FinalWin Prob.pScore
1818%102
97
282%114
121
ORTG#PossPace
DEN logo DEN
98.099102.7
SAS logo SAS
121.010096.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursNuggetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDENSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS97
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)97
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:31.0DENMISS O'Bryant III 11' Jump Shot97
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:46.0SASBertans Reverse Dunk (7 PTS) (Anderson 5 AST)97
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 1:02DENMiller Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T22)97
0%
119
100%
Q4 - 1:10SASSimmons 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS)97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:31SASBertans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32SASMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48DENBeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T21)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:02SASMISS Simmons 21' Jump Shot97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:19DENO'Bryant III 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (5 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41SASMurray Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Anderson 4 AST)95
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46DENAnderson STEAL (1 STL)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52SASMISS Anderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15DENO'Bryant III Foul Turnover (P1.T19)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:29DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:30SASMISS Simmons 22' Pullup Jump Shot95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53DENMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)95
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53DENMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)94
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06SASSimmons 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Anderson 3 AST)93
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19DENMurray 5' Floating Jump Shot (18 PTS)93
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26DENMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28SASMISS Murray 4' Floating Jump Shot91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44DENBeasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)91
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00SASSimmons Cutting Dunk Shot (14 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)88
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06DENBertans STEAL (1 STL)88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:17SASBertans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Anderson 2 AST)88
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31DENBeasley 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47SASSimmons 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:56SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:57DENMISS Hernangomez 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:08DENO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:09SASMISS Anderson 1' Layup86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:18DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39SASBertans Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 6:57DENMurray 18' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:14SASMurray 4' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 7:33DENO'Bryant III 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)84
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 7:43DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 7:44SASMISS Simmons 2' Layup81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:04SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:05DENAnderson BLOCK (1 BLK)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:13DENO'Bryant III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 8:14SASMISS Murray 4' Layup81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:23SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:23DENMISS Mudiay 2' Layup81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:28SASBertans Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T14)81
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 8:45DENHernangomez 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)81
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:55SASAnthony 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)78
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 8:57SASAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:58SASMISS Mills 14' Pullup Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:01SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:02DENMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:07DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 9:08DENBertans BLOCK (1 BLK)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 9:21SASSimmons 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)78
0.2%
100
99.8%
Q4 - 9:42DENBarton Foul Turnover (P3.T17)78
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 9:58SASSimmons 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)78
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 10:10SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 10:11DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)78
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 10:11DENMISS Hernangomez 2' Tip Layup Shot78
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 10:14DENMISS Nurkic 4' Jump Shot78
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 10:24DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 10:25SASMISS Bertans 2' Layup78
0.6%
95
99.4%
Q4 - 10:38DENMurray 3' Alley Oop Layup (14 PTS) (Nurkic 2 AST)78
0.5%
95
99.5%
Q4 - 10:50SASSimmons 9' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)76
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 11:02DENMurray 8' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)76
0.6%
93
99.4%
Q4 - 11:11DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)74
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 11:12DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
0.4%
93
99.6%
Q4 - 11:24SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)74
0.5%
93
99.5%
Q4 - 11:24SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)74
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 11:37DENMudiay 10' Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)74
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q4 - 11:44DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)72
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q4 - 11:45SASMISS Anderson 12' Pullup Jump Shot72
0.5%
91
99.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN72
0.4%
91
99.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMills 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Leonard 5 AST)72
0.6%
91
99.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENMudiay 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)72
1.0%
88
99.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 270
0.8%
88
99.2%
Q3 - 0:24.0SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)70
0.6%
88
99.4%
Q3 - 0:42.0DENMurray 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Barton 5 AST)70
0.8%
87
99.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)67
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 0:53.0SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 267
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 1:00DENLeonard STEAL (2 STL)67
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 1:09SASMills 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Bertans 1 AST)67
0.8%
86
99.2%
Q3 - 1:22DENMurray 24' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 1:45SASMills 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Simmons 2 AST)65
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 1:58DENHernangomez 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)65
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 2:01DENHernangomez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 2:03DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 2:08DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
0.9%
82
99.1%
Q3 - 2:09SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot63
0.8%
82
99.2%
Q3 - 2:19DENNurkic 4' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)63
0.7%
82
99.3%
Q3 - 2:34SASSimmons Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)61
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 2:39SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 2:40DENMISS Hernangomez 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 2:55DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 2:56SASMISS Lee 17' Jump Shot61
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 3:10DENBarton 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mudiay 1 AST)61
0.6%
82
99.4%
Q3 - 3:26SASLeonard 2' Cutting Layup Shot (17 PTS) (Lee 4 AST)59
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q3 - 3:31SASLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 3:32SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 3:44SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 3:45DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 2 of 259
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 3:45DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 1 of 259
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q3 - 3:58SASMills 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)59
0.7%
80
99.3%
Q3 - 4:19SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 4:20DENMISS Mudiay 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot59
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 4:26DENNuggets Rebound59
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 4:26DENMISS Hernangomez 18' Pullup Jump Shot59
1.1%
77
98.9%
Q3 - 4:36DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 4:37SASMISS Lee 18' Jump Shot59
1.2%
77
98.8%
Q3 - 4:59DENBarton 4' Driving Bank Shot (4 PTS)59
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 5:11SASLeonard Running Dunk (15 PTS) (Green 3 AST)57
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q3 - 5:17SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 5:18DENMISS Jokic 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot57
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 5:29DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 5:30SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 5:43SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 5:44DENMISS Harris 20' Step Back Jump Shot57
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 6:02SASAldridge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)57
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 6:06DENLee STEAL (2 STL)57
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 6:22SASParker Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T11)57
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 6:27SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 6:28DENMISS Barton 1' Layup57
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 6:36DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 6:37SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot57
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 6:43DENLee STEAL (1 STL)57
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 6:55SASParker 16' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)57
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 7:06SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)57
1.8%
73
98.2%
Q3 - 7:07DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 7:14DENNuggets Rebound57
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 7:14DENMISS Chandler 7' Jump Shot57
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 7:25DENHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 7:26DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)57
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 7:26DENMISS Jokic 2' Tip Layup Shot57
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 7:30DENMISS Nelson 1' Layup57
1.9%
73
98.1%
Q3 - 7:45SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
2.2%
73
97.8%
Q3 - 7:45SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)57
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 8:05SASSPURS Rebound57
2.6%
71
97.4%
Q3 - 8:05DENAldridge BLOCK (3 BLK)57
2.7%
71
97.3%
Q3 - 8:16SASParker 19' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)57
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q3 - 8:25SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 8:26SASMISS Aldridge 12' Step Back Jump Shot57
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q3 - 8:48DENJokic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)57
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q3 - 9:01SASLeonard 21' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Green 2 AST)57
4.1%
69
95.9%
Q3 - 9:10DENJokic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)57
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q3 - 9:27SASParker 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)54
3.6%
67
96.4%
Q3 - 9:31DENParker STEAL (3 STL)54
4.1%
65
95.9%
Q3 - 9:45SASAldridge 10' Hook Shot (10 PTS)54
4.8%
65
95.2%
Q3 - 10:07DENJokic 6' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)54
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q3 - 10:23SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)52
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q3 - 10:40DENJokic 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)52
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q3 - 10:43DENNuggets Rebound50
5.5%
60
94.5%
Q3 - 10:43DENAldridge BLOCK (2 BLK)50
5.0%
60
95.0%
Q3 - 11:01SASLeonard Layup (11 PTS) (Green 1 AST)50
5.4%
60
94.6%
Q3 - 11:05DENGreen STEAL (2 STL)50
6.2%
58
93.8%
Q3 - 11:22SASLeonard 19' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)50
7.0%
58
93.0%
Q3 - 11:42DENParker STEAL (2 STL)50
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN50
9.1%
56
90.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)50
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q2 - 0:18.0DENBarton 8' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)50
8.3%
56
91.7%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)48
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)48
6.5%
56
93.5%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENMISS Nelson 8' Floating Jump Shot48
6.7%
56
93.3%
Q2 - 0:44.0SASParker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS)48
7.1%
56
92.9%
Q2 - 1:00DENHarris 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)48
8.3%
54
91.7%
Q2 - 1:11SASParker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)46
7.2%
54
92.8%
Q2 - 1:28DENHarris 3' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Barton 4 AST)46
8.6%
52
91.4%
Q2 - 1:50SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)44
7.2%
52
92.8%
Q2 - 1:50SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)44
7.4%
51
92.6%
Q2 - 1:57DENAldridge STEAL (1 STL)44
8.6%
50
91.4%
Q2 - 2:07DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
9.4%
50
90.6%
Q2 - 2:08SASMISS Aldridge 19' Jump Shot44
9.1%
50
90.9%
Q2 - 2:23DENNurkic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)44
8.5%
50
91.5%
Q2 - 2:23DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 1 of 243
8.1%
50
91.9%
Q2 - 2:34SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)43
8.4%
50
91.6%
Q2 - 2:41DENHarris 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Nurkic 1 AST)43
9.5%
48
90.5%
Q2 - 2:55DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)41
8.4%
48
91.6%
Q2 - 2:56DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
7.8%
48
92.2%
Q2 - 3:18SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)41
8.5%
48
91.5%
Q2 - 3:30SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)41
9.4%
46
90.6%
Q2 - 3:31SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
10.2%
46
89.8%
Q2 - 3:43DENNurkic Running Dunk (6 PTS)41
9.4%
46
90.6%
Q2 - 3:48SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)39
8.5%
46
91.5%
Q2 - 4:04DENChandler Foul Turnover (P3.T8)39
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q2 - 4:12DENNuggets Rebound39
8.5%
46
91.5%
Q2 - 4:12SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q2 - 4:17SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q2 - 4:18DENLeonard BLOCK (2 BLK)39
7.9%
46
92.1%
Q2 - 4:23DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
8.5%
46
91.5%
Q2 - 4:24SASMISS Leonard 20' Jump Shot39
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q2 - 4:45DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q2 - 4:45DENNurkic 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)39
7.6%
46
92.4%
Q2 - 4:48DENMISS Nurkic 6' Jump Shot37
6.4%
46
93.6%
Q2 - 5:09SASGreen 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)37
6.9%
46
93.1%
Q2 - 5:27SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
7.6%
44
92.4%
Q2 - 5:28DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)37
8.5%
44
91.5%
Q2 - 5:28DENMISS Faried 2' Tip Layup Shot37
7.9%
44
92.1%
Q2 - 5:31DENMISS Mudiay 7' Floating Jump Shot37
7.9%
44
92.1%
Q2 - 5:56SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
8.5%
44
91.5%
Q2 - 5:56SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
8.6%
43
91.4%
Q2 - 6:08DENFaried 2' Putback Layup (4 PTS)37
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 6:09DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)35
8.6%
42
91.4%
Q2 - 6:10DENMISS Chandler 18' Step Back Jump Shot35
7.9%
42
92.1%
Q2 - 6:31SASDedmon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)35
8.6%
42
91.4%
Q2 - 6:38SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
7.6%
42
92.4%
Q2 - 6:39SASMISS Leonard 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
8.3%
42
91.7%
Q2 - 6:55DENJokic 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
7.6%
42
92.4%
Q2 - 7:20SASDedmon Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)33
7.2%
42
92.8%
Q2 - 7:24SASBertans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
7.8%
40
92.2%
Q2 - 7:26DENLeonard BLOCK (1 BLK)33
8.1%
40
91.9%
Q2 - 7:39SASDedmon Reverse Dunk (5 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)33
8.7%
40
91.3%
Q2 - 7:54DENBarton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)33
9.5%
38
90.5%
Q2 - 7:57SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)33
10.5%
38
89.5%
Q2 - 8:08DENMISS Murray 19' Pullup Jump Shot33
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 8:19SASSPURS Rebound33
9.5%
38
90.5%
Q2 - 8:19SASDedmon Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)33
10.5%
38
89.5%
Q2 - 8:19SASMISS Dedmon Free Throw 1 of 233
10.7%
37
89.3%
Q2 - 8:27DENMurray 1' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS)33
10.4%
37
89.6%
Q2 - 8:33SASSimmons Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)31
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 8:40SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
8.7%
37
91.3%
Q2 - 8:42DENMISS Nurkic Dunk31
8.9%
37
91.1%
Q2 - 9:00DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
9.6%
37
90.4%
Q2 - 9:01SASMISS Simmons Free Throw 2 of 231
9.5%
37
90.5%
Q2 - 9:01SASSimmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)31
8.9%
37
91.1%
Q2 - 9:15DENNurkic 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Barton 3 AST)31
9.5%
36
90.5%
Q2 - 9:24DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 9:25DENMISS Hernangomez 4' Jump Shot29
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 9:41DENNuggets Rebound29
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 9:44SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
8.5%
36
91.5%
Q2 - 9:45SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
7.9%
36
92.1%
Q2 - 9:46DENSimmons BLOCK (1 BLK)29
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 9:48DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
8.7%
36
91.3%
Q2 - 9:51DENMISS Murray 6' Jump Shot29
8.1%
36
91.9%
Q2 - 10:16SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)29
8.9%
36
91.1%
Q2 - 10:24SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
10.5%
33
89.5%
Q2 - 10:25DENMISS Mudiay 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q2 - 10:32DENBarton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
11.7%
33
88.3%
Q2 - 10:33DENMISS Barton 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup29
10.9%
33
89.1%
Q2 - 10:42DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
11.7%
33
88.3%
Q2 - 10:44SASMISS Mills 17' Fadeaway Jumper29
11.3%
33
88.7%
Q2 - 10:56DENMudiay Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
10.5%
33
89.5%
Q2 - 10:56DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
10.3%
33
89.7%
Q2 - 11:08SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)27
9.6%
33
90.4%
Q2 - 11:33DENNuggets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)27
11.4%
30
88.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS27
12.5%
30
87.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENMurray 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)27
11.4%
30
88.6%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)24
9.4%
30
90.6%
Q1 - 0:21.0SASSPURS Rebound24
8.9%
30
91.1%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENMISS Barton 26' 3PT Jump Shot24
9.0%
30
91.0%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)24
9.4%
30
90.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)24
9.6%
29
90.4%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENMurray Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)24
10.5%
28
89.5%
Q1 - 0:47.0SASGinobili 1' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)24
11.2%
28
88.8%
Q1 - 0:57.0DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Barton 2 AST)24
12.4%
26
87.6%
Q1 - 1:13DENNuggets Rebound21
10.3%
26
89.7%
Q1 - 1:13SASMISS Lee 7' Jump Bank Shot21
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q1 - 1:26DENHarris 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Barton 1 AST)21
9.6%
26
90.4%
Q1 - 1:37SASAldridge Dunk (4 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)19
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q1 - 1:45DENGinobili STEAL (1 STL)19
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q1 - 1:46SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
10.3%
24
89.7%
Q1 - 2:11DENChandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)19
9.6%
24
90.4%
Q1 - 2:27SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)16
8.0%
24
92.0%
Q1 - 2:44SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
9.6%
21
90.4%
Q1 - 2:45DENMISS Barton 7' Floating Jump Shot16
9.8%
21
90.2%
Q1 - 2:58SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)16
10.4%
21
89.6%
Q1 - 3:14SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 3:16DENMISS Barton 28' 3PT Jump Shot16
12.4%
18
87.6%
Q1 - 3:35DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
13.2%
18
86.8%
Q1 - 3:39SASMISS Aldridge 3' Layup16
12.9%
18
87.1%
Q1 - 3:51DENNelson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)16
12.1%
18
87.9%
Q1 - 4:09DENNuggets Rebound14
11.1%
18
88.9%
Q1 - 4:09DENAldridge BLOCK (1 BLK)14
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 4:13DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
11.1%
18
88.9%
Q1 - 4:15DENMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 4:19DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
11.1%
18
88.9%
Q1 - 4:21SASMISS Lee 1' Layup14
10.8%
18
89.2%
Q1 - 4:26SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
10.1%
18
89.9%
Q1 - 4:27DENMISS Chandler 8' Floating Jump Shot14
10.4%
18
89.6%
Q1 - 4:45SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)14
11.2%
18
88.8%
Q1 - 4:45SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)14
11.3%
17
88.7%
Q1 - 5:04SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.7%
16
88.3%
Q1 - 5:05DENMISS Jokic 17' Jump Shot14
12.0%
16
88.0%
Q1 - 5:20SASParker 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)14
12.7%
16
87.3%
Q1 - 5:23DENParker STEAL (1 STL)14
13.6%
14
86.4%
Q1 - 5:35SASParker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)14
14.7%
14
85.3%
Q1 - 5:48SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
15.7%
12
84.3%
Q1 - 5:49DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
16.1%
12
83.9%
Q1 - 5:59DENBarton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
17.0%
12
83.0%
Q1 - 6:00SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot14
16.6%
12
83.4%
Q1 - 6:11SASJump Ball Green vs. Chandler: Tip to Lee14
15.4%
12
84.6%
Q1 - 6:24SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
16.5%
12
83.5%
Q1 - 6:24SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
16.7%
11
83.3%
Q1 - 6:40DENChandler 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)14
17.6%
10
82.4%
Q1 - 6:58SASParker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
16.5%
10
83.5%
Q1 - 7:15DENChandler 3' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)12
15.0%
10
85.0%
Q1 - 7:28SASLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
14.2%
10
85.8%
Q1 - 7:28SASMISS Lee Free Throw 1 of 210
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 7:28SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 7:30SASMISS Leonard 19' Pullup Jump Shot10
14.8%
9
85.2%
Q1 - 7:37SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
14.1%
9
85.9%
Q1 - 7:38DENMISS Nelson 19' Fadeaway Jumper10
14.4%
9
85.6%
Q1 - 7:49DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
15.2%
9
84.8%
Q1 - 7:50SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
14.8%
9
85.2%
Q1 - 8:10DENNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
13.9%
9
86.1%
Q1 - 8:17DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
12.2%
9
87.8%
Q1 - 8:18SASMISS Lee 17' Jump Shot7
12.0%
9
88.0%
Q1 - 8:31DENJokic 4' Layup (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)7
11.4%
9
88.6%
Q1 - 8:45SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)5
10.7%
9
89.3%
Q1 - 8:45SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
10.8%
8
89.2%
Q1 - 9:03SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 9:04DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot5
11.5%
7
88.5%
Q1 - 9:27SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)5
12.1%
7
87.9%
Q1 - 9:42SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
13.6%
4
86.4%
Q1 - 9:42DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 25
13.8%
4
86.2%
Q1 - 9:42DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 25
14.3%
4
85.7%
Q1 - 10:04SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
14.6%
4
85.4%
Q1 - 10:06DENLeonard STEAL (1 STL)5
13.6%
4
86.4%
Q1 - 10:18SASParker 15' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
14.6%
4
85.4%
Q1 - 10:31DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)5
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 10:31DENFaried 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)5
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 10:32DENMISS Harris 2' Reverse Layup3
13.9%
2
86.1%
Q1 - 10:40DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
14.6%
2
85.4%
Q1 - 10:41SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot3
14.3%
2
85.7%
Q1 - 10:56DENNelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jokic 1 AST)3
13.6%
2
86.4%
Q1 - 11:02DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
11.9%
2
88.1%
Q1 - 11:03DENMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 11:11DENHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.9%
2
88.1%
Q1 - 11:13SASMISS Aldridge 16' Jump Shot0
11.7%
2
88.3%
Q1 - 11:27SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.2%
2
88.8%
Q1 - 11:28DENMISS Harris 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup0
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 11:47SASDedmon 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)0
11.9%
2
88.1%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Dedmon vs. Jokic: Tip to Aldridge0
12.8%
0
87.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.97 48.5%
SAS
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DEN
20
40
50%
SAS
23
30
77%
Midrange
DEN
11
26
42%
SAS
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DEN
10
15.0
26
38%
58%
SAS
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
Free Throws
DEN
5
10
50%
SAS
21
26
81%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Murray2077%10.0 / 13
N. Jokić1161%5.5 / 9
W. Chandler1045%5.0 / 11
J. Nurkić945%4.5 / 10
G. Harris844%4.0 / 9
J. Nelson850%4.0 / 8
W. Barton633%3.0 / 9
E. Mudiay627%3.0 / 11
J. Hernangomez536%2.5 / 7
J. O'Bryant III583%2.5 / 3
M. Beasley583%2.5 / 3
K. Faried450%2.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard1956%9.5 / 17
T. Parker18100%9.0 / 9
J. Simmons1875%9.0 / 12
M. Ginobili18113%9.0 / 8
L. Aldridge1250%6.0 / 12
P. Mills1083%5.0 / 6
D. Dedmon788%3.5 / 4
D. Bertans788%3.5 / 4
D. Green550%2.5 / 5
D. Murray440%2.0 / 5
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
D. Lee18%0.5 / 6
K. Anderson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DEN
78
+20
-21
98
SAS
86
+7
-14
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DEN
0.97 48.5%
SAS
1.29 64.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
113.2
111.3
DEN 98.0 +23.0
SAS 121.0
Pace
98.4
94.1
DEN 102.7 +6.2
SAS 96.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.8
DEN 14.0 +0.9
SAS 14.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.0%
52.4%
DEN 50.0%
SAS 63.3% +13.3%
TO %
14.7%
13.6%
DEN 18.6%
SAS 13.4% +5.2%
ORB %
27.3%
24.0%
DEN 34.0% +12.8%
SAS 21.2%
FTrt
27.6
26.3
DEN 10.9
SAS 32.9 +22.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
61.5%
60.6%
DEN 53.7%
SAS 64.4% +10.7%
STL %
7.0%
8.5%
DEN 7.1%
SAS 13.0% +5.9%
BLK %
6.3%
9.9%
DEN 1.7%
SAS 12.1% +10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.4%
54.8%
DEN 48.5%
SAS 64.4% +15.9%
Rim FG%
59.4%
60.5%
DEN 50.0%
SAS 76.7% +26.7%
Mid FG%
40.2%
42.0%
DEN 42.3%
SAS 42.9% +0.6%
3P %
36.8%
39.1%
DEN 38.5%
SAS 47.6% +9.1%
FT %
77.4%
79.7%
DEN 50.0%
SAS 80.8% +30.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.9%
31.1%
DEN 43.5% +5.5%
SAS 38.0%
Mid Att. %
26.2%
40.8%
DEN 28.3% +7.2%
SAS 35.4%
3P Att. %
32.9%
28.1%
DEN 28.3% +1.7%
SAS 26.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDENSAS
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes23.124.9
Points97121
Rebounds4238
Assists2229
Steals713
Blocks18
Turnovers (Team)21 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (4)7 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (3)31 (3)
Field Goals41-9245-79
At-the-Rim FG20-4023-30
Midrange FG11-2612-28
2-Point FG31-6635-58
3-Point FG10-2610-21
Free Throws5-1021-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 225 · 30
25.8
10
45%
2
1
1
0
5
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
40%
2-6
33%
G · 6'4" 210 · 22
24.9
8
44%
4
3
2
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
4-8
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 35
21.8
8
50%
3
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-5
20%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 284 · 22
15.4
11
61%
1
2
0
0
5
3
1
0
0-0
-
4-7
57%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
14.4
4
50%
4
0
0
0
0
4
4
0
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 26
24.7
6
33%
3
5
1
0
3
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 290 · 22
23.7
9
45%
8
2
1
1
0
3
5
3
1-4
25%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 20
23.1
20
77%
3
0
0
0
2
0
0
3
2-2
100%
6-8
75%
2-4
50%
F · 6'9" 230 · 21
22.2
5
36%
7
0
1
0
0
1
2
5
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 200 · 21
20.4
6
27%
4
4
1
0
1
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
0-3
0%
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 24
8.9
5
83%
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G · 6'5" 196 · 20
8.9
5
83%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 37
5.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#0 · F · 6'9" 235 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#8 · F · 6'10" 225 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
49%
42
22
7
1
21
0
16
26
5-10
50%
31-66
47%
10-26
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.