FinalWin Prob.pScore
2437%111
107
963%116
110
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
111.59699.3
MIA logo MIA
113.49793.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.107
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:02.5HeatTyler Herro makes three point fadeaway jump shot107
1.4%
110
98.6%
Q4 - 0:12.5KingsDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 2107
33.4%
107
66.6%
Q4 - 0:12.5KingsDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 2106
28.3%
107
71.7%
Q4 - 0:12.5HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)105
22.9%
107
77.1%
Q4 - 0:27.8HeatKyle Lowry makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot105
20.1%
107
79.9%
Q4 - 0:32.7KingsDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup105
32.6%
105
67.4%
Q4 - 0:41.3HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)103
23.1%
105
76.9%
Q4 - 0:53.4KingsDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 2 of 2103
36.7%
103
63.3%
Q4 - 0:53.4KingsDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 2102
33.5%
103
66.5%
Q4 - 0:53.4HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)101
29.9%
103
70.1%
Q4 - 0:56.3KingsKings offensive rebound101
25.3%
103
74.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0KingsMax Strus blocks Malik Monk's two point pullup jump shot101
17.4%
103
82.6%
Q4 - 1:03KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound101
25.7%
103
74.3%
Q4 - 1:07HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot101
22.1%
103
77.9%
Q4 - 1:31KingsDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup101
17.4%
103
82.6%
Q4 - 1:43HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)99
12.8%
103
87.2%
Q4 - 1:57KingsMalik Monk turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)99
26.3%
100
73.7%
Q4 - 2:20HeatGabe Vincent makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)99
39.8%
100
60.2%
Q4 - 2:37HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound99
46.1%
98
53.9%
Q4 - 2:41KingsTyler Herro blocks Harrison Barnes's two point driving layup99
51.5%
98
48.5%
Q4 - 3:00HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)99
60.5%
98
39.5%
Q4 - 3:12KingsKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)99
67.2%
96
32.8%
Q4 - 3:21KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound96
50.3%
96
49.7%
Q4 - 3:23HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot96
45.7%
96
54.3%
Q4 - 3:32HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound96
37.5%
96
62.5%
Q4 - 3:35KingsDomantas Sabonis misses two point jump shot96
40.2%
96
59.8%
Q4 - 3:47HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Malik Monk draws the foul)96
46.8%
96
53.2%
Q4 - 4:03HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot96
46.9%
96
53.1%
Q4 - 4:17HeatHeat defensive rebound96
55.4%
94
44.6%
Q4 - 4:19KingsDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot96
58.4%
94
41.6%
Q4 - 4:39HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot96
65.0%
94
35.0%
Q4 - 4:55KingsMalik Monk makes two point cutting layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)96
72.3%
92
27.7%
Q4 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip layup94
61.4%
92
38.6%
Q4 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound94
68.2%
90
31.8%
Q4 - 5:10HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup94
73.1%
90
26.9%
Q4 - 5:17HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound94
68.3%
90
31.7%
Q4 - 5:17HeatKyle Lowry misses three point running pullup jump shot94
73.2%
90
26.8%
Q4 - 5:21HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound94
68.3%
90
31.7%
Q4 - 5:24KingsHarrison Barnes misses two point driving floating jump shot94
70.6%
90
29.4%
Q4 - 5:45HeatTyler Herro makes two point tip layup94
75.4%
90
24.6%
Q4 - 5:45HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound94
80.6%
88
19.4%
Q4 - 5:52HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot94
84.1%
88
15.9%
Q4 - 6:00HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound94
80.6%
88
19.4%
Q4 - 6:01HeatKyle Lowry misses two point driving finger roll layup94
80.6%
88
19.4%
Q4 - 6:11KingsTerence Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 294
76.7%
88
23.3%
Q4 - 6:11KingsTerence Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 293
75.9%
88
24.1%
Q4 - 6:11HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Terence Davis draws the foul)92
74.9%
88
25.1%
Q4 - 6:22KingsTerence Davis defensive rebound92
72.4%
88
27.6%
Q4 - 6:24HeatKyle Lowry misses regular free throw 2 of 292
71.5%
88
28.5%
Q4 - 6:24HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 292
67.1%
88
32.9%
Q4 - 6:24KingsDomantas Sabonis shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)92
68.0%
87
32.0%
Q4 - 6:28HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound92
71.3%
87
28.7%
Q4 - 6:30KingsKevin Huerter misses three point stepback jump shot92
73.4%
87
26.6%
Q4 - 6:45KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound92
77.9%
87
22.1%
Q4 - 6:47HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot92
76.0%
87
24.0%
Q4 - 6:58HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound92
71.4%
87
28.6%
Q4 - 7:01KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot92
70.2%
87
29.8%
Q4 - 7:19HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 292
74.7%
87
25.3%
Q4 - 7:19HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 292
75.7%
86
24.3%
Q4 - 7:19KingsMatthew Dellavedova personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)92
76.8%
85
23.2%
Q4 - 7:27KingsKevin Huerter makes two point cutting layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)92
78.6%
85
21.4%
Q4 - 7:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)90
74.9%
85
25.1%
Q4 - 7:51KingsHarrison Barnes makes two point cutting layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)90
78.7%
83
21.3%
Q4 - 8:13HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup88
72.1%
83
27.9%
Q4 - 8:34KingsDomantas Sabonis makes two point turnaround hook shot (Terence Davis assists)88
76.7%
81
23.3%
Q4 - 8:41KingsTerence Davis defensive rebound86
72.2%
81
27.8%
Q4 - 8:44HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot86
70.6%
81
29.4%
Q4 - 8:58KingsKevin Huerter makes two point running layup (Terence Davis assists)86
66.7%
81
33.3%
Q4 - 9:02HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Matthew Dellavedova steals)84
59.7%
81
40.3%
Q4 - 9:07KingsTerence Davis personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)84
53.3%
81
46.7%
Q4 - 9:15KingsTerence Davis makes regular free throw 2 of 284
53.4%
81
46.6%
Q4 - 9:15KingsTerence Davis makes regular free throw 1 of 283
52.5%
81
47.5%
Q4 - 9:15HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Terence Davis draws the foul)82
51.4%
81
48.6%
Q4 - 9:26HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Loose ball) (Matthew Dellavedova draws the foul)82
48.1%
81
51.9%
Q4 - 9:26HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass)82
48.1%
81
51.9%
Q4 - 9:34KingsKeegan Murray turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Lowry steals)82
41.8%
81
58.2%
Q4 - 9:41KingsKeegan Murray defensive rebound82
48.2%
81
51.8%
Q4 - 9:45HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot82
46.2%
81
53.8%
Q4 - 9:55KingsMalik Monk personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)82
41.8%
81
58.2%
Q4 - 10:04KingsMalik Monk makes two point driving bank hook shot82
41.4%
81
58.6%
Q4 - 10:12KingsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound80
36.8%
81
63.2%
Q4 - 10:15HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot80
35.1%
81
64.9%
Q4 - 10:35KingsMatthew Dellavedova makes two point driving hook shot80
31.3%
81
68.7%
Q4 - 10:41KingsMatthew Dellavedova offensive rebound78
27.3%
81
72.7%
Q4 - 10:43KingsMatthew Dellavedova misses two point driving floating jump shot78
24.0%
81
76.0%
Q4 - 10:53KingsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound78
27.3%
81
72.7%
Q4 - 10:59HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot78
25.8%
81
74.2%
Q4 - 11:05HeatGabe Vincent makes flagrant free throw 1 of 178
23.6%
81
76.4%
Q4 - 11:05KingsKeegan Murray flagrant 1 (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)78
24.1%
80
75.9%
Q4 - 11:18KingsRichaun Holmes makes two point hook shot78
41.5%
77
58.5%
Q4 - 11:20KingsRichaun Holmes offensive rebound76
36.6%
77
63.4%
Q4 - 11:23KingsDewayne Dedmon blocks Kevin Huerter's two point driving layup76
33.3%
77
66.7%
Q4 - 11:32KingsKeegan Murray defensive rebound76
36.6%
77
63.4%
Q4 - 11:34HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot76
35.1%
77
64.9%
Q4 - 11:51KingsMatthew Dellavedova personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)76
31.8%
77
68.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.76
31.8%
77
68.2%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound76
32.1%
77
67.9%
Q3 - 0:00.8HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot76
35.1%
77
64.9%
Q3 - 0:02.2HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound76
32.1%
77
67.9%
Q3 - 0:04.8KingsKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot76
33.4%
77
66.6%
Q3 - 0:16.6HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Matthew Dellavedova draws the foul)76
36.5%
77
63.5%
Q3 - 0:23.5HeatCaleb Martin makes two point layup (Dewayne Dedmon assists)76
36.5%
77
63.5%
Q3 - 0:34.7KingsMatthew Dellavedova turnover (offensive foul)76
41.3%
75
58.7%
Q3 - 0:34.7KingsMatthew Dellavedova offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)76
46.0%
75
54.0%
Q3 - 0:40.3HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point floating jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)76
46.0%
75
54.0%
Q3 - 1:01KingsRichaun Holmes makes two point floating jump shot (Malik Monk assists)76
49.8%
73
50.2%
Q3 - 1:17HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (out of bounds bad pass)74
45.5%
73
54.5%
Q3 - 1:18HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound74
40.6%
73
59.4%
Q3 - 1:23HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot74
44.0%
73
56.0%
Q3 - 1:45KingsMalik Monk turnover (discontinue dribble)74
40.7%
73
59.3%
Q3 - 1:50KingsTrey Lyles defensive rebound74
45.5%
73
54.5%
Q3 - 1:50HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot74
44.0%
73
56.0%
Q3 - 1:51HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound74
40.7%
73
59.3%
Q3 - 1:54HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot74
44.0%
73
56.0%
Q3 - 2:04HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 174
40.2%
73
59.8%
Q3 - 2:04KingsMalik Monk personal foul (Away from play) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)74
40.8%
72
59.2%
Q3 - 2:08HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound74
44.5%
72
55.5%
Q3 - 2:12KingsMalik Monk misses three point running jump shot74
45.9%
72
54.1%
Q3 - 2:13KingsMatthew Dellavedova defensive rebound74
49.2%
72
50.8%
Q3 - 2:16HeatMalik Monk blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving layup74
47.8%
72
52.2%
Q3 - 2:23HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound74
44.5%
72
55.5%
Q3 - 2:25KingsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot74
45.9%
72
54.1%
Q3 - 2:48HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Loose ball) (Richaun Holmes draws the foul)74
49.3%
72
50.7%
Q3 - 2:48KingsKings defensive rebound74
49.3%
72
50.7%
Q3 - 2:49HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point fadeaway jump shot74
47.8%
72
52.2%
Q3 - 3:10KingsDomantas Sabonis makes three point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)74
44.2%
72
55.8%
Q3 - 3:21HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)71
36.7%
72
63.3%
Q3 - 3:39KingsMalik Monk makes three point stepback jump shot71
40.1%
70
59.9%
Q3 - 3:55HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)68
32.8%
70
67.2%
Q3 - 4:16KingsMalik Monk makes two point driving layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)68
35.9%
68
64.1%
Q3 - 4:25HeatTyler Herro makes two point cutting layup (Dewayne Dedmon assists)66
32.8%
68
67.2%
Q3 - 4:50KingsMalik Monk makes three point pullup jump shot66
35.9%
66
64.1%
Q3 - 5:12HeatKyle Lowry turnover (offensive foul)63
29.4%
66
70.6%
Q3 - 5:12HeatKyle Lowry offensive foul (Charge) (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)63
26.0%
66
74.0%
Q3 - 5:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound63
26.0%
66
74.0%
Q3 - 5:23KingsTyler Herro blocks Davion Mitchell's two point pullup jump shot63
27.0%
66
73.0%
Q3 - 5:48HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)63
29.4%
66
70.6%
Q3 - 5:56KingsKevin Huerter personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)63
32.4%
64
67.6%
Q3 - 6:10KingsDomantas Sabonis makes two point fadeaway jump shot63
32.4%
64
67.6%
Q3 - 6:22HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)61
29.3%
64
70.7%
Q3 - 6:25KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound61
29.3%
64
70.7%
Q3 - 6:27HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot61
28.3%
64
71.7%
Q3 - 6:38HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound61
26.1%
64
73.9%
Q3 - 6:41KingsKeegan Murray misses three point jump shot61
27.1%
64
72.9%
Q3 - 6:42KingsHarrison Barnes offensive rebound61
29.3%
64
70.7%
Q3 - 6:44KingsDomantas Sabonis misses two point hook shot61
27.1%
64
72.9%
Q3 - 7:01HeatMax Strus makes two point running layup (Kyle Lowry assists)61
29.6%
64
70.4%
Q3 - 7:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound61
32.2%
62
67.8%
Q3 - 7:07KingsKeegan Murray misses three point jump shot61
33.4%
62
66.6%
Q3 - 7:14KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound61
36.0%
62
64.0%
Q3 - 7:16HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot61
34.8%
62
65.2%
Q3 - 7:36KingsHarrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 261
32.2%
62
67.8%
Q3 - 7:36KingsHarrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 260
31.7%
62
68.3%
Q3 - 7:36HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)59
31.2%
62
68.8%
Q3 - 7:42KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound59
29.5%
62
70.5%
Q3 - 7:43HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot59
28.5%
62
71.5%
Q3 - 8:11KingsDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot (Keegan Murray assists)59
26.2%
62
73.8%
Q3 - 8:17KingsKings offensive rebound56
21.5%
62
78.5%
Q3 - 8:17KingsTyler Herro blocks Domantas Sabonis's two point cutting layup56
19.6%
62
80.4%
Q3 - 8:22KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound56
21.5%
62
78.5%
Q3 - 8:23HeatTyler Herro misses two point bank hook shot56
20.7%
62
79.3%
Q3 - 8:40HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound56
18.8%
62
81.2%
Q3 - 8:43KingsDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot56
19.6%
62
80.4%
Q3 - 8:46KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound56
21.5%
62
78.5%
Q3 - 8:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop layup56
20.7%
62
79.3%
Q3 - 8:59HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
18.8%
62
81.2%
Q3 - 9:02KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot56
19.9%
62
80.1%
Q3 - 9:21HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)56
21.7%
62
78.3%
Q3 - 9:27HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound56
23.8%
60
76.2%
Q3 - 9:30KingsHarrison Barnes misses two point fadeaway jump shot56
24.6%
60
75.4%
Q3 - 9:52HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot56
26.7%
60
73.3%
Q3 - 10:00KingsDavion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)56
29.1%
58
70.9%
Q3 - 10:08HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Max Strus assists)56
32.4%
58
67.6%
Q3 - 10:21KingsKevin Huerter personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)56
35.0%
56
65.0%
Q3 - 10:32KingsKevin Huerter makes two point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)56
35.0%
56
65.0%
Q3 - 10:36KingsKings offensive rebound54
32.4%
56
67.6%
Q3 - 10:36KingsKevin Huerter misses two point driving floating bank jump shot54
30.1%
56
69.9%
Q3 - 10:45KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound54
32.4%
56
67.6%
Q3 - 10:47HeatCaleb Martin misses two point turnaround jump shot54
31.4%
56
68.6%
Q3 - 11:12KingsKeegan Murray makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)54
29.1%
56
70.9%
Q3 - 11:24HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)51
24.1%
56
75.9%
Q3 - 11:38HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound51
29.1%
53
70.9%
Q3 - 11:42KingsKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot51
30.0%
53
70.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
32.0%
53
68.0%
Q2 - 0:00.1KingsKings offensive rebound51
31.7%
53
68.3%
Q2 - 0:00.5KingsDomantas Sabonis misses two point alley-oop layup51
30.1%
53
69.9%
Q2 - 0:07.6KingsDavion Mitchell defensive rebound51
31.7%
53
68.3%
Q2 - 0:10.2HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot51
31.0%
53
69.0%
Q2 - 0:33.8HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound51
29.4%
53
70.6%
Q2 - 0:35.9KingsDomantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 2 of 251
29.7%
53
70.3%
Q2 - 0:35.9KingsDomantas Sabonis makes regular free throw 1 of 251
31.5%
53
68.5%
Q2 - 0:35.9HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)50
30.7%
53
69.3%
Q2 - 0:43.8HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)50
29.0%
53
71.0%
Q2 - 0:43.8HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Keegan Murray draws the foul)50
26.8%
53
73.2%
Q2 - 0:57.3HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound50
26.8%
53
73.2%
Q2 - 0:59.4KingsKevin Huerter misses three point jump shot50
27.5%
53
72.5%
Q2 - 1:08KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound50
29.1%
53
70.9%
Q2 - 1:10HeatKeegan Murray blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving reverse layup50
28.5%
53
71.5%
Q2 - 1:22KingsKeegan Murray turnover (bad pass) (Caleb Martin steals)50
27.2%
53
72.8%
Q2 - 1:30HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Domantas Sabonis steals)50
29.1%
53
70.9%
Q2 - 1:41HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound50
27.2%
53
72.8%
Q2 - 1:43KingsKeegan Murray misses three point jump shot50
27.8%
53
72.2%
Q2 - 1:48HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)50
29.1%
53
70.9%
Q2 - 2:02HeatCaleb Martin makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)50
29.6%
53
70.4%
Q2 - 2:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound50
31.9%
51
68.1%
Q2 - 2:21KingsDomantas Sabonis misses regular free throw 1 of 150
32.3%
51
67.7%
Q2 - 2:21HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Domantas Sabonis draws the foul)50
34.0%
51
66.0%
Q2 - 2:28KingsKeegan Murray defensive rebound48
29.5%
51
70.5%
Q2 - 2:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot48
28.7%
51
71.3%
Q2 - 2:39HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound48
27.0%
51
73.0%
Q2 - 2:41KingsDavion Mitchell misses two point driving reverse layup48
27.7%
51
72.3%
Q2 - 3:01HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting layup (Caleb Martin assists)48
29.7%
51
70.3%
Q2 - 3:16HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound48
31.7%
49
68.3%
Q2 - 3:18KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot48
32.6%
49
67.4%
Q2 - 3:29HeatDewayne Dedmon makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)48
34.8%
49
65.2%
Q2 - 3:40HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound48
39.6%
46
60.4%
Q2 - 3:42KingsDomantas Sabonis misses two point jump shot48
40.7%
46
59.3%
Q2 - 3:58HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot48
43.0%
46
57.0%
Q2 - 4:14KingsHarrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)48
47.8%
43
52.2%
Q2 - 4:23KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound45
42.3%
43
57.7%
Q2 - 4:25HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot45
41.5%
43
58.5%
Q2 - 4:43KingsKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Keegan Murray assists)45
39.6%
43
60.4%
Q2 - 5:05HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 242
34.4%
43
65.6%
Q2 - 5:05HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 1 of 242
35.0%
42
65.0%
Q2 - 5:05KingsKevin Huerter personal foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)42
35.6%
41
64.4%
Q2 - 5:11HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound42
36.4%
41
63.6%
Q2 - 5:14KingsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot42
37.4%
41
62.6%
Q2 - 5:24HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 242
39.6%
41
60.4%
Q2 - 5:24HeatGabe Vincent misses regular free throw 1 of 242
39.9%
40
60.1%
Q2 - 5:24KingsDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)42
37.6%
40
62.4%
Q2 - 5:42HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound42
39.1%
40
60.9%
Q2 - 5:44KingsTerence Davis misses three point jump shot42
40.0%
40
60.0%
Q2 - 6:02HeatTyler Herro turnover (traveling)42
42.1%
40
57.9%
Q2 - 6:16KingsKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)42
38.9%
40
61.1%
Q2 - 6:21KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound39
34.4%
40
65.6%
Q2 - 6:24HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot39
33.5%
40
66.5%
Q2 - 6:31HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound39
31.5%
40
68.5%
Q2 - 6:34KingsHarrison Barnes misses two point driving floating jump shot39
32.4%
40
67.6%
Q2 - 6:46KingsKevin Huerter defensive rebound39
34.4%
40
65.6%
Q2 - 6:49HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot39
33.5%
40
66.5%
Q2 - 7:03KingsKevin Huerter makes two point pullup jump shot (Domantas Sabonis assists)39
31.7%
40
68.3%
Q2 - 7:19HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving reverse layup37
29.6%
40
70.4%
Q2 - 7:29KingsTerence Davis personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)37
31.7%
38
68.3%
Q2 - 7:37HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
31.7%
38
68.3%
Q2 - 7:39KingsTerence Davis misses three point pullup jump shot37
32.4%
38
67.6%
Q2 - 7:50KingsTerence Davis defensive rebound37
34.2%
38
65.8%
Q2 - 7:54HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot37
33.4%
38
66.6%
Q2 - 8:03KingsRichaun Holmes personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)37
31.6%
38
68.4%
Q2 - 8:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
31.6%
38
68.4%
Q2 - 8:09KingsMatthew Dellavedova misses two point pullup jump shot37
32.4%
38
67.6%
Q2 - 8:35HeatKyle Lowry makes two point cutting layup (Max Strus assists)37
34.1%
38
65.9%
Q2 - 8:50KingsMalik Monk turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)37
36.3%
36
63.7%
Q2 - 9:04HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Kevin Huerter draws the foul)37
38.5%
36
61.5%
Q2 - 9:07HeatMax Strus personal foul (Loose ball) (Richaun Holmes draws the foul)37
38.5%
36
61.5%
Q2 - 9:07KingsKings offensive rebound37
38.5%
36
61.5%
Q2 - 9:07KingsMalik Monk misses three point pullup jump shot37
36.8%
36
63.2%
Q2 - 9:24HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot37
38.5%
36
61.5%
Q2 - 9:46KingsMatthew Dellavedova makes three point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)37
43.4%
33
56.6%
Q2 - 9:54KingsKevin Huerter defensive rebound34
38.6%
33
61.4%
Q2 - 9:56HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving hook shot34
37.8%
33
62.2%
Q2 - 10:11HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound34
36.1%
33
63.9%
Q2 - 10:14KingsKeegan Murray misses three point jump shot34
36.8%
33
63.2%
Q2 - 10:18KingsRichaun Holmes defensive rebound34
38.5%
33
61.5%
Q2 - 10:21HeatKeegan Murray blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup34
37.7%
33
62.3%
Q2 - 10:30HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound34
36.1%
33
63.9%
Q2 - 10:32KingsMatthew Dellavedova misses two point driving floating jump shot34
36.8%
33
63.2%
Q2 - 10:47KingsKeegan Murray defensive rebound34
38.5%
33
61.5%
Q2 - 10:49HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup34
37.7%
33
62.3%
Q2 - 11:03KingsMatthew Dellavedova personal foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)34
35.8%
33
64.2%
Q2 - 11:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound34
35.8%
33
64.2%
Q2 - 11:09KingsKevin Huerter misses two point pullup jump shot34
36.5%
33
63.5%
Q2 - 11:22HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)34
38.0%
33
62.0%
Q2 - 11:22HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Charge) (Matthew Dellavedova draws the foul)34
35.8%
33
64.2%
Q2 - 11:45KingsMalik Monk makes two point driving floating jump shot (Kevin Huerter assists)34
35.8%
33
64.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.32
33.6%
33
66.4%
Q1 - 0:01.6KingsTrey Lyles turnover (out of bounds step)32
31.3%
33
68.7%
Q1 - 0:21.3HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 2 of 232
33.1%
33
66.9%
Q1 - 0:21.3HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 232
33.4%
32
66.6%
Q1 - 0:21.3KingsMalik Monk shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)32
33.7%
31
66.3%
Q1 - 0:25.4HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound32
35.5%
31
64.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot32
36.8%
31
63.2%
Q1 - 0:34.0KingsMalik Monk makes regular free throw 1 of 132
35.5%
31
64.5%
Q1 - 0:34.0HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Malik Monk draws the foul)31
35.1%
31
64.9%
Q1 - 0:39.0KingsTrey Lyles defensive rebound29
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q1 - 0:43.2HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot29
30.6%
31
69.4%
Q1 - 0:48.3HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound29
29.3%
31
70.7%
Q1 - 0:50.8KingsMalik Monk misses three point jump shot29
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q1 - 1:15HeatDewayne Dedmon makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)29
31.2%
31
68.8%
Q1 - 1:20HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound29
35.5%
28
64.5%
Q1 - 1:22KingsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot29
36.1%
28
63.9%
Q1 - 1:30KingsTrey Lyles defensive rebound29
37.5%
28
62.5%
Q1 - 1:32HeatGabe Vincent misses two point driving layup29
36.9%
28
63.1%
Q1 - 1:43KingsKeegan Murray makes two point cutting dunk (Matthew Dellavedova assists)29
35.5%
28
64.5%
Q1 - 1:54HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Loose ball) (Matthew Dellavedova draws the foul)27
33.2%
28
66.8%
Q1 - 1:55HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot27
33.2%
28
66.8%
Q1 - 1:55HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound27
35.5%
26
64.5%
Q1 - 1:57HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot27
36.9%
26
63.1%
Q1 - 2:24KingsTrey Lyles makes three point jump shot (Malik Monk assists)27
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q1 - 2:33HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)24
31.4%
26
68.6%
Q1 - 2:44KingsMalik Monk makes two point running reverse layup (Trey Lyles assists)24
35.3%
23
64.7%
Q1 - 2:47KingsTrey Lyles defensive rebound22
33.3%
23
66.7%
Q1 - 2:51HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot22
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q1 - 3:10KingsDomantas Sabonis makes two point driving hook shot (Malik Monk assists)22
31.0%
23
69.0%
Q1 - 3:28HeatTyler Herro makes two point running dunk20
29.5%
23
70.5%
Q1 - 3:30KingsMatthew Dellavedova turnover (bad pass) (Tyler Herro steals)20
31.0%
21
69.0%
Q1 - 3:40HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot20
33.3%
21
66.7%
Q1 - 3:52KingsDomantas Sabonis makes two point driving layup (Malik Monk assists)20
37.0%
18
63.0%
Q1 - 4:00KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound18
35.3%
18
64.7%
Q1 - 4:02HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot18
34.5%
18
65.5%
Q1 - 4:23HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound18
33.0%
18
67.0%
Q1 - 4:25KingsMalik Monk misses two point driving floating jump shot18
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 4:35HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
35.2%
18
64.8%
Q1 - 4:46HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound18
33.0%
18
67.0%
Q1 - 4:54KingsDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot18
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 5:16HeatKyle Lowry makes two point driving layup18
35.0%
18
65.0%
Q1 - 5:29HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound18
36.6%
16
63.4%
Q1 - 5:32KingsDomantas Sabonis misses two point jump shot18
37.3%
16
62.7%
Q1 - 5:34KingsHarrison Barnes offensive rebound18
38.8%
16
61.2%
Q1 - 5:36KingsHarrison Barnes misses two point driving floating jump shot18
37.3%
16
62.7%
Q1 - 5:56HeatKyle Lowry makes two point fadeaway jump shot18
38.8%
16
61.2%
Q1 - 6:08KingsKevin Huerter turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
40.3%
14
59.7%
Q1 - 6:16HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)18
42.3%
14
57.7%
Q1 - 6:26KingsDomantas Sabonis makes two point dunk18
44.2%
12
55.8%
Q1 - 6:46HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 116
42.4%
12
57.6%
Q1 - 6:46KingsDavion Mitchell shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)16
42.6%
11
57.4%
Q1 - 7:03KingsHarrison Barnes makes two point cutting layup (Kevin Huerter assists)16
45.8%
9
54.2%
Q1 - 7:08KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound14
44.1%
9
55.9%
Q1 - 7:10HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup14
43.4%
9
56.6%
Q1 - 7:35KingsHarrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)14
42.0%
9
58.0%
Q1 - 7:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Max Strus assists)11
38.4%
9
61.6%
Q1 - 8:23KingsKevin Huerter makes two point cutting finger roll layup (Domantas Sabonis assists)11
39.9%
7
60.1%
Q1 - 8:28KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound9
38.3%
7
61.7%
Q1 - 8:30HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot9
37.6%
7
62.4%
Q1 - 8:50KingsDomantas Sabonis makes two point driving layup9
36.2%
7
63.8%
Q1 - 8:54KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound7
34.7%
7
65.3%
Q1 - 8:57HeatCaleb Martin misses two point driving finger roll layup7
34.1%
7
65.9%
Q1 - 9:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound7
32.7%
7
67.3%
Q1 - 9:05KingsKevin Huerter misses three point running pullup jump shot7
33.2%
7
66.8%
Q1 - 9:10HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Kevin Huerter steals)7
34.5%
7
65.5%
Q1 - 9:20KingsKevin Huerter makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)7
32.7%
7
67.3%
Q1 - 9:48HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot4
29.6%
7
70.4%
Q1 - 10:00HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound4
31.1%
5
68.9%
Q1 - 10:03KingsDomantas Sabonis misses two point turnaround hook shot4
31.4%
5
68.6%
Q1 - 10:29HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)4
32.6%
5
67.4%
Q1 - 10:43KingsKeegan Murray makes two point running dunk4
34.1%
3
65.9%
Q1 - 10:49HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (Keegan Murray steals)2
32.6%
3
67.4%
Q1 - 10:58KingsDavion Mitchell makes two point driving reverse layup (Harrison Barnes assists)2
30.9%
3
69.1%
Q1 - 11:09KingsDomantas Sabonis defensive rebound0
29.4%
3
70.6%
Q1 - 11:12HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup0
28.8%
3
71.2%
Q1 - 11:17KingsDomantas Sabonis turnover (traveling)0
27.7%
3
72.3%
Q1 - 11:37HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)0
29.4%
3
70.6%
Q1 - 11:40HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound0
32.2%
0
67.8%
Q1 - 11:43HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot0
33.5%
0
66.5%
Q1 - 12:00Domantas Sabonis vs. Bam Adebayo (Max Strus gains possession)0
32.2%
0
67.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.15 57.5%
MIA
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
22
30
73%
MIA
21
31
68%
Midrange
SAC
6
20
30%
MIA
12
24
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
13
19.5
36
36%
54%
MIA
11
16.5
34
32%
49%
Free Throws
SAC
12
14
86%
MIA
11
13
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Huerter2265%11.0 / 17
D. Sabonis2261%11.0 / 18
M. Monk1973%9.5 / 13
H. Barnes1246%6.0 / 13
D. Mitchell950%4.5 / 9
K. Murray750%3.5 / 7
M. Dellavedova550%2.5 / 5
R. Holmes4100%2.0 / 2
T. Davis450%2.0 / 4
T. Lyles350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Herro2662%13.0 / 21
K. Lowry2269%11.0 / 16
B. Adebayo2059%10.0 / 17
M. Strus1071%5.0 / 7
G. Vincent1042%5.0 / 12
D. Dedmon1083%5.0 / 6
C. Martin850%4.0 / 8
D. Robinson433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
84
+9
-12
93
MIA
86
+10
-11
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.15 57.5%
MIA
1.15 57.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
119.1
112.9
SAC 111.5
MIA 113.4 +1.9
Pace
100.6
96.3
SAC 99.3 +5.5
MIA 93.8
Avg. Poss. Time
13.7
15.0
SAC 14.5 +0.9
MIA 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
57.2%
53.0%
SAC 55.2%
MIA 55.6% +0.4%
TO %
12.9%
13.2%
SAC 11.5%
MIA 10.4% +1.1%
ORB %
22.7%
22.8%
SAC 9.8%
MIA 20.5% +10.7%
FTrt
28.4
27.0
SAC 16.3 +1.7
MIA 14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.6%
60.8%
SAC 70.7% +9.3%
MIA 61.4%
STL %
6.9%
8.2%
SAC 4.2%
MIA 5.2% +1.0%
BLK %
6.0%
6.3%
SAC 5.5%
MIA 10.0% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
59.6%
55.9%
SAC 57.5% +0.2%
MIA 57.3%
Rim FG%
66.4%
62.6%
SAC 73.3% +5.6%
MIA 67.7%
Mid FG%
46.5%
45.3%
SAC 30.0%
MIA 50.0% +20.0%
3P %
36.9%
34.4%
SAC 36.1% +3.7%
MIA 32.4%
FT %
79.0%
83.1%
SAC 85.7% +1.1%
MIA 84.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.2%
29.9%
SAC 34.9% +0.1%
MIA 34.8%
Mid Att. %
22.5%
29.4%
SAC 23.3% +3.7%
MIA 27.0%
3P Att. %
42.3%
40.8%
SAC 41.9% +3.7%
MIA 38.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes23.224.8
Points107110
Rebounds3946
Assists2927
Steals45
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)11 (0)
Fouls1820
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (5)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)37 (1)
Field Goals41-8644-89
At-the-Rim FG22-3021-31
Midrange FG6-2012-24
2-Point FG28-5033-55
3-Point FG13-3611-34
Free Throws12-1411-13
Fast Break Pts135
2nd Chance Pts1111
Points in Paint5254
Pts off Turnovers1213
Bench Points3524
Biggest Lead76

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#9 · SG · 6'7" 198 · 24
38.0
22
65%
2
2
1
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
5-8
63%
4-9
44%
#10 · C · 6'10" 240 · 26
37.2
22
61%
12
8
1
0
2
2
0
12
5-7
71%
7-14
50%
1-1
100%
#40 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 30
34.8
12
46%
7
1
0
0
0
0
2
5
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
2-5
40%
#15 · PG · 6'0" 202 · 24
29.2
9
50%
1
4
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-4
25%
#13 · PF · 6'8" 225 · 22
27.3
7
50%
4
3
1
2
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
#0 · SG · 6'3" 200 · 25
22.0
19
73%
0
7
0
1
3
3
0
0
1-1
100%
6-8
75%
2-5
40%
#8 · PG · 6'4" 198 · 32
19.8
5
50%
2
1
1
0
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
1-1
100%
#41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 27
12.8
3
50%
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
#22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 29
10.8
4
100%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
#3 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25
8.0
4
50%
3
2
0
0
0
2
0
3
4-4
100%
0-0
-
0-3
0%
#7 · C · 6'10" 219 · 26
DNP – Coach's Decision
#25 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29
DNP – Coach's Decision
#30 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 24
DNP – Coach's Decision
#88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Bone bruise
#23 · SG · 6'4" 175 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#19 · SF · 6'6" 223 · 27
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
57%
39
29
4
3
12
18
4
35
12-14
86%
28-50
56%
13-36
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.