FinalWin Prob.pScore
2029%104
117
371%112
109
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
124.59484.3
HOU logo HOU
117.293105.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA117
100%
109
0%
Q4 - 0:03.0HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)117
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)117
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot117
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)117
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)116
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0HOUGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Harden 12 AST)115
99.5%
109
0.5%
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)115
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot115
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)115
99.6%
106
0.4%
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUAnderson 1' Putback Layup (17 PTS)115
99.6%
106
0.4%
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot115
99.9%
104
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)115
99.7%
104
0.3%
Q4 - 1:03HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot115
99.8%
104
0.2%
Q4 - 1:24MIAWhiteside Dunk (23 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)115
99.4%
104
0.6%
Q4 - 1:34HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 11 AST)113
98.7%
104
1.3%
Q4 - 1:44MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)113
99.4%
101
0.6%
Q4 - 1:54MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)111
98.9%
101
1.1%
Q4 - 1:55HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot111
98.8%
101
1.2%
Q4 - 2:14MIADragic 2' Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)111
97.6%
101
2.4%
Q4 - 2:34HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (38 PTS)109
97.0%
101
3.0%
Q4 - 2:42HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)109
97.5%
99
2.5%
Q4 - 2:43MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
98.0%
99
2.0%
Q4 - 2:59HOUHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)109
98.1%
99
1.9%
Q4 - 3:06HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)109
99.1%
96
0.9%
Q4 - 3:07HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot109
99.4%
96
0.6%
Q4 - 3:14HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)109
99.1%
96
0.9%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot109
99.2%
96
0.8%
Q4 - 3:33MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)109
98.6%
96
1.4%
Q4 - 3:35HOUMISS Brewer 1' Layup109
98.5%
96
1.5%
Q4 - 3:40MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T12)109
98.1%
96
1.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIADragic Free Throw Technical (17 PTS)109
98.8%
96
1.2%
Q4 - 3:53MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)108
98.2%
96
1.8%
Q4 - 3:53HOUMISS Anderson 1' Layup108
98.0%
96
2.0%
Q4 - 3:54HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)108
97.4%
96
2.6%
Q4 - 3:56HOUMISS Anderson 1' Layup108
98.0%
96
2.0%
Q4 - 4:09HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)108
97.5%
96
2.5%
Q4 - 4:09MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 2108
97.6%
96
2.4%
Q4 - 4:09MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)108
98.0%
96
2.0%
Q4 - 4:09MIAHeat Rebound107
97.6%
96
2.4%
Q4 - 4:09MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot107
96.8%
96
3.2%
Q4 - 4:27MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)107
97.6%
96
2.4%
Q4 - 4:29HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
97.3%
96
2.7%
Q4 - 4:49MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)107
96.6%
96
3.4%
Q4 - 4:49MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)106
96.3%
96
3.7%
Q4 - 5:04HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (33 PTS)105
92.2%
96
7.8%
Q4 - 5:15MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P4.T11)105
94.2%
94
5.8%
Q4 - 5:33HOUAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)105
95.9%
94
4.1%
Q4 - 5:40MIAJohnson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)105
97.8%
91
2.2%
Q4 - 5:55HOUAnderson 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS)103
97.1%
91
2.9%
Q4 - 6:16MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)103
97.4%
88
2.6%
Q4 - 6:38HOUDekker 15' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)100
95.6%
88
4.4%
Q4 - 7:01MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)100
95.0%
86
5.0%
Q4 - 7:23HOUAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)100
96.3%
86
3.7%
Q4 - 7:36MIADragic 7' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)100
97.8%
83
2.2%
Q4 - 7:54HOUAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)98
97.2%
83
2.8%
Q4 - 8:08MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)98
97.6%
80
2.4%
Q4 - 8:18MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
96.1%
80
3.9%
Q4 - 8:18HOUMISS Harden Driving Layup95
95.8%
80
4.2%
Q4 - 8:25HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)95
95.1%
80
4.9%
Q4 - 8:26MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
95.4%
80
4.6%
Q4 - 8:40MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
96.2%
80
3.8%
Q4 - 8:40HOUMISS Gordon 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup95
95.9%
80
4.1%
Q4 - 8:56MIAJohnson 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)95
95.1%
80
4.9%
Q4 - 9:10MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)93
92.2%
80
7.8%
Q4 - 9:11HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
91.7%
80
8.3%
Q4 - 9:30HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
90.3%
80
9.7%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 293
90.6%
80
9.4%
Q4 - 9:30MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)93
91.9%
80
8.1%
Q4 - 9:46MIAHeat Rebound92
90.4%
80
9.6%
Q4 - 9:46HOUMISS Dekker 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
89.7%
80
10.3%
Q4 - 9:57HOUROCKETS Rebound92
88.0%
80
12.0%
Q4 - 9:58HOUMISS Harrell 2' Layup92
89.8%
80
10.2%
Q4 - 10:07MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
85.9%
80
14.1%
Q4 - 10:07MIAReed Putback Dunk (3 PTS)92
85.9%
80
14.1%
Q4 - 10:09MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot90
80.6%
80
19.4%
Q4 - 10:31HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (31 PTS)90
83.3%
80
16.7%
Q4 - 10:31HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (30 PTS)90
83.7%
79
16.3%
Q4 - 10:31HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (29 PTS)90
84.1%
78
15.9%
Q4 - 10:39MIABrewer STEAL (1 STL)90
88.6%
77
11.4%
Q4 - 10:52HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)90
90.9%
77
9.1%
Q4 - 10:52HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)90
91.1%
76
8.9%
Q4 - 10:58HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)90
92.5%
75
7.5%
Q4 - 10:59MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
93.0%
75
7.0%
Q4 - 11:13HOUDekker Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)90
93.0%
75
7.0%
Q4 - 11:27MIADragic 11' Pullup Bank Shot (11 PTS)90
94.2%
73
5.8%
Q4 - 11:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
93.0%
73
7.0%
Q4 - 11:43HOUMISS Harden 11' Step Back Jump Shot88
92.5%
73
7.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA88
91.4%
73
8.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)88
91.3%
73
8.7%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAWaiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)88
94.1%
70
5.9%
Q3 - 0:38.0HOUGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)85
91.5%
70
8.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0HOUNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)85
94.2%
67
5.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
94.6%
67
5.4%
Q3 - 1:09HOUDekker 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)85
94.0%
67
6.0%
Q3 - 1:27MIAWaiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)85
95.0%
65
5.0%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
92.9%
65
7.1%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Johnson 10' Jump Shot82
91.9%
65
8.1%
Q3 - 1:45HOUNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)82
92.9%
65
7.1%
Q3 - 1:45HOUMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 282
93.4%
64
6.6%
Q3 - 1:46HOUNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)82
92.9%
64
7.1%
Q3 - 1:48HOUMISS Harden 12' Jump Shot82
93.8%
64
6.2%
Q3 - 1:55HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
92.9%
64
7.1%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot82
93.3%
64
6.7%
Q3 - 2:03MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)82
92.7%
64
7.3%
Q3 - 2:04HOUMISS Nene 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
92.3%
64
7.7%
Q3 - 2:32MIAWhiteside 12' Hook Shot (20 PTS)82
91.4%
64
8.6%
Q3 - 2:55HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS)80
90.0%
64
10.0%
Q3 - 3:10MIAJohnson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Waiters 7 AST)80
91.7%
61
8.3%
Q3 - 3:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)78
90.4%
61
9.6%
Q3 - 3:30HOUMISS Dekker 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
89.9%
61
10.1%
Q3 - 3:38MIADekker STEAL (1 STL)78
88.7%
61
11.3%
Q3 - 3:48HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)78
90.4%
61
9.6%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMcGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)78
87.1%
61
12.9%
Q3 - 4:13HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)75
83.2%
61
16.8%
Q3 - 4:13HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)75
83.5%
60
16.5%
Q3 - 4:23HOUROCKETS Rebound75
85.2%
59
14.8%
Q3 - 4:24MIAMISS Waiters 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot75
85.9%
59
14.1%
Q3 - 4:37MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)75
87.6%
59
12.4%
Q3 - 4:39HOUMISS Nene 3' Layup75
86.9%
59
13.1%
Q3 - 4:56HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
85.3%
59
14.7%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 2 of 275
85.6%
59
14.4%
Q3 - 4:56MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)75
86.8%
59
13.2%
Q3 - 5:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)74
84.0%
59
16.0%
Q3 - 5:05HOUMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
83.2%
59
16.8%
Q3 - 5:15HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)74
81.4%
59
18.6%
Q3 - 5:15MIAMISS Whiteside 11' Fadeaway Jumper74
82.3%
59
17.7%
Q3 - 5:36MIAHeat Rebound74
84.1%
59
15.9%
Q3 - 5:37MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
82.3%
59
17.7%
Q3 - 5:48MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
84.1%
59
15.9%
Q3 - 5:49HOUMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot74
83.4%
59
16.6%
Q3 - 6:04HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
79.6%
59
20.4%
Q3 - 6:04MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 174
79.9%
59
20.1%
Q3 - 6:07MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)72
77.1%
59
22.9%
Q3 - 6:08HOUMISS Harden 2' Layup72
76.2%
59
23.8%
Q3 - 6:14HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
74.0%
59
26.0%
Q3 - 6:18MIAMISS Whiteside Layup72
75.0%
59
25.0%
Q3 - 6:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
77.2%
59
22.8%
Q3 - 6:38HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 172
76.8%
59
23.2%
Q3 - 6:55MIAWhiteside Dunk (16 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)72
79.8%
57
20.2%
Q3 - 7:09MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
75.7%
57
24.3%
Q3 - 7:10HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot70
74.7%
57
25.3%
Q3 - 7:37MIADragic 1' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)70
72.4%
57
27.6%
Q3 - 7:42MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
69.7%
57
30.3%
Q3 - 7:43HOUMISS Capela 4' Hook Shot68
68.6%
57
31.4%
Q3 - 7:54HOUROCKETS Rebound68
65.9%
57
34.1%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Whiteside 13' Jump Shot68
67.1%
57
32.9%
Q3 - 8:16HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)68
68.6%
57
31.4%
Q3 - 8:33MIABabbitt 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)68
71.3%
55
28.7%
Q3 - 8:55HOUBrewer 13' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)65
65.4%
55
34.6%
Q3 - 9:18MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)65
66.2%
53
33.8%
Q3 - 9:18MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)64
65.1%
53
34.9%
Q3 - 9:35HOUCapela Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)63
63.1%
53
36.9%
Q3 - 9:52MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)63
66.3%
51
33.7%
Q3 - 10:09HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)61
61.5%
51
38.5%
Q3 - 10:09HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)61
61.9%
50
38.1%
Q3 - 10:17HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
64.5%
49
35.5%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Dragic 23' Jump Shot61
65.6%
49
34.4%
Q3 - 10:37HOUAriza 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)61
68.0%
49
32.0%
Q3 - 10:42HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
70.7%
47
29.3%
Q3 - 10:43MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
71.7%
47
28.3%
Q3 - 10:58HOUCapela Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
73.8%
47
26.2%
Q3 - 10:58HOUCapela Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
75.0%
46
25.0%
Q3 - 11:11MIAAriza STEAL (2 STL)61
74.6%
45
25.4%
Q3 - 11:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)61
77.2%
45
22.8%
Q3 - 11:21HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
76.5%
45
23.5%
Q3 - 11:38MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)61
74.7%
45
25.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA58
69.3%
45
30.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
69.3%
45
30.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
66.3%
45
33.7%
Q2 - 0:07.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
65.0%
45
35.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Johnson 7' Floating Jump Shot58
65.6%
45
34.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T7)58
67.0%
45
33.0%
Q2 - 0:40.0HOUNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)58
65.0%
45
35.0%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
65.6%
45
34.4%
Q2 - 0:52.0HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)58
67.1%
45
32.9%
Q2 - 1:01HOUNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)58
69.7%
43
30.3%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
70.1%
43
29.9%
Q2 - 1:23HOUAriza Foul Turnover (P1.T6)58
71.1%
43
28.9%
Q2 - 1:39MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)58
69.8%
43
30.2%
Q2 - 2:02HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)55
61.9%
43
38.1%
Q2 - 2:20MIAWaiters 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)55
65.0%
41
35.0%
Q2 - 2:36MIAHeat Rebound53
62.0%
41
38.0%
Q2 - 2:36HOUMISS Anderson 6' Jump Shot53
61.1%
41
38.9%
Q2 - 2:48HOUNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)53
59.3%
41
40.7%
Q2 - 2:49MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
60.1%
41
39.9%
Q2 - 3:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
60.1%
41
39.9%
Q2 - 3:07HOUMISS Nene 3' Layup53
59.1%
41
40.9%
Q2 - 3:12HOUNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)53
56.8%
41
43.2%
Q2 - 3:14HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
59.2%
41
40.8%
Q2 - 3:27MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)53
56.9%
41
43.1%
Q2 - 3:27MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)50
51.5%
41
48.5%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS Waiters 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
49.1%
41
50.9%
Q2 - 3:58HOUHarden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)50
51.6%
41
48.4%
Q2 - 4:12MIABabbitt 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)50
55.3%
38
44.7%
Q2 - 4:27MIAHeat Rebound47
49.7%
38
50.3%
Q2 - 4:29HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
48.8%
38
51.2%
Q2 - 4:32HOUNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)47
46.8%
38
53.2%
Q2 - 4:33HOUMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot47
48.8%
38
51.2%
Q2 - 4:39HOUNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)47
46.8%
38
53.2%
Q2 - 4:40HOUMISS Gordon Layup47
48.8%
38
51.2%
Q2 - 4:51MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)47
46.8%
38
53.2%
Q2 - 4:51MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)44
41.2%
38
58.8%
Q2 - 4:52MIAMISS Waiters 17' Jump Shot44
39.3%
38
60.7%
Q2 - 5:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)44
40.6%
38
59.4%
Q2 - 5:06HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
39.8%
38
60.2%
Q2 - 5:20MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)44
37.8%
38
62.2%
Q2 - 5:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)41
32.9%
38
67.1%
Q2 - 5:29MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup41
31.1%
38
68.9%
Q2 - 5:46HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)41
32.9%
38
67.1%
Q2 - 5:57MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (4 PTS)41
37.8%
35
62.2%
Q2 - 6:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
35.1%
35
64.9%
Q2 - 6:05HOUMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
34.2%
35
65.8%
Q2 - 6:22MIAJohnson 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)39
32.1%
35
67.9%
Q2 - 6:24MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)37
30.4%
35
69.6%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Whiteside 14' Turnaround Hook Shot37
28.4%
35
71.6%
Q2 - 6:44MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
30.4%
35
69.6%
Q2 - 6:46MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
28.4%
35
71.6%
Q2 - 6:55MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
30.4%
35
69.6%
Q2 - 6:56MIAMISS Ellington 11' Jump Shot37
28.4%
35
71.6%
Q2 - 7:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
29.9%
35
70.1%
Q2 - 7:07MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
28.3%
35
71.7%
Q2 - 7:28HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)37
29.9%
35
70.1%
Q2 - 7:39MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
27.6%
35
72.4%
Q2 - 7:39MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 236
26.9%
35
73.1%
Q2 - 8:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
27.8%
35
72.2%
Q2 - 8:00HOUMISS Beverley Free Throw 2 of 236
27.5%
35
72.5%
Q2 - 8:00HOUBeverley Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)36
26.1%
35
73.9%
Q2 - 8:11HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
28.0%
34
72.0%
Q2 - 8:18MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
29.6%
34
70.4%
Q2 - 8:19MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
28.0%
34
72.0%
Q2 - 8:39HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
29.6%
34
70.4%
Q2 - 8:39HOUBrewer 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)36
29.6%
34
70.4%
Q2 - 8:41HOUMISS Beverley 13' Jump Shot36
33.3%
32
66.7%
Q2 - 9:01MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P3.T6)36
31.2%
32
68.8%
Q2 - 9:11HOUCapela 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)36
33.6%
32
66.4%
Q2 - 9:25MIAReed Backcourt Turnover (P1.T5)36
35.7%
30
64.3%
Q2 - 9:29MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
38.2%
30
61.8%
Q2 - 9:30MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
36.4%
30
63.6%
Q2 - 9:48HOUGordon Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)36
38.3%
30
61.7%
Q2 - 10:01MIAEllington 21' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)36
35.5%
30
64.5%
Q2 - 10:17MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
33.6%
30
66.4%
Q2 - 10:18HOUMISS Beverley 4' Floating Jump Shot34
32.8%
30
67.2%
Q2 - 10:37HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
31.1%
30
68.9%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 10:47MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
33.6%
30
66.4%
Q2 - 10:48HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
32.8%
30
67.2%
Q2 - 10:55HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
31.1%
30
68.9%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
31.9%
30
68.1%
Q2 - 11:08MIAHeat Rebound34
32.7%
30
67.3%
Q2 - 11:09MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot34
31.2%
30
68.8%
Q2 - 11:25HOUBeverley 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)34
32.8%
30
67.2%
Q2 - 11:35HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Johnson 20' Pullup Jump Shot34
35.6%
28
64.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU34
37.2%
28
62.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAGordon STEAL (1 STL)34
34.7%
28
65.3%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)34
36.2%
28
63.8%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)34
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q1 - 0:23.0HOUROCKETS Rebound34
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
39.6%
26
60.4%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
40.7%
26
59.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q1 - 0:44.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q1 - 0:45.0HOUMISS Dekker 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
40.2%
26
59.8%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAWaiters 2' Tip Layup Shot (6 PTS)34
39.1%
26
60.9%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Waiters 1' Layup32
35.2%
26
64.8%
Q1 - 1:07MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
36.1%
26
63.9%
Q1 - 1:08HOUMISS Gordon 8' Fadeaway Jumper32
35.6%
26
64.4%
Q1 - 1:24MIAJohnson 14' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Waiters 3 AST)32
34.5%
26
65.5%
Q1 - 1:45HOUNene Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)30
31.9%
26
68.1%
Q1 - 1:56HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
34.5%
24
65.5%
Q1 - 1:57HOUMISS Gordon 2' Driving Layup30
35.6%
24
64.4%
Q1 - 2:05HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
34.3%
24
65.7%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Reed 10' Turnaround Jump Shot30
34.8%
24
65.2%
Q1 - 2:31HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)30
36.2%
24
63.8%
Q1 - 2:46HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
38.6%
22
61.4%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 2 of 230
38.9%
22
61.1%
Q1 - 2:46MIAReed Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
40.0%
22
60.0%
Q1 - 2:58HOUNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
38.3%
22
61.7%
Q1 - 2:58HOUMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 229
39.1%
21
60.9%
Q1 - 3:14MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)29
37.5%
21
62.5%
Q1 - 3:30MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
33.7%
21
66.3%
Q1 - 3:32HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot26
33.0%
21
67.0%
Q1 - 3:36MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)26
31.5%
21
68.5%
Q1 - 4:03HOUGordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)26
33.2%
21
66.8%
Q1 - 4:14MIAWaiters 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)26
36.8%
18
63.2%
Q1 - 4:19MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
35.2%
18
64.8%
Q1 - 4:19HOUMISS Harden 1' Layup24
34.5%
18
65.5%
Q1 - 4:25MIANene STEAL (1 STL)24
32.8%
18
67.2%
Q1 - 4:29HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)24
35.2%
18
64.8%
Q1 - 4:43MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)24
32.8%
18
67.2%
Q1 - 4:43MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 223
32.4%
18
67.6%
Q1 - 4:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
33.2%
18
66.8%
Q1 - 4:58HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
32.5%
18
67.5%
Q1 - 5:11MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
30.1%
18
69.9%
Q1 - 5:24HOUNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
26.9%
18
73.1%
Q1 - 5:24HOUMISS Nene Free Throw 1 of 220
27.4%
17
72.6%
Q1 - 5:35HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)20
26.7%
17
73.3%
Q1 - 5:36HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
28.0%
17
72.0%
Q1 - 5:50MIAWaiters 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)20
26.7%
17
73.3%
Q1 - 6:04HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
24.9%
17
75.1%
Q1 - 6:04HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 218
25.0%
16
75.0%
Q1 - 6:11MIAWhiteside 5' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)18
24.7%
16
75.3%
Q1 - 6:36HOUNene Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)16
23.4%
16
76.6%
Q1 - 6:44MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
26.3%
13
73.7%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 215
26.0%
13
74.0%
Q1 - 7:01MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
26.0%
13
74.0%
Q1 - 7:01HOUMISS Anderson 1' Tip Layup Shot15
25.5%
13
74.5%
Q1 - 7:02HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
24.3%
13
75.7%
Q1 - 7:04HOUMISS Beverley 1' Layup15
25.5%
13
74.5%
Q1 - 7:20MIADragic 2' Layup (6 PTS)15
24.3%
13
75.7%
Q1 - 7:34HOUBeverley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 7:34HOUBeverley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
23.4%
12
76.6%
Q1 - 7:48MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)13
24.3%
11
75.7%
Q1 - 8:07HOUHarden 14' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
23.0%
11
77.0%
Q1 - 8:20MIAMcGruder 1' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)11
24.2%
9
75.8%
Q1 - 8:44HOUCapela Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)9
23.0%
9
77.0%
Q1 - 8:52MIAAriza STEAL (1 STL)9
24.2%
7
75.8%
Q1 - 9:07HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (2 PTS)9
25.6%
7
74.4%
Q1 - 9:07HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (1 PTS)9
25.8%
6
74.2%
Q1 - 9:07HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 39
26.0%
5
74.0%
Q1 - 9:15MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)9
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 9:37HOUAnderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)7
25.6%
5
74.4%
Q1 - 9:46MIADragic 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)7
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 10:01HOUBeverley 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 10:21MIAWhiteside 11' Hook Shot (2 PTS)5
28.1%
0
71.9%
Q1 - 10:41HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)3
26.8%
0
73.2%
Q1 - 10:45HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS McGruder 13' Jump Shot3
25.7%
0
74.3%
Q1 - 11:01MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 11:05HOUMISS Ariza 1' Layup3
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 11:10HOUROCKETS Rebound3
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 11:10MIAHarden BLOCK (1 BLK)3
25.6%
0
74.4%
Q1 - 11:17MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 11:18HOUMISS Capela 3' Jump Shot3
26.1%
0
73.9%
Q1 - 11:30MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)3
25.2%
0
74.8%
Q1 - 11:47HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
22.5%
0
77.5%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Capela vs. Whiteside: Tip to Anderson0
21.3%
0
78.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.7%
HOU
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
23
83%
HOU
18
36
50%
Midrange
MIA
12
26
46%
HOU
5
11
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
HOU
13
19.5
40
33%
49%
Free Throws
MIA
16
24
67%
HOU
24
31
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters2361%11.5 / 19
H. Whiteside2372%11.5 / 16
G. Dragic2162%10.5 / 17
T. Johnson1667%8.0 / 12
R. McGruder1169%5.5 / 8
L. Babbitt9113%4.5 / 4
J. Johnson630%3.0 / 10
W. Ellington550%2.5 / 5
W. Reed350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3868%19.0 / 28
R. Anderson1753%8.5 / 16
C. Capela1275%6.0 / 8
E. Gordon1240%6.0 / 15
Nene850%4.0 / 8
P. Beverley750%3.5 / 7
S. Dekker650%3.0 / 6
T. Ariza536%2.5 / 7
C. Brewer450%2.0 / 4
M. Harrell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+15
-11
98
HOU
85
+16
-8
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.7%
HOU
1.08 54.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
114.9
MIA 124.5 +7.3
HOU 117.2
Pace
95.0
100.0
MIA 84.3
HOU 105.1 +20.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
13.8
MIA 17.1
HOU 13.7 +3.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
54.5%
MIA 60.1% +11.2%
HOU 48.9%
TO %
13.2%
14.4%
MIA 11.3%
HOU 7.4% +3.9%
ORB %
24.2%
24.6%
MIA 31.6% +1.0%
HOU 30.6%
FTrt
25.1
30.4
MIA 28.6
HOU 35.6 +7.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
62.6%
MIA 61.4% +0.3%
HOU 61.1%
STL %
7.5%
8.1%
MIA 3.2%
HOU 6.5% +3.3%
BLK %
9.3%
7.2%
MIA 14.9% +12.9%
HOU 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
57.2%
MIA 59.7% +5.7%
HOU 54.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
61.6%
MIA 82.6% +32.6%
HOU 50.0%
Mid FG%
39.4%
40.5%
MIA 46.2% +0.7%
HOU 45.5%
3P %
36.5%
35.7%
MIA 37.1% +4.6%
HOU 32.5%
FT %
70.6%
76.6%
MIA 66.7%
HOU 77.4% +10.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
37.6%
MIA 27.4%
HOU 41.4% +14.0%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
16.1%
MIA 31.0%
HOU 12.6% +18.3%
3P Att. %
31.4%
46.2%
MIA 41.7%
HOU 46.0% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.04 and 3.04.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9493
Possession Minutes26.821.2
Points117109
Rebounds4641
Assists2722
Steals36
Blocks71
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (3)15 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)26 (4)
Field Goals44-8436-87
At-the-Rim FG19-2318-36
Midrange FG12-265-11
2-Point FG31-4923-47
3-Point FG13-3513-40
Free Throws16-2424-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 215 · 25
36.5
23
61%
10
7
0
0
1
3
1
9
3-4
75%
4-8
50%
4-9
44%
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
33.0
21
62%
1
5
0
0
1
3
0
1
5-7
71%
8-9
89%
0-5
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
31.4
23
72%
14
1
0
5
1
4
3
11
5-8
63%
9-13
69%
0-0
-
F · 6'4" 200 · 26
27.1
11
69%
1
2
2
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
17.5
9
113%
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-4
75%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
32.7
16
67%
7
4
0
0
2
2
4
3
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
30.5
6
30%
6
5
1
0
4
4
0
6
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
· 6'11" 245 · 27
16.2
3
50%
6
1
0
1
1
1
2
4
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
15.2
5
50%
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 215 · 25
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
G · 6'5" 226 · 23
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#20 · F · 6'7" 225 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
117
60%
46
27
3
7
11
0
12
34
16-24
67%
31-49
63%
13-35
37%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.