FinalWin Prob.pScore
2535%98
82
865%103
91
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
82.899103.6
CHA logo CHA
92.99893.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HornetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACHA
Q4 - 0:00.0CHA82
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHAHORNETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Richardson 20' Jump Shot82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0CHAKidd-Gilchrist 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)82
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAWinslow Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T17)82
0.5%
89
99.5%
Q4 - 1:04MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 1:06CHAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot82
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 1:28CHABatum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)82
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 1:30MIAZeller BLOCK (1 BLK)82
1.4%
89
98.6%
Q4 - 1:40CHAWalker 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)82
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 1:53CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)82
6.7%
86
93.3%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Winslow 1' Driving Layup82
7.7%
86
92.3%
Q4 - 2:10MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:10)82
12.4%
86
87.6%
Q4 - 2:11CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 2' Driving Layup82
10.3%
86
89.7%
Q4 - 2:25CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)82
6.8%
86
93.2%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
8.2%
86
91.8%
Q4 - 2:34CHAZeller Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)82
12.7%
86
87.3%
Q4 - 2:46MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)82
6.8%
86
93.2%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 281
6.0%
86
94.0%
Q4 - 3:05CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)81
9.3%
86
90.7%
Q4 - 3:05CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 281
10.1%
85
89.9%
Q4 - 3:14MIAJohnson Running Dunk (18 PTS)81
8.0%
85
92.0%
Q4 - 3:17CHABatum Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)79
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q4 - 3:33CHAHORNETS Rebound79
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q4 - 3:33CHAMISS Zeller 6' Floating Jump Shot79
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q4 - 3:56CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)79
5.2%
85
94.8%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Whiteside 9' Jump Shot79
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q4 - 4:06MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
7.5%
85
92.5%
Q4 - 4:07CHAMISS Batum 10' Jump Shot79
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q4 - 4:17CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q4 - 4:18MIAMISS Dragic 12' Jump Shot79
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q4 - 4:31MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
7.4%
85
92.6%
Q4 - 4:32CHAMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot79
6.6%
85
93.4%
Q4 - 4:57MIAJohnson 3' Layup (16 PTS)79
5.0%
85
95.0%
Q4 - 5:23CHALamb 2' Layup (10 PTS)77
4.8%
85
95.2%
Q4 - 5:42CHABatum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)77
6.4%
83
93.6%
Q4 - 5:43MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
7.1%
83
92.9%
Q4 - 5:54MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
8.9%
83
91.1%
Q4 - 5:55CHAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
8.1%
83
91.9%
Q4 - 6:11MIAJohnson 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dragic 8 AST)77
7.6%
83
92.4%
Q4 - 6:25CHAZeller Foul Turnover (P1.T6)75
6.0%
83
94.0%
Q4 - 6:37CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)75
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q4 - 6:38MIAMISS Winslow 3' Layup75
4.7%
83
95.3%
Q4 - 6:56CHASessions 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)75
5.9%
83
94.1%
Q4 - 7:07CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)75
8.9%
81
91.1%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q4 - 7:11MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
11.6%
81
88.4%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
9.6%
81
90.4%
Q4 - 7:24CHALamb Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)75
11.6%
81
88.4%
Q4 - 7:24CHALamb Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
12.1%
80
87.9%
Q4 - 7:42CHAHORNETS Rebound75
14.3%
79
85.7%
Q4 - 7:42MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot75
15.5%
79
84.5%
Q4 - 7:46CHAHibbert Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)75
18.6%
79
81.4%
Q4 - 7:49CHAHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
14.3%
79
85.7%
Q4 - 7:51MIAHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)75
15.5%
79
84.5%
Q4 - 8:14MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
19.3%
79
80.7%
Q4 - 8:15CHAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot75
18.1%
79
81.9%
Q4 - 8:30MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (McGruder 2 AST)75
15.6%
79
84.4%
Q4 - 8:50CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)72
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q4 - 9:08CHAHORNETS Rebound72
13.2%
77
86.8%
Q4 - 9:08MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup72
14.1%
77
85.9%
Q4 - 9:16CHAWalker 16' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)72
16.4%
77
83.6%
Q4 - 9:32MIAEllington 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)72
19.8%
75
80.2%
Q4 - 9:50MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
13.3%
75
86.7%
Q4 - 9:50CHAMISS Sessions 3' Jump Shot69
12.4%
75
87.6%
Q4 - 9:59CHAHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)69
10.6%
75
89.4%
Q4 - 10:01CHAMISS Sessions 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
13.3%
75
86.7%
Q4 - 10:17MIAReed Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)69
11.4%
75
88.6%
Q4 - 10:26MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)66
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q4 - 10:27CHAMISS Lamb 15' Jump Shot66
7.1%
75
92.9%
Q4 - 10:48CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)66
6.0%
75
94.0%
Q4 - 10:50MIAMISS Reed 6' Hook Shot66
6.5%
75
93.5%
Q4 - 11:05CHAHibbert Dunk (4 PTS) (Sessions 1 AST)66
8.3%
75
91.7%
Q4 - 11:09CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
10.0%
73
90.0%
Q4 - 11:12MIAKaminsky BLOCK (3 BLK)66
10.7%
73
89.3%
Q4 - 11:15MIAHeat Rebound66
12.3%
73
87.7%
Q4 - 11:15MIALamb BLOCK (1 BLK)66
10.7%
73
89.3%
Q4 - 11:19MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
12.3%
73
87.7%
Q4 - 11:20CHAMISS Lamb 18' Jump Shot66
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q4 - 11:34CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)66
10.0%
73
90.0%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 266
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 266
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q4 - 11:48MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
12.2%
73
87.8%
Q4 - 11:49CHAMISS Kaminsky 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
11.5%
73
88.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
10.0%
73
90.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound66
12.2%
73
87.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Ellington 31' 3PT Jump Shot66
10.6%
73
89.4%
Q3 - 0:03.0CHASessions 10' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
13.0%
73
87.0%
Q3 - 0:16.0MIAJohnson 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)66
15.5%
71
84.5%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)64
12.9%
71
87.1%
Q3 - 0:37.0CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
12.3%
71
87.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0CHABatum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)64
10.8%
71
89.2%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot64
11.4%
71
88.6%
Q3 - 1:03MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
13.8%
71
86.2%
Q3 - 1:04CHAMISS Kaminsky Reverse Layup64
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q3 - 1:28CHABatum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)64
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q3 - 1:29MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 264
11.8%
71
88.2%
Q3 - 1:29MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)64
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q3 - 1:48CHABatum 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)63
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q3 - 2:02MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)63
14.0%
69
86.0%
Q3 - 2:21CHALamb 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Batum 8 AST)60
10.2%
69
89.8%
Q3 - 2:36CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)60
11.9%
67
88.1%
Q3 - 2:37MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
12.5%
67
87.5%
Q3 - 2:48MIAEllington REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
14.1%
67
85.9%
Q3 - 2:49CHAMISS Kaminsky 1' Layup60
13.4%
67
86.6%
Q3 - 3:04MIARichardson 14' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)60
12.5%
67
87.5%
Q3 - 3:16CHALamb 1' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Kaminsky 1 AST)58
10.8%
67
89.2%
Q3 - 3:21MIAKaminsky STEAL (1 STL)58
12.5%
65
87.5%
Q3 - 3:34CHAWalker 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Batum 7 AST)58
14.7%
65
85.3%
Q3 - 3:43CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)58
19.6%
62
80.4%
Q3 - 3:44MIABatum BLOCK (1 BLK)58
20.5%
62
79.5%
Q3 - 4:02CHALamb 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)58
23.0%
62
77.0%
Q3 - 4:12CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
25.7%
60
74.3%
Q3 - 4:14MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
26.9%
60
73.1%
Q3 - 4:28CHABatum REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)58
29.7%
60
70.3%
Q3 - 4:28CHABatum 1' Tip Layup Shot (14 PTS)58
29.7%
60
70.3%
Q3 - 4:28CHAMISS Walker 1' Driving Reverse Layup58
35.9%
58
64.1%
Q3 - 4:49CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
32.8%
58
67.2%
Q3 - 4:50MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
34.2%
58
65.8%
Q3 - 5:10CHAKaminsky Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)58
37.0%
58
63.0%
Q3 - 5:10CHAKaminsky Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)58
37.9%
57
62.1%
Q3 - 5:14CHABatum REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
40.5%
56
59.5%
Q3 - 5:15CHAMISS Kaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
43.6%
56
56.4%
Q3 - 5:30CHAHORNETS Rebound58
40.5%
56
59.5%
Q3 - 5:30CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
43.6%
56
56.4%
Q3 - 5:54CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
40.5%
56
59.5%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot58
41.9%
56
58.1%
Q3 - 6:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)58
44.1%
56
55.9%
Q3 - 6:07CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
42.8%
56
57.2%
Q3 - 6:22MIADragic 10' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS)58
39.9%
56
60.1%
Q3 - 6:34CHAWilliams Driving Dunk (13 PTS)56
36.5%
56
63.5%
Q3 - 6:52MIADragic Traveling Turnover (P3.T15)56
40.0%
54
60.0%
Q3 - 7:09CHAZeller Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Batum 6 AST)56
43.6%
54
56.4%
Q3 - 7:24MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)56
46.8%
52
53.2%
Q3 - 7:45CHABatum 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)53
39.8%
52
60.2%
Q3 - 7:55CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)53
43.0%
50
57.0%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Babbitt 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
44.4%
50
55.6%
Q3 - 8:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)53
47.0%
50
53.0%
Q3 - 8:05CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 9' Jump Shot53
45.7%
50
54.3%
Q3 - 8:26MIAWhiteside 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)53
42.7%
50
57.3%
Q3 - 8:36MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)51
39.7%
50
60.3%
Q3 - 8:37CHAMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot51
38.4%
50
61.6%
Q3 - 9:06MIARichardson 18' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)51
35.1%
50
64.9%
Q3 - 9:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
32.0%
50
68.0%
Q3 - 9:17CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
31.0%
50
69.0%
Q3 - 9:25MIAHeat Turnover: Backcourt (T#14)49
28.8%
50
71.2%
Q3 - 9:47CHABatum 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)49
32.1%
50
67.9%
Q3 - 9:58MIAKidd-Gilchrist STEAL (2 STL)49
35.2%
48
64.8%
Q3 - 10:13CHAWilliams 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Batum 5 AST)49
38.2%
48
61.8%
Q3 - 10:36MIADragic Foul Turnover (P2.T12)49
41.3%
46
58.7%
Q3 - 10:47CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)49
45.1%
46
54.9%
Q3 - 11:02MIAZeller STEAL (1 STL)49
50.9%
43
49.1%
Q3 - 11:05CHAWalker Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)49
54.5%
43
45.5%
Q3 - 11:13CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
50.9%
43
49.1%
Q3 - 11:15MIAMISS Richardson 17' Jump Shot49
52.0%
43
48.0%
Q3 - 11:27CHABatum Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
54.5%
43
45.5%
Q3 - 11:27CHAMISS Batum Free Throw 1 of 249
55.0%
42
45.0%
Q3 - 11:36CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
54.4%
42
45.6%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS Babbitt 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
55.5%
42
44.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA49
58.0%
42
42.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)49
54.4%
42
45.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
46.4%
42
53.6%
Q2 - 0:13.0CHAMISS Batum 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
45.7%
42
54.3%
Q2 - 0:22.0CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)46
44.2%
42
55.8%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Dragic 16' Step Back Jump Shot46
44.8%
42
55.2%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
46.4%
42
53.6%
Q2 - 0:47.0CHAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot46
45.7%
42
54.3%
Q2 - 1:08MIARichardson 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)46
44.1%
42
55.9%
Q2 - 1:23MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
39.5%
42
60.5%
Q2 - 1:25CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 2 of 244
39.2%
42
60.8%
Q2 - 1:25CHAMISS Zeller Free Throw 1 of 244
37.2%
42
62.8%
Q2 - 1:37MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)44
37.9%
42
62.1%
Q2 - 1:52CHABatum 14' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Zeller 2 AST)44
39.5%
42
60.5%
Q2 - 2:03MIAJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T9)44
42.9%
40
57.1%
Q2 - 2:14MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
45.8%
40
54.2%
Q2 - 2:17CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
44.9%
40
55.1%
Q2 - 2:23CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)44
43.0%
40
57.0%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
43.8%
40
56.2%
Q2 - 2:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
45.8%
40
54.2%
Q2 - 2:34CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
44.9%
40
55.1%
Q2 - 2:52MIARichardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)44
43.0%
40
57.0%
Q2 - 3:05CHAWilliams 6' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Batum 4 AST)41
36.6%
40
63.4%
Q2 - 3:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
39.0%
38
61.0%
Q2 - 3:21MIAJohnson 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)41
39.0%
38
61.0%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup39
34.4%
38
65.6%
Q2 - 3:38MIAHeat Rebound39
36.6%
38
63.4%
Q2 - 3:38CHAMISS Walker 2' Layup39
35.7%
38
64.3%
Q2 - 3:51MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)39
33.5%
38
66.5%
Q2 - 4:02CHAZeller Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
28.4%
38
71.6%
Q2 - 4:02CHAZeller Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)36
29.0%
37
71.0%
Q2 - 4:15MIAWhiteside 1' Alley Oop Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)36
30.8%
36
69.2%
Q2 - 4:25MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
28.5%
36
71.5%
Q2 - 4:26CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
27.8%
36
72.2%
Q2 - 4:37MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P3.T8)34
26.2%
36
73.8%
Q2 - 4:53CHAWalker Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Zeller 1 AST)34
28.5%
36
71.5%
Q2 - 5:08CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 5:09MIAMISS Richardson 17' Pullup Jump Shot34
31.4%
34
68.6%
Q2 - 5:32CHAWalker Driving Layup (7 PTS)34
33.3%
34
66.7%
Q2 - 5:37CHAHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)34
35.6%
32
64.4%
Q2 - 5:39CHAMISS Kaminsky 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
37.5%
32
62.5%
Q2 - 5:43CHASessions REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)34
35.6%
32
64.4%
Q2 - 5:45CHAMISS Sessions 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
37.5%
32
62.5%
Q2 - 6:09MIARichardson 19' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)34
35.2%
32
64.8%
Q2 - 6:27CHAHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
33.4%
32
66.6%
Q2 - 6:27CHAHibbert Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)32
33.4%
32
66.6%
Q2 - 6:28CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup32
37.4%
30
62.6%
Q2 - 6:46MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Winslow 5 AST)32
35.3%
30
64.7%
Q2 - 6:56CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)29
31.0%
30
69.0%
Q2 - 6:56CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)29
31.3%
29
68.7%
Q2 - 6:58MIAWalker STEAL (1 STL)29
32.8%
28
67.2%
Q2 - 7:07CHASessions Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)29
35.4%
28
64.6%
Q2 - 7:21MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)29
40.2%
25
59.8%
Q2 - 7:34MIAHeat Rebound26
35.5%
25
64.5%
Q2 - 7:34CHAMISS Walker 22' Jump Shot26
34.7%
25
65.3%
Q2 - 7:53MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)26
32.9%
25
67.1%
Q2 - 8:05MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
28.5%
25
71.5%
Q2 - 8:07CHAMISS Hibbert 9' Hook Shot23
27.8%
25
72.2%
Q2 - 8:28CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
26.3%
25
73.7%
Q2 - 8:29MIAMISS Ellington 20' Jump Shot23
27.0%
25
73.0%
Q2 - 8:40MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
28.5%
25
71.5%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot23
27.0%
25
73.0%
Q2 - 9:05CHASessions Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
28.4%
25
71.6%
Q2 - 9:05CHASessions Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
28.9%
24
71.1%
Q2 - 9:13CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)23
30.3%
23
69.7%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot23
31.0%
23
69.0%
Q2 - 9:36CHAKaminsky Putback Dunk (2 PTS)23
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q2 - 9:37CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q2 - 9:38CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 1' Layup23
36.5%
21
63.5%
Q2 - 9:44CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)23
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q2 - 9:47MIAMISS Winslow Layup23
35.5%
21
64.5%
Q2 - 9:53MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
37.3%
21
62.7%
Q2 - 9:55CHAMISS Kaminsky 3' Layup23
36.5%
21
63.5%
Q2 - 10:15MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T6)23
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q2 - 10:27MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
37.3%
21
62.7%
Q2 - 10:29CHAMISS Lamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
36.5%
21
63.5%
Q2 - 10:39CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
34.7%
21
65.3%
Q2 - 10:40MIAMISS Winslow 17' Jump Shot23
35.5%
21
64.5%
Q2 - 10:46MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)23
37.3%
21
62.7%
Q2 - 10:47CHAMISS Sessions 2' Driving Layup23
36.5%
21
63.5%
Q2 - 11:03MIAReed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
34.4%
21
65.6%
Q2 - 11:03MIAReed Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)23
34.4%
21
65.6%
Q2 - 11:07MIAKaminsky BLOCK (2 BLK)21
30.8%
21
69.2%
Q2 - 11:12CHAKaminsky Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)21
32.3%
21
67.7%
Q2 - 11:25MIAJohnson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (McGruder 1 AST)21
30.2%
21
69.8%
Q2 - 11:35MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
28.2%
21
71.8%
Q2 - 11:37CHAMISS Lamb 3' Jump Shot19
27.6%
21
72.4%
Q2 - 11:44CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)19
26.3%
21
73.7%
Q2 - 11:45MIAMISS Ellington 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
26.9%
21
73.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
28.3%
21
71.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAReed REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
28.3%
21
71.7%
Q1 - 0:01.0CHAMISS Kaminsky 8' Jump Shot19
27.3%
21
72.7%
Q1 - 0:24.0CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)19
26.4%
21
73.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0MIAMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
26.8%
21
73.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
27.8%
21
72.2%
Q1 - 0:32.0CHAMISS Kaminsky 3' Layup19
27.4%
21
72.6%
Q1 - 0:45.0MIAEllington 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)19
26.4%
21
73.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMcGruder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
22.5%
21
77.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0CHAMISS Batum 18' Jump Shot16
22.1%
21
77.9%
Q1 - 1:10MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)16
21.3%
21
78.7%
Q1 - 1:10MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 215
21.0%
21
79.0%
Q1 - 1:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
20.9%
21
79.1%
Q1 - 1:14CHAMISS Sessions 1' Layup15
20.6%
21
79.4%
Q1 - 1:20CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)15
19.8%
21
80.2%
Q1 - 1:21MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup15
20.1%
21
79.9%
Q1 - 1:36CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)15
20.9%
21
79.1%
Q1 - 1:36CHAZeller Putback Layup (4 PTS)15
20.9%
21
79.1%
Q1 - 1:37CHAMISS Lamb 1' Driving Reverse Layup15
23.8%
19
76.2%
Q1 - 1:46CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)15
22.9%
19
77.1%
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
23.3%
19
76.7%
Q1 - 1:56CHABatum Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)15
24.2%
19
75.8%
Q1 - 2:07CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
23.0%
19
77.0%
Q1 - 2:10CHAMISS Sessions 7' Jump Shot15
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 2:16CHAKaminsky REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
23.0%
19
77.0%
Q1 - 2:18MIAKaminsky BLOCK (1 BLK)15
23.4%
19
76.6%
Q1 - 2:28MIABabbitt REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
24.5%
19
75.5%
Q1 - 2:29CHAMISS Kaminsky 7' Hook Shot15
24.0%
19
76.0%
Q1 - 2:39CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
23.0%
19
77.0%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Turnaround Hook Shot15
23.4%
19
76.6%
Q1 - 3:00CHAZeller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
24.4%
19
75.6%
Q1 - 3:00CHAZeller Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)15
24.4%
19
75.6%
Q1 - 3:01CHAMISS Batum 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup15
27.5%
17
72.5%
Q1 - 3:27CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)15
26.2%
17
73.8%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 215
26.4%
17
73.6%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 215
27.5%
17
72.5%
Q1 - 3:33MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)15
28.2%
17
71.8%
Q1 - 3:34CHAMISS Kaminsky 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
27.6%
17
72.4%
Q1 - 3:57MIAJohnson 18' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Babbitt 1 AST)15
26.2%
17
73.8%
Q1 - 4:16CHAWalker 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)13
24.6%
17
75.4%
Q1 - 4:36MIAWhiteside 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)13
27.7%
14
72.3%
Q1 - 4:49MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 4:50CHAMISS Batum 14' Jump Shot11
25.7%
14
74.3%
Q1 - 5:02MIAWhiteside 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T5)11
24.4%
14
75.6%
Q1 - 5:25CHABatum Running Dunk (5 PTS)11
26.1%
14
73.9%
Q1 - 5:29MIABatum STEAL (3 STL)11
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 5:35MIAHeat Rebound11
29.5%
12
70.5%
Q1 - 5:35CHAMISS Lamb 16' Jump Shot11
28.9%
12
71.1%
Q1 - 5:43CHALamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
27.6%
12
72.4%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot11
28.2%
12
71.8%
Q1 - 5:57MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
29.5%
12
70.5%
Q1 - 5:58CHAMISS Williams 14' Jump Shot11
28.9%
12
71.1%
Q1 - 6:05CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
27.5%
12
72.5%
Q1 - 6:06MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
28.1%
12
71.9%
Q1 - 6:20CHABatum Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)11
29.3%
12
70.7%
Q1 - 6:23MIABatum STEAL (2 STL)11
27.5%
12
72.5%
Q1 - 6:33CHAWilliams 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Batum 3 AST)11
29.3%
12
70.7%
Q1 - 6:51MIABabbitt 12' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)11
30.9%
10
69.1%
Q1 - 7:03MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
29.2%
10
70.8%
Q1 - 7:04CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
28.6%
10
71.4%
Q1 - 7:27MIABabbitt 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Winslow 4 AST)9
27.4%
10
72.6%
Q1 - 7:45CHAKidd-Gilchrist 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)6
24.7%
10
75.3%
Q1 - 7:59CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)6
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 8:00MIAMISS Whiteside 12' Jump Shot6
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 8:05MIAHeat Rebound6
27.5%
8
72.5%
Q1 - 8:05MIAKidd-Gilchrist BLOCK (1 BLK)6
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 8:10MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.5%
8
72.5%
Q1 - 8:11CHAMISS Kidd-Gilchrist 7' Jump Shot6
27.0%
8
73.0%
Q1 - 8:28CHAKidd-Gilchrist REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.9%
8
74.1%
Q1 - 8:29MIAMISS Dragic 9' Floating Jump Shot6
26.4%
8
73.6%
Q1 - 8:39CHABatum Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)6
27.6%
8
72.4%
Q1 - 8:54MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Winslow 3 AST)6
30.5%
5
69.5%
Q1 - 9:14CHAWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Batum 2 AST)4
29.0%
5
71.0%
Q1 - 9:22CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 9:23MIAMISS Winslow 20' Jump Shot4
32.4%
2
67.6%
Q1 - 9:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 9:34CHAMISS Batum 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
33.2%
2
66.8%
Q1 - 9:51MIADragic 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Winslow 2 AST)4
31.8%
2
68.2%
Q1 - 10:10CHAWilliams Layup (2 PTS) (Batum 1 AST)2
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 10:32MIAKidd-Gilchrist STEAL (1 STL)2
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 10:41MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.6%
0
66.4%
Q1 - 10:42CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
33.1%
0
66.9%
Q1 - 10:46CHABatum REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 10:48CHAMISS Walker 9' Jump Shot2
33.1%
0
66.9%
Q1 - 11:02MIABatum STEAL (1 STL)2
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 11:16MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
33.3%
0
66.7%
Q1 - 11:17CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
32.8%
0
67.2%
Q1 - 11:35MIABabbitt 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)2
31.8%
0
68.2%
Q1 - 11:43MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.2%
0
69.8%
Q1 - 11:44CHAMISS Batum 17' Jump Shot0
29.7%
0
70.3%
Q1 - 12:00CHAJump Ball Zeller vs. Whiteside: Tip to Batum0
28.7%
0
71.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.6%
CHA
0.88 43.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
24
46%
CHA
20
35
57%
Midrange
MIA
12
30
40%
CHA
11
32
34%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
28
36%
54%
CHA
5
7.5
26
19%
29%
Free Throws
MIA
6
13
46%
CHA
14
18
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Richardson2071%10.0 / 14
T. Johnson1856%9.0 / 16
W. Ellington1260%6.0 / 10
H. Whiteside857%4.0 / 7
L. Babbitt770%3.5 / 5
J. Johnson630%3.0 / 10
G. Dragic521%2.5 / 12
W. Reed583%2.5 / 3
J. Winslow15%0.5 / 10
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Walker2252%11.0 / 21
N. Batum1644%8.0 / 18
M. Williams1354%6.5 / 12
J. Lamb1045%5.0 / 11
C. Zeller964%4.5 / 7
R. Sessions945%4.5 / 10
M. Kidd-Gilchrist429%2.0 / 7
F. Kaminsky417%2.0 / 12
R. Hibbert467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
83
+7
-16
90
CHA
90
+13
-8
103
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.91 45.6%
CHA
0.88 43.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
109.3
MIA 82.8
CHA 92.9 +10.0
Pace
95.0
95.3
MIA 103.6 +9.8
CHA 93.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
15.3
MIA 13.9 +1.4
CHA 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
50.1%
MIA 46.3% +4.9%
CHA 41.4%
TO %
13.2%
11.4%
MIA 16.2%
CHA 8.2% +8.0%
ORB %
24.2%
20.0%
MIA 8.5%
CHA 20.8% +12.3%
FTrt
25.1
27.9
MIA 15.9
CHA 19.4 +3.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.4%
61.1%
MIA 78.8% +28.8%
CHA 50.0%
STL %
7.5%
7.3%
MIA 6.1%
CHA 9.2% +3.1%
BLK %
9.3%
8.6%
MIA 14.9% +0.1%
CHA 14.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.12 and 2.12.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
53.4%
MIA 45.6% +1.8%
CHA 43.8%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.4%
MIA 45.8%
CHA 57.1% +11.3%
Mid FG%
39.4%
39.7%
MIA 40.0% +5.6%
CHA 34.4%
3P %
36.5%
35.1%
MIA 35.7% +16.5%
CHA 19.2%
FT %
70.6%
81.5%
MIA 46.2%
CHA 77.8% +31.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.4%
32.3%
MIA 29.3%
CHA 37.6% +8.4%
Mid Att. %
33.1%
34.2%
MIA 36.6%
CHA 34.4% +2.2%
3P Att. %
31.4%
33.5%
MIA 34.1% +6.2%
CHA 28.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.38 and 2.38.
Game TotalsMIACHA
Possessions9998
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points8291
Rebounds4654
Assists2618
Steals69
Blocks108
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)11 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)42 (3)43 (2)
Field Goals33-8236-93
At-the-Rim FG11-2420-35
Midrange FG12-3011-32
2-Point FG23-5431-67
3-Point FG10-285-26
Free Throws6-1314-18
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 265 · 28
34.7
8
57%
10
0
0
2
4
2
0
10
0-0
-
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 23
33.2
20
71%
4
2
1
1
1
3
0
4
1-1
100%
5-9
56%
3-5
60%
G · 6'3" 190 · 31
32.1
5
21%
3
8
0
0
4
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
0-4
0%
F · 6'7" 225 · 21
28.9
1
5%
5
5
1
0
3
2
1
4
1-2
50%
0-9
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 28
21.0
7
70%
3
1
0
2
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 186 · 25
27.8
18
56%
7
5
2
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
6-10
60%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 240 · 30
17.9
6
30%
4
2
1
1
3
3
1
3
2-7
29%
2-6
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 200 · 29
17.4
12
60%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
4-9
44%
G-F · 6'4" 200 · 25
13.8
0
0%
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'11" 245 · 27
13.3
5
83%
7
0
0
3
0
2
1
6
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 26
· 6'10" 240 · 30
F · 6'8" 235 · 37
#11 · G · 6'4" 215 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
82
46%
46
26
6
10
16
0
4
42
6-13
46%
23-54
43%
10-28
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.