FinalWin Prob.pScore
2343%103
106
2157%106
98
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.29899.4
DEN logo DEN
101.09795.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA106
100%
98
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper106
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENNUGGETS Rebound106
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot106
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)106
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)105
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)104
99.9%
98
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENJokic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)104
99.6%
98
0.4%
Q4 - 0:13.0DENMISS Jokic 2' Tip Layup Shot104
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.8%
98
0.2%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)104
99.1%
98
0.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2103
98.9%
98
1.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)103
99.0%
98
1.0%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENMISS Nelson 23' Step Back Jump Shot103
98.5%
98
1.5%
Q4 - 0:41.0DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)103
95.6%
98
4.4%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 2103
96.0%
98
4.0%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 2103
97.4%
98
2.6%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)103
98.0%
98
2.0%
Q4 - 0:43.0DENMISS Murray 1' Driving Layup103
97.3%
98
2.7%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAChandler STEAL (1 STL)103
93.4%
98
6.6%
Q4 - 1:21DENMurray 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)103
94.9%
98
5.1%
Q4 - 1:25MIAJokic STEAL (1 STL)103
97.9%
95
2.1%
Q4 - 1:44DENNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)103
98.3%
95
1.7%
Q4 - 1:44DENMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2103
98.4%
94
1.6%
Q4 - 1:57MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (25 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)103
98.2%
94
1.8%
Q4 - 2:13DENMurray 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)101
97.0%
94
3.0%
Q4 - 2:25MIAEllington 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)101
98.5%
91
1.5%
Q4 - 2:30DENChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)98
97.0%
91
3.0%
Q4 - 2:40DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)98
94.1%
91
5.9%
Q4 - 2:41MIAMISS Dragic 15' Jump Shot98
95.2%
91
4.8%
Q4 - 2:56DENChandler 14' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mudiay 7 AST)98
95.8%
91
4.2%
Q4 - 3:12DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)98
96.8%
89
3.2%
Q4 - 3:13MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 198
97.1%
89
2.9%
Q4 - 3:27MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)96
95.9%
89
4.1%
Q4 - 3:30DENMISS Nelson 1' Driving Reverse Layup96
95.2%
89
4.8%
Q4 - 3:44MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)96
90.2%
89
9.8%
Q4 - 4:03DENNelson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)94
87.0%
89
13.0%
Q4 - 4:25MIAWhiteside 3' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)94
90.7%
87
9.3%
Q4 - 4:59DENGallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)92
87.5%
87
12.5%
Q4 - 5:18DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)92
90.9%
84
9.1%
Q4 - 5:19MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot92
91.7%
84
8.3%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)92
93.5%
84
6.5%
Q4 - 5:34DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
92.8%
84
7.2%
Q4 - 5:49DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
91.0%
84
9.0%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)92
93.5%
84
6.5%
Q4 - 5:50MIAMISS McGruder 2' Tip Layup Shot92
91.9%
84
8.1%
Q4 - 5:51MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Hook Shot92
91.9%
84
8.1%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)92
93.5%
84
6.5%
Q4 - 5:59DENMISS Chandler 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
92.9%
84
7.1%
Q4 - 6:19MIAEllington 28' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)92
88.4%
84
11.6%
Q4 - 6:34DENFaried Foul Turnover (P2.T18)89
81.5%
84
18.5%
Q4 - 6:34DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)89
75.6%
84
24.4%
Q4 - 6:35DENMISS Mudiay 12' Jump Shot89
79.8%
84
20.2%
Q4 - 6:43DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)89
75.6%
84
24.4%
Q4 - 6:43MIAMISS Johnson 12' Floating Jump Shot89
77.6%
84
22.4%
Q4 - 7:05DENMudiay Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)89
79.0%
84
21.0%
Q4 - 7:06DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
73.5%
84
26.5%
Q4 - 7:07DENMISS Nelson 19' Jump Shot89
77.4%
84
22.6%
Q4 - 7:17DENJokic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)89
73.6%
84
26.5%
Q4 - 7:18DENMISS Gallinari 23' Jump Shot89
77.5%
84
22.5%
Q4 - 7:33MIAEllington 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)89
73.6%
84
26.4%
Q4 - 7:39DENGallinari Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)86
62.2%
84
37.8%
Q4 - 7:47DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)86
54.7%
84
45.3%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot86
57.0%
84
43.0%
Q4 - 8:03MIAHeat Rebound86
60.2%
84
39.8%
Q4 - 8:04DENMISS Jokic 10' Jump Shot86
58.4%
84
41.6%
Q4 - 8:29MIAJohnson 13' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS) (Reed 1 AST)86
54.2%
84
45.8%
Q4 - 8:44DENChandler Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)84
47.6%
84
52.4%
Q4 - 9:05MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)84
41.1%
84
58.9%
Q4 - 9:30DENChandler 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Faried 3 AST)81
30.3%
84
69.7%
Q4 - 9:40MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P2.T4)81
35.4%
82
64.6%
Q4 - 9:46MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
41.5%
82
58.5%
Q4 - 9:47DENMISS Jokic 7' Hook Shot81
39.6%
82
60.4%
Q4 - 10:09MIAJohnson 1' Running Layup (15 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)81
35.6%
82
64.4%
Q4 - 10:14DENMudiay Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)79
30.9%
82
69.1%
Q4 - 10:28MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)79
25.9%
82
74.1%
Q4 - 10:37MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)79
30.9%
82
69.1%
Q4 - 10:38DENMISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot79
29.3%
82
70.7%
Q4 - 10:53MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)79
25.9%
82
74.1%
Q4 - 10:53MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)78
25.0%
82
75.0%
Q4 - 11:05DENJokic 7' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Mudiay 6 AST)77
22.7%
82
77.3%
Q4 - 11:28MIAJohnson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)77
26.6%
80
73.4%
Q4 - 11:39MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)75
22.7%
80
77.3%
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
20.0%
80
80.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
22.7%
80
77.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENChandler 4' Hook Shot (13 PTS)75
22.7%
80
77.3%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
27.6%
78
72.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0DENMISS Gallinari 18' Jump Shot75
30.5%
78
69.5%
Q3 - 0:18.0DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)75
27.6%
78
72.4%
Q3 - 0:19.0MIAMISS Johnson 17' Pullup Jump Shot75
28.8%
78
71.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
31.8%
78
68.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0DENMISS Murray 2' Driving Reverse Layup75
30.5%
78
69.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAJohnson 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)75
27.5%
78
72.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
23.5%
78
76.5%
Q3 - 0:45.0DENMISS Nelson 1' Driving Layup73
22.4%
78
77.6%
Q3 - 1:00MIAJohnson 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)73
20.0%
78
80.0%
Q3 - 1:15DENChandler Cutting Dunk Shot (11 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)71
18.0%
78
82.0%
Q3 - 1:22DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
21.0%
76
79.0%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
22.0%
76
78.0%
Q3 - 1:38DENMurray Foul Turnover (P2.T13)71
24.5%
76
75.5%
Q3 - 1:39DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
21.0%
76
79.0%
Q3 - 1:40MIAMurray BLOCK (2 BLK)71
22.0%
76
78.0%
Q3 - 1:57DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)71
24.4%
76
75.6%
Q3 - 1:57DENGallinari Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)71
24.9%
75
75.1%
Q3 - 1:57DENNUGGETS Rebound71
28.2%
74
71.8%
Q3 - 1:58MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup71
29.4%
74
70.6%
Q3 - 2:01MIAHeat Rebound71
32.5%
74
67.5%
Q3 - 2:02MIAGallinari BLOCK (1 BLK)71
29.5%
74
70.5%
Q3 - 2:12MIAMISS Ellington Free Throw Technical71
32.5%
74
67.5%
Q3 - 2:18DENJokic Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)71
32.5%
74
67.5%
Q3 - 2:18DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)71
33.2%
73
66.8%
Q3 - 2:18DENGallinari Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)71
36.4%
72
63.6%
Q3 - 2:18DENNUGGETS Rebound71
40.8%
71
59.2%
Q3 - 2:19MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
42.2%
71
57.8%
Q3 - 2:35DENJokic 12' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)71
45.7%
71
54.3%
Q3 - 2:46DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
50.0%
69
50.0%
Q3 - 2:46MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot71
51.5%
69
48.5%
Q3 - 3:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
54.6%
69
45.4%
Q3 - 3:13DENMISS Chandler 20' Jump Shot71
53.1%
69
46.9%
Q3 - 3:19DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
49.8%
69
50.2%
Q3 - 3:20MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
51.3%
69
48.7%
Q3 - 3:41DENChandler 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)71
54.6%
69
45.4%
Q3 - 3:47DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
62.9%
66
37.1%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMISS Johnson 2' Reverse Layup71
64.3%
66
35.7%
Q3 - 3:55MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:12)71
67.3%
66
32.7%
Q3 - 3:56DENMISS Gallinari 9' Turnaround Jump Shot71
66.0%
66
34.0%
Q3 - 4:17MIADragic 6' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)71
61.8%
66
38.2%
Q3 - 4:32DENNelson 3' Driving Layup (14 PTS)69
58.4%
66
41.6%
Q3 - 4:45MIAEllington 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)69
61.9%
64
38.1%
Q3 - 5:12DENJokic 3' Running Layup (11 PTS) (Mudiay 5 AST)67
57.6%
64
42.4%
Q3 - 5:18DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
61.2%
62
38.8%
Q3 - 5:19MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
62.5%
62
37.5%
Q3 - 5:41DENGallinari 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jokic 3 AST)67
65.5%
62
34.5%
Q3 - 5:53DENGallinari Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)67
68.7%
60
31.3%
Q3 - 6:06MIAEllington Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)67
71.0%
59
29.0%
Q3 - 6:11MIAWhiteside Dunk (19 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)66
67.6%
59
32.4%
Q3 - 6:23DENNurkic Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T12)64
64.4%
59
35.6%
Q3 - 6:25DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
60.4%
59
39.6%
Q3 - 6:27DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 2 of 264
63.9%
59
36.1%
Q3 - 6:27DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 264
61.1%
59
38.9%
Q3 - 6:48DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
60.4%
59
39.6%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS McRoberts 20' Jump Shot64
61.6%
59
38.4%
Q3 - 7:03DENFaried Running Alley Oop Dunk Shot (10 PTS) (Mudiay 4 AST)64
63.6%
59
36.4%
Q3 - 7:08MIAWhiteside 2' Hook Shot (17 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)64
66.5%
57
33.5%
Q3 - 7:29DENNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
63.6%
57
36.4%
Q3 - 7:29DENNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)62
64.1%
56
35.9%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)62
66.6%
55
33.4%
Q3 - 7:41MIAMISS McRoberts Free Throw 1 of 261
65.8%
55
34.2%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
67.1%
55
32.9%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
64.3%
55
35.7%
Q3 - 7:56DENGallinari Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Mudiay 3 AST)61
67.1%
55
32.9%
Q3 - 8:01DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
69.3%
53
30.7%
Q3 - 8:03DENMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
71.9%
53
28.1%
Q3 - 8:19MIADragic 20' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
69.3%
53
30.7%
Q3 - 8:35DENNurkic Layup (4 PTS) (Mudiay 2 AST)59
66.6%
53
33.4%
Q3 - 8:40DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)59
69.3%
51
30.7%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMISS Dragic 18' Jump Shot59
70.5%
51
29.5%
Q3 - 8:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)59
73.0%
51
27.0%
Q3 - 8:49DENMISS Mudiay 2' Driving Layup59
71.9%
51
28.1%
Q3 - 8:52DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
69.3%
51
30.7%
Q3 - 8:53DENMISS Mudiay 12' Jump Shot59
71.9%
51
28.1%
Q3 - 9:11MIAMcGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)59
68.3%
51
31.7%
Q3 - 9:24DENGallinari Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)56
61.9%
51
38.1%
Q3 - 9:35DENNUGGETS Rebound56
58.3%
51
41.7%
Q3 - 9:36DENMISS Faried 4' Jump Shot56
60.8%
51
39.2%
Q3 - 9:51MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)56
58.3%
51
41.7%
Q3 - 9:51MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)55
57.6%
51
42.4%
Q3 - 10:00DENGallinari 5' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)54
54.9%
51
45.1%
Q3 - 10:10DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
57.6%
49
42.4%
Q3 - 10:11MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot54
58.7%
49
41.3%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)54
61.3%
49
38.7%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
58.7%
49
41.3%
Q3 - 10:39DENNurkic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T10)54
61.3%
49
38.7%
Q3 - 10:43MIAWhiteside 3' Putback Layup (15 PTS)54
57.6%
49
42.4%
Q3 - 10:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)52
54.4%
49
45.6%
Q3 - 10:49MIAFaried BLOCK (3 BLK)52
51.8%
49
48.2%
Q3 - 11:08DENNurkic 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)52
53.9%
49
46.1%
Q3 - 11:12DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)52
57.1%
47
42.9%
Q3 - 11:13DENMISS Gallinari 1' Driving Layup52
59.5%
47
40.5%
Q3 - 11:21DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
57.1%
47
42.9%
Q3 - 11:22MIAMISS Babbitt 6' Floating Jump Shot52
58.2%
47
41.8%
Q3 - 11:35MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
60.6%
47
39.4%
Q3 - 11:37DENMISS Faried 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup52
59.6%
47
40.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
57.1%
47
42.9%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
59.2%
47
40.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 2 of 252
59.0%
47
41.0%
Q2 - 0:03.0DENMudiay Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
56.8%
47
43.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)52
60.3%
46
39.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
56.1%
46
43.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0DENMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot50
55.5%
46
44.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
53.9%
46
46.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot50
54.6%
46
45.4%
Q2 - 1:02DENNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)50
55.4%
46
44.6%
Q2 - 1:06DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
63.1%
43
36.9%
Q2 - 1:07MIAMudiay BLOCK (1 BLK)50
63.6%
43
36.4%
Q2 - 1:28MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
64.6%
43
35.4%
Q2 - 1:30DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 250
64.4%
43
35.6%
Q2 - 1:30DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 250
62.6%
43
37.4%
Q2 - 1:30DENNUGGETS Rebound50
63.1%
43
36.9%
Q2 - 1:30DENMISS Murray 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
64.2%
43
35.8%
Q2 - 1:35DENNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
63.1%
43
36.9%
Q2 - 1:38DENMISS Nelson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup50
64.2%
43
35.8%
Q2 - 1:48MIAFaried STEAL (1 STL)50
63.1%
43
36.9%
Q2 - 2:07DENGallinari 18' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)50
64.5%
43
35.5%
Q2 - 2:19DENNUGGETS Rebound50
67.4%
41
32.6%
Q2 - 2:20DENMISS Gallinari 15' Jump Shot50
69.2%
41
30.8%
Q2 - 2:35MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)50
67.5%
41
32.5%
Q2 - 2:35MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 249
66.6%
41
33.4%
Q2 - 2:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)49
67.3%
41
32.7%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS McGruder 1' Tip Layup Shot49
65.5%
41
34.5%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)49
67.3%
41
32.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMISS Dragic 20' Step Back Jump Shot49
65.5%
41
34.5%
Q2 - 2:45MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)49
67.3%
41
32.7%
Q2 - 2:46DENMISS Chandler 11' Turnaround Jump Shot49
66.5%
41
33.5%
Q2 - 2:55DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
64.8%
41
35.2%
Q2 - 2:56MIAMISS McRoberts 19' Jump Shot49
65.5%
41
34.5%
Q2 - 3:15DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)49
66.4%
41
33.6%
Q2 - 3:30DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
71.2%
38
28.8%
Q2 - 3:31MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
72.0%
38
28.0%
Q2 - 3:37DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)49
73.9%
38
26.1%
Q2 - 3:53DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
71.2%
38
28.8%
Q2 - 3:54MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup49
72.1%
38
27.9%
Q2 - 4:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)49
72.5%
38
27.5%
Q2 - 4:03DENMISS Nurkic 1' Layup49
71.8%
38
28.2%
Q2 - 4:06DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)49
70.2%
38
29.8%
Q2 - 4:08DENMISS Chandler 4' Jump Shot49
71.8%
38
28.2%
Q2 - 4:11DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
70.2%
38
29.8%
Q2 - 4:12DENMISS Chandler 6' Floating Jump Shot49
71.8%
38
28.2%
Q2 - 4:23DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
70.2%
38
29.8%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
70.9%
38
29.1%
Q2 - 4:40DENNurkic Foul Turnover (P3.T8)49
72.6%
38
27.4%
Q2 - 4:56MIABabbitt 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)49
70.3%
38
29.7%
Q2 - 5:02MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)47
67.4%
38
32.6%
Q2 - 5:03DENMISS Mudiay 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
66.6%
38
33.4%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
64.7%
38
35.3%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
63.8%
38
36.2%
Q2 - 5:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)45
62.3%
38
37.7%
Q2 - 5:19MIAMISS Babbitt 3PT Jump Shot45
60.3%
38
39.7%
Q2 - 5:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)45
62.3%
38
37.7%
Q2 - 5:24DENMISS Nelson 3' Driving Layup45
61.4%
38
38.6%
Q2 - 5:32MIAJohnson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)45
59.4%
38
40.6%
Q2 - 5:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
56.9%
38
43.1%
Q2 - 5:44DENMISS Mudiay Free Throw 1 of 143
56.5%
38
43.5%
Q2 - 5:47DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
59.4%
36
40.6%
Q2 - 5:47MIAMISS Ellington 6' Floating Jump Shot43
60.3%
36
39.7%
Q2 - 6:05MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
62.0%
36
38.0%
Q2 - 6:06DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
61.0%
36
39.0%
Q2 - 6:35MIADragic 2' Running Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)43
58.8%
36
41.2%
Q2 - 6:41DENMudiay Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)41
56.7%
36
43.3%
Q2 - 6:54DENMISS Nelson Free Throw Technical41
53.4%
36
46.6%
Q2 - 7:11MIABabbitt 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)41
53.2%
36
46.8%
Q2 - 7:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
48.2%
36
51.8%
Q2 - 7:22DENMISS Nelson 9' Pullup Jump Shot38
47.3%
36
52.7%
Q2 - 7:32DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
45.3%
36
54.7%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot38
46.2%
36
53.8%
Q2 - 7:41MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
48.2%
36
51.8%
Q2 - 7:42DENMISS Hernangomez 2' Driving Layup38
47.3%
36
52.7%
Q2 - 7:59DENNUGGETS Rebound38
45.3%
36
54.7%
Q2 - 8:00DENMISS Murray 2' Finger Roll Layup38
47.3%
36
52.7%
Q2 - 8:02DENMurray REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
45.0%
36
55.0%
Q2 - 8:03MIAMISS Johnson 21' Pullup Jump Shot38
45.9%
36
54.1%
Q2 - 8:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
47.8%
36
52.2%
Q2 - 8:18DENMISS Mudiay 13' Fadeaway Jumper38
47.0%
36
53.0%
Q2 - 8:40MIAEllington 1' Running Layup (7 PTS)38
45.1%
36
54.9%
Q2 - 8:45DENMurray Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)36
42.7%
36
57.3%
Q2 - 9:03MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)36
39.9%
36
60.1%
Q2 - 9:20DENChandler 8' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jokic 2 AST)33
35.4%
36
64.6%
Q2 - 9:41MIAEllington Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)33
37.5%
34
62.5%
Q2 - 9:46DENChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)31
35.4%
34
64.6%
Q2 - 10:03MIABabbitt 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)31
33.0%
34
67.0%
Q2 - 10:11MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
29.1%
34
70.9%
Q2 - 10:12DENMISS Mudiay 1' Driving Layup28
28.4%
34
71.6%
Q2 - 10:18DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
26.8%
34
73.2%
Q2 - 10:19MIAMurray BLOCK (1 BLK)28
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q2 - 10:36DENChandler 9' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)28
29.1%
34
70.9%
Q2 - 10:51DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
30.9%
32
69.1%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 2 of 228
31.2%
32
68.8%
Q2 - 10:52MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 1 of 228
32.3%
32
67.7%
Q2 - 11:09DENChandler 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)28
33.2%
32
66.8%
Q2 - 11:26DENNUGGETS Rebound28
35.3%
30
64.7%
Q2 - 11:27MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot28
36.0%
30
64.0%
Q2 - 11:35MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)28
37.6%
30
62.4%
Q2 - 11:37DENMISS Mudiay 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
36.9%
30
63.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN28
35.3%
30
64.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson 1' Running Dunk (5 PTS)28
35.3%
30
64.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0DENJokic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)26
32.8%
30
67.2%
Q1 - 0:11.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)26
31.3%
30
68.7%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 226
31.5%
30
68.5%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)26
32.9%
30
67.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0DENMurray Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
30.7%
30
69.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAEllington Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)25
35.5%
27
64.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
37.1%
27
62.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMISS Ellington 20' Step Back Jump Shot25
36.0%
27
64.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
37.1%
27
62.9%
Q1 - 0:57.0DENMISS Murray 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
36.6%
27
63.4%
Q1 - 1:08DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
35.5%
27
64.5%
Q1 - 1:08MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot25
36.0%
27
64.0%
Q1 - 1:30DENJokic 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS)25
37.2%
27
62.8%
Q1 - 1:51MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
40.0%
25
60.0%
Q1 - 1:51MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
39.5%
25
60.5%
Q1 - 2:01DENJokic 2' Alley Oop Layup (7 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)23
37.5%
25
62.5%
Q1 - 2:11DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
40.0%
23
60.0%
Q1 - 2:12MIAMISS Reed 12' Jump Shot23
40.6%
23
59.4%
Q1 - 2:23MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
42.0%
23
58.0%
Q1 - 2:24DENMISS Chandler 11' Jump Shot23
41.3%
23
58.7%
Q1 - 2:39MIAJohnson Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS)23
39.9%
23
60.1%
Q1 - 2:50DENJokic 7' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS)21
37.5%
23
62.5%
Q1 - 2:54DENJokic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
39.9%
21
60.1%
Q1 - 2:55DENMISS Jokic 1' Layup21
41.3%
21
58.7%
Q1 - 3:16MIAJohnson 7' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)21
39.6%
21
60.4%
Q1 - 3:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)19
37.7%
21
62.3%
Q1 - 3:37DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
37.0%
21
63.0%
Q1 - 3:43DENJokic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
35.4%
21
64.6%
Q1 - 3:44MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
36.1%
21
63.9%
Q1 - 3:59DENJokic 2' Finger Roll Layup (3 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)19
37.7%
21
62.3%
Q1 - 4:11DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
39.4%
19
60.6%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Pullup Jump Shot19
40.1%
19
59.9%
Q1 - 4:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
41.9%
19
58.1%
Q1 - 4:20DENMISS Chandler 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup19
41.1%
19
58.9%
Q1 - 4:42MIAWhiteside 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)19
39.4%
19
60.6%
Q1 - 4:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
37.7%
19
62.3%
Q1 - 4:53DENMISS Jokic Free Throw 2 of 217
37.4%
19
62.6%
Q1 - 4:53DENJokic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
36.0%
19
64.0%
Q1 - 5:00DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
37.3%
18
62.7%
Q1 - 5:01MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Hook Shot17
38.0%
18
62.0%
Q1 - 5:14DENNelson Free Throw Technical (7 PTS)17
39.5%
18
60.5%
Q1 - 5:14MIAHeat Rebound17
41.5%
17
58.5%
Q1 - 5:15MIAFaried BLOCK (2 BLK)17
40.0%
17
60.0%
Q1 - 5:20DENNurkic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)17
41.5%
17
58.5%
Q1 - 5:23DENNUGGETS Rebound17
39.4%
17
60.6%
Q1 - 5:25DENMISS Faried 17' Jump Shot17
40.9%
17
59.1%
Q1 - 5:38MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)17
39.4%
17
60.6%
Q1 - 5:48DENFaried 2' Putback Layup (5 PTS)15
37.5%
17
62.5%
Q1 - 5:52DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
39.4%
15
60.6%
Q1 - 5:52DENMISS Mudiay 1' Driving Layup15
40.9%
15
59.1%
Q1 - 6:09MIADragic 4' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
39.2%
15
60.8%
Q1 - 6:36DENMudiay Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
37.5%
15
62.5%
Q1 - 6:40DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
35.5%
15
64.5%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMISS McRoberts 19' Jump Shot13
36.1%
15
63.9%
Q1 - 7:01DENNurkic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)13
37.6%
15
62.4%
Q1 - 7:10MIAWhiteside 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)13
35.5%
15
64.5%
Q1 - 7:28DENNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)11
34.1%
15
65.9%
Q1 - 7:34DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
37.3%
12
62.7%
Q1 - 7:35MIAMISS Dragic 8' Fadeaway Jumper11
37.9%
12
62.1%
Q1 - 7:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
39.4%
12
60.6%
Q1 - 7:47DENMISS Gallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
38.8%
12
61.2%
Q1 - 8:00MIADragic 7' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)11
37.3%
12
62.7%
Q1 - 8:11DENMudiay Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)9
35.9%
12
64.1%
Q1 - 8:21MIAWhiteside 6' Hook Shot (6 PTS)9
37.5%
10
62.5%
Q1 - 8:24MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
35.9%
10
64.1%
Q1 - 8:25MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup7
34.5%
10
65.5%
Q1 - 8:37DENGallinari Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Nurkic 1 AST)7
35.9%
10
64.1%
Q1 - 8:50DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
37.4%
8
62.6%
Q1 - 8:58MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 17
37.7%
8
62.3%
Q1 - 9:04MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 9:05MIAMISS McGruder 14' Jump Shot5
34.4%
8
65.6%
Q1 - 9:23DENMudiay 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)5
35.9%
8
64.1%
Q1 - 9:33DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
37.2%
6
62.8%
Q1 - 9:35MIAFaried BLOCK (1 BLK)5
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
39.4%
6
60.6%
Q1 - 9:45DENMISS Faried 2' Cutting Layup Shot5
38.8%
6
61.2%
Q1 - 9:54DENMudiay REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 9:55MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 10:04MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
39.2%
6
60.8%
Q1 - 10:04DENMISS Gallinari Driving Dunk5
38.6%
6
61.4%
Q1 - 10:14DENNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 10:15MIAMISS Dragic 19' Step Back Jump Shot5
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 10:40DENNelson 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS)5
39.2%
6
60.8%
Q1 - 10:58MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)5
42.6%
3
57.4%
Q1 - 11:12DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
39.0%
3
61.0%
Q1 - 11:40MIAWhiteside 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
42.6%
0
57.4%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Nurkic vs. Whiteside: Tip to McRoberts0
40.8%
0
59.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
DEN
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
21
36
58%
DEN
19
40
48%
Midrange
MIA
11
33
33%
DEN
12
29
41%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
24
38%
56%
DEN
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
Free Throws
MIA
15
26
58%
DEN
15
24
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Whiteside2566%12.5 / 19
W. Ellington2279%11.0 / 14
T. Johnson1856%9.0 / 16
G. Dragic1640%8.0 / 20
L. Babbitt1161%5.5 / 9
J. Johnson1038%5.0 / 13
R. McGruder325%1.5 / 6
J. McRoberts110%0.5 / 5
W. Reed0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson1753%8.5 / 16
D. Gallinari1747%8.5 / 18
W. Chandler1750%8.5 / 17
N. Jokić1765%8.5 / 13
K. Faried1056%5.0 / 9
J. Murray945%4.5 / 10
E. Mudiay729%3.5 / 12
J. Nurkić467%2.0 / 3
J. Hernangomez0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
92
+13
-6
105
DEN
78
+20
-19
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
DEN
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
113.2
MIA 108.2 +7.1
DEN 101.0
Pace
95.0
98.4
MIA 99.4 +3.7
DEN 95.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.4
MIA 14.5 +0.6
DEN 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
53.0%
MIA 48.9% +3.3%
DEN 45.6%
TO %
13.2%
14.7%
MIA 5.4% +10.4%
DEN 15.8%
ORB %
24.2%
27.3%
MIA 21.2%
DEN 27.5% +6.3%
FTrt
25.1
27.6
MIA 28.0 +1.6
DEN 26.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
61.5%
MIA 63.4%
DEN 73.7% +10.3%
STL %
7.5%
7.0%
MIA 14.3% +11.2%
DEN 3.1%
BLK %
9.3%
6.3%
MIA 10.1%
DEN 10.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
55.4%
MIA 49.5% +0.5%
DEN 49.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
59.4%
MIA 58.3% +10.8%
DEN 47.5%
Mid FG%
39.4%
40.2%
MIA 33.3%
DEN 41.4% +8.1%
3P %
36.5%
36.8%
MIA 37.5% +5.7%
DEN 31.8%
FT %
70.6%
77.4%
MIA 57.7%
DEN 62.5% +4.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
40.9%
MIA 38.7%
DEN 44.0% +5.2%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
26.2%
MIA 35.5%
DEN 31.9% +3.6%
3P Att. %
31.4%
32.9%
MIA 25.8% +1.6%
DEN 24.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points10698
Rebounds4855
Assists2628
Steals143
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)19 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)14 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)41 (3)
Field Goals41-9338-91
At-the-Rim FG21-3619-40
Midrange FG11-3312-29
2-Point FG32-6931-69
3-Point FG9-247-22
Free Throws15-2615-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
34.3
16
40%
3
7
1
0
0
5
0
3
4-6
67%
6-14
43%
0-3
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
32.1
25
66%
16
1
1
4
1
3
4
12
3-5
60%
11-17
65%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
25.1
3
25%
7
0
3
0
0
3
4
3
0-0
-
0-4
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
23.0
11
61%
1
0
1
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
F · 6'10" 240 · 30
16.5
1
10%
3
3
0
1
1
3
1
2
1-2
50%
0-4
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
33.0
10
38%
7
5
3
2
2
3
0
7
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
0-4
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
31.7
22
79%
2
2
4
0
1
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
5-9
56%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
28.4
18
56%
2
7
1
0
1
1
1
1
4-6
67%
7-13
54%
0-0
-
· 6'11" 245 · 27
15.9
0
0%
7
1
0
0
0
3
1
6
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
#11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
50%
48
26
14
7
6
0
11
37
15-26
58%
32-69
46%
9-24
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.