Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, April 16, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Thunder | 38% | 103 | 104 |
 | 28 | Pistons | 62% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Pelicans | 56% | 117 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Hornets | 27% | 109 | 115 |
 | 13 | Nets | 73% | 118 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Magic | 33% | 102 | 102 |
 | 26 | Raptors | 67% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Bulls | 45% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Heat | 59% | 112 | 111 |
 | 22 | Timberwolves | 41% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Knicks | 31% | 105 | 117 |
 | 5 | Mavericks | 69% | 112 | 109 |
Thursday, April 15, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Bucks | 45% | 112 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Celtics | 59% | 107 | 121 |
 | 18 | Lakers | 41% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, April 14, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 72% | 116 | 130 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 28% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 46% | 107 | 103 |
| 25 | Hornets | 54% | 109 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 31% | 110 | 117 |
| 4 | 76ers | 69% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 48% | 109 | 112 |
| 16 | Raptors | 52% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 56% | 108 | 100 |
| 27 | Pistons | 44% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 23% | 103 | 115 |
| 15 | Bulls | 77% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 46% | 108 | 116 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 54% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 45% | 112 | 132 |
| 22 | Rockets | 55% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 82% | 116 | 147 |
| 30 | Thunder | 18% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 51% | 114 | 114 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 49% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 30% | 104 | 106 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 70% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 45% | 117 | 123 |
| 23 | Kings | 55% | 119 | 111 |
Tuesday, April 13, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 64% | 117 | 127 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 36% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 55% | 112 | 126 |
| 16 | Pacers | 45% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 53% | 113 | 108 |
| 22 | Raptors | 47% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 51% | 106 | 101 |
| 25 | Hornets | 49% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 9% | 100 | 96 |
| 1 | Jazz | 91% | 119 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 35% | 106 | 86 |
| 2 | Suns | 65% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 48% | 115 | 116 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 116 | 115 |
Monday, April 12, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 54% | 102 | 96 |
| 19 | Knicks | 46% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 51% | 111 | 113 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 49% | 110 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 67% | 111 | 120 |
| 29 | Magic | 33% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 38% | 111 | 90 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 62% | 116 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 45% | 115 | 110 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 55% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 17% | 106 | 125 |
| 1 | Jazz | 83% | 120 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 49% | 113 | 107 |
| 9 | Warriors | 51% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 22% | 107 | 120 |
| 2 | Suns | 78% | 118 | 126 |
Sunday, April 11, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 59% | 114 | 105 |
| 24 | Hornets | 41% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 41% | 109 | 105 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 59% | 113 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 66% | 114 | 116 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 34% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 69% | 112 | 124 |
| 28 | Magic | 31% | 105 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 32% | 103 | 96 |
| 18 | Knicks | 68% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 32% | 108 | 119 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 68% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 39% | 111 | 132 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 61% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 55% | 116 | 117 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 45% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 17% | 98 | 124 |
| 9 | Clippers | 83% | 112 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 46% | 112 | 107 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 114 | 98 |
Saturday, April 10, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 60% | 111 | 135 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 40% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 37% | 108 | 126 |
| 8 | Nets | 63% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 79% | 115 | 117 |
| 30 | Thunder | 21% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 19% | 108 | 112 |
| 1 | Jazz | 81% | 121 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rockets | 32% | 110 | 109 |
| 12 | Warriors | 68% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 13% | 103 | 106 |
| 2 | Suns | 87% | 120 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 21% | 106 | 103 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 79% | 117 | 118 |
Friday, April 9, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 65% | 111 | 111 |
| 29 | Magic | 35% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 25% | 108 | 136 |
| 6 | Celtics | 75% | 117 | 145 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 52% | 108 | 129 |
| 19 | Knicks | 48% | 107 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 37% | 112 | 108 |
| 14 | Hawks | 63% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 67% | 116 | 94 |
| 23 | Pelicans | 33% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 31% | 108 | 127 |
| 9 | Bucks | 69% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 34% | 108 | 119 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 66% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 34% | 112 | 110 |
| 13 | Warriors | 66% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 19% | 103 | 109 |
| 1 | Clippers | 81% | 115 | 126 |
Thursday, April 8, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 48% | 111 | 122 |
| 22 | Raptors | 52% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 39% | 100 | 104 |
| 10 | Heat | 61% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 58% | 109 | 129 |
| 30 | Thunder | 42% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 45% | 112 | 101 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 55% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 112 | 103 |
| 1 | Jazz | 69% | 119 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 37% | 108 | 103 |
| 2 | Clippers | 63% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 31% | 108 | 113 |
| 19 | Kings | 69% | 115 | 101 |
Wednesday, April 7, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 48% | 113 | 137 |
| 24 | Pacers | 52% | 114 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 55% | 110 | 131 |
| 29 | Magic | 45% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 40% | 103 | 99 |
| 11 | Celtics | 60% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 24% | 112 | 111 |
| 7 | Nets | 76% | 122 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 65% | 115 | 93 |
| 23 | Rockets | 35% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 48% | 113 | 131 |
| 19 | Hawks | 52% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 63% | 110 | 113 |
| 30 | Thunder | 37% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Spurs | 35% | 109 | 96 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 65% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 49% | 113 | 113 |
| 3 | Suns | 51% | 114 | 117 |
Tuesday, April 6, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 47% | 111 | 113 |
| 19 | Pacers | 53% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 38% | 112 | 107 |
| 12 | Hawks | 62% | 116 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 76ers | 44% | 109 | 106 |
| 5 | Celtics | 56% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 55% | 104 | 110 |
| 22 | Raptors | 45% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 39% | 107 | 124 |
| 9 | Heat | 61% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 14% | 101 | 119 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 86% | 116 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 57% | 115 | 121 |
| 15 | Warriors | 43% | 113 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 111 | 116 |
| 2 | Clippers | 69% | 118 | 133 |
Monday, April 5, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 30% | 108 | 112 |
| 3 | Nets | 70% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 35% | 108 | 101 |
| 21 | Raptors | 65% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 53% | 113 | 103 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 47% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 51% | 118 | 106 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 49% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 52% | 104 | 132 |
| 30 | Thunder | 48% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 22% | 103 | 125 |
| 12 | Spurs | 78% | 115 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Suns | 74% | 115 | 133 |
| 24 | Rockets | 26% | 106 | 130 |
Sunday, April 4, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 48% | 114 | 107 |
| 15 | Bulls | 52% | 115 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 29% | 101 | 86 |
| 3 | Clippers | 71% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 26% | 105 | 86 |
| 5 | Celtics | 74% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 45% | 108 | 116 |
| 11 | 76ers | 55% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 38% | 112 | 111 |
| 14 | Hawks | 62% | 116 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 47% | 111 | 122 |
| 24 | Rockets | 53% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Magic | 9% | 98 | 109 |
| 2 | Nuggets | 91% | 117 | 119 |
Saturday, April 3, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 68% | 116 | 109 |
| 27 | Wizards | 32% | 109 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 49% | 103 | 125 |
| 26 | Pistons | 51% | 104 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 19% | 100 | 101 |
| 9 | Heat | 81% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 20% | 105 | 113 |
| 7 | 76ers | 80% | 117 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 32% | 106 | 139 |
| 11 | Spurs | 68% | 113 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 15% | 100 | 91 |
| 1 | Jazz | 85% | 115 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 18% | 108 | 85 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 82% | 121 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 56% | 117 | 129 |
| 16 | Kings | 44% | 115 | 128 |