FinalWin Prob.pScore
1446%100
91
1854%102
98
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
93.89797.7
DET logo DET
100.09897.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET91
0%
98
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0DALD. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)91
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0DETLeuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)88
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0DETLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)88
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0DALD. Williams Driving Layup (9 PTS)88
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DETLeuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DETLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALBarnes Layup (16 PTS) (Curry 3 AST)86
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0DALNowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (D. Williams 6 AST)84
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMISS Marc Morris 10' Jump Shot81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:13)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15DALMISS D. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:37DETMISS Marc Morris 15' Jump Shot81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51DETPISTONS Rebound81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51DETMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot81
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 2:06DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:12)81
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 2:06DALMISS Nowitzki 7' Jump Shot81
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 2:23DETLeuer 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)81
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 2:46DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:11)81
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 2:46DALMISS Curry 27' 3PT Jump Shot81
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 3:02DETCaldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Drummond 3 AST)81
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 3:20DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)81
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 3:20DALMISS Barnes 7' Turnaround Jump Shot81
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 3:37DALD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
5.4%
89
94.6%
Q4 - 3:37DETMISS Marc Morris 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
4.9%
89
95.1%
Q4 - 4:08DALD. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)81
3.5%
89
96.5%
Q4 - 4:29DETHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)78
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 4:40DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)78
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 4:40DALMISS Matthews 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
1.2%
89
98.8%
Q4 - 4:56DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)78
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 5:06DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 5:06DALMISS D. Williams 18' Jump Shot78
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 5:17DETJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS)78
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 5:31DALCurry 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Matthews 3 AST)78
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q4 - 5:44DETMarc Morris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)75
2.5%
86
97.5%
Q4 - 5:54DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
1.8%
86
98.2%
Q4 - 5:55DALMISS Barnes 3PT Jump Shot75
2.0%
86
98.0%
Q4 - 6:16DETJackson 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS)75
3.6%
86
96.4%
Q4 - 6:33DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 6:33DALMISS Ferrell 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
5.0%
84
95.0%
Q4 - 6:41DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
6.3%
84
93.7%
Q4 - 6:42DETMISS Baynes 1' Tip Layup Shot75
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 6:42DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)75
4.5%
84
95.5%
Q4 - 6:43DETMISS Jackson 1' Layup75
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 6:56DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
4.5%
84
95.5%
Q4 - 6:56DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)74
4.3%
84
95.7%
Q4 - 7:05DETJackson Traveling Turnover (P2.T12)73
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q4 - 7:17DALFerrell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)73
3.5%
84
96.5%
Q4 - 7:38DETCaldwell-Pope 18' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)73
4.6%
84
95.4%
Q4 - 7:55DETPISTONS Rebound73
5.8%
82
94.2%
Q4 - 7:55DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
6.3%
82
93.7%
Q4 - 8:10DALAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
8.9%
82
91.1%
Q4 - 8:10DETMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
8.3%
82
91.7%
Q4 - 8:28DALFerrell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)73
7.0%
82
93.0%
Q4 - 8:38DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q4 - 8:39DETMISS Baynes 15' Jump Shot70
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 8:57DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
3.3%
82
96.7%
Q4 - 8:58DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot70
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q4 - 9:16DALFinney-Smith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
5.1%
82
94.9%
Q4 - 9:17DETMISS Baynes 2' Tip Layup Shot70
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q4 - 9:18DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)70
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 9:19DETMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot70
4.8%
82
95.2%
Q4 - 9:36DALFinney-Smith Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)70
4.0%
82
96.0%
Q4 - 9:45DETSmith 7' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)67
2.5%
82
97.5%
Q4 - 10:02DALHarris Layup (4 PTS)67
3.8%
80
96.2%
Q4 - 10:08DETHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)65
3.1%
80
96.9%
Q4 - 10:27DALFerrell 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)65
2.4%
80
97.6%
Q4 - 10:41DETSmith 15' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
1.9%
80
98.1%
Q4 - 11:00DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)63
2.4%
78
97.6%
Q4 - 11:00DALMISS Ferrell 3PT Jump Shot63
2.5%
78
97.5%
Q4 - 11:20DETJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T10)63
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 11:24DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q4 - 11:24DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot63
3.0%
78
97.0%
Q4 - 11:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)63
3.5%
78
96.5%
Q4 - 11:39DETMISS Harris 10' Jump Shot63
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET63
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound63
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMISS Smith 15' Fadeaway Jumper63
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 0:16.0DETJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
3.4%
78
96.6%
Q3 - 0:17.0DALMISS Ferrell 17' Pullup Jump Shot63
3.6%
78
96.4%
Q3 - 0:31.0DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)63
4.1%
78
95.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)63
4.2%
77
95.8%
Q3 - 0:31.0DETPISTONS Rebound63
5.0%
76
95.0%
Q3 - 0:31.0DALMISS Matthews 3PT Jump Shot63
5.4%
76
94.6%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
6.1%
76
93.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 13' Jump Shot63
5.8%
76
94.2%
Q3 - 0:59.0DALMatthews 1' Layup (8 PTS)63
5.0%
76
95.0%
Q3 - 1:13DALBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
4.9%
76
95.1%
Q3 - 1:14DETMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.6%
76
95.4%
Q3 - 1:27DETPISTONS Rebound61
4.0%
76
96.0%
Q3 - 1:27DALMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q3 - 1:27DALBogut REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)61
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 1:28DALMISS Bogut Tip Layup Shot61
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q3 - 1:31DALBogut REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 1:32DALMISS D. Williams 8' Jump Bank Shot61
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q3 - 1:49DETHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)61
4.8%
76
95.2%
Q3 - 1:49DETHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
4.9%
75
95.1%
Q3 - 1:58DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)61
5.8%
74
94.2%
Q3 - 1:58DALMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.1%
74
93.9%
Q3 - 2:12DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)61
7.7%
74
92.3%
Q3 - 2:12DETMISS Baynes 8' Jump Shot61
7.3%
74
92.7%
Q3 - 2:20DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)61
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 2:20DALMISS Matthews 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.8%
74
93.2%
Q3 - 2:33DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)61
7.7%
74
92.3%
Q3 - 2:40DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
6.4%
74
93.6%
Q3 - 2:41DALMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
6.7%
74
93.3%
Q3 - 2:47DETMarc Morris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)61
7.7%
74
92.3%
Q3 - 3:06DALCurry 16' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 3:21DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 3:21DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot59
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 3:32DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
5.0%
74
95.0%
Q3 - 3:33DALMISS D. Williams 10' Running Jump Shot59
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 3:42DALMavericks Rebound59
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 3:42DALMISS Matthews 19' Jump Shot59
5.3%
74
94.7%
Q3 - 3:50DALD. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
6.0%
74
94.0%
Q3 - 3:50DETMISS Harris 15' Jump Shot59
5.7%
74
94.3%
Q3 - 4:11DALBarnes Dunk (14 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)59
5.4%
74
94.6%
Q3 - 4:23DETHarris 13' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)57
4.7%
74
95.3%
Q3 - 4:33DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 4:33DALMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
5.7%
72
94.3%
Q3 - 4:57DALBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
6.5%
72
93.5%
Q3 - 4:57DETMISS Marc Morris 22' Jump Shot57
6.2%
72
93.8%
Q3 - 5:20DALBogut Foul Turnover (P2.T5)57
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 5:29DETBaynes Foul Turnover (P1.T7)57
7.1%
72
92.9%
Q3 - 5:31DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)57
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 5:33DALMISS Barnes 16' Fadeaway Jumper57
6.3%
72
93.7%
Q3 - 5:52DETCaldwell-Pope 15' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)57
7.1%
72
92.9%
Q3 - 6:02DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
8.8%
70
91.2%
Q3 - 6:03DALMISS D. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
9.2%
70
90.8%
Q3 - 6:13DALBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
10.2%
70
89.8%
Q3 - 6:13DETMISS Harris 18' Jump Shot57
9.8%
70
90.2%
Q3 - 6:35DALNowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Matthews 2 AST)57
8.7%
70
91.3%
Q3 - 6:55DETDrummond 8' Hook Shot (9 PTS)54
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 7:17DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (D. Williams 5 AST)54
8.0%
68
92.0%
Q3 - 7:29DALCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 7:29DETMISS Leuer 15' Jump Shot51
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q3 - 7:44DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)51
5.1%
68
94.9%
Q3 - 7:45DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
5.4%
68
94.6%
Q3 - 7:53DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)51
6.1%
68
93.9%
Q3 - 7:54DETMISS Jackson 3PT Jump Shot51
5.8%
68
94.2%
Q3 - 8:14DALBarnes Layup (12 PTS) (D. Williams 4 AST)51
5.5%
68
94.5%
Q3 - 8:31DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)49
4.9%
68
95.1%
Q3 - 8:31DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)49
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q3 - 8:48DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (D. Williams 3 AST)49
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q3 - 9:05DETJackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)47
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 9:20DALNowitzki 27' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (D. Williams 2 AST)47
6.9%
63
93.1%
Q3 - 9:30DETDrummond Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)44
5.3%
63
94.7%
Q3 - 9:45DALBarnes 10' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Matthews 1 AST)44
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q3 - 9:58DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)42
4.0%
63
96.0%
Q3 - 9:59DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 242
3.9%
63
96.1%
Q3 - 9:59DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)42
3.7%
63
96.3%
Q3 - 9:59DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)42
3.9%
62
96.1%
Q3 - 9:59DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup42
4.4%
62
95.6%
Q3 - 10:13DALCurry 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barnes 1 AST)42
4.3%
62
95.7%
Q3 - 10:20DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)39
3.3%
62
96.7%
Q3 - 10:33DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)39
2.9%
62
97.1%
Q3 - 10:34DALMISS D. Williams 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot39
3.0%
62
97.0%
Q3 - 10:47DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)39
3.3%
62
96.7%
Q3 - 10:47DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
3.2%
62
96.8%
Q3 - 11:04DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (D. Williams 1 AST)39
3.1%
62
96.9%
Q3 - 11:19DETDrummond Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)37
2.8%
62
97.2%
Q3 - 11:31DALD. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q3 - 11:31DALD. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
2.3%
62
97.7%
Q3 - 11:47DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q3 - 11:47DALMISS Matthews 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
1.9%
62
98.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET35
2.1%
62
97.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound35
1.8%
62
98.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Marc Morris 72' 3PT Jump Shot35
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)35
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot35
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0DETBaynes 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)35
2.4%
62
97.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)35
2.8%
60
97.2%
Q2 - 0:32.0DALMISS D. Williams 8' Running Jump Shot35
2.9%
60
97.1%
Q2 - 0:49.0DETCaldwell-Pope Layup (9 PTS)35
3.0%
60
97.0%
Q2 - 0:52.0DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
3.6%
58
96.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3' Jump Shot35
3.8%
58
96.2%
Q2 - 1:01DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q2 - 1:03DALMISS Barnes 10' Turnaround Jump Shot35
4.1%
58
95.9%
Q2 - 1:25DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
4.3%
58
95.7%
Q2 - 1:25DETMISS Marc Morris 22' Jump Shot35
4.2%
58
95.8%
Q2 - 1:51DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)35
4.0%
58
96.0%
Q2 - 1:51DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)34
3.9%
58
96.1%
Q2 - 1:57DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)33
3.3%
58
96.7%
Q2 - 2:18DALBarnes Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)33
4.2%
56
95.8%
Q2 - 2:42DETJackson Dunk (12 PTS)30
3.3%
56
96.7%
Q2 - 2:48DALJackson STEAL (2 STL)30
3.8%
54
96.2%
Q2 - 2:57DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q2 - 2:57DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 230
4.2%
53
95.8%
Q2 - 3:04DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 3:05DALMISS Matthews 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q2 - 3:21DALBarnes Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)30
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q2 - 3:39DETJackson 14' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Marc Morris 1 AST)29
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q2 - 3:46DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)29
5.2%
51
94.8%
Q2 - 3:48DALMISS Bogut 7' Hook Shot29
5.4%
51
94.6%
Q2 - 4:04DALBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q2 - 4:05DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
6.3%
51
93.7%
Q2 - 4:10DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
5.8%
51
94.2%
Q2 - 4:10DALMISS Matthews 27' 3PT Jump Shot29
6.0%
51
94.0%
Q2 - 4:25DETCaldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q2 - 4:44DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
8.0%
48
92.0%
Q2 - 4:44DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
7.8%
48
92.2%
Q2 - 5:01DALMatthews REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
7.6%
48
92.4%
Q2 - 5:01DETMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
7.3%
48
92.7%
Q2 - 5:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)27
6.8%
48
93.2%
Q2 - 5:11DALMISS Harris 6' Jump Shot27
7.0%
48
93.0%
Q2 - 5:34DETDrummond 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)27
7.5%
48
92.5%
Q2 - 5:47DETPISTONS Rebound27
8.3%
46
91.7%
Q2 - 5:49DALMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
8.6%
46
91.4%
Q2 - 5:58DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
9.2%
46
90.8%
Q2 - 6:00DETMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot27
8.9%
46
91.1%
Q2 - 6:13DALBarnes 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)27
8.7%
46
91.3%
Q2 - 6:18DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)25
8.1%
46
91.9%
Q2 - 6:20DETMISS Harris Dunk25
7.8%
46
92.2%
Q2 - 6:36DALBogut 1' Layup (4 PTS)25
7.1%
46
92.9%
Q2 - 6:39DALBogut REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
6.6%
46
93.4%
Q2 - 6:39DALMISS Harris 1' Layup23
6.0%
46
94.0%
Q2 - 7:02DETSmith 14' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)23
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q2 - 7:14DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)23
7.8%
44
92.2%
Q2 - 7:14DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Jump Shot23
8.1%
44
91.9%
Q2 - 7:31DETLeuer 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)23
8.7%
44
91.3%
Q2 - 7:36DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 7:37DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Turnaround Jump Shot23
9.8%
42
90.2%
Q2 - 7:55DETSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
10.5%
42
89.5%
Q2 - 7:55DETSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
10.7%
41
89.3%
Q2 - 8:05DALNowitzki 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)23
11.7%
40
88.3%
Q2 - 8:23DETHarris 17' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)21
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 8:42DALD. Williams 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 9:04DETLeuer 13' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)19
11.2%
38
88.8%
Q2 - 9:14DETPISTONS Rebound19
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q2 - 9:14DETMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot19
12.9%
36
87.1%
Q2 - 9:14DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q2 - 9:20DALLeuer BLOCK (1 BLK)19
12.4%
36
87.6%
Q2 - 9:34DETSmith 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)19
13.3%
36
86.7%
Q2 - 9:51DETPISTONS Rebound19
14.3%
34
85.7%
Q2 - 9:51DALMISS Finney-Smith 3PT Jump Shot19
14.8%
34
85.2%
Q2 - 10:01DETHarris 7' Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
16.2%
34
83.8%
Q2 - 10:23DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)19
17.3%
32
82.7%
Q2 - 10:43DETHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
16.1%
32
83.9%
Q2 - 10:51DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)17
18.8%
29
81.2%
Q2 - 10:51DALMISS D. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
19.3%
29
80.7%
Q2 - 11:12DETLeuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)17
20.8%
29
79.2%
Q2 - 11:12DETLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)17
21.0%
28
79.0%
Q2 - 11:12DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
22.4%
27
77.6%
Q2 - 11:12DETMISS Smith Layup17
23.6%
27
76.4%
Q2 - 11:16DETSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q2 - 11:17DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot17
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q2 - 11:37DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
24.1%
27
75.9%
Q2 - 11:39DALMISS Harris 12' Turnaround Jump Shot17
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DAL17
24.1%
27
75.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETSmith Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)17
24.0%
27
76.0%
Q1 - 0:05.0DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
22.8%
27
77.2%
Q1 - 0:06.0DALMISS Ferrell 17' Jump Shot17
23.2%
27
76.8%
Q1 - 0:21.0DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
24.0%
27
76.0%
Q1 - 0:21.0DETMISS Baynes 15' Jump Shot17
23.6%
27
76.4%
Q1 - 0:30.0DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)17
22.8%
27
77.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALMISS Harris 27' 3PT Jump Shot17
23.1%
27
76.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0DETHarris Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
24.0%
27
76.0%
Q1 - 0:52.0DETHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
22.8%
27
77.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0DETMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot17
23.6%
27
76.4%
Q1 - 1:08DALBogut Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q1 - 1:19DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
24.2%
27
75.8%
Q1 - 1:20DETMISS Marc Morris 18' Jump Shot17
23.8%
27
76.2%
Q1 - 1:38DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q1 - 1:40DALSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)17
23.3%
27
76.7%
Q1 - 1:47DETLeuer Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)17
24.2%
27
75.8%
Q1 - 1:55DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)17
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q1 - 1:56DALBaynes BLOCK (1 BLK)17
23.3%
27
76.7%
Q1 - 2:15DETLeuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)17
24.6%
27
75.4%
Q1 - 2:15DETLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)17
24.9%
26
75.1%
Q1 - 2:29DALMatthews Driving Layup (6 PTS)17
26.6%
25
73.4%
Q1 - 2:50DALBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
24.6%
25
75.4%
Q1 - 2:51DETMISS Baynes 7' Hook Shot15
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q1 - 3:09DALBogut 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ferrell 2 AST)15
23.4%
25
76.6%
Q1 - 3:23DETLeuer Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)13
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q1 - 3:23DETLeuer Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)13
22.3%
24
77.7%
Q1 - 3:31DETBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
23.4%
23
76.6%
Q1 - 3:32DALMISS Barnes 17' Jump Shot13
24.0%
23
76.0%
Q1 - 3:42DALFerrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
25.2%
23
74.8%
Q1 - 3:42DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
24.7%
23
75.3%
Q1 - 3:54DALMatthews 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
23.4%
23
76.6%
Q1 - 4:09DETMarc Morris 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)11
22.2%
23
77.8%
Q1 - 4:24DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
23.5%
21
76.5%
Q1 - 4:24DALMISS Curry 24' 3PT Jump Shot11
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q1 - 4:45DETLeuer 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)11
25.5%
21
74.5%
Q1 - 5:09DALCurry 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)11
27.6%
19
72.4%
Q1 - 5:19DALBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
24.5%
19
75.5%
Q1 - 5:20DETMISS Baynes 14' Jump Shot8
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 5:42DALCurry 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
22.8%
19
77.2%
Q1 - 5:57DETCaldwell-Pope 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
21.5%
19
78.5%
Q1 - 6:07DETLeuer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.6%
17
76.4%
Q1 - 6:07DALMISS Ferrell 15' Jump Shot6
24.1%
17
75.9%
Q1 - 6:25DETJackson 14' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)6
25.1%
17
74.9%
Q1 - 6:39DALBarnes 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Ferrell 1 AST)6
26.6%
15
73.4%
Q1 - 7:01DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)4
26.0%
15
74.0%
Q1 - 7:02DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot4
25.4%
15
74.6%
Q1 - 7:12DALMatthews 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
24.2%
15
75.8%
Q1 - 7:27DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)2
23.1%
15
76.9%
Q1 - 7:35DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)2
24.2%
13
75.8%
Q1 - 7:35DALMISS Matthews 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
24.7%
13
75.3%
Q1 - 7:50DETJackson 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)2
25.9%
13
74.1%
Q1 - 8:16DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)2
28.9%
10
71.1%
Q1 - 8:36DETLeuer 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Drummond 2 AST)0
27.5%
10
72.5%
Q1 - 8:40DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)0
28.9%
8
71.1%
Q1 - 8:41DETMISS Drummond 5' Jump Shot0
30.1%
8
69.9%
Q1 - 8:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)0
28.9%
8
71.1%
Q1 - 8:48DETMISS Marc Morris 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
30.1%
8
69.9%
Q1 - 8:57DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.9%
8
71.1%
Q1 - 8:58DALMISS D. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
29.4%
8
70.6%
Q1 - 9:14DETDrummond Reverse Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)0
30.8%
8
69.2%
Q1 - 9:18DALJackson STEAL (1 STL)0
32.0%
6
68.0%
Q1 - 9:38DETMarc Morris 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)0
34.1%
6
65.9%
Q1 - 9:46DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
35.4%
4
64.6%
Q1 - 9:46DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot0
36.0%
4
64.0%
Q1 - 9:55DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
37.5%
4
62.5%
Q1 - 9:55DETMISS Leuer 14' Jump Shot0
36.9%
4
63.1%
Q1 - 10:10DETMarc Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
35.5%
4
64.5%
Q1 - 10:10DALMarc Morris BLOCK (1 BLK)0
36.1%
4
63.9%
Q1 - 10:23DETMarc Morris 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
37.4%
4
62.6%
Q1 - 10:37DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)0
38.9%
2
61.1%
Q1 - 10:37DALMISS D. Williams 1' Layup0
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 10:49DETJackson Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)0
40.9%
2
59.1%
Q1 - 10:57DALD. Williams Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
42.5%
0
57.5%
Q1 - 11:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:05DETMISS Drummond 8' Hook Shot0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 11:26DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
42.6%
0
57.4%
Q1 - 11:26DALMISS Barnes 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
43.1%
0
56.9%
Q1 - 11:38DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.3%
0
55.7%
Q1 - 11:40DETMISS Drummond Tip Layup Shot0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 11:43DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
42.6%
0
57.4%
Q1 - 11:44DETMISS Jackson 6' Jump Shot0
43.8%
0
56.2%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Nowitzki: Tip to Jackson0
42.6%
0
57.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.94 46.9%
DET
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
12
19
63%
DET
8
17
47%
Midrange
DAL
13
36
36%
DET
22
46
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
10
15.0
37
27%
41%
DET
6
9.0
19
32%
47%
Free Throws
DAL
11
11
100%
DET
20
22
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2460%12.0 / 20
H. Barnes1650%8.0 / 16
S. Curry1372%6.5 / 9
D. Williams1240%6.0 / 15
W. Matthews831%4.0 / 13
D. Harris633%3.0 / 9
Y. Ferrell531%2.5 / 8
A. Bogut450%2.0 / 4
D. Finney-Smith375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jackson2279%11.0 / 14
J. Leuer2083%10.0 / 12
K. Caldwell-Pope1653%8.0 / 15
T. Harris1365%6.5 / 10
I. Smith1045%5.0 / 11
A. Drummond950%4.5 / 9
M. Morris627%3.0 / 11
A. Baynes213%1.0 / 8
S. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
91
+6
-6
97
DET
83
+13
-15
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.94 46.9%
DET
1.02 51.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.2
106.0
DAL 93.8 +6.2
DET 100.0
Pace
92.6
95.0
DAL 97.7 +0.4
DET 97.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
DAL 14.7 +0.1
DET 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
49.2%
DAL 43.5%
DET 47.6% +4.1%
TO %
12.1%
11.9%
DAL 5.8% +8.3%
DET 14.1%
ORB %
18.1%
24.1%
DAL 9.8%
DET 20.9% +11.1%
FTrt
22.5
21.8
DAL 12.0
DET 26.8 +14.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.4%
53.0%
DAL 62.9% +21.2%
DET 41.7%
STL %
8.1%
7.3%
DAL 10.3% +8.3%
DET 2.0%
BLK %
7.0%
6.6%
DAL 3.2%
DET 7.3% +4.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.35 and 2.35.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.7%
50.8%
DAL 46.9%
DET 51.0% +4.1%
Rim FG%
59.8%
58.3%
DAL 63.2% +16.1%
DET 47.1%
Mid FG%
41.6%
42.6%
DAL 36.1%
DET 47.8% +11.7%
3P %
35.5%
33.0%
DAL 27.0%
DET 31.6% +4.6%
FT %
80.1%
71.9%
DAL 100.0% +9.1%
DET 90.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
25.2%
30.9%
DAL 20.7%
DET 20.7% +0.1%
Mid Att. %
38.2%
42.8%
DAL 39.1% +17.0%
DET 56.1%
3P Att. %
36.6%
26.3%
DAL 40.2% +17.0%
DET 23.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.96 and 2.96.
Game TotalsDALDET
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes23.824.2
Points9198
Rebounds3955
Assists2215
Steals102
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (1)9 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (0)46 (5)
Field Goals35-9236-82
At-the-Rim FG12-198-17
Midrange FG13-3622-46
2-Point FG25-5530-63
3-Point FG10-376-19
Free Throws11-1120-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'8" 225 · 25
37.3
16
50%
5
1
0
0
0
2
1
4
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
0-4
0%
F · 6'5" 220 · 30
37.3
8
31%
2
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-7
0%
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
30.5
13
72%
2
3
2
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
C · 7'0" 245 · 39
30.4
24
60%
10
3
1
1
1
2
0
10
2-2
100%
5-13
38%
4-6
67%
G · 6'3" 200 · 33
29.9
12
40%
2
6
1
0
2
3
0
2
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
2-7
29%
G · 6'0" 180 · 24
20.4
5
31%
5
3
2
0
1
2
1
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 260 · 32
17.6
4
50%
8
1
1
1
2
4
3
5
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 34
17.5
6
33%
3
2
1
0
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 24
8.5
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 23
5.7
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 7'2" 235 · 31
4.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26
0.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'8" 195 · 24
#5 · G · 6'0" 185 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · C · 7'0" 260 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
47%
39
22
10
2
6
0
5
34
11-11
100%
25-55
45%
10-37
27%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.