FinalWin Prob.pScore
2425%104
110
275%114
107
ORTG#PossPace
POR logo POR
115.89597.0
MIA logo MIA
113.89492.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBlazersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventPORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.110
100%
107
0%
Q4 - 0:06.2HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)107
60.9%
107
39.1%
Q4 - 0:08.5Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
92.9%
104
7.1%
Q4 - 0:08.5Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
92.0%
104
8.0%
Q4 - 0:08.5HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Anfernee Simons draws the foul)105
90.8%
104
9.2%
Q4 - 0:11.1HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)105
82.7%
104
17.3%
Q4 - 0:11.1HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Anfernee Simons draws the foul)105
57.2%
104
42.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0HeatHeat offensive rebound105
55.0%
104
45.0%
Q4 - 0:14.0HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving bank jump shot105
73.5%
104
26.5%
Q4 - 0:29.3Trail BlazersJerami Grant makes three point jump shot (Damian Lillard assists)105
48.0%
104
52.0%
Q4 - 0:52.9HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
21.8%
104
78.2%
Q4 - 0:52.9HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
23.1%
103
76.9%
Q4 - 0:52.9Trail BlazersJustise Winslow shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)102
24.8%
102
75.2%
Q4 - 1:11Trail BlazersDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 2 of 2102
31.0%
102
69.0%
Q4 - 1:11Trail BlazersDamian Lillard misses regular free throw 1 of 2101
29.9%
102
70.1%
Q4 - 1:11HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Damian Lillard draws the foul)101
41.3%
102
58.7%
Q4 - 1:26HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 2101
32.6%
102
67.4%
Q4 - 1:26HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 2101
34.1%
101
65.9%
Q4 - 1:26Trail BlazersJustise Winslow shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)101
35.9%
100
64.1%
Q4 - 1:40Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes regular free throw 1 of 1101
42.1%
100
57.9%
Q4 - 1:40HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Anfernee Simons draws the foul)100
40.7%
100
59.3%
Q4 - 1:57HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)98
23.3%
100
76.7%
Q4 - 2:05Trail BlazersJosh Hart personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)98
29.7%
98
70.3%
Q4 - 2:21Trail BlazersDamian Lillard makes two point driving layup98
29.3%
98
70.7%
Q4 - 2:30Trail BlazersDamian Lillard defensive rebound96
24.1%
98
75.9%
Q4 - 2:34HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot96
20.4%
98
79.6%
Q4 - 2:54Trail BlazersJerami Grant makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)96
15.8%
98
84.2%
Q4 - 3:15Trail BlazersTrail Blazers defensive rebound93
8.2%
98
91.8%
Q4 - 3:18HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot93
6.9%
98
93.1%
Q4 - 3:46Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes two point floating jump shot (Josh Hart assists)93
7.1%
98
92.9%
Q4 - 4:08HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)91
5.0%
98
95.0%
Q4 - 4:08HeatHeat offensive rebound91
3.5%
98
96.5%
Q4 - 4:08HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving floating jump shot91
4.5%
98
95.5%
Q4 - 4:35Trail BlazersJustise Winslow makes two point cutting dunk (Josh Hart assists)91
3.4%
98
96.6%
Q4 - 4:53HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 289
2.4%
98
97.6%
Q4 - 4:53HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 289
2.5%
97
97.5%
Q4 - 4:53Trail BlazersNassir Little shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)89
2.7%
96
97.3%
Q4 - 4:55Trail BlazersDamian Lillard turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)89
3.4%
96
96.6%
Q4 - 4:58Trail BlazersNassir Little defensive rebound89
4.9%
96
95.1%
Q4 - 5:01HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot89
5.6%
96
94.4%
Q4 - 5:29Trail BlazersNassir Little makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)89
4.4%
96
95.6%
Q4 - 5:50HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving layup86
2.4%
96
97.6%
Q4 - 6:09Trail BlazersDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 2 of 286
4.0%
94
96.0%
Q4 - 6:09Trail BlazersDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 285
3.9%
94
96.1%
Q4 - 6:09HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Damian Lillard draws the foul)84
3.8%
94
96.2%
Q4 - 6:15HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 184
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q4 - 6:15Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)84
3.3%
93
96.7%
Q4 - 6:32HeatHeat defensive rebound84
5.2%
91
94.8%
Q4 - 6:34Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses three point jump shot84
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 6:51Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic defensive rebound84
7.2%
91
92.8%
Q4 - 6:54HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot84
6.5%
91
93.5%
Q4 - 7:04Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic makes two point putback layup84
5.9%
91
94.1%
Q4 - 7:06Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic offensive rebound82
4.9%
91
95.1%
Q4 - 7:08Trail BlazersJustise Winslow misses two point driving layup82
3.9%
91
96.1%
Q4 - 7:30HeatMax Strus makes two point running dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)82
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 7:34HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound82
5.9%
89
94.1%
Q4 - 7:37Trail BlazersTrendon Watford misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot82
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 8:07HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)82
8.4%
89
91.6%
Q4 - 8:28Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes two point driving layup82
12.9%
86
87.1%
Q4 - 8:42Trail BlazersJustise Winslow defensive rebound80
10.5%
86
89.5%
Q4 - 8:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot80
9.8%
86
90.2%
Q4 - 9:03Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic turnover (traveling)80
8.7%
86
91.3%
Q4 - 9:18HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving finger roll layup (Duncan Robinson assists)80
11.0%
86
89.0%
Q4 - 9:37Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes three point jump shot (Trendon Watford assists)80
13.2%
84
86.8%
Q4 - 9:53Trail BlazersTrendon Watford defensive rebound77
8.9%
84
91.1%
Q4 - 9:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround jump shot77
8.2%
84
91.8%
Q4 - 10:09Trail BlazersJustise Winslow makes two point driving floating jump shot77
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q4 - 10:21Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic defensive rebound75
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q4 - 10:24HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot75
6.0%
84
94.0%
Q4 - 10:46Trail BlazersJustise Winslow makes two point driving layup75
5.1%
84
94.9%
Q4 - 10:54Trail BlazersTrendon Watford defensive rebound73
4.2%
84
95.8%
Q4 - 10:57HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot73
3.9%
84
96.1%
Q4 - 11:10HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound73
3.8%
84
96.2%
Q4 - 11:13Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses three point pullup jump shot73
4.1%
84
95.9%
Q4 - 11:42HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)73
4.7%
84
95.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.73
6.9%
81
93.1%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound73
7.4%
81
92.6%
Q3 - 0:00.1Trail BlazersJosh Hart misses regular free throw 3 of 373
7.6%
81
92.4%
Q3 - 0:00.1Trail BlazersJosh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 373
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q3 - 0:00.1Trail BlazersJosh Hart makes regular free throw 1 of 372
8.2%
81
91.8%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)71
7.8%
81
92.2%
Q3 - 0:01.3Trail BlazersJosh Hart defensive rebound71
6.1%
81
93.9%
Q3 - 0:03.9HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot71
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q3 - 0:28.6Trail BlazersJosh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 271
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q3 - 0:28.6Trail BlazersJosh Hart makes regular free throw 1 of 270
4.9%
81
95.1%
Q3 - 0:28.6HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Loose ball) (Josh Hart draws the foul)69
4.7%
81
95.3%
Q3 - 0:28.6Trail BlazersTrail Blazers defensive rebound69
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q3 - 0:28.6HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup69
4.0%
81
96.0%
Q3 - 0:43.7HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound69
3.5%
81
96.5%
Q3 - 0:47.2Trail BlazersDrew Eubanks misses two point turnaround hook shot69
3.7%
81
96.3%
Q3 - 0:56.2Trail BlazersJosh Hart defensive rebound69
4.2%
81
95.8%
Q3 - 0:58.5HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot69
3.9%
81
96.0%
Q3 - 1:11HeatHeat defensive rebound69
3.8%
81
96.2%
Q3 - 1:11Trail BlazersTrendon Watford misses two point floating jump shot69
4.1%
81
95.9%
Q3 - 1:24HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)69
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q3 - 1:32HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound69
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 1:36HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot69
6.2%
79
93.8%
Q3 - 1:52HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound69
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 1:55Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses three point jump shot69
5.8%
79
94.2%
Q3 - 2:07Trail BlazersTrail Blazers defensive rebound69
7.1%
79
92.9%
Q3 - 2:09HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot69
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q3 - 2:24Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes two point jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)69
5.9%
79
94.1%
Q3 - 2:36HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (traveling)67
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 2:45HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound67
4.2%
79
95.8%
Q3 - 2:48Trail BlazersDamian Lillard misses two point driving layup67
4.5%
79
95.5%
Q3 - 2:54Trail BlazersJustise Winslow defensive rebound67
5.1%
79
94.9%
Q3 - 3:00HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot67
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 3:13Trail BlazersJerami Grant turnover (offensive foul)67
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q3 - 3:13Trail BlazersJerami Grant offensive foul (Charge) (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)67
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 3:21HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Justise Winslow draws the foul)67
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 3:33HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 267
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 3:33HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 267
5.7%
78
94.3%
Q3 - 3:33Trail BlazersJerami Grant shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)67
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q3 - 3:40HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound67
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q3 - 3:42Trail BlazersDamian Lillard misses three point pullup jump shot67
6.7%
77
93.3%
Q3 - 3:51Trail BlazersDrew Eubanks defensive rebound67
7.6%
77
92.4%
Q3 - 3:53HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot67
7.1%
77
92.9%
Q3 - 4:18Trail BlazersJustise Winslow makes two point driving floating jump shot (Damian Lillard assists)67
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 4:32Trail BlazersTrail Blazers defensive rebound65
5.8%
77
94.2%
Q3 - 4:33HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot65
5.5%
77
94.5%
Q3 - 4:56Trail BlazersDrew Eubanks makes two point floating jump shot (Justise Winslow assists)65
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q3 - 5:15HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 263
4.5%
77
95.5%
Q3 - 5:15HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 263
4.7%
76
95.3%
Q3 - 5:15Trail BlazersDrew Eubanks shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)63
4.8%
75
95.2%
Q3 - 5:28Trail BlazersJustise Winslow makes two point driving floating jump shot63
5.2%
75
94.8%
Q3 - 5:45HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)61
4.5%
75
95.5%
Q3 - 5:45HeatHeat offensive rebound61
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 5:46HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot61
4.3%
75
95.7%
Q3 - 5:53HeatHeat offensive rebound61
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 5:53HeatDrew Eubanks blocks Bam Adebayo's two point finger roll layup61
4.3%
75
95.7%
Q3 - 6:09Trail BlazersJosh Hart makes regular free throw 2 of 261
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 6:09Trail BlazersJosh Hart misses regular free throw 1 of 260
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 6:09HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Josh Hart draws the foul)60
4.4%
75
95.6%
Q3 - 6:21Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic defensive rebound60
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 6:24HeatCaleb Martin misses three point running jump shot60
3.9%
75
96.1%
Q3 - 6:30Trail BlazersJosh Hart turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)60
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 6:48HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)60
4.1%
75
95.9%
Q3 - 6:52Trail BlazersJerami Grant turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)60
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 7:02HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)60
5.8%
73
94.2%
Q3 - 7:18Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)60
6.5%
71
93.5%
Q3 - 7:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound60
6.5%
71
93.5%
Q3 - 7:21Trail BlazersBam Adebayo blocks Damian Lillard's two point driving layup60
6.8%
71
93.2%
Q3 - 7:29HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)60
7.6%
71
92.4%
Q3 - 7:33Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic defensive rebound60
7.5%
71
92.5%
Q3 - 7:37HeatKyle Lowry misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot60
7.2%
71
92.8%
Q3 - 7:57Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)60
6.5%
71
93.5%
Q3 - 8:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)60
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 8:33Trail BlazersJerami Grant makes two point putback layup60
8.6%
69
91.4%
Q3 - 8:35Trail BlazersJerami Grant offensive rebound58
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q3 - 8:37Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses two point running layup58
6.9%
69
93.1%
Q3 - 8:40Trail BlazersDamian Lillard defensive rebound58
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q3 - 8:43HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot58
7.4%
69
92.6%
Q3 - 9:01Trail BlazersDamian Lillard makes three point jump shot (Anfernee Simons assists)58
6.8%
69
93.2%
Q3 - 9:15HeatCaleb Martin makes two point driving dunk55
5.3%
69
94.7%
Q3 - 9:26HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound55
6.0%
67
94.0%
Q3 - 9:29Trail BlazersJerami Grant misses two point pullup jump shot55
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q3 - 9:35HeatMax Strus personal foul (Damian Lillard draws the foul)55
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 9:59HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)55
6.9%
67
93.1%
Q3 - 10:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound55
8.0%
65
92.0%
Q3 - 10:06Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses three point jump shot55
8.3%
65
91.7%
Q3 - 10:20HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)55
9.1%
65
90.9%
Q3 - 10:34Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)55
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q3 - 10:34HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound55
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q3 - 10:37Trail BlazersDamian Lillard misses three point jump shot55
11.9%
62
88.1%
Q3 - 10:46Trail BlazersJerami Grant defensive rebound55
13.1%
62
86.9%
Q3 - 10:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup55
12.5%
62
87.5%
Q3 - 10:54HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound55
11.4%
62
88.6%
Q3 - 10:57Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses three point jump shot55
11.9%
62
88.1%
Q3 - 11:19HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)55
12.9%
62
87.1%
Q3 - 11:41Trail BlazersJosh Hart makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Anfernee Simons assists)55
14.3%
60
85.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.53
12.9%
60
87.1%
Q2 - 0:00.3HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Anfernee Simons steals)53
12.7%
60
87.3%
Q2 - 0:01.4Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons personal foul (Take) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)53
11.6%
60
88.4%
Q2 - 0:03.4Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons turnover (out of bounds bad pass)53
11.6%
60
88.4%
Q2 - 0:04.4HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Damian Lillard draws the foul)53
12.7%
60
87.3%
Q2 - 0:05.8Trail BlazersJosh Hart defensive rebound53
12.7%
60
87.3%
Q2 - 0:10.8HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point stepback jump shot53
12.4%
60
87.6%
Q2 - 0:31.7Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes three point jump shot (Damian Lillard assists)53
11.6%
60
88.4%
Q2 - 0:36.7HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)50
9.0%
60
91.0%
Q2 - 0:41.5Trail BlazersDamian Lillard turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)50
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q2 - 0:46.9Trail BlazersJerami Grant defensive rebound50
11.4%
58
88.6%
Q2 - 0:51.9HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot50
11.0%
58
89.0%
Q2 - 0:55.1HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound50
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q2 - 0:57.4HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot50
11.0%
58
89.0%
Q2 - 1:21Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes three point jump shot (Damian Lillard assists)50
10.6%
58
89.4%
Q2 - 1:33HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point driving layup47
8.2%
58
91.8%
Q2 - 1:56HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound47
9.5%
56
90.5%
Q2 - 1:58Trail BlazersJosh Hart misses three point jump shot47
9.7%
56
90.3%
Q2 - 2:13HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk47
10.7%
56
89.3%
Q2 - 2:18Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)47
11.8%
54
88.2%
Q2 - 2:37HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)47
13.2%
54
86.8%
Q2 - 2:50Trail BlazersJosh Hart makes two point running layup (Jusuf Nurkic assists)47
14.6%
52
85.4%
Q2 - 2:55HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Jusuf Nurkic steals)45
13.2%
52
86.8%
Q2 - 3:10HeatHeat defensive rebound45
11.9%
52
88.1%
Q2 - 3:10Trail BlazersDamian Lillard misses three point jump shot45
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q2 - 3:17Trail BlazersJosh Hart defensive rebound45
13.5%
52
86.5%
Q2 - 3:19HeatGabe Vincent misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot45
13.0%
52
87.0%
Q2 - 3:44HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound45
11.9%
52
88.1%
Q2 - 3:44Trail BlazersJerami Grant misses three point jump shot45
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q2 - 4:05HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)45
13.3%
52
86.7%
Q2 - 4:10HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound45
16.1%
49
83.9%
Q2 - 4:14Trail BlazersDamian Lillard misses two point driving layup45
16.6%
49
83.4%
Q2 - 4:19Trail BlazersJosh Hart defensive rebound45
17.7%
49
82.3%
Q2 - 4:23HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot45
17.2%
49
82.8%
Q2 - 4:29Trail BlazersJerami Grant turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)45
16.1%
49
83.9%
Q2 - 4:43HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway jump shot45
17.7%
49
82.3%
Q2 - 5:07Trail BlazersDamian Lillard makes three point jump shot (Jusuf Nurkic assists)45
19.0%
47
81.0%
Q2 - 5:27Trail BlazersJerami Grant defensive rebound42
16.1%
47
83.9%
Q2 - 5:29HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 142
15.9%
47
84.1%
Q2 - 5:29Trail BlazersJerami Grant shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)42
14.9%
47
85.0%
Q2 - 5:37Trail BlazersJosh Hart turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)42
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q2 - 5:45HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Josh Hart steals)42
19.3%
45
80.7%
Q2 - 6:03Trail BlazersJerami Grant makes two point running dunk (Josh Hart assists)42
17.4%
45
82.6%
Q2 - 6:08HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Jusuf Nurkic steals)40
16.2%
45
83.8%
Q2 - 6:14HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound40
14.5%
45
85.5%
Q2 - 6:17Trail BlazersJerami Grant misses three point jump shot40
15.0%
45
85.0%
Q2 - 6:29HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup40
16.2%
45
83.8%
Q2 - 6:29HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound40
17.4%
43
82.6%
Q2 - 6:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup40
18.7%
43
81.3%
Q2 - 6:46Trail BlazersJerami Grant makes three point running jump shot (Josh Hart assists)40
17.4%
43
82.6%
Q2 - 6:51Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic defensive rebound37
14.8%
43
85.2%
Q2 - 6:55HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot37
14.3%
43
85.7%
Q2 - 7:03Trail BlazersDamian Lillard turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)37
13.4%
43
86.6%
Q2 - 7:14Trail BlazersDamian Lillard defensive rebound37
14.8%
43
85.2%
Q2 - 7:18HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot37
14.3%
43
85.7%
Q2 - 7:27Trail BlazersTrail Blazers turnover (shot clock violation)37
13.4%
43
86.6%
Q2 - 7:51HeatMax Strus personal foul (Jusuf Nurkic draws the foul)37
14.8%
43
85.2%
Q2 - 7:51Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic defensive rebound37
14.8%
43
85.2%
Q2 - 7:52HeatGabe Vincent misses regular free throw 1 of 137
14.6%
43
85.4%
Q2 - 7:52Trail BlazersDamian Lillard shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)37
13.7%
43
86.3%
Q2 - 8:00Trail BlazersDamian Lillard makes technical free throw 1 of 137
16.0%
41
84.0%
Q2 - 8:00HeatKyle Lowry technical foul36
15.7%
41
84.3%
Q2 - 8:00Trail BlazersDamian Lillard personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)36
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 8:15Trail BlazersShaedon Sharpe makes three point jump shot (Trendon Watford assists)36
14.7%
41
85.3%
Q2 - 8:21Trail BlazersTrendon Watford offensive rebound33
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 8:24Trail BlazersJosh Hart misses three point jump shot33
11.6%
41
88.4%
Q2 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)33
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 8:58Trail BlazersJosh Hart turnover (offensive foul)33
13.5%
39
86.5%
Q2 - 8:58Trail BlazersJosh Hart offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)33
14.8%
39
85.2%
Q2 - 9:11Trail BlazersDamian Lillard makes technical free throw 1 of 133
14.8%
39
85.2%
Q2 - 9:11Heat technical foul (Defensive three second)32
14.5%
39
85.5%
Q2 - 9:33HeatKyle Lowry makes three point running pullup jump shot (Max Strus assists)32
13.5%
39
86.5%
Q2 - 9:36Trail BlazersShaedon Sharpe turnover (lost ball) (Max Strus steals)32
16.1%
36
83.9%
Q2 - 9:57HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point stepback jump shot (Max Strus assists)32
17.6%
36
82.4%
Q2 - 10:09HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound32
20.7%
33
79.3%
Q2 - 10:14Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses three point jump shot32
21.2%
33
78.8%
Q2 - 10:39HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)32
22.4%
33
77.6%
Q2 - 10:56Trail BlazersTrendon Watford makes two point floating jump shot (Anfernee Simons assists)32
26.0%
30
74.0%
Q2 - 11:13HeatMax Strus makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)30
23.7%
30
76.3%
Q2 - 11:27Trail BlazersShaedon Sharpe makes two point pullup jump shot30
25.5%
28
74.5%
Q2 - 11:31Trail BlazersShaedon Sharpe offensive rebound28
23.7%
28
76.3%
Q2 - 11:36Trail BlazersNassir Little misses three point jump shot28
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
23.7%
28
76.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes two point driving floating jump shot28
22.1%
28
77.9%
Q1 - 0:22.4HeatGabe Vincent turnover (bad pass) (Drew Eubanks steals)26
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q1 - 0:27.2HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound26
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q1 - 0:29.3Trail BlazersJustise Winslow misses three point jump shot26
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q1 - 0:39.7HeatJimmy Butler turnover (offensive foul)26
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q1 - 0:39.7HeatJimmy Butler offensive foul (Charge) (Jerami Grant draws the foul)26
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q1 - 0:39.7HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound26
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q1 - 0:42.2Trail BlazersGabe Vincent blocks Anfernee Simons's two point running layup26
19.1%
28
80.9%
Q1 - 0:47.8HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Justise Winslow steals)26
20.0%
28
80.0%
Q1 - 1:05Trail BlazersJustise Winslow makes two point layup26
18.7%
28
81.3%
Q1 - 1:27HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)24
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q1 - 1:40HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound24
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q1 - 1:44Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses three point pullup jump shot24
20.6%
25
79.4%
Q1 - 1:59HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)24
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q1 - 2:13Trail BlazersNassir Little makes three point jump shot (Jerami Grant assists)24
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 2:35HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving bank jump shot21
21.6%
22
78.4%
Q1 - 2:57Trail BlazersDamian Lillard turnover (kicked ball violation)21
23.1%
20
76.9%
Q1 - 3:11Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic defensive rebound21
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 3:13HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot21
24.1%
20
75.9%
Q1 - 3:31HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound21
22.8%
20
77.2%
Q1 - 3:33Trail BlazersDamian Lillard misses three point jump shot21
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 3:46HeatGabe Vincent makes three point running pullup jump shot21
24.7%
20
75.3%
Q1 - 3:50Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)21
27.8%
17
72.2%
Q1 - 3:56Trail BlazersJosh Hart defensive rebound21
30.0%
17
70.0%
Q1 - 4:01HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot21
28.7%
17
71.3%
Q1 - 4:06HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound21
27.4%
17
72.6%
Q1 - 4:09Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic misses three point jump shot21
28.0%
17
72.0%
Q1 - 4:23Trail BlazersJerami Grant defensive rebound21
29.4%
17
70.6%
Q1 - 4:26HeatJerami Grant blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point layup21
28.8%
17
71.2%
Q1 - 4:50Trail BlazersDamian Lillard makes three point stepback jump shot (Jerami Grant assists)21
27.4%
17
72.6%
Q1 - 4:55Trail BlazersJerami Grant defensive rebound18
24.5%
17
75.5%
Q1 - 4:57HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup18
23.9%
17
76.1%
Q1 - 5:20Trail BlazersDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 2 of 218
22.4%
17
77.6%
Q1 - 5:20Trail BlazersDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 217
22.3%
17
77.7%
Q1 - 5:20HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Damian Lillard draws the foul)16
22.2%
17
77.8%
Q1 - 5:34HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)16
21.2%
17
78.8%
Q1 - 5:48HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound16
22.5%
15
77.5%
Q1 - 5:50Trail BlazersJerami Grant misses two point driving layup16
23.0%
15
77.0%
Q1 - 5:58Trail BlazersJosh Hart defensive rebound16
24.1%
15
75.9%
Q1 - 6:00HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot16
23.6%
15
76.4%
Q1 - 6:03HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound16
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 6:06HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot16
23.3%
15
76.7%
Q1 - 6:26Trail BlazersJerami Grant makes three point jump shot (Josh Hart assists)16
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 6:40Trail BlazersJosh Hart defensive rebound13
19.7%
15
80.3%
Q1 - 6:44HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot13
19.3%
15
80.7%
Q1 - 6:55Trail BlazersJerami Grant makes three point jump shot (Jusuf Nurkic assists)13
18.5%
15
81.5%
Q1 - 7:14HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)10
16.1%
15
83.9%
Q1 - 7:29HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound10
18.3%
12
81.7%
Q1 - 7:32Trail BlazersDamian Lillard misses three point pullup jump shot10
18.7%
12
81.3%
Q1 - 7:37HeatCaleb Martin makes two point tip layup10
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 7:37HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound10
20.7%
10
79.3%
Q1 - 7:41HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup10
21.7%
10
78.3%
Q1 - 7:55Trail BlazersJosh Hart turnover (out of bounds bad pass)10
20.7%
10
79.3%
Q1 - 7:58Trail BlazersJosh Hart defensive rebound10
22.2%
10
77.8%
Q1 - 8:01HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup10
21.5%
10
78.5%
Q1 - 8:06HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound10
20.5%
10
79.5%
Q1 - 8:09Trail BlazersJerami Grant misses two point driving reverse layup10
21.0%
10
79.0%
Q1 - 8:32HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 210
22.0%
10
78.0%
Q1 - 8:32HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 210
22.2%
9
77.8%
Q1 - 8:32Trail BlazersJosh Hart shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)10
22.4%
8
77.6%
Q1 - 8:40HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound10
23.2%
8
76.8%
Q1 - 8:43Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses three point pullup jump shot10
23.7%
8
76.3%
Q1 - 8:53HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup10
24.8%
8
75.2%
Q1 - 9:02Trail BlazersJosh Hart turnover (traveling)10
25.9%
6
74.1%
Q1 - 9:15HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)10
27.5%
6
72.5%
Q1 - 9:28Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic makes regular free throw 2 of 210
30.4%
3
69.6%
Q1 - 9:28Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic makes regular free throw 1 of 29
30.0%
3
70.0%
Q1 - 9:28HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Jusuf Nurkic draws the foul)8
29.6%
3
70.4%
Q1 - 9:34Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic defensive rebound8
29.0%
3
71.0%
Q1 - 9:36HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot8
28.5%
3
71.5%
Q1 - 9:59Trail BlazersJerami Grant makes two point layup (Anfernee Simons assists)8
27.4%
3
72.6%
Q1 - 10:09HeatJimmy Butler personal foul (Damian Lillard draws the foul)6
25.5%
3
74.5%
Q1 - 10:31HeatKyle Lowry makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)6
25.6%
3
74.4%
Q1 - 10:40HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound6
28.3%
0
71.7%
Q1 - 10:41Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons misses two point cutting layup6
28.8%
0
71.2%
Q1 - 10:43Trail BlazersDamian Lillard makes regular free throw 1 of 16
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 10:43HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Away from play) (Jerami Grant draws the foul)5
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 10:43Trail BlazersTrail Blazers offensive rebound5
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 10:43Trail BlazersJerami Grant misses three point jump shot5
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 10:50Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic defensive rebound5
28.5%
0
71.5%
Q1 - 10:53HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup5
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:11Trail BlazersJerami Grant makes two point dunk (Damian Lillard assists)5
26.3%
0
73.7%
Q1 - 11:18Trail BlazersJusuf Nurkic defensive rebound3
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 11:20HeatJimmy Butler misses two point layup3
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 11:38Trail BlazersAnfernee Simons makes three point running jump shot (Josh Hart assists)3
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:44HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Josh Hart steals)0
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 12:00Jusuf Nurkic vs. Bam Adebayo (Kyle Lowry gains possession)0
20.0%
0
80.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

POR
1.34 67.1%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
POR
12
21
57%
MIA
18
28
64%
Midrange
POR
10
14
71%
MIA
8
17
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
POR
16
24.0
37
43%
65%
MIA
14
21.0
39
36%
54%
Free Throws
POR
18
21
86%
MIA
13
15
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
POR logo Blazers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Simons2560%12.5 / 21
J. Grant2377%11.5 / 15
D. Lillard1963%9.5 / 15
J. Hart1275%6.0 / 8
J. Winslow1275%6.0 / 8
N. Little6100%3.0 / 3
S. Sharpe5125%2.5 / 2
J. Nurkić467%2.0 / 3
D. Eubanks250%1.0 / 2
T. Watford233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo1657%8.0 / 14
J. Butler1647%8.0 / 17
M. Strus1680%8.0 / 10
K. Lowry1594%7.5 / 8
G. Vincent1554%7.5 / 14
C. Martin1045%5.0 / 11
D. Dedmon1071%5.0 / 7
D. Robinson950%4.5 / 9
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

POR
77
+5
-18
82
MIA
84
+9
-10
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

POR
1.34 67.1%
MIA
1.13 56.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
114.6
112.9
POR 115.8 +2.0
MIA 113.8
Pace
98.7
96.3
POR 97.0 +4.9
MIA 92.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.0
POR 14.8 +0.8
MIA 15.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.9%
53.0%
POR 63.9% +7.9%
MIA 56.0%
TO %
13.8%
13.2%
POR 19.0%
MIA 11.7% +7.3%
ORB %
22.4%
22.8%
POR 12.9%
MIA 13.2% +0.3%
FTrt
28.9
27.0
POR 29.2 +11.3
MIA 17.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.7%
60.8%
POR 71.1% +1.1%
MIA 70.0%
STL %
6.8%
8.2%
POR 7.4%
MIA 11.7% +4.3%
BLK %
8.4%
6.3%
POR 4.4%
MIA 5.7% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
55.9%
POR 67.1% +10.8%
MIA 56.3%
Rim FG%
62.3%
62.6%
POR 57.1%
MIA 64.3% +7.2%
Mid FG%
42.2%
45.3%
POR 71.4% +24.3%
MIA 47.1%
3P %
36.5%
34.4%
POR 43.2% +7.3%
MIA 35.9%
FT %
79.6%
83.1%
POR 85.7%
MIA 86.7% +1.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.5%
29.9%
POR 29.2%
MIA 33.3% +4.2%
Mid Att. %
21.2%
29.4%
POR 19.4% +0.8%
MIA 20.2%
3P Att. %
41.3%
40.8%
POR 51.4% +5.0%
MIA 46.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsPORMIA
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes23.524.5
Points110107
Rebounds3732
Assists2728
Steals711
Blocks22
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)10 (2)
Fouls1618
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (1)5 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)27 (3)
Field Goals38-7240-84
At-the-Rim FG12-2118-28
Midrange FG10-148-17
2-Point FG22-3526-45
3-Point FG16-3714-39
Free Throws18-2113-15
Fast Break Pts1316
2nd Chance Pts106
Points in Paint3840
Pts off Turnovers1724
Bench Points2734
Biggest Lead715

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#11 · SF · 6'4" 215 · 28
36.9
12
75%
9
8
2
0
5
3
0
9
5-7
71%
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
#9 · PF · 6'7" 210 · 29
35.0
23
77%
6
2
0
1
3
3
1
5
0-0
-
4-7
57%
5-8
63%
#0 · PG · 6'2" 195 · 32
34.5
19
63%
3
6
0
0
4
2
0
3
8-9
89%
1-4
25%
3-8
38%
#1 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 23
31.6
25
60%
0
4
1
0
3
1
0
0
3-3
100%
5-8
63%
4-12
33%
#27 · C · 7'0" 290 · 28
28.6
4
67%
11
3
2
0
2
3
1
10
2-2
100%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
#26 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 27
28.6
12
75%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
6-7
86%
0-1
0%
#24 · C · 6'10" 245 · 26
13.1
2
50%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#2 · PF · 6'8" 237 · 22
13.0
2
33%
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
#17 · SG · 6'5" 208 · 19
12.0
5
125%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
#10 · PF · 6'6" 220 · 23
6.8
6
100%
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-3
67%
#6 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#34 · SF · 6'7" 237 · 20
DNP – Coach's Decision
#4 · PF · 6'8" 206 · 21
DNP – Coach's Decision
#33 · C · 7'0" 240 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist; Sprain
#21 · C · 7'1" 190 · 20
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#00 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 30
INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
67%
37
27
7
2
18
16
4
33
18-21
86%
22-35
63%
16-37
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.