Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, December 12, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Hornets | 49% | 104 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bucks | 27% | 103 | 100 |
 | 6 | Raptors | 73% | 111 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Heat | 49% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Nets | 15% | 107 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Mavericks | 51% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Lakers | 28% | 103 | 92 |
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Sunday, December 11, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Pistons | 73% | 105 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Celtics | 45% | 104 | 96 |
 | 9 | Thunder | 55% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Timberwolves | 27% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Pelicans | 42% | 106 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Knicks | 56% | 111 | 118 |
| 29 | Lakers | 44% | 108 | 112 |
Saturday, December 10, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 35% | 103 | 105 |
| 12 | Wizards | 65% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 54% | 106 | 121 |
 | 25 | Magic | 46% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 109 | 111 |
| 15 | Pacers | 51% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 26% | 101 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 29% | 98 | 100 |
 | 10 | Bulls | 71% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 84% | 112 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 20% | 99 | 87 |
| 5 | Rockets | 80% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 12% | 98 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 34% | 97 | 84 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 22% | 99 | 105 |
| 4 | Clippers | 78% | 110 | 133 |
Friday, December 9, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 35% | 99 | 88 |
| 12 | Hornets | 65% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 22% | 100 | 84 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 78% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 45% | 104 | 101 |
| 7 | Celtics | 55% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Bucks | 54% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 51% | 112 | 102 |
| 8 | Thunder | 49% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 56% | 106 | 117 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 44% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 52% | 100 | 103 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 48% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 48% | 109 | 119 |
| 29 | Lakers | 52% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 41% | 104 | 103 |
| 15 | Kings | 59% | 107 | 100 |
Thursday, December 8, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 29% | 104 | 110 |
| 6 | Raptors | 71% | 112 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nuggets | 36% | 106 | 85 |
| 14 | Wizards | 64% | 111 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 105 | 86 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 51% | 106 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 30% | 100 | 99 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 70% | 108 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 64% | 109 | 106 |
| 7 | Jazz | 36% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 61% | 103 | 91 |
| 13 | Bulls | 39% | 99 | 95 |
Wednesday, December 7, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 41% | 101 | 77 |
| 10 | Hornets | 59% | 104 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 59% | 102 | 117 |
| 24 | Magic | 41% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 61% | 114 | 111 |
| 29 | Nets | 39% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Heat | 39% | 99 | 95 |
| 17 | Hawks | 61% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 109 | 107 |
| 18 | Bucks | 54% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 20% | 105 | 95 |
| 5 | Rockets | 80% | 117 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 68% | 112 | 126 |
| 14 | Knicks | 32% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 49% | 100 | 120 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 51% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 59% | 108 | 109 |
| 28 | Suns | 41% | 105 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 53% | 111 | 115 |
| 3 | Clippers | 47% | 110 | 98 |
Tuesday, December 6, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 41% | 100 | 124 |
| 13 | Wizards | 59% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 43% | 102 | 114 |
| 19 | Heat | 57% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bulls | 38% | 101 | 91 |
| 11 | Pistons | 62% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 32% | 96 | 91 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 68% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 61% | 105 | 105 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 39% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 25% | 98 | 105 |
| 7 | Jazz | 75% | 107 | 112 |
Monday, December 5, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 60% | 110 | 106 |
| 30 | 76ers | 40% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 52% | 110 | 116 |
| 7 | Raptors | 48% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 66% | 112 | 118 |
| 29 | Nets | 34% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Thunder | 49% | 106 | 102 |
| 22 | Hawks | 51% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 39% | 107 | 112 |
| 10 | Bulls | 61% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 67% | 106 | 97 |
| 20 | Bucks | 33% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 44% | 98 | 110 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 56% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 40% | 108 | 106 |
| 5 | Rockets | 60% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 53% | 99 | 109 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 47% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 67% | 105 | 107 |
| 27 | Lakers | 33% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 10% | 101 | 106 |
| 1 | Warriors | 90% | 118 | 142 |
Sunday, December 4, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 32% | 98 | 98 |
| 11 | Pistons | 68% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 37% | 105 | 92 |
| 9 | Thunder | 63% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 46% | 105 | 98 |
| 20 | Knicks | 54% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pacers | 19% | 98 | 111 |
| 4 | Clippers | 81% | 110 | 102 |
Saturday, December 3, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 33% | 107 | 103 |
| 19 | Bucks | 67% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 35% | 103 | 125 |
| 12 | Hornets | 65% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Hawks | 28% | 100 | 84 |
| 8 | Raptors | 72% | 108 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 73% | 110 | 107 |
| 29 | 76ers | 27% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 34% | 99 | 100 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 66% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 57% | 100 | 82 |
| 23 | Mavericks | 43% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 23% | 99 | 98 |
| 7 | Jazz | 77% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 43% | 107 | 92 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 57% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 7% | 102 | 109 |
| 1 | Warriors | 93% | 123 | 138 |
Friday, December 2, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 51% | 102 | 105 |
| 29 | 76ers | 49% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 30% | 102 | 92 |
| 6 | Celtics | 70% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 25% | 104 | 80 |
| 8 | Raptors | 75% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 53% | 109 | 114 |
| 21 | Knicks | 47% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 48% | 108 | 105 |
| 9 | Bulls | 52% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 58% | 106 | 114 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 42% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 45% | 100 | 121 |
| 14 | Hawks | 55% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 24% | 96 | 105 |
| 2 | Spurs | 76% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 59% | 114 | 128 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 41% | 111 | 110 |
Thursday, December 1, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 32% | 95 | 87 |
| 12 | Hornets | 68% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 59% | 111 | 111 |
| 29 | Nets | 41% | 108 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 46% | 96 | 94 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 54% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 40% | 108 | 113 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 60% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 22% | 92 | 111 |
| 5 | Jazz | 78% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 20% | 108 | 132 |
| 1 | Warriors | 80% | 120 | 127 |
Wednesday, November 30, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 28% | 99 | 121 |
| 6 | Celtics | 72% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 33% | 98 | 105 |
| 8 | Raptors | 67% | 104 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 22% | 102 | 96 |
| 9 | Bulls | 78% | 113 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 39% | 105 | 115 |
| 10 | Thunder | 61% | 109 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 42% | 107 | 106 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 58% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 68% | 100 | 94 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 32% | 93 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 43% | 103 | 106 |
| 21 | Nuggets | 57% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 61% | 107 | 107 |
| 28 | Suns | 39% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 40% | 107 | 109 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 111 | 131 |
Tuesday, November 29, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pistons | 46% | 101 | 112 |
| 12 | Hornets | 54% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 82% | 117 | 122 |
| 30 | Nets | 18% | 104 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 71% | 113 | 101 |
| 22 | Bucks | 29% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 35% | 106 | 88 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 65% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 15% | 93 | 95 |
| 2 | Spurs | 85% | 107 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 47% | 103 | 101 |
| 6 | Jazz | 53% | 104 | 120 |