FinalWin Prob.pScore
971%111
100
2729%103
92
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.49496.8
DET logo DET
98.99390.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.100
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot99
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:08.5HeatJimmy Butler turnover (lost ball) (Cory Joseph steals)99
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:18.1PistonsHamidou Diallo makes two point driving dunk (Jerami Grant assists)99
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.6HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds lost ball)99
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.3PistonsJerami Grant makes two point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)99
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.8HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 299
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.8HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 298
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.8PistonsFrank Jackson personal foul (Take) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)97
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:32.8PistonsCory Joseph turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)97
99.9%
88
0.1%
Q4 - 0:39.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)97
99.8%
88
0.2%
Q4 - 0:48.2HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound95
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 0:51.8PistonsFrank Jackson misses three point jump shot95
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 0:56.8HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 295
98.6%
88
1.4%
Q4 - 0:56.8HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 294
98.4%
88
1.6%
Q4 - 0:56.8PistonsJerami Grant shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)94
99.0%
88
1.0%
Q4 - 1:09PistonsSaddiq Bey makes two point layup (Cade Cunningham assists)94
98.4%
88
1.6%
Q4 - 1:11HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Cade Cunningham steals)94
98.9%
86
1.1%
Q4 - 1:18PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 294
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 1:18PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 294
99.4%
85
0.6%
Q4 - 1:18HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)94
99.4%
84
0.6%
Q4 - 1:27HeatKyle Lowry turnover (out of bounds bad pass)94
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 1:39HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound94
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 1:44PistonsSaddiq Bey misses two point driving finger roll layup94
99.5%
84
0.5%
Q4 - 2:06HeatCaleb Martin turnover (traveling)94
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 2:32PistonsCory Joseph makes two point driving finger roll layup94
99.6%
84
0.4%
Q4 - 2:37HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Cory Joseph steals)94
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 2:48PistonsCory Joseph turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)94
99.8%
82
0.2%
Q4 - 3:03PistonsJerami Grant defensive rebound94
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 3:08HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot94
99.6%
82
0.4%
Q4 - 3:24HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound94
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 3:28PistonsFrank Jackson misses three point jump shot94
99.7%
82
0.3%
Q4 - 3:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)94
99.0%
82
1.0%
Q4 - 3:45HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound92
98.6%
82
1.4%
Q4 - 3:48PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point stepback jump shot92
98.5%
82
1.5%
Q4 - 3:59HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)92
98.0%
82
2.0%
Q4 - 4:06PistonsFrank Jackson personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)90
97.3%
82
2.7%
Q4 - 4:11HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound90
97.3%
82
2.7%
Q4 - 4:11PistonsJerami Grant misses two point driving floating jump shot90
97.0%
82
3.0%
Q4 - 4:25HeatKyle Lowry makes two point layup90
96.2%
82
3.8%
Q4 - 4:26HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound88
94.7%
82
5.3%
Q4 - 4:30HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving layup88
93.2%
82
6.8%
Q4 - 4:36HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound88
94.7%
82
5.3%
Q4 - 4:40PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot88
94.1%
82
5.9%
Q4 - 5:02HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)88
90.8%
82
9.2%
Q4 - 5:18PistonsFrank Jackson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jerami Grant assists)88
93.4%
82
6.6%
Q4 - 5:32HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Cade Cunningham draws the foul)88
95.0%
80
5.0%
Q4 - 5:38HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)88
95.0%
80
5.0%
Q4 - 5:57HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound85
91.2%
80
8.8%
Q4 - 6:01PistonsJerami Grant misses regular free throw 2 of 285
89.8%
80
10.2%
Q4 - 6:01PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 285
87.9%
80
12.1%
Q4 - 6:01HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)85
88.5%
79
11.5%
Q4 - 6:10PistonsJerami Grant defensive rebound85
89.7%
79
10.3%
Q4 - 6:14HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot85
90.7%
79
9.3%
Q4 - 6:22HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound85
92.6%
79
7.4%
Q4 - 6:30PistonsCaleb Martin blocks Saddiq Bey's two point jump shot85
91.8%
79
8.2%
Q4 - 6:33PistonsCory Joseph defensive rebound85
89.8%
79
10.2%
Q4 - 6:36HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot85
90.7%
79
9.3%
Q4 - 6:39HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound85
92.6%
79
7.4%
Q4 - 6:41HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot85
90.7%
79
9.3%
Q4 - 6:55HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound85
92.6%
79
7.4%
Q4 - 6:58PistonsKyle Lowry blocks Cory Joseph's two point driving layup85
91.8%
79
8.2%
Q4 - 7:22HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)85
89.1%
79
10.9%
Q4 - 7:26HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound83
86.8%
79
13.2%
Q4 - 7:30PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot83
85.7%
79
14.3%
Q4 - 7:42HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot83
82.8%
79
17.2%
Q4 - 7:54PistonsLuka Garza turnover (offensive foul)80
74.7%
79
25.3%
Q4 - 7:54PistonsLuka Garza offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)80
68.3%
79
31.7%
Q4 - 8:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot80
68.6%
79
31.4%
Q4 - 8:17PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)78
63.1%
79
36.9%
Q4 - 8:24HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point layup (Kyle Lowry assists)78
57.0%
79
43.0%
Q4 - 8:51PistonsSaddiq Bey makes two point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)76
51.0%
79
49.0%
Q4 - 9:09PistonsSaddiq Bey defensive rebound76
58.3%
77
41.7%
Q4 - 9:13HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot76
60.2%
77
39.8%
Q4 - 9:19HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound76
64.6%
77
35.4%
Q4 - 9:19PistonsLuka Garza misses two point jump shot76
62.7%
77
37.3%
Q4 - 9:29HeatCaleb Martin makes two point dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)76
58.2%
77
41.8%
Q4 - 9:35PistonsSaddiq Bey turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)74
53.0%
77
47.0%
Q4 - 9:58HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)74
46.3%
77
53.7%
Q4 - 10:02HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound71
37.9%
77
62.1%
Q4 - 10:05PistonsHamidou Diallo misses two point jump shot71
36.2%
77
63.8%
Q4 - 10:16HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)71
32.2%
77
67.8%
Q4 - 10:28PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (traveling)68
23.8%
77
76.2%
Q4 - 10:39PistonsCade Cunningham makes technical free throw 1 of 168
19.5%
77
80.5%
Q4 - 10:39Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)68
20.4%
76
79.6%
Q4 - 10:47HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Frank Jackson draws the foul)68
23.2%
76
76.8%
Q4 - 10:53PistonsHamidou Diallo offensive rebound68
23.2%
76
76.8%
Q4 - 10:55PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot68
26.5%
76
73.5%
Q4 - 11:14HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 268
24.8%
76
75.2%
Q4 - 11:14HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 267
23.7%
76
76.3%
Q4 - 11:14PistonsFrank Jackson shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)67
26.3%
76
73.7%
Q4 - 11:24HeatHeat defensive rebound67
24.8%
76
75.2%
Q4 - 11:24PistonsKyle Lowry blocks Josh Jackson's two point jump shot67
23.6%
76
76.4%
Q4 - 11:41HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Loose ball) (Luka Garza draws the foul)67
21.0%
76
79.0%
Q4 - 11:41PistonsPistons defensive rebound67
21.0%
76
79.0%
Q4 - 11:43HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot67
22.1%
76
77.9%
Q4 - 11:44HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound67
24.8%
76
75.2%
Q4 - 11:47HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot67
22.1%
76
77.9%
Q4 - 11:53PistonsHamidou Diallo personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)67
24.8%
76
75.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.67
24.8%
76
75.2%
Q3 - 0:00.2PistonsHamidou Diallo makes two point layup67
27.4%
76
72.6%
Q3 - 0:03.8PistonsHamidou Diallo offensive rebound67
31.6%
74
68.4%
Q3 - 0:03.8PistonsFrank Jackson misses three point jump shot67
34.7%
74
65.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0HeatTyler Herro makes two point layup67
31.4%
74
68.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound65
27.1%
74
72.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0PistonsJosh Jackson misses two point pullup jump shot65
26.0%
74
74.0%
Q3 - 0:52.0PistonsTrey Lyles defensive rebound65
23.3%
74
76.7%
Q3 - 1:01HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 265
26.2%
74
73.8%
Q3 - 1:01HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 265
28.9%
74
71.1%
Q3 - 1:01PistonsSaben Lee shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)64
28.3%
74
71.7%
Q3 - 1:01HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound64
26.1%
74
73.9%
Q3 - 1:05HeatJimmy Butler misses two point fadeaway jump shot64
23.3%
74
76.7%
Q3 - 1:17HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound64
25.9%
74
74.1%
Q3 - 1:19HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot64
23.2%
74
76.8%
Q3 - 1:25HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound64
25.9%
74
74.1%
Q3 - 1:28PistonsFrank Jackson misses two point driving layup64
24.7%
74
75.3%
Q3 - 1:44HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 264
22.0%
74
78.0%
Q3 - 1:44HeatGabe Vincent misses regular free throw 1 of 263
21.5%
74
78.5%
Q3 - 1:44PistonsFrank Jackson shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)63
24.4%
74
75.6%
Q3 - 1:44PistonsPistons offensive rebound63
25.5%
72
74.5%
Q3 - 1:55PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot63
28.3%
72
71.7%
Q3 - 2:20HeatTyler Herro makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot63
27.7%
72
72.3%
Q3 - 2:30HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound61
24.5%
72
75.5%
Q3 - 2:34PistonsTrey Lyles misses regular free throw 1 of 161
24.0%
72
76.0%
Q3 - 2:34HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Trey Lyles draws the foul)61
22.0%
72
78.0%
Q3 - 2:34PistonsTrey Lyles offensive rebound61
27.6%
70
72.4%
Q3 - 2:34PistonsTrey Lyles misses two point tip layup61
30.5%
70
69.5%
Q3 - 2:34PistonsTrey Lyles offensive rebound61
27.6%
70
72.4%
Q3 - 2:34PistonsJerami Grant misses two point floating jump shot61
30.5%
70
69.5%
Q3 - 2:53HeatCaleb Martin makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)61
27.6%
70
72.4%
Q3 - 3:13PistonsJerami Grant makes two point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)58
23.1%
70
76.9%
Q3 - 3:22PistonsCory Joseph defensive rebound58
25.7%
68
74.3%
Q3 - 3:27HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot58
26.9%
68
73.1%
Q3 - 3:52PistonsFrank Jackson makes two point pullup jump shot58
29.7%
68
70.3%
Q3 - 4:06PistonsSaddiq Bey defensive rebound58
35.1%
66
64.9%
Q3 - 4:08HeatTyler Herro misses two point fadeaway jump shot58
36.4%
66
63.6%
Q3 - 4:29PistonsTrey Lyles makes two point floating jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)58
39.5%
66
60.5%
Q3 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)58
42.8%
64
57.2%
Q3 - 4:52PistonsFrank Jackson makes three point jump shot56
39.4%
64
60.6%
Q3 - 5:08HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup56
48.4%
61
51.6%
Q3 - 5:11HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound54
44.7%
61
55.3%
Q3 - 5:13HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot54
41.8%
61
58.2%
Q3 - 5:25HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
44.7%
61
55.3%
Q3 - 5:31PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point stepback jump shot54
43.4%
61
56.6%
Q3 - 5:49HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)54
40.4%
61
59.6%
Q3 - 5:49HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Frank Jackson draws the foul)54
44.7%
61
55.3%
Q3 - 5:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
44.7%
61
55.3%
Q3 - 5:58PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot54
43.4%
61
56.6%
Q3 - 6:12HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)54
42.3%
61
57.7%
Q3 - 6:31HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback layup54
42.2%
61
57.8%
Q3 - 6:33HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound52
38.9%
61
61.1%
Q3 - 6:38HeatJimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot52
36.1%
61
63.9%
Q3 - 6:47HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound52
38.8%
61
61.2%
Q3 - 6:51PistonsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot52
37.6%
61
62.4%
Q3 - 6:55PistonsJerami Grant defensive rebound52
34.8%
61
65.2%
Q3 - 6:59HeatJimmy Butler misses three point pullup jump shot52
36.0%
61
64.0%
Q3 - 7:17PistonsCory Joseph makes two point fadeaway jump shot52
40.1%
61
59.9%
Q3 - 7:38HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)52
43.2%
59
56.8%
Q3 - 7:38HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)52
47.5%
59
52.5%
Q3 - 7:49PistonsJerami Grant makes two point pullup jump shot52
47.4%
59
52.6%
Q3 - 8:09HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Jerami Grant steals)52
51.4%
57
48.6%
Q3 - 8:10HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound52
55.7%
57
44.3%
Q3 - 8:13HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup52
52.7%
57
47.3%
Q3 - 8:25PistonsTrey Lyles makes regular free throw 2 of 252
55.7%
57
44.3%
Q3 - 8:25PistonsTrey Lyles makes regular free throw 1 of 252
56.5%
56
43.5%
Q3 - 8:25HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Trey Lyles draws the foul)52
57.5%
55
42.5%
Q3 - 8:35PistonsJerami Grant defensive rebound52
58.6%
55
41.4%
Q3 - 8:39HeatP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot52
59.8%
55
40.2%
Q3 - 8:46PistonsCade Cunningham personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)52
62.7%
55
37.3%
Q3 - 8:47HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound52
62.7%
55
37.3%
Q3 - 8:50PistonsJerami Grant misses two point floating jump shot52
61.4%
55
38.6%
Q3 - 9:06HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)52
59.5%
55
40.5%
Q3 - 9:23HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 252
59.5%
55
40.5%
Q3 - 9:23HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 251
59.0%
55
41.0%
Q3 - 9:23PistonsCade Cunningham shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)50
58.4%
55
41.6%
Q3 - 9:24HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound50
56.4%
55
43.6%
Q3 - 9:26PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point driving hook shot50
55.2%
55
44.8%
Q3 - 9:43HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 250
52.4%
55
47.6%
Q3 - 9:43HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 249
51.8%
55
48.2%
Q3 - 9:43PistonsLuka Garza shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)49
54.5%
55
45.5%
Q3 - 9:50PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)49
52.8%
55
47.2%
Q3 - 10:11PistonsSaddiq Bey defensive rebound49
50.1%
55
49.9%
Q3 - 10:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot49
51.3%
55
48.7%
Q3 - 10:20PistonsCory Joseph personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)49
54.0%
55
46.0%
Q3 - 10:26HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound49
54.0%
55
46.0%
Q3 - 10:30PistonsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot49
52.8%
55
47.2%
Q3 - 10:38PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound49
50.0%
55
50.0%
Q3 - 10:42HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot49
51.2%
55
48.8%
Q3 - 11:00PistonsCade Cunningham makes two point driving bank jump shot (Jerami Grant assists)49
53.9%
55
46.1%
Q3 - 11:19HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)49
58.1%
53
41.9%
Q3 - 11:36HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound46
51.6%
53
48.4%
Q3 - 11:41PistonsJerami Grant misses two point jump shot46
50.5%
53
49.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.46
48.0%
53
52.0%
Q2 - 0:00.7PistonsTrey Lyles defensive rebound46
50.3%
53
49.7%
Q2 - 0:00.7HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot46
51.0%
53
49.0%
Q2 - 0:15.7PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 246
52.6%
53
47.4%
Q2 - 0:15.7PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 246
53.2%
52
46.8%
Q2 - 0:15.7HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)46
53.8%
51
46.2%
Q2 - 0:21.4PistonsFrank Jackson offensive rebound46
56.6%
51
43.4%
Q2 - 0:29.5PistonsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot46
58.3%
51
41.7%
Q2 - 0:45.1HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)46
56.5%
51
43.5%
Q2 - 0:47.6HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound43
49.3%
51
50.7%
Q2 - 0:52.3PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot43
48.5%
51
51.5%
Q2 - 1:03HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Jerami Grant steals)43
48.5%
51
51.5%
Q2 - 1:12PistonsJerami Grant personal foul (Take) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)43
50.5%
51
49.5%
Q2 - 1:12PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)43
50.5%
51
49.5%
Q2 - 1:27HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)43
48.4%
51
51.6%
Q2 - 1:51PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 143
50.4%
51
49.6%
Q2 - 1:51HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)43
51.0%
50
49.0%
Q2 - 2:06HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)43
58.1%
48
41.9%
Q2 - 2:17PistonsCade Cunningham makes three point jump shot40
52.2%
48
47.8%
Q2 - 2:36HeatTyler Herro makes two point dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)40
58.1%
45
41.9%
Q2 - 2:49PistonsSaddiq Bey turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)38
55.1%
45
44.9%
Q2 - 3:07HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 138
53.1%
45
46.9%
Q2 - 3:07PistonsLuka Garza shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)37
52.6%
45
47.4%
Q2 - 3:07HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound35
47.9%
45
52.1%
Q2 - 3:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot35
45.4%
45
54.6%
Q2 - 3:23HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound35
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q2 - 3:29PistonsLuka Garza misses two point layup35
46.7%
45
53.3%
Q2 - 3:45HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)35
44.3%
45
55.7%
Q2 - 3:45HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Charge) (Luka Garza draws the foul)35
47.8%
45
52.2%
Q2 - 3:55PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 135
47.7%
45
52.3%
Q2 - 3:55HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)35
48.2%
44
51.8%
Q2 - 3:59PistonsLuka Garza defensive rebound35
53.0%
42
47.0%
Q2 - 4:02HeatJimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot35
55.7%
42
44.3%
Q2 - 4:19PistonsLuka Garza makes two point layup (Cory Joseph assists)35
57.6%
42
42.4%
Q2 - 4:30HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)35
60.2%
40
39.8%
Q2 - 4:43PistonsLuka Garza makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)33
57.5%
40
42.5%
Q2 - 4:49PistonsSaddiq Bey defensive rebound33
62.8%
37
37.2%
Q2 - 4:52HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point jump shot33
63.6%
37
36.4%
Q2 - 5:11PistonsLuka Garza makes two point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)33
66.3%
37
33.7%
Q2 - 5:14PistonsPistons offensive rebound33
68.2%
35
31.8%
Q2 - 5:16PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point jump shot33
70.2%
35
29.8%
Q2 - 5:18PistonsLuka Garza offensive rebound33
68.2%
35
31.8%
Q2 - 5:23PistonsJerami Grant misses two point fadeaway jump shot33
70.2%
35
29.8%
Q2 - 5:38PistonsJosh Jackson defensive rebound33
68.2%
35
31.8%
Q2 - 5:41HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot33
69.1%
35
30.9%
Q2 - 5:48HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound33
71.1%
35
28.9%
Q2 - 5:52PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot33
70.2%
35
29.8%
Q2 - 6:12HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point driving dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)33
68.6%
35
31.4%
Q2 - 6:32PistonsJosh Jackson makes three point jump shot (Frank Jackson assists)31
66.7%
35
33.3%
Q2 - 6:47HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 231
70.9%
32
29.1%
Q2 - 6:47HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 230
70.6%
32
29.4%
Q2 - 6:47PistonsCory Joseph shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)29
70.2%
32
29.8%
Q2 - 6:57PistonsJosh Jackson turnover (back court violation)29
69.1%
32
30.9%
Q2 - 7:12HeatKyle Lowry makes two point floating jump shot29
67.0%
32
33.0%
Q2 - 7:33PistonsCory Joseph turnover (out of bounds lost ball)27
64.6%
32
35.4%
Q2 - 7:53PistonsPistons defensive rebound27
62.0%
32
38.0%
Q2 - 7:53HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot27
62.8%
32
37.2%
Q2 - 8:18PistonsFrank Jackson makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)27
64.5%
32
35.5%
Q2 - 8:34PistonsPistons defensive rebound27
69.1%
29
30.9%
Q2 - 8:34HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot27
69.8%
29
30.2%
Q2 - 8:53PistonsHamidou Diallo makes two point running reverse layup (Cory Joseph assists)27
71.4%
29
28.6%
Q2 - 9:13HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot27
73.3%
27
26.7%
Q2 - 9:22HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound24
69.2%
27
30.8%
Q2 - 9:26PistonsJosh Jackson misses three point jump shot24
68.5%
27
31.5%
Q2 - 9:35HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)24
66.9%
27
33.1%
Q2 - 9:48HeatKyle Lowry makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)24
66.9%
27
33.1%
Q2 - 9:52HeatHeat offensive rebound22
64.7%
27
35.3%
Q2 - 9:53HeatHamidou Diallo blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup22
62.9%
27
37.1%
Q2 - 9:57HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound22
64.6%
27
35.4%
Q2 - 10:00PistonsFrank Jackson misses three point jump shot22
63.9%
27
36.1%
Q2 - 10:20HeatTyler Herro makes two point finger roll layup22
62.7%
27
37.3%
Q2 - 10:26HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound20
60.4%
27
39.6%
Q2 - 10:30HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot20
58.6%
27
41.4%
Q2 - 10:50PistonsJosh Jackson makes two point layup20
60.4%
27
39.6%
Q2 - 10:59PistonsTrey Lyles defensive rebound20
62.6%
25
37.4%
Q2 - 11:02HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot20
64.2%
25
35.8%
Q2 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
65.6%
25
34.4%
Q2 - 11:23PistonsHamidou Diallo misses three point jump shot20
65.0%
25
35.0%
Q2 - 11:48HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds bad pass)20
63.5%
25
36.5%
Q2 - 11:49PistonsHamidou Diallo turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)20
65.6%
25
34.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.20
63.5%
25
36.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound20
65.6%
25
34.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot20
64.1%
25
35.9%
Q1 - 0:17.8PistonsHamidou Diallo makes two point layup20
65.7%
25
34.3%
Q1 - 0:24.9PistonsTrey Lyles defensive rebound20
68.2%
23
31.8%
Q1 - 0:28.3HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot20
68.7%
23
31.3%
Q1 - 0:34.5PistonsJosh Jackson turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)20
69.9%
23
30.1%
Q1 - 0:42.5PistonsJosh Jackson defensive rebound20
68.2%
23
31.8%
Q1 - 0:43.3HeatCaleb Martin misses two point layup20
68.7%
23
31.3%
Q1 - 0:54.9HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound20
69.9%
23
30.1%
Q1 - 0:57.3PistonsJosh Jackson misses three point jump shot20
69.4%
23
30.6%
Q1 - 1:22HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 2 of 220
68.4%
23
31.6%
Q1 - 1:22HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 219
68.1%
23
31.9%
Q1 - 1:22PistonsFrank Jackson personal foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)18
67.8%
23
32.2%
Q1 - 1:24HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound18
66.0%
23
34.0%
Q1 - 1:28PistonsFrank Jackson misses three point jump shot18
65.5%
23
34.5%
Q1 - 1:55HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot18
64.2%
23
35.8%
Q1 - 2:04PistonsSaben Lee turnover (traveling)16
62.6%
23
37.4%
Q1 - 2:13PistonsSaben Lee defensive rebound16
60.3%
23
39.7%
Q1 - 2:13HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup16
61.0%
23
39.0%
Q1 - 2:13HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound16
62.5%
23
37.5%
Q1 - 2:13HeatTyler Herro misses two point floating jump shot16
61.0%
23
39.0%
Q1 - 2:32PistonsFrank Jackson makes three point stepback jump shot (Hamidou Diallo assists)16
62.5%
23
37.5%
Q1 - 2:45PistonsJerami Grant makes technical free throw 1 of 116
66.6%
20
33.4%
Q1 - 2:45Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)16
67.1%
19
32.9%
Q1 - 2:59HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 116
68.6%
19
31.4%
Q1 - 2:59PistonsCade Cunningham shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)15
68.3%
19
31.7%
Q1 - 3:10PistonsCade Cunningham turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)13
64.7%
19
35.3%
Q1 - 3:21HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)13
62.3%
19
37.7%
Q1 - 3:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 213
62.3%
19
37.7%
Q1 - 3:40HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 212
62.0%
19
38.0%
Q1 - 3:40PistonsFrank Jackson personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)11
61.7%
19
38.3%
Q1 - 3:55HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound11
60.5%
19
39.5%
Q1 - 4:00PistonsFrank Jackson misses three point jump shot11
59.8%
19
40.2%
Q1 - 4:03PistonsSaddiq Bey offensive rebound11
59.3%
19
40.7%
Q1 - 4:06PistonsSaddiq Bey misses two point driving layup11
60.9%
19
39.1%
Q1 - 4:15PistonsTrey Lyles defensive rebound11
59.2%
19
40.8%
Q1 - 4:19HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot11
59.9%
19
40.1%
Q1 - 4:43PistonsCory Joseph makes two point cutting layup (Cade Cunningham assists)11
61.5%
19
38.5%
Q1 - 4:51PistonsTrey Lyles offensive rebound11
63.1%
17
36.9%
Q1 - 4:53PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot11
64.8%
17
35.2%
Q1 - 4:59HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Cory Joseph steals)11
63.1%
17
36.9%
Q1 - 5:02HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound11
66.4%
17
33.6%
Q1 - 5:06PistonsTrey Lyles misses two point jump shot11
65.8%
17
34.2%
Q1 - 5:20PistonsJerami Grant defensive rebound11
64.3%
17
35.7%
Q1 - 5:25HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot11
64.9%
17
35.1%
Q1 - 5:45PistonsSaddiq Bey makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)11
66.4%
17
33.6%
Q1 - 6:02HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Trey Lyles draws the foul)11
70.2%
14
29.8%
Q1 - 6:07PistonsTrey Lyles defensive rebound11
70.1%
14
29.9%
Q1 - 6:11HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot11
70.7%
14
29.3%
Q1 - 6:14HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound11
71.8%
14
28.2%
Q1 - 6:16PistonsCade Cunningham misses two point driving layup11
71.3%
14
28.7%
Q1 - 6:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 211
70.1%
14
29.9%
Q1 - 6:36HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 1 of 210
69.9%
14
30.1%
Q1 - 6:36PistonsLuka Garza shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)10
71.3%
14
28.7%
Q1 - 6:36HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound10
70.1%
14
29.9%
Q1 - 6:36HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving layup10
69.0%
14
31.0%
Q1 - 6:53HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound10
70.1%
14
29.9%
Q1 - 6:56PistonsJerami Grant misses two point pullup jump shot10
69.6%
14
30.4%
Q1 - 7:08HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds step)10
69.0%
14
31.0%
Q1 - 7:31PistonsCory Joseph makes regular free throw 1 of 110
70.8%
14
29.2%
Q1 - 7:31HeatP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Cory Joseph draws the foul)10
71.0%
13
29.0%
Q1 - 7:37PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound10
73.8%
11
26.2%
Q1 - 7:41HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot10
74.3%
11
25.7%
Q1 - 7:53PistonsSaddiq Bey makes two point driving layup10
75.4%
11
24.6%
Q1 - 8:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 210
77.1%
9
22.9%
Q1 - 8:12HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 29
77.0%
9
23.0%
Q1 - 8:12PistonsCory Joseph shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)8
76.8%
9
23.2%
Q1 - 8:27PistonsSaddiq Bey makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)8
75.9%
9
24.1%
Q1 - 8:31PistonsCade Cunningham defensive rebound8
78.5%
6
21.5%
Q1 - 8:33HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup8
78.9%
6
21.1%
Q1 - 8:45HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound8
79.9%
6
20.1%
Q1 - 8:45PistonsCade Cunningham misses three point pullup jump shot8
79.5%
6
20.5%
Q1 - 8:55HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)8
78.5%
6
21.5%
Q1 - 8:59HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound6
77.3%
6
22.7%
Q1 - 9:03PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot6
76.7%
6
23.3%
Q1 - 9:28HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround jump shot6
75.6%
6
24.4%
Q1 - 9:48PistonsSaddiq Bey makes three point stepback jump shot4
74.5%
6
25.5%
Q1 - 9:56HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Jerami Grant steals)4
77.0%
3
23.0%
Q1 - 10:07HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound4
78.6%
3
21.4%
Q1 - 10:10PistonsJerami Grant misses two point layup4
78.2%
3
21.8%
Q1 - 10:13PistonsJerami Grant offensive rebound4
77.2%
3
22.8%
Q1 - 10:17PistonsCory Joseph misses three point jump shot4
78.1%
3
21.9%
Q1 - 10:32PistonsLuka Garza defensive rebound4
77.2%
3
22.8%
Q1 - 10:36HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 14
77.3%
3
22.7%
Q1 - 10:36PistonsLuka Garza shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)4
78.2%
3
21.8%
Q1 - 10:42HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound2
76.0%
3
24.0%
Q1 - 10:47PistonsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot2
75.5%
3
24.5%
Q1 - 10:55PistonsJerami Grant defensive rebound2
74.4%
3
25.6%
Q1 - 10:59HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot2
74.9%
3
25.1%
Q1 - 11:26PistonsJerami Grant makes three point jump shot (Cade Cunningham assists)2
76.2%
3
23.8%
Q1 - 11:43HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)2
78.5%
0
21.5%
Q1 - 11:48PistonsCade Cunningham personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)0
77.5%
0
22.5%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Luka Garza (P.J. Tucker gains possession)0
77.5%
0
22.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.3%
DET
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
19
74%
DET
13
20
65%
Midrange
MIA
12
28
43%
DET
12
26
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
DET
10
15.0
38
26%
39%
Free Throws
MIA
21
29
72%
DET
12
14
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro3167%15.5 / 23
K. Lowry1558%7.5 / 13
J. Butler1544%7.5 / 17
B. Adebayo1563%7.5 / 12
D. Robinson1169%5.5 / 8
C. Martin650%3.0 / 6
D. Dedmon675%3.0 / 4
G. Vincent113%0.5 / 4
P. Tucker0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Grant2153%10.5 / 20
S. Bey1547%7.5 / 16
F. Jackson1354%6.5 / 12
H. Diallo1083%5.0 / 6
C. Joseph964%4.5 / 7
L. Garza770%3.5 / 5
C. Cunningham630%3.0 / 10
T. Lyles660%3.0 / 5
J. Jackson542%2.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+14
-16
92
DET
79
+11
-14
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.3%
DET
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.3
106.0
MIA 106.4
DET 98.9 +7.5
Pace
96.2
98.4
MIA 96.8 +5.9
DET 90.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.0
14.5
MIA 14.9 +1.0
DET 15.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.7%
49.4%
MIA 52.0% +4.4%
DET 47.6%
TO %
14.2%
13.5%
MIA 16.1%
DET 14.3% +1.8%
ORB %
23.5%
23.4%
MIA 31.6% +12.8%
DET 18.8%
FTrt
25.2
24.8
MIA 38.2 +21.5
DET 16.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.4%
61.5%
MIA 62.9%
DET 62.9%
STL %
7.6%
7.8%
MIA 9.6% +2.1%
DET 7.5%
BLK %
7.1%
9.0%
MIA 6.5% +4.4%
DET 2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.3 and 2.3.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.8%
52.1%
MIA 54.3% +3.2%
DET 51.1%
Rim FG%
63.4%
57.9%
MIA 73.7% +8.7%
DET 65.0%
Mid FG%
41.4%
37.3%
MIA 42.9%
DET 46.2% +3.3%
3P %
37.9%
32.6%
MIA 31.0% +4.7%
DET 26.3%
FT %
80.8%
78.2%
MIA 72.4%
DET 85.7% +13.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.6%
36.8%
MIA 25.0% +1.2%
DET 23.8%
Mid Att. %
27.1%
24.1%
MIA 36.8%
DET 31.0% +5.9%
3P Att. %
42.2%
39.0%
MIA 38.2%
DET 45.2% +7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes23.324.5
Points10092
Rebounds5135
Assists2222
Steals97
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)14 (1)
Fouls1923
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (1)26 (3)
Field Goals35-7635-84
At-the-Rim FG14-1913-20
Midrange FG12-2812-26
2-Point FG26-4725-46
3-Point FG9-2910-38
Free Throws21-2912-14
Fast Break Pts135
2nd Chance Pts1512
Points in Paint4240
Pts off Turnovers2417
Bench Points4434
Biggest Lead1212

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#7 · PG · 6'0" 196 · 36
35.1
15
58%
6
8
2
2
5
3
1
5
6-6
100%
3-4
75%
1-6
17%
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
34.8
15
44%
9
5
1
0
3
2
4
5
7-9
78%
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
31.0
15
63%
9
5
1
0
2
2
3
6
3-6
50%
6-10
60%
0-0
-
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 28
23.1
11
69%
3
0
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
#17 · PF · 6'6" 245 · 37
22.1
0
0%
6
1
0
0
0
2
0
6
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 22
32.9
31
67%
8
3
0
0
3
1
1
7
3-4
75%
8-13
62%
4-8
50%
#16 · SF · 6'5" 205 · 26
25.6
6
50%
2
0
3
1
2
1
1
1
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
18.3
1
13%
2
0
2
0
0
2
0
2
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-4
0%
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
17.0
6
75%
6
0
0
0
0
3
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-0
-
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 23
DNP – Coach's Decision
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP – Coach's Decision
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Injury Recovery
#0 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist; Tendinitis
#8 · PF · 6'10" 245 · 32
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Neck; Whiplash
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
54%
51
22
9
3
16
19
12
39
21-29
72%
26-47
55%
9-29
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.