FinalWin Prob.pScore
1251%104
101
2249%103
112
ORTG#PossPace
WAS logo WAS
104.197112.9
MIA logo MIA
114.39885.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWizardsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventWASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA101
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:13)101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0WASMISS Mark Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)101
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 2101
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:12)101
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0WASMISS Mark Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)101
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2101
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0WASGortat Foul Turnover (P3.T15)101
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)101
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)101
0.6%
108
99.4%
Q4 - 0:51.0WASMISS Wall 2' Driving Layup101
0.9%
108
99.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0WASGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)101
1.7%
108
98.3%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Dragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot101
1.4%
108
98.6%
Q4 - 1:23MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)101
1.6%
108
98.4%
Q4 - 1:24WASMISS Wall 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
2.0%
108
98.0%
Q4 - 1:40MIADragic 15' Step Back Jump Shot (34 PTS)101
3.9%
108
96.1%
Q4 - 2:00MIAHEAT Rebound101
6.4%
106
93.6%
Q4 - 2:01MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot101
10.4%
106
89.6%
Q4 - 2:18MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)101
7.0%
106
93.0%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot101
10.8%
106
89.2%
Q4 - 2:43WASWall 1' Driving Layup (30 PTS)101
7.0%
106
93.0%
Q4 - 3:02MIADragic 16' Pullup Bank Shot (32 PTS)99
6.6%
106
93.4%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)99
8.4%
104
91.6%
Q4 - 3:25WASMISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot99
9.9%
104
90.1%
Q4 - 3:31MIAJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)99
17.3%
104
82.7%
Q4 - 3:43WASWall 6' Pullup Jump Shot (28 PTS)99
12.0%
104
88.0%
Q4 - 3:59MIAJohnson 13' Jump Shot (13 PTS)97
8.5%
104
91.5%
Q4 - 4:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)97
11.5%
102
88.5%
Q4 - 4:10WASMISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot97
12.8%
102
87.2%
Q4 - 4:18MIAJump Ball Dragic vs. Beal: Tip to Porter Jr.97
16.2%
102
83.8%
Q4 - 4:36WASPorter Jr. 2' Turnaround Bank Shot (9 PTS) (Mark Morris 3 AST)97
11.3%
102
88.7%
Q4 - 4:55WASOubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
8.1%
102
91.9%
Q4 - 4:56MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot95
7.2%
102
92.8%
Q4 - 5:13WASWizards Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)95
7.8%
102
92.2%
Q4 - 5:37MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)95
10.6%
102
89.4%
Q4 - 5:37MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)95
11.3%
101
88.7%
Q4 - 5:40WASDragic STEAL (1 STL)95
14.0%
100
86.0%
Q4 - 5:46WASOubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)95
18.9%
100
81.1%
Q4 - 5:47MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
17.3%
100
82.7%
Q4 - 6:06WASBeal 4' Jump Bank Shot (29 PTS)95
16.4%
100
83.6%
Q4 - 6:25MIADragic 14' Jump Shot (28 PTS)93
13.1%
100
86.9%
Q4 - 6:40MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
16.2%
98
83.8%
Q4 - 6:41WASMISS Wall 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
17.7%
98
82.3%
Q4 - 6:58MIAJohnson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)93
21.5%
98
78.5%
Q4 - 7:10MIAHEAT Rebound93
28.7%
96
71.3%
Q4 - 7:11WASMISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
30.6%
96
69.4%
Q4 - 7:16WASMark Morris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)93
35.3%
96
64.7%
Q4 - 7:17WASMISS Burke 3PT Jump Shot93
30.6%
96
69.4%
Q4 - 7:29WASMark Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
35.2%
96
64.8%
Q4 - 7:30MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot93
33.1%
96
66.9%
Q4 - 7:55WASWall Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)93
28.5%
96
71.5%
Q4 - 8:09MIADragic 6' Jump Shot (26 PTS)90
20.5%
96
79.5%
Q4 - 8:17MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
25.1%
94
74.9%
Q4 - 8:18WASMISS Mark Morris 2' Layup90
26.6%
94
73.4%
Q4 - 8:19WASMark Morris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)90
30.1%
94
69.9%
Q4 - 8:20WASMISS Beal 12' Fadeaway Jumper90
26.5%
94
73.5%
Q4 - 8:34MIAJohnson 8' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS)90
30.1%
94
69.9%
Q4 - 8:57WASWall REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
35.9%
92
64.1%
Q4 - 8:57WASWall 2' Tip Layup Shot (23 PTS)90
35.9%
92
64.1%
Q4 - 8:58WASMISS Wall 9' Jump Shot88
26.5%
92
73.5%
Q4 - 9:16MIAJohnson Running Dunk (9 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)88
31.6%
92
68.4%
Q4 - 9:22MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
36.7%
90
63.3%
Q4 - 9:23WASMISS Thornton 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
38.5%
90
61.5%
Q4 - 9:38MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)88
42.8%
90
57.2%
Q4 - 9:49WASSmith Dunk (4 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)88
54.6%
87
45.4%
Q4 - 10:03MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)86
48.9%
87
51.1%
Q4 - 10:03MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 286
50.5%
86
49.5%
Q4 - 10:18WASOubre Jr. Running Dunk (6 PTS)86
48.5%
86
51.5%
Q4 - 10:22MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)84
43.3%
86
56.7%
Q4 - 10:41WASOubre Jr. Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)84
37.3%
86
62.7%
Q4 - 10:41WASOubre Jr. Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)83
36.0%
86
64.0%
Q4 - 10:56MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)82
32.5%
86
67.5%
Q4 - 11:00MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
42.8%
83
57.2%
Q4 - 11:01MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot82
46.9%
83
53.1%
Q4 - 11:10MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
43.0%
83
57.0%
Q4 - 11:11WASMISS Burke 1' Driving Layup82
44.7%
83
55.3%
Q4 - 11:38MIAJohnson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)82
48.7%
83
51.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA82
53.9%
81
46.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
54.1%
81
45.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0WASMISS Burke 18' Jump Shot82
55.6%
81
44.4%
Q3 - 0:23.0WASBurke REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
59.1%
81
40.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Johnson Driving Dunk82
57.5%
81
42.5%
Q3 - 0:39.0WASBurke Foul Turnover (P1.T12)82
54.0%
81
46.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0MIAJohnson 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)82
59.1%
81
40.9%
Q3 - 0:59.0WASBurke 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)82
64.0%
79
36.0%
Q3 - 1:21MIAEllington Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
58.8%
79
41.2%
Q3 - 1:21MIAEllington Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)80
59.5%
78
40.5%
Q3 - 1:22WASEllington STEAL (2 STL)80
63.3%
77
36.7%
Q3 - 1:32MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS)80
67.9%
77
32.1%
Q3 - 1:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)80
71.9%
75
28.1%
Q3 - 1:42WASMISS Wall 17' Jump Shot80
73.1%
75
26.9%
Q3 - 1:55WASWall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
75.8%
75
24.2%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Ellington 15' Turnaround Jump Shot80
74.6%
75
25.4%
Q3 - 2:13WASWall 14' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)80
70.5%
75
29.5%
Q3 - 2:27WASThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
66.9%
75
33.1%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Johnson 15' Pullup Jump Shot78
65.5%
75
34.5%
Q3 - 2:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)78
62.3%
75
37.7%
Q3 - 2:41WASMISS Porter Jr. Free Throw 1 of 178
62.9%
75
37.1%
Q3 - 2:55MIARichardson 11' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS)76
58.2%
75
41.8%
Q3 - 3:16WASPorter Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wall 8 AST)76
62.0%
73
38.0%
Q3 - 3:29MIAWhiteside Dunk (14 PTS) (Ellington 5 AST)73
53.6%
73
46.4%
Q3 - 3:42MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
57.7%
71
42.3%
Q3 - 3:43WASMISS Mark Morris 19' Pullup Jump Shot73
59.2%
71
40.8%
Q3 - 3:58WASWall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
62.3%
71
37.7%
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot73
60.9%
71
39.1%
Q3 - 4:05WASRichardson STEAL (1 STL)73
57.2%
71
42.8%
Q3 - 4:13WASPorter Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
62.0%
71
38.0%
Q3 - 4:14MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Turnaround Hook Shot73
60.6%
71
39.4%
Q3 - 4:34WASMark Morris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Beal 1 AST)73
57.3%
71
42.7%
Q3 - 4:51MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)70
49.4%
71
50.6%
Q3 - 4:58MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
44.4%
71
55.6%
Q3 - 4:59WASMISS Beal 2' Driving Layup70
45.9%
71
54.1%
Q3 - 5:11WASGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)70
49.3%
71
50.7%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Jump Shot70
47.9%
71
52.1%
Q3 - 5:29WASBeal 19' Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Gortat 3 AST)70
44.7%
71
55.3%
Q3 - 5:42WASGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)68
41.1%
71
58.9%
Q3 - 5:43MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
39.7%
71
60.3%
Q3 - 6:01WASGortat 1' Tip Layup Shot (7 PTS)68
37.3%
71
62.7%
Q3 - 6:02WASGortat REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)66
33.9%
71
66.1%
Q3 - 6:03WASMISS Wall 3' Driving Layup66
31.3%
71
68.7%
Q3 - 6:07MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)66
33.9%
71
66.1%
Q3 - 6:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)66
30.2%
71
69.8%
Q3 - 6:20WASMISS Wall Free Throw 2 of 266
30.7%
71
69.3%
Q3 - 6:20WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)66
33.0%
71
67.0%
Q3 - 6:25MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)65
30.4%
71
69.6%
Q3 - 6:25MIAHEAT Rebound65
26.9%
71
73.1%
Q3 - 6:26MIAMISS McRoberts 17' Jump Shot65
29.3%
71
70.7%
Q3 - 6:41WASGortat 1' Tip Layup Shot (5 PTS)65
26.9%
71
73.1%
Q3 - 6:42WASGortat REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)63
24.1%
71
75.9%
Q3 - 6:43WASMISS Wall 2' Driving Layup63
22.0%
71
78.0%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (12 PTS) (McRoberts 5 AST)63
24.1%
71
75.9%
Q3 - 7:13WASWall 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (18 PTS)63
27.3%
69
72.7%
Q3 - 7:27WASGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
24.7%
69
75.3%
Q3 - 7:28MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 261
24.3%
69
75.7%
Q3 - 7:28MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)61
22.9%
69
77.1%
Q3 - 7:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)61
24.3%
68
75.7%
Q3 - 7:30MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
26.6%
68
73.4%
Q3 - 7:48WASBeal 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS)61
24.3%
68
75.7%
Q3 - 7:58WASPorter Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
21.9%
68
78.1%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
21.0%
68
79.0%
Q3 - 8:16WASWall 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)59
19.7%
68
80.3%
Q3 - 8:30WASGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
17.8%
68
82.2%
Q3 - 8:31MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 257
17.5%
68
82.5%
Q3 - 8:31MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
16.4%
68
83.6%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
17.4%
67
82.6%
Q3 - 8:46WASMISS Beal 20' Jump Shot57
18.2%
67
81.8%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMcRoberts 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)57
20.7%
67
79.3%
Q3 - 9:30WASBeal Running Dunk (23 PTS)57
23.0%
65
77.0%
Q3 - 9:34MIARichardson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)55
20.7%
65
79.3%
Q3 - 9:46MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
18.3%
65
81.7%
Q3 - 9:47WASMISS Porter Jr. 3PT Jump Shot55
19.0%
65
81.0%
Q3 - 10:02MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)55
21.5%
65
78.5%
Q3 - 10:20WASBeal 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS) (Wall 7 AST)55
26.4%
62
73.6%
Q3 - 10:30MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)53
24.0%
62
76.0%
Q3 - 10:46MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
21.3%
62
78.7%
Q3 - 10:47WASMISS Beal 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
22.1%
62
77.9%
Q3 - 10:58WASWall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
23.9%
62
76.1%
Q3 - 10:59MIAMISS Dragic 15' Step Back Jump Shot53
23.1%
62
76.9%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)53
22.1%
62
77.9%
Q3 - 11:10WASMISS Wall 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
22.9%
62
77.1%
Q3 - 11:24MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (21 PTS)53
24.6%
62
75.4%
Q3 - 11:31MIAHEAT Rebound53
29.9%
59
70.1%
Q3 - 11:32MIAMISS McRoberts 8' Hook Shot53
32.1%
59
67.9%
Q3 - 11:47WASBeal Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T9)53
29.9%
59
70.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0WAS53
33.0%
59
67.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
33.0%
59
67.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS McRoberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
32.7%
59
67.3%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
31.3%
59
68.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0WASMISS Wall 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
31.9%
59
68.1%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)53
33.2%
59
66.8%
Q2 - 0:38.0WASWall Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)53
40.3%
56
59.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0WASWall Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
39.7%
56
60.3%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAMcGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)51
36.2%
56
63.8%
Q2 - 1:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)51
44.1%
53
55.9%
Q2 - 1:05WASMISS Porter Jr. 12' Jump Shot51
44.6%
53
55.4%
Q2 - 1:24MIAWhiteside 1' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)51
45.7%
53
54.3%
Q2 - 1:43WASMark Morris 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Wall 6 AST)51
50.4%
51
49.6%
Q2 - 1:52MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Ellington 4 AST)49
45.7%
51
54.3%
Q2 - 2:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)49
52.8%
48
47.2%
Q2 - 2:13WASMISS Mark Morris 17' Jump Shot49
53.7%
48
46.3%
Q2 - 2:30MIAMcGruder 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)49
55.7%
48
44.3%
Q2 - 2:51WASBeal Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)49
59.0%
46
41.0%
Q2 - 3:09MIAWhiteside 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)49
61.7%
46
38.3%
Q2 - 3:25WASWall Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)49
64.0%
44
36.0%
Q2 - 3:34MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)46
58.8%
44
41.2%
Q2 - 3:44WASGortat Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)46
61.3%
42
38.7%
Q2 - 3:54MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T7)46
64.5%
42
35.5%
Q2 - 4:10WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)46
61.1%
42
38.9%
Q2 - 4:24MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)43
55.5%
42
44.5%
Q2 - 4:29MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
61.1%
39
38.9%
Q2 - 4:30WASMISS Beal 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
61.9%
39
38.1%
Q2 - 4:43MIARichardson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
63.8%
39
36.2%
Q2 - 5:00WASBeal 11' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Gortat 2 AST)43
66.4%
37
33.6%
Q2 - 5:23MIADragic 3' Running Layup (10 PTS) (Ellington 3 AST)41
63.7%
37
36.3%
Q2 - 5:28WASEllington STEAL (1 STL)41
66.1%
35
33.9%
Q2 - 5:34WASOubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
68.7%
35
31.3%
Q2 - 5:35MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Tip Layup Shot41
67.9%
35
32.1%
Q2 - 5:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
66.1%
35
33.9%
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
67.9%
35
32.1%
Q2 - 5:58WASBeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Wall 4 AST)41
66.1%
35
33.9%
Q2 - 6:14MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)38
61.2%
35
38.8%
Q2 - 6:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
65.6%
32
34.4%
Q2 - 6:22MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup38
67.7%
32
32.3%
Q2 - 6:29MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
65.6%
32
34.4%
Q2 - 6:30WASMISS Oubre Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
66.5%
32
33.5%
Q2 - 6:37MIADragic 1' Layup (8 PTS)38
68.6%
32
31.4%
Q2 - 6:38MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
70.4%
30
29.6%
Q2 - 6:39MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup38
72.3%
30
27.7%
Q2 - 6:42WASWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)38
70.4%
30
29.6%
Q2 - 6:44WASWall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
73.1%
30
26.9%
Q2 - 6:45MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Shot38
72.3%
30
27.7%
Q2 - 7:26WASMark Morris Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)38
70.0%
30
30.0%
Q2 - 7:47MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6)38
72.3%
30
27.7%
Q2 - 8:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
69.5%
30
30.5%
Q2 - 8:11WASMISS Thornton 19' Pullup Jump Shot38
70.2%
30
29.8%
Q2 - 8:25MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)38
71.8%
30
28.2%
Q2 - 8:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
69.5%
30
30.5%
Q2 - 8:42WASMISS Mark Morris 12' Jump Shot38
70.2%
30
29.8%
Q2 - 8:53WASWizards Rebound38
71.8%
30
28.2%
Q2 - 8:54MIAMISS Richardson 21' Pullup Jump Shot38
71.1%
30
28.9%
Q2 - 9:05WASBurke Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
69.0%
30
31.0%
Q2 - 9:05WASBurke Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
68.6%
30
31.4%
Q2 - 9:12MIAMcGruder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)36
67.1%
30
32.9%
Q2 - 9:28WASMark Morris 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
64.6%
30
35.4%
Q2 - 9:37WASOubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
62.5%
30
37.5%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Richardson 12' Jump Shot34
61.7%
30
38.3%
Q2 - 9:50MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
59.9%
30
40.1%
Q2 - 9:51WASMISS Burke 19' Jump Shot34
60.7%
30
39.3%
Q2 - 10:01WASWizards Rebound34
62.3%
30
37.7%
Q2 - 10:01WASMISS Mark Morris Free Throw 2 of 234
59.9%
30
40.1%
Q2 - 10:01WASMark Morris Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
61.5%
30
38.5%
Q2 - 10:24MIAJohnson 20' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)33
59.9%
30
40.1%
Q2 - 10:34MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
62.0%
28
38.0%
Q2 - 10:35WASMISS Thornton 9' Floating Jump Shot33
62.8%
28
37.2%
Q2 - 10:46MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)33
64.6%
28
35.4%
Q2 - 11:11WASSmith 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Burke 1 AST)33
61.7%
28
38.3%
Q2 - 11:21WASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
59.5%
28
40.5%
Q2 - 11:22MIAMISS Reed 5' Turnaround Jump Shot31
58.7%
28
41.3%
Q2 - 11:45WASMark Morris 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
57.1%
28
42.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
54.8%
28
45.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound29
52.3%
28
47.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
54.0%
28
46.0%
Q1 - 0:03.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
52.5%
28
47.5%
Q1 - 0:04.0WASMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot29
53.0%
28
47.0%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAReed Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q1 - 0:28.0MIAMISS Reed Free Throw 1 of 229
55.0%
27
45.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0WASOubre Jr. 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)29
54.8%
27
45.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0WASOubre Jr. REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
51.8%
27
48.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0WASMISS Oubre Jr. 3' Driving Layup27
50.6%
27
49.4%
Q1 - 0:58.0WASSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
51.8%
27
48.2%
Q1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot27
51.3%
27
48.7%
Q1 - 1:11WASThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
50.1%
27
49.9%
Q1 - 1:11WASThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
49.8%
27
50.2%
Q1 - 1:16WASPorter Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
47.2%
27
52.8%
Q1 - 1:17MIAMISS Dragic 5' Jump Shot25
46.7%
27
53.3%
Q1 - 1:34WASJohnson STEAL (1 STL)25
45.4%
27
54.6%
Q1 - 1:46WASGortat REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)25
47.2%
27
52.8%
Q1 - 1:47WASMISS Wall 1' Driving Layup25
46.0%
27
54.0%
Q1 - 2:03MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)25
47.6%
27
52.4%
Q1 - 2:16WASWall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Gortat 1 AST)25
50.2%
25
49.8%
Q1 - 2:30MIAJohnson 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)22
45.3%
25
54.7%
Q1 - 2:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)22
47.9%
23
52.1%
Q1 - 2:37WASMISS Oubre Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
48.5%
23
51.5%
Q1 - 2:57MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)22
49.9%
23
50.1%
Q1 - 3:20WASBeal Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)22
52.2%
21
47.8%
Q1 - 3:20WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)21
51.8%
21
48.2%
Q1 - 3:36MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)20
50.2%
21
49.8%
Q1 - 3:58WASGortat 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wall 3 AST)20
54.5%
18
45.5%
Q1 - 4:14MIAWhiteside Tip Dunk Shot (4 PTS)18
52.4%
18
47.6%
Q1 - 4:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
54.2%
16
45.8%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
56.0%
16
44.0%
Q1 - 4:42WASGortat Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)18
54.2%
16
45.8%
Q1 - 4:43WASGortat REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)18
56.8%
16
43.2%
Q1 - 4:44WASWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)18
55.0%
16
45.0%
Q1 - 4:54MIADragic 17' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)18
56.8%
16
43.2%
Q1 - 5:14WASBeal 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wall 2 AST)18
58.2%
14
41.8%
Q1 - 5:25MIAMcRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)15
54.3%
14
45.7%
Q1 - 5:46WASWall 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
58.2%
11
41.8%
Q1 - 5:47WASWall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
56.4%
11
43.6%
Q1 - 5:48WASMISS Wall 5' Jump Shot13
54.8%
11
45.2%
Q1 - 5:55WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
56.4%
11
43.6%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot13
55.7%
11
44.3%
Q1 - 6:13WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)13
53.9%
11
46.1%
Q1 - 6:23WASBeal REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
50.0%
11
50.0%
Q1 - 6:24MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot10
49.4%
11
50.6%
Q1 - 6:37WASGortat Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)10
47.9%
11
52.1%
Q1 - 6:37WASMISS Gortat Free Throw 1 of 29
47.3%
11
52.7%
Q1 - 6:37WASGortat REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
48.0%
11
52.0%
Q1 - 6:38WASWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)9
46.5%
11
53.5%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)9
48.0%
11
52.0%
Q1 - 6:41MIAMcRoberts Tip Dunk Shot (2 PTS)9
48.0%
11
52.0%
Q1 - 6:44MIAMISS Dragic 3' Reverse Layup9
51.4%
9
48.6%
Q1 - 6:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
49.9%
9
50.1%
Q1 - 6:52WASEllington BLOCK (1 BLK)9
50.5%
9
49.5%
Q1 - 7:05WASPorter Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
52.1%
9
47.9%
Q1 - 7:06MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Turnaround Hook Shot9
51.4%
9
48.6%
Q1 - 7:30WASWall 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Mark Morris 2 AST)9
49.8%
9
50.2%
Q1 - 7:35MIAWhiteside 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
48.3%
9
51.7%
Q1 - 7:52WASPorter Jr. Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)7
49.8%
7
50.2%
Q1 - 8:08WASWizards Rebound7
52.3%
7
47.7%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
51.7%
7
48.3%
Q1 - 8:34WASBeal Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)7
50.2%
7
49.8%
Q1 - 8:37MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
46.6%
7
53.4%
Q1 - 8:46MIAHEAT Rebound4
44.5%
7
55.5%
Q1 - 8:47MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
46.0%
7
54.0%
Q1 - 9:00MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)4
44.5%
7
55.5%
Q1 - 9:01WASMISS Wall 3' Driving Layup4
45.1%
7
54.9%
Q1 - 9:07MIAMcGruder 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)4
46.7%
7
53.3%
Q1 - 9:13MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
48.1%
5
51.9%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS McRoberts 6' Hook Shot4
49.7%
5
50.3%
Q1 - 9:34WASPorter Jr. 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mark Morris 1 AST)4
48.1%
5
51.9%
Q1 - 9:43MIADragic 18' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
46.7%
5
53.3%
Q1 - 10:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
48.1%
3
51.9%
Q1 - 10:01WASMISS Beal 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
48.8%
3
51.2%
Q1 - 10:17MIAEllington Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
50.2%
3
49.8%
Q1 - 10:22MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)2
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 10:23WASMISS Porter Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
54.3%
0
45.7%
Q1 - 10:29WASMark Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
55.7%
0
44.3%
Q1 - 10:30MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
55.1%
0
44.9%
Q1 - 10:52WASWall 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
53.7%
0
46.3%
Q1 - 11:01WASMark Morris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
51.9%
0
48.1%
Q1 - 11:02MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Turnaround Hook Shot0
51.3%
0
48.7%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 11:22MIAMISS McGruder 13' Floating Jump Shot0
51.4%
0
48.6%
Q1 - 11:45MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
50.2%
0
49.8%
Q1 - 11:46WASMISS Gortat Driving Dunk0
50.7%
0
49.3%
Q1 - 11:57MIAHEAT Turnover: Backcourt (T#1)0
51.9%
0
48.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Gortat: Tip to Whiteside0
50.2%
0
49.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.07 53.7%
MIA
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
WAS
23
37
62%
MIA
17
24
71%
Midrange
WAS
11
24
46%
MIA
19
38
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
WAS
5
7.5
23
22%
33%
MIA
9
13.5
26
35%
52%
Free Throws
WAS
18
22
82%
MIA
13
19
68%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Wall3054%15.0 / 28
B. Beal2969%14.5 / 21
M. Morris1045%5.0 / 11
O. Porter Jr.964%4.5 / 7
M. Gortat758%3.5 / 6
K. Oubre650%3.0 / 6
T. Burke433%2.0 / 6
J. Smith467%2.0 / 3
M. Thornton225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic3471%17.0 / 24
H. Whiteside1750%8.5 / 17
J. Johnson1464%7.0 / 11
W. Ellington1146%5.5 / 12
T. Johnson1155%5.5 / 10
J. Richardson1071%5.0 / 7
R. McGruder770%3.5 / 5
J. McRoberts744%3.5 / 8
W. Reed125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

WAS
83
+11
-14
94
MIA
87
+16
-11
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

WAS
1.07 53.7%
MIA
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.0
108.1
WAS 104.1
MIA 114.3 +10.2
Pace
97.5
95.0
WAS 112.9 +27.0
MIA 85.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.4
15.7
WAS 12.8 +4.0
MIA 16.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
51.2%
WAS 49.4%
MIA 56.3% +6.9%
TO %
13.7%
13.2%
WAS 13.8%
MIA 13.5% +0.3%
ORB %
24.1%
24.2%
WAS 21.7%
MIA 28.9% +7.2%
FTrt
25.4
25.1
WAS 26.2 +4.6
MIA 21.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.7%
54.4%
WAS 43.6%
MIA 55.6% +12.0%
STL %
8.6%
7.5%
WAS 8.2% +2.1%
MIA 6.1%
BLK %
7.1%
9.3%
WAS 1.6%
MIA 4.9% +3.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.0%
52.8%
WAS 53.7%
MIA 54.4% +0.7%
Rim FG%
59.5%
59.2%
WAS 62.2%
MIA 70.8% +8.6%
Mid FG%
44.0%
39.4%
WAS 45.8%
MIA 50.0% +4.2%
3P %
37.2%
36.5%
WAS 21.7%
MIA 34.6% +12.9%
FT %
78.5%
70.6%
WAS 81.8% +13.4%
MIA 68.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.8%
35.4%
WAS 44.0% +16.8%
MIA 27.3%
Mid Att. %
36.8%
33.1%
WAS 28.6% +14.6%
MIA 43.2%
3P Att. %
28.4%
31.4%
WAS 27.4%
MIA 29.5% +2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsWASMIA
Possessions9798
Possession Minutes20.627.4
Points101112
Rebounds3747
Assists1725
Steals86
Blocks13
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)11 (4)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)36 (1)
Field Goals39-8445-88
At-the-Rim FG23-3717-24
Midrange FG11-2419-38
2-Point FG34-6136-62
3-Point FG5-239-26
Free Throws18-2213-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
38.0
30
54%
6
8
1
1
5
1
2
4
5-6
83%
11-21
52%
1-5
20%
F · 6'10" 245 · 27
37.1
10
45%
5
3
0
0
1
3
2
3
1-2
50%
3-7
43%
1-3
33%
F · 6'8" 198 · 24
36.8
9
64%
4
0
0
0
1
2
0
4
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
G · 6'4" 207 · 23
35.1
29
69%
2
1
4
0
2
5
0
2
5-5
100%
9-12
75%
2-8
25%
C · 6'11" 240 · 33
32.0
7
58%
11
3
1
0
3
3
5
6
1-2
50%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'8" 203 · 21
24.5
6
50%
5
0
1
0
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 191 · 24
13.7
4
33%
1
1
0
0
1
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 30
12.9
2
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 31
10.0
4
67%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 27
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 25
F · 6'11" 245 · 23
#28 · C · 6'11" 262 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#9 · G-F · 6'6" 200 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · F-G · 6'7" 220 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
101
54%
37
17
8
1
14
0
10
27
18-22
82%
34-61
56%
5-23
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.