Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, November 14, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Raptors | 65% | 114 | 115 |
 | 30 | Pistons | 35% | 108 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Hornets | 54% | 111 | 112 |
 | 28 | Magic | 46% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Thunder | 14% | 104 | 122 |
 | 1 | Celtics | 86% | 119 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Heat | 59% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Bucks | 56% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, November 13, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Thunder | 34% | 110 | 145 |
 | 19 | Knicks | 66% | 116 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Timberwolves | 43% | 112 | 129 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Bulls | 47% | 117 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 60% | 121 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Nets | 57% | 111 | 103 |
 | 26 | Lakers | 43% | 109 | 116 |
Saturday, November 12, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 49% | 109 | 110 |
| 12 | Clippers | 51% | 110 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 60% | 115 | 112 |
| 25 | Wizards | 40% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 83% | 120 | 117 |
| 30 | Pistons | 17% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 42% | 114 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 43% | 110 | 109 |
| 11 | 76ers | 57% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 30% | 108 | 115 |
| 2 | Heat | 70% | 115 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 8 | Mavericks | 63% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Rockets | 21% | 111 | 106 |
 | 6 | Pelicans | 79% | 123 | 119 |
Friday, November 11, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 35% | 113 | 112 |
| 1 | Celtics | 65% | 118 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 76% | 114 | 97 |
| 29 | Magic | 24% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 29% | 110 | 112 |
| 20 | Knicks | 71% | 118 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 67% | 112 | 113 |
| 27 | Thunder | 33% | 106 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 54% | 112 | 93 |
| 25 | Spurs | 46% | 111 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 36% | 114 | 103 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 64% | 119 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 49% | 116 | 101 |
| 8 | Warriors | 51% | 117 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 51% | 117 | 120 |
| 26 | Lakers | 49% | 116 | 114 |
Thursday, November 10, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 63% | 111 | 105 |
| 27 | Wizards | 37% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 53% | 112 | 95 |
| 15 | Hawks | 47% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 19% | 103 | 112 |
| 2 | Heat | 81% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 108 | 106 |
| 6 | Pelicans | 75% | 118 | 95 |
Wednesday, November 9, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 67% | 110 | 87 |
| 25 | Magic | 33% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 112 | 105 |
| 26 | Hornets | 44% | 110 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 59% | 124 | 122 |
| 19 | Pacers | 41% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 49% | 116 | 125 |
| 17 | Hawks | 51% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 13% | 104 | 112 |
| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 120 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 39% | 111 | 85 |
| 12 | Nets | 61% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 21% | 105 | 109 |
| 11 | Raptors | 79% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Pelicans | 54% | 116 | 115 |
| 16 | Bulls | 46% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 54% | 114 | 129 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 46% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 59% | 109 | 136 |
| 27 | Thunder | 41% | 105 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 66% | 120 | 124 |
| 24 | Spurs | 34% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 39% | 110 | 101 |
| 14 | Clippers | 61% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 64% | 119 | 120 |
| 22 | Kings | 36% | 113 | 127 |
Monday, November 7, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 43% | 110 | 108 |
| 28 | Hornets | 57% | 113 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Rockets | 38% | 109 | 134 |
| 27 | Magic | 62% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Thunder | 56% | 113 | 103 |
| 29 | Pistons | 44% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pelicans | 60% | 121 | 122 |
| 20 | Pacers | 40% | 118 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 48% | 109 | 88 |
| 11 | 76ers | 52% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 56% | 115 | 98 |
| 14 | Hawks | 44% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 104 | 110 |
| 2 | Heat | 75% | 114 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 51% | 111 | 97 |
| 18 | Bulls | 49% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 62% | 115 | 109 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 38% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Knicks | 45% | 118 | 120 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 55% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 68% | 125 | 115 |
| 23 | Spurs | 32% | 118 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 37% | 107 | 94 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 63% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 32% | 116 | 113 |
| 10 | Warriors | 68% | 123 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 32% | 110 | 116 |
| 12 | Jazz | 68% | 117 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 53% | 111 | 117 |
| 15 | Clippers | 47% | 110 | 119 |
Sunday, November 6, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 55% | 114 | 114 |
| 18 | Lakers | 45% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 36% | 107 | 104 |
| 13 | Raptors | 64% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 28% | 111 | 97 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 72% | 119 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 47% | 113 | 110 |
| 14 | Clippers | 53% | 114 | 102 |
Saturday, November 5, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 53% | 114 | 126 |
| 27 | Magic | 47% | 113 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 60% | 115 | 98 |
| 28 | Hornets | 40% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Pelicans | 48% | 117 | 121 |
| 19 | Hawks | 52% | 118 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 60% | 117 | 133 |
| 14 | Knicks | 40% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Thunder | 35% | 106 | 94 |
| 13 | Bucks | 65% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Rockets | 29% | 114 | 117 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 71% | 122 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Spurs | 18% | 116 | 101 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 82% | 129 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 21% | 104 | 82 |
| 4 | Suns | 79% | 116 | 102 |
Friday, November 4, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 68% | 114 | 112 |
| 29 | Pistons | 32% | 107 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 55% | 116 | 99 |
| 21 | Pacers | 45% | 115 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Knicks | 36% | 110 | 106 |
| 5 | 76ers | 64% | 115 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 48% | 114 | 128 |
| 20 | Wizards | 52% | 115 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 26% | 107 | 119 |
| 1 | Celtics | 74% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hornets | 26% | 109 | 99 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 74% | 118 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 57% | 119 | 113 |
| 24 | Spurs | 43% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Raptors | 42% | 107 | 110 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 58% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Warriors | 25% | 112 | 105 |
| 6 | Pelicans | 75% | 122 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bucks | 52% | 114 | 115 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 48% | 113 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 106 | 108 |
| 2 | Suns | 76% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 46% | 114 | 130 |
| 14 | Lakers | 54% | 115 | 116 |
Thursday, November 3, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 68% | 116 | 129 |
| 26 | Magic | 32% | 109 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 68% | 120 | 122 |
| 27 | Thunder | 32% | 113 | 110 |
Wednesday, November 2, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 37% | 109 | 121 |
| 11 | 76ers | 63% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 52% | 110 | 113 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 48% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 37% | 111 | 107 |
| 9 | Heat | 63% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 41% | 117 | 112 |
| 15 | Knicks | 59% | 120 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 39% | 111 | 88 |
| 18 | Bulls | 61% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 68% | 118 | 109 |
| 30 | Rockets | 32% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 21% | 107 | 91 |
| 2 | Bucks | 79% | 119 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 64% | 114 | 143 |
| 26 | Spurs | 36% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 38% | 110 | 100 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 62% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 49% | 115 | 111 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pelicans | 52% | 117 | 117 |
| 17 | Lakers | 48% | 116 | 120 |
Tuesday, November 1, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 40% | 115 | 108 |
| 8 | Nets | 60% | 118 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 43% | 114 | 109 |
| 3 | Heat | 57% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 46% | 107 | 108 |
| 27 | Thunder | 54% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 37% | 114 | 107 |
| 4 | Suns | 63% | 119 | 116 |