FinalWin Prob.pScore
1339%107
124
961%111
112
ORTG#PossPace
MEM logo MEM
130.59596.2
MIA logo MIA
116.79694.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatGrizzliesQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMEMMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.124
100%
112
0%
Q4 - 0:10.2GrizzliesGrizzlies turnover (shot clock violation)124
99.9%
112
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.4HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)124
99.9%
112
0.1%
Q4 - 0:42.5HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound124
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:45.6GrizzliesJohn Konchar misses three point jump shot124
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.3HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point cutting layup (Gabe Vincent assists)124
99.9%
109
0.1%
Q4 - 1:08HeatNemanja Bjelica defensive rebound124
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 1:10GrizzliesKillian Tillie misses three point jump shot124
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 1:36HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (Take) (Tyus Jones draws the foul)124
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 2124
99.9%
107
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 2124
99.9%
106
0.1%
Q4 - 1:37GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)124
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:42HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound124
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 1:45HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot124
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 2:01GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point running layup (Dillon Brooks assists)124
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05HeatTrevor Ariza turnover (lost ball) (Dillon Brooks steals)122
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 2:20GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)122
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)122
99.9%
105
0.1%
Q4 - 3:06GrizzliesGrayson Allen makes two point pullup jump shot122
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 3:24HeatJimmy Butler makes two point bank jump shot120
99.9%
103
0.1%
Q4 - 3:39GrizzliesGrayson Allen makes two point running dunk (Kyle Anderson assists)120
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 3:44GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound118
99.7%
101
0.3%
Q4 - 3:45HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup118
99.7%
101
0.3%
Q4 - 3:55GrizzliesJa Morant makes regular free throw 2 of 2118
99.6%
101
0.4%
Q4 - 3:55GrizzliesJa Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 2117
99.6%
101
0.4%
Q4 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)116
99.6%
101
0.4%
Q4 - 4:08GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound116
99.5%
101
0.5%
Q4 - 4:11HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving floating jump shot116
99.4%
101
0.6%
Q4 - 4:23HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound116
99.3%
101
0.7%
Q4 - 4:26GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point jump shot116
99.4%
101
0.6%
Q4 - 4:31GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound116
99.5%
101
0.5%
Q4 - 4:35GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses two point turnaround jump shot116
99.4%
101
0.6%
Q4 - 4:45HeatVictor Oladipo personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)116
99.5%
101
0.5%
Q4 - 4:58HeatJimmy Butler makes two point pullup jump shot116
99.5%
101
0.5%
Q4 - 5:15GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (offensive foul)116
99.3%
99
0.7%
Q4 - 5:15GrizzliesJa Morant offensive foul (Charge) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)116
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 5:23HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)116
99.5%
99
0.5%
Q4 - 5:23HeatHeat offensive rebound116
99.3%
99
0.7%
Q4 - 5:23HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot116
99.4%
99
0.6%
Q4 - 5:44GrizzliesGrayson Allen makes technical free throw 1 of 1116
99.3%
99
0.7%
Q4 - 5:44HeatErik Spoelstra technical foul115
99.2%
99
0.8%
Q4 - 5:49GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point putback layup115
99.0%
99
1.0%
Q4 - 5:50GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas offensive rebound113
98.7%
99
1.3%
Q4 - 5:53GrizzliesDuncan Robinson blocks Grayson Allen's two point driving layup113
98.4%
99
1.6%
Q4 - 6:14HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (out of bounds lost ball)113
98.0%
99
2.0%
Q4 - 6:26GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point driving finger roll layup113
97.2%
99
2.8%
Q4 - 6:39HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)111
96.5%
99
3.5%
Q4 - 6:49GrizzliesGrayson Allen defensive rebound111
96.5%
99
3.5%
Q4 - 6:53HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 1 of 1111
96.3%
99
3.7%
Q4 - 6:53GrizzliesXavier Tillman shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)111
95.6%
99
4.4%
Q4 - 7:18GrizzliesJohn Konchar makes two point cutting layup (Tyus Jones assists)111
96.2%
97
3.8%
Q4 - 7:41HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)109
95.3%
97
4.7%
Q4 - 8:01GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point driving finger roll layup (Tyus Jones assists)109
96.2%
94
3.8%
Q4 - 8:15GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound107
95.2%
94
4.8%
Q4 - 8:18HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot107
94.8%
94
5.2%
Q4 - 8:36GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes two point turnaround jump shot (John Konchar assists)107
93.9%
94
6.1%
Q4 - 8:54HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (John Konchar steals)105
92.4%
94
7.6%
Q4 - 9:07GrizzliesKillian Tillie makes two point hook shot105
88.8%
94
11.2%
Q4 - 9:08GrizzliesKillian Tillie offensive rebound103
86.5%
94
13.5%
Q4 - 9:13GrizzliesAndre Iguodala blocks Killian Tillie's two point hook shot103
84.3%
94
15.7%
Q4 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point alley-oop layup (Andre Iguodala assists)103
86.6%
94
13.4%
Q4 - 9:54GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes two point putback layup103
88.9%
92
11.1%
Q4 - 9:56GrizzliesXavier Tillman offensive rebound101
86.6%
92
13.4%
Q4 - 9:56GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point driving finger roll layup101
84.4%
92
15.6%
Q4 - 10:09GrizzliesJohn Konchar defensive rebound101
84.8%
92
15.2%
Q4 - 10:14HeatKillian Tillie blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving layup101
83.9%
92
16.1%
Q4 - 10:32GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point driving layup (Tyus Jones assists)101
81.6%
92
18.4%
Q4 - 10:45GrizzliesXavier Tillman defensive rebound99
78.3%
92
21.7%
Q4 - 10:48HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot99
77.1%
92
22.9%
Q4 - 11:07GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (John Konchar assists)99
72.6%
92
27.4%
Q4 - 11:26HeatTyler Herro makes three point running pullup jump shot (Goran Dragic assists)96
63.4%
92
36.6%
Q4 - 11:30GrizzliesJohn Konchar turnover (bad pass) (Andre Iguodala steals)96
72.7%
89
27.3%
Q4 - 11:40GrizzliesXavier Tillman defensive rebound96
76.7%
89
23.3%
Q4 - 11:41HeatGoran Dragic misses two point tip layup96
75.5%
89
24.5%
Q4 - 11:41HeatGoran Dragic offensive rebound96
72.7%
89
27.3%
Q4 - 11:46HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop layup96
75.5%
89
24.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.96
72.7%
89
27.3%
Q3 - 0:01.3GrizzliesTyus Jones makes three point jump shot (Dillon Brooks assists)96
71.1%
89
28.9%
Q3 - 0:22.5HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Desmond Bane steals)93
62.1%
89
37.9%
Q3 - 0:42.3GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point driving layup (Tyus Jones assists)93
57.5%
89
42.5%
Q3 - 0:53.8HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Nemanja Bjelica assists)91
52.3%
89
47.7%
Q3 - 1:04GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point finger roll layup91
60.5%
86
39.5%
Q3 - 1:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Goran Dragic assists)89
56.4%
86
43.6%
Q3 - 1:30GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point running layup89
60.6%
84
39.4%
Q3 - 1:33GrizzliesDillon Brooks defensive rebound87
56.4%
84
43.6%
Q3 - 1:37HeatJimmy Butler misses two point driving layup87
54.9%
84
45.1%
Q3 - 2:00HeatHeat defensive rebound87
51.3%
84
48.7%
Q3 - 2:00GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot87
52.9%
84
47.1%
Q3 - 2:01GrizzliesTyus Jones offensive rebound87
55.1%
84
44.9%
Q3 - 2:05GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point turnaround jump shot87
51.6%
84
48.4%
Q3 - 2:30HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 187
55.2%
84
44.8%
Q3 - 2:30GrizzliesJohn Konchar shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)87
55.8%
83
44.2%
Q3 - 2:44GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (John Konchar assists)87
63.4%
81
36.6%
Q3 - 2:58HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)84
55.3%
81
44.7%
Q3 - 3:10HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound84
62.4%
78
37.6%
Q3 - 3:13GrizzliesJa Morant misses two point driving finger roll layup84
63.8%
78
36.2%
Q3 - 3:24GrizzliesXavier Tillman offensive rebound84
66.9%
78
33.1%
Q3 - 3:27GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point jump shot84
63.8%
78
36.2%
Q3 - 3:35HeatNemanja Bjelica personal foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)84
66.9%
78
33.1%
Q3 - 3:37GrizzliesXavier Tillman defensive rebound84
66.9%
78
33.1%
Q3 - 3:42HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot84
65.6%
78
34.4%
Q3 - 3:49GrizzliesDesmond Bane turnover (bad pass) (Goran Dragic steals)84
62.4%
78
37.6%
Q3 - 4:04GrizzliesXavier Tillman defensive rebound84
65.7%
78
34.3%
Q3 - 4:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot84
64.3%
78
35.7%
Q3 - 4:12HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound84
61.2%
78
38.8%
Q3 - 4:16GrizzliesXavier Tillman misses two point cutting layup84
62.6%
78
37.4%
Q3 - 4:32HeatNemanja Bjelica makes two point tip layup84
65.8%
78
34.2%
Q3 - 4:32HeatNemanja Bjelica offensive rebound84
68.8%
76
31.2%
Q3 - 4:36HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point floating jump shot84
71.6%
76
28.4%
Q3 - 5:00HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound84
68.8%
76
31.2%
Q3 - 5:04GrizzliesGrayson Allen misses two point driving floating jump shot84
69.0%
76
31.0%
Q3 - 5:19HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup (Bam Adebayo assists)84
71.5%
76
28.5%
Q3 - 5:33GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point tip layup84
74.5%
74
25.5%
Q3 - 5:33GrizzliesKyle Anderson offensive rebound82
71.6%
74
28.4%
Q3 - 5:36GrizzliesGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot82
69.1%
74
30.9%
Q3 - 5:48GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound82
71.6%
74
28.4%
Q3 - 5:52HeatJimmy Butler misses three point jump shot82
70.5%
74
29.5%
Q3 - 5:57HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound82
67.9%
74
32.1%
Q3 - 6:02GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point fadeaway jump shot82
67.7%
74
32.3%
Q3 - 6:09GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound82
70.3%
74
29.7%
Q3 - 6:12HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point driving layup82
69.2%
74
30.8%
Q3 - 6:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
66.7%
74
33.3%
Q3 - 6:22GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point jump shot82
67.8%
74
32.2%
Q3 - 6:32GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound82
70.3%
74
29.7%
Q3 - 6:36HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot82
69.3%
74
30.7%
Q3 - 6:54GrizzliesGrayson Allen makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)82
66.8%
74
33.2%
Q3 - 6:59HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (bad pass) (Dillon Brooks steals)79
60.0%
74
40.0%
Q3 - 7:15GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point pullup jump shot79
54.9%
74
45.1%
Q3 - 7:32HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)77
51.8%
74
48.2%
Q3 - 7:34HeatVictor Oladipo offensive rebound77
58.6%
71
41.4%
Q3 - 7:37HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot77
61.5%
71
38.5%
Q3 - 7:47GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)77
58.6%
71
41.4%
Q3 - 7:56HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 2 of 277
62.7%
71
37.3%
Q3 - 7:56HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 1 of 277
63.4%
70
36.6%
Q3 - 7:56GrizzliesDillon Brooks shooting foul (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)77
64.1%
69
35.9%
Q3 - 8:01GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)77
64.7%
69
35.3%
Q3 - 8:20HeatJimmy Butler makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)77
68.6%
69
31.4%
Q3 - 8:34GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot77
71.1%
67
28.9%
Q3 - 8:54HeatBam Adebayo makes two point bank jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)74
65.4%
67
34.6%
Q3 - 9:10GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)74
67.1%
65
32.9%
Q3 - 9:21HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 271
61.0%
65
39.0%
Q3 - 9:21HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 1 of 271
61.7%
64
38.3%
Q3 - 9:21GrizzliesGrayson Allen shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)71
62.4%
63
37.6%
Q3 - 9:24HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound71
63.9%
63
36.1%
Q3 - 9:27GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point pullup jump shot71
65.1%
63
34.9%
Q3 - 9:41HeatDuncan Robinson turnover (bad pass) (Ja Morant steals)71
67.6%
63
32.4%
Q3 - 9:52GrizzliesJa Morant makes two point running layup71
64.0%
63
36.0%
Q3 - 9:55GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound69
61.1%
63
38.9%
Q3 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 2 of 269
60.6%
63
39.4%
Q3 - 10:00HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 269
58.3%
63
41.7%
Q3 - 10:00GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
55.6%
63
44.4%
Q3 - 10:02HeatTrevor Ariza offensive rebound69
56.2%
63
43.8%
Q3 - 10:03HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point running finger roll layup69
59.0%
63
41.0%
Q3 - 10:08HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound69
56.2%
63
43.8%
Q3 - 10:09GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses two point driving layup69
57.5%
63
42.5%
Q3 - 10:15HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)69
60.2%
63
39.8%
Q3 - 10:32GrizzliesGrayson Allen personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
62.9%
61
37.1%
Q3 - 10:32GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass)69
62.9%
61
37.1%
Q3 - 10:44HeatBam Adebayo makes two point fadeaway bank jump shot (Trevor Ariza assists)69
66.6%
61
33.4%
Q3 - 10:56GrizzliesDillon Brooks personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)69
69.1%
59
30.9%
Q3 - 11:12GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point jump shot (Kyle Anderson assists)69
68.3%
59
31.7%
Q3 - 11:26HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point pullup jump shot66
62.5%
59
37.5%
Q3 - 11:39GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot66
66.4%
57
33.6%
Q3 - 11:46GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes flagrant free throw 3 of 366
65.4%
57
34.6%
Q3 - 11:46GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes flagrant free throw 2 of 365
68.0%
57
32.0%
Q3 - 11:46GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes flagrant free throw 1 of 364
67.5%
57
32.5%
Q3 - 11:46HeatVictor Oladipo flagrant 1 (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)63
66.9%
57
33.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.63
59.3%
57
40.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0HeatHeat offensive rebound63
55.6%
57
44.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot63
57.1%
57
42.9%
Q2 - 0:05.5HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound63
55.6%
57
44.4%
Q2 - 0:08.7GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot63
56.3%
57
43.7%
Q2 - 0:11.0HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot63
57.9%
57
42.1%
Q2 - 0:31.7GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)63
61.9%
55
38.1%
Q2 - 0:48.7HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)60
54.8%
55
45.2%
Q2 - 1:06GrizzliesKyle Anderson turnover (out of bounds lost ball)60
61.4%
52
38.6%
Q2 - 1:06GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound60
63.1%
52
36.9%
Q2 - 1:10HeatVictor Oladipo misses three point jump shot60
62.6%
52
37.4%
Q2 - 1:28HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound60
61.4%
52
38.6%
Q2 - 1:31GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point jump shot60
62.0%
52
38.0%
Q2 - 1:38HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jonas Valanciunas steals)60
63.2%
52
36.8%
Q2 - 1:45HeatJimmy Butler makes technical free throw 1 of 160
61.4%
52
38.6%
Q2 - 1:45GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas technical foul60
62.2%
51
37.8%
Q2 - 1:45HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound60
64.4%
51
35.6%
Q2 - 1:48GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas misses two point layup60
64.9%
51
35.1%
Q2 - 1:56GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound60
66.1%
51
33.9%
Q2 - 1:58HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot60
65.6%
51
34.4%
Q2 - 2:16HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound60
62.6%
51
37.4%
Q2 - 2:19GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses regular free throw 2 of 260
63.0%
51
37.0%
Q2 - 2:19GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses regular free throw 1 of 260
65.0%
51
35.0%
Q2 - 2:19HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Dillon Brooks draws the foul)60
67.1%
51
32.9%
Q2 - 2:21GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound60
65.5%
51
34.5%
Q2 - 2:23HeatJimmy Butler misses two point tip layup60
64.6%
51
35.4%
Q2 - 2:24HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound60
62.6%
51
37.4%
Q2 - 2:26HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving hook shot60
64.6%
51
35.4%
Q2 - 2:36GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes three point pullup jump shot60
62.7%
51
37.3%
Q2 - 2:49HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot57
56.9%
51
43.1%
Q2 - 3:06GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)57
58.3%
49
41.7%
Q2 - 3:27HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)54
53.0%
49
47.0%
Q2 - 3:46HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
58.4%
46
41.6%
Q2 - 3:50GrizzliesJa Morant misses regular free throw 2 of 254
58.8%
46
41.2%
Q2 - 3:50GrizzliesJa Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 254
60.6%
46
39.4%
Q2 - 3:50HeatTrevor Ariza shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)53
60.0%
46
40.0%
Q2 - 3:54GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound53
58.8%
46
41.2%
Q2 - 3:57HeatNemanja Bjelica misses three point jump shot53
57.8%
46
42.2%
Q2 - 4:17GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas turnover (3-second violation)53
54.8%
46
45.2%
Q2 - 4:24GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound53
57.6%
46
42.4%
Q2 - 4:26HeatNemanja Bjelica misses three point stepback jump shot53
56.7%
46
43.3%
Q2 - 4:47GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point pullup jump shot53
54.8%
46
45.2%
Q2 - 5:12HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point running layup (Jimmy Butler assists)51
51.9%
46
48.1%
Q2 - 5:16GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)51
54.0%
44
46.0%
Q2 - 5:24GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound51
57.3%
44
42.7%
Q2 - 5:27HeatNemanja Bjelica misses three point jump shot51
56.3%
44
43.7%
Q2 - 5:33HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound51
54.1%
44
45.9%
Q2 - 5:39GrizzliesGrayson Allen misses three point pullup jump shot51
55.1%
44
44.9%
Q2 - 5:43HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Tyus Jones steals)51
57.3%
44
42.7%
Q2 - 5:58GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Grayson Allen assists)51
54.1%
44
45.9%
Q2 - 6:12HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving floating jump shot48
48.9%
44
51.1%
Q2 - 6:29HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound48
50.9%
42
49.1%
Q2 - 6:33GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot48
52.0%
42
48.0%
Q2 - 6:41HeatNemanja Bjelica personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)48
54.3%
42
45.7%
Q2 - 6:46HeatNemanja Bjelica personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)48
54.3%
42
45.7%
Q2 - 6:54GrizzliesJohn Konchar defensive rebound48
54.3%
42
45.7%
Q2 - 6:58HeatJimmy Butler misses regular free throw 2 of 248
53.8%
42
46.2%
Q2 - 6:58HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 248
51.9%
42
48.1%
Q2 - 6:58GrizzliesKyle Anderson shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)48
52.3%
41
47.7%
Q2 - 7:13GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes two point bank jump shot (John Konchar assists)48
53.3%
41
46.7%
Q2 - 7:38HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point running layup (Andre Iguodala assists)46
50.9%
41
49.1%
Q2 - 7:44HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound46
53.3%
39
46.7%
Q2 - 7:44GrizzliesAndre Iguodala blocks Xavier Tillman's two point fadeaway jump shot46
54.1%
39
45.9%
Q2 - 8:05GrizzliesTyus Jones defensive rebound46
55.6%
39
44.4%
Q2 - 8:11HeatGoran Dragic misses three point pullup jump shot46
54.8%
39
45.2%
Q2 - 8:31HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
52.9%
39
47.1%
Q2 - 8:36GrizzliesJohn Konchar misses three point jump shot46
53.8%
39
46.2%
Q2 - 8:53GrizzliesKillian Tillie defensive rebound46
55.6%
39
44.4%
Q2 - 8:56HeatTyler Herro misses three point stepback jump shot46
54.8%
39
45.2%
Q2 - 9:15GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes three point jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)46
52.3%
39
47.7%
Q2 - 9:24HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Desmond Bane steals)43
47.4%
39
52.6%
Q2 - 9:28HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound43
44.8%
39
55.2%
Q2 - 9:32GrizzliesKillian Tillie misses three point jump shot43
45.6%
39
54.4%
Q2 - 9:41HeatTyler Herro makes two point layup (Bam Adebayo assists)43
47.4%
39
52.6%
Q2 - 9:42HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound43
49.8%
37
50.2%
Q2 - 9:48HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot43
51.6%
37
48.4%
Q2 - 10:05GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (Killian Tillie assists)43
49.5%
37
50.5%
Q2 - 10:22HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)40
44.8%
37
55.2%
Q2 - 10:44GrizzliesKillian Tillie makes three point jump shot (John Konchar assists)40
49.5%
34
50.5%
Q2 - 11:00HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)37
44.8%
34
55.2%
Q2 - 11:01HeatHeat offensive rebound37
42.0%
34
58.0%
Q2 - 11:02HeatDesmond Bane blocks Victor Oladipo's two point jump shot37
43.5%
34
56.5%
Q2 - 11:24HeatHeat defensive rebound37
42.0%
34
58.0%
Q2 - 11:25GrizzliesTyus Jones misses three point jump shot37
42.7%
34
57.3%
Q2 - 11:33GrizzliesTyus Jones offensive rebound37
44.2%
34
55.8%
Q2 - 11:37GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses three point jump shot37
42.7%
34
57.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.37
44.2%
34
55.8%
Q1 - 0:00.3GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound37
43.5%
34
56.5%
Q1 - 0:01.6HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot37
43.0%
34
57.0%
Q1 - 0:06.2GrizzliesJohn Konchar makes three point jump shot (Tyus Jones assists)37
41.7%
34
58.3%
Q1 - 0:27.8HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball) (John Konchar steals)34
36.8%
34
63.2%
Q1 - 0:44.3GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes two point finger roll layup34
35.2%
34
64.8%
Q1 - 0:57.1HeatVictor Oladipo makes regular free throw 2 of 232
32.6%
34
67.4%
Q1 - 0:57.1HeatVictor Oladipo misses regular free throw 1 of 232
33.0%
33
67.0%
Q1 - 0:57.1GrizzliesJohn Konchar shooting foul (Victor Oladipo draws the foul)32
31.4%
33
68.6%
Q1 - 1:04GrizzliesDesmond Bane makes three point jump shot (John Konchar assists)32
33.2%
33
66.8%
Q1 - 1:23HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Victor Oladipo assists)29
28.8%
33
71.2%
Q1 - 1:45GrizzliesXavier Tillman makes two point floating jump shot (Desmond Bane assists)29
33.2%
30
66.8%
Q1 - 1:53GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound27
30.7%
30
69.3%
Q1 - 1:56HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot27
30.3%
30
69.7%
Q1 - 2:14HeatVictor Oladipo defensive rebound27
29.2%
30
70.8%
Q1 - 2:18GrizzliesKillian Tillie misses three point jump shot27
29.7%
30
70.3%
Q1 - 2:38GrizzliesDesmond Bane defensive rebound27
31.0%
30
69.0%
Q1 - 2:41HeatTyler Herro misses regular free throw 2 of 227
30.7%
30
69.3%
Q1 - 2:41HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 227
29.3%
30
70.7%
Q1 - 2:41GrizzliesDesmond Bane shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)27
29.6%
29
70.4%
Q1 - 2:50HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound27
31.1%
29
68.9%
Q1 - 2:54GrizzliesDesmond Bane misses two point driving layup27
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q1 - 3:18HeatGoran Dragic turnover (lost ball) (Xavier Tillman steals)27
32.9%
29
67.1%
Q1 - 3:24GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Nemanja Bjelica steals)27
30.7%
29
69.3%
Q1 - 3:37HeatNemanja Bjelica makes two point driving floating jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)27
32.9%
29
67.1%
Q1 - 3:52GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 127
34.6%
27
65.4%
Q1 - 3:52HeatTrevor Ariza shooting foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)26
34.2%
27
65.8%
Q1 - 3:59GrizzliesJa Morant defensive rebound24
31.0%
27
69.0%
Q1 - 4:02HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot24
30.5%
27
69.5%
Q1 - 4:15GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point alley-oop layup (Kyle Anderson assists)24
29.1%
27
70.9%
Q1 - 4:27HeatTyler Herro makes two point pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)22
27.6%
27
72.4%
Q1 - 4:43HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound22
29.0%
25
71.0%
Q1 - 4:43GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point pullup jump shot22
29.7%
25
70.3%
Q1 - 4:45GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound22
31.1%
25
68.9%
Q1 - 4:47HeatBam Adebayo misses two point bank jump shot22
30.5%
25
69.5%
Q1 - 4:58GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes two point driving floating jump shot22
29.0%
25
71.0%
Q1 - 5:09HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving bank jump shot20
27.8%
25
72.2%
Q1 - 5:27GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 220
29.3%
23
70.7%
Q1 - 5:27GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 219
29.0%
23
71.0%
Q1 - 5:27HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)18
28.6%
23
71.4%
Q1 - 5:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot18
27.8%
23
72.2%
Q1 - 5:56GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes three point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)18
29.3%
21
70.7%
Q1 - 6:15HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)15
26.2%
21
73.8%
Q1 - 6:28HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound15
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 6:34GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas misses two point floating jump shot15
29.9%
18
70.1%
Q1 - 6:37GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound15
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q1 - 6:37GrizzliesTyler Herro blocks Grayson Allen's three point jump shot15
29.9%
18
70.1%
Q1 - 6:40GrizzliesGrizzlies offensive rebound15
31.0%
18
69.0%
Q1 - 6:41GrizzliesJa Morant misses regular free throw 2 of 215
29.6%
18
70.4%
Q1 - 6:41GrizzliesJa Morant makes regular free throw 1 of 215
30.8%
18
69.2%
Q1 - 6:41HeatTyler Herro shooting foul (Ja Morant draws the foul)14
30.4%
18
69.6%
Q1 - 6:58HeatVictor Oladipo makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)14
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 7:03HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound14
32.6%
15
67.4%
Q1 - 7:06GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses three point jump shot14
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 7:13HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)14
34.4%
15
65.6%
Q1 - 7:30GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 2 of 214
36.0%
13
64.0%
Q1 - 7:30GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 213
35.7%
13
64.3%
Q1 - 7:30HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Jonas Valanciunas draws the foul)12
35.3%
13
64.7%
Q1 - 7:37GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound12
34.4%
13
65.6%
Q1 - 7:40HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point jump shot12
33.9%
13
66.1%
Q1 - 7:49GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 2 of 212
32.6%
13
67.4%
Q1 - 7:49GrizzliesKyle Anderson misses regular free throw 1 of 211
32.2%
13
67.8%
Q1 - 7:49HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)11
33.4%
13
66.6%
Q1 - 8:02GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound11
32.8%
13
67.2%
Q1 - 8:05HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 111
32.5%
13
67.5%
Q1 - 8:05GrizzliesDillon Brooks shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)11
31.5%
13
68.5%
Q1 - 8:07HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound11
34.2%
11
65.8%
Q1 - 8:11GrizzliesJa Morant misses three point jump shot11
34.8%
11
65.2%
Q1 - 8:21GrizzliesKyle Anderson defensive rebound11
36.2%
11
63.8%
Q1 - 8:24HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point layup11
35.6%
11
64.4%
Q1 - 8:38GrizzliesKyle Anderson makes regular free throw 1 of 111
34.2%
11
65.8%
Q1 - 8:38HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Kyle Anderson draws the foul)10
33.8%
11
66.2%
Q1 - 8:38GrizzliesKyle Anderson offensive rebound8
31.2%
11
68.8%
Q1 - 8:39GrizzliesDillon Brooks misses three point jump shot8
29.9%
11
70.1%
Q1 - 8:46HeatVictor Oladipo turnover (lost ball) (Kyle Anderson steals)8
31.2%
11
68.8%
Q1 - 8:50GrizzliesKyle Anderson turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)8
29.3%
11
70.7%
Q1 - 9:11HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Trevor Ariza assists)8
31.1%
11
68.9%
Q1 - 9:16GrizzliesJa Morant turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)8
32.4%
9
67.6%
Q1 - 9:32HeatVictor Oladipo makes two point driving layup (Trevor Ariza assists)8
34.5%
9
65.5%
Q1 - 9:43GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point cutting layup (Grayson Allen assists)8
35.8%
7
64.2%
Q1 - 9:57HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)6
34.5%
7
65.5%
Q1 - 10:12GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point jump shot (Ja Morant assists)6
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 10:19GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound4
34.2%
5
65.8%
Q1 - 10:22HeatVictor Oladipo misses two point pullup jump shot4
33.6%
5
66.4%
Q1 - 10:33GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas makes two point hook shot (Ja Morant assists)4
32.3%
5
67.7%
Q1 - 10:50HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)2
30.9%
5
69.1%
Q1 - 11:00GrizzliesDillon Brooks makes two point pullup jump shot (Ja Morant assists)2
34.0%
2
66.0%
Q1 - 11:09GrizzliesJonas Valanciunas defensive rebound0
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 11:12HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot0
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 11:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound0
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 11:26GrizzliesGrayson Allen misses three point jump shot0
31.1%
2
68.9%
Q1 - 11:40HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Trevor Ariza assists)0
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 12:00Jonas Valanciunas vs. Bam Adebayo (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
33.9%
0
66.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.33 66.7%
MIA
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MEM
17
21
81%
MIA
18
25
72%
Midrange
MEM
12
22
55%
MIA
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MEM
17
25.5
41
41%
62%
MIA
13
19.5
33
39%
59%
Free Throws
MEM
15
20
75%
MIA
11
18
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MEM logo Grizzlies
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Brooks2882%14.0 / 17
J. Valančiūnas2091%10.0 / 11
K. Anderson1979%9.5 / 12
D. Bane1563%7.5 / 12
X. Tillman1179%5.5 / 7
J. Morant1045%5.0 / 11
G. Allen844%4.0 / 9
J. Konchar563%2.5 / 4
K. Tillie542%2.5 / 6
T. Jones375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2882%14.0 / 17
T. Herro1986%9.5 / 11
B. Adebayo1860%9.0 / 15
V. Oladipo1650%8.0 / 16
D. Robinson1488%7.0 / 8
G. Dragic956%4.5 / 8
N. Bjelica440%2.0 / 5
T. Ariza217%1.0 / 6
P. Achiuwa2100%1.0 / 1
A. Iguodala0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MEM
82
+11
-13
93
MIA
84
+10
-12
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MEM
1.33 66.7%
MIA
1.19 59.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.1
111.1
MEM 130.5 +13.9
MIA 116.7
Pace
100.3
96.7
MEM 96.2 +1.4
MIA 94.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
14.7
MEM 15.0 +0.2
MIA 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.8%
54.6%
MEM 64.9% +3.3%
MIA 61.6%
TO %
12.6%
13.7%
MEM 13.1% +0.4%
MIA 13.5%
ORB %
24.2%
19.4%
MEM 24.3% +6.8%
MIA 17.5%
FTrt
23.3
25.2
MEM 23.8 +1.8
MIA 22.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.8%
67.1%
MEM 65.2%
MIA 77.3% +12.1%
STL %
9.0%
8.2%
MEM 11.6% +2.2%
MIA 9.4%
BLK %
9.4%
8.5%
MEM 4.1%
MIA 9.3% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
56.5%
MEM 66.7% +7.1%
MIA 59.6%
Rim FG%
60.7%
64.8%
MEM 81.0% +9.0%
MIA 72.0%
Mid FG%
44.0%
41.8%
MEM 54.5% +0.3%
MIA 54.2%
3P %
35.6%
35.8%
MEM 41.5% +2.1%
MIA 39.4%
FT %
77.1%
79.0%
MEM 75.0% +13.9%
MIA 61.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
33.3%
MEM 25.0%
MIA 30.5% +5.5%
Mid Att. %
32.3%
23.5%
MEM 26.2% +3.1%
MIA 29.3%
3P Att. %
34.2%
43.2%
MEM 48.8% +8.6%
MIA 40.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMEMMIA
Possessions9596
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points124112
Rebounds4235
Assists3034
Steals119
Blocks24
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)12 (2)
Fouls1316
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (0)28 (2)
Field Goals46-8444-82
At-the-Rim FG17-2118-25
Midrange FG12-2213-24
2-Point FG29-4331-49
3-Point FG17-4113-33
Free Throws15-2011-18
Fast Break Pts1116
2nd Chance Pts119
Points in Paint5050
Pts off Turnovers2419
Bench Points3934
Biggest Lead196

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#24 · SF · 6'6" 225 · 25
30.9
28
82%
1
2
2
0
0
3
0
1
3-5
60%
5-7
71%
5-9
56%
#1 · PF · 6'9" 230 · 28
30.1
19
79%
8
6
1
0
2
1
2
6
2-3
67%
4-5
80%
3-6
50%
#12 · PG · 6'2" 174 · 22
29.3
10
45%
4
4
1
0
7
1
0
4
4-6
67%
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 29
27.3
20
91%
10
0
1
0
2
2
2
8
5-5
100%
6-8
75%
1-1
100%
#3 · SG · 6'4" 198 · 25
25.4
8
44%
1
3
0
0
0
2
0
1
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
1-5
20%
#22 · SG · 6'5" 215 · 23
22.1
15
63%
3
3
2
1
1
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
3-6
50%
#46 · SG · 6'5" 210 · 25
20.8
5
63%
2
6
2
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
#2 · PF · 6'7" 245 · 22
20.7
11
79%
6
0
1
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
#21 · PG · 6'1" 196 · 25
18.8
3
75%
5
5
1
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-2
50%
#35 · C · 6'10" 220 · 23
13.1
5
42%
2
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
#30 · SF · 6'6" 195 · 24
1.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · PF · 6'11" 240 · 21
DNP - Coach's Decision
#15 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Calf; Soreness
#0 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Leg; Soreness
#13 · C · 6'10" 242 · 22
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Meniscus Surgery Recovery
#7 · SF · 6'7" 225 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Thigh; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
124
67%
42
30
11
2
13
13
9
33
15-20
75%
29-43
67%
17-41
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.