FinalWin Prob.pScore
2139%99
95
1761%102
103
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
103.39288.6
ATL logo ATL
110.89396.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL95
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)95
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:19.0ATLMuscala 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Schroder 7 AST)92
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAWhiteside 7' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (McRoberts 4 AST)92
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00ATLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (23 PTS) (Sefolosha 5 AST)90
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05MIAHoward STEAL (1 STL)90
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 1:12ATLMillsap 15' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Schroder 6 AST)90
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 1:24MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)90
1.2%
97
98.8%
Q4 - 1:31ATLSchroder Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T14)87
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 1:41ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.5%
97
99.5%
Q4 - 1:53ATLSefolosha Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Schroder 5 AST)87
0.7%
97
99.3%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMillsap STEAL (4 STL)87
1.1%
95
98.9%
Q4 - 2:16ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Sefolosha 4 AST)87
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 2:40MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)87
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q4 - 2:40MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q4 - 2:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)85
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q4 - 2:50ATLMISS Korver 16' Jump Shot85
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q4 - 3:06MIAEllington 18' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS) (McRoberts 3 AST)85
1.7%
93
98.3%
Q4 - 3:27ATLSchroder 8' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (15 PTS)83
1.3%
93
98.7%
Q4 - 3:50ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)83
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 283
3.1%
91
96.9%
Q4 - 3:52MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)83
3.9%
91
96.1%
Q4 - 3:58MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)82
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 4:01ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
2.0%
91
98.0%
Q4 - 4:01ATLMISS Schroder 1' Tip Layup Shot82
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 4:02ATLMISS Schroder 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot82
2.6%
91
97.4%
Q4 - 4:17MIADragic 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)82
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 4:44ATLMuscala Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Schroder 4 AST)80
1.3%
91
98.7%
Q4 - 4:54ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)80
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 4:55MIAMISS Dragic 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot80
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 5:25ATLSchroder 11' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)80
4.0%
89
96.0%
Q4 - 5:35MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P4.T15)80
5.3%
87
94.7%
Q4 - 5:49ATLMillsap 17' Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)80
7.4%
87
92.6%
Q4 - 6:09ATLHAWKS Rebound80
11.4%
85
88.6%
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
12.5%
85
87.5%
Q4 - 6:30ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)80
15.3%
85
84.7%
Q4 - 6:30ATLSefolosha Tip Dunk Shot (8 PTS)80
15.3%
85
84.7%
Q4 - 6:32ATLMISS Muscala 3PT Jump Shot80
23.0%
83
77.0%
Q4 - 6:47ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
18.9%
83
81.1%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMuscala BLOCK (2 BLK)80
20.6%
83
79.4%
Q4 - 6:55ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)80
24.9%
83
75.1%
Q4 - 7:06MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)80
20.5%
83
79.5%
Q4 - 7:06MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)79
19.6%
83
80.4%
Q4 - 7:08MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
16.7%
83
83.3%
Q4 - 7:10ATLMISS Schroder 2' Driving Layup78
15.5%
83
84.5%
Q4 - 7:22MIAJohnson Alley Oop Dunk (23 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)78
12.9%
83
87.1%
Q4 - 7:26MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
10.3%
83
89.7%
Q4 - 7:27ATLMISS Muscala 7' Pullup Jump Shot76
9.5%
83
90.5%
Q4 - 7:39MIAWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)76
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q4 - 7:43MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
10.3%
83
89.7%
Q4 - 7:46ATLMISS Prince 10' Pullup Jump Shot76
9.4%
83
90.6%
Q4 - 8:05MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (McGruder 5 AST)76
9.1%
83
90.9%
Q4 - 8:14MIAHeat Rebound73
5.6%
83
94.4%
Q4 - 8:15ATLMISS Millsap 15' Jump Shot73
5.2%
83
94.8%
Q4 - 8:33MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)73
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q4 - 8:33MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)72
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q4 - 8:47MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
3.4%
83
96.6%
Q4 - 8:49ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 8:58ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)71
2.6%
83
97.4%
Q4 - 9:00ATLMISS Korver 18' Pullup Jump Shot71
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 9:17MIADragic Driving Layup (15 PTS)71
3.1%
83
96.9%
Q4 - 9:29ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)69
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 9:29ATLHoward Tip Dunk Shot (21 PTS)69
2.5%
83
97.5%
Q4 - 9:30ATLMISS Prince 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot69
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q4 - 9:41ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)69
3.1%
81
96.9%
Q4 - 9:42MIAMISS Ellington 16' Jump Shot69
3.4%
81
96.6%
Q4 - 9:52MIAHeat Rebound69
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q4 - 9:52MIAMillsap BLOCK (3 BLK)69
3.3%
81
96.7%
Q4 - 10:01ATLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)69
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q4 - 10:01ATLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 269
5.1%
80
94.9%
Q4 - 10:05ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q4 - 10:07ATLMISS Millsap 7' Pullup Jump Shot69
5.4%
80
94.6%
Q4 - 10:23MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)69
4.5%
80
95.5%
Q4 - 10:23MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)68
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q4 - 10:41ATLMillsap 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS) (Korver 5 AST)67
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 11:01MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)67
5.1%
78
94.9%
Q4 - 11:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
4.2%
78
95.8%
Q4 - 11:20ATLMISS Prince 1' Driving Layup65
3.9%
78
96.1%
Q4 - 11:44MIAReed Dunk (4 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)65
3.3%
78
96.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL63
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound63
2.2%
78
97.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ATLMISS Delaney 21' Pullup Jump Shot63
3.1%
78
96.9%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)63
2.7%
78
97.3%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
2.8%
78
97.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)63
3.2%
78
96.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)63
3.5%
77
96.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)63
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLMISS Howard 1' Tip Layup Shot63
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)63
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q3 - 0:31.0ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 3' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot63
4.5%
76
95.5%
Q3 - 0:44.0ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)63
3.9%
76
96.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
4.2%
76
95.8%
Q3 - 1:07ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Delaney 1 AST)63
5.5%
76
94.5%
Q3 - 1:19MIAWilliams 14' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)63
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q3 - 1:37ATLHoward Putback Dunk (16 PTS)61
6.5%
73
93.5%
Q3 - 1:38ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)61
7.8%
71
92.2%
Q3 - 1:42ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 1' Driving Layup61
8.9%
71
91.1%
Q3 - 1:58MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T13)61
7.8%
71
92.2%
Q3 - 2:05ATLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T12)61
10.0%
71
90.0%
Q3 - 2:23MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P3.T12)61
8.3%
71
91.7%
Q3 - 2:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)61
10.0%
71
90.0%
Q3 - 2:27ATLMISS Delaney 3PT Pullup Jump Shot61
9.4%
71
90.6%
Q3 - 2:43ATLDelaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
8.3%
71
91.7%
Q3 - 2:45MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot61
8.8%
71
91.2%
Q3 - 3:10ATLDelaney Backcourt Turnover (P2.T11)61
10.7%
71
89.3%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWhiteside Tip Dunk Shot (6 PTS)61
9.0%
71
91.0%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)59
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup59
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 3:30MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 3:31ATLMISS Sefolosha 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
7.3%
71
92.7%
Q3 - 3:45ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)59
6.4%
71
93.6%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 1 of 159
6.6%
71
93.4%
Q3 - 3:48MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)57
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 3:48MIASchroder BLOCK (1 BLK)57
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 3:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)57
5.5%
71
94.5%
Q3 - 3:58ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
5.2%
71
94.8%
Q3 - 4:10MIASchroder STEAL (1 STL)57
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 4:25ATLMuscala Foul Turnover (P2.T10)57
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 4:35MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P2.T10)57
4.9%
71
95.1%
Q3 - 4:50ATLSefolosha 18' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
5.9%
71
94.1%
Q3 - 5:06ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)57
7.3%
69
92.7%
Q3 - 5:08MIAMISS McGruder 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q3 - 5:35ATLMillsap 1' Driving Layup (15 PTS)57
8.6%
69
91.4%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMcGruder 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)57
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q3 - 6:12ATLSchroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Korver 4 AST)54
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q3 - 6:24ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)54
10.4%
64
89.6%
Q3 - 6:27MIAMuscala BLOCK (1 BLK)54
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 6:33MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)54
12.1%
64
87.9%
Q3 - 6:36MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot54
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 6:42MIAHeat Rebound54
12.1%
64
87.9%
Q3 - 6:42MIAMillsap BLOCK (2 BLK)54
10.9%
64
89.1%
Q3 - 7:00ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)54
12.1%
64
87.9%
Q3 - 7:00ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 254
12.5%
63
87.5%
Q3 - 7:07MIADragic 14' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)54
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 7:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)52
11.0%
63
89.0%
Q3 - 7:19ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
10.4%
63
89.6%
Q3 - 7:33ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
9.3%
63
90.7%
Q3 - 7:37MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
9.8%
63
90.2%
Q3 - 7:56ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)52
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q3 - 8:10ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
12.7%
61
87.3%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Ellington 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot52
13.3%
61
86.7%
Q3 - 8:42ATLSefolosha 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
14.8%
61
85.2%
Q3 - 8:54MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (McGruder 4 AST)52
16.4%
59
83.6%
Q3 - 9:06MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
13.2%
59
86.8%
Q3 - 9:08ATLMISS Schroder 3' Driving Layup49
12.7%
59
87.3%
Q3 - 9:34MIADragic 18' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (McGruder 3 AST)49
11.6%
59
88.4%
Q3 - 9:46MIAEllington Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)47
10.2%
59
89.8%
Q3 - 9:46ATLHardaway Jr. Running Layup (7 PTS)46
9.0%
59
91.0%
Q3 - 9:51MIAHardaway Jr. STEAL (1 STL)46
10.2%
57
89.8%
Q3 - 9:58ATLHardaway Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)46
11.6%
57
88.4%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMillsap STEAL (3 STL)46
10.5%
57
89.5%
Q3 - 10:34ATLSchroder 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sefolosha 3 AST)46
12.0%
57
88.0%
Q3 - 10:37ATLHAWKS Rebound46
13.5%
55
86.5%
Q3 - 10:37ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 3' Driving Layup46
14.8%
55
85.2%
Q3 - 10:47ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)46
13.5%
55
86.5%
Q3 - 10:49MIAMISS Dragic 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot46
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q3 - 11:04ATLHardaway Jr. 20' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)46
15.6%
55
84.4%
Q3 - 11:20MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)46
17.4%
53
82.6%
Q3 - 11:45ATLSchroder Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T8)46
19.6%
53
80.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL46
17.4%
53
82.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound46
17.4%
53
82.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Korver 30' 3PT Running Pull-Up Jump Shot46
18.9%
53
81.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
18.4%
53
81.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Johnson 16' Step Back Jump Shot46
18.8%
53
81.2%
Q2 - 0:27.0MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
19.7%
53
80.3%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLMISS Sefolosha 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
19.3%
53
80.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMcGruder Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)46
18.3%
53
81.7%
Q2 - 0:42.0MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)45
17.8%
53
82.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)44
15.9%
53
84.1%
Q2 - 1:02ATLHAWKS Rebound44
15.4%
53
84.6%
Q2 - 1:02MIAMISS Whiteside 3' Hook Shot44
15.6%
53
84.4%
Q2 - 1:26MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
16.2%
53
83.8%
Q2 - 1:27ATLMISS Schroder 1' Running Layup44
15.9%
53
84.1%
Q2 - 1:31ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
15.3%
53
84.7%
Q2 - 1:33MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Hook Shot44
15.6%
53
84.4%
Q2 - 1:50MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
16.2%
53
83.8%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMISS McGruder Free Throw 2 of 244
15.4%
53
84.6%
Q2 - 1:53MIAMcGruder Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)44
16.6%
53
83.4%
Q2 - 2:00MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
14.5%
53
85.5%
Q2 - 2:04ATLMISS Muscala 16' Pullup Jump Shot43
14.9%
53
85.1%
Q2 - 2:19MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)43
13.8%
53
86.2%
Q2 - 2:22MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q2 - 2:23MIAHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)41
11.5%
53
88.5%
Q2 - 2:45ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q2 - 2:45ATLHoward Tip Dunk Shot (14 PTS)41
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q2 - 2:46ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 9' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot41
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q2 - 3:00ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)41
13.8%
51
86.2%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q2 - 3:16ATLMISS Muscala 18' Jump Shot41
15.4%
51
84.6%
Q2 - 3:27ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
14.2%
51
85.8%
Q2 - 3:29MIAMISS McGruder 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
14.7%
51
85.3%
Q2 - 3:48ATLSchroder 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
16.0%
51
84.0%
Q2 - 4:01MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)41
18.0%
49
82.0%
Q2 - 4:13MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)38
14.8%
49
85.2%
Q2 - 4:14ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
14.4%
49
85.6%
Q2 - 4:36MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)38
13.4%
49
86.6%
Q2 - 4:50ATLPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
11.0%
49
89.0%
Q2 - 4:50ATLPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
11.2%
48
88.8%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMcGruder 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)35
12.4%
47
87.6%
Q2 - 5:11MIAHeat Rebound32
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 5:12MIAPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)32
9.5%
47
90.5%
Q2 - 5:17MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 5:18ATLMISS Prince 3PT Jump Shot32
9.9%
47
90.1%
Q2 - 5:24ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
9.2%
47
90.8%
Q2 - 5:26MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup32
9.5%
47
90.5%
Q2 - 5:47ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)32
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 5:47ATLHoward Tip Dunk Shot (12 PTS)32
10.2%
47
89.8%
Q2 - 5:49ATLMISS Delaney 1' Driving Layup32
12.1%
45
87.9%
Q2 - 6:00MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
11.2%
45
88.8%
Q2 - 6:00MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)31
11.0%
45
89.0%
Q2 - 6:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
10.7%
45
89.3%
Q2 - 6:10ATLMISS Millsap 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
10.3%
45
89.7%
Q2 - 6:16ATLKorver Free Throw Technical (6 PTS)30
9.5%
45
90.5%
Q2 - 6:18MIAMillsap STEAL (2 STL)30
10.5%
44
89.5%
Q2 - 6:37ATLDelaney 1' Running Layup (4 PTS)30
11.8%
44
88.2%
Q2 - 6:43ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
12.7%
42
87.3%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMISS McRoberts Driving Finger Roll Layup30
13.1%
42
86.9%
Q2 - 7:14ATLKorver 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)30
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 7:20MIADelaney STEAL (1 STL)30
17.5%
39
82.5%
Q2 - 7:33ATLDelaney Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
19.1%
39
80.9%
Q2 - 7:46ATLPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
17.4%
39
82.6%
Q2 - 7:47MIAMISS Whiteside 7' Hook Shot30
17.9%
39
82.1%
Q2 - 7:55MIAHeat Rebound30
19.1%
39
80.9%
Q2 - 7:55MIAHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)30
17.9%
39
82.1%
Q2 - 8:13ATLKorver 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)30
19.2%
39
80.8%
Q2 - 8:27ATLHAWKS Rebound30
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 8:29ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot30
22.1%
37
77.9%
Q2 - 8:38ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
20.8%
37
79.2%
Q2 - 8:39MIAMISS Ellington 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 8:53ATLMillsap 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)30
22.7%
37
77.3%
Q2 - 9:07MIADragic 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)30
24.5%
35
75.5%
Q2 - 9:30ATLPrince 1' Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)27
21.1%
35
78.9%
Q2 - 9:34ATLDelaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q2 - 9:36MIAMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)27
23.2%
33
76.8%
Q2 - 9:46ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)27
24.6%
33
75.4%
Q2 - 9:46ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)27
25.0%
32
75.0%
Q2 - 9:55ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
26.4%
31
73.6%
Q2 - 9:57MIAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
27.0%
31
73.0%
Q2 - 10:16ATLMillsap Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T5)27
28.8%
31
71.2%
Q2 - 10:35MIAReed 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)27
26.5%
31
73.5%
Q2 - 10:58ATLDelaney 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)25
24.9%
31
75.1%
Q2 - 11:08MIAWilliams Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q2 - 11:11MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
28.5%
29
71.5%
Q2 - 11:13ATLMISS Humphries 14' Fadeaway Jumper25
27.9%
29
72.1%
Q2 - 11:34ATLPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q2 - 11:35MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
27.2%
29
72.8%
Q2 - 11:47ATLHumphries Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)25
28.6%
29
71.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL25
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound25
26.6%
29
73.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Delaney 4' Driving Layup25
27.9%
29
72.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0MIAEllington 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)25
26.8%
29
73.2%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
22.8%
29
77.2%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Johnson 21' Pullup Jump Shot22
22.0%
29
78.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0ATLMillsap 12' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 2 AST)22
22.8%
29
77.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
25.0%
27
75.0%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 221
24.6%
27
75.4%
Q1 - 0:54.0ATLHardaway Jr. Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
24.5%
27
75.5%
Q1 - 1:15MIAJohnson 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)21
23.3%
27
76.7%
Q1 - 1:26MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.3%
27
78.7%
Q1 - 1:28ATLMISS Humphries 8' Pullup Jump Shot19
20.9%
27
79.1%
Q1 - 1:45MIAEllington 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
20.1%
27
79.9%
Q1 - 1:59ATLHardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)17
18.3%
27
81.7%
Q1 - 2:05ATLHumphries REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)17
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q1 - 2:07ATLMISS Hardaway Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
22.8%
24
77.2%
Q1 - 2:20MIAEllington 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)17
21.8%
24
78.2%
Q1 - 2:41ATLMuscala Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)15
20.1%
24
79.9%
Q1 - 2:47ATLHumphries REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
18.8%
24
81.2%
Q1 - 2:48ATLMISS Korver 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot15
19.7%
24
80.3%
Q1 - 3:05MIAJohnson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)15
19.0%
24
81.0%
Q1 - 3:14ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q1 - 3:17ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
16.4%
24
83.6%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Dragic 14' Pullup Jump Shot13
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 3:35MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
17.8%
24
82.2%
Q1 - 3:36ATLMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
17.3%
24
82.7%
Q1 - 3:46ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
16.3%
24
83.7%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS McRoberts 15' Pullup Jump Shot13
16.8%
24
83.2%
Q1 - 4:06ATLMuscala 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)13
17.9%
24
82.1%
Q1 - 4:21MIAJohnson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)13
19.0%
22
81.0%
Q1 - 4:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q1 - 4:30ATLMISS Sefolosha 19' Pullup Jump Shot11
17.4%
22
82.6%
Q1 - 4:40ATLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
16.4%
22
83.6%
Q1 - 4:41MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
16.8%
22
83.2%
Q1 - 5:00ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)11
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q1 - 5:09ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS McRoberts 13' Pullup Jump Shot11
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q1 - 5:26ATLHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)11
21.0%
20
79.0%
Q1 - 5:26ATLHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)11
21.6%
19
78.4%
Q1 - 5:35MIAWhiteside 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 5:41MIAHeat Rebound9
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q1 - 5:42MIAMISS Johnson 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot9
20.0%
18
80.0%
Q1 - 5:57ATLMuscala 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)9
21.0%
18
79.0%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMcRoberts Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T3)9
22.7%
16
77.3%
Q1 - 6:24ATLMillsap 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)9
24.2%
16
75.8%
Q1 - 6:45ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 6:46MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Turnaround Jump Shot9
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 7:06ATLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)9
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMcRoberts Driving Dunk (2 PTS)9
28.8%
12
71.2%
Q1 - 7:28ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
27.5%
12
72.5%
Q1 - 7:28ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
27.9%
11
72.1%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMillsap STEAL (1 STL)7
28.8%
10
71.2%
Q1 - 7:48ATLMillsap 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)7
30.7%
10
69.3%
Q1 - 8:13MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)7
32.1%
8
67.9%
Q1 - 8:30ATLHoward 2' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)5
30.7%
8
69.3%
Q1 - 8:40ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
32.1%
6
67.9%
Q1 - 8:42MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Floating Jump Shot5
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 8:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
34.0%
6
66.0%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot5
32.7%
6
67.3%
Q1 - 9:03ATLHoward 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)5
33.9%
6
66.1%
Q1 - 9:25MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)5
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 9:28MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
32.3%
4
67.7%
Q1 - 9:29MIAMISS McGruder 18' Pullup Jump Shot2
30.9%
4
69.1%
Q1 - 9:55ATLHoward Dunk (2 PTS) (Hardaway Jr. 1 AST)2
32.3%
4
67.7%
Q1 - 10:02MIADragic 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
33.6%
2
66.4%
Q1 - 10:11MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 10:12ATLMISS Sefolosha 1' Putback Layup0
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 10:13ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:15ATLMISS Sefolosha 3' Running Layup0
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 10:20MIASefolosha STEAL (1 STL)0
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:28MIAHeat Rebound0
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 10:28MIAMISS Dragic Layup0
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 10:42MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
32.1%
2
67.9%
Q1 - 10:43ATLMISS Howard 1' Layup0
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 10:51ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.3%
2
69.7%
Q1 - 10:52MIAMISS Whiteside 18' Step Back Jump Shot0
30.9%
2
69.1%
Q1 - 11:12ATLSefolosha 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)0
31.9%
2
68.1%
Q1 - 11:25ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 11:26ATLMISS Schroder 21' Pullup Jump Shot0
34.7%
0
65.3%
Q1 - 11:39ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 11:40MIAMISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
34.1%
0
65.9%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Howard vs. Whiteside: Tip to McRoberts0
35.2%
0
64.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 52.8%
ATL
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
24
42%
ATL
24
39
62%
Midrange
MIA
13
29
45%
ATL
15
30
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
27
41%
61%
ATL
4
6.0
19
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
16
20
80%
ATL
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Johnson2771%13.5 / 19
G. Dragic2155%10.5 / 19
W. Ellington1963%9.5 / 15
R. McGruder1155%5.5 / 10
H. Whiteside833%4.0 / 12
W. Reed4100%2.0 / 2
D. Williams325%1.5 / 6
J. McRoberts220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Howard2382%11.5 / 14
P. Millsap2170%10.5 / 15
D. Schröder1757%8.5 / 15
T. Sefolosha1045%5.0 / 11
K. Korver950%4.5 / 9
M. Muscala850%4.0 / 8
T. Hardaway739%3.5 / 9
M. Delaney433%2.0 / 6
T. Prince433%2.0 / 6
K. Humphries0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+14
-16
90
ATL
79
+19
-14
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 52.8%
ATL
1.04 52.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
105.4
MIA 103.3
ATL 110.8 +7.5
Pace
95.0
97.0
MIA 88.6
ATL 96.9 +8.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.6
MIA 16.3
ATL 14.9 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.4%
MIA 49.4%
ATL 51.1% +1.7%
TO %
13.2%
15.6%
MIA 16.1%
ATL 12.9% +3.2%
ORB %
24.2%
23.6%
MIA 19.5%
ATL 35.9% +16.4%
FTrt
25.1
29.5
MIA 25.0 +8.0
ATL 17.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
62.1%
MIA 58.8%
ATL 62.8% +4.0%
STL %
7.5%
8.4%
MIA 6.5%
ATL 9.7% +3.2%
BLK %
9.3%
8.5%
MIA 8.7%
ATL 17.0% +8.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
52.8%
MIA 52.8% +0.8%
ATL 52.0%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.1%
MIA 41.7%
ATL 61.5% +19.8%
Mid FG%
39.4%
40.5%
MIA 44.8%
ATL 50.0% +5.2%
3P %
36.5%
34.1%
MIA 40.7% +19.6%
ATL 21.1%
FT %
70.6%
72.8%
MIA 80.0%
ATL 86.7% +6.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
37.6%
MIA 30.0%
ATL 44.3% +14.3%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
31.5%
MIA 36.3%
ATL 34.1% +2.2%
3P Att. %
31.4%
30.9%
MIA 33.8% +12.2%
ATL 21.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes24.923.0
Points95103
Rebounds3347
Assists2027
Steals69
Blocks69
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (6)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)33 (2)
Field Goals34-8043-88
At-the-Rim FG10-2424-39
Midrange FG13-2915-30
2-Point FG23-5339-69
3-Point FG11-274-19
Free Throws16-2013-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'5" 200 · 29
40.6
19
63%
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
4-9
44%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
35.7
8
33%
12
0
0
1
4
5
3
9
0-0
-
4-12
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
34.6
21
55%
2
4
1
1
3
4
0
2
4-4
100%
7-13
54%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
30.9
11
55%
5
5
2
1
1
1
3
2
3-5
60%
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
F · 6'10" 240 · 30
30.4
2
20%
2
4
1
0
5
2
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
35.2
27
71%
2
5
1
1
0
1
0
2
7-8
88%
4-11
36%
4-5
80%
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
20.2
3
25%
5
0
0
2
3
2
0
5
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
· 6'11" 245 · 27
12.3
4
100%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
F · 6'9" 225 · 27
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
#11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
53%
33
20
6
6
16
0
8
25
16-20
80%
23-53
43%
11-27
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.