for complete access.
All Games Friday, December 30, 2016
FinalWin Prob.pScore
24
Heat
23%97
114
4
Celtics
77%107
117
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
120.09586.3
BOS logo BOS
124.594104.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

CelticsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIABOS
Q4 - 0:00.0BOS114
0%
117
100%
Q4 - 0:06.0BOSSmart Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)111
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 0:06.0BOSSmart Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)111
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Ellington 2 AST)111
0.4%
115
99.6%
Q4 - 0:11.0BOSThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (52 PTS)108
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (51 PTS)108
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:17.0MIAJohnson Driving Dunk (19 PTS) (McGruder 5 AST)108
0.2%
113
99.8%
Q4 - 0:31.0BOSHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)106
0.3%
113
99.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0BOSHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)106
0.3%
112
99.7%
Q4 - 0:31.0BOSCELTICS Rebound106
0.5%
111
99.5%
Q4 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot106
0.6%
111
99.4%
Q4 - 0:37.0BOSThomas 30' 3PT Jump Shot (50 PTS) (Crowder 6 AST)106
1.2%
111
98.8%
Q4 - 0:59.0BOSJerebko REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)106
9.4%
108
90.6%
Q4 - 1:00BOSMISS Thomas 12' Pullup Jump Shot106
14.6%
108
85.4%
Q4 - 1:17MIAJohnson 22' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)106
10.1%
108
89.9%
Q4 - 1:23BOSThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (47 PTS)104
6.7%
108
93.3%
Q4 - 1:23BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (46 PTS)104
7.0%
107
93.0%
Q4 - 1:27MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)104
10.3%
106
89.7%
Q4 - 1:36MIAHeat Rebound104
17.9%
106
82.1%
Q4 - 1:36MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
12.8%
106
87.2%
Q4 - 1:57BOSThomas 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (45 PTS)104
18.2%
106
81.8%
Q4 - 2:12MIAEllington 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Winslow 6 AST)104
24.7%
104
75.3%
Q4 - 2:16MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)102
19.8%
104
80.2%
Q4 - 2:17BOSMISS Crowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot102
16.7%
104
83.3%
Q4 - 2:36MIARichardson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)102
11.2%
104
88.8%
Q4 - 2:48BOSSmart Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T14)100
9.0%
104
91.0%
Q4 - 3:12MIAWhiteside 1' Cutting Layup Shot (11 PTS) (Winslow 5 AST)100
5.7%
104
94.3%
Q4 - 3:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
4.4%
104
95.6%
Q4 - 3:22BOSMISS Horford 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
3.7%
104
96.3%
Q4 - 3:41MIAHorford STEAL (1 STL)98
3.8%
104
96.2%
Q4 - 3:55MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)98
5.3%
104
94.7%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
4.1%
104
95.9%
Q4 - 4:05BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 1 (43 PTS)98
5.3%
104
94.7%
Q4 - 4:10BOSHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
10.3%
101
89.7%
Q4 - 4:11MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup98
11.5%
101
88.5%
Q4 - 4:16BOSHorford Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)98
14.8%
101
85.2%
Q4 - 4:27MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P5.T10)98
10.3%
101
89.7%
Q4 - 4:40BOSHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T12)98
14.7%
101
85.3%
Q4 - 5:02MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Richardson 7 AST)98
11.2%
101
88.8%
Q4 - 5:08BOSThomas Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)95
6.2%
101
93.8%
Q4 - 5:23MIAJohnson 20' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)95
4.4%
101
95.6%
Q4 - 5:38BOSThomas 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (40 PTS)93
3.2%
101
96.8%
Q4 - 5:59MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)93
6.0%
98
94.0%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 292
5.5%
98
94.5%
Q4 - 6:14BOSThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (37 PTS) (Jerebko 5 AST)92
7.0%
98
93.0%
Q4 - 6:33MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)92
11.7%
95
88.3%
Q4 - 6:43BOSBrown Running Dunk (6 PTS) (Rozier 2 AST)89
7.0%
95
93.0%
Q4 - 6:49MIARozier STEAL (1 STL)89
8.8%
93
91.2%
Q4 - 7:14BOSThomas 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (34 PTS)89
12.7%
93
87.3%
Q4 - 7:33BOSJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)89
19.8%
90
80.2%
Q4 - 7:34MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
21.3%
90
78.7%
Q4 - 7:51MIAHeat Rebound89
25.1%
90
74.9%
Q4 - 7:52BOSMISS Thomas 30' 3PT Jump Shot89
23.4%
90
76.6%
Q4 - 8:01BOSRozier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
20.4%
90
79.6%
Q4 - 8:02MIAMISS Richardson 19' Pullup Jump Shot89
21.7%
90
78.3%
Q4 - 8:22BOSThomas 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (31 PTS)89
24.8%
90
75.2%
Q4 - 8:41BOSJerebko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
35.7%
87
64.3%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
37.5%
87
62.5%
Q4 - 9:08BOSThomas 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Jerebko 4 AST)89
40.2%
87
59.8%
Q4 - 9:27MIARichardson Running Dunk (14 PTS)89
52.0%
84
48.0%
Q4 - 9:30BOSJerebko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)87
46.3%
84
53.7%
Q4 - 9:40MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)87
40.0%
84
60.0%
Q4 - 9:40MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)86
38.8%
84
61.2%
Q4 - 9:44BOSOlynyk Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)85
34.6%
84
65.4%
Q4 - 9:54MIAReed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)85
29.1%
84
70.9%
Q4 - 9:54MIAReed Putback Dunk (8 PTS)85
29.1%
84
70.9%
Q4 - 9:55MIAMISS Richardson 2' Driving Layup83
21.4%
84
78.6%
Q4 - 10:15BOSThomas 14' Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Jerebko 3 AST)83
24.4%
84
75.6%
Q4 - 10:31MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)83
28.5%
82
71.5%
Q4 - 10:36MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
20.4%
82
79.6%
Q4 - 10:37BOSMISS Olynyk 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
19.2%
82
80.8%
Q4 - 10:47MIAReed 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)80
16.7%
82
83.3%
Q4 - 11:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
14.5%
82
85.5%
Q4 - 11:12BOSMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
13.7%
82
86.3%
Q4 - 11:39BOSCELTICS Rebound78
11.9%
82
88.1%
Q4 - 11:40MIAMISS Richardson 20' Pullup Jump Shot78
12.6%
82
87.4%
Q4 - 11:46MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
14.5%
82
85.5%
Q4 - 11:47BOSMISS Thomas 3' Driving Layup78
13.6%
82
86.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
11.8%
82
88.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound78
14.4%
82
85.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 45' 3PT Jump Shot78
12.6%
82
87.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0BOSJerebko 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Olynyk 3 AST)78
14.7%
82
85.3%
Q3 - 0:24.0MIAJohnson 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (Richardson 5 AST)78
20.7%
79
79.3%
Q3 - 0:46.0BOSSmart Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)76
17.5%
79
82.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0BOSSmart Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)76
18.2%
78
81.8%
Q3 - 1:02MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Richardson 4 AST)76
20.5%
77
79.5%
Q3 - 1:19BOSRozier Foul Turnover (P2.T8)73
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 1:30BOSRozier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
12.6%
77
87.4%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup73
13.2%
77
86.8%
Q3 - 1:52BOSHorford 8' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Crowder 4 AST)73
14.9%
77
85.1%
Q3 - 2:06MIASmart STEAL (2 STL)73
17.2%
75
82.8%
Q3 - 2:19BOSRozier Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)73
20.2%
75
79.8%
Q3 - 2:25BOSRozier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
17.2%
75
82.8%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
18.1%
75
81.9%
Q3 - 2:42BOSCrowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)73
20.3%
75
79.7%
Q3 - 3:02MIAWhiteside 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)73
26.5%
72
73.5%
Q3 - 3:27BOSCrowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Olynyk 2 AST)71
23.4%
72
76.6%
Q3 - 3:34BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
30.1%
69
69.9%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot71
31.3%
69
68.7%
Q3 - 3:44BOSSmart 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)71
34.3%
69
65.7%
Q3 - 3:45BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)71
38.1%
67
61.9%
Q3 - 3:46BOSMISS Smart 1' Driving Layup71
41.3%
67
58.7%
Q3 - 4:08MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Winslow 4 AST)71
36.8%
67
63.2%
Q3 - 4:26BOSHorford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smart 2 AST)68
29.8%
67
70.2%
Q3 - 4:35BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
36.9%
64
63.1%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Babbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
38.3%
64
61.7%
Q3 - 4:46MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
41.6%
64
58.4%
Q3 - 4:47BOSMISS Smart 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot68
40.2%
64
59.8%
Q3 - 5:02MIAWhiteside Cutting Dunk Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)68
36.1%
64
63.9%
Q3 - 5:15BOSOlynyk 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T6)66
32.8%
64
67.2%
Q3 - 5:29BOSCELTICS Rebound66
28.9%
64
71.1%
Q3 - 5:30BOSMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
31.6%
64
68.4%
Q3 - 5:51MIAJohnson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)66
28.9%
64
71.1%
Q3 - 6:07MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)64
25.2%
64
74.8%
Q3 - 6:08BOSMISS Crowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
24.3%
64
75.7%
Q3 - 6:22MIAJohnson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)64
22.2%
64
77.8%
Q3 - 6:32MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
19.7%
64
80.3%
Q3 - 6:33BOSMISS Johnson 6' Driving Hook Shot62
18.9%
64
81.1%
Q3 - 6:51BOSCELTICS Rebound62
17.2%
64
82.8%
Q3 - 6:52MIAMISS Winslow 21' Jump Shot62
17.9%
64
82.1%
Q3 - 7:15BOSThomas 3' Driving Layup (23 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)62
19.7%
64
80.3%
Q3 - 7:29MIAJohnson 1' Cutting Layup Shot (4 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)62
21.8%
62
78.2%
Q3 - 7:44BOSHorford 12' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)60
19.7%
62
80.3%
Q3 - 8:10MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McGruder 4 AST)60
21.6%
60
78.4%
Q3 - 8:31MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
17.4%
60
82.6%
Q3 - 8:32BOSMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
16.6%
60
83.4%
Q3 - 8:37BOSCELTICS Rebound57
15.0%
60
85.0%
Q3 - 8:37BOSMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 257
17.0%
60
83.0%
Q3 - 8:37BOSJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
15.9%
60
84.1%
Q3 - 8:38BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)57
17.0%
59
83.0%
Q3 - 8:40BOSMISS Horford 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
18.8%
59
81.2%
Q3 - 9:02MIAJohnson 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)57
16.8%
59
83.2%
Q3 - 9:32BOSHorford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Smart 1 AST)55
15.0%
59
85.0%
Q3 - 9:43BOSHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)55
19.0%
56
81.0%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Winslow 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot55
19.7%
56
80.3%
Q3 - 10:11BOSThomas 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (21 PTS) (Crowder 3 AST)55
21.0%
56
79.0%
Q3 - 10:28MIARichardson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)55
23.2%
54
76.8%
Q3 - 10:37MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
21.0%
54
79.0%
Q3 - 10:38BOSMISS Horford 16' Jump Shot53
20.2%
54
79.8%
Q3 - 10:58MIAWinslow 9' Jump Bank Shot (11 PTS) (Richardson 3 AST)53
18.6%
54
81.4%
Q3 - 11:17BOSJohnson Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)51
16.3%
54
83.7%
Q3 - 11:32MIAWinslow 19' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)51
18.1%
52
81.9%
Q3 - 11:50MIARichardson Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)49
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
14.5%
52
85.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound48
14.5%
52
85.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
13.6%
52
86.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0BOSThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)48
14.3%
52
85.7%
Q2 - 0:22.0BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)48
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIASmart STEAL (1 STL)48
16.6%
50
83.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0BOSThomas 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)48
17.9%
50
82.1%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAEllington 20' Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)48
20.5%
48
79.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0BOSJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)46
17.9%
48
82.1%
Q2 - 0:57.0BOSMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 246
18.5%
47
81.5%
Q2 - 1:02BOSThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
18.8%
47
81.2%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Winslow 3' Driving Layup46
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 1:17BOSJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)46
19.8%
47
80.2%
Q2 - 1:20BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
18.8%
47
81.2%
Q2 - 1:22MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 1:27MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)46
19.8%
47
80.2%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMISS Ellington 3PT Jump Shot46
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 1:36BOSCrowder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)46
19.8%
47
80.2%
Q2 - 1:58BOSHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
18.8%
47
81.2%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot46
19.1%
47
80.9%
Q2 - 2:16BOSThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)46
20.1%
47
79.9%
Q2 - 2:16BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)46
20.3%
46
79.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
22.3%
45
77.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIAMcGruder 2' Putback Layup (5 PTS)46
22.3%
45
77.7%
Q2 - 2:39MIAMISS Richardson 1' Driving Reverse Layup44
18.8%
45
81.2%
Q2 - 2:59MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)44
20.0%
45
80.0%
Q2 - 3:01MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot44
18.4%
45
81.6%
Q2 - 3:09MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)44
19.9%
45
80.1%
Q2 - 3:10BOSMISS Crowder 20' Jump Shot44
19.2%
45
80.8%
Q2 - 3:24MIARichardson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)44
17.8%
45
82.2%
Q2 - 3:34MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
19.9%
45
80.1%
Q2 - 3:35BOSMISS Smart 2' Driving Layup44
19.3%
45
80.7%
Q2 - 3:47BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
17.8%
45
82.2%
Q2 - 3:47MIAMISS Winslow 9' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot44
18.5%
45
81.5%
Q2 - 4:03BOSJohnson 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)44
19.4%
45
80.6%
Q2 - 4:17BOSHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
21.3%
43
78.7%
Q2 - 4:18MIAMISS Winslow 6' Turnaround Hook Shot44
21.9%
43
78.1%
Q2 - 4:37BOSThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)44
23.3%
43
76.7%
Q2 - 4:37BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)44
23.5%
42
76.5%
Q2 - 4:42BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
25.4%
41
74.6%
Q2 - 4:43MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
26.0%
41
74.0%
Q2 - 5:10BOSThomas 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)44
27.2%
41
72.8%
Q2 - 5:15BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
31.7%
38
68.3%
Q2 - 5:16MIAMISS Winslow 2' Running Layup44
32.5%
38
67.5%
Q2 - 5:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)44
34.3%
38
65.7%
Q2 - 5:23BOSMISS Thomas 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup44
33.5%
38
66.5%
Q2 - 5:41MIAWhiteside 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)44
31.7%
38
68.3%
Q2 - 5:56BOSThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)42
29.5%
38
70.5%
Q2 - 5:59BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
34.2%
35
65.8%
Q2 - 6:00BOSMISS Smart 3' Driving Layup42
36.1%
35
63.9%
Q2 - 6:09BOSRozier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
33.3%
35
66.7%
Q2 - 6:10MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Turnaround Hook Shot42
34.2%
35
65.8%
Q2 - 6:28MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)42
36.4%
35
63.6%
Q2 - 6:29BOSMISS Thomas 15' Pullup Jump Shot42
35.5%
35
64.5%
Q2 - 6:39BOSCELTICS Rebound42
33.4%
35
66.6%
Q2 - 6:39MIAMISS Johnson 21' Pullup Jump Shot42
34.3%
35
65.7%
Q2 - 6:46MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)42
36.4%
35
63.6%
Q2 - 6:47BOSMISS Jerebko 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
35.5%
35
64.5%
Q2 - 7:05MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ellington 1 AST)42
32.8%
35
67.2%
Q2 - 7:24BOSJerebko 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rozier 1 AST)39
28.6%
35
71.4%
Q2 - 7:32BOSMISS Jerebko Free Throw 1 of 139
35.0%
32
65.0%
Q2 - 7:32BOSCELTICS Rebound39
32.8%
32
67.2%
Q2 - 7:32BOSMISS Jerebko 1' Layup39
34.6%
32
65.4%
Q2 - 7:44BOSGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
32.8%
32
67.2%
Q2 - 7:45MIAMISS McGruder 3PT Jump Shot39
33.6%
32
66.4%
Q2 - 7:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
35.4%
32
64.6%
Q2 - 7:52BOSMISS Smart 3' Driving Layup39
34.6%
32
65.4%
Q2 - 8:05MIAWhiteside 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McGruder 3 AST)39
32.3%
32
67.7%
Q2 - 8:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)37
30.3%
32
69.7%
Q2 - 8:27BOSMISS Olynyk Free Throw 2 of 237
30.0%
32
70.0%
Q2 - 8:27BOSOlynyk Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
28.6%
32
71.4%
Q2 - 8:32MIARichardson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)37
30.1%
31
69.9%
Q2 - 8:43MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 8:44BOSMISS Olynyk 3' Reverse Layup35
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q2 - 9:02MIAEllington 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)35
25.6%
31
74.4%
Q2 - 9:21BOSOlynyk 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Green 1 AST)32
22.1%
31
77.9%
Q2 - 9:40MIAReed 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)32
23.7%
29
76.3%
Q2 - 9:54MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q2 - 9:56BOSMISS Olynyk 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot30
21.6%
29
78.4%
Q2 - 10:02BOSOlynyk REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
20.3%
29
79.7%
Q2 - 10:03MIAMISS Richardson 21' Pullup Jump Shot30
20.9%
29
79.1%
Q2 - 10:14BOSBrown 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)30
22.2%
29
77.8%
Q2 - 10:29MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)30
23.7%
27
76.3%
Q2 - 10:43BOSGreen 14' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Jerebko 2 AST)27
20.6%
27
79.4%
Q2 - 11:02MIAReed 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)27
21.6%
25
78.4%
Q2 - 11:24MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q2 - 11:25BOSMISS Green 23' Pullup Jump Shot25
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q2 - 11:43MIAReed Foul Turnover (P1.T5)25
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q2 - 11:43MIAHeat Rebound25
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q2 - 11:44MIAJerebko BLOCK (1 BLK)25
19.0%
25
81.0%
Q2 - 11:45MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q2 - 11:46MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot25
19.0%
25
81.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOS25
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0BOSRozier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
18.6%
25
81.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Johnson 3' Cutting Layup Shot25
18.9%
25
81.1%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)25
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q1 - 0:19.0BOSMISS Olynyk 16' Jump Shot25
19.3%
25
80.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAJohnson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
18.5%
25
81.5%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0BOSMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
16.5%
25
83.5%
Q1 - 1:00MIAEllington 22' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)23
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 1:12MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
14.3%
25
85.7%
Q1 - 1:12BOSMISS Rozier Free Throw 1 of 121
14.2%
25
85.8%
Q1 - 1:20MIAEllington 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)21
15.8%
23
84.2%
Q1 - 1:41BOSBrown 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Jerebko 1 AST)19
14.3%
23
85.7%
Q1 - 1:53MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T4)19
15.8%
21
84.2%
Q1 - 1:58MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
16.8%
21
83.2%
Q1 - 1:59BOSMISS Thomas 2' Driving Layup19
16.5%
21
83.5%
Q1 - 2:09MIACrowder STEAL (1 STL)19
15.8%
21
84.2%
Q1 - 2:31BOSHorford 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)19
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 2:49MIAJohnson 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)19
18.4%
19
81.6%
Q1 - 3:06BOSOlynyk 2' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)17
16.9%
19
83.1%
Q1 - 3:23MIAWinslow 2' Putback Layup (7 PTS)17
18.1%
17
81.9%
Q1 - 3:26MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
16.9%
17
83.1%
Q1 - 3:26MIAMISS Reed 13' Jump Shot15
15.9%
17
84.1%
Q1 - 3:44BOSHorford 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Crowder 2 AST)15
16.9%
17
83.1%
Q1 - 3:59MIAWinslow 2' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)15
19.5%
14
80.5%
Q1 - 4:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
18.0%
14
82.0%
Q1 - 4:13BOSMISS Crowder 20' Jump Shot13
17.5%
14
82.5%
Q1 - 4:27BOSCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
16.5%
14
83.5%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Whiteside 16' Jump Shot13
16.9%
14
83.1%
Q1 - 4:39MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
18.0%
14
82.0%
Q1 - 4:40BOSMISS Smart 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
17.5%
14
82.5%
Q1 - 4:53BOSThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
16.5%
14
83.5%
Q1 - 4:54BOSMISS Olynyk 2' Reverse Layup13
17.5%
14
82.5%
Q1 - 5:01BOSHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
16.3%
14
83.7%
Q1 - 5:02MIAOlynyk BLOCK (1 BLK)13
16.7%
14
83.3%
Q1 - 5:18BOSHorford 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)13
17.6%
14
82.4%
Q1 - 5:41MIAMcGruder 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)13
18.7%
12
81.3%
Q1 - 5:53BOSThomas Backcourt Turnover (P1.T3)10
16.4%
12
83.6%
Q1 - 6:06MIABabbitt 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)10
15.1%
12
84.9%
Q1 - 6:19BOSThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)8
14.2%
12
85.8%
Q1 - 6:19BOSThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)8
14.3%
11
85.7%
Q1 - 6:29MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
15.1%
10
84.9%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 27
14.8%
10
85.2%
Q1 - 6:29MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)7
15.2%
10
84.8%
Q1 - 6:30MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
14.4%
10
85.6%
Q1 - 6:52BOSCELTICS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)7
15.2%
10
84.8%
Q1 - 7:16MIARichardson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)7
14.0%
10
86.0%
Q1 - 7:21MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
15.1%
10
84.9%
Q1 - 7:22BOSMISS Thomas 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup7
14.8%
10
85.2%
Q1 - 7:33MIAWhiteside Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)7
14.0%
10
86.0%
Q1 - 7:38MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
15.1%
10
84.9%
Q1 - 7:39MIAMISS Richardson 16' Pullup Jump Shot7
14.4%
10
85.6%
Q1 - 7:55BOSHorford 4' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS)7
15.1%
10
84.9%
Q1 - 8:10BOSJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
15.8%
8
84.2%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Winslow 22' Pullup Jump Shot7
16.2%
8
83.8%
Q1 - 8:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
17.0%
8
83.0%
Q1 - 8:21BOSMISS Horford 25' 3PT Jump Shot7
16.6%
8
83.4%
Q1 - 8:31MIAWinslow 4' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)7
15.8%
8
84.2%
Q1 - 8:51MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
15.0%
8
85.0%
Q1 - 8:52BOSMISS Thomas 10' Fadeaway Jumper5
14.6%
8
85.4%
Q1 - 9:01BOSHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
13.7%
8
86.3%
Q1 - 9:02MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Driving Hook Shot5
14.1%
8
85.9%
Q1 - 9:20MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
14.9%
8
85.1%
Q1 - 9:21BOSMISS Crowder 3PT Jump Shot5
14.5%
8
85.5%
Q1 - 9:41MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)5
13.7%
8
86.3%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 24
13.4%
8
86.6%
Q1 - 10:06BOSCrowder 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)4
13.9%
8
86.1%
Q1 - 10:20MIARichardson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)4
15.6%
5
84.4%
Q1 - 10:40BOSThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
14.8%
5
85.2%
Q1 - 10:49BOSSmart REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 10:50MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
17.0%
2
83.0%
Q1 - 11:06BOSJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 11:20MIARichardson 18' Pullup Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)2
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 11:37BOSJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
15.6%
2
84.4%
Q1 - 11:37BOSJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
15.9%
1
84.1%
Q1 - 12:00BOSJump Ball Johnson vs. Whiteside: Tip to Thomas0
16.6%
0
83.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.4%
BOS
1.29 64.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
27
63%
BOS
15
27
56%
Midrange
MIA
20
35
57%
BOS
6
15
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
BOS
17
25.5
32
53%
80%
Free Throws
MIA
7
10
70%
BOS
24
29
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson2279%11.0 / 14
J. Richardson1956%9.5 / 17
T. Johnson1968%9.5 / 14
W. Ellington1464%7.0 / 11
H. Whiteside1155%5.5 / 10
J. Winslow1139%5.5 / 14
W. Reed867%4.0 / 6
R. McGruder563%2.5 / 4
L. Babbitt563%2.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
BOS logo Celtics
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
I. Thomas5281%26.0 / 32
A. Horford2181%10.5 / 13
J. Crowder956%4.5 / 8
A. Johnson867%4.0 / 6
M. Smart633%3.0 / 9
J. Jerebko660%3.0 / 5
J. Brown675%3.0 / 4
K. Olynyk531%2.5 / 8
T. Rozier2100%1.0 / 1
G. Green250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+13
-12
96
BOS
81
+8
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.19 59.4%
BOS
1.29 64.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
111.5
MIA 120.0
BOS 124.5 +4.5
Pace
95.0
96.5
MIA 86.3
BOS 104.5 +18.2
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.8
MIA 16.7
BOS 13.8 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
52.5%
MIA 59.4%
BOS 62.8% +3.4%
TO %
13.2%
13.1%
MIA 11.3% +2.6%
BOS 13.9%
ORB %
24.2%
21.3%
MIA 26.5% +12.2%
BOS 14.3%
FTrt
25.1
27.3
MIA 11.1
BOS 39.2 +28.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
65.3%
MIA 72.9%
BOS 73.7% +0.8%
STL %
7.5%
7.8%
MIA 7.4% +1.0%
BOS 6.4%
BLK %
9.3%
7.1%
MIA 19.0% +15.8%
BOS 3.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
55.3%
MIA 59.4%
BOS 64.3% +4.9%
Rim FG%
59.2%
59.1%
MIA 63.0% +7.4%
BOS 55.6%
Mid FG%
39.4%
41.2%
MIA 57.1% +17.1%
BOS 40.0%
3P %
36.5%
35.9%
MIA 39.3%
BOS 53.1% +13.8%
FT %
70.6%
80.7%
MIA 70.0%
BOS 82.8% +12.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
35.1%
MIA 30.0%
BOS 36.5% +6.5%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
25.6%
MIA 38.9%
BOS 20.3% +18.6%
3P Att. %
31.4%
39.3%
MIA 31.1%
BOS 43.2% +12.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIABOS
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes26.421.6
Points114117
Rebounds3930
Assists3528
Steals76
Blocks82
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)13 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (4)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (1)25 (4)
Field Goals48-9038-74
At-the-Rim FG17-2715-27
Midrange FG20-356-15
2-Point FG37-6221-42
3-Point FG11-2817-32
Free Throws7-1024-29
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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24 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Josh Richardson
G · 6'6" 200 · 23
34.5
19
56%
6
8
4
2
3
3
2
4
1-1
100%
6-12
50%
2-5
40%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
32.2
11
55%
8
1
1
1
1
0
0
8
1-2
50%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
30.9
11
39%
9
6
0
1
1
4
4
5
1-2
50%
5-13
38%
0-0
-
Rodney McGruder
G · 6'4" 200 · 25
28.6
5
63%
2
5
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
16.0
5
63%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
30.3
14
64%
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
4-4
100%
2-7
29%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
29.4
19
68%
4
6
0
1
1
5
0
4
2-2
100%
7-10
70%
1-3
33%
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
23.8
22
79%
3
6
2
2
5
3
0
3
2-3
67%
4-6
67%
4-7
57%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 27
14.2
8
67%
4
0
0
1
1
2
2
2
0-0
-
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 30
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
Dion Waiters
#11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Chris Bosh
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
114
59%
39
35
7
8
12
0
9
30
7-10
70%
37-62
60%
11-28
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.