
18
27.0
40
45%
68%
OKC
15
22.5
41
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
11
13
85%
OKC
7
10
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2668%13.0 / 19
D. Robinson2170%10.5 / 15
M. Strus1365%6.5 / 10
K. Lowry1155%5.5 / 10
D. Dedmon857%4.0 / 7
K. Okpala840%4.0 / 10
P. Tucker650%3.0 / 6
G. Vincent550%2.5 / 5
C. Martin550%2.5 / 5
O. Yurtseven0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dort2063%10.0 / 16
J. Robinson-Earl1673%8.0 / 11
A. Pokusevski1192%5.5 / 6
S. Gilgeous-Alexander1038%5.0 / 13
D. Bazley744%3.5 / 8
J. Giddey630%3.0 / 10
A. Wiggins675%3.0 / 4
K. Williams550%2.5 / 5
I. Roby467%2.0 / 3
T. Jerome338%1.5 / 4
M. Muscala225%1.0 / 4
T. Mann0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+11
-17
93
OKC
78
+10
-20
88
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.11 55.4%
OKC
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.3
104.1
MIA 104.0
OKC 91.8 +12.2
Pace
96.2
99.0
MIA 98.5
OKC 99.5 +1.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.3
MIA 14.6
OKC 14.5 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
49.8%
MIA 56.1% +6.1%
OKC 50.0%
TO %
14.2%
13.3%
MIA 17.8% +0.8%
OKC 18.6%
ORB %
23.5%
21.8%
MIA 19.5%
OKC 19.6% +0.1%
FTrt
25.2
22.3
MIA 15.9 +3.9
OKC 12.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
58.0%
MIA 59.5%
OKC 76.5% +17.0%
STL %
7.6%
7.6%
MIA 11.1% +5.0%
OKC 6.1%
BLK %
7.1%
8.9%
MIA 11.9%
OKC 23.8% +11.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.43 and 2.43.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.8%
51.7%
MIA 55.4% +4.3%
OKC 51.1%
Rim FG%
63.4%
57.2%
MIA 60.0% +10.0%
OKC 50.0%
Mid FG%
41.4%
40.8%
MIA 31.8%
OKC 35.7% +3.9%
3P %
37.9%
32.3%
MIA 45.0% +8.4%
OKC 36.6%
FT %
80.8%
75.5%
MIA 84.6% +14.6%
OKC 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.6%
35.1%
MIA 24.4%
OKC 33.7% +9.3%
Mid Att. %
27.1%
22.9%
MIA 26.8%
OKC 16.9% +10.0%
3P Att. %
42.2%
42.0%
MIA 48.8%
OKC 49.4% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.25 and 2.25.
Game TotalsMIAOKC
Possessions9998
Possession Minutes24.123.6
Points10390
Rebounds4542
Assists2226
Steals116
Blocks510
Turnovers (Team)17 (2)20 (0)
Fouls1315
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (2)33 (1)
Field Goals37-8234-83
At-the-Rim FG12-2014-28
Midrange FG7-225-14
2-Point FG19-4219-42
3-Point FG18-4015-41
Free Throws11-137-10
Fast Break Pts1310
2nd Chance Pts127
Points in Paint2830
Pts off Turnovers3119
Bench Points3131
Biggest Lead187

BOXSCORE

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20 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
36.9
26
68%
7
6
2
0
6
2
0
7
3-3
100%
4-10
40%
5-8
63%
Kyle Lowry
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 36
32.9
11
55%
3
11
0
0
3
1
1
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
1-3
33%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SF · 6'7" 215 · 28
31.6
21
70%
3
1
1
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
100%
5-12
42%
P.J. Tucker
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 37
30.8
6
50%
6
0
3
1
0
0
1
5
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
Dewayne Dedmon
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
29.4
8
57%
7
0
1
3
1
2
1
6
1-2
50%
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
Max Strus
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26
22.0
13
65%
6
0
0
0
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
3-5
60%
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
19.9
5
50%
4
3
1
0
1
2
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
Caleb Martin
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26
16.9
5
50%
2
0
2
0
2
2
0
2
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
KZ Okpala
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 23
15.1
8
40%
7
1
1
0
0
1
3
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-3
0%
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 23
4.6
0
0%
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Ankle; Sprain
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Injury Recovery
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Bruise
Marcus Garrett
#0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist; Tendinitis
Markieff Morris
#8 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Neck; Whiplash
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
55%
45
22
11
5
17
13
8
37
11-13
85%
19-42
45%
18-40
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.