Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, February 16, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Celtics | 58% | 105 | 103 |
 | 24 | Bulls | 42% | 103 | 104 |
Wednesday, February 15, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Magic | 19% | 96 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 35% | 105 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Celtics | 76% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Hornets | 40% | 103 | 85 |
 | 8 | Raptors | 60% | 107 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bucks | 64% | 110 | 129 |
 | 30 | Nets | 36% | 105 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Mavericks | 46% | 100 | 91 |
 | 18 | Pistons | 54% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Pelicans | 32% | 99 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Heat | 29% | 104 | 117 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Timberwolves | 35% | 108 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Lakers | 43% | 109 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Knicks | 41% | 105 | 105 |
 | 21 | Thunder | 59% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, February 14, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 63% | 106 | 94 |
| 25 | Bulls | 37% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 59% | 109 | 116 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 41% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 49% | 108 | 97 |
| 26 | Lakers | 51% | 109 | 96 |
Monday, February 13, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 31% | 101 | 105 |
| 10 | Hornets | 69% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 62% | 104 | 110 |
| 14 | Pacers | 38% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 73% | 109 | 112 |
| 30 | Nets | 27% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 33% | 99 | 116 |
| 17 | Heat | 67% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 41% | 103 | 98 |
| 9 | Wizards | 59% | 106 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 40% | 102 | 89 |
| 16 | Bucks | 60% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 55% | 104 | 111 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 45% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 81% | 122 | 110 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 19% | 110 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 35% | 100 | 88 |
| 4 | Jazz | 65% | 105 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 51% | 108 | 110 |
| 28 | Suns | 49% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 41% | 107 | 109 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 110 | 104 |
Sunday, February 12, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 46% | 103 | 89 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 54% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 74% | 109 | 90 |
| 24 | Knicks | 26% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 35% | 102 | 102 |
| 7 | Raptors | 65% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 49% | 105 | 99 |
| 25 | Kings | 51% | 106 | 105 |
Saturday, February 11, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 44% | 106 | 107 |
| 11 | Hornets | 56% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 40% | 101 | 116 |
| 13 | Pacers | 60% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 54% | 102 | 109 |
| 28 | 76ers | 46% | 101 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 22% | 108 | 109 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 78% | 119 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 69% | 111 | 130 |
| 10 | Thunder | 31% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 12% | 103 | 102 |
| 3 | Rockets | 88% | 120 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 35% | 99 | 80 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 65% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 38% | 100 | 112 |
| 5 | Jazz | 62% | 104 | 104 |
Friday, February 10, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 65% | 109 | 108 |
| 30 | Nets | 35% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 45% | 111 | 131 |
| 23 | Knicks | 55% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 66% | 104 | 103 |
| 18 | Pistons | 34% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 35% | 104 | 122 |
| 16 | Bucks | 65% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 64% | 108 | 122 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 36% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 45% | 104 | 122 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 55% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 39% | 102 | 107 |
| 8 | Wizards | 61% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 52% | 106 | 107 |
| 25 | Kings | 48% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 54% | 106 | 97 |
| 28 | Suns | 46% | 105 | 115 |
Thursday, February 9, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 56% | 111 | 107 |
| 9 | Hornets | 44% | 109 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 37% | 101 | 112 |
| 26 | Magic | 63% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 54% | 108 | 109 |
| 11 | Thunder | 46% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 53% | 98 | 105 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 47% | 97 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 43% | 108 | 120 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 110 | 111 |
Wednesday, February 8, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 78% | 105 | 111 |
| 29 | 76ers | 22% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 61% | 108 | 132 |
| 14 | Pacers | 39% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 74% | 113 | 114 |
| 30 | Nets | 26% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 46% | 108 | 106 |
| 23 | Hawks | 54% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 36% | 104 | 102 |
| 20 | Pistons | 64% | 109 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 42% | 102 | 106 |
| 15 | Bucks | 58% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 25% | 100 | 91 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 75% | 110 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 60% | 102 | 127 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 40% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 59% | 107 | 109 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 41% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 54% | 110 | 119 |
| 22 | Knicks | 46% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 12% | 98 | 92 |
| 1 | Warriors | 88% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 62% | 110 | 92 |
| 25 | Kings | 38% | 105 | 108 |
Tuesday, February 7, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 25% | 104 | 107 |
| 10 | Hornets | 75% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 20% | 104 | 104 |
| 3 | Rockets | 80% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 104 | 114 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 52% | 105 | 113 |
Monday, February 6, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 39% | 107 | 121 |
| 23 | Knicks | 61% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 49% | 106 | 140 |
| 8 | Wizards | 51% | 107 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 39% | 102 | 90 |
| 11 | Pacers | 61% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Clippers | 36% | 105 | 109 |
| 7 | Raptors | 64% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 60% | 101 | 120 |
| 24 | Hawks | 40% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 32% | 99 | 96 |
| 18 | Pistons | 68% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 37% | 106 | 106 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 63% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 43% | 101 | 115 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 57% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 49% | 107 | 87 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 51% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 57% | 101 | 74 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 43% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 51% | 104 | 112 |
| 25 | Kings | 49% | 103 | 107 |
Sunday, February 5, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 37% | 107 | 102 |
| 6 | Celtics | 63% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 106 | 99 |
| 14 | Thunder | 55% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 74% | 113 | 103 |
| 30 | Nets | 26% | 104 | 95 |
Saturday, February 4, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pelicans | 36% | 103 | 91 |
| 9 | Wizards | 64% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 36% | 101 | 86 |
| 24 | Hawks | 64% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 40% | 102 | 84 |
| 10 | Pacers | 60% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 35% | 99 | 102 |
| 20 | Heat | 65% | 104 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 62% | 109 | 111 |
| 21 | Knicks | 38% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 35% | 97 | 98 |
| 6 | Jazz | 65% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 51% | 109 | 137 |
| 27 | Suns | 49% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 18% | 102 | 97 |
| 2 | Spurs | 82% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 51% | 103 | 107 |
| 11 | Timberwolves | 49% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 80% | 116 | 106 |
| 26 | Kings | 20% | 104 | 109 |
Friday, February 3, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 65% | 107 | 94 |
| 26 | Magic | 35% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 66% | 111 | 106 |
| 30 | Nets | 34% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 44% | 104 | 108 |
| 19 | Pistons | 56% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 28% | 104 | 117 |
| 3 | Rockets | 72% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 53% | 102 | 102 |
| 14 | Thunder | 47% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 21% | 104 | 107 |
| 7 | Celtics | 79% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 46% | 110 | 117 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 54% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 40% | 106 | 105 |
| 25 | Kings | 60% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 45% | 104 | 108 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 105 | 104 |