FinalWin Prob.pScore
951%107
100
1549%106
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.79297.2
WAS logo WAS
113.29186.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.100
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:01.9WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound100
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 0:01.9HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot100
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 0:12.4WizardsKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
7.4%
103
92.6%
Q4 - 0:12.4WizardsKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
9.5%
102
90.5%
Q4 - 0:12.4HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)100
12.6%
101
87.4%
Q4 - 0:26.0HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2100
19.4%
101
80.6%
Q4 - 0:26.0HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 299
17.7%
101
82.3%
Q4 - 0:26.0WizardsBradley Beal shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)98
15.9%
101
84.1%
Q4 - 0:34.1WizardsKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 2 of 298
11.4%
101
88.6%
Q4 - 0:34.1WizardsKyle Kuzma makes regular free throw 1 of 298
13.7%
100
86.3%
Q4 - 0:34.1HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)98
16.9%
99
83.1%
Q4 - 0:34.8HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 298
19.7%
99
80.3%
Q4 - 0:34.8HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 297
17.4%
99
82.6%
Q4 - 0:34.8WizardsKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)96
14.8%
99
85.2%
Q4 - 0:39.4HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound96
14.8%
99
85.2%
Q4 - 0:42.8WizardsBradley Beal misses three point stepback jump shot96
12.8%
99
87.2%
Q4 - 0:52.9WizardsBradley Beal offensive rebound96
10.0%
99
90.0%
Q4 - 0:55.8WizardsKyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot96
15.5%
99
84.5%
Q4 - 1:19HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)96
12.7%
99
87.3%
Q4 - 1:43WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie makes three point jump shot (Bradley Beal assists)96
23.9%
99
76.1%
Q4 - 1:56WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound96
43.0%
96
57.0%
Q4 - 1:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot96
47.0%
96
53.0%
Q4 - 2:15WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Bradley Beal assists)96
57.9%
96
42.1%
Q4 - 2:25WizardsBradley Beal defensive rebound96
74.5%
93
25.5%
Q4 - 2:29HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot96
78.0%
93
22.0%
Q4 - 2:43WizardsBradley Beal turnover (lost ball) (Tyler Herro steals)96
84.6%
93
15.4%
Q4 - 2:57HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)96
72.8%
93
27.2%
Q4 - 2:57HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)96
81.9%
93
18.1%
Q4 - 3:11WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie makes three point pullup jump shot (Kyle Kuzma assists)96
82.2%
93
17.8%
Q4 - 3:30WizardsMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound96
90.6%
90
9.4%
Q4 - 3:33HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot96
88.2%
90
11.8%
Q4 - 3:43WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point floating jump shot96
90.9%
90
9.1%
Q4 - 3:58HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)96
93.5%
88
6.5%
Q4 - 4:17WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 194
91.3%
88
8.7%
Q4 - 4:17HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)94
91.7%
87
8.3%
Q4 - 4:42HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot94
96.9%
84
3.1%
Q4 - 4:56WizardsBradley Beal turnover (out of bounds step)92
95.7%
84
4.3%
Q4 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 292
91.4%
84
8.6%
Q4 - 5:05HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 291
91.1%
84
8.9%
Q4 - 5:05WizardsKyle Kuzma shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)91
93.0%
84
7.0%
Q4 - 5:21WizardsBradley Beal turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)91
91.7%
84
8.3%
Q4 - 5:47HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)91
88.8%
84
11.2%
Q4 - 6:04WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Bradley Beal assists)89
83.4%
84
16.6%
Q4 - 6:25HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)89
89.5%
81
10.5%
Q4 - 6:36WizardsBradley Beal personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)87
87.2%
81
12.8%
Q4 - 6:42HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound87
87.2%
81
12.8%
Q4 - 6:44WizardsBradley Beal misses three point stepback jump shot87
85.9%
81
14.1%
Q4 - 7:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot87
80.8%
81
19.2%
Q4 - 7:34WizardsDaniel Gafford makes two point layup (Deni Avdija assists)85
77.3%
81
22.7%
Q4 - 7:43HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)85
80.9%
79
19.1%
Q4 - 7:53WizardsWizards defensive rebound85
81.0%
79
19.0%
Q4 - 7:53HeatCaleb Martin misses two point cutting layup85
82.4%
79
17.6%
Q4 - 8:01HeatMax Strus defensive rebound85
83.4%
79
16.6%
Q4 - 8:04WizardsAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot85
82.3%
79
17.7%
Q4 - 8:21HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot85
79.6%
79
20.4%
Q4 - 8:30WizardsDeni Avdija makes two point floating jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)83
75.4%
79
24.6%
Q4 - 8:56HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)83
79.6%
77
20.4%
Q4 - 9:10WizardsDaniel Gafford turnover (offensive foul)81
74.5%
77
25.5%
Q4 - 9:10WizardsDaniel Gafford offensive foul (Charge) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)81
69.1%
77
30.9%
Q4 - 9:24HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)81
69.2%
77
30.8%
Q4 - 9:29HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)81
69.2%
77
30.8%
Q4 - 9:45HeatKyle Lowry makes two point pullup jump shot81
69.2%
77
30.8%
Q4 - 10:03WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point floating jump shot79
63.8%
77
36.2%
Q4 - 10:22HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)79
68.2%
75
31.8%
Q4 - 10:43WizardsAaron Holiday makes two point running layup (Deni Avdija assists)77
63.9%
75
36.1%
Q4 - 10:47HeatKyle Lowry turnover (lost ball) (Aaron Holiday steals)77
68.2%
73
31.8%
Q4 - 10:59WizardsAaron Holiday makes two point turnaround hook shot77
73.5%
73
26.5%
Q4 - 11:09HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)77
76.0%
71
24.0%
Q4 - 11:21HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)77
76.0%
71
24.0%
Q4 - 11:32WizardsAaron Holiday turnover (double dribble)75
72.0%
71
28.0%
Q4 - 11:36WizardsAaron Holiday defensive rebound75
67.5%
71
32.5%
Q4 - 11:39HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot75
68.9%
71
31.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.75
72.1%
71
27.9%
Q3 - 0:00.5WizardsBradley Beal makes regular free throw 3 of 375
71.2%
71
28.8%
Q3 - 0:00.5WizardsBradley Beal makes regular free throw 2 of 375
71.6%
70
28.4%
Q3 - 0:00.5WizardsBradley Beal makes regular free throw 1 of 375
72.2%
69
27.8%
Q3 - 0:00.5HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)75
72.7%
68
27.3%
Q3 - 0:02.4WizardsMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound75
78.8%
68
21.2%
Q3 - 0:05.6HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot75
79.8%
68
20.2%
Q3 - 0:28.3HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound75
81.9%
68
18.1%
Q3 - 0:31.8WizardsBradley Beal misses three point pullup jump shot75
81.0%
68
19.0%
Q3 - 0:37.0HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot75
78.8%
68
21.2%
Q3 - 0:45.4WizardsBradley Beal makes two point driving layup (Montrezl Harrell assists)72
71.2%
68
28.8%
Q3 - 1:00WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound72
75.3%
66
24.7%
Q3 - 1:00HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot72
76.4%
66
23.6%
Q3 - 1:05WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point tip layup72
77.8%
66
22.2%
Q3 - 1:06WizardsMontrezl Harrell offensive rebound72
80.5%
64
19.5%
Q3 - 1:08WizardsMontrezl Harrell misses two point layup72
82.8%
64
17.2%
Q3 - 1:34HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot72
80.6%
64
19.4%
Q3 - 1:46WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 1 of 169
74.4%
64
25.6%
Q3 - 1:46HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)69
75.3%
63
24.7%
Q3 - 2:04WizardsWizards defensive rebound69
79.2%
61
20.8%
Q3 - 2:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot69
80.2%
61
19.8%
Q3 - 2:19WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point tip dunk69
82.3%
61
17.7%
Q3 - 2:26WizardsMontrezl Harrell offensive rebound69
84.6%
59
15.4%
Q3 - 2:27WizardsBradley Beal misses two point stepback jump shot69
86.3%
59
13.7%
Q3 - 2:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot69
84.7%
59
15.3%
Q3 - 3:13WizardsCorey Kispert makes three point jump shot (Bradley Beal assists)67
81.7%
59
18.3%
Q3 - 3:31HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)67
86.0%
56
14.0%
Q3 - 3:45WizardsRaul Neto makes two point running layup (Bradley Beal assists)65
84.2%
56
15.8%
Q3 - 3:47WizardsBradley Beal defensive rebound65
86.0%
54
14.0%
Q3 - 3:49HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround jump shot65
86.8%
54
13.2%
Q3 - 3:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound65
88.3%
54
11.7%
Q3 - 4:02WizardsBradley Beal misses three point stepback jump shot65
86.7%
54
13.3%
Q3 - 4:23HeatP.J. Tucker turnover (traveling)65
85.2%
54
14.8%
Q3 - 4:36WizardsRaul Neto personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)65
87.5%
54
12.5%
Q3 - 4:42WizardsRaul Neto makes regular free throw 2 of 265
87.5%
54
12.5%
Q3 - 4:42WizardsRaul Neto makes regular free throw 1 of 265
87.8%
53
12.2%
Q3 - 4:42HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Raul Neto draws the foul)65
88.1%
52
11.9%
Q3 - 4:56HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)65
88.9%
52
11.1%
Q3 - 4:57WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound65
89.0%
52
11.0%
Q3 - 5:02HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot65
88.6%
52
11.4%
Q3 - 5:06HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound65
89.8%
52
10.2%
Q3 - 5:10HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot65
88.6%
52
11.4%
Q3 - 5:29HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound65
89.8%
52
10.2%
Q3 - 5:33WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point stepback jump shot65
89.3%
52
10.7%
Q3 - 5:45HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point turnaround jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)65
88.1%
52
11.9%
Q3 - 6:01WizardsBradley Beal makes two point driving layup63
85.7%
52
14.3%
Q3 - 6:07HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Raul Neto steals)63
87.3%
50
12.7%
Q3 - 6:26WizardsRaul Neto makes regular free throw 1 of 163
89.1%
50
10.9%
Q3 - 6:26HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Raul Neto draws the foul)63
89.3%
49
10.7%
Q3 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)63
91.6%
47
8.4%
Q3 - 6:45HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Kyle Kuzma draws the foul)63
92.9%
47
7.1%
Q3 - 6:58WizardsKyle Kuzma turnover (out of bounds lost ball)63
92.9%
47
7.1%
Q3 - 7:15HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)63
91.0%
47
9.0%
Q3 - 7:22HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound60
88.4%
47
11.6%
Q3 - 7:24WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot60
87.9%
47
12.1%
Q3 - 7:44HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)60
86.6%
47
13.4%
Q3 - 8:03WizardsKyle Kuzma makes two point hook shot57
82.5%
47
17.5%
Q3 - 8:04WizardsKyle Kuzma offensive rebound57
84.2%
45
15.8%
Q3 - 8:08WizardsBradley Beal misses two point stepback jump shot57
85.7%
45
14.3%
Q3 - 8:32HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)57
84.2%
45
15.8%
Q3 - 8:47WizardsBradley Beal turnover (out of bounds step)55
82.6%
45
17.4%
Q3 - 9:01HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)55
79.4%
45
20.6%
Q3 - 9:02HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound52
74.7%
45
25.3%
Q3 - 9:06HeatKyle Kuzma blocks Jimmy Butler's two point running dunk52
72.6%
45
27.4%
Q3 - 9:10WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)52
74.7%
45
25.3%
Q3 - 9:19WizardsDaniel Gafford defensive rebound52
71.6%
45
28.4%
Q3 - 9:22HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot52
72.6%
45
27.4%
Q3 - 9:30WizardsBradley Beal turnover (traveling)52
74.7%
45
25.3%
Q3 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)52
71.6%
45
28.4%
Q3 - 9:38WizardsKyle Kuzma offensive rebound52
71.6%
45
28.4%
Q3 - 9:41WizardsBradley Beal misses three point jump shot52
73.8%
45
26.2%
Q3 - 9:52HeatJimmy Butler makes two point bank jump shot52
71.6%
45
28.4%
Q3 - 10:02HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound50
68.6%
45
31.4%
Q3 - 10:05WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point pullup jump shot50
67.5%
45
32.5%
Q3 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 250
65.1%
45
34.9%
Q3 - 10:18HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 249
64.5%
45
35.5%
Q3 - 10:18WizardsBradley Beal shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)48
63.8%
45
36.2%
Q3 - 10:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound48
62.4%
45
37.6%
Q3 - 10:22WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point driving layup48
61.3%
45
38.7%
Q3 - 10:42HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)48
58.7%
45
41.3%
Q3 - 11:00WizardsBradley Beal makes two point jump shot45
52.3%
45
47.7%
Q3 - 11:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk45
55.3%
43
44.7%
Q3 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound43
52.2%
43
47.8%
Q3 - 11:20HeatDaniel Gafford blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup43
49.7%
43
50.3%
Q3 - 11:32WizardsDaniel Gafford makes two point hook shot (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope assists)43
52.2%
43
47.8%
Q3 - 11:42HeatP.J. Tucker personal foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)43
55.3%
41
44.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.43
55.3%
41
44.7%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound43
58.2%
41
41.8%
Q2 - 0:00.1HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot43
56.5%
41
43.5%
Q2 - 0:01.3HeatMax Strus defensive rebound43
58.2%
41
41.8%
Q2 - 0:01.3WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie misses two point stepback jump shot43
57.5%
41
42.5%
Q2 - 0:25.8HeatMax Strus makes two point driving finger roll layup (P.J. Tucker assists)43
55.8%
41
44.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound41
51.8%
41
48.2%
Q2 - 0:32.7HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot41
50.0%
41
50.0%
Q2 - 0:44.1HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound41
51.8%
41
48.2%
Q2 - 0:47.7WizardsP.J. Tucker blocks Spencer Dinwiddie's two point driving layup41
51.0%
41
49.0%
Q2 - 1:08HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 241
49.8%
41
50.2%
Q2 - 1:08HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 240
49.3%
41
50.7%
Q2 - 1:08WizardsDeni Avdija personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)40
52.0%
41
48.0%
Q2 - 1:13HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound40
48.7%
41
51.3%
Q2 - 1:18HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot40
47.3%
41
52.7%
Q2 - 1:22HeatMax Strus defensive rebound40
48.7%
41
51.3%
Q2 - 1:27WizardsBradley Beal misses two point pullup jump shot40
48.0%
41
52.0%
Q2 - 1:47HeatP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 2 of 240
46.6%
41
53.4%
Q2 - 1:47HeatP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 1 of 239
45.9%
41
54.1%
Q2 - 1:47WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)38
45.1%
41
54.9%
Q2 - 1:52HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound38
42.4%
41
57.6%
Q2 - 1:57WizardsBradley Beal misses three point jump shot38
41.8%
41
58.2%
Q2 - 1:58WizardsKyle Kuzma offensive rebound38
40.4%
41
59.6%
Q2 - 2:01WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot38
42.4%
41
57.6%
Q2 - 2:13HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)38
40.3%
41
59.7%
Q2 - 2:27HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)38
40.3%
41
59.7%
Q2 - 2:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 238
40.3%
41
59.7%
Q2 - 2:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 237
39.9%
41
60.1%
Q2 - 2:39HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 136
37.4%
41
62.6%
Q2 - 2:39WizardsDeni Avdija technical foul35
36.7%
41
63.3%
Q2 - 2:39WizardsDeni Avdija shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)35
36.6%
41
63.4%
Q2 - 2:50WizardsBradley Beal makes two point driving layup35
34.6%
41
65.4%
Q2 - 3:04WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound35
37.6%
39
62.4%
Q2 - 3:06HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot35
38.6%
39
61.4%
Q2 - 3:17WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point pullup jump shot (Deni Avdija assists)35
41.0%
39
59.0%
Q2 - 3:23WizardsKyle Kuzma offensive rebound35
46.1%
36
53.9%
Q2 - 3:27WizardsCaleb Martin blocks Kyle Kuzma's two point cutting layup35
48.5%
36
51.5%
Q2 - 3:37HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 235
46.1%
36
53.9%
Q2 - 3:37HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 234
45.3%
36
54.7%
Q2 - 3:37WizardsBradley Beal shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)33
44.2%
36
55.8%
Q2 - 3:38WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)33
43.8%
36
56.2%
Q2 - 3:55WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound33
40.4%
36
59.6%
Q2 - 3:55HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot33
41.4%
36
58.6%
Q2 - 3:57HeatDuncan Robinson offensive rebound33
43.8%
36
56.2%
Q2 - 4:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot33
41.9%
36
58.1%
Q2 - 4:17HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound33
43.9%
36
56.1%
Q2 - 4:21WizardsDeni Avdija misses three point jump shot33
43.0%
36
57.0%
Q2 - 4:45WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound33
41.0%
36
59.0%
Q2 - 4:45HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot33
41.9%
36
58.1%
Q2 - 4:51HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound33
43.9%
36
56.1%
Q2 - 4:53WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point pullup jump shot33
43.0%
36
57.0%
Q2 - 5:11WizardsBradley Beal defensive rebound33
40.9%
36
59.1%
Q2 - 5:15HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot33
41.9%
36
58.1%
Q2 - 5:39WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Bradley Beal assists)33
44.2%
36
55.8%
Q2 - 5:50WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound33
49.2%
33
50.8%
Q2 - 5:53HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 233
49.7%
33
50.3%
Q2 - 5:53HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 233
51.5%
33
48.5%
Q2 - 5:53WizardsDeni Avdija shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)32
50.8%
33
49.2%
Q2 - 6:07WizardsWizards turnover (shot clock violation)32
49.9%
33
50.1%
Q2 - 6:07WizardsWizards offensive rebound32
46.6%
33
53.4%
Q2 - 6:07WizardsDeni Avdija misses two point pullup jump shot32
48.9%
33
51.1%
Q2 - 6:22HeatMax Strus personal foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)32
46.6%
33
53.4%
Q2 - 6:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point hook shot32
46.5%
33
53.5%
Q2 - 6:48HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound30
44.5%
33
55.5%
Q2 - 6:50WizardsDeni Avdija misses two point driving finger roll layup30
43.4%
33
56.6%
Q2 - 7:06HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds lost ball)30
41.8%
33
58.2%
Q2 - 7:17HeatHeat offensive rebound30
44.5%
33
55.5%
Q2 - 7:17HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup30
42.6%
33
57.4%
Q2 - 7:29WizardsDaniel Gafford personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
44.5%
33
55.5%
Q2 - 7:29HeatHeat offensive rebound30
44.5%
33
55.5%
Q2 - 7:29HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot30
42.6%
33
57.4%
Q2 - 7:39WizardsDaniel Gafford turnover (out of bounds bad pass)30
44.5%
33
55.5%
Q2 - 7:44WizardsWizards offensive rebound30
41.8%
33
58.2%
Q2 - 7:44WizardsKyle Lowry blocks Raul Neto's two point driving layup30
43.6%
33
56.4%
Q2 - 7:58WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound30
41.7%
33
58.3%
Q2 - 8:02HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot30
42.5%
33
57.5%
Q2 - 8:20WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie makes three point stepback jump shot30
44.4%
33
55.6%
Q2 - 8:28WizardsCorey Kispert defensive rebound30
49.5%
30
50.5%
Q2 - 8:34HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot30
50.3%
30
49.7%
Q2 - 8:51WizardsMontrezl Harrell turnover (offensive foul)30
52.2%
30
47.8%
Q2 - 8:51WizardsMontrezl Harrell offensive foul (Charge) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)30
49.5%
30
50.5%
Q2 - 9:11HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving floating jump shot30
49.3%
30
50.7%
Q2 - 9:28WizardsCorey Kispert makes regular free throw 2 of 228
46.9%
30
53.1%
Q2 - 9:28WizardsCorey Kispert makes regular free throw 1 of 228
47.4%
29
52.6%
Q2 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)28
47.8%
28
52.2%
Q2 - 9:34HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Montrezl Harrell steals)28
49.3%
28
50.7%
Q2 - 9:43WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point putback layup28
52.0%
28
48.0%
Q2 - 9:44WizardsMontrezl Harrell offensive rebound28
54.4%
26
45.6%
Q2 - 9:48WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot28
56.3%
26
43.7%
Q2 - 9:59HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds step)28
54.5%
26
45.5%
Q2 - 10:04HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound28
57.1%
26
42.9%
Q2 - 10:08WizardsAaron Holiday misses three point jump shot28
56.3%
26
43.7%
Q2 - 10:33HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)28
54.5%
26
45.5%
Q2 - 10:44HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound28
57.1%
26
42.9%
Q2 - 10:48WizardsAaron Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot28
56.3%
26
43.7%
Q2 - 10:50WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound28
54.5%
26
45.5%
Q2 - 10:53HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot28
55.3%
26
44.7%
Q2 - 11:07HeatMax Strus defensive rebound28
56.7%
26
43.3%
Q2 - 11:10WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot28
56.0%
26
44.0%
Q2 - 11:24HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 128
54.5%
26
45.5%
Q2 - 11:24WizardsMontrezl Harrell shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)27
54.2%
26
45.8%
Q2 - 11:25HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound25
49.5%
26
50.5%
Q2 - 11:28HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot25
47.9%
26
52.1%
Q2 - 11:33HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound25
49.5%
26
50.5%
Q2 - 11:36WizardsDeni Avdija misses two point reverse layup25
48.8%
26
51.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.25
47.2%
26
52.8%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound25
49.1%
26
50.9%
Q1 - 0:00.1HeatKyle Lowry misses three point running jump shot25
47.7%
26
52.3%
Q1 - 0:02.1WizardsDeni Avdija makes two point running layup (Montrezl Harrell assists)25
49.1%
26
50.9%
Q1 - 0:07.4HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Montrezl Harrell steals)25
51.9%
24
48.1%
Q1 - 0:29.5WizardsDeni Avdija makes regular free throw 2 of 225
53.9%
24
46.1%
Q1 - 0:29.5WizardsDeni Avdija makes regular free throw 1 of 225
54.6%
23
45.4%
Q1 - 0:29.5HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Deni Avdija draws the foul)25
55.4%
22
44.6%
Q1 - 0:45.6HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)25
56.6%
22
43.4%
Q1 - 0:54.5WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 2 of 223
53.9%
22
46.1%
Q1 - 0:54.5WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes regular free throw 1 of 223
54.5%
21
45.5%
Q1 - 0:54.5HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Loose ball) (Montrezl Harrell draws the foul)23
55.2%
20
44.8%
Q1 - 0:54.5WizardsWizards offensive rebound23
56.6%
20
43.4%
Q1 - 0:55.9WizardsAaron Holiday misses two point floating jump shot23
58.0%
20
42.0%
Q1 - 1:04HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Corey Kispert draws the foul)23
56.6%
20
43.4%
Q1 - 1:14HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot23
56.6%
20
43.4%
Q1 - 1:28WizardsDeni Avdija makes two point tip layup21
54.0%
20
46.0%
Q1 - 1:29WizardsDeni Avdija offensive rebound21
56.6%
18
43.4%
Q1 - 1:32WizardsRaul Neto misses two point running layup21
58.0%
18
42.0%
Q1 - 1:37HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Deni Avdija steals)21
56.6%
18
43.4%
Q1 - 1:41HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound21
58.6%
18
41.4%
Q1 - 1:44WizardsRaul Neto misses two point driving layup21
58.0%
18
42.0%
Q1 - 1:56HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)21
56.6%
18
43.4%
Q1 - 2:09HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound19
54.1%
18
45.9%
Q1 - 2:14WizardsMontrezl Harrell misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot19
53.4%
18
46.6%
Q1 - 2:33WizardsWizards defensive rebound19
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q1 - 2:35HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point jump shot19
52.5%
18
47.5%
Q1 - 2:42WizardsCorey Kispert turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
54.1%
18
45.9%
Q1 - 2:58HeatCaleb Martin makes two point alley-oop layup (Jimmy Butler assists)19
51.8%
18
48.2%
Q1 - 3:04WizardsBradley Beal turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)17
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q1 - 3:13WizardsCorey Kispert defensive rebound17
46.9%
18
53.1%
Q1 - 3:13HeatCaleb Martin misses two point putback dunk17
47.7%
18
52.3%
Q1 - 3:14HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound17
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q1 - 3:16HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot17
47.7%
18
52.3%
Q1 - 3:27HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound17
49.5%
18
50.5%
Q1 - 3:30WizardsRaul Neto misses regular free throw 2 of 217
49.2%
18
50.8%
Q1 - 3:30WizardsRaul Neto makes regular free throw 1 of 217
47.6%
18
52.4%
Q1 - 3:30HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Raul Neto draws the foul)17
48.0%
17
52.0%
Q1 - 3:45HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Tyler Herro assists)17
49.2%
17
50.8%
Q1 - 3:58HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound15
47.3%
17
52.7%
Q1 - 4:01WizardsKyle Kuzma misses two point jump shot15
46.8%
17
53.2%
Q1 - 4:20HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)15
45.1%
17
54.9%
Q1 - 4:32WizardsMontrezl Harrell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)13
43.3%
17
56.7%
Q1 - 4:46HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)13
40.8%
17
59.2%
Q1 - 5:05WizardsMontrezl Harrell makes two point cutting dunk (Bradley Beal assists)10
37.7%
17
62.3%
Q1 - 5:14WizardsMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound10
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 5:19HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot10
40.1%
15
59.9%
Q1 - 5:30WizardsBradley Beal makes two point driving floating bank jump shot10
41.6%
15
58.4%
Q1 - 5:43WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound10
43.4%
13
56.6%
Q1 - 5:47HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot10
44.1%
13
55.9%
Q1 - 5:57WizardsBradley Beal personal foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)10
45.7%
13
54.3%
Q1 - 5:57WizardsMontrezl Harrell turnover (lost ball) (P.J. Tucker steals)10
45.7%
13
54.3%
Q1 - 6:23HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running layup10
43.7%
13
56.3%
Q1 - 6:27WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)8
41.8%
13
58.2%
Q1 - 6:32WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound8
39.8%
13
60.2%
Q1 - 6:34HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot8
40.4%
13
59.6%
Q1 - 6:47WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie makes three point jump shot (Bradley Beal assists)8
41.8%
13
58.2%
Q1 - 6:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup8
45.7%
10
54.3%
Q1 - 6:57HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound6
43.7%
10
56.3%
Q1 - 7:03HeatKyle Lowry misses two point stepback jump shot6
42.6%
10
57.4%
Q1 - 7:29WizardsMontrezl Harrell personal foul (Loose ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)6
44.0%
10
56.0%
Q1 - 7:29HeatHeat defensive rebound6
44.0%
10
56.0%
Q1 - 7:31WizardsKyle Kuzma misses two point fadeaway jump shot6
43.4%
10
56.6%
Q1 - 7:46WizardsMontrezl Harrell defensive rebound6
41.9%
10
58.1%
Q1 - 7:50HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot6
42.6%
10
57.4%
Q1 - 7:57WizardsDaniel Gafford personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)6
44.0%
10
56.0%
Q1 - 8:03WizardsBradley Beal makes two point driving finger roll layup6
44.4%
10
55.6%
Q1 - 8:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot6
46.0%
8
54.0%
Q1 - 8:31HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound4
44.4%
8
55.6%
Q1 - 8:35WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot4
43.7%
8
56.3%
Q1 - 8:53HeatJimmy Butler makes two point fadeaway jump shot4
42.2%
8
57.8%
Q1 - 9:01WizardsBradley Beal makes regular free throw 1 of 12
40.8%
8
59.2%
Q1 - 9:01HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Bradley Beal draws the foul)2
41.0%
7
59.0%
Q1 - 9:12HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)2
44.1%
5
55.9%
Q1 - 9:12HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound2
46.3%
5
53.7%
Q1 - 9:16HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot2
44.8%
5
55.2%
Q1 - 9:38WizardsDaniel Gafford makes two point layup (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)2
46.3%
5
53.7%
Q1 - 9:43WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound2
47.9%
3
52.1%
Q1 - 9:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot2
48.6%
3
51.4%
Q1 - 9:56WizardsDaniel Gafford turnover (offensive foul)2
50.1%
3
49.9%
Q1 - 9:56WizardsDaniel Gafford offensive foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)2
47.9%
3
52.1%
Q1 - 10:04HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)2
47.9%
3
52.1%
Q1 - 10:22WizardsDaniel Gafford turnover (out of bounds lost ball)2
49.9%
3
50.1%
Q1 - 10:31WizardsKyle Kuzma defensive rebound2
47.9%
3
52.1%
Q1 - 10:34HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot2
48.5%
3
51.5%
Q1 - 10:54WizardsBradley Beal makes three point jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)2
49.9%
3
50.1%
Q1 - 11:11WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound2
53.2%
0
46.8%
Q1 - 11:14HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot2
53.9%
0
46.1%
Q1 - 11:20HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound2
55.3%
0
44.7%
Q1 - 11:23WizardsSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot2
54.7%
0
45.3%
Q1 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)2
53.2%
0
46.8%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Daniel Gafford (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
51.7%
0
48.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.1%
WAS
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
18
61%
WAS
16
21
76%
Midrange
MIA
20
36
56%
WAS
9
23
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
27
26%
39%
WAS
11
16.5
30
37%
55%
Free Throws
MIA
17
20
85%
WAS
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2963%14.5 / 23
T. Herro2063%10.0 / 16
B. Adebayo1550%7.5 / 15
P. Tucker14100%7.0 / 7
K. Lowry729%3.5 / 12
D. Robinson750%3.5 / 7
C. Martin450%2.0 / 4
M. Strus225%1.0 / 4
D. Dedmon250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Beal2158%10.5 / 18
S. Dinwiddie1673%8.0 / 11
K. Caldwell-Pope1680%8.0 / 10
M. Harrell1381%6.5 / 8
D. Avdija850%4.0 / 8
R. Neto857%4.0 / 7
K. Kuzma638%3.0 / 8
D. Gafford6100%3.0 / 3
C. Kispert563%2.5 / 4
A. Holiday433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
80
+15
-12
95
WAS
72
+12
-19
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.04 52.1%
WAS
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.3
110.8
MIA 108.7
WAS 113.2 +4.5
Pace
96.2
97.3
MIA 97.2 +10.9
WAS 86.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
15.1
MIA 14.8 +1.9
WAS 16.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
53.3%
MIA 51.2%
WAS 56.1% +4.9%
TO %
14.2%
12.9%
MIA 13.5% +5.7%
WAS 19.2%
ORB %
23.5%
20.9%
MIA 27.8% +2.8%
WAS 25.0%
FTrt
25.2
25.2
MIA 24.7
WAS 31.1 +6.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
61.7%
MIA 55.3%
WAS 61.1% +5.8%
STL %
7.6%
6.5%
MIA 7.6% +1.0%
WAS 6.6%
BLK %
7.1%
8.7%
MIA 6.8% +3.1%
WAS 3.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.8%
55.5%
MIA 52.1%
WAS 61.3% +9.2%
Rim FG%
63.4%
65.8%
MIA 61.1%
WAS 76.2% +15.1%
Mid FG%
41.4%
40.8%
MIA 55.6% +16.5%
WAS 39.1%
3P %
37.9%
34.2%
MIA 25.9%
WAS 36.7% +10.8%
FT %
80.8%
78.3%
MIA 85.0%
WAS 87.0% +2.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.6%
34.7%
MIA 22.2%
WAS 28.4% +6.2%
Mid Att. %
27.1%
29.7%
MIA 44.4%
WAS 31.1% +13.4%
3P Att. %
42.2%
35.6%
MIA 33.3%
WAS 40.5% +7.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAWAS
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points100103
Rebounds3735
Assists2122
Steals76
Blocks32
Turnovers (Team)12 (2)19 (1)
Fouls2619
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (5)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (1)26 (3)
Field Goals38-8136-74
At-the-Rim FG11-1816-21
Midrange FG20-369-23
2-Point FG31-5425-44
3-Point FG7-2711-30
Free Throws17-2020-23
Fast Break Pts210
2nd Chance Pts1315
Points in Paint4444
Pts off Turnovers2118
Bench Points2838
Biggest Lead167

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
38.5
29
63%
5
4
2
0
1
1
0
5
7-9
78%
11-17
65%
0-2
0%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 36
36.0
7
29%
3
7
0
1
3
5
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-7
14%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 37
34.2
14
100%
5
3
1
1
1
4
2
3
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
2-3
67%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
29.4
15
50%
6
3
0
0
3
5
4
2
5-6
83%
5-11
45%
0-1
0%
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 28
19.5
7
50%
5
1
1
0
1
4
2
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
30.5
20
63%
5
3
2
0
3
1
1
4
1-1
100%
5-10
50%
3-6
50%
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26
24.8
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-3
0%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26
17.9
4
50%
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
9.2
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
DNP - Coach's Decision
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 23
DNP - Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
#0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23
INACTIVE
#8 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Neck; Whiplash
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Injury Recovery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
52%
37
21
7
3
12
26
10
27
17-20
85%
31-54
57%
7-27
26%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.