FinalWin Prob.pScore
2615%93
95
285%107
83
ORTG#PossPace
ORL logo ORL
102.29390.7
SAS logo SAS
89.29395.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursMagicQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventORLSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS95
100%
83
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Rudez 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASGinobili 2' Putback Layup (13 PTS)95
99.9%
83
0.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.0SASMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:31.0SASMISS Simmons 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0ORLOnuaku 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Wilcox 1 AST)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)93
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 1:01ORLDedmon STEAL (1 STL)93
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27SASMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)93
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27SASMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)93
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36ORLIbaka Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)93
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36ORLIbaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)92
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T19)91
99.9%
76
0.1%
Q4 - 1:43ORLFournier 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)91
99.8%
76
0.2%
Q4 - 2:00SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)89
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 2:00SASGinobili Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)89
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 2:00SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 2:01ORLMISS Fournier 18' Jump Shot89
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 2:18SASMurray Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)89
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 2:25SASMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 2:26ORLMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 2:46SASAnderson Palming Turnover (P1.T17)89
99.8%
74
0.2%
Q4 - 2:49ORLSimmons STEAL (2 STL)89
99.6%
74
0.4%
Q4 - 3:11SASSimmons Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)89
99.7%
74
0.3%
Q4 - 3:26ORLGreen Dunk (6 PTS) (Fournier 7 AST)89
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 3:49ORLMagic Rebound87
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 3:49SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
97.8%
74
2.2%
Q4 - 3:52SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
97.2%
74
2.8%
Q4 - 3:53SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
97.9%
74
2.1%
Q4 - 4:02SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)87
97.3%
74
2.7%
Q4 - 4:04ORLMISS Ibaka 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot87
97.6%
74
2.4%
Q4 - 4:08ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 4:10ORLMISS Green 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot87
97.6%
74
2.4%
Q4 - 4:15ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)87
98.2%
74
1.8%
Q4 - 4:15SASMISS Ginobili 1' Layup87
98.0%
74
2.0%
Q4 - 4:24SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)87
97.4%
74
2.6%
Q4 - 4:24ORLMISS Augustin 3PT Jump Shot87
97.7%
74
2.3%
Q4 - 4:41ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
98.3%
74
1.7%
Q4 - 4:41SASMISS Leonard 4' Jump Shot87
98.1%
74
1.9%
Q4 - 5:01ORLBiyombo 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Augustin 5 AST)87
95.1%
74
4.9%
Q4 - 5:11ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
93.5%
74
6.5%
Q4 - 5:11SASMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot85
92.8%
74
7.2%
Q4 - 5:30SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)85
91.2%
74
8.8%
Q4 - 5:31ORLMISS Ibaka 10' Hook Shot85
92.0%
74
8.0%
Q4 - 5:41ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)85
93.7%
74
6.3%
Q4 - 5:41SASMISS Leonard Layup85
93.0%
74
7.0%
Q4 - 5:52ORLAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
91.3%
74
8.7%
Q4 - 5:52ORLAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)84
90.9%
74
9.1%
Q4 - 6:12SASAldridge 1' Putback Layup (16 PTS)83
83.9%
74
16.1%
Q4 - 6:14SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)83
87.0%
72
13.0%
Q4 - 6:16SASMISS Parker 13' Turnaround Jump Shot83
89.6%
72
10.4%
Q4 - 6:21SASSPURS Rebound83
87.1%
72
12.9%
Q4 - 6:21SASMISS Aldridge 5' Jump Shot83
89.6%
72
10.4%
Q4 - 6:36SASSPURS Rebound83
87.2%
72
12.8%
Q4 - 6:36ORLMISS Green 28' 3PT Jump Shot83
88.4%
72
11.6%
Q4 - 7:02SASSimmons Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Aldridge 3 AST)83
86.9%
72
13.1%
Q4 - 7:27ORLVucevic 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Green 2 AST)83
89.7%
70
10.3%
Q4 - 7:45ORLWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
87.3%
70
12.7%
Q4 - 7:46SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
86.2%
70
13.8%
Q4 - 8:21ORLGreen 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)81
80.4%
70
19.6%
Q4 - 8:34ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
76.0%
70
24.0%
Q4 - 8:36SASMISS Aldridge Dunk79
74.5%
70
25.5%
Q4 - 8:46ORLLeonard STEAL (2 STL)79
71.1%
70
28.9%
Q4 - 8:49ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)79
76.0%
70
24.0%
Q4 - 8:50SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
74.6%
70
25.4%
Q4 - 9:15ORLIbaka 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)79
67.0%
70
33.0%
Q4 - 9:27SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)77
61.9%
70
38.1%
Q4 - 9:31SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
72.3%
67
27.7%
Q4 - 9:32ORLMISS Green 28' 3PT Jump Shot77
73.8%
67
26.2%
Q4 - 9:56SASAldridge Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)77
77.2%
67
22.8%
Q4 - 10:02ORLMills STEAL (1 STL)77
77.9%
65
22.1%
Q4 - 10:13SASDedmon Foul Turnover (P1.T15)77
81.9%
65
18.1%
Q4 - 10:33ORLWatson 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ibaka 2 AST)77
78.1%
65
21.9%
Q4 - 10:42ORLMagic Rebound75
74.3%
65
25.7%
Q4 - 10:42ORLBertans BLOCK (1 BLK)75
70.9%
65
29.1%
Q4 - 10:52ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)75
74.3%
65
25.7%
Q4 - 10:53SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
72.9%
65
27.1%
Q4 - 11:06SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
67.4%
65
32.6%
Q4 - 11:08ORLMISS Payton 10' Turnaround Jump Shot75
68.9%
65
31.1%
Q4 - 11:28SASGinobili Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)75
72.2%
65
27.8%
Q4 - 11:28SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 275
73.0%
64
27.0%
Q4 - 11:40SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
72.1%
64
27.9%
Q4 - 11:41ORLMISS Payton 8' Jump Shot75
73.5%
64
26.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS75
76.5%
64
23.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound75
72.1%
64
27.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASMISS Bertans 13' Jump Shot75
75.2%
64
24.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
68.6%
64
31.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)74
67.9%
64
32.1%
Q3 - 0:13.0ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
64.1%
64
35.9%
Q3 - 0:15.0SASMISS Simmons 3PT Jump Shot73
62.7%
64
37.3%
Q3 - 0:32.0ORLVucevic Foul Turnover (P2.T9)73
59.5%
64
40.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0ORLMagic Rebound73
64.4%
64
35.6%
Q3 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Vucevic 20' Jump Shot73
61.1%
64
38.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)73
64.4%
64
35.6%
Q3 - 1:00SASMISS Dedmon Free Throw 1 of 173
63.8%
64
36.2%
Q3 - 1:18ORLGinobili STEAL (2 STL)73
65.4%
62
34.6%
Q3 - 1:23ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
69.8%
62
30.2%
Q3 - 1:25ORLDedmon BLOCK (2 BLK)73
66.8%
62
33.2%
Q3 - 1:33ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
69.8%
62
30.2%
Q3 - 1:33SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
68.5%
62
31.5%
Q3 - 1:45ORLVucevic 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
65.5%
62
34.5%
Q3 - 2:03SASLee Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)71
57.6%
62
42.4%
Q3 - 2:10ORLPayton Running Dunk (10 PTS)71
52.7%
62
47.3%
Q3 - 2:15SASMills Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)69
48.5%
62
51.5%
Q3 - 2:18SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
43.6%
62
56.4%
Q3 - 2:20ORLMISS Biyombo 5' Hook Shot69
45.1%
62
54.9%
Q3 - 2:31SASSimmons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)69
48.6%
62
51.4%
Q3 - 2:36SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
43.7%
62
56.3%
Q3 - 2:37SASMISS Lee 15' Jump Shot69
47.1%
62
52.9%
Q3 - 2:53SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
43.7%
62
56.3%
Q3 - 2:55ORLMISS Vucevic 9' Hook Shot69
45.2%
62
54.8%
Q3 - 3:06ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)69
47.0%
62
53.0%
Q3 - 3:09SASMISS Simmons 15' Pullup Jump Shot69
45.5%
62
54.5%
Q3 - 3:27SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
42.3%
62
57.7%
Q3 - 3:28ORLMISS Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 269
42.9%
62
57.1%
Q3 - 3:28ORLBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
45.1%
62
54.9%
Q3 - 3:31ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
42.6%
62
57.4%
Q3 - 3:33SASMISS Dedmon Alley Oop Dunk68
41.2%
62
58.8%
Q3 - 3:41SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
38.0%
62
62.0%
Q3 - 3:42ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Putback Layup68
39.4%
62
60.6%
Q3 - 3:44ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)68
42.6%
62
57.4%
Q3 - 3:46ORLMISS Green 17' Pullup Jump Shot68
39.4%
62
60.6%
Q3 - 4:02SASGinobili 6' Hook Shot (5 PTS)68
40.9%
62
59.1%
Q3 - 4:12ORLVucevic 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Fournier 6 AST)68
44.5%
60
55.5%
Q3 - 4:26SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)66
41.0%
60
59.0%
Q3 - 4:26SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)66
41.5%
59
58.5%
Q3 - 4:42ORLVucevic 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Fournier 5 AST)66
44.6%
58
55.4%
Q3 - 4:55ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
41.1%
58
58.9%
Q3 - 4:56SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
39.7%
58
60.3%
Q3 - 5:14ORLGordon 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ibaka 1 AST)64
35.2%
58
64.8%
Q3 - 5:34ORLMagic Rebound61
28.5%
58
71.5%
Q3 - 5:35SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
27.3%
58
72.7%
Q3 - 5:40SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
24.9%
58
75.1%
Q3 - 5:42ORLMISS Biyombo Alley Oop Dunk61
25.9%
58
74.1%
Q3 - 5:48ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
28.5%
58
71.5%
Q3 - 5:48SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup61
27.3%
58
72.7%
Q3 - 6:10ORLGordon 10' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)61
23.9%
58
76.1%
Q3 - 6:32SASLeonard 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Green 2 AST)59
21.3%
58
78.7%
Q3 - 6:50SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
24.0%
56
76.0%
Q3 - 6:51ORLMISS Biyombo 16' Jump Shot59
24.9%
56
75.1%
Q3 - 7:12SASAldridge 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Green 1 AST)59
26.5%
56
73.5%
Q3 - 7:28ORLIbaka 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Augustin 4 AST)59
29.2%
54
70.8%
Q3 - 7:41SASParker Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T11)56
23.6%
54
76.4%
Q3 - 8:00ORLAugustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Fournier 4 AST)56
20.6%
54
79.4%
Q3 - 8:17SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
16.2%
54
83.8%
Q3 - 8:17SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)53
16.4%
53
83.6%
Q3 - 8:25SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
17.9%
52
82.1%
Q3 - 8:27ORLMISS Biyombo 8' Jump Shot53
18.7%
52
81.3%
Q3 - 8:52ORLAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
20.7%
52
79.3%
Q3 - 8:53SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot53
19.8%
52
80.2%
Q3 - 9:06SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
17.3%
52
82.7%
Q3 - 9:07ORLMISS Fournier 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
18.0%
52
82.0%
Q3 - 9:16SASGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)53
19.7%
52
80.3%
Q3 - 9:16SASGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
20.1%
51
79.9%
Q3 - 9:16SASGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
21.9%
50
78.1%
Q3 - 9:16SASMISS Leonard Dunk53
23.8%
50
76.2%
Q3 - 9:32ORLFournier 17' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)53
22.0%
50
78.0%
Q3 - 9:46SASGreen 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)51
19.7%
50
80.3%
Q3 - 10:02ORLIbaka 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Augustin 3 AST)51
21.0%
48
79.0%
Q3 - 10:20SASLeonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)49
19.0%
48
81.0%
Q3 - 10:24SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
23.5%
45
76.5%
Q3 - 10:24SASMISS Leonard 17' Jump Shot49
25.5%
45
74.5%
Q3 - 10:45ORLGordon Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)49
23.5%
45
76.5%
Q3 - 10:59SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)47
21.3%
45
78.7%
Q3 - 10:59SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
21.7%
44
78.3%
Q3 - 11:15ORLBiyombo Cutting Dunk Shot (6 PTS) (Fournier 3 AST)47
22.4%
43
77.6%
Q3 - 11:33ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
20.3%
43
79.7%
Q3 - 11:34SASMISS Gasol 15' Turnaround Jump Shot45
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS45
18.1%
43
81.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLFournier 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)45
18.1%
43
81.9%
Q2 - 0:04.0SASAldridge 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)42
14.0%
43
86.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0ORLGreen 3' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Augustin 2 AST)42
18.1%
40
81.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0SASMills Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)40
15.6%
40
84.4%
Q2 - 0:42.0ORLIbaka 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)40
14.5%
40
85.5%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)37
11.1%
40
88.9%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)37
11.3%
39
88.8%
Q2 - 1:07ORLVucevic Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)37
13.1%
38
86.9%
Q2 - 1:22SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)37
13.9%
38
86.1%
Q2 - 1:41SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
18.1%
35
81.9%
Q2 - 1:42ORLMISS Payton 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup37
18.4%
35
81.6%
Q2 - 1:51SASLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)37
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q2 - 1:51SASLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
19.6%
34
80.4%
Q2 - 2:02ORLWatson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)37
21.3%
33
78.7%
Q2 - 2:16SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
19.2%
33
80.8%
Q2 - 2:16SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 235
19.4%
32
80.6%
Q2 - 2:22ORLLeonard STEAL (1 STL)35
19.4%
32
80.6%
Q2 - 2:34SASGasol 1' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)35
21.2%
32
78.8%
Q2 - 2:45SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
23.6%
30
76.4%
Q2 - 2:47ORLMISS Biyombo 8' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot35
24.2%
30
75.8%
Q2 - 3:02SASLeonard 11' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)35
24.6%
30
75.4%
Q2 - 3:16ORLBiyombo Dunk (4 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)35
26.6%
28
73.4%
Q2 - 3:27ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
24.7%
28
75.3%
Q2 - 3:28SASMISS Gasol 2' Layup33
23.9%
28
76.1%
Q2 - 3:37ORLPayton 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
22.3%
28
77.7%
Q2 - 3:46ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
20.6%
28
79.4%
Q2 - 3:47SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot31
19.9%
28
80.1%
Q2 - 3:57SASSPURS Rebound31
18.4%
28
81.6%
Q2 - 3:57SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup31
19.9%
28
80.1%
Q2 - 4:09ORLPayton 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)31
17.9%
28
82.1%
Q2 - 4:21SASLeonard 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)29
16.3%
28
83.7%
Q2 - 4:36ORLPayton 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)29
17.9%
26
82.1%
Q2 - 4:55SASGasol 7' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
16.3%
26
83.7%
Q2 - 5:24ORLIbaka 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)27
17.5%
24
82.5%
Q2 - 5:36ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)25
16.0%
24
84.0%
Q2 - 5:37SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
15.5%
24
84.5%
Q2 - 5:53ORLGordon Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)25
14.5%
24
85.5%
Q2 - 5:59SASGreen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)23
13.2%
24
86.8%
Q2 - 6:24ORLBiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
11.7%
24
88.3%
Q2 - 6:24ORLBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
11.4%
24
88.6%
Q2 - 6:43SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T8)21
10.9%
24
89.1%
Q2 - 6:46SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
9.7%
24
90.3%
Q2 - 6:47ORLMISS Vucevic 6' Turnaround Jump Shot21
10.0%
24
90.0%
Q2 - 7:01ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
10.8%
24
89.2%
Q2 - 7:03SASMISS Parker 17' Jump Shot21
10.5%
24
89.5%
Q2 - 7:17ORLWatson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Green 1 AST)21
9.8%
24
90.2%
Q2 - 7:23ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
8.1%
24
91.9%
Q2 - 7:25ORLMISS Green 12' Floating Jump Shot18
7.6%
24
92.4%
Q2 - 7:43ORLBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
8.1%
24
91.9%
Q2 - 7:44SASMISS Leonard 15' Turnaround Jump Shot18
7.9%
24
92.1%
Q2 - 8:06ORLSimmons STEAL (1 STL)18
7.3%
24
92.7%
Q2 - 8:26SASDedmon 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)18
8.2%
24
91.8%
Q2 - 8:43SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
8.9%
22
91.1%
Q2 - 8:45ORLDedmon BLOCK (1 BLK)18
9.2%
22
90.8%
Q2 - 9:05SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)18
9.8%
22
90.2%
Q2 - 9:25SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
8.8%
22
91.2%
Q2 - 9:27ORLMISS Vucevic 19' Jump Shot18
9.1%
22
90.9%
Q2 - 9:39SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)18
9.8%
22
90.2%
Q2 - 9:39SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
8.8%
22
91.2%
Q2 - 9:40SASMISS Lee 15' Jump Shot18
9.5%
22
90.5%
Q2 - 9:49SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
8.8%
22
91.2%
Q2 - 9:51ORLMISS Green 16' Jump Shot18
9.1%
22
90.9%
Q2 - 10:13SASSimmons 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)18
10.0%
22
90.0%
Q2 - 10:31SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
10.7%
20
89.3%
Q2 - 10:32ORLMISS Vucevic 8' Turnaround Jump Shot18
11.1%
20
88.9%
Q2 - 10:33ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
11.9%
20
88.1%
Q2 - 10:36ORLMISS Green 16' Jump Shot18
11.1%
20
88.9%
Q2 - 10:48ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
11.9%
20
88.1%
Q2 - 10:49SASMISS Lee 8' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot18
11.5%
20
88.5%
Q2 - 11:12ORLPayton 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
10.6%
20
89.4%
Q2 - 11:36ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
9.7%
20
90.3%
Q2 - 11:37SASMISS Simmons 17' Pullup Jump Shot16
9.5%
20
90.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS16
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLMISS Vucevic Tip Layup Shot16
9.1%
20
90.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
9.5%
20
90.5%
Q1 - 0:03.0ORLMISS Fournier 18' Jump Shot16
9.1%
20
90.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
9.5%
20
90.5%
Q1 - 0:26.0SASMISS Ginobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
9.3%
20
90.7%
Q1 - 0:31.0SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
8.9%
20
91.1%
Q1 - 0:33.0ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Alley Oop Layup16
9.1%
20
90.9%
Q1 - 0:51.0SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)16
9.5%
20
90.5%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLGinobili STEAL (1 STL)16
11.5%
17
88.5%
Q1 - 1:05SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 1:05SASDedmon Putback Layup (2 PTS)16
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 1:06SASMISS Lee 10' Floating Jump Shot16
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 1:23SASSPURS Rebound16
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 1:24SASMISS Simmons 18' Pullup Jump Shot16
14.1%
15
85.9%
Q1 - 1:39ORLVucevic 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)16
13.5%
15
86.5%
Q1 - 1:57SASMills 19' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)14
12.2%
15
87.8%
Q1 - 2:15SASLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 2:16SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Bank Shot14
14.1%
13
85.9%
Q1 - 2:29SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
13.4%
13
86.6%
Q1 - 2:30ORLMISS Fournier 19' Pullup Jump Shot14
13.7%
13
86.3%
Q1 - 2:45SASSimmons 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
14.4%
13
85.6%
Q1 - 2:56ORLIbaka 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)14
15.7%
11
84.3%
Q1 - 3:04ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
14.2%
11
85.8%
Q1 - 3:05SASMISS Mills 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup12
13.8%
11
86.2%
Q1 - 3:24SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
13.1%
11
86.9%
Q1 - 3:26ORLMISS Vucevic 28' 3PT Jump Shot12
13.4%
11
86.6%
Q1 - 3:50SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)12
14.2%
11
85.8%
Q1 - 4:06ORLVucevic 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
14.8%
9
85.2%
Q1 - 4:19ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
14.0%
9
86.0%
Q1 - 4:20SASMISS Gasol 18' Jump Shot10
13.6%
9
86.4%
Q1 - 4:35ORLAugustin 1' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)10
12.7%
9
87.3%
Q1 - 4:41SASAldridge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)8
12.0%
9
88.0%
Q1 - 4:58ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
10.9%
9
89.1%
Q1 - 4:58ORLGordon 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)8
10.9%
9
89.1%
Q1 - 5:00ORLGordon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)6
10.2%
9
89.8%
Q1 - 5:00ORLMISS Gordon 3' Tip Layup Shot6
9.6%
9
90.4%
Q1 - 5:02ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
10.0%
9
90.0%
Q1 - 5:02ORLMISS Ibaka 2' Putback Layup6
9.4%
9
90.6%
Q1 - 5:04ORLMISS Augustin 1' Running Reverse Layup6
9.4%
9
90.6%
Q1 - 5:09SASLeonard Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)6
10.0%
9
90.0%
Q1 - 5:24SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
9.2%
9
90.8%
Q1 - 5:26ORLMISS Gordon 17' Pullup Jump Shot6
9.4%
9
90.6%
Q1 - 5:35ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.0%
9
90.0%
Q1 - 5:36SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot6
9.7%
9
90.3%
Q1 - 5:55ORLAugustin Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)6
9.2%
9
90.8%
Q1 - 6:12SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P1.T3)6
9.9%
9
90.1%
Q1 - 6:28ORLFournier Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)6
9.2%
9
90.8%
Q1 - 6:49SASAldridge Running Dunk (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)6
9.9%
9
90.1%
Q1 - 6:54ORLParker STEAL (1 STL)6
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 7:07ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
11.2%
7
88.8%
Q1 - 7:08SASMISS Leonard 18' Step Back Jump Shot6
11.0%
7
89.0%
Q1 - 7:22SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
10.4%
7
89.6%
Q1 - 7:23ORLMISS Ibaka 26' 3PT Jump Shot6
10.6%
7
89.4%
Q1 - 7:39SASSPURS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)6
11.3%
7
88.7%
Q1 - 7:39SASSPURS Rebound6
10.4%
7
89.6%
Q1 - 7:40SASMISS Gasol 30' 3PT Jump Bank Shot6
11.0%
7
89.0%
Q1 - 8:00SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
10.4%
7
89.6%
Q1 - 8:01ORLMISS Gordon 15' Jump Shot6
10.4%
7
89.6%
Q1 - 8:10SASParker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)6
11.0%
7
89.0%
Q1 - 8:17SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
10.2%
7
89.8%
Q1 - 8:18ORLMISS Biyombo 1' Layup6
10.4%
7
89.6%
Q1 - 8:29SASMISS Aldridge 18' Jump Shot6
10.8%
7
89.2%
Q1 - 8:29ORLIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
11.0%
7
89.0%
Q1 - 8:37SASSPURS Rebound6
10.2%
7
89.8%
Q1 - 8:37SASMISS Parker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup6
10.8%
7
89.2%
Q1 - 8:55ORLFournier Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
10.2%
7
89.8%
Q1 - 8:55ORLFournier Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)5
10.1%
7
89.9%
Q1 - 9:01ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.5%
7
90.5%
Q1 - 9:02SASMISS Aldridge 8' Driving Hook Shot4
9.3%
7
90.7%
Q1 - 9:28ORLFournier 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
8.8%
7
91.2%
Q1 - 9:39SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)2
8.3%
7
91.7%
Q1 - 9:39SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
8.4%
6
91.6%
Q1 - 9:55SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
8.8%
5
91.2%
Q1 - 9:56ORLMISS Biyombo 9' Hook Shot2
9.0%
5
91.0%
Q1 - 10:07SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)2
9.5%
5
90.5%
Q1 - 10:07SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 22
9.6%
4
90.4%
Q1 - 10:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
9.4%
4
90.6%
Q1 - 10:23ORLMISS Gordon 22' Jump Shot2
9.6%
4
90.4%
Q1 - 10:31ORLAldridge BLOCK (1 BLK)2
9.6%
4
90.4%
Q1 - 10:31ORLMagic Rebound2
10.1%
4
89.9%
Q1 - 10:46SASAldridge 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
10.1%
4
89.9%
Q1 - 10:56SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
10.7%
2
89.3%
Q1 - 10:57ORLMISS Augustin 19' Pullup Jump Shot2
11.0%
2
89.0%
Q1 - 11:20SASLeonard 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)2
11.4%
2
88.6%
Q1 - 11:39ORLIbaka 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
12.2%
0
87.8%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Gasol vs. Biyombo: Tip to Ibaka0
11.4%
0
88.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.03 51.6%
SAS
0.89 44.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ORL
13
27
48%
SAS
13
25
52%
Midrange
ORL
20
44
45%
SAS
10
31
32%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ORL
6
9.0
15
40%
60%
SAS
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
Free Throws
ORL
11
12
92%
SAS
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Ibaka1875%9.0 / 12
E. Fournier1359%6.5 / 11
N. Vučević1238%6.0 / 16
A. Gordon1161%5.5 / 9
E. Payton1056%5.0 / 9
B. Biyombo935%4.5 / 13
D. Augustin750%3.5 / 7
C. Watson7117%3.5 / 3
J. Green630%3.0 / 10
A. Onuaku2100%1.0 / 1
D. Rudez0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2153%10.5 / 20
L. Aldridge1662%8.0 / 13
M. Ginobili1359%6.5 / 11
P. Mills758%3.5 / 6
P. Gasol643%3.0 / 7
J. Simmons638%3.0 / 8
D. Dedmon675%3.0 / 4
T. Parker214%1.0 / 7
D. Green225%1.0 / 4
D. Lee220%1.0 / 5
D. Murray250%1.0 / 2
D. Bertans0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ORL
80
+12
-13
92
SAS
75
+16
-18
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ORL
1.03 51.6%
SAS
0.89 44.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.5
111.3
ORL 102.2
SAS 89.2 +12.9
Pace
96.2
94.1
ORL 90.7
SAS 95.4 +4.7
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.8
ORL 15.9
SAS 15.1 +0.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.9%
52.4%
ORL 48.8% +8.7%
SAS 40.1%
TO %
13.3%
13.6%
ORL 12.5% +5.4%
SAS 17.9%
ORB %
21.6%
24.0%
ORL 20.5%
SAS 24.4% +3.9%
FTrt
24.6
26.3
ORL 14.0
SAS 34.2 +20.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.0%
60.6%
ORL 64.1%
SAS 67.9% +3.8%
STL %
7.3%
8.5%
ORL 12.9% +3.2%
SAS 9.7%
BLK %
8.0%
9.9%
ORL 7.1% +1.5%
SAS 5.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.2%
54.8%
ORL 51.6% +7.0%
SAS 44.6%
Rim FG%
58.1%
60.5%
ORL 48.1%
SAS 52.0% +3.9%
Mid FG%
40.8%
42.0%
ORL 45.5% +13.2%
SAS 32.3%
3P %
32.8%
39.1%
ORL 40.0% +15.0%
SAS 25.0%
FT %
74.7%
79.7%
ORL 91.7% +7.1%
SAS 84.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.4%
31.1%
ORL 31.4%
SAS 32.9% +1.5%
Mid Att. %
37.7%
40.8%
ORL 51.2%
SAS 40.8% +10.4%
3P Att. %
30.0%
28.1%
ORL 17.4%
SAS 26.3% +8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsORLSAS
Possessions9393
Possession Minutes24.623.4
Points9583
Rebounds4045
Assists2519
Steals129
Blocks44
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)10 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)35 (1)
Field Goals39-8628-76
At-the-Rim FG13-2713-25
Midrange FG20-4410-31
2-Point FG33-7123-56
3-Point FG6-155-20
Free Throws11-1222-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'9" 255 · 24
34.4
9
35%
6
1
1
1
1
2
0
6
3-4
75%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 27
33.6
18
75%
7
2
2
1
0
2
1
6
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
2-4
50%
G · 6'7" 205 · 24
32.7
13
59%
3
7
2
0
6
3
0
3
4-4
100%
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
G · 6'0" 183 · 29
24.7
7
50%
4
5
2
0
1
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 235 · 21
18.9
11
61%
3
0
0
0
0
4
2
1
0-0
-
4-8
50%
1-1
100%
C · 6'10" 260 · 26
24.9
12
38%
10
0
2
1
2
3
3
7
0-0
-
6-15
40%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 30
24.7
6
30%
3
2
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 185 · 23
23.3
10
56%
3
4
3
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 33
16.6
7
117%
1
3
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 228 · 30
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 195 · 26
1.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 29
1.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 22
1.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#33 · C · 7'0" 240 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
40
25
12
4
13
0
9
31
11-12
92%
33-71
46%
6-15
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.