FinalWin Prob.pScore
2933%99
116
1767%105
107
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
112.6103108.1
MIA logo MIA
104.910297.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL116
100%
107
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)116
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Waiters 1' Driving Layup116
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)116
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:19.0ORLIbaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)115
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0ORLMagic Rebound114
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot114
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)114
99.4%
107
0.6%
Q4 - 0:25.0ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 1 of 2113
99.3%
107
0.7%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:13)113
99.5%
107
0.5%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup113
99.3%
107
0.7%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:18)113
98.4%
107
1.6%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Payton 12' Jump Shot113
98.9%
107
1.1%
Q4 - 0:53.0ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)113
98.0%
107
2.0%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAMISS Dragic 12' Floating Jump Shot113
97.5%
107
2.5%
Q4 - 1:01ORLFournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)113
95.2%
107
4.8%
Q4 - 1:14MIAWaiters 18' Fadeaway Jumper (23 PTS)110
83.5%
107
16.5%
Q4 - 1:30ORLFournier 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)110
86.8%
105
13.2%
Q4 - 1:42MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)108
78.7%
105
21.3%
Q4 - 1:42MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)108
80.3%
104
19.7%
Q4 - 1:44MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)108
85.2%
103
14.8%
Q4 - 1:45ORLMISS Vucevic 20' Jump Shot108
87.0%
103
13.0%
Q4 - 2:15ORLMagic Rebound108
95.9%
101
4.1%
Q4 - 2:15ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)108
92.2%
101
7.8%
Q4 - 2:15ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 1 of 2107
91.4%
101
8.6%
Q4 - 2:31MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T15)107
93.6%
101
6.4%
Q4 - 2:50ORLFournier 17' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)107
87.8%
101
12.2%
Q4 - 3:05MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Waiters 6 AST)105
82.3%
101
17.7%
Q4 - 3:11ORLFournier 2' Reverse Layup (17 PTS)105
90.4%
98
9.6%
Q4 - 3:18ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)103
87.9%
98
12.1%
Q4 - 3:19MIAMISS Dragic 10' Floating Jump Shot103
85.8%
98
14.2%
Q4 - 3:40MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)103
76.0%
98
24.0%
Q4 - 3:41ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 2 of 2103
77.0%
98
23.0%
Q4 - 3:41ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)103
80.7%
98
19.3%
Q4 - 3:42MIAWaiters Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T14)102
76.6%
98
23.4%
Q4 - 3:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:17)102
69.0%
98
31.0%
Q4 - 3:52ORLMISS Vucevic 18' Jump Shot102
71.6%
98
28.4%
Q4 - 4:03MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)102
77.2%
98
22.8%
Q4 - 4:03MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)102
78.4%
97
21.6%
Q4 - 4:06ORLJohnson STEAL (2 STL)102
82.8%
96
17.2%
Q4 - 4:08ORLMagic Rebound102
87.8%
96
12.2%
Q4 - 4:09ORLDragic BLOCK (1 BLK)102
84.5%
96
15.5%
Q4 - 4:23ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)102
88.0%
96
12.0%
Q4 - 4:24MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
86.6%
96
13.4%
Q4 - 4:50ORLPayton 1' Cutting Layup Shot (20 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)102
83.2%
96
16.8%
Q4 - 5:07ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)100
72.6%
96
27.4%
Q4 - 5:08MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
70.4%
96
29.6%
Q4 - 5:27ORLIbaka 17' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)100
65.2%
96
34.8%
Q4 - 5:50MIAWhiteside 4' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)98
57.9%
96
42.1%
Q4 - 5:56MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)98
65.4%
94
34.6%
Q4 - 5:57MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot98
70.8%
94
29.2%
Q4 - 6:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:16)98
61.3%
94
38.7%
Q4 - 6:06ORLMISS Ibaka 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot98
63.9%
94
36.1%
Q4 - 6:22MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)98
69.4%
94
30.6%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 298
71.1%
93
28.9%
Q4 - 6:44ORLHezonja 1' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)98
68.5%
93
31.5%
Q4 - 6:50ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)96
62.7%
93
37.3%
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup96
60.2%
93
39.8%
Q4 - 7:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:15)96
54.3%
93
45.7%
Q4 - 7:01ORLMISS Payton 18' Jump Shot96
54.6%
93
45.4%
Q4 - 7:17MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)96
59.8%
93
40.2%
Q4 - 7:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:14)96
52.4%
93
47.6%
Q4 - 7:44ORLMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
54.7%
93
45.3%
Q4 - 8:05ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)96
57.5%
93
42.5%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot96
55.6%
93
44.4%
Q4 - 8:22ORLPayton 1' Driving Layup (18 PTS)96
51.3%
93
48.7%
Q4 - 8:27ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)94
44.7%
93
55.3%
Q4 - 8:28MIAMISS Reed 4' Hook Shot94
42.8%
93
57.2%
Q4 - 8:51ORLPayton 2' Running Layup (16 PTS)94
38.6%
93
61.4%
Q4 - 8:55ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
32.6%
93
67.4%
Q4 - 8:56MIAMISS White 9' Jump Shot92
30.9%
93
69.1%
Q4 - 9:21ORLHezonja 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)92
27.1%
93
72.9%
Q4 - 9:33MIAJohnson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)89
18.8%
93
81.2%
Q4 - 9:45MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
22.6%
91
77.4%
Q4 - 9:46ORLMISS Payton 15' Jump Shot89
24.0%
91
76.0%
Q4 - 10:10ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)89
27.6%
91
72.4%
Q4 - 10:11MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
26.2%
91
73.8%
Q4 - 10:30MIAHEAT Rebound89
22.9%
91
77.1%
Q4 - 10:31ORLJohnson BLOCK (3 BLK)89
24.3%
91
75.7%
Q4 - 10:48MIAJohnson 16' Jump Shot (11 PTS)89
27.6%
91
72.4%
Q4 - 10:58MIAJohnson Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (9 PTS)89
32.1%
89
67.9%
Q4 - 10:58MIAJohnson Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (8 PTS)89
33.2%
88
66.8%
Q4 - 10:58ORLAugustin Foul Turnover (P1.T13)89
42.8%
87
57.2%
Q4 - 11:08ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
48.2%
87
51.8%
Q4 - 11:09MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup89
46.4%
87
53.6%
Q4 - 11:20ORLBiyombo Dunk (2 PTS)89
42.5%
87
57.5%
Q4 - 11:23ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)87
37.5%
87
62.5%
Q4 - 11:24ORLMISS Augustin 18' Jump Shot87
33.9%
87
66.1%
Q4 - 11:40ORLHezonja REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
37.5%
87
62.5%
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
35.9%
87
64.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL87
32.3%
87
67.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMagic Rebound87
37.5%
87
62.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Payton 3' Driving Layup87
33.8%
87
66.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAJohnson 19' Step Back Bank Jump Shot (9 PTS)87
36.9%
87
63.1%
Q3 - 0:25.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
42.0%
85
58.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Payton 16' Jump Shot87
43.5%
85
56.5%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)87
47.0%
85
53.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0ORLHezonja 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)87
57.4%
82
42.6%
Q3 - 1:05MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
46.0%
82
54.0%
Q3 - 1:05MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)84
47.3%
81
52.7%
Q3 - 1:14ORLGreen 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Hezonja 1 AST)84
50.7%
80
49.3%
Q3 - 1:35MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)82
46.0%
80
54.0%
Q3 - 1:47ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)82
50.8%
78
49.2%
Q3 - 1:47ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)81
49.3%
78
50.7%
Q3 - 1:47ORLMagic Rebound80
46.1%
78
53.9%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Waiters 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
44.5%
78
55.5%
Q3 - 1:59MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
41.2%
78
58.8%
Q3 - 2:00ORLMISS Fournier 10' Jump Shot80
42.6%
78
57.4%
Q3 - 2:13MIAReed Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)80
44.7%
78
55.3%
Q3 - 2:14MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)80
39.8%
78
60.2%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Ellington 20' Jump Shot80
43.2%
78
56.8%
Q3 - 2:32ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)80
39.9%
78
60.1%
Q3 - 2:32ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 279
38.5%
78
61.5%
Q3 - 2:42ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)79
40.3%
78
59.7%
Q3 - 2:43MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot79
38.8%
78
61.2%
Q3 - 2:49ORLJohnson STEAL (1 STL)79
35.6%
78
64.4%
Q3 - 3:01MIAJohnson 6' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)79
39.9%
78
60.1%
Q3 - 3:19ORLVucevic 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)79
44.0%
76
56.0%
Q3 - 3:38MIAWaiters 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
39.9%
76
60.1%
Q3 - 3:59ORLPayton 8' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)77
44.0%
74
56.0%
Q3 - 4:14MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Waiters 5 AST)75
39.5%
74
60.5%
Q3 - 4:44ORLIbaka Dunk (13 PTS)75
47.3%
71
52.7%
Q3 - 4:47ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)73
43.7%
71
56.3%
Q3 - 4:48ORLMISS Vucevic 12' Jump Shot73
40.3%
71
59.7%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMcGruder 2' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)73
43.0%
71
57.0%
Q3 - 5:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:13)73
46.6%
69
53.4%
Q3 - 5:19ORLMISS Vucevic 19' Jump Shot73
48.0%
69
52.0%
Q3 - 5:30ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)73
51.2%
69
48.8%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
49.8%
69
50.2%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
46.6%
69
53.4%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Waiters 2' Layup73
49.8%
69
50.2%
Q3 - 6:00ORLGordon 2' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Vucevic 3 AST)73
46.6%
69
53.4%
Q3 - 6:10MIAWaiters Running Dunk (19 PTS)71
42.0%
69
58.0%
Q3 - 6:16ORLWaiters STEAL (2 STL)71
45.6%
67
54.4%
Q3 - 6:31MIAWhiteside 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)71
50.0%
67
50.0%
Q3 - 6:43MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
53.7%
65
46.3%
Q3 - 6:44ORLMISS Fournier Free Throw 2 of 271
54.3%
65
45.7%
Q3 - 6:44ORLMISS Fournier Free Throw 1 of 271
57.0%
65
43.0%
Q3 - 6:55MIAMcGruder 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Waiters 4 AST)71
57.9%
65
42.1%
Q3 - 7:07MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
60.0%
63
40.0%
Q3 - 7:08ORLMISS Gordon Free Throw 2 of 271
60.6%
63
39.4%
Q3 - 7:08ORLGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)71
62.6%
63
37.4%
Q3 - 7:11ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)70
60.6%
63
39.4%
Q3 - 7:12MIAMISS Waiters 9' Floating Jump Shot70
59.3%
63
40.7%
Q3 - 7:26MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
56.3%
63
43.7%
Q3 - 7:27ORLMISS Vucevic 20' Jump Shot70
57.6%
63
42.4%
Q3 - 7:49ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)70
60.6%
63
39.4%
Q3 - 7:50ORLMISS Vucevic 16' Jump Shot70
57.6%
63
42.4%
Q3 - 8:00ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)70
60.6%
63
39.4%
Q3 - 8:01MIAMISS Dragic 4' Floating Jump Shot70
58.5%
63
41.5%
Q3 - 8:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)70
55.5%
63
44.5%
Q3 - 8:14ORLMISS Watson 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
56.8%
63
43.2%
Q3 - 8:20MIAWhiteside Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)70
59.9%
63
40.1%
Q3 - 8:35ORLFournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Vucevic 2 AST)70
55.5%
63
44.5%
Q3 - 8:46MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T10)67
48.7%
63
51.3%
Q3 - 9:09ORLGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)67
43.4%
63
56.6%
Q3 - 9:09ORLMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 266
42.4%
63
57.6%
Q3 - 9:19MIADragic 4' Driving Bank Shot (18 PTS)66
43.6%
63
56.4%
Q3 - 9:29ORLVucevic 6' Hook Bank Shot (8 PTS)66
47.0%
61
53.0%
Q3 - 9:47MIADragic 3' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)64
43.7%
61
56.3%
Q3 - 9:48MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)64
47.1%
59
52.9%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS Dragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot64
49.7%
59
50.3%
Q3 - 10:06MIAWaiters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
46.0%
59
54.0%
Q3 - 10:07ORLMISS Fournier 10' Jump Shot64
47.2%
59
52.8%
Q3 - 10:26MIAWaiters 16' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)64
49.9%
59
50.1%
Q3 - 10:41ORLGordon Foul Turnover (P2.T10)64
53.1%
57
46.9%
Q3 - 10:44MIAMcGruder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)64
56.9%
57
43.1%
Q3 - 11:02ORLIbaka 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)64
52.0%
57
48.0%
Q3 - 11:10ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)62
48.7%
57
51.3%
Q3 - 11:11MIAMISS Whiteside 15' Jump Shot62
47.6%
57
52.4%
Q3 - 11:21MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
45.2%
57
54.8%
Q3 - 11:22ORLMISS Gordon 2' Running Layup62
46.3%
57
53.7%
Q3 - 11:28MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)62
48.8%
57
51.2%
Q3 - 11:47ORLVucevic 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Fournier 4 AST)62
45.2%
57
54.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL60
42.1%
57
57.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIADragic 1' Running Layup (14 PTS)60
42.1%
57
57.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)60
45.1%
55
54.9%
Q2 - 0:05.0ORLMISS Fournier 6' Jump Shot60
45.8%
55
54.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAWhiteside 2' Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)60
47.3%
55
52.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)60
51.7%
53
48.3%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Dragic 9' Jump Shot60
53.2%
53
46.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0ORLIbaka 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)60
51.7%
53
48.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
44.1%
53
55.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Waiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q2 - 1:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)57
41.8%
53
58.2%
Q2 - 1:05ORLMISS Vucevic 7' Floating Jump Shot57
42.3%
53
57.7%
Q2 - 1:24MIAWaiters 17' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)57
43.4%
53
56.6%
Q2 - 1:32ORLWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)57
48.1%
51
51.9%
Q2 - 1:45MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)57
49.7%
51
50.3%
Q2 - 1:56MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)57
57.7%
48
42.3%
Q2 - 1:57ORLMISS Watson 3' Driving Layup57
58.2%
48
41.8%
Q2 - 2:10MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
58.8%
48
41.2%
Q2 - 2:10MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
59.4%
47
40.6%
Q2 - 2:11MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
61.9%
46
38.1%
Q2 - 2:12ORLMISS Vucevic 10' Turnaround Jump Shot57
62.8%
46
37.2%
Q2 - 2:21MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)57
64.7%
46
35.3%
Q2 - 2:40ORLVucevic Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)57
62.1%
46
37.9%
Q2 - 2:41ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)57
64.7%
46
35.3%
Q2 - 2:42ORLMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
62.9%
46
37.1%
Q2 - 2:51MIAWaiters Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)57
64.7%
46
35.3%
Q2 - 2:53ORLWaiters STEAL (1 STL)57
70.4%
43
29.6%
Q2 - 3:09ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)57
71.0%
43
29.0%
Q2 - 3:10ORLMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
69.0%
43
31.0%
Q2 - 3:16ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)57
71.0%
43
29.0%
Q2 - 3:17MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Alley Oop Layup57
70.2%
43
29.8%
Q2 - 3:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)57
68.2%
43
31.8%
Q2 - 3:36ORLMISS Fournier Free Throw 1 of 157
68.6%
43
31.4%
Q2 - 3:51MIAWaiters 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
66.0%
43
34.0%
Q2 - 4:10ORLPayton 15' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)55
66.7%
41
33.3%
Q2 - 4:20ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)53
64.1%
41
35.9%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
63.3%
41
36.7%
Q2 - 4:37MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)53
61.5%
41
38.5%
Q2 - 4:38ORLMISS Green 9' Jump Shot53
62.3%
41
37.7%
Q2 - 4:57ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
64.2%
41
35.8%
Q2 - 4:58MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
63.4%
41
36.6%
Q2 - 5:13ORLGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)53
60.5%
41
39.5%
Q2 - 5:29MIAWaiters Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T6)50
55.3%
41
44.7%
Q2 - 5:46ORLGreen 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)50
52.3%
41
47.7%
Q2 - 5:53ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)48
49.7%
41
50.3%
Q2 - 5:54MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot48
48.8%
41
51.2%
Q2 - 6:04ORLFournier Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T6)48
45.9%
41
54.1%
Q2 - 6:17MIAWaiters Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)48
49.3%
41
50.7%
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS Waiters Free Throw 1 of 248
50.0%
40
50.0%
Q2 - 6:33ORLPayton Running Dunk (7 PTS) (Fournier 3 AST)48
48.6%
40
51.4%
Q2 - 6:38MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)46
46.6%
40
53.4%
Q2 - 6:51ORLFournier 18' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
43.3%
40
56.7%
Q2 - 7:03ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
40.4%
40
59.6%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS White 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
39.6%
40
60.4%
Q2 - 7:14MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
37.8%
40
62.2%
Q2 - 7:15ORLMISS Fournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
38.6%
40
61.4%
Q2 - 7:28MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)44
40.5%
40
59.5%
Q2 - 7:28MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 244
41.3%
39
58.7%
Q2 - 7:45ORLGreen 2' Layup (6 PTS)44
40.3%
39
59.7%
Q2 - 8:12MIAEllington 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)42
37.6%
39
62.4%
Q2 - 8:25ORLAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)42
42.3%
36
57.7%
Q2 - 8:39MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T4)39
37.6%
36
62.4%
Q2 - 8:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
35.1%
36
64.9%
Q2 - 8:45ORLMISS Green 1' Layup39
35.8%
36
64.2%
Q2 - 8:58ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)39
37.6%
36
62.4%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 239
36.9%
36
63.1%
Q2 - 9:01MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)39
35.4%
36
64.6%
Q2 - 9:04MIAWhite REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
37.0%
35
63.0%
Q2 - 9:05ORLWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)39
37.8%
35
62.2%
Q2 - 9:11ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
39.6%
35
60.4%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot39
38.8%
35
61.2%
Q2 - 9:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
37.0%
35
63.0%
Q2 - 9:18ORLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)39
37.8%
35
62.2%
Q2 - 9:30ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)39
39.6%
35
60.4%
Q2 - 9:31ORLMISS Hezonja 20' Jump Shot39
37.8%
35
62.2%
Q2 - 9:48MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)39
39.7%
35
60.3%
Q2 - 9:48MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)39
40.1%
34
59.9%
Q2 - 9:48MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)39
40.7%
33
59.3%
Q2 - 9:52ORLWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)39
44.3%
32
55.7%
Q2 - 9:53ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)39
47.1%
32
52.9%
Q2 - 9:54ORLWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)39
45.1%
32
54.9%
Q2 - 10:10MIAJohnson 9' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (4 PTS)39
46.8%
32
53.2%
Q2 - 10:35ORLHezonja 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)39
48.9%
30
51.1%
Q2 - 11:03MIAJohnson 10' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
43.3%
30
56.7%
Q2 - 11:23ORLHezonja Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)36
45.7%
28
54.3%
Q2 - 11:25ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)36
48.2%
28
51.8%
Q2 - 11:26ORLMISS Augustin 17' Jump Shot36
46.5%
28
53.5%
Q2 - 11:42ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
48.3%
28
51.7%
Q2 - 11:43ORLJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)36
46.5%
28
53.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL36
48.3%
28
51.7%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIADragic 8' Pullup Bank Shot (7 PTS)36
47.1%
28
52.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)36
50.2%
26
49.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)35
49.4%
26
50.6%
Q1 - 0:36.0ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
47.2%
26
52.8%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot34
46.7%
26
53.3%
Q1 - 1:02ORLPayton Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)34
45.3%
26
54.7%
Q1 - 1:12MIAWhiteside 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
40.1%
26
59.9%
Q1 - 1:31MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
43.0%
24
57.0%
Q1 - 1:32ORLMISS Payton 10' Jump Shot31
43.5%
24
56.5%
Q1 - 1:46MIADragic 2' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)31
44.7%
24
55.3%
Q1 - 1:52MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
47.6%
22
52.4%
Q1 - 1:53ORLMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
48.2%
22
51.8%
Q1 - 2:05ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)31
49.4%
22
50.6%
Q1 - 2:06MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
48.8%
22
51.2%
Q1 - 2:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
47.3%
22
52.7%
Q1 - 2:17ORLJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)31
48.0%
22
52.0%
Q1 - 2:29MIADragic Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)31
49.4%
22
50.6%
Q1 - 2:29MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)31
49.9%
21
50.1%
Q1 - 2:29MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)31
50.4%
20
49.6%
Q1 - 2:40ORLGreen 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)31
54.3%
19
45.7%
Q1 - 2:45MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)29
51.7%
19
48.3%
Q1 - 2:58ORLGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
49.7%
19
50.3%
Q1 - 2:58ORLGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
49.3%
19
50.7%
Q1 - 3:00ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)27
47.1%
19
52.9%
Q1 - 3:01MIAMISS Reed 8' Jump Shot27
45.6%
19
54.4%
Q1 - 3:15ORLFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)27
44.0%
19
56.0%
Q1 - 3:15ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)26
43.6%
19
56.4%
Q1 - 3:22MIAWaiters Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)25
42.0%
19
58.0%
Q1 - 3:39ORLIbaka 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)25
39.6%
19
60.4%
Q1 - 3:58MIAWaiters 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
37.7%
19
62.3%
Q1 - 4:15ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)23
41.1%
16
58.9%
Q1 - 4:15ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)22
40.6%
16
59.4%
Q1 - 4:28MIAWaiters Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)21
39.4%
16
60.6%
Q1 - 4:43MIAHEAT Rebound21
36.9%
16
63.1%
Q1 - 4:44ORLMISS Ibaka 16' Jump Shot21
37.7%
16
62.3%
Q1 - 4:59MIAWaiters 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)21
39.4%
16
60.6%
Q1 - 5:13ORLWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)21
40.1%
14
59.9%
Q1 - 5:22ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
36.4%
14
63.6%
Q1 - 5:23MIAMISS McGruder 9' Jump Shot18
35.7%
14
64.3%
Q1 - 5:37ORLFournier 8' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)18
34.3%
14
65.7%
Q1 - 5:52MIABabbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Waiters 2 AST)16
32.6%
14
67.4%
Q1 - 6:05ORLIbaka 10' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
35.5%
11
64.5%
Q1 - 6:09ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)14
33.8%
11
66.2%
Q1 - 6:10ORLMISS Watson 8' Jump Shot14
32.5%
11
67.5%
Q1 - 6:24ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
33.9%
11
66.1%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMISS Waiters 3PT Jump Shot14
33.3%
11
66.7%
Q1 - 6:37ORLWatson Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)14
32.0%
11
68.0%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMcGruder 2' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)14
33.9%
11
66.1%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
35.5%
9
64.5%
Q1 - 6:52MIAMISS Reed 9' Jump Shot14
36.9%
9
63.1%
Q1 - 7:15ORLWatson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
34.8%
9
65.2%
Q1 - 7:25ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
33.4%
9
66.6%
Q1 - 7:26ORLMISS Fournier 10' Jump Shot12
32.0%
9
68.0%
Q1 - 7:45ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)12
33.4%
9
66.6%
Q1 - 7:46MIAMISS Dragic 13' Pullup Jump Shot12
32.8%
9
67.2%
Q1 - 7:56ORLFournier Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)12
31.5%
9
68.5%
Q1 - 8:07MIAReed Dunk (2 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)12
33.2%
9
66.8%
Q1 - 8:13ORLDragic STEAL (1 STL)12
34.7%
7
65.3%
Q1 - 8:28MIAMcGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Waiters 1 AST)12
36.6%
7
63.4%
Q1 - 8:41ORLFournier 13' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
40.0%
4
60.0%
Q1 - 9:00MIAWaiters 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
38.4%
4
61.6%
Q1 - 9:16ORLGordon 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)10
39.5%
2
60.5%
Q1 - 9:22ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)8
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 9:23ORLMISS Fournier 19' Jump Shot8
36.7%
2
63.3%
Q1 - 9:31ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Dragic 16' Pullup Jump Shot8
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 9:44ORLFournier 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)8
36.1%
2
63.9%
Q1 - 9:50ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 9:51MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
34.1%
2
65.9%
Q1 - 10:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 10:05ORLMISS Vucevic 7' Hook Shot6
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 10:08ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 10:09ORLMISS Watson 18' Jump Shot6
33.1%
2
66.9%
Q1 - 10:20ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
34.4%
2
65.6%
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 10:34ORLGordon Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)6
32.6%
2
67.4%
Q1 - 10:35ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 10:36ORLMISS Gordon 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup4
29.9%
2
70.1%
Q1 - 10:46ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
31.2%
2
68.8%
Q1 - 10:47MIAMISS McGruder 9' Floating Jump Shot4
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 10:58ORLVucevic 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)4
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 11:05ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.8%
2
72.2%
Q1 - 11:06MIAMISS Waiters 2' Driving Layup2
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 11:21ORLIbaka 8' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
26.5%
2
73.5%
Q1 - 11:25ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 11:26ORLMISS Vucevic 15' Jump Shot0
24.1%
2
75.9%
Q1 - 11:42MIAMcGruder 9' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Vucevic: Tip to Babbitt0
26.5%
0
73.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.2%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
19
27
70%
MIA
18
28
64%
Midrange
ORL
17
49
35%
MIA
15
33
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
8
12.0
14
57%
86%
MIA
6
9.0
22
27%
41%
Free Throws
ORL
20
29
69%
MIA
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Fournier2463%12.0 / 19
E. Payton2056%10.0 / 18
S. Ibaka1785%8.5 / 10
N. Vučević1336%6.5 / 18
J. Green1354%6.5 / 12
M. Hezonja1192%5.5 / 6
A. Gordon850%4.0 / 8
C. Watson542%2.5 / 6
D. Augustin338%1.5 / 4
B. Biyombo250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Waiters2357%11.5 / 20
G. Dragic2258%11.0 / 19
J. Johnson1568%7.5 / 11
T. Johnson1359%6.5 / 11
H. Whiteside1275%6.0 / 8
R. McGruder1155%5.5 / 10
W. Ellington643%3.0 / 7
L. Babbitt3150%1.5 / 1
W. Reed225%1.0 / 4
O. White0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
89
+17
-14
106
MIA
88
+6
-14
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.08 54.2%
MIA
1.14 56.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
108.1
ORL 112.6 +7.7
MIA 104.9
Pace
96.2
95.0
ORL 108.1 +10.7
MIA 97.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.7
ORL 13.3 +1.5
MIA 14.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
51.2%
ORL 53.3% +2.7%
MIA 50.6%
TO %
13.3%
13.2%
ORL 12.0% +1.7%
MIA 13.7%
ORB %
21.6%
24.2%
ORL 32.6% +18.6%
MIA 14.0%
FTrt
24.6
25.1
ORL 32.2
MIA 32.5 +0.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
54.4%
ORL 40.9% +5.0%
MIA 35.9%
STL %
7.3%
7.5%
ORL 8.7% +1.8%
MIA 6.9%
BLK %
8.0%
9.3%
ORL 4.9%
MIA 9.2% +4.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
52.8%
ORL 54.2%
MIA 56.9% +2.7%
Rim FG%
58.1%
59.2%
ORL 70.4% +6.1%
MIA 64.3%
Mid FG%
40.8%
39.4%
ORL 34.7%
MIA 45.5% +10.8%
3P %
32.8%
36.5%
ORL 57.1% +29.8%
MIA 27.3%
FT %
74.7%
70.6%
ORL 69.0%
MIA 85.2% +16.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
35.4%
ORL 30.0%
MIA 33.7% +3.7%
Mid Att. %
37.7%
33.1%
ORL 54.4%
MIA 39.8% +14.7%
3P Att. %
30.0%
31.4%
ORL 15.6%
MIA 26.5% +11.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsORLMIA
Possessions103102
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points116107
Rebounds5237
Assists1814
Steals97
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (2)6 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (3)31 (2)
Field Goals44-9039-83
At-the-Rim FG19-2718-28
Midrange FG17-4915-33
2-Point FG36-7633-61
3-Point FG8-146-22
Free Throws20-2923-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'7" 205 · 24
35.7
24
63%
2
4
1
0
3
2
0
2
2-5
40%
8-13
62%
2-4
50%
C · 6'10" 260 · 26
31.5
13
36%
17
3
3
0
1
2
4
13
5-8
63%
4-14
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 21
29.4
8
50%
6
3
2
1
5
3
1
5
2-4
50%
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 27
28.2
17
85%
8
0
1
1
0
3
5
3
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
16.7
5
42%
0
1
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 185 · 23
31.3
20
56%
5
4
0
0
0
2
0
5
6-7
86%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
20.2
13
54%
2
0
1
0
0
4
0
2
3-3
100%
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22
16.1
11
92%
1
1
1
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-3
100%
C · 6'9" 255 · 24
16.1
2
50%
10
1
0
1
1
3
5
5
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 183 · 29
14.8
3
38%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-3
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 228 · 31
C · 7'0" 240 · 20
#23 · G · 6'5" 195 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
54%
52
18
9
3
14
0
15
37
20-29
69%
36-76
47%
8-14
57%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.