Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, December 30, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bulls | 46% | 101 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Nets | 31% | 106 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Heat | 23% | 97 | 114 |
 | 4 | Celtics | 77% | 107 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Knicks | 45% | 105 | 92 |
 | 21 | Pelicans | 55% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Bucks | 51% | 108 | 99 |
 | 18 | Timberwolves | 49% | 107 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Pistons | 48% | 101 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Mavericks | 7% | 96 | 99 |
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Thursday, December 29, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 35% | 98 | 82 |
 | 8 | Hornets | 65% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Thunder | 42% | 101 | 80 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 41% | 106 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | 76ers | 23% | 93 | 83 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Raptors | 73% | 114 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 54% | 106 | 101 |
 | 30 | Lakers | 46% | 104 | 89 |
Wednesday, December 28, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 41% | 102 | 105 |
| 9 | Wizards | 59% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 57% | 104 | 120 |
 | 23 | Magic | 43% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 46% | 105 | 98 |
| 20 | Hawks | 54% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 44% | 102 | 119 |
| 13 | Pistons | 56% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 28% | 103 | 99 |
| 12 | Bulls | 72% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 55% | 105 | 98 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 45% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 13% | 97 | 98 |
| 2 | Spurs | 87% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 41% | 109 | 103 |
| 15 | Nuggets | 59% | 112 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 25 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 22% | 105 | 111 |
| 1 | Warriors | 78% | 116 | 121 |
Tuesday, December 27, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Grizzlies | 29% | 98 | 103 |
| 5 | Celtics | 71% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Thunder | 49% | 103 | 106 |
| 20 | Heat | 51% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 60% | 107 | 123 |
| 19 | Mavericks | 40% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 69% | 107 | 102 |
| 29 | Lakers | 31% | 100 | 100 |
Monday, December 26, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 46% | 105 | 102 |
| 15 | Wizards | 54% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 58% | 100 | 102 |
| 26 | Magic | 42% | 98 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 65% | 111 | 118 |
| 29 | Nets | 35% | 106 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 58% | 106 | 90 |
| 14 | Pistons | 42% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 43% | 100 | 85 |
| 10 | Bulls | 57% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Mavericks | 48% | 101 | 104 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 52% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 18% | 107 | 115 |
| 4 | Rockets | 82% | 120 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 51% | 105 | 90 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 49% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 66% | 111 | 95 |
| 25 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 105 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 38% | 106 | 106 |
| 9 | Clippers | 62% | 111 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 36% | 100 | 100 |
| 20 | Kings | 64% | 106 | 102 |
Sunday, December 25, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 60% | 112 | 108 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 40% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bulls | 26% | 95 | 100 |
| 2 | Spurs | 74% | 104 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 43% | 107 | 100 |
| 17 | Thunder | 57% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 70% | 112 | 102 |
| 30 | Lakers | 30% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 60% | 109 | 119 |
| 19 | Knicks | 40% | 105 | 114 |
Friday, December 23, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bulls | 41% | 102 | 91 |
| 9 | Hornets | 59% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 39% | 106 | 90 |
| 25 | Magic | 61% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 14% | 104 | 99 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 86% | 120 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Thunder | 32% | 104 | 117 |
| 5 | Celtics | 68% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 72% | 110 | 119 |
| 17 | Pistons | 28% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 46% | 105 | 96 |
| 15 | Bucks | 54% | 106 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 56% | 106 | 109 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 44% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 39% | 101 | 87 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 61% | 105 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 40% | 104 | 109 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 60% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 46% | 107 | 109 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 54% | 108 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 46% | 100 | 104 |
| 8 | Jazz | 54% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 46% | 106 | 116 |
| 28 | Suns | 54% | 108 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 57% | 109 | 110 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 107 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 31% | 98 | 90 |
| 7 | Clippers | 69% | 105 | 88 |
Thursday, December 22, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 57% | 106 | 109 |
| 14 | Pacers | 43% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 82% | 120 | 117 |
| 30 | Nets | 18% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 40% | 104 | 95 |
| 21 | Knicks | 60% | 108 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 36% | 103 | 107 |
| 23 | Heat | 64% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 48% | 102 | 101 |
| 5 | Clippers | 52% | 103 | 106 |
Wednesday, December 21, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 28% | 104 | 102 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 72% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 42% | 105 | 92 |
| 15 | Hawks | 58% | 108 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Grizzlies | 42% | 96 | 98 |
| 18 | Pistons | 58% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 45% | 103 | 107 |
| 16 | Bulls | 55% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Thunder | 51% | 107 | 121 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 49% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 32% | 96 | 94 |
| 8 | Jazz | 68% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 68% | 116 | 125 |
| 27 | Suns | 32% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | 41% | 105 | 96 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 109 | 95 |
Tuesday, December 20, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 51% | 104 | 108 |
| 27 | 76ers | 49% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 28% | 103 | 113 |
| 9 | Hornets | 72% | 111 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 17% | 104 | 104 |
| 6 | Raptors | 83% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 45% | 104 | 111 |
| 22 | Knicks | 55% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 40% | 99 | 136 |
| 19 | Heat | 60% | 103 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 61% | 110 | 114 |
| 11 | Bucks | 39% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 54% | 101 | 112 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 46% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 45% | 106 | 102 |
| 5 | Rockets | 55% | 107 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nuggets | 22% | 104 | 102 |
| 3 | Clippers | 78% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 23% | 99 | 74 |
| 1 | Warriors | 77% | 110 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 108 | 121 |
| 24 | Kings | 52% | 109 | 126 |
Monday, December 19, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wizards | 39% | 103 | 105 |
| 10 | Pacers | 61% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 49% | 101 | 82 |
| 18 | Bulls | 51% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 47% | 105 | 110 |
| 20 | Thunder | 53% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 36% | 107 | 108 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 64% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Mavericks | 38% | 103 | 107 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 62% | 107 | 117 |
Sunday, December 18, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 59% | 109 | 110 |
| 9 | Wizards | 41% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 45% | 99 | 79 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 55% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 54% | 97 | 82 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 46% | 96 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 43% | 107 | 107 |
| 27 | 76ers | 57% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 64% | 109 | 109 |
| 23 | Magic | 36% | 104 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 60% | 104 | 105 |
| 19 | Heat | 40% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pelicans | 19% | 96 | 100 |
| 2 | Spurs | 81% | 108 | 113 |
Saturday, December 17, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 35% | 106 | 101 |
| 17 | Thunder | 65% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 44% | 101 | 105 |
| 11 | Pistons | 56% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 44% | 102 | 107 |
| 12 | Hawks | 56% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Lakers | 15% | 101 | 108 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 85% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 60% | 113 | 111 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 40% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 44% | 108 | 114 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 56% | 110 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 15% | 107 | 90 |
| 1 | Warriors | 85% | 122 | 135 |