FinalWin Prob.pScore
2149%103
125
2651%104
81
ORTG#PossPace
NYK logo NYK
138.99088.8
DET logo DET
89.09192.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsKnicksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNYKDET
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.125
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:15.9PistonsDeividas Sirvydis makes three point stepback jump shot (Saben Lee assists)125
100%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:27.4KnicksKevin Knox II makes three point jump shot (Frank Ntilikina assists)125
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.8KnicksNorvel Pelle defensive rebound122
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:36.6PistonsNorvel Pelle blocks Isaiah Stewart's two point putback layup122
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.3PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound122
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:38.3PistonsNorvel Pelle blocks Isaiah Stewart's two point layup122
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.2KnicksNorvel Pelle makes regular free throw 2 of 2122
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.2KnicksNorvel Pelle misses regular free throw 1 of 2121
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:47.2PistonsSaben Lee shooting foul (Norvel Pelle draws the foul)121
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:56.7KnicksFrank Ntilikina defensive rebound121
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.9PistonsTyler Cook misses regular free throw 2 of 2121
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.9PistonsTyler Cook makes regular free throw 1 of 2121
99.9%
78
0.1%
Q4 - 0:59.9KnicksKevin Knox II shooting foul (Tyler Cook draws the foul)121
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:11PistonsDeividas Sirvydis defensive rebound121
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13KnicksJared Harper misses two point driving floating jump shot121
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:19KnicksNorvel Pelle defensive rebound121
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22PistonsDeividas Sirvydis misses three point jump shot121
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:35PistonsSaben Lee defensive rebound121
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:38KnicksTheo Pinson misses three point jump shot121
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:52KnicksKevin Knox II defensive rebound121
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:53PistonsSaben Lee misses two point driving layup121
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:59KnicksTheo Pinson personal foul (Take) (Frank Jackson draws the foul)121
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:03KnicksObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Kevin Knox II assists)121
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:12KnicksNorvel Pelle defensive rebound118
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:16PistonsDeividas Sirvydis misses three point jump shot118
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26KnicksFrank Ntilikina makes regular free throw 2 of 2118
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26KnicksFrank Ntilikina misses regular free throw 1 of 2117
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26PistonsFrank Jackson personal foul (Frank Ntilikina draws the foul)117
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26PistonsSaben Lee turnover (bad pass) (Frank Ntilikina steals)117
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:44KnicksKevin Knox II makes three point pullup jump shot (Immanuel Quickley assists)117
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53PistonsHamidou Diallo turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Rose steals)114
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:12KnicksKevin Knox II makes three point jump shot (Derrick Rose assists)114
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:14KnicksTaj Gibson defensive rebound111
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:17PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses two point jump shot111
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:38KnicksTaj Gibson makes two point jump shot (Obi Toppin assists)111
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 3:59PistonsFrank Jackson makes two point cutting dunk (Saben Lee assists)109
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 4:17PistonsTyler Cook defensive rebound109
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:20KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot109
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 4:41PistonsFrank Jackson makes three point jump shot (Saben Lee assists)109
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 3 of 3109
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 3108
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 3107
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:03PistonsHamidou Diallo shooting foul (Immanuel Quickley draws the foul)106
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13KnicksImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound106
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:16PistonsFrank Jackson misses three point jump shot106
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:21PistonsJerami Grant defensive rebound106
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:23KnicksObi Toppin misses two point pullup jump shot106
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:39PistonsKillian Hayes turnover (out of bounds bad pass)106
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:48KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes two point driving layup106
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 5:57KnicksTaj Gibson defensive rebound104
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:00PistonsFrank Jackson misses three point jump shot104
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:18KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes two point running layup104
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:23PistonsJerami Grant turnover (bad pass) (Derrick Rose steals)102
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:38KnicksDerrick Rose makes two point driving floating jump shot (Taj Gibson assists)102
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:46KnicksTaj Gibson offensive rebound100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:48KnicksJerami Grant blocks Obi Toppin's two point cutting dunk100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:49KnicksKnicks offensive rebound100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 6:49KnicksJerami Grant blocks Immanuel Quickley's two point driving layup100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 7:01KnicksAlec Burks defensive rebound100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 7:04PistonsHamidou Diallo misses three point jump shot100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 7:20KnicksObi Toppin makes two point driving layup (Alec Burks assists)100
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 7:39PistonsJerami Grant makes three point jump shot (Hamidou Diallo assists)98
99.9%
72
0.1%
Q4 - 7:58KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 2 of 298
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 7:58KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes regular free throw 1 of 297
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 7:58PistonsIsaiah Stewart shooting foul (Immanuel Quickley draws the foul)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 8:15PistonsHamidou Diallo makes three point jump shot (Killian Hayes assists)96
99.9%
69
0.1%
Q4 - 8:28KnicksAlec Burks personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)96
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 8:45KnicksDerrick Rose makes two point cutting layup (Immanuel Quickley assists)96
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 9:05PistonsHamidou Diallo makes three point jump shot (Wayne Ellington assists)94
99.9%
66
0.1%
Q4 - 9:23KnicksObi Toppin makes three point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)94
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:44PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point jump shot (Wayne Ellington assists)91
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 9:51PistonsWayne Ellington defensive rebound91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 9:54KnicksObi Toppin misses three point jump shot91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:02PistonsHamidou Diallo personal foul (Taj Gibson draws the foul)91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:12KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:13PistonsTaj Gibson blocks Hamidou Diallo's two point putback layup91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:14PistonsHamidou Diallo offensive rebound91
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 10:16PistonsIsaiah Stewart misses two point tip layup91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:17PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:18PistonsHamidou Diallo misses two point driving layup91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:21PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:24KnicksDerrick Rose misses three point pullup jump shot91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:30KnicksAlec Burks defensive rebound91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:33PistonsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot91
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:59KnicksTaj Gibson makes regular free throw 1 of 191
99.9%
61
0.1%
Q4 - 10:59PistonsJerami Grant shooting foul (Taj Gibson draws the foul)90
99.8%
61
0.2%
Q4 - 11:21PistonsPistons turnover (shot clock violation)88
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q4 - 11:39PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound88
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q4 - 11:43KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses two point driving floating jump shot88
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.88
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0PistonsPistons offensive rebound88
99.6%
61
0.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0PistonsCory Joseph misses two point pullup jump shot88
99.7%
61
0.3%
Q3 - 0:05.6KnicksReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)88
99.5%
61
0.5%
Q3 - 0:27.3PistonsCory Joseph turnover (bad pass) (RJ Barrett steals)85
99.2%
61
0.8%
Q3 - 0:36.9KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 285
99.1%
61
0.9%
Q3 - 0:36.9KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 284
99.0%
61
1.0%
Q3 - 0:36.9PistonsSaddiq Bey shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)83
99.0%
61
1.0%
Q3 - 0:42.0KnicksReggie Bullock defensive rebound83
98.9%
61
1.1%
Q3 - 0:44.7PistonsSaddiq Bey misses two point fadeaway jump shot83
98.8%
61
1.2%
Q3 - 1:04PistonsHamidou Diallo defensive rebound83
98.3%
61
1.7%
Q3 - 1:06KnicksDerrick Rose misses three point jump shot83
98.4%
61
1.6%
Q3 - 1:34PistonsSaddiq Bey makes three point jump shot (Cory Joseph assists)83
98.6%
61
1.4%
Q3 - 1:48PistonsCory Joseph offensive rebound83
99.0%
58
1.0%
Q3 - 1:50PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot83
99.2%
58
0.8%
Q3 - 2:07PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound83
98.7%
58
1.3%
Q3 - 2:10KnicksJulius Randle misses three point jump shot83
98.8%
58
1.2%
Q3 - 2:25PistonsHamidou Diallo makes regular free throw 2 of 283
99.0%
58
1.0%
Q3 - 2:25PistonsHamidou Diallo makes regular free throw 1 of 283
99.0%
57
1.0%
Q3 - 2:25KnicksElfrid Payton shooting foul (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)83
99.1%
56
0.9%
Q3 - 2:29PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound83
99.1%
56
0.9%
Q3 - 2:31KnicksElfrid Payton misses two point floating jump shot83
99.2%
56
0.8%
Q3 - 2:53KnicksReggie Bullock defensive rebound83
99.3%
56
0.7%
Q3 - 2:56PistonsKillian Hayes misses three point jump shot83
99.2%
56
0.8%
Q3 - 3:20KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point running finger roll layup (Elfrid Payton assists)83
98.9%
56
1.1%
Q3 - 3:23KnicksElfrid Payton defensive rebound81
98.8%
56
1.2%
Q3 - 3:25PistonsJerami Grant misses two point stepback jump shot81
98.7%
56
1.3%
Q3 - 3:46KnicksJulius Randle makes three point jump shot (Elfrid Payton assists)81
98.5%
56
1.5%
Q3 - 4:07PistonsHamidou Diallo makes two point driving layup (Killian Hayes assists)78
97.6%
56
2.4%
Q3 - 4:27KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 2 of 278
97.9%
54
2.1%
Q3 - 4:27KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 277
97.8%
54
2.2%
Q3 - 4:27PistonsMason Plumlee personal foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)76
97.7%
54
2.3%
Q3 - 4:27KnicksKnicks defensive rebound76
97.6%
54
2.4%
Q3 - 4:27PistonsHamidou Diallo misses two point driving reverse layup76
97.5%
54
2.5%
Q3 - 4:38PistonsMason Plumlee defensive rebound76
97.1%
54
2.9%
Q3 - 4:45KnicksJulius Randle misses regular free throw 2 of 276
97.2%
54
2.8%
Q3 - 4:45KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 276
97.5%
54
2.5%
Q3 - 4:45PistonsCory Joseph shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)75
97.4%
54
2.6%
Q3 - 5:03PistonsHamidou Diallo makes two point pullup jump shot (Mason Plumlee assists)75
96.7%
54
3.3%
Q3 - 5:13PistonsHamidou Diallo offensive rebound75
97.2%
52
2.8%
Q3 - 5:15PistonsJosh Jackson misses three point jump shot75
97.5%
52
2.5%
Q3 - 5:35PistonsMason Plumlee defensive rebound75
97.2%
52
2.8%
Q3 - 5:40KnicksRJ Barrett misses regular free throw 2 of 275
97.2%
52
2.8%
Q3 - 5:40KnicksRJ Barrett makes regular free throw 1 of 275
97.5%
52
2.5%
Q3 - 5:40PistonsMason Plumlee personal foul (RJ Barrett draws the foul)74
97.4%
52
2.6%
Q3 - 5:49PistonsCory Joseph turnover (bad pass) (RJ Barrett steals)74
97.2%
52
2.8%
Q3 - 6:01KnicksNerlens Noel personal foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)74
96.3%
52
3.7%
Q3 - 6:01PistonsMason Plumlee offensive rebound74
96.3%
52
3.7%
Q3 - 6:01PistonsJosh Jackson misses two point fadeaway jump shot74
96.7%
52
3.3%
Q3 - 6:20KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 174
96.3%
52
3.7%
Q3 - 6:20PistonsCory Joseph shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)73
96.2%
52
3.8%
Q3 - 6:22PistonsJerami Grant turnover (lost ball) (Nerlens Noel steals)71
95.1%
52
4.9%
Q3 - 6:35KnicksElfrid Payton makes regular free throw 2 of 271
94.3%
52
5.7%
Q3 - 6:35KnicksElfrid Payton makes regular free throw 1 of 270
94.0%
52
6.0%
Q3 - 6:35PistonsMason Plumlee shooting foul (Elfrid Payton draws the foul)69
93.8%
52
6.2%
Q3 - 6:42PistonsSaddiq Bey personal foul (Reggie Bullock draws the foul)69
93.5%
52
6.5%
Q3 - 6:51PistonsSaddiq Bey makes two point driving dunk69
93.5%
52
6.5%
Q3 - 6:59PistonsJerami Grant offensive rebound69
94.3%
50
5.7%
Q3 - 7:01PistonsDennis Smith Jr. misses three point jump shot69
94.4%
50
5.6%
Q3 - 7:19KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup69
93.7%
50
6.3%
Q3 - 7:30PistonsDennis Smith Jr. makes three point stepback jump shot67
92.9%
50
7.1%
Q3 - 7:45KnicksJulius Randle personal foul (Dennis Smith Jr. draws the foul)67
94.6%
47
5.4%
Q3 - 7:45PistonsMason Plumlee defensive rebound67
94.6%
47
5.4%
Q3 - 7:48KnicksMason Plumlee blocks Elfrid Payton's two point driving floating jump shot67
94.8%
47
5.2%
Q3 - 7:54KnicksElfrid Payton defensive rebound67
95.4%
47
4.6%
Q3 - 7:57PistonsJerami Grant misses two point jump shot67
95.1%
47
4.9%
Q3 - 8:06KnicksJulius Randle personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)67
94.1%
47
5.9%
Q3 - 8:19PistonsJosh Jackson defensive rebound67
94.2%
47
5.8%
Q3 - 8:21KnicksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot67
94.4%
47
5.6%
Q3 - 8:27KnicksReggie Bullock defensive rebound67
95.0%
47
5.0%
Q3 - 8:31PistonsRJ Barrett blocks Jerami Grant's two point layup67
94.8%
47
5.2%
Q3 - 8:38PistonsJosh Jackson defensive rebound67
94.2%
47
5.8%
Q3 - 8:43KnicksJulius Randle misses two point jump shot67
94.5%
47
5.5%
Q3 - 9:09PistonsMason Plumlee makes two point running dunk (Jerami Grant assists)67
94.6%
47
5.4%
Q3 - 9:15KnicksElfrid Payton turnover (bad pass) (Dennis Smith Jr. steals)67
95.2%
45
4.8%
Q3 - 9:16KnicksElfrid Payton defensive rebound67
95.9%
45
4.1%
Q3 - 9:19PistonsNerlens Noel blocks Saddiq Bey's two point layup67
95.7%
45
4.3%
Q3 - 9:39KnicksElfrid Payton makes two point jump shot67
95.2%
45
4.8%
Q3 - 9:51PistonsJosh Jackson personal foul (Take) (Nerlens Noel draws the foul)65
94.7%
45
5.3%
Q3 - 9:51PistonsJosh Jackson turnover (lost ball) (Nerlens Noel steals)65
94.7%
45
5.3%
Q3 - 10:15KnicksReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Nerlens Noel assists)65
93.2%
45
6.8%
Q3 - 10:23KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound62
91.5%
45
8.5%
Q3 - 10:26PistonsDennis Smith Jr. misses two point stepback jump shot62
91.1%
45
8.9%
Q3 - 10:38PistonsPistons offensive rebound62
90.1%
45
9.9%
Q3 - 10:39PistonsElfrid Payton blocks Josh Jackson's two point driving layup62
91.1%
45
8.9%
Q3 - 10:44PistonsJerami Grant defensive rebound62
90.1%
45
9.9%
Q3 - 10:47KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point pullup jump shot62
90.6%
45
9.4%
Q3 - 11:04PistonsDennis Smith Jr. makes two point driving layup62
91.0%
45
9.0%
Q3 - 11:18KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point pullup jump shot62
91.9%
43
8.1%
Q3 - 11:42PistonsJerami Grant makes two point driving hook shot60
91.0%
43
9.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.60
92.0%
41
8.0%
Q2 - 0:12.5KnicksJulius Randle turnover (out of bounds bad pass)60
91.5%
41
8.5%
Q2 - 0:30.4PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 2 of 260
92.2%
41
7.8%
Q2 - 0:30.4PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 260
92.4%
40
7.6%
Q2 - 0:30.4PistonsJerami Grant makes technical free throw 1 of 160
93.3%
39
6.7%
Q2 - 0:30.4KnicksJulius Randle technical foul60
93.5%
38
6.5%
Q2 - 0:30.4KnicksJulius Randle personal foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)60
93.4%
38
6.6%
Q2 - 0:34.7PistonsPistons offensive rebound60
94.1%
38
5.9%
Q2 - 0:34.7PistonsFrank Jackson misses two point driving layup60
94.5%
38
5.5%
Q2 - 0:41.9KnicksElfrid Payton makes two point floating jump shot60
94.1%
38
5.9%
Q2 - 0:53.5PistonsJerami Grant makes two point layup (Josh Jackson assists)58
93.1%
38
6.9%
Q2 - 1:11KnicksReggie Bullock makes two point running layup (Elfrid Payton assists)58
93.7%
36
6.3%
Q2 - 1:16PistonsFrank Jackson turnover (bad pass) (Elfrid Payton steals)56
92.5%
36
7.5%
Q2 - 1:17PistonsFrank Jackson offensive rebound56
92.0%
36
8.0%
Q2 - 1:20PistonsCory Joseph misses two point pullup jump shot56
92.4%
36
7.6%
Q2 - 1:32KnicksJulius Randle turnover (out of bounds bad pass)56
92.0%
36
8.0%
Q2 - 1:45PistonsDennis Smith Jr. personal foul (Elfrid Payton draws the foul)56
92.6%
36
7.4%
Q2 - 1:49PistonsDennis Smith Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Reggie Bullock steals)56
92.6%
36
7.4%
Q2 - 1:51PistonsDennis Smith Jr. defensive rebound56
92.0%
36
8.0%
Q2 - 1:53KnicksJulius Randle misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot56
92.2%
36
7.8%
Q2 - 2:06PistonsJosh Jackson makes two point tip layup56
92.0%
36
8.0%
Q2 - 2:10PistonsJosh Jackson offensive rebound56
92.8%
34
7.2%
Q2 - 2:10PistonsJosh Jackson misses two point layup56
93.4%
34
6.6%
Q2 - 2:14KnicksElfrid Payton makes two point putback layup56
92.8%
34
7.2%
Q2 - 2:15KnicksElfrid Payton offensive rebound54
92.0%
34
8.0%
Q2 - 2:20KnicksMason Plumlee blocks Elfrid Payton's two point dunk54
91.4%
34
8.6%
Q2 - 2:23KnicksNerlens Noel offensive rebound54
92.0%
34
8.0%
Q2 - 2:25KnicksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot54
91.4%
34
8.6%
Q2 - 2:46PistonsMason Plumlee makes two point dunk (Dennis Smith Jr. assists)54
92.0%
34
8.0%
Q2 - 2:51PistonsMason Plumlee defensive rebound54
92.9%
32
7.1%
Q2 - 2:53KnicksElfrid Payton misses two point driving layup54
93.1%
32
6.9%
Q2 - 2:58KnicksNerlens Noel offensive rebound54
93.7%
32
6.3%
Q2 - 3:01KnicksRJ Barrett misses two point pullup jump shot54
92.2%
32
7.8%
Q2 - 3:10PistonsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 1 of 154
92.8%
32
7.2%
Q2 - 3:10KnicksNerlens Noel shooting foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)54
93.1%
31
6.9%
Q2 - 3:17PistonsMason Plumlee defensive rebound54
94.2%
29
5.8%
Q2 - 3:20KnicksElfrid Payton misses three point jump shot54
94.4%
29
5.6%
Q2 - 3:38PistonsJosh Jackson makes regular free throw 2 of 254
94.9%
29
5.1%
Q2 - 3:38PistonsJosh Jackson misses regular free throw 1 of 254
95.0%
28
5.0%
Q2 - 3:38KnicksRJ Barrett personal foul (Josh Jackson draws the foul)54
94.6%
28
5.4%
Q2 - 3:45KnicksJulius Randle turnover (traveling)54
94.8%
28
5.2%
Q2 - 4:06PistonsJosh Jackson makes two point pullup jump shot (Jerami Grant assists)54
94.8%
28
5.2%
Q2 - 4:23KnicksImmanuel Quickley makes three point jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)54
95.3%
26
4.7%
Q2 - 4:37KnicksNerlens Noel defensive rebound51
94.3%
26
5.7%
Q2 - 4:40PistonsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot51
94.1%
26
5.9%
Q2 - 4:47KnicksRJ Barrett turnover (bad pass) (Josh Jackson steals)51
93.6%
26
6.4%
Q2 - 5:02PistonsJerami Grant makes three point jump shot (Josh Jackson assists)51
94.0%
26
6.0%
Q2 - 5:07PistonsDennis Smith Jr. defensive rebound51
95.0%
23
5.0%
Q2 - 5:10KnicksJulius Randle misses three point jump shot51
95.2%
23
4.8%
Q2 - 5:34KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound51
95.6%
23
4.4%
Q2 - 5:37PistonsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot51
95.5%
23
4.5%
Q2 - 5:58PistonsDennis Smith Jr. defensive rebound51
95.1%
23
4.9%
Q2 - 6:00KnicksAlec Burks misses three point pullup jump shot51
95.3%
23
4.7%
Q2 - 6:07KnicksDerrick Rose defensive rebound51
95.4%
23
4.6%
Q2 - 6:10PistonsDennis Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 251
95.4%
23
4.6%
Q2 - 6:10PistonsDennis Smith Jr. misses regular free throw 1 of 251
95.1%
23
4.9%
Q2 - 6:10KnicksImmanuel Quickley shooting foul (Dennis Smith Jr. draws the foul)51
94.8%
23
5.2%
Q2 - 6:14PistonsMason Plumlee defensive rebound51
94.8%
23
5.2%
Q2 - 6:16KnicksDerrick Rose misses three point jump shot51
95.0%
23
5.0%
Q2 - 6:30PistonsJerami Grant makes two point running layup (Josh Jackson assists)51
95.5%
23
4.5%
Q2 - 6:33PistonsJosh Jackson defensive rebound51
95.8%
21
4.2%
Q2 - 6:35KnicksObi Toppin misses two point floating jump shot51
96.0%
21
4.0%
Q2 - 6:47KnicksDerrick Rose defensive rebound51
96.3%
21
3.7%
Q2 - 6:49PistonsJosh Jackson misses three point jump shot51
96.2%
21
3.8%
Q2 - 7:06PistonsPistons offensive rebound51
95.4%
21
4.6%
Q2 - 7:06PistonsAlec Burks blocks Josh Jackson's two point running layup51
95.7%
21
4.3%
Q2 - 7:09KnicksAlec Burks turnover (bad pass) (Josh Jackson steals)51
95.4%
21
4.6%
Q2 - 7:19KnicksImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound51
95.9%
21
4.1%
Q2 - 7:21PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot51
95.7%
21
4.3%
Q2 - 7:45KnicksDerrick Rose makes two point pullup jump shot51
95.4%
21
4.6%
Q2 - 7:59KnicksTaj Gibson defensive rebound49
95.0%
21
5.0%
Q2 - 8:01PistonsJerami Grant misses regular free throw 2 of 249
94.6%
21
5.4%
Q2 - 8:01PistonsJerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 249
94.2%
21
5.8%
Q2 - 8:01KnicksObi Toppin shooting foul (Jerami Grant draws the foul)49
94.3%
20
5.7%
Q2 - 8:16KnicksElfrid Payton makes three point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)49
94.7%
20
5.3%
Q2 - 8:23KnicksImmanuel Quickley defensive rebound46
93.6%
20
6.4%
Q2 - 8:27PistonsTaj Gibson blocks Saben Lee's two point driving layup46
93.4%
20
6.6%
Q2 - 8:36PistonsJerami Grant defensive rebound46
92.9%
20
7.1%
Q2 - 8:39KnicksImmanuel Quickley misses three point pullup jump shot46
93.1%
20
6.9%
Q2 - 8:58PistonsSaben Lee makes three point jump shot (Saddiq Bey assists)46
93.6%
20
6.4%
Q2 - 9:20KnicksTaj Gibson makes two point cutting dunk (Elfrid Payton assists)46
94.2%
17
5.8%
Q2 - 9:40PistonsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 2 of 244
93.7%
17
6.3%
Q2 - 9:40PistonsMason Plumlee makes regular free throw 1 of 244
93.9%
16
6.1%
Q2 - 9:40KnicksObi Toppin shooting foul (Mason Plumlee draws the foul)44
94.1%
15
5.9%
Q2 - 9:58KnicksAlec Burks personal foul (Take) (Jerami Grant draws the foul)44
94.3%
15
5.7%
Q2 - 9:58KnicksTaj Gibson turnover (bad pass) (Mason Plumlee steals)44
94.3%
15
5.7%
Q2 - 10:07KnicksTaj Gibson defensive rebound44
94.5%
15
5.5%
Q2 - 10:10PistonsSaddiq Bey misses two point driving layup44
94.3%
15
5.7%
Q2 - 10:23PistonsMason Plumlee offensive rebound44
93.9%
15
6.1%
Q2 - 10:25PistonsJerami Grant misses two point stepback jump shot44
94.3%
15
5.7%
Q2 - 10:37PistonsMason Plumlee defensive rebound44
93.9%
15
6.1%
Q2 - 10:40KnicksDerrick Rose misses regular free throw 2 of 244
94.0%
15
6.0%
Q2 - 10:40KnicksDerrick Rose makes regular free throw 1 of 244
94.4%
15
5.6%
Q2 - 10:40PistonsJosh Jackson shooting foul (Derrick Rose draws the foul)43
94.3%
15
5.7%
Q2 - 10:59PistonsSaben Lee turnover (bad pass) (Taj Gibson steals)43
94.0%
15
6.0%
Q2 - 11:14KnicksTaj Gibson makes two point jump shot (Alec Burks assists)43
92.9%
15
7.1%
Q2 - 11:29KnicksObi Toppin defensive rebound41
92.3%
15
7.7%
Q2 - 11:33PistonsSaddiq Bey misses two point pullup jump shot41
92.1%
15
7.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.41
91.6%
15
8.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0PistonsPistons offensive rebound41
91.6%
15
8.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point running pullup jump shot41
92.1%
15
7.9%
Q1 - 0:04.7KnicksJulius Randle makes two point driving layup41
91.1%
15
8.9%
Q1 - 0:11.3KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound39
90.2%
15
9.8%
Q1 - 0:13.8PistonsCory Joseph misses two point driving reverse layup39
90.0%
15
10.0%
Q1 - 0:32.1PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound39
89.5%
15
10.5%
Q1 - 0:35.1KnicksAlec Burks misses three point jump shot39
89.7%
15
10.3%
Q1 - 0:41.8PistonsIsaiah Stewart turnover (lost ball) (Taj Gibson steals)39
90.2%
15
9.8%
Q1 - 0:52.6KnicksReggie Bullock makes two point pullup jump shot (Derrick Rose assists)39
89.5%
15
10.5%
Q1 - 1:07PistonsCory Joseph makes two point floating jump shot37
88.2%
15
11.8%
Q1 - 1:16PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound37
89.4%
13
10.6%
Q1 - 1:19KnicksJulius Randle misses three point pullup jump shot37
89.6%
13
10.4%
Q1 - 1:32PistonsHamidou Diallo personal foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)37
90.0%
13
10.0%
Q1 - 1:37KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound37
90.0%
13
10.0%
Q1 - 1:40PistonsKillian Hayes misses two point pullup jump shot37
89.8%
13
10.2%
Q1 - 1:59KnicksTaj Gibson makes two point dunk (RJ Barrett assists)37
89.4%
13
10.6%
Q1 - 2:12PistonsCory Joseph makes two point pullup jump shot35
87.8%
13
12.2%
Q1 - 2:35KnicksElfrid Payton personal foul (Cory Joseph draws the foul)35
88.8%
11
11.2%
Q1 - 2:38KnicksJulius Randle makes two point pullup jump shot35
88.8%
11
11.2%
Q1 - 2:53KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound33
87.8%
11
12.2%
Q1 - 2:55PistonsWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot33
87.5%
11
12.5%
Q1 - 3:02PistonsIsaiah Stewart offensive rebound33
86.2%
11
13.8%
Q1 - 3:04PistonsHamidou Diallo misses three point jump shot33
87.0%
11
13.0%
Q1 - 3:25KnicksRJ Barrett makes three point jump shot (Reggie Bullock assists)33
86.2%
11
13.8%
Q1 - 3:44PistonsCory Joseph makes two point driving hook shot30
84.2%
11
15.8%
Q1 - 3:55PistonsWayne Ellington defensive rebound30
85.1%
9
14.9%
Q1 - 3:58KnicksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot30
85.5%
9
14.5%
Q1 - 4:08KnicksReggie Bullock defensive rebound30
85.6%
9
14.4%
Q1 - 4:08PistonsNerlens Noel blocks Hamidou Diallo's two point driving layup30
85.3%
9
14.7%
Q1 - 4:16PistonsPistons offensive rebound30
84.4%
9
15.6%
Q1 - 4:16PistonsNerlens Noel blocks Isaiah Stewart's two point running dunk30
85.3%
9
14.7%
Q1 - 4:17PistonsIsaiah Stewart defensive rebound30
84.4%
9
15.6%
Q1 - 4:20KnicksElfrid Payton misses three point jump shot30
84.8%
9
15.2%
Q1 - 4:32PistonsCory Joseph makes regular free throw 2 of 230
85.7%
9
14.3%
Q1 - 4:32PistonsCory Joseph makes regular free throw 1 of 230
85.8%
8
14.2%
Q1 - 4:32KnicksElfrid Payton shooting foul (Cory Joseph draws the foul)30
86.0%
7
14.0%
Q1 - 4:40KnicksReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Elfrid Payton assists)30
86.5%
7
13.5%
Q1 - 4:57PistonsIsaiah Stewart makes two point dunk (Cory Joseph assists)27
84.6%
7
15.4%
Q1 - 5:07KnicksJulius Randle makes three point jump shot (Elfrid Payton assists)27
84.4%
5
15.6%
Q1 - 5:19PistonsCory Joseph makes two point bank jump shot24
82.3%
5
17.7%
Q1 - 5:29KnicksNerlens Noel personal foul (Hamidou Diallo draws the foul)24
83.4%
3
16.6%
Q1 - 5:39KnicksReggie Bullock makes three point running jump shot (Julius Randle assists)24
83.4%
3
16.6%
Q1 - 5:43KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound21
81.1%
3
18.9%
Q1 - 5:46PistonsWayne Ellington misses three point jump shot21
80.7%
3
19.3%
Q1 - 5:59KnicksJulius Randle makes three point jump shot (Elfrid Payton assists)21
79.8%
3
20.2%
Q1 - 6:21PistonsWayne Ellington turnover (out of bounds bad pass)18
76.1%
3
23.9%
Q1 - 6:36KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 2 of 218
74.7%
3
25.3%
Q1 - 6:36KnicksJulius Randle makes regular free throw 1 of 217
74.4%
3
25.6%
Q1 - 6:36PistonsHamidou Diallo shooting foul (Julius Randle draws the foul)16
74.1%
3
25.9%
Q1 - 6:42KnicksKnicks offensive rebound16
73.2%
3
26.8%
Q1 - 6:42KnicksElfrid Payton misses two point floating jump shot16
72.1%
3
27.9%
Q1 - 6:51PistonsHamidou Diallo makes two point running dunk (Killian Hayes assists)16
73.2%
3
26.8%
Q1 - 6:55PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound16
74.7%
1
25.3%
Q1 - 6:57KnicksJulius Randle misses three point jump shot16
75.2%
1
24.8%
Q1 - 7:11KnicksReggie Bullock defensive rebound16
75.5%
1
24.5%
Q1 - 7:14PistonsWayne Ellington misses two point stepback jump shot16
75.1%
1
24.9%
Q1 - 7:33PistonsKillian Hayes defensive rebound16
74.0%
1
26.0%
Q1 - 7:36KnicksElfrid Payton misses regular free throw 2 of 216
74.2%
1
25.8%
Q1 - 7:36KnicksElfrid Payton misses regular free throw 1 of 216
75.1%
1
24.9%
Q1 - 7:36PistonsKillian Hayes shooting foul (Elfrid Payton draws the foul)16
76.0%
1
24.0%
Q1 - 7:41KnicksElfrid Payton defensive rebound16
75.6%
1
24.4%
Q1 - 7:47PistonsHamidou Diallo misses two point driving layup16
75.1%
1
24.9%
Q1 - 8:00KnicksJulius Randle makes two point pullup bank jump shot16
74.0%
1
26.0%
Q1 - 8:10PistonsKillian Hayes personal foul (Nerlens Noel draws the foul)14
72.7%
1
27.3%
Q1 - 8:10KnicksNerlens Noel offensive rebound14
72.7%
1
27.3%
Q1 - 8:10KnicksElfrid Payton misses three point jump shot14
71.5%
1
28.5%
Q1 - 8:31PistonsSaddiq Bey makes regular free throw 2 of 214
72.7%
1
27.3%
Q1 - 8:31PistonsSaddiq Bey misses regular free throw 1 of 214
72.8%
0
27.2%
Q1 - 8:31KnicksRJ Barrett shooting foul (Saddiq Bey draws the foul)14
71.5%
0
28.5%
Q1 - 8:47KnicksReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Julius Randle assists)14
72.4%
0
27.6%
Q1 - 8:52KnicksJulius Randle offensive rebound11
69.5%
0
30.5%
Q1 - 8:55KnicksJulius Randle misses two point jump shot11
68.2%
0
31.8%
Q1 - 9:03KnicksNerlens Noel offensive rebound11
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 9:06KnicksReggie Bullock misses three point stepback jump shot11
68.1%
0
31.9%
Q1 - 9:15KnicksNerlens Noel defensive rebound11
69.4%
0
30.6%
Q1 - 9:18PistonsJerami Grant misses three point jump shot11
68.8%
0
31.2%
Q1 - 9:42KnicksReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Elfrid Payton assists)11
67.5%
0
32.5%
Q1 - 9:49KnicksElfrid Payton defensive rebound8
64.5%
0
35.5%
Q1 - 9:52PistonsSaddiq Bey misses three point jump shot8
63.8%
0
36.2%
Q1 - 10:15KnicksRJ Barrett makes two point driving layup8
62.3%
0
37.7%
Q1 - 10:29PistonsMason Plumlee turnover (bad pass) (Elfrid Payton steals)6
60.7%
0
39.3%
Q1 - 10:32PistonsMason Plumlee offensive rebound6
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 10:32PistonsNerlens Noel blocks Mason Plumlee's two point driving bank jump shot6
60.1%
0
39.9%
Q1 - 10:48KnicksJulius Randle makes three point stepback bank jump shot (RJ Barrett assists)6
58.7%
0
41.3%
Q1 - 11:06KnicksJulius Randle defensive rebound3
55.1%
0
44.9%
Q1 - 11:09PistonsJosh Jackson misses two point pullup jump shot3
54.5%
0
45.5%
Q1 - 11:38KnicksJulius Randle makes three point jump shot (Elfrid Payton assists)3
53.1%
0
46.9%
Q1 - 12:00Nerlens Noel vs. Mason Plumlee (Julius Randle gains possession)0
49.5%
0
50.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.36 67.9%
DET
0.85 42.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NYK
16
20
80%
DET
16
35
46%
Midrange
NYK
8
20
40%
DET
4
19
21%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NYK
19
28.5
39
49%
73%
DET
9
13.5
28
32%
48%
Free Throws
NYK
20
27
74%
DET
14
20
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NYK logo Knicks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Randle2976%14.5 / 19
R. Bullock2292%11.0 / 12
R. Barrett1478%7.0 / 9
I. Quickley1275%6.0 / 8
E. Payton1139%5.5 / 14
T. Gibson11110%5.5 / 5
K. Knox9150%4.5 / 3
O. Toppin850%4.0 / 8
D. Rose750%3.5 / 7
F. Ntilikina150%0.5 / 1
N. Pelle150%0.5 / 1
N. Noel0-0.0 / 0
A. Burks0-0.0 / 2
T. Pinson0-0.0 / 1
J. Harper0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Grant1653%8.0 / 15
H. Diallo1454%7.0 / 13
C. Joseph1063%5.0 / 8
M. Plumlee990%4.5 / 5
S. Bey630%3.0 / 10
J. Jackson525%2.5 / 10
F. Jackson550%2.5 / 5
D. Smith Jr.550%2.5 / 5
I. Stewart429%2.0 / 7
S. Lee350%1.5 / 3
D. Sirvydis350%1.5 / 3
T. Cook150%0.5 / 1
K. Hayes0-0.0 / 3
W. Ellington0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NYK
83
+9
-7
92
DET
77
+18
-14
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NYK
1.36 67.9%
DET
0.85 42.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.6
108.1
NYK 138.9
DET 89.0 +49.9
Pace
95.9
97.8
NYK 88.8
DET 92.3 +3.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.3
14.9
NYK 16.2
DET 15.6 +0.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
51.9%
NYK 66.5% +25.6%
DET 40.9%
TO %
12.6%
14.3%
NYK 7.2% +7.0%
DET 14.2%
ORB %
22.0%
22.0%
NYK 18.4%
DET 24.5% +6.1%
FTrt
24.2
27.3
NYK 34.2 +9.8
DET 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.3%
62.6%
NYK 72.1% +3.1%
DET 69.0%
STL %
7.3%
7.4%
NYK 13.3% +8.9%
DET 4.4%
BLK %
10.0%
9.3%
NYK 20.4% +10.4%
DET 10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.6%
54.3%
NYK 67.9% +25.3%
DET 42.6%
Rim FG%
57.2%
59.7%
NYK 80.0% +34.3%
DET 45.7%
Mid FG%
40.1%
37.4%
NYK 40.0% +18.9%
DET 21.1%
3P %
39.2%
35.1%
NYK 48.7% +16.6%
DET 32.1%
FT %
78.4%
75.9%
NYK 74.1% +4.1%
DET 70.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.0%
38.8%
NYK 25.3%
DET 42.7% +17.4%
Mid Att. %
31.3%
22.7%
NYK 25.3%
DET 23.2% +2.1%
3P Att. %
34.7%
38.5%
NYK 49.4% +15.2%
DET 34.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsNYKDET
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points12581
Rebounds4443
Assists3120
Steals124
Blocks114
Turnovers (Team)7 (0)14 (1)
Fouls1820
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)12 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)37 (1)31 (0)
Field Goals43-7929-82
At-the-Rim FG16-2016-35
Midrange FG8-204-19
2-Point FG24-4020-54
3-Point FG19-399-28
Free Throws20-2714-20
Fast Break Pts167
2nd Chance Pts1111
Points in Paint3834
Pts off Turnovers265
Bench Points4942
Biggest Lead470

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#30 · PF · 6'9" 250 · 26
30.2
29
76%
8
3
0
0
3
3
1
7
6-7
86%
4-7
57%
5-9
56%
#25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 30
27.8
22
92%
5
1
1
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
#9 · SG · 6'6" 214 · 21
27.8
14
78%
0
4
2
1
1
2
0
0
3-4
75%
4-6
67%
1-1
100%
#6 · PG · 6'4" 185 · 27
24.7
11
39%
6
9
2
1
1
3
1
5
2-4
50%
3-8
38%
1-4
25%
#3 · C · 6'11" 220 · 27
24.3
0
0%
6
1
2
4
0
3
4
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#67 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 36
21.0
11
110%
5
1
2
2
1
0
1
4
1-1
100%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
#4 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 32
20.6
7
50%
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-3
100%
0-3
0%
#5 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 22
17.5
12
75%
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
5-5
100%
2-4
50%
1-2
50%
#1 · PF · 6'9" 220 · 23
15.8
8
50%
2
1
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-4
50%
#18 · SG · 6'5" 214 · 30
15.2
0
0%
2
4
0
1
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
#20 · SF · 6'8" 215 · 22
5.0
9
150%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
3-3
100%
#11 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 23
2.7
1
50%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#14 · C · 6'11" 216 · 28
2.7
1
50%
3
0
0
2
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
#21 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 25
2.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#0 · PG · 5'11" 175 · 24
2.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
#23 · C · 7'0" 240 · 23
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Foot; surgery
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
125
68%
44
31
12
11
7
18
7
37
20-27
74%
24-40
60%
19-39
49%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.