Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, April 3, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 1 | Celtics | 80% | 113 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Mavericks | 39% | 109 | 118 |
 | 7 | Bucks | 61% | 113 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Lakers | 33% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Pistons | 37% | 109 | 121 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Knicks | 65% | 108 | 118 |
 | 28 | Magic | 35% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Heat | 40% | 105 | 114 |
 | 10 | Raptors | 60% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Timberwolves | 76% | 122 | 139 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Thunder | 11% | 101 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Pelicans | 44% | 109 | 100 |
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Saturday, April 2, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 37% | 105 | 119 |
| 17 | Knicks | 63% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Nets | 56% | 118 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 55% | 109 | 127 |
 | 19 | Bulls | 45% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 10 | Warriors | 53% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Hornets | 35% | 110 | 114 |
| 4 | 76ers | 65% | 115 | 144 |
Friday, April 1, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 78% | 113 | 102 |
| 27 | Magic | 22% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 64% | 112 | 103 |
| 23 | Wizards | 36% | 106 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 15% | 103 | 123 |
| 1 | Celtics | 85% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 54% | 114 | 122 |
| 28 | Rockets | 46% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 57% | 111 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 52% | 109 | 153 |
| 22 | Bucks | 48% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 51% | 106 | 110 |
| 29 | Thunder | 49% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 16% | 104 | 111 |
| 19 | Spurs | 84% | 119 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Timberwolves | 43% | 114 | 136 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 57% | 117 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 56% | 112 | 114 |
| 20 | Lakers | 44% | 110 | 111 |
Thursday, March 31, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 78% | 113 | 94 |
| 26 | Pistons | 22% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Cavaliers | 37% | 111 | 107 |
| 18 | Hawks | 63% | 116 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 46% | 115 | 120 |
| 5 | Nets | 54% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 51% | 111 | 130 |
| 19 | Bulls | 49% | 110 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 21% | 106 | 109 |
| 6 | Jazz | 79% | 118 | 122 |
Wednesday, March 30, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 48% | 108 | 120 |
| 20 | Cavaliers | 52% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 67% | 120 | 125 |
| 23 | Pacers | 33% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 36% | 106 | 110 |
| 22 | Wizards | 64% | 111 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 37% | 102 | 106 |
| 4 | Celtics | 63% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 47% | 110 | 125 |
| 17 | Knicks | 53% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 46% | 111 | 102 |
| 11 | Raptors | 54% | 112 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 55% | 114 | 121 |
| 28 | Rockets | 45% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 77% | 115 | 136 |
| 29 | Thunder | 23% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Grizzlies | 61% | 114 | 112 |
| 21 | Spurs | 39% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 59% | 111 | 107 |
| 18 | Warriors | 41% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 82% | 116 | 117 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 18% | 103 | 107 |
Tuesday, March 29, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 43% | 110 | 118 |
| 3 | 76ers | 57% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 51% | 112 | 107 |
| 22 | Wizards | 49% | 111 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 17% | 105 | 123 |
| 4 | Nets | 83% | 119 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 23% | 104 | 110 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 77% | 114 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jazz | 48% | 109 | 115 |
| 15 | Clippers | 52% | 110 | 121 |
Monday, March 28, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nuggets | 52% | 116 | 113 |
| 13 | Hornets | 48% | 115 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 25% | 103 | 101 |
| 18 | Cavaliers | 75% | 112 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 60% | 118 | 132 |
| 23 | Pacers | 40% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 21% | 102 | 100 |
| 8 | Heat | 79% | 114 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 46% | 108 | 104 |
| 16 | Knicks | 54% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 31% | 100 | 112 |
| 9 | Raptors | 69% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 69% | 118 | 123 |
| 28 | Rockets | 31% | 111 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Warriors | 33% | 104 | 95 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 67% | 111 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 55% | 106 | 134 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 104 | 131 |
Sunday, March 27, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 66% | 110 | 104 |
| 26 | Pistons | 34% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 33% | 108 | 112 |
| 1 | Celtics | 67% | 114 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 68% | 111 | 115 |
| 23 | Wizards | 32% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 35% | 109 | 104 |
| 2 | Suns | 65% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 36% | 110 | 108 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 64% | 115 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 42% | 114 | 119 |
| 8 | Nets | 58% | 117 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 49% | 109 | 100 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 51% | 110 | 114 |
Saturday, March 26, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 37% | 109 | 107 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 63% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 54% | 110 | 114 |
| 28 | Magic | 46% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pacers | 26% | 106 | 91 |
| 12 | Raptors | 74% | 115 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 41% | 109 | 98 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 59% | 112 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nets | 47% | 111 | 110 |
| 9 | Heat | 53% | 112 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 43% | 110 | 102 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 57% | 112 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 13% | 101 | 107 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 87% | 117 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 56% | 112 | 115 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 44% | 110 | 98 |
Friday, March 25, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 53% | 115 | 101 |
| 14 | Hornets | 47% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 45% | 108 | 100 |
| 25 | Pistons | 55% | 110 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 51% | 112 | 110 |
| 16 | Hawks | 49% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 29% | 101 | 111 |
| 3 | Heat | 71% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 41% | 110 | 95 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 59% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 57% | 112 | 125 |
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 58% | 110 | 122 |
| 18 | Clippers | 42% | 107 | 97 |
Thursday, March 24, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Cavaliers | 40% | 104 | 104 |
| 12 | Raptors | 60% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 23% | 108 | 103 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 77% | 118 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 32% | 107 | 102 |
| 18 | Bucks | 68% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 43% | 107 | 109 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 57% | 109 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Suns | 46% | 112 | 140 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 54% | 114 | 130 |
Wednesday, March 23, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 34% | 107 | 121 |
| 12 | Hornets | 66% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 63% | 115 | 101 |
| 24 | Pistons | 37% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 33% | 111 | 110 |
| 22 | Pacers | 67% | 117 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 36% | 105 | 97 |
| 1 | Celtics | 64% | 110 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 31% | 102 | 118 |
| 3 | Heat | 69% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 41% | 111 | 120 |
| 5 | Grizzlies | 59% | 115 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 43% | 114 | 125 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 57% | 116 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 52% | 105 | 102 |
| 30 | Thunder | 48% | 104 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Rockets | 23% | 104 | 91 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 77% | 114 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 76ers | 74% | 114 | 126 |
| 25 | Lakers | 26% | 105 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Spurs | 73% | 114 | 133 |
| 29 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 105 | 96 |
Tuesday, March 22, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Warriors | 73% | 111 | 90 |
| 26 | Magic | 27% | 102 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 55% | 111 | 117 |
| 19 | Knicks | 45% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 30% | 108 | 98 |
| 6 | Bucks | 70% | 115 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Clippers | 34% | 107 | 115 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 66% | 113 | 127 |
Monday, March 21, 2022
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 37% | 111 | 103 |
| 14 | Hornets | 63% | 116 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Lakers | 34% | 108 | 131 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 66% | 114 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 102 | 119 |
| 25 | Pistons | 75% | 112 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 64% | 107 | 106 |
| 21 | 76ers | 36% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 46% | 112 | 106 |
| 13 | Nets | 54% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 48% | 107 | 99 |
| 17 | Bulls | 52% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 64% | 116 | 97 |
| 28 | Rockets | 36% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Celtics | 85% | 112 | 132 |
| 29 | Thunder | 15% | 97 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 49% | 111 | 108 |
| 12 | Mavericks | 51% | 112 | 110 |