Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, January 9, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Pelicans | 52% | 112 | 132 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Bulls | 24% | 108 | 99 |
 | 1 | Celtics | 76% | 119 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Bucks | 39% | 108 | 111 |
 | 5 | Knicks | 61% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Lakers | 23% | 110 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Magic | 36% | 113 | 111 |
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Sunday, January 8, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Pistons | 32% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Raptors | 61% | 114 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Hornets | 36% | 112 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Nets | 52% | 109 | 102 |
 | 7 | Heat | 48% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 5 | Grizzlies | 64% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Timberwolves | 61% | 114 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Mavericks | 35% | 108 | 109 |
 | 23 | Thunder | 65% | 113 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, January 7, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 87% | 121 | 121 |
| 30 | Spurs | 13% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 58% | 118 | 118 |
| 22 | Bulls | 42% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 40% | 109 | 117 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 60% | 113 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 35% | 109 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 32% | 115 | 136 |
| 12 | Kings | 68% | 121 | 134 |
Friday, January 6, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 115 | 99 |
| 15 | Pacers | 55% | 117 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 36% | 110 | 126 |
| 11 | 76ers | 64% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Knicks | 46% | 109 | 112 |
| 7 | Raptors | 54% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nets | 54% | 113 | 108 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 46% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 26% | 106 | 138 |
| 5 | Bucks | 74% | 115 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 52% | 113 | 110 |
| 24 | Thunder | 48% | 112 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 49% | 115 | 109 |
| 29 | Spurs | 51% | 116 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 33% | 107 | 115 |
| 21 | Timberwolves | 67% | 113 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 49% | 111 | 108 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 51% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 51% | 108 | 104 |
| 13 | Suns | 49% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 49% | 116 | 114 |
| 22 | Lakers | 51% | 117 | 130 |
Thursday, January 5, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grizzlies | 69% | 113 | 123 |
| 27 | Magic | 31% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 59% | 115 | 124 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 41% | 112 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 72% | 119 | 131 |
| 30 | Rockets | 28% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 43% | 113 | 91 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 57% | 116 | 122 |
Wednesday, January 4, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grizzlies | 70% | 117 | 131 |
| 25 | Hornets | 30% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 43% | 106 | 88 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 57% | 109 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Thunder | 45% | 110 | 115 |
| 26 | Magic | 55% | 112 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 41% | 111 | 126 |
| 12 | 76ers | 59% | 114 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Spurs | 21% | 107 | 114 |
| 6 | Knicks | 79% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 38% | 108 | 104 |
| 9 | Raptors | 62% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 59% | 115 | 112 |
| 22 | Bulls | 41% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 113 | 106 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 51% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Rockets | 29% | 108 | 108 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 71% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 31% | 110 | 122 |
| 18 | Warriors | 69% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 66% | 112 | 109 |
| 28 | Lakers | 34% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hawks | 47% | 118 | 120 |
| 15 | Kings | 53% | 119 | 117 |
Tuesday, January 3, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 36% | 109 | 113 |
| 6 | Bucks | 64% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 75% | 117 | 117 |
| 24 | Thunder | 25% | 108 | 150 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 37% | 118 | 117 |
| 8 | Jazz | 63% | 122 | 115 |
Monday, January 2, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 39% | 108 | 83 |
| 6 | Knicks | 61% | 112 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 49% | 115 | 121 |
| 25 | Hornets | 51% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 41% | 107 | 134 |
| 12 | Cavaliers | 59% | 110 | 145 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 48% | 113 | 114 |
| 17 | Pacers | 52% | 114 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 41% | 109 | 111 |
| 4 | 76ers | 59% | 112 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 19% | 108 | 103 |
| 3 | Nets | 81% | 121 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Mavericks | 66% | 115 | 111 |
| 30 | Rockets | 34% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 53% | 115 | 111 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 47% | 113 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 45% | 114 | 141 |
| 20 | Warriors | 55% | 116 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 29% | 110 | 106 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 118 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 48% | 107 | 110 |
| 13 | Clippers | 52% | 108 | 100 |
Sunday, January 1, 2023
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 35% | 113 | 108 |
| 2 | Grizzlies | 65% | 119 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 49% | 110 | 118 |
| 23 | Bucks | 51% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 58% | 116 | 111 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 42% | 113 | 123 |
Saturday, December 31, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 56% | 114 | 130 |
| 17 | Pacers | 44% | 112 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 68% | 116 | 123 |
| 26 | Hornets | 32% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cavaliers | 57% | 111 | 103 |
| 22 | Bulls | 43% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 67% | 113 | 108 |
| 30 | Rockets | 33% | 107 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 67% | 117 | 126 |
| 29 | Spurs | 33% | 111 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pelicans | 30% | 110 | 101 |
| 2 | Grizzlies | 70% | 117 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 32% | 111 | 116 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 68% | 117 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 60% | 111 | 115 |
| 25 | Thunder | 40% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 38% | 110 | 126 |
| 7 | Jazz | 62% | 114 | 123 |
Friday, December 30, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 55% | 112 | 119 |
| 27 | Magic | 45% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 39% | 115 | 130 |
| 17 | Hawks | 61% | 119 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 51% | 110 | 104 |
| 15 | Raptors | 49% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 36% | 111 | 118 |
| 21 | Bulls | 64% | 116 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 32% | 108 | 114 |
| 8 | Bucks | 68% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 51% | 113 | 116 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 49% | 112 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Heat | 45% | 112 | 119 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 55% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 115 | 112 |
| 22 | Warriors | 45% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 51% | 120 | 125 |
| 19 | Kings | 49% | 119 | 126 |
Thursday, December 29, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Thunder | 49% | 114 | 113 |
| 26 | Hornets | 51% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 57% | 112 | 126 |
| 19 | Pacers | 43% | 109 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 30% | 106 | 110 |
| 1 | Celtics | 70% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Grizzlies | 58% | 113 | 119 |
| 15 | Raptors | 42% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 69% | 115 | 115 |
| 30 | Spurs | 31% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Rockets | 22% | 108 | 114 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 78% | 119 | 129 |
Wednesday, December 28, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 47% | 112 | 101 |
| 29 | Pistons | 53% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 52% | 110 | 102 |
| 20 | Wizards | 48% | 109 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 69% | 116 | 108 |
| 23 | Hawks | 31% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 32% | 107 | 98 |
| 14 | Heat | 68% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Bucks | 57% | 114 | 113 |
| 21 | Bulls | 43% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 37% | 112 | 118 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 63% | 116 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 63% | 116 | 107 |
| 27 | Warriors | 37% | 112 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 52% | 118 | 126 |
| 17 | Kings | 48% | 117 | 127 |
Tuesday, December 27, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 46% | 112 | 129 |
| 24 | Magic | 54% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 63% | 113 | 111 |
| 20 | Wizards | 37% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Rockets | 12% | 103 | 102 |
| 1 | Celtics | 88% | 120 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 55% | 118 | 114 |
| 19 | Pacers | 45% | 116 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clippers | 42% | 108 | 124 |
| 8 | Raptors | 58% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 33% | 108 | 125 |
| 2 | Grizzlies | 67% | 115 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Spurs | 34% | 111 | 114 |
| 27 | Thunder | 66% | 117 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Knicks | 45% | 112 | 121 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 55% | 114 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 38% | 111 | 105 |
| 23 | Warriors | 62% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 63% | 122 | 113 |
| 22 | Kings | 37% | 118 | 106 |