FinalWin Prob.pScore
2430%108
115
270%115
132
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
112.7102106.7
MIA logo MIA
128.210398.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.115
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 0:15.7HornetsNick Richards makes two point putback layup115
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 0:15.7HornetsNick Richards offensive rebound113
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 0:20.1HornetsJames Bouknight misses three point jump shot113
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0HeatJamal Cain makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)113
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 0:47.5HornetsKai Jones makes two point running dunk (JT Thor assists)113
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.9HeatNikola Jovic turnover (bad pass) (JT Thor steals)111
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.4HornetsJT Thor turnover (bad pass) (Jamal Cain steals)111
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12HeatNikola Jovic makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)111
0.1%
129
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28HornetsJames Bouknight makes two point driving floating jump shot111
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Take) (Theo Maledon draws the foul)109
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 1109
0.1%
126
99.9%
Q4 - 1:39HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)109
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50HornetsLaMelo Ball makes three point running jump shot (Kelly Oubre Jr. assists)109
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55HeatCaleb Martin misses two point running dunk106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 1:57HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point running jump shot106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28HornetsMason Plumlee makes two point layup106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound104
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot104
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:46HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound104
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point running layup104
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:53HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound104
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 2:56HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot104
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00HornetsJalen McDaniels turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)104
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)104
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:19HeatKelly Oubre Jr. blocks Caleb Martin's two point cutting dunk104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 4:00HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)102
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound102
0.2%
118
99.8%
Q4 - 4:19HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot102
0.2%
118
99.8%
Q4 - 4:31HeatKyle Lowry makes two point fadeaway jump shot102
0.2%
118
99.8%
Q4 - 4:54HornetsJalen McDaniels makes two point driving finger roll layup102
0.3%
116
99.7%
Q4 - 5:02HornetsHornets offensive rebound100
0.4%
116
99.6%
Q4 - 5:02HornetsKyle Lowry blocks Terry Rozier's two point running layup100
0.3%
116
99.7%
Q4 - 5:05HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Terry Rozier steals)100
0.4%
116
99.6%
Q4 - 5:06HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound100
0.3%
116
99.7%
Q4 - 5:10HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot100
0.3%
116
99.7%
Q4 - 5:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Gabe Vincent assists)100
0.4%
116
99.6%
Q4 - 5:41HeatMax Strus defensive rebound100
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 5:44HornetsTerry Rozier misses regular free throw 2 of 2100
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 5:44HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 2100
0.7%
114
99.3%
Q4 - 5:44HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)99
0.7%
114
99.3%
Q4 - 5:48HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound99
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 5:50HeatBam Adebayo misses two point fadeaway jump shot99
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 6:03HornetsTheo Maledon personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)99
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 6:08HeatMax Strus defensive rebound99
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 6:12HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot99
0.7%
114
99.3%
Q4 - 6:20HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound99
0.9%
114
99.1%
Q4 - 6:23HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot99
0.8%
114
99.2%
Q4 - 6:36HornetsJalen McDaniels makes regular free throw 2 of 299
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 6:36HornetsJalen McDaniels makes regular free throw 1 of 298
0.6%
114
99.4%
Q4 - 6:36HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jalen McDaniels draws the foul)97
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 6:39HeatKyle Lowry turnover (bad pass) (Terry Rozier steals)97
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 6:59HornetsTheo Maledon makes two point driving floating jump shot97
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 7:20HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)95
0.4%
114
99.6%
Q4 - 7:33HeatHeat defensive rebound95
0.7%
111
99.3%
Q4 - 7:33HornetsDewayne Dedmon blocks Jalen McDaniels's two point driving layup95
0.7%
111
99.3%
Q4 - 7:38HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound95
0.9%
111
99.1%
Q4 - 7:41HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot95
0.8%
111
99.2%
Q4 - 7:57HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot (Jalen McDaniels assists)95
0.7%
111
99.3%
Q4 - 8:19HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 3 of 393
0.7%
111
99.3%
Q4 - 8:19HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 2 of 393
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 8:19HeatMax Strus makes regular free throw 1 of 393
0.8%
109
99.2%
Q4 - 8:19HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)93
0.8%
108
99.2%
Q4 - 8:28HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound93
1.1%
108
98.9%
Q4 - 8:30HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot93
1.3%
108
98.7%
Q4 - 8:49HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound93
1.1%
108
98.9%
Q4 - 8:54HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point jump shot93
1.2%
108
98.8%
Q4 - 9:04HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point driving floating jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)93
1.7%
108
98.3%
Q4 - 9:20HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)93
2.1%
106
97.9%
Q4 - 9:28HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot93
2.1%
106
97.9%
Q4 - 9:38HeatGabe Vincent makes two point jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)91
1.7%
106
98.3%
Q4 - 9:47HornetsP.J. Washington personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)91
2.1%
104
97.9%
Q4 - 9:55HornetsP.J. Washington turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)91
2.1%
104
97.9%
Q4 - 10:08HeatGabe Vincent makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot91
3.3%
104
96.7%
Q4 - 10:26HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 1 of 191
3.9%
102
96.1%
Q4 - 10:26HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Nick Richards draws the foul)90
3.7%
102
96.3%
Q4 - 10:26HornetsNick Richards offensive rebound88
2.6%
102
97.4%
Q4 - 10:27HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving floating jump shot88
2.2%
102
97.8%
Q4 - 10:38HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound88
2.6%
102
97.4%
Q4 - 10:41HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot88
2.4%
102
97.6%
Q4 - 10:57HornetsNick Richards makes two point layup (LaMelo Ball assists)88
2.0%
102
98.0%
Q4 - 11:06HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound86
2.0%
102
98.0%
Q4 - 11:08HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot86
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 11:34HornetsNick Richards makes two point dunk (Jalen McDaniels assists)86
1.6%
102
98.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.84
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound84
1.3%
102
98.7%
Q3 - 0:02.1HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point fadeaway jump shot84
1.4%
102
98.6%
Q3 - 0:15.1HeatGabe Vincent makes three point stepback jump shot84
1.6%
102
98.4%
Q3 - 0:31.9HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound84
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q3 - 0:35.9HornetsJalen McDaniels misses three point jump shot84
2.4%
99
97.6%
Q3 - 0:41.7HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving layup84
2.8%
99
97.2%
Q3 - 0:56.3HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 2 of 284
3.4%
97
96.6%
Q3 - 0:56.3HornetsLaMelo Ball makes regular free throw 1 of 283
3.3%
97
96.7%
Q3 - 0:56.3HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)82
3.2%
97
96.8%
Q3 - 1:10HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point hook shot (Jimmy Butler assists)82
3.2%
97
96.8%
Q3 - 1:25HornetsJames Bouknight makes two point driving finger roll layup82
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q3 - 1:36HornetsHornets offensive rebound80
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q3 - 1:37HornetsJames Bouknight misses three point jump shot80
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q3 - 1:43HeatCaleb Martin turnover (bad pass) (LaMelo Ball steals)80
3.2%
95
96.8%
Q3 - 2:02HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point pullup jump shot80
3.0%
95
97.0%
Q3 - 2:10HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound78
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q3 - 2:12HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot78
2.4%
95
97.6%
Q3 - 2:21HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound78
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q3 - 2:24HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point floating jump shot78
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q3 - 2:33HeatCaleb Martin turnover (out of bounds step)78
2.6%
95
97.4%
Q3 - 2:45HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point driving finger roll layup78
2.1%
95
97.9%
Q3 - 2:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes regular free throw 1 of 176
1.8%
95
98.2%
Q3 - 2:52HornetsJames Bouknight shooting foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)76
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q3 - 3:04HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q3 - 3:07HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point running jump shot76
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q3 - 3:11HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound76
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q3 - 3:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot76
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q3 - 3:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound76
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q3 - 3:26HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses two point fadeaway jump shot76
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q3 - 3:43HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound76
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q3 - 3:46HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot76
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q3 - 3:50HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound76
2.8%
92
97.2%
Q3 - 3:53HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses two point driving floating jump shot76
3.0%
92
97.0%
Q3 - 4:18HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)76
3.7%
92
96.3%
Q3 - 4:21HeatCaleb Martin offensive rebound76
4.9%
89
95.1%
Q3 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 276
5.7%
89
94.3%
Q3 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 276
5.2%
89
94.8%
Q3 - 4:24HornetsJalen McDaniels shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)76
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q3 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound76
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q3 - 4:24HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot76
6.5%
88
93.5%
Q3 - 4:36HornetsJames Bouknight makes two point driving layup76
5.7%
88
94.3%
Q3 - 4:46HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound74
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q3 - 4:48HeatKyle Lowry misses three point pullup jump shot74
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q3 - 5:05HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point driving dunk (Terry Rozier assists)74
4.6%
88
95.4%
Q3 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)72
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q3 - 5:30HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound72
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q3 - 5:33HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses two point alley-oop layup72
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q3 - 5:40HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running layup72
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q3 - 5:44HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound72
4.6%
86
95.4%
Q3 - 5:47HornetsJalen McDaniels misses two point floating jump shot72
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q3 - 6:00HeatMax Strus personal foul (Jalen McDaniels draws the foul)72
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q3 - 6:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 272
5.7%
86
94.3%
Q3 - 6:13HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 272
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q3 - 6:13HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)72
5.9%
84
94.1%
Q3 - 6:29HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)72
6.5%
84
93.5%
Q3 - 6:39HeatMax Strus makes two point driving finger roll layup (Caleb Martin assists)69
4.9%
84
95.1%
Q3 - 6:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound69
5.6%
82
94.4%
Q3 - 6:53HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point jump shot69
5.9%
82
94.1%
Q3 - 7:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot69
6.9%
82
93.1%
Q3 - 7:24HornetsMason Plumlee turnover (out of bounds bad pass)69
7.7%
80
92.3%
Q3 - 7:24HornetsMason Plumlee offensive rebound69
9.0%
80
91.0%
Q3 - 7:24HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses two point pullup jump shot69
8.1%
80
91.9%
Q3 - 7:39HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 169
9.0%
80
91.0%
Q3 - 7:39HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)69
9.2%
79
90.8%
Q3 - 7:45HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound69
11.5%
77
88.5%
Q3 - 7:47HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot69
12.0%
77
88.0%
Q3 - 7:58HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)69
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q3 - 8:22HornetsMason Plumlee makes two point layup (LaMelo Ball assists)69
16.9%
74
83.1%
Q3 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 267
15.3%
74
84.7%
Q3 - 8:36HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 267
15.5%
73
84.5%
Q3 - 8:36HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)67
15.8%
72
84.2%
Q3 - 8:56HornetsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 1 of 167
16.9%
72
83.1%
Q3 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)66
16.1%
72
83.9%
Q3 - 9:19HeatMax Strus makes three point running jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)64
13.7%
72
86.3%
Q3 - 9:24HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound64
17.0%
69
83.0%
Q3 - 9:26HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point pullup jump shot64
17.7%
69
82.3%
Q3 - 9:44HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)64
19.4%
69
80.6%
Q3 - 9:57HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point driving floating jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)64
23.7%
66
76.3%
Q3 - 10:15HeatCaleb Martin makes two point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)62
21.6%
66
78.4%
Q3 - 10:30HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound62
23.7%
64
76.3%
Q3 - 10:32HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 262
24.1%
64
75.9%
Q3 - 10:32HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 262
25.6%
64
74.4%
Q3 - 10:32HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Kelly Oubre Jr. draws the foul)61
24.9%
64
75.1%
Q3 - 10:42HeatCaleb Martin makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)61
24.0%
64
76.0%
Q3 - 10:48HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound61
26.2%
62
73.8%
Q3 - 10:49HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot61
27.1%
62
72.9%
Q3 - 11:11HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot61
28.6%
62
71.4%
Q3 - 11:27HornetsP.J. Washington makes two point hook shot61
34.2%
59
65.8%
Q3 - 11:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)59
31.4%
59
68.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.59
34.2%
57
65.8%
Q2 - 0:02.3HeatKyle Lowry makes regular free throw 1 of 159
36.4%
57
63.6%
Q2 - 0:02.3HornetsNick Richards shooting foul (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)59
36.8%
56
63.2%
Q2 - 0:10.7HornetsTheo Maledon makes two point driving floating jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)59
43.1%
54
56.9%
Q2 - 0:27.9HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound57
39.5%
54
60.5%
Q2 - 0:30.8HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot57
38.7%
54
61.3%
Q2 - 0:36.8HornetsTerry Rozier makes regular free throw 1 of 157
37.0%
54
63.0%
Q2 - 0:36.8HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)56
36.5%
54
63.5%
Q2 - 0:41.3HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound54
30.8%
54
69.2%
Q2 - 0:43.5HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot54
30.1%
54
69.9%
Q2 - 1:03HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes three point running pullup jump shot54
28.6%
54
71.4%
Q2 - 1:05HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound51
23.2%
54
76.8%
Q2 - 1:08HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot51
22.7%
54
77.3%
Q2 - 1:17HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound51
21.6%
54
78.4%
Q2 - 1:19HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot51
22.1%
54
77.9%
Q2 - 1:32HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound51
23.2%
54
76.8%
Q2 - 1:34HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot51
22.7%
54
77.3%
Q2 - 1:42HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound51
21.6%
54
78.4%
Q2 - 1:45HornetsTerry Rozier misses three point jump shot51
22.1%
54
77.9%
Q2 - 2:03HeatJimmy Butler makes two point jump shot51
23.6%
54
76.4%
Q2 - 2:23HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point running layup (Theo Maledon assists)51
25.6%
52
74.4%
Q2 - 2:26HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound49
23.5%
52
76.5%
Q2 - 2:30HeatP.J. Washington blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup49
22.8%
52
77.2%
Q2 - 2:49HornetsTheo Maledon makes two point driving finger roll layup (Terry Rozier assists)49
21.4%
52
78.6%
Q2 - 3:03HornetsMason Plumlee defensive rebound47
19.7%
52
80.3%
Q2 - 3:07HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot47
19.1%
52
80.9%
Q2 - 3:12HeatMax Strus defensive rebound47
17.6%
52
82.4%
Q2 - 3:15HornetsMason Plumlee misses two point driving hook shot47
18.3%
52
81.7%
Q2 - 3:37HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
19.7%
52
80.3%
Q2 - 3:39HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound47
17.6%
52
82.4%
Q2 - 3:41HornetsTerry Rozier misses two point driving floating jump shot47
18.2%
52
81.8%
Q2 - 3:54HeatBam Adebayo turnover (offensive foul)47
19.7%
52
80.3%
Q2 - 3:54HeatBam Adebayo offensive foul (Off the ball) (P.J. Washington draws the foul)47
17.6%
52
82.4%
Q2 - 4:00HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point pullup jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)47
17.6%
52
82.4%
Q2 - 4:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 244
14.8%
52
85.2%
Q2 - 4:20HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 244
14.9%
51
85.1%
Q2 - 4:20HornetsTheo Maledon personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)44
15.2%
50
84.8%
Q2 - 4:26HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 144
16.2%
50
83.8%
Q2 - 4:26HeatCaleb Martin shooting foul (Kelly Oubre Jr. draws the foul)43
15.9%
50
84.1%
Q2 - 4:35HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound41
13.4%
50
86.6%
Q2 - 4:39HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 141
13.2%
50
86.8%
Q2 - 4:39HornetsP.J. Washington shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)41
12.4%
50
87.6%
Q2 - 4:40HornetsTerry Rozier turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)41
14.7%
48
85.3%
Q2 - 4:53HeatKyle Lowry makes two point stepback jump shot41
16.2%
48
83.8%
Q2 - 5:04HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound41
17.5%
46
82.5%
Q2 - 5:06HornetsDewayne Dedmon blocks P.J. Washington's two point layup41
18.2%
46
81.8%
Q2 - 5:15HeatKyle Lowry personal foul (Kelly Oubre Jr. draws the foul)41
19.6%
46
80.4%
Q2 - 5:25HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point putback layup41
19.6%
46
80.4%
Q2 - 5:27HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound41
21.0%
44
79.0%
Q2 - 5:30HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot41
22.6%
44
77.4%
Q2 - 5:55HornetsTheo Maledon makes regular free throw 2 of 241
21.0%
44
79.0%
Q2 - 5:55HornetsTheo Maledon makes regular free throw 1 of 240
20.7%
44
79.3%
Q2 - 5:55HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Theo Maledon draws the foul)39
20.3%
44
79.7%
Q2 - 6:00HornetsJT Thor defensive rebound39
19.6%
44
80.4%
Q2 - 6:02HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot39
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q2 - 6:11HeatCaleb Martin defensive rebound39
17.7%
44
82.3%
Q2 - 6:14HornetsDewayne Dedmon blocks Mason Plumlee's two point driving layup39
18.3%
44
81.7%
Q2 - 6:19HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (Terry Rozier draws the foul)39
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 6:23HornetsTerry Rozier defensive rebound39
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 6:25HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point fadeaway jump shot39
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q2 - 6:46HornetsMason Plumlee turnover (offensive foul)39
17.7%
44
82.3%
Q2 - 6:46HornetsMason Plumlee offensive foul (Charge) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)39
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 6:49HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound39
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 6:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot39
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q2 - 7:10HeatHeat defensive rebound39
17.9%
44
82.1%
Q2 - 7:11HornetsJT Thor misses three point jump shot39
18.4%
44
81.6%
Q2 - 7:27HeatMax Strus makes two point cutting dunk (Bam Adebayo assists)39
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 7:41HornetsJT Thor makes two point layup (Theo Maledon assists)39
21.2%
42
78.8%
Q2 - 7:53HornetsTheo Maledon defensive rebound37
19.7%
42
80.3%
Q2 - 7:55HeatGabe Vincent misses three point running pullup jump shot37
19.1%
42
80.9%
Q2 - 7:59HornetsTerry Rozier turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)37
17.9%
42
82.1%
Q2 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Max Strus assists)37
19.7%
42
80.3%
Q2 - 8:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
21.3%
40
78.7%
Q2 - 8:26HornetsJT Thor misses two point driving floating jump shot37
21.8%
40
78.2%
Q2 - 8:39HornetsHornets offensive rebound37
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 8:41HornetsJT Thor misses two point floating jump shot37
21.8%
40
78.2%
Q2 - 8:59HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 3 of 337
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 8:59HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 2 of 337
23.4%
39
76.6%
Q2 - 8:59HeatGabe Vincent makes regular free throw 1 of 337
23.7%
38
76.3%
Q2 - 8:59HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)37
24.0%
37
76.0%
Q2 - 9:19HornetsJalen McDaniels makes two point running finger roll layup37
26.8%
37
73.2%
Q2 - 9:25HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound35
24.9%
37
75.1%
Q2 - 9:28HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running jump shot35
24.3%
37
75.7%
Q2 - 9:32HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound35
23.0%
37
77.0%
Q2 - 9:34HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point pullup jump shot35
23.6%
37
76.4%
Q2 - 9:41HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound35
24.9%
37
75.1%
Q2 - 9:43HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving bank hook shot35
24.3%
37
75.7%
Q2 - 9:50HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 2 of 235
23.0%
37
77.0%
Q2 - 9:50HornetsNick Richards makes regular free throw 1 of 234
22.5%
37
77.5%
Q2 - 9:50HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Nick Richards draws the foul)33
22.0%
37
78.0%
Q2 - 10:04HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound33
21.4%
37
78.6%
Q2 - 10:06HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot33
20.9%
37
79.1%
Q2 - 10:13HornetsJalen McDaniels personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)33
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 10:22HornetsNick Richards personal foul (Loose ball) (Caleb Martin draws the foul)33
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 10:22HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (bad pass)33
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 10:27HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound33
21.4%
37
78.6%
Q2 - 10:32HeatCaleb Martin misses two point pullup jump shot33
20.9%
37
79.1%
Q2 - 10:54HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
19.7%
37
80.3%
Q2 - 10:56HornetsNick Richards misses two point floating jump shot33
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 11:06HeatGabe Vincent makes three point pullup jump shot33
21.3%
37
78.7%
Q2 - 11:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound33
24.7%
34
75.3%
Q2 - 11:23HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot33
25.3%
34
74.7%
Q2 - 11:42HornetsHornets defensive rebound33
26.5%
34
73.5%
Q2 - 11:44HeatGabe Vincent misses three point pullup jump shot33
26.0%
34
74.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.33
24.7%
34
75.3%
Q1 - 0:00.3HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot33
24.4%
34
75.6%
Q1 - 0:03.3HeatCaleb Martin makes regular free throw 2 of 231
22.6%
34
77.4%
Q1 - 0:03.3HeatCaleb Martin misses regular free throw 1 of 231
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q1 - 0:03.3HornetsLaMelo Ball shooting foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)31
21.8%
33
78.2%
Q1 - 0:05.9HornetsLaMelo Ball turnover (lost ball) (Caleb Martin steals)31
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q1 - 0:19.0HornetsJalen McDaniels defensive rebound31
24.3%
33
75.7%
Q1 - 0:21.4HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot31
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q1 - 0:24.5HeatHeat offensive rebound31
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q1 - 0:24.5HeatJames Bouknight blocks Dewayne Dedmon's two point putback layup31
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q1 - 0:24.5HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound31
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q1 - 0:25.3HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point driving floating bank jump shot31
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q1 - 0:34.9HornetsJalen McDaniels makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)31
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q1 - 0:45.0HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)28
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q1 - 0:58.2HeatMax Strus defensive rebound28
22.8%
30
77.2%
Q1 - 1:02HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point running jump shot28
23.3%
30
76.7%
Q1 - 1:06HornetsNick Richards defensive rebound28
24.4%
30
75.6%
Q1 - 1:08HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point cutting finger roll layup28
23.9%
30
76.1%
Q1 - 1:20HornetsNick Richards makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen McDaniels assists)28
22.8%
30
77.2%
Q1 - 1:29HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (offensive foul)26
21.1%
30
78.9%
Q1 - 1:29HeatDuncan Robinson offensive foul (Off the ball) (James Bouknight draws the foul)26
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q1 - 1:29HeatHeat offensive rebound26
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q1 - 1:30HeatCaleb Martin misses two point turnaround jump shot26
20.7%
30
79.3%
Q1 - 1:54HornetsNick Richards makes two point jump shot (Jalen McDaniels assists)26
19.7%
30
80.3%
Q1 - 2:16HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)24
18.4%
30
81.6%
Q1 - 2:25HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound24
19.7%
28
80.3%
Q1 - 2:27HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot24
20.8%
28
79.2%
Q1 - 2:41HornetsNick Richards turnover (offensive foul)24
19.7%
28
80.3%
Q1 - 2:41HornetsNick Richards offensive foul (Off the ball) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)24
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q1 - 2:51HeatDewayne Dedmon makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)24
21.3%
28
78.7%
Q1 - 3:02HornetsJames Bouknight makes three point jump shot (Terry Rozier assists)24
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q1 - 3:16HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Kyle Lowry assists)21
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q1 - 3:29HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point stepback jump shot21
22.5%
23
77.5%
Q1 - 3:38HeatKyle Lowry turnover (traveling)18
19.9%
23
80.1%
Q1 - 4:00HornetsTerry Rozier makes three point pullup jump shot18
18.3%
23
81.7%
Q1 - 4:13HeatMax Strus personal foul (Kelly Oubre Jr. draws the foul)15
16.3%
23
83.7%
Q1 - 4:30HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)15
16.3%
23
83.7%
Q1 - 4:43HornetsTerry Rozier makes two point pullup jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)15
17.3%
21
82.7%
Q1 - 5:05HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)13
16.4%
21
83.6%
Q1 - 5:17HornetsMason Plumlee makes two point dunk (Terry Rozier assists)13
18.7%
18
81.3%
Q1 - 5:36HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)11
17.6%
18
82.4%
Q1 - 5:40HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
19.9%
15
80.1%
Q1 - 5:43HornetsBam Adebayo blocks Terry Rozier's two point driving layup11
20.4%
15
79.6%
Q1 - 6:04HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip layup11
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 6:04HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound11
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 6:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot11
23.7%
13
76.3%
Q1 - 6:31HornetsMason Plumlee turnover (offensive foul)11
22.7%
13
77.3%
Q1 - 6:31HornetsMason Plumlee offensive foul (Caleb Martin draws the foul)11
24.1%
13
75.9%
Q1 - 6:39HeatKyle Lowry makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)11
24.1%
13
75.9%
Q1 - 6:45HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound11
25.6%
11
74.4%
Q1 - 6:49HornetsP.J. Washington misses two point pullup jump shot11
26.1%
11
73.9%
Q1 - 6:58HeatCaleb Martin personal foul (LaMelo Ball draws the foul)11
27.2%
11
72.8%
Q1 - 7:11HeatKyle Lowry turnover (offensive foul)11
27.0%
11
73.0%
Q1 - 7:11HeatKyle Lowry offensive foul (Off the ball) (P.J. Washington draws the foul)11
25.4%
11
74.6%
Q1 - 7:19HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes three point jump shot (LaMelo Ball assists)11
25.4%
11
74.6%
Q1 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk8
22.6%
11
77.4%
Q1 - 7:45HeatHeat offensive rebound8
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 7:45HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot8
25.0%
9
75.0%
Q1 - 7:54HornetsLaMelo Ball personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)8
23.9%
9
76.1%
Q1 - 8:02HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound8
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 8:05HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point jump shot8
24.3%
9
75.7%
Q1 - 8:12HornetsP.J. Washington defensive rebound8
25.4%
9
74.6%
Q1 - 8:15HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot8
24.9%
9
75.1%
Q1 - 8:27HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving bank hook shot8
23.8%
9
76.2%
Q1 - 8:39HornetsLaMelo Ball defensive rebound6
22.6%
9
77.4%
Q1 - 8:39HeatCaleb Martin misses three point jump shot6
22.1%
9
77.9%
Q1 - 8:47HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot6
21.1%
9
78.9%
Q1 - 8:59HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound4
20.0%
9
80.0%
Q1 - 9:01HeatKyle Lowry misses two point pullup jump shot4
19.6%
9
80.4%
Q1 - 9:14HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot4
18.7%
9
81.3%
Q1 - 9:28HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot2
17.7%
9
82.3%
Q1 - 9:36HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound2
18.7%
7
81.3%
Q1 - 9:38HornetsLaMelo Ball misses three point stepback jump shot2
19.1%
7
80.9%
Q1 - 9:52HeatMax Strus makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)2
20.0%
7
80.0%
Q1 - 10:10HornetsLaMelo Ball makes two point driving floating jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)2
22.3%
4
77.7%
Q1 - 10:25HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)0
21.1%
4
78.9%
Q1 - 10:28HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound0
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 10:32HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot0
20.7%
4
79.3%
Q1 - 10:44HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound0
19.8%
4
80.2%
Q1 - 10:47HornetsP.J. Washington misses three point jump shot0
20.2%
4
79.8%
Q1 - 10:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point floating jump shot (Caleb Martin assists)0
21.2%
4
78.8%
Q1 - 11:08HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. turnover (lost ball) (Max Strus steals)0
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 11:09HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. offensive rebound0
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 11:16HornetsKelly Oubre Jr. misses three point jump shot0
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 11:30HeatBam Adebayo makes two point dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)0
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 11:44HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound0
24.6%
0
75.4%
Q1 - 11:46HornetsLaMelo Ball misses two point driving layup0
25.1%
0
74.9%
Q1 - 12:00Mason Plumlee vs. Bam Adebayo (LaMelo Ball gains possession)0
26.2%
0
73.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.19 59.3%
MIA
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
25
35
71%
MIA
22
31
71%
Midrange
CHA
12
24
50%
MIA
11
21
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
9
13.5
31
29%
44%
MIA
16
24.0
41
39%
59%
Free Throws
CHA
14
16
88%
MIA
18
21
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Rozier2261%11.0 / 18
K. Oubre2059%10.0 / 17
L. Ball1542%7.5 / 18
N. Richards1594%7.5 / 8
M. Plumlee975%4.5 / 6
J. McDaniels964%4.5 / 7
J. Bouknight975%4.5 / 6
T. Maledon8100%4.0 / 4
P. Washington429%2.0 / 7
J. Thor225%1.0 / 4
K. Jones2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Strus3191%15.5 / 17
B. Adebayo2463%12.0 / 19
J. Butler2091%10.0 / 11
G. Vincent2071%10.0 / 14
K. Lowry1250%6.0 / 12
C. Martin739%3.5 / 9
D. Dedmon750%3.5 / 7
D. Robinson528%2.5 / 9
J. Cain3150%1.5 / 1
N. Jović3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
90
+7
-12
97
MIA
91
+12
-12
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
1.19 59.3%
MIA
1.28 64.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.9
112.9
CHA 112.7
MIA 128.2 +15.4
Pace
101.1
96.3
CHA 106.7 +8.1
MIA 98.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.0
15.0
CHA 13.5 +1.1
MIA 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.6%
53.0%
CHA 56.1%
MIA 61.3% +5.2%
TO %
13.4%
13.2%
CHA 11.0%
MIA 10.5% +0.5%
ORB %
23.8%
22.8%
CHA 9.8%
MIA 21.4% +11.6%
FTrt
26.1
27.0
CHA 17.8
MIA 22.6 +4.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.9%
60.8%
CHA 54.3%
MIA 65.3% +11.0%
STL %
7.6%
8.2%
CHA 3.9%
MIA 6.8% +2.9%
BLK %
9.3%
6.3%
CHA 5.8%
MIA 8.5% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.42 and 2.42.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
55.9%
CHA 59.3%
MIA 64.1% +4.8%
Rim FG%
60.9%
62.6%
CHA 71.4% +0.4%
MIA 71.0%
Mid FG%
40.8%
45.3%
CHA 50.0%
MIA 52.4% +2.4%
3P %
33.0%
34.4%
CHA 29.0%
MIA 39.0% +10.0%
FT %
74.8%
83.1%
CHA 87.5% +1.8%
MIA 85.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.1%
29.9%
CHA 38.9% +5.6%
MIA 33.3%
Mid Att. %
25.9%
29.4%
CHA 26.7%
MIA 22.6% +4.1%
3P Att. %
36.0%
40.8%
CHA 34.4%
MIA 44.1% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions102103
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points115132
Rebounds3746
Assists2532
Steals47
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)12 (0)
Fouls2119
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)37 (2)
Field Goals46-9049-93
At-the-Rim FG25-3522-31
Midrange FG12-2411-21
2-Point FG37-5933-52
3-Point FG9-3116-41
Free Throws14-1618-21
Fast Break Pts1410
2nd Chance Pts917
Points in Paint6458
Pts off Turnovers1713
Bench Points4538
Biggest Lead519

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#3 · SG · 6'1" 190 · 29
34.1
22
61%
1
6
2
0
2
0
0
1
2-3
67%
4-8
50%
4-9
44%
#12 · SF · 6'8" 203 · 27
33.8
20
59%
8
1
0
1
1
1
1
7
2-3
67%
6-11
55%
2-5
40%
#1 · PG · 6'7" 180 · 21
28.2
15
42%
6
6
1
0
2
5
0
6
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
1-9
11%
#25 · PF · 6'6" 230 · 24
27.6
4
29%
1
0
0
1
1
5
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-2
0%
#24 · C · 6'10" 254 · 33
26.7
9
75%
5
5
0
0
3
2
1
4
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
#6 · SF · 6'9" 205 · 25
27.6
9
64%
4
4
0
0
1
2
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
#4 · C · 7'0" 245 · 25
21.3
15
94%
5
0
0
0
1
3
2
3
3-3
100%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
#9 · PG · 6'5" 175 · 21
19.6
8
100%
6
2
0
0
0
2
0
6
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
#2 · SG · 6'4" 190 · 22
14.1
9
75%
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
#21 · PF · 6'9" 203 · 20
5.4
2
25%
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
#23 · C · 6'11" 221 · 22
1.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#20 · SF · 6'8" 226 · 33
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Shoulder; Contusion
#11 · SF · 6'6" 205 · 27
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Procedure
#5 · C · 7'0" 240 · 21
Inactive - G League - On Assignment
#7 · SG · 6'6" 190 · 20
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#8 · PG · 6'3" 195 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Ankle; Sprain
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
115
59%
37
25
4
3
12
21
4
33
14-16
88%
37-59
63%
9-31
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.