for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, April 14, 2021
FinalWin Prob.pScore
10
Heat
30%104
106
5
Nuggets
70%112
123
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
116.591101.8
DEN logo DEN
136.79082.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.106
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:01.3NuggetsNuggets turnover (shot clock violation)106
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:26.7NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound106
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:28.9HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.5NuggetsBol Bol makes two point pullup jump shot (Markus Howard assists)106
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.7HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point cutting dunk (Max Strus assists)106
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03HeatKZ Okpala defensive rebound104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:06NuggetsMarkus Howard misses three point jump shot104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12NuggetsBol Bol defensive rebound104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27NuggetsBol Bol misses regular free throw 3 of 3104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27NuggetsBol Bol makes regular free throw 2 of 3104
0.1%
121
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27NuggetsBol Bol makes regular free throw 1 of 3104
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 1:27HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Bol Bol draws the foul)104
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving reverse layup104
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:46NuggetsBol Bol makes two point driving floating jump shot102
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:59HeatGabe Vincent makes two point driving finger roll layup102
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound100
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14NuggetsZeke Nnaji misses three point jump shot100
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:36HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup100
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:00NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:03HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11HeatGabe Vincent defensive rebound98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11NuggetsKendrick Nunn blocks Nikola Jokic's two point putback layup98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13NuggetsDewayne Dedmon blocks Nikola Jokic's two point tip layup98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point tip layup98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:14NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:18NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point driving floating jump shot98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound98
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 2 of 298
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 1 of 298
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point alley-oop layup97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:55HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses three point jump shot97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59NuggetsMonte Morris offensive rebound97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01NuggetsDewayne Dedmon blocks Monte Morris's two point driving reverse layup97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 4:26HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point pullup jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)97
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 4:41NuggetsWill Barton makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)95
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58HeatMax Strus misses regular free throw 1 of 195
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:58NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (Max Strus draws the foul)95
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:03NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point driving floating bank jump shot93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27HeatKZ Okpala personal foul (Loose ball) (PJ Dozier draws the foul)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:28HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:45NuggetsAaron Gordon makes three point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)93
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound93
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:03HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot93
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 6:18HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound93
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 6:20NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot93
0.3%
111
99.7%
Q4 - 6:42HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)93
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 6:48HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 6:51NuggetsPJ Dozier misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 290
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 7:09HeatBam Adebayo misses regular free throw 1 of 289
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 7:09NuggetsJaMychal Green shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)89
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 7:22NuggetsJaMychal Green makes regular free throw 1 of 189
0.2%
111
99.8%
Q4 - 7:22HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (JaMychal Green draws the foul)89
0.2%
110
99.8%
Q4 - 7:43HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point driving finger roll layup (Max Strus assists)89
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 7:58HeatHeat offensive rebound87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 8:00HeatJaMychal Green blocks Tyler Herro's two point driving floating jump shot87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 8:04HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound87
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 8:10NuggetsJaMychal Green misses three point jump shot87
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 8:24NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound87
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 8:27HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot87
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 8:48NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)87
0.3%
108
99.7%
Q4 - 9:06HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)87
0.6%
105
99.4%
Q4 - 9:14NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)84
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 9:24NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes three point jump shot (Paul Millsap assists)84
0.4%
105
99.6%
Q4 - 9:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 284
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 9:38HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 283
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 9:38NuggetsJaMychal Green shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)82
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 9:45HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound82
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 9:47NuggetsPJ Dozier misses three point jump shot82
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 10:07HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)82
0.5%
102
99.5%
Q4 - 10:11NuggetsPJ Dozier personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)82
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 10:29NuggetsJaMychal Green makes three point jump shot (PJ Dozier assists)82
0.6%
102
99.4%
Q4 - 10:43HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (JaMychal Green steals)82
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 10:48HeatMax Strus defensive rebound82
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 10:52NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot82
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 10:54NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound82
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 10:54NuggetsAndre Iguodala blocks Paul Millsap's two point driving layup82
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q4 - 10:59NuggetsFacundo Campazzo defensive rebound82
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 11:03HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot82
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 11:18NuggetsPJ Dozier makes three point pullup jump shot82
1.5%
99
98.5%
Q4 - 11:42HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)82
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 11:54NuggetsFacundo Campazzo personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)79
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.79
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q3 - 0:01.9NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes three point stepback jump shot79
1.7%
96
98.3%
Q3 - 0:22.8NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound79
2.6%
93
97.4%
Q3 - 0:25.8HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot79
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q3 - 0:39.7HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound79
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q3 - 0:41.9NuggetsPJ Dozier misses two point driving floating jump shot79
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q3 - 0:49.2HeatGabe Vincent personal foul (PJ Dozier draws the foul)79
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q3 - 1:09HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 2 of 279
2.9%
93
97.1%
Q3 - 1:09HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes regular free throw 1 of 278
2.7%
93
97.3%
Q3 - 1:09NuggetsNikola Jokic shooting foul (Precious Achiuwa draws the foul)77
2.5%
93
97.5%
Q3 - 1:23HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound77
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q3 - 1:26NuggetsFacundo Campazzo misses three point bank jump shot77
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q3 - 1:32NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound77
2.0%
93
98.0%
Q3 - 1:33HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround jump shot77
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q3 - 1:53NuggetsFacundo Campazzo makes two point running finger roll layup (PJ Dozier assists)77
2.4%
93
97.6%
Q3 - 1:56HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (PJ Dozier steals)77
2.8%
91
97.2%
Q3 - 2:20NuggetsJaMychal Green makes three point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)77
4.0%
91
96.0%
Q3 - 2:41HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)77
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q3 - 2:54HeatPrecious Achiuwa defensive rebound75
4.7%
88
95.3%
Q3 - 2:56NuggetsMax Strus blocks JaMychal Green's two point cutting layup75
4.4%
88
95.6%
Q3 - 3:23HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point alley-oop layup (Jimmy Butler assists)75
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q3 - 3:38NuggetsPJ Dozier makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)73
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 3:53HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)73
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q3 - 4:09NuggetsPJ Dozier makes two point reverse layup (Nikola Jokic assists)70
4.0%
85
96.0%
Q3 - 4:18NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound70
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 4:20HeatNikola Jokic blocks Jimmy Butler's two point layup70
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q3 - 4:40NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point driving reverse layup70
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q3 - 4:46NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound70
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q3 - 4:50NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot70
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q3 - 4:52NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound70
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q3 - 4:54NuggetsWill Barton misses two point running layup70
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q3 - 4:58HeatTrevor Ariza turnover (bad pass) (PJ Dozier steals)70
6.2%
81
93.8%
Q3 - 5:04HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound70
7.9%
81
92.1%
Q3 - 5:08NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point fadeaway jump shot70
7.5%
81
92.5%
Q3 - 5:23HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (PJ Dozier draws the foul)70
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q3 - 5:39HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)70
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q3 - 5:58NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point putback layup68
5.8%
81
94.2%
Q3 - 5:59NuggetsMonte Morris offensive rebound68
6.7%
79
93.3%
Q3 - 5:59NuggetsMonte Morris misses two point layup68
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q3 - 6:06NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound68
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q3 - 6:08HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point stepback jump shot68
7.3%
79
92.7%
Q3 - 6:23NuggetsNikola Jokic personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)68
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q3 - 6:28NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point layup (Nikola Jokic assists)68
8.2%
79
91.8%
Q3 - 6:43HeatJimmy Butler makes two point tip dunk68
9.3%
77
90.7%
Q3 - 6:43HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound66
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 6:48HeatBam Adebayo misses two point turnaround hook shot66
7.3%
77
92.7%
Q3 - 7:02NuggetsWill Barton makes three point running jump shot (Monte Morris assists)66
8.5%
77
91.5%
Q3 - 7:04NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound66
10.8%
74
89.2%
Q3 - 7:06HeatMichael Porter Jr. blocks Jimmy Butler's two point driving layup66
11.3%
74
88.7%
Q3 - 7:23NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 266
12.6%
74
87.4%
Q3 - 7:23NuggetsNikola Jokic misses regular free throw 1 of 266
12.8%
73
87.2%
Q3 - 7:23HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)66
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q3 - 7:44HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)66
12.3%
73
87.7%
Q3 - 7:48NuggetsAaron Gordon turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)64
11.0%
73
89.0%
Q3 - 8:04HeatBam Adebayo turnover (lost ball) (Nikola Jokic steals)64
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 8:15NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point tip dunk64
11.2%
73
88.8%
Q3 - 8:15NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound64
12.5%
71
87.5%
Q3 - 8:19NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses two point reverse layup64
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 264
12.5%
71
87.5%
Q3 - 8:39HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 263
12.2%
71
87.8%
Q3 - 8:39NuggetsAaron Gordon shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)62
11.8%
71
88.2%
Q3 - 8:48HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound62
11.2%
71
88.8%
Q3 - 8:52NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point stepback jump shot62
10.7%
71
89.3%
Q3 - 9:07HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)62
9.8%
71
90.2%
Q3 - 9:16NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 159
7.7%
71
92.3%
Q3 - 9:16HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)59
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q3 - 9:35HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point cutting layup (Duncan Robinson assists)59
9.8%
68
90.2%
Q3 - 9:56NuggetsMonte Morris makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)57
8.7%
68
91.3%
Q3 - 10:17HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Trevor Ariza assists)57
11.2%
65
88.8%
Q3 - 10:34NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Will Barton assists)55
10.1%
65
89.9%
Q3 - 11:02HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point stepback jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)55
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 11:23NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)52
9.0%
63
91.0%
Q3 - 11:40HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point fadeaway jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)52
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q3 - 11:44HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound49
9.0%
60
91.0%
Q3 - 11:49NuggetsNikola Jokic misses three point jump shot49
8.7%
60
91.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.49
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)49
7.9%
60
92.1%
Q2 - 0:07.8NuggetsAaron Gordon personal foul (Take) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)46
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q2 - 0:25.4NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 2 of 246
6.4%
60
93.6%
Q2 - 0:25.4NuggetsNikola Jokic makes regular free throw 1 of 246
6.5%
59
93.5%
Q2 - 0:25.4HeatTrevor Ariza shooting foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)46
6.6%
58
93.4%
Q2 - 0:34.9NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound46
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q2 - 0:37.8HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot46
7.6%
58
92.4%
Q2 - 0:55.5NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving finger roll layup46
8.1%
58
91.9%
Q2 - 1:07HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving finger roll layup46
9.9%
56
90.1%
Q2 - 1:16HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound44
8.4%
56
91.6%
Q2 - 1:20NuggetsNikola Jokic misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot44
8.2%
56
91.8%
Q2 - 1:43NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound44
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q2 - 1:46HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point driving layup44
8.0%
56
92.0%
Q2 - 1:51HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound44
8.4%
56
91.6%
Q2 - 1:53NuggetsMonte Morris misses three point jump shot44
8.2%
56
91.8%
Q2 - 1:59NuggetsAaron Gordon defensive rebound44
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q2 - 2:03HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot44
8.3%
56
91.7%
Q2 - 2:13NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point driving layup (Nikola Jokic assists)44
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q2 - 2:25NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound44
10.0%
54
90.0%
Q2 - 2:25NuggetsDuncan Robinson blocks Monte Morris's two point running finger roll layup44
10.8%
54
89.2%
Q2 - 2:28NuggetsNikola Jokic defensive rebound44
10.0%
54
90.0%
Q2 - 2:31HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot44
10.3%
54
89.7%
Q2 - 2:51NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Aaron Gordon assists)44
11.1%
54
88.9%
Q2 - 2:56NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound44
12.4%
52
87.6%
Q2 - 2:56NuggetsBam Adebayo blocks Nikola Jokic's two point layup44
13.3%
52
86.7%
Q2 - 3:11HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)44
12.6%
52
87.4%
Q2 - 3:12HeatTyler Herro offensive rebound41
10.4%
52
89.6%
Q2 - 3:15HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot41
9.6%
52
90.4%
Q2 - 3:28NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point fadeaway jump shot41
10.4%
52
89.6%
Q2 - 3:51NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound41
11.4%
50
88.6%
Q2 - 3:54HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot41
11.8%
50
88.2%
Q2 - 4:03NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 241
12.9%
50
87.1%
Q2 - 4:03NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 241
13.2%
49
86.8%
Q2 - 4:03HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Michael Porter Jr. draws the foul)41
13.4%
48
86.6%
Q2 - 4:06NuggetsMonte Morris defensive rebound41
14.2%
48
85.8%
Q2 - 4:09HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot41
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q2 - 4:11HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound41
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 4:12NuggetsAaron Gordon misses two point tip layup41
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 4:12NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound41
14.2%
48
85.8%
Q2 - 4:21NuggetsPJ Dozier misses three point jump shot41
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 4:28NuggetsPJ Dozier defensive rebound41
14.2%
48
85.8%
Q2 - 4:31HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot41
14.6%
48
85.4%
Q2 - 4:44NuggetsMonte Morris makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)41
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 4:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround hook shot41
17.1%
46
82.9%
Q2 - 5:07NuggetsPJ Dozier makes two point pullup jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)39
15.8%
46
84.2%
Q2 - 5:20HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Nikola Jokic draws the foul)39
17.0%
44
83.0%
Q2 - 5:24NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound39
17.0%
44
83.0%
Q2 - 5:25HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop layup39
17.5%
44
82.5%
Q2 - 5:45NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot39
18.9%
44
81.1%
Q2 - 6:02NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound39
20.2%
42
79.8%
Q2 - 6:05HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot39
20.8%
42
79.2%
Q2 - 6:30NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes three point pullup jump shot39
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q2 - 6:40NuggetsPJ Dozier defensive rebound39
25.9%
39
74.1%
Q2 - 6:42HeatJimmy Butler misses two point floating jump shot39
26.7%
39
73.3%
Q2 - 6:54HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound39
28.5%
39
71.5%
Q2 - 6:59NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot39
27.7%
39
72.3%
Q2 - 7:13NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound39
26.0%
39
74.0%
Q2 - 7:16NuggetsPaul Millsap misses three point jump shot39
27.5%
39
72.5%
Q2 - 7:31NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound39
26.0%
39
74.0%
Q2 - 7:34HeatTyler Herro misses two point turnaround jump shot39
26.7%
39
73.3%
Q2 - 7:48NuggetsPJ Dozier makes two point driving layup39
28.2%
39
71.8%
Q2 - 8:02NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound39
30.2%
37
69.8%
Q2 - 8:07HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot39
30.8%
37
69.2%
Q2 - 8:21NuggetsPaul Millsap personal foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)39
32.4%
37
67.6%
Q2 - 8:38NuggetsPaul Millsap makes two point cutting layup (Facundo Campazzo assists)39
32.4%
37
67.6%
Q2 - 8:51HeatJimmy Butler makes two point running dunk39
34.6%
35
65.4%
Q2 - 8:53NuggetsPJ Dozier turnover (bad pass) (Jimmy Butler steals)37
32.4%
35
67.6%
Q2 - 9:06HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)37
29.8%
35
70.2%
Q2 - 9:17NuggetsJaMychal Green makes three point jump shot (Paul Millsap assists)34
26.0%
35
74.0%
Q2 - 9:31HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 134
29.9%
32
70.1%
Q2 - 9:31NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)33
29.6%
32
70.4%
Q2 - 9:33HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound31
26.0%
32
74.0%
Q2 - 9:35NuggetsPaul Millsap misses two point driving layup31
25.3%
32
74.7%
Q2 - 9:41NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound31
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 9:44HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot31
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q2 - 10:02NuggetsJaMychal Green turnover (offensive foul)31
26.0%
32
74.0%
Q2 - 10:02NuggetsJaMychal Green offensive foul (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)31
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 10:10NuggetsWill Barton defensive rebound31
24.0%
32
76.0%
Q2 - 10:13HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot31
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q2 - 10:20HeatHeat offensive rebound31
26.0%
32
74.0%
Q2 - 10:21HeatPaul Millsap blocks Bam Adebayo's two point reverse layup31
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q2 - 10:25HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound31
26.0%
32
74.0%
Q2 - 10:28HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot31
24.6%
32
75.4%
Q2 - 10:40NuggetsJaMychal Green makes three point jump shot (PJ Dozier assists)31
26.0%
32
74.0%
Q2 - 10:54NuggetsPaul Millsap defensive rebound31
29.8%
29
70.2%
Q2 - 10:56HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot31
30.5%
29
69.5%
Q2 - 11:10NuggetsWill Barton turnover (offensive foul)31
31.3%
29
68.7%
Q2 - 11:10NuggetsWill Barton offensive foul (Charge) (Gabe Vincent draws the foul)31
29.5%
29
70.5%
Q2 - 11:16HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (PJ Dozier steals)31
29.5%
29
70.5%
Q2 - 11:33NuggetsPJ Dozier makes three point jump shot (Will Barton assists)31
31.3%
29
68.7%
Q2 - 11:44HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Paul Millsap draws the foul)31
35.8%
26
64.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.31
35.8%
26
64.2%
Q1 - 0:01.2NuggetsNuggets offensive rebound31
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q1 - 0:01.2NuggetsWill Barton misses two point finger roll layup31
36.5%
26
63.5%
Q1 - 0:14.5HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup31
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q1 - 0:26.6NuggetsFacundo Campazzo personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)29
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q1 - 0:31.2NuggetsJaMychal Green turnover (lost ball) (Jimmy Butler steals)29
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q1 - 0:54.1HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)29
31.2%
26
68.8%
Q1 - 0:58.2NuggetsFacundo Campazzo turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)29
32.8%
26
67.2%
Q1 - 1:10HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)29
31.3%
26
68.7%
Q1 - 1:32NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point layup26
27.0%
26
73.0%
Q1 - 1:52HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)26
29.3%
24
70.7%
Q1 - 2:16NuggetsJaMychal Green makes two point jump shot (Facundo Campazzo assists)23
25.3%
24
74.7%
Q1 - 2:32HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup (Tyler Herro assists)23
27.1%
22
72.9%
Q1 - 2:48NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point jump shot (PJ Dozier assists)21
25.3%
22
74.7%
Q1 - 3:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 221
27.1%
20
72.9%
Q1 - 3:00HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 220
26.8%
20
73.2%
Q1 - 3:00NuggetsJaMychal Green shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)19
26.4%
20
73.6%
Q1 - 3:15NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot19
25.3%
20
74.7%
Q1 - 3:16NuggetsNikola Jokic offensive rebound19
26.7%
18
73.3%
Q1 - 3:21NuggetsBam Adebayo blocks Nikola Jokic's two point driving floating jump shot19
28.1%
18
71.9%
Q1 - 3:31NuggetsFacundo Campazzo defensive rebound19
26.7%
18
73.3%
Q1 - 3:34HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point layup19
27.3%
18
72.7%
Q1 - 3:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound19
28.7%
18
71.3%
Q1 - 3:47NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. misses three point jump shot19
28.1%
18
71.9%
Q1 - 3:57HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)19
26.7%
18
73.3%
Q1 - 4:06NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound19
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 4:06HeatNikola Jokic blocks Bam Adebayo's two point driving reverse layup19
27.1%
18
72.9%
Q1 - 4:24NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. turnover (out of bounds bad pass)19
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 4:30NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound19
26.5%
18
73.5%
Q1 - 4:33HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot19
27.1%
18
72.9%
Q1 - 4:39NuggetsAaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 219
28.5%
18
71.5%
Q1 - 4:39NuggetsAaron Gordon misses regular free throw 1 of 219
29.0%
17
71.0%
Q1 - 4:39HeatJimmy Butler shooting foul (Aaron Gordon draws the foul)19
27.8%
17
72.2%
Q1 - 4:43NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound19
28.3%
17
71.7%
Q1 - 4:45HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point floating jump shot19
28.9%
17
71.1%
Q1 - 5:06NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point tip dunk19
29.7%
17
70.3%
Q1 - 5:06NuggetsAaron Gordon offensive rebound19
31.3%
15
68.7%
Q1 - 5:11NuggetsWill Barton misses two point pullup jump shot19
32.6%
15
67.4%
Q1 - 5:25NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound19
31.3%
15
68.7%
Q1 - 5:28HeatMichael Porter Jr. blocks Precious Achiuwa's two point reverse layup19
31.9%
15
68.1%
Q1 - 5:55NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)19
33.3%
15
66.7%
Q1 - 6:10HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running finger roll layup (Jimmy Butler assists)19
34.5%
13
65.5%
Q1 - 6:15NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (lost ball) (Kendrick Nunn steals)17
32.6%
13
67.4%
Q1 - 6:39HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point turnaround bank hook shot17
31.0%
13
69.0%
Q1 - 6:57NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point pullup jump shot (Aaron Gordon assists)15
29.3%
13
70.7%
Q1 - 7:14HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Precious Achiuwa assists)15
30.4%
11
69.6%
Q1 - 7:23HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound12
27.4%
11
72.6%
Q1 - 7:26NuggetsWill Barton misses three point jump shot12
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 7:39HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 2 of 212
25.8%
11
74.2%
Q1 - 7:39HeatTrevor Ariza makes regular free throw 1 of 211
25.5%
11
74.5%
Q1 - 7:39NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. shooting foul (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)10
25.2%
11
74.8%
Q1 - 7:51NuggetsAaron Gordon makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Nikola Jokic assists)10
24.5%
11
75.5%
Q1 - 8:06NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. defensive rebound10
25.5%
9
74.5%
Q1 - 8:08HeatBam Adebayo misses two point layup10
26.1%
9
73.9%
Q1 - 8:21NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Nikola Jokic assists)10
27.2%
9
72.8%
Q1 - 8:47HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Jimmy Butler assists)10
28.5%
7
71.5%
Q1 - 8:53NuggetsMichael Porter Jr. makes two point stepback jump shot8
27.2%
7
72.8%
Q1 - 9:12HeatBam Adebayo makes two point turnaround bank jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)8
28.4%
5
71.6%
Q1 - 9:27HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound6
27.2%
5
72.8%
Q1 - 9:30NuggetsAaron Gordon misses three point jump shot6
26.7%
5
73.3%
Q1 - 9:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 26
25.5%
5
74.5%
Q1 - 9:47HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 25
25.3%
5
74.7%
Q1 - 9:47NuggetsWill Barton shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)4
25.1%
5
74.9%
Q1 - 9:50NuggetsNikola Jokic turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)4
24.4%
5
75.6%
Q1 - 10:11HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point running dunk4
22.5%
5
77.5%
Q1 - 10:14NuggetsWill Barton turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)2
21.4%
5
78.6%
Q1 - 10:28HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)2
20.0%
5
80.0%
Q1 - 10:48NuggetsNikola Jokic makes three point jump shot (Monte Morris assists)2
21.4%
5
78.6%
Q1 - 11:02HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot (Trevor Ariza assists)2
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 11:17NuggetsNikola Jokic makes two point turnaround hook shot0
22.5%
2
77.5%
Q1 - 11:39NuggetsNuggets defensive rebound0
23.7%
0
76.3%
Q1 - 11:39HeatMichael Porter Jr. blocks Bam Adebayo's two point finger roll layup0
24.1%
0
75.9%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Nikola Jokic (Jimmy Butler gains possession)0
25.2%
0
74.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.6%
DEN
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
31
61%
DEN
17
28
61%
Midrange
MIA
7
16
44%
DEN
14
25
56%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
13
19.5
32
41%
61%
DEN
17
25.5
36
47%
71%
Free Throws
MIA
15
18
83%
DEN
10
13
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Adebayo2153%10.5 / 20
K. Nunn1673%8.0 / 11
J. Butler1372%6.5 / 9
T. Ariza1381%6.5 / 8
D. Robinson975%4.5 / 6
G. Vincent880%4.0 / 5
M. Strus880%4.0 / 5
P. Achiuwa675%3.0 / 4
T. Herro525%2.5 / 10
A. Iguodala450%2.0 / 4
D. Dedmon330%1.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Porter2583%12.5 / 15
N. Jokić1753%8.5 / 16
J. Green17106%8.5 / 8
A. Gordon1667%8.0 / 12
P. Dozier1575%7.5 / 10
M. Morris1155%5.5 / 10
F. Campazzo880%4.0 / 5
W. Barton638%3.0 / 8
B. Bol6100%3.0 / 3
P. Millsap220%1.0 / 5
Z. Nnaji0-0.0 / 1
M. Howard0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+6
-8
89
DEN
80
+16
-10
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.6%
DEN
1.27 63.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
116.8
MIA 116.5
DEN 136.7 +20.2
Pace
96.7
97.4
MIA 101.8 +19.3
DEN 82.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
15.1
MIA 14.1 +3.3
DEN 17.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
55.7%
MIA 57.6%
DEN 63.5% +5.9%
TO %
13.7%
13.0%
MIA 8.4% +2.0%
DEN 10.4%
ORB %
19.4%
24.8%
MIA 11.1%
DEN 29.7% +18.6%
FTrt
25.2
21.9
MIA 22.8 +8.2
DEN 14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
62.1%
MIA 74.4% +7.7%
DEN 66.7%
STL %
8.2%
8.2%
MIA 7.7% +2.1%
DEN 5.6%
BLK %
8.5%
9.0%
MIA 15.1% +0.2%
DEN 14.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
57.5%
MIA 59.6%
DEN 63.4% +3.8%
Rim FG%
64.8%
63.9%
MIA 61.3% +0.6%
DEN 60.7%
Mid FG%
41.8%
44.9%
MIA 43.8%
DEN 56.0% +12.2%
3P %
35.8%
37.7%
MIA 40.6%
DEN 47.2% +6.6%
FT %
79.0%
80.3%
MIA 83.3% +6.4%
DEN 76.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
33.5%
MIA 39.2% +7.8%
DEN 31.5%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
28.2%
MIA 20.3% +7.8%
DEN 28.1%
3P Att. %
43.2%
38.3%
MIA 40.5% +0.1%
DEN 40.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes21.526.2
Points106123
Rebounds3043
Assists2932
Steals75
Blocks87
Turnovers (Team)8 (0)10 (1)
Fouls1319
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (2)11 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (0)32 (4)
Field Goals39-7948-89
At-the-Rim FG19-3117-28
Midrange FG7-1614-25
2-Point FG26-4731-53
3-Point FG13-3217-36
Free Throws15-1810-13
Fast Break Pts177
2nd Chance Pts814
Points in Paint4846
Pts off Turnovers127
Bench Points3448
Biggest Lead622

BOXSCORE

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10 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
30.3
21
53%
6
2
2
2
6
1
1
5
7-8
88%
7-16
44%
0-0
-
Kendrick Nunn
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26
28.6
16
73%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
5-5
100%
2-6
33%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
27.6
13
72%
3
9
3
0
1
1
1
2
3-3
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
#8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36
24.8
13
81%
1
2
1
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
3-3
100%
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27
24.2
9
75%
1
3
0
1
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-6
50%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
26.6
5
25%
4
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-5
20%
1-5
20%
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
19.6
8
80%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
Max Strus
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25
17.4
8
80%
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
2-4
50%
Andre Iguodala
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37
16.9
4
50%
1
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
Precious Achiuwa
#5 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
11.4
6
75%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
KZ Okpala
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22
6.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
6.2
3
30%
5
1
0
2
0
1
1
4
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
DND - Injury/Illness | lower back spasms; & R Knee - Injury Recovery
Nemanja Bjelica
#70 · PF · 6'10" 230 · 33
DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Knee; Soreness
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
106
60%
30
29
7
8
8
13
4
26
15-18
83%
26-47
55%
13-32
41%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.