FinalWin Prob.pScore
245%106
102
555%107
100
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
104.19896.4
HOU logo HOU
103.19798.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU102
100%
100
0%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound102
95.9%
100
4.1%
Q4 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot102
99.2%
100
0.8%
Q4 - 0:03.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)102
93.5%
100
6.5%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 2 of 2102
94.4%
100
5.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASMISS Ginobili Free Throw 1 of 2102
97.3%
100
2.7%
Q4 - 0:03.0SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)102
97.9%
100
2.1%
Q4 - 0:04.0HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
97.1%
100
2.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0SASMills 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)102
81.5%
100
18.5%
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T17)99
39.3%
100
60.7%
Q4 - 0:35.0HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)99
18.3%
100
81.7%
Q4 - 0:36.0SASMISS Leonard 2' Running Layup99
23.6%
100
76.4%
Q4 - 0:42.0HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)99
40.2%
100
59.8%
Q4 - 0:54.0SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)99
24.7%
100
75.3%
Q4 - 1:07HOUAriza Foul Turnover (P3.T15)96
10.0%
100
90.0%
Q4 - 1:23SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)96
6.6%
100
93.4%
Q4 - 1:23SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)95
6.3%
100
93.7%
Q4 - 1:30HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)94
4.7%
100
95.3%
Q4 - 1:30HOUROCKETS Rebound94
2.6%
100
97.4%
Q4 - 1:30HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot94
3.9%
100
96.1%
Q4 - 1:54SASAriza STEAL (4 STL)94
3.5%
100
96.5%
Q4 - 1:58HOUAriza 3' Cutting Layup Shot (16 PTS) (Gordon 4 AST)94
5.6%
100
94.4%
Q4 - 2:02HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
9.0%
98
91.0%
Q4 - 2:03SASGordon BLOCK (2 BLK)94
10.8%
98
89.2%
Q4 - 2:13SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
16.3%
98
83.7%
Q4 - 2:14SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot94
10.9%
98
89.1%
Q4 - 2:29HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (31 PTS)94
16.6%
98
83.4%
Q4 - 2:42SASGreen 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)94
20.2%
96
79.8%
Q4 - 2:48HOUHarden Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)91
11.2%
96
88.8%
Q4 - 3:00SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Leonard 4 AST)91
7.2%
96
92.8%
Q4 - 3:11SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
3.7%
96
96.3%
Q4 - 3:12HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 3:17HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)88
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 3:18HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
3.1%
96
96.9%
Q4 - 3:34HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
3.7%
96
96.3%
Q4 - 3:34SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 288
3.9%
96
96.1%
Q4 - 3:34SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 1 of 288
5.1%
96
94.9%
Q4 - 3:37HOUNene Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)88
5.3%
96
94.7%
Q4 - 3:50SASGasol Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)88
3.5%
96
96.5%
Q4 - 3:55SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
2.5%
96
97.5%
Q4 - 3:56HOUMISS Harden 16' Pullup Jump Shot86
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 4:18SASParker 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Aldridge 5 AST)86
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 4:22SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)83
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 4:24SASMISS Parker 14' Pullup Jump Shot83
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 4:39HOUAnderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)83
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 4:39HOUAnderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)83
0.8%
95
99.2%
Q4 - 4:39HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)83
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 4:39SASMISS Aldridge 6' Jump Shot83
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 5:00HOUHarden 19' Step Back Jump Shot (29 PTS)83
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 5:22SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)83
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 5:22SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 282
3.2%
92
96.8%
Q4 - 5:31HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)82
3.5%
92
96.5%
Q4 - 5:38HOUNene REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)82
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 5:39HOUMISS Nene 9' Turnaround Hook Shot82
8.0%
89
92.0%
Q4 - 5:59SASLeonard Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T18)82
6.4%
89
93.6%
Q4 - 6:12HOUGordon 2' Cutting Layup Shot (13 PTS) (Nene 2 AST)82
10.9%
89
89.1%
Q4 - 6:17HOUNene REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)82
13.6%
87
86.4%
Q4 - 6:19HOUMISS Dekker 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
16.7%
87
83.3%
Q4 - 6:40HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)82
13.5%
87
86.5%
Q4 - 6:40SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot82
14.8%
87
85.2%
Q4 - 6:59SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
18.1%
87
81.9%
Q4 - 6:59HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
16.6%
87
83.4%
Q4 - 7:16SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)82
15.6%
87
84.4%
Q4 - 7:16SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)81
15.2%
87
84.8%
Q4 - 7:34HOUGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)80
12.5%
87
87.5%
Q4 - 7:34HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)80
12.9%
86
87.1%
Q4 - 7:41HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)80
15.5%
85
84.5%
Q4 - 7:42SASBeverley BLOCK (1 BLK)80
16.7%
85
83.3%
Q4 - 8:02HOUDekker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)80
21.1%
85
78.9%
Q4 - 8:02HOUDekker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)80
22.4%
84
77.6%
Q4 - 8:06SASDekker STEAL (1 STL)80
25.8%
83
74.2%
Q4 - 8:09SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
30.9%
83
69.1%
Q4 - 8:10HOUMISS Gordon 27' 3PT Jump Shot80
29.3%
83
70.7%
Q4 - 8:24HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)80
25.7%
83
74.3%
Q4 - 8:25SASMISS Ginobili 21' Fadeaway Jumper80
27.2%
83
72.8%
Q4 - 8:51HOUGordon 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS)80
30.8%
83
69.2%
Q4 - 9:08SASBertans Foul Turnover (P1.T16)80
37.0%
81
63.0%
Q4 - 9:18SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
43.2%
81
56.8%
Q4 - 9:20SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot80
38.8%
81
61.2%
Q4 - 9:24SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
43.2%
81
56.8%
Q4 - 9:25SASMISS Mills 3' Driving Layup80
38.8%
81
61.2%
Q4 - 9:39HOUGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
43.1%
81
56.9%
Q4 - 9:39HOUGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)80
44.0%
80
56.0%
Q4 - 9:51SASMills 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)80
48.9%
79
51.1%
Q4 - 10:08HOUDekker Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)77
37.7%
79
62.3%
Q4 - 10:24SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bertans 1 AST)77
32.0%
79
68.0%
Q4 - 10:38SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
23.2%
79
76.8%
Q4 - 10:39HOUMISS Harrell 19' Jump Shot74
21.9%
79
78.1%
Q4 - 10:55SASGinobili 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (6 PTS)74
19.1%
79
80.9%
Q4 - 11:11HOUHarrell Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)71
14.0%
79
86.0%
Q4 - 11:11HOUMISS Harrell Free Throw 1 of 271
15.0%
78
85.0%
Q4 - 11:12HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
13.9%
78
86.1%
Q4 - 11:13HOUMISS Gordon 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot71
15.9%
78
84.1%
Q4 - 11:29SASSimmons Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)71
13.9%
78
86.1%
Q4 - 11:39HOUBeverley Backcourt Turnover (P1.T10)71
16.9%
78
83.1%
Q4 - 11:49SASMills Foul Turnover (P2.T14)71
13.9%
78
86.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS71
16.8%
78
83.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
18.0%
78
82.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
17.1%
78
82.9%
Q3 - 0:27.0HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
15.1%
78
84.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASMISS Ginobili 15' Pullup Jump Shot71
15.9%
78
84.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0HOUHarrell 3' Cutting Layup Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)71
17.9%
78
82.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0SASAriza STEAL (3 STL)71
21.2%
76
78.8%
Q3 - 1:10HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (27 PTS)71
25.9%
76
74.1%
Q3 - 1:10HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (26 PTS)71
26.3%
75
73.7%
Q3 - 1:10HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (25 PTS)71
26.9%
74
73.1%
Q3 - 1:25SASSimmons 2' Cutting Layup Shot (3 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)71
33.9%
73
66.1%
Q3 - 1:32HOUGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)69
29.7%
73
70.3%
Q3 - 1:45HOUROCKETS Rebound69
25.7%
73
74.3%
Q3 - 1:46SASMISS Simmons 13' Jump Shot69
26.9%
73
73.1%
Q3 - 2:05SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
30.1%
73
69.9%
Q3 - 2:06HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
28.8%
73
71.2%
Q3 - 2:14HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
26.0%
73
74.0%
Q3 - 2:16SASMISS Ginobili 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup69
27.2%
73
72.8%
Q3 - 2:30HOUDekker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
30.1%
73
69.9%
Q3 - 2:30HOUDekker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)69
31.2%
72
68.8%
Q3 - 2:33HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)69
33.8%
71
66.2%
Q3 - 2:34SASMISS Lee 2' Cutting Layup Shot69
35.2%
71
64.8%
Q3 - 2:51HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS)69
38.4%
71
61.6%
Q3 - 3:14HOUGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
42.8%
69
57.2%
Q3 - 3:15SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot69
44.2%
69
55.8%
Q3 - 3:31HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (22 PTS)69
47.5%
69
52.5%
Q3 - 3:31HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (21 PTS)69
48.0%
68
52.0%
Q3 - 3:31HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (20 PTS)69
48.7%
67
51.3%
Q3 - 3:44HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
56.1%
66
43.9%
Q3 - 3:45SASMISS Leonard 17' Pullup Jump Shot69
57.5%
66
42.5%
Q3 - 4:00HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Gordon 3 AST)69
60.7%
66
39.3%
Q3 - 4:18SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)69
67.5%
63
32.5%
Q3 - 4:18SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)68
67.0%
63
33.0%
Q3 - 4:34SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
64.2%
63
35.8%
Q3 - 4:34HOUMISS Harrell Free Throw 1 of 167
63.6%
63
36.4%
Q3 - 4:50SASLeonard 17' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Aldridge 4 AST)67
67.5%
61
32.5%
Q3 - 5:10SASSpurs Rebound65
63.4%
61
36.6%
Q3 - 5:10HOUMISS Anderson 2' Layup65
62.1%
61
37.9%
Q3 - 5:20SASLee Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Green 2 AST)65
59.0%
61
41.0%
Q3 - 5:25SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
55.4%
61
44.6%
Q3 - 5:25HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
54.0%
61
46.0%
Q3 - 5:49HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)63
50.8%
61
49.2%
Q3 - 5:50SASAriza BLOCK (1 BLK)63
52.2%
61
47.8%
Q3 - 5:51SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)63
55.4%
61
44.6%
Q3 - 5:51SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
52.2%
61
47.8%
Q3 - 6:03HOUHarrell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)63
54.7%
61
45.3%
Q3 - 6:07HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)63
50.4%
61
49.6%
Q3 - 6:08SASMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot63
51.7%
61
48.3%
Q3 - 6:22HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)63
54.8%
61
45.2%
Q3 - 6:34SASLeonard 20' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)63
62.2%
58
37.8%
Q3 - 6:47SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)61
58.7%
58
41.3%
Q3 - 6:47HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot61
57.4%
58
42.6%
Q3 - 6:57HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)61
54.5%
58
45.5%
Q3 - 6:58HOUMISS Beverley 2' Running Layup61
57.4%
58
42.6%
Q3 - 7:04SASHarden STEAL (1 STL)61
53.7%
58
46.3%
Q3 - 7:18HOUNene Cutting Dunk Shot (10 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)61
58.1%
58
41.9%
Q3 - 7:37SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)61
61.3%
56
38.7%
Q3 - 7:37SASAldridge Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)60
60.8%
56
39.2%
Q3 - 7:53HOUAnderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)59
58.1%
56
41.9%
Q3 - 8:00HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
64.9%
53
35.1%
Q3 - 8:01HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot59
67.2%
53
32.8%
Q3 - 8:15SASNene STEAL (1 STL)59
64.4%
53
35.6%
Q3 - 8:25SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)59
68.4%
53
31.6%
Q3 - 8:26HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
67.2%
53
32.8%
Q3 - 8:33SASAldridge 2' Alley Oop Layup (13 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)59
64.4%
53
35.6%
Q3 - 8:49HOUNene 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)57
61.5%
53
38.5%
Q3 - 9:05SASLeonard 1' Driving Reverse Layup (13 PTS)57
63.6%
51
36.4%
Q3 - 9:22HOUHarden 13' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)55
60.4%
51
39.6%
Q3 - 9:29HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
63.6%
49
36.4%
Q3 - 9:30SASMISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot55
64.7%
49
35.3%
Q3 - 9:43SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
67.1%
49
32.9%
Q3 - 9:44HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
66.1%
49
33.9%
Q3 - 9:50HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
63.7%
49
36.3%
Q3 - 9:51SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot55
64.7%
49
35.3%
Q3 - 9:57HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)55
67.2%
49
32.8%
Q3 - 10:07SASGasol 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)55
62.9%
49
37.1%
Q3 - 10:18SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
59.9%
49
40.1%
Q3 - 10:19HOUMISS Ariza 1' Driving Layup53
58.7%
49
41.3%
Q3 - 10:26HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
56.1%
49
43.9%
Q3 - 10:27SASMISS Aldridge 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot53
57.3%
49
42.7%
Q3 - 10:40SASLeonard Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)53
59.9%
49
40.1%
Q3 - 11:02HOUAriza 2' Driving Reverse Layup (8 PTS)52
56.0%
49
44.0%
Q3 - 11:13HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
59.2%
47
40.8%
Q3 - 11:14HOUMISS Harden 27' 3PT Jump Shot52
61.6%
47
38.4%
Q3 - 11:26SASGreen Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T10)52
59.2%
47
40.8%
Q3 - 11:44HOUNene 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)52
62.7%
47
37.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS52
65.6%
45
34.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound52
68.9%
45
31.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Mills 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot52
66.6%
45
33.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)52
67.3%
45
32.7%
Q2 - 0:13.0SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P4.T9)52
65.4%
45
34.6%
Q2 - 0:33.0HOUGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)52
67.5%
45
32.5%
Q2 - 0:34.0HOUROCKETS Rebound52
65.4%
45
34.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0HOUMISS Harden 4' Driving Layup52
66.8%
45
33.2%
Q2 - 0:42.0SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Aldridge 3 AST)52
65.4%
45
34.6%
Q2 - 1:10HOUBeverley 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Harrell 2 AST)49
57.5%
45
42.5%
Q2 - 1:19HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
62.1%
43
37.9%
Q2 - 1:20SASMISS Aldridge 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot49
62.6%
43
37.4%
Q2 - 1:33SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)49
63.7%
43
36.3%
Q2 - 1:34HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot49
63.2%
43
36.8%
Q2 - 1:48SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
62.2%
43
37.8%
Q2 - 1:48SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
61.8%
43
38.2%
Q2 - 1:57SASSpurs Rebound47
57.6%
43
42.4%
Q2 - 1:57HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
57.1%
43
42.9%
Q2 - 2:07SASAriza STEAL (2 STL)47
54.8%
43
45.2%
Q2 - 2:15HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)47
57.7%
43
42.3%
Q2 - 2:17HOUROCKETS Rebound47
54.9%
43
45.1%
Q2 - 2:18HOUMISS Harden 9' Floating Jump Shot47
56.8%
43
43.2%
Q2 - 2:41SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Aldridge 2 AST)47
54.9%
43
45.1%
Q2 - 3:04HOUGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)44
48.5%
43
51.5%
Q2 - 3:12SASAriza STEAL (1 STL)44
54.0%
40
46.0%
Q2 - 3:33HOUHarden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)44
57.4%
40
42.6%
Q2 - 3:42HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
62.7%
37
37.3%
Q2 - 3:43SASMISS Aldridge 8' Turnaround Jump Shot44
63.6%
37
36.4%
Q2 - 4:04HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)44
64.6%
37
35.4%
Q2 - 4:11HOUNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
69.7%
34
30.3%
Q2 - 4:12SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
70.4%
34
29.6%
Q2 - 4:19SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)44
72.1%
34
27.9%
Q2 - 4:20HOUMISS Gordon 2' Driving Layup44
71.4%
34
28.6%
Q2 - 4:33SASLeonard Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)44
69.7%
34
30.3%
Q2 - 4:43SASLeonard Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)44
72.1%
34
27.9%
Q2 - 4:50SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)43
69.8%
34
30.2%
Q2 - 4:51HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup43
69.0%
34
31.0%
Q2 - 5:03HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
66.7%
34
33.3%
Q2 - 5:03SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
67.5%
34
32.5%
Q2 - 5:12SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)43
69.3%
34
30.7%
Q2 - 5:12HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
68.6%
34
31.4%
Q2 - 5:32SASGasol 8' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)43
66.8%
34
33.2%
Q2 - 5:53HOUNene Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
64.4%
34
35.6%
Q2 - 5:53HOUNene Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
65.2%
33
34.8%
Q2 - 5:53HOUNene REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)41
66.8%
32
33.2%
Q2 - 5:54HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
68.6%
32
31.4%
Q2 - 6:04SASAldridge 3' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Green 1 AST)41
66.0%
32
34.0%
Q2 - 6:09SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)39
64.1%
32
35.9%
Q2 - 6:10HOUMISS Nene 3' Layup39
63.2%
32
36.8%
Q2 - 6:27SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)39
61.0%
32
39.0%
Q2 - 6:27SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)38
60.7%
32
39.3%
Q2 - 6:49HOUAnderson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)37
59.0%
32
41.0%
Q2 - 7:05SASLee 7' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (4 PTS)37
55.5%
32
44.5%
Q2 - 7:20SASSimmons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
53.1%
32
46.9%
Q2 - 7:21HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:5 Def:0)35
50.3%
32
49.7%
Q2 - 7:21HOUMISS Dekker 2' Tip Layup Shot35
52.2%
32
47.8%
Q2 - 7:22HOUMISS Gordon 21' Jump Shot35
52.2%
32
47.8%
Q2 - 7:43HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:4 Def:0)35
50.2%
32
49.8%
Q2 - 7:44HOUMISS Anderson 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
52.2%
32
47.8%
Q2 - 7:54SASBeverley STEAL (2 STL)35
50.2%
32
49.8%
Q2 - 8:11HOUBeverley 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)35
52.7%
32
47.3%
Q2 - 8:23SASLee 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Simmons 1 AST)35
55.0%
30
45.0%
Q2 - 8:46HOUGordon 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
52.7%
30
47.3%
Q2 - 9:00SASDedmon Foul Turnover (P1.T4)33
55.1%
28
44.9%
Q2 - 9:14SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
57.4%
28
42.6%
Q2 - 9:15HOUMISS Beverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
56.6%
28
43.4%
Q2 - 9:19HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)33
54.7%
28
45.3%
Q2 - 9:20HOUMISS Beverley 3PT Jump Shot33
56.6%
28
43.4%
Q2 - 9:37SASMills 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
54.7%
28
45.3%
Q2 - 9:47HOUDekker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)30
49.9%
28
50.1%
Q2 - 9:51HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
47.1%
28
52.9%
Q2 - 9:52HOUMISS Gordon 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
49.1%
28
50.9%
Q2 - 10:05HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
47.0%
28
53.0%
Q2 - 10:06SASDekker BLOCK (1 BLK)30
47.9%
28
52.1%
Q2 - 10:26HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
49.8%
28
50.2%
Q2 - 10:26HOUAnderson 2' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)30
49.8%
28
50.2%
Q2 - 10:27HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
51.9%
26
48.1%
Q2 - 10:27HOUMISS Anderson 1' Tip Layup Shot30
53.9%
26
46.1%
Q2 - 10:29HOUMISS Dekker 4' Driving Bank Shot30
53.9%
26
46.1%
Q2 - 10:45SASSimmons Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)30
51.9%
26
48.1%
Q2 - 10:45SASMISS Simmons Free Throw 1 of 229
51.4%
26
48.6%
Q2 - 10:57HOUDekker Dunk (6 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)29
52.3%
26
47.7%
Q2 - 11:02SASBeverley STEAL (1 STL)29
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q2 - 11:06SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
56.4%
24
43.6%
Q2 - 11:06HOUMISS Dekker 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
55.7%
24
44.3%
Q2 - 11:35SASGinobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)29
54.0%
24
46.0%
Q2 - 11:48SASDedmon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
49.3%
24
50.7%
Q2 - 11:49HOUMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
48.6%
24
51.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU26
46.8%
24
53.2%
Q1 - 0:03.0SASAldridge 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
46.9%
24
53.1%
Q1 - 0:05.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)24
43.9%
24
56.1%
Q1 - 0:06.0SASMISS Leonard 6' Jump Shot24
42.7%
24
57.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
43.9%
24
56.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0HOUDekker 2' Tip Layup Shot (4 PTS)24
43.9%
24
56.1%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot24
48.1%
22
51.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0SASAldridge 1' Layup (7 PTS)24
46.9%
22
53.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
43.9%
22
56.1%
Q1 - 0:48.0SASMISS Leonard 3' Driving Layup22
42.7%
22
57.3%
Q1 - 1:16HOUHarrell Dunk (4 PTS) (Dekker 1 AST)22
44.0%
22
56.0%
Q1 - 1:19HOUDekker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q1 - 1:20HOUHarrell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q1 - 1:20HOUMISS Harrell 1' Tip Layup Shot22
48.1%
20
51.9%
Q1 - 1:21HOUMISS Dekker 6' Jump Shot22
48.1%
20
51.9%
Q1 - 1:35SASMills 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Aldridge 1 AST)22
46.9%
20
53.1%
Q1 - 2:01HOUDekker Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)20
44.3%
20
55.7%
Q1 - 2:21SASMills 3' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)20
46.8%
18
53.2%
Q1 - 2:27SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q1 - 2:28HOUMISS Dekker 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
43.7%
18
56.3%
Q1 - 2:31HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
42.3%
18
57.7%
Q1 - 2:32HOUMISS Harrell 2' Cutting Layup Shot18
43.7%
18
56.3%
Q1 - 2:47SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)18
42.2%
18
57.8%
Q1 - 2:47SASAldridge 1' Tip Layup Shot (5 PTS)18
42.2%
18
57.8%
Q1 - 2:48SASMISS Aldridge 2' Layup16
38.4%
18
61.6%
Q1 - 3:10HOUHarden Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)16
40.0%
18
60.0%
Q1 - 3:10HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)16
40.3%
17
59.7%
Q1 - 3:10HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)16
40.6%
16
59.4%
Q1 - 3:17HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)16
44.1%
15
55.9%
Q1 - 3:17SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
44.9%
15
55.1%
Q1 - 3:29HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)16
46.6%
15
53.4%
Q1 - 3:40SASLeonard 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)16
48.6%
13
51.4%
Q1 - 3:45SASLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
46.6%
13
53.4%
Q1 - 3:46HOUMISS Gordon 2' Driving Layup14
45.9%
13
54.1%
Q1 - 4:02SASAldridge Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
43.9%
13
56.1%
Q1 - 4:02SASMISS Aldridge Free Throw 1 of 213
43.6%
13
56.4%
Q1 - 4:12SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)13
44.3%
13
55.7%
Q1 - 4:13HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
43.5%
13
56.5%
Q1 - 4:21HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
41.7%
13
58.3%
Q1 - 4:23SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
42.5%
13
57.5%
Q1 - 4:37SASParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
44.3%
13
55.7%
Q1 - 4:39SASGordon BLOCK (1 BLK)13
42.5%
13
57.5%
Q1 - 4:49SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
44.3%
13
55.7%
Q1 - 4:49HOUMISS Anderson 27' 3PT Jump Shot13
43.5%
13
56.5%
Q1 - 4:57HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
41.7%
13
58.3%
Q1 - 4:58SASMISS Aldridge 16' Fadeaway Jumper13
42.5%
13
57.5%
Q1 - 5:13SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)13
43.9%
13
56.1%
Q1 - 5:14HOUMISS Anderson 22' Step Back Jump Shot13
43.3%
13
56.7%
Q1 - 5:34SASAldridge 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)13
41.7%
13
58.3%
Q1 - 5:44HOUGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
39.9%
13
60.1%
Q1 - 6:05SASParker 20' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
37.8%
13
62.2%
Q1 - 6:24HOUHarrell 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)9
36.1%
13
63.9%
Q1 - 6:29SASHarrell STEAL (1 STL)9
37.8%
11
62.2%
Q1 - 6:39HOUHarden Driving Dunk (6 PTS) (Harrell 1 AST)9
39.8%
11
60.2%
Q1 - 6:50SASGreen Foul Turnover (P1.T1)9
41.6%
9
58.4%
Q1 - 7:02SASLeonard Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)9
43.7%
9
56.3%
Q1 - 7:16SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
41.8%
9
58.2%
Q1 - 7:16HOUMISS Ariza Free Throw 2 of 28
41.5%
9
58.5%
Q1 - 7:16HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
40.3%
9
59.7%
Q1 - 7:23SASLeonard 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
41.5%
8
58.5%
Q1 - 7:48HOUNene 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)6
40.0%
8
60.0%
Q1 - 7:57HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
41.5%
6
58.5%
Q1 - 7:58SASMISS Gasol 20' Jump Shot6
42.2%
6
57.8%
Q1 - 8:19HOUHarden Cutting Dunk Shot (4 PTS) (Anderson 1 AST)6
43.8%
6
56.2%
Q1 - 8:29HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
45.4%
4
54.6%
Q1 - 8:30SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
46.0%
4
54.0%
Q1 - 8:48HOUHarden 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
47.5%
4
52.5%
Q1 - 9:04SASGasol 1' Layup (4 PTS)6
48.8%
2
51.2%
Q1 - 9:05SASGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 9:06SASMISS Leonard 7' Fadeaway Jumper4
45.8%
2
54.2%
Q1 - 9:25SASAldridge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
47.4%
2
52.6%
Q1 - 9:26HOUMISS Anderson 18' Step Back Jump Shot4
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 9:38SASGasol 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 9:56HOUAriza 3' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Nene 1 AST)2
43.7%
2
56.3%
Q1 - 10:00HOUNene REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)2
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 10:00HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
46.8%
0
53.2%
Q1 - 10:08HOUAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
45.1%
0
54.9%
Q1 - 10:09SASMISS Leonard 12' Running Jump Shot2
45.7%
0
54.3%
Q1 - 10:34SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 10:35HOUMISS Harden 12' Jump Shot2
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 10:43HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
45.1%
0
54.9%
Q1 - 10:44SASMISS Parker 21' Pullup Jump Shot2
45.7%
0
54.3%
Q1 - 10:52SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
47.2%
0
52.8%
Q1 - 10:53HOUMISS Ariza 3' Driving Layup2
46.5%
0
53.5%
Q1 - 11:07SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 11:20SASGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
43.3%
0
56.7%
Q1 - 11:21HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
42.8%
0
57.2%
Q1 - 11:26HOUNene REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
41.6%
0
58.4%
Q1 - 11:28HOUMISS Harden 11' Floating Jump Shot0
42.8%
0
57.2%
Q1 - 11:42HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
41.6%
0
58.4%
Q1 - 11:42SASMISS Aldridge 20' Jump Shot0
42.1%
0
57.9%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Nene vs. Gasol: Tip to Leonard0
43.3%
0
56.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.13 56.7%
HOU
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
13
23
57%
HOU
23
38
61%
Midrange
SAS
11
31
35%
HOU
6
16
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
12
18.0
23
52%
78%
HOU
6
9.0
38
16%
24%
Free Throws
SAS
18
25
72%
HOU
24
27
89%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2153%10.5 / 20
L. Aldridge1747%8.5 / 18
P. Mills1381%6.5 / 8
D. Green1275%6.0 / 8
M. Ginobili1260%6.0 / 10
P. Gasol1063%5.0 / 8
T. Parker850%4.0 / 8
D. Lee660%3.0 / 5
J. Simmons350%1.5 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3153%15.5 / 29
T. Ariza1653%8.0 / 15
E. Gordon1338%6.5 / 17
Nene1071%5.0 / 7
S. Dekker1045%5.0 / 11
M. Harrell956%4.5 / 8
R. Anderson739%3.5 / 9
P. Beverley429%2.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
79
+11
-19
90
HOU
81
+24
-16
105
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.13 56.7%
HOU
0.94 47.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.3
114.9
SAS 104.1 +1.0
HOU 103.1
Pace
94.1
100.0
SAS 96.4
HOU 98.6 +2.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
13.8
SAS 14.9
HOU 14.6 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.4%
54.5%
SAS 54.5% +13.2%
HOU 41.3%
TO %
13.6%
14.4%
SAS 17.8%
HOU 14.1% +3.7%
ORB %
24.0%
24.6%
SAS 24.4%
HOU 37.7% +13.3%
FTrt
26.3
30.4
SAS 32.5 +3.2
HOU 29.3
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.6%
62.6%
SAS 58.3%
HOU 62.9% +4.6%
STL %
8.5%
8.1%
SAS 13.3% +3.0%
HOU 10.3%
BLK %
9.9%
7.2%
SAS 9.3%
HOU 9.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.8%
57.2%
SAS 56.7% +9.5%
HOU 47.2%
Rim FG%
60.5%
61.6%
SAS 56.5%
HOU 60.5% +4.0%
Mid FG%
42.0%
40.5%
SAS 35.5%
HOU 37.5% +2.0%
3P %
39.1%
35.7%
SAS 52.2% +36.4%
HOU 15.8%
FT %
79.7%
76.6%
SAS 72.0%
HOU 88.9% +16.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.1%
37.6%
SAS 29.9%
HOU 41.3% +11.4%
Mid Att. %
40.8%
16.1%
SAS 40.3%
HOU 17.4% +22.9%
3P Att. %
28.1%
46.2%
SAS 29.9%
HOU 41.3% +11.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -3.04 and 3.04.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points102100
Rebounds4351
Assists2122
Steals1310
Blocks55
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (1)20 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (2)31 (1)
Field Goals36-7735-92
At-the-Rim FG13-2323-38
Midrange FG11-316-16
2-Point FG24-5429-54
3-Point FG12-236-38
Free Throws18-2524-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 25
36.4
21
53%
5
4
5
0
7
1
0
5
11-13
85%
5-11
45%
0-4
0%
F · 6'11" 260 · 31
35.8
17
47%
10
5
0
1
0
2
5
5
5-6
83%
6-15
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 29
33.9
12
75%
3
2
2
1
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
4-8
50%
C · 7'0" 250 · 36
26.3
10
63%
10
2
0
2
2
3
1
9
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 35
24.4
8
50%
2
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
1-1
100%
G · 6'0" 185 · 28
23.6
13
81%
0
1
2
0
2
1
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
G · 6'6" 205 · 39
19.5
12
60%
4
3
3
0
2
2
0
4
0-2
0%
0-4
0%
4-5
80%
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 34
16.9
6
60%
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 245 · 27
10.9
0
0%
3
0
0
0
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 195 · 27
9.9
3
50%
2
1
0
0
2
2
0
2
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 210 · 24
2.5
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 230 · 23
G · 6'4" 180 · 27
#5 · G · 6'4" 180 · 20
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · G · 6'3" 190 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
102
57%
43
21
13
5
19
0
10
33
18-25
72%
24-54
44%
12-23
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.