FinalWin Prob.pScore
964%112
103
2336%106
135
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
105.198100.8
WAS logo WAS
139.29794.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

WizardsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

WizardsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALWAS
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.103
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:20.7WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound103
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:22.8MavericksFrank Ntilikina misses two point driving layup103
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:28.0MavericksFrank Ntilikina defensive rebound103
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:30.9WizardsCorey Kispert misses two point pullup jump shot103
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:47.8MavericksFrank Ntilikina makes two point stepback jump shot103
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 0:57.8WizardsThomas Bryant makes three point jump shot (Raul Neto assists)101
0%
135
100%
Q4 - 1:06WizardsCorey Kispert defensive rebound101
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 1:09MavericksJosh Green misses two point floating jump shot101
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 1:21MavericksBrandon Knight defensive rebound101
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 1:24WizardsThomas Bryant misses two point hook shot101
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 1:36WizardsAnthony Gill defensive rebound101
0%
132
100%
Q4 - 1:40MavericksMarquese Chriss misses three point jump shot101
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52WizardsCorey Kispert turnover (out of bounds lost ball)101
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01WizardsAnthony Gill defensive rebound101
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05MavericksBrandon Knight misses three point stepback jump shot101
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14WizardsThomas Bryant makes two point hook shot (Deni Avdija assists)101
0.1%
132
99.9%
Q4 - 2:33MavericksJosh Green makes two point cutting dunk (Marquese Chriss assists)101
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34MavericksMarquese Chriss offensive rebound99
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37MavericksMarquese Chriss misses two point alley-oop dunk99
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 2:43WizardsCorey Kispert personal foul (Take) (Frank Ntilikina draws the foul)99
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 2:51WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point running jump shot (Rui Hachimura assists)99
0.1%
130
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound99
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 2:55MavericksKristaps Porzingis blocks Marquese Chriss's two point hook shot99
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 3:11MavericksMavericks offensive rebound99
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 3:16MavericksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot99
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27WizardsIsh Smith makes two point pullup jump shot99
0.1%
127
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point turnaround bank jump shot99
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes two point tip layup97
0.1%
125
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59WizardsKristaps Porzingis offensive rebound97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 4:01WizardsKristaps Porzingis misses two point layup97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 4:03WizardsKristaps Porzingis offensive rebound97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06WizardsLuka Doncic blocks Kristaps Porzingis's two point driving layup97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13WizardsIsh Smith defensive rebound97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 4:16MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point fadeaway jump shot97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32WizardsRui Hachimura makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)97
0.1%
123
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes three point running jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)97
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 4:55MavericksJalen Brunson defensive rebound94
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59WizardsIsh Smith misses two point pullup jump shot94
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04MavericksJalen Brunson personal foul (Loose ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)94
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04WizardsWizards offensive rebound94
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08WizardsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot94
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)94
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 5:43WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)91
0.1%
120
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58WizardsIsh Smith defensive rebound91
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01MavericksMaxi Kleber misses three point jump shot91
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point stepback jump shot91
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 291
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 290
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)89
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 6:52WizardsIsh Smith makes two point pullup jump shot89
0.1%
116
99.9%
Q4 - 7:10MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot89
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 7:27WizardsAnthony Gill makes regular free throw 2 of 287
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27WizardsAnthony Gill makes regular free throw 1 of 287
0.1%
113
99.9%
Q4 - 7:27MavericksLuka Doncic shooting foul (Anthony Gill draws the foul)87
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 7:47MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point fadeaway jump shot87
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 7:59WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point running jump shot (Corey Kispert assists)85
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 8:03MavericksJosh Green turnover (lost ball) (Corey Kispert steals)85
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 8:14WizardsAnthony Gill makes two point hook shot (Ish Smith assists)85
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 8:24WizardsDaniel Gafford defensive rebound85
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 8:27MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot85
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 8:47WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes technical free throw 1 of 185
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 8:47MavericksJason Kidd technical foul85
0.7%
106
99.3%
Q4 - 8:47WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes technical free throw 1 of 185
0.9%
106
99.1%
Q4 - 8:47MavericksJason Kidd technical foul85
1.0%
105
99.0%
Q4 - 8:47WizardsIsh Smith makes two point pullup jump shot85
1.1%
105
98.9%
Q4 - 8:59WizardsCorey Kispert makes technical free throw 1 of 185
1.5%
103
98.5%
Q4 - 8:59MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie technical foul85
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 8:59MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point running layup85
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 9:03MavericksJalen Brunson defensive rebound83
2.0%
102
98.0%
Q4 - 9:06WizardsAnthony Gill misses three point jump shot83
1.9%
102
98.1%
Q4 - 9:17WizardsIsh Smith defensive rebound83
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 9:19MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses two point floating jump shot83
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q4 - 9:34MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound83
2.0%
102
98.0%
Q4 - 9:36WizardsDeni Avdija misses two point pullup jump shot83
1.8%
102
98.2%
Q4 - 9:56MavericksDorian Finney-Smith makes two point cutting dunk (Jalen Brunson assists)83
1.5%
102
98.5%
Q4 - 10:09WizardsDeni Avdija makes regular free throw 1 of 181
1.7%
102
98.3%
Q4 - 10:09MavericksDorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Deni Avdija draws the foul)81
1.8%
101
98.2%
Q4 - 10:13MavericksJosh Green personal foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)81
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q4 - 10:24MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point pullup jump shot81
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q4 - 10:35WizardsAnthony Gill turnover (offensive foul)79
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 10:35WizardsAnthony Gill offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)79
1.6%
99
98.4%
Q4 - 10:39WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound79
1.6%
99
98.4%
Q4 - 10:42MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot79
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 10:46MavericksDwight Powell offensive rebound79
2.1%
99
97.9%
Q4 - 10:46MavericksJalen Brunson misses two point layup79
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 11:04WizardsAnthony Gill makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)79
2.5%
99
97.5%
Q4 - 11:10WizardsDaniel Gafford defensive rebound79
3.7%
96
96.3%
Q4 - 11:10MavericksAnthony Gill blocks Dwight Powell's two point alley-oop layup79
4.0%
96
96.0%
Q4 - 11:28WizardsDaniel Gafford makes two point alley-oop dunk (Deni Avdija assists)79
4.5%
96
95.5%
Q4 - 11:39WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound79
5.5%
94
94.5%
Q4 - 11:42MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses regular free throw 2 of 279
5.7%
94
94.3%
Q4 - 11:42MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 1 of 279
6.5%
94
93.5%
Q4 - 11:42WizardsDaniel Gafford shooting foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)78
6.2%
94
93.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.78
5.5%
94
94.5%
Q3 - 0:00.8MavericksMavericks offensive rebound78
6.7%
94
93.3%
Q3 - 0:00.8MavericksMaxi Kleber misses three point jump shot78
5.9%
94
94.1%
Q3 - 0:11.3MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound78
6.7%
94
93.3%
Q3 - 0:14.4WizardsIsh Smith misses two point driving hook shot78
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q3 - 0:28.6WizardsDaniel Gafford defensive rebound78
5.5%
94
94.5%
Q3 - 0:32.3MavericksMarquese Chriss misses three point jump shot78
5.8%
94
94.2%
Q3 - 0:49.5WizardsDeni Avdija makes three point jump shot (Anthony Gill assists)78
6.6%
94
93.4%
Q3 - 1:11WizardsCorey Kispert defensive rebound78
11.0%
91
89.0%
Q3 - 1:13MavericksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot78
11.7%
91
88.3%
Q3 - 1:16WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope personal foul (Marquese Chriss draws the foul)78
13.3%
91
86.7%
Q3 - 1:27WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (out of bounds bad pass)78
13.2%
91
86.8%
Q3 - 1:32WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound78
11.0%
91
89.0%
Q3 - 1:36MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point stepback jump shot78
11.6%
91
88.4%
Q3 - 1:52WizardsAnthony Gill turnover (out of bounds bad pass)78
13.2%
91
86.8%
Q3 - 2:05MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie turnover (traveling)78
12.6%
91
87.4%
Q3 - 2:19WizardsDeni Avdija turnover (bad pass) (Maxi Kleber steals)78
14.9%
91
85.1%
Q3 - 2:42MavericksMarquese Chriss makes two point layup (Luka Doncic assists)78
12.5%
91
87.5%
Q3 - 2:49MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound76
10.8%
91
89.2%
Q3 - 2:52WizardsDeni Avdija misses three point jump shot76
10.2%
91
89.8%
Q3 - 3:08MavericksMaxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Luka Doncic assists)76
10.1%
91
89.9%
Q3 - 3:22MavericksMarquese Chriss defensive rebound73
7.5%
91
92.5%
Q3 - 3:25WizardsIsh Smith misses three point jump shot73
7.1%
91
92.9%
Q3 - 3:44MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point fadeaway jump shot73
6.2%
91
93.8%
Q3 - 3:59MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound70
4.6%
91
95.4%
Q3 - 4:04WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point pullup jump shot70
5.2%
91
94.8%
Q3 - 4:25MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot70
4.5%
91
95.5%
Q3 - 4:48WizardsRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 167
3.3%
91
96.7%
Q3 - 4:48MavericksMarquese Chriss shooting foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)67
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q3 - 4:59WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound67
4.4%
88
95.6%
Q3 - 5:03MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot67
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q3 - 5:19MavericksJalen Brunson defensive rebound67
6.2%
88
93.8%
Q3 - 5:19WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot67
5.9%
88
94.1%
Q3 - 5:43MavericksReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Marquese Chriss assists)67
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q3 - 5:49MavericksJalen Brunson defensive rebound64
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q3 - 5:52WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot64
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q3 - 6:07MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point stepback jump shot64
3.9%
88
96.1%
Q3 - 6:20WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Rui Hachimura assists)62
3.4%
88
96.6%
Q3 - 6:35MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 262
4.5%
85
95.5%
Q3 - 6:35MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 261
4.3%
85
95.7%
Q3 - 6:35WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)60
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q3 - 6:50WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point pullup jump shot (Corey Kispert assists)60
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q3 - 7:05MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point floating jump shot (Reggie Bullock assists)60
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 7:21WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes regular free throw 1 of 158
4.4%
83
95.6%
Q3 - 7:21MavericksJalen Brunson shooting foul (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)58
4.5%
82
95.5%
Q3 - 7:24MavericksMaxi Kleber turnover (bad pass) (Kristaps Porzingis steals)58
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q3 - 7:44WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 258
6.7%
80
93.3%
Q3 - 7:44WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 258
6.9%
79
93.1%
Q3 - 7:44MavericksDorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)58
7.0%
78
93.0%
Q3 - 7:57WizardsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound58
7.5%
78
92.5%
Q3 - 7:59MavericksDwight Powell misses two point hook shot58
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q3 - 8:14MavericksReggie Bullock defensive rebound58
9.5%
78
90.5%
Q3 - 8:18WizardsRui Hachimura misses three point jump shot58
9.1%
78
90.9%
Q3 - 8:22WizardsTomas Satoransky defensive rebound58
8.1%
78
91.9%
Q3 - 8:24MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses three point jump shot58
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q3 - 8:25MavericksDorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound58
9.5%
78
90.5%
Q3 - 8:29MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot58
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q3 - 8:43WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes three point jump shot (Tomas Satoransky assists)58
9.5%
78
90.5%
Q3 - 8:56MavericksDwight Powell makes two point alley-oop dunk (Luka Doncic assists)58
12.0%
75
88.0%
Q3 - 9:14WizardsRui Hachimura makes three point jump shot (Tomas Satoransky assists)56
11.7%
75
88.3%
Q3 - 9:18WizardsTomas Satoransky defensive rebound56
14.7%
72
85.3%
Q3 - 9:22MavericksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot56
15.3%
72
84.7%
Q3 - 9:44WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Rui Hachimura assists)56
16.8%
72
83.2%
Q3 - 9:52MavericksDorian Finney-Smith turnover (bad pass) (Rui Hachimura steals)56
20.8%
69
79.2%
Q3 - 10:01WizardsTomas Satoransky turnover (bad pass) (Jalen Brunson steals)56
24.9%
69
75.1%
Q3 - 10:07MavericksJalen Brunson turnover (bad pass) (Kristaps Porzingis steals)56
22.1%
69
77.9%
Q3 - 10:17MavericksJalen Brunson defensive rebound56
24.8%
69
75.2%
Q3 - 10:21WizardsTomas Satoransky misses two point jump shot56
24.0%
69
76.0%
Q3 - 10:38MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point jump shot56
22.0%
69
78.0%
Q3 - 10:40MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound53
17.9%
69
82.1%
Q3 - 10:43WizardsKristaps Porzingis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot53
17.2%
69
82.8%
Q3 - 11:04MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)53
16.9%
69
83.1%
Q3 - 11:17WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 253
18.9%
69
81.1%
Q3 - 11:17WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 253
19.2%
68
80.8%
Q3 - 11:17MavericksReggie Bullock shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)53
19.5%
67
80.5%
Q3 - 11:19WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound53
20.9%
67
79.1%
Q3 - 11:23MavericksRui Hachimura blocks Luka Doncic's two point layup53
21.6%
67
78.4%
Q3 - 11:36MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound53
23.3%
67
76.7%
Q3 - 11:40WizardsKristaps Porzingis misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot53
22.6%
67
77.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.53
20.9%
67
79.1%
Q2 - 0:00.3MavericksMavericks offensive rebound53
24.5%
67
75.5%
Q2 - 0:00.3MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot53
23.3%
67
76.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0WizardsDaniel Gafford makes two point dunk53
24.5%
67
75.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0WizardsDaniel Gafford offensive rebound53
27.6%
65
72.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot53
29.0%
65
71.0%
Q2 - 0:06.2MavericksJalen Brunson personal foul (Take) (Ish Smith draws the foul)53
27.6%
65
72.4%
Q2 - 0:22.1WizardsIsh Smith defensive rebound53
27.5%
65
72.5%
Q2 - 0:24.7MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot53
28.1%
65
71.9%
Q2 - 0:38.9WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)53
29.5%
65
70.5%
Q2 - 0:45.1MavericksLuka Doncic makes three point stepback jump shot53
35.9%
62
64.1%
Q2 - 1:01WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope turnover (out of bounds bad pass)50
30.8%
62
69.2%
Q2 - 1:15MavericksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 150
29.0%
62
71.0%
Q2 - 1:15WizardsIsh Smith shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)49
28.6%
62
71.4%
Q2 - 1:35WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point running pullup jump shot47
23.2%
62
76.8%
Q2 - 1:39WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound47
26.4%
60
73.6%
Q2 - 1:42MavericksReggie Bullock misses three point jump shot47
26.9%
60
73.1%
Q2 - 1:59MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound47
28.0%
60
72.0%
Q2 - 2:03WizardsMaxi Kleber blocks Ish Smith's two point driving layup47
29.2%
60
70.8%
Q2 - 2:24MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 247
27.4%
60
72.6%
Q2 - 2:24MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 246
26.8%
60
73.2%
Q2 - 2:24WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)45
26.2%
60
73.8%
Q2 - 2:36MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound45
25.0%
60
75.0%
Q2 - 2:40WizardsIsh Smith misses two point pullup jump shot45
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q2 - 2:48WizardsWizards offensive rebound45
22.8%
60
77.2%
Q2 - 2:48WizardsDwight Powell blocks Rui Hachimura's two point cutting dunk45
24.3%
60
75.7%
Q2 - 2:52WizardsDaniel Gafford defensive rebound45
22.8%
60
77.2%
Q2 - 2:55MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point floating jump shot45
23.4%
60
76.6%
Q2 - 3:01MavericksMaxi Kleber defensive rebound45
26.9%
60
73.1%
Q2 - 3:04WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point pullup jump shot45
26.1%
60
73.9%
Q2 - 3:17MavericksDwight Powell turnover (offensive foul)45
24.2%
60
75.8%
Q2 - 3:17MavericksDwight Powell offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope draws the foul)45
26.8%
60
73.2%
Q2 - 3:34WizardsDeni Avdija makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)45
26.8%
60
73.2%
Q2 - 3:47WizardsKristaps Porzingis misses technical free throw 1 of 145
31.1%
57
68.9%
Q2 - 3:47Mavericks technical foul (Defensive three second)45
29.2%
57
70.8%
Q2 - 4:03MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 245
32.9%
57
67.1%
Q2 - 4:03MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 244
32.4%
57
67.6%
Q2 - 4:03WizardsRui Hachimura personal foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)43
31.8%
57
68.2%
Q2 - 4:10MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound43
30.5%
57
69.5%
Q2 - 4:14WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point jump shot43
29.7%
57
70.3%
Q2 - 4:27MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 243
28.0%
57
72.0%
Q2 - 4:27MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 242
27.5%
57
72.5%
Q2 - 4:27WizardsCorey Kispert shooting foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)41
26.9%
57
73.1%
Q2 - 4:31MavericksReggie Bullock defensive rebound41
25.9%
57
74.1%
Q2 - 4:34WizardsKristaps Porzingis misses two point driving hook shot41
25.2%
57
74.8%
Q2 - 4:48WizardsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound41
23.6%
57
76.4%
Q2 - 4:51MavericksDorian Finney-Smith misses three point running jump shot41
24.3%
57
75.7%
Q2 - 4:55MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound41
25.8%
57
74.2%
Q2 - 4:59WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses three point pullup jump shot41
25.1%
57
74.9%
Q2 - 5:28MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 2 of 241
24.2%
57
75.8%
Q2 - 5:28MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 1 of 240
23.8%
57
76.2%
Q2 - 5:28WizardsTomas Satoransky shooting foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)39
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q2 - 5:43MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound39
22.6%
57
77.4%
Q2 - 5:46WizardsRui Hachimura misses regular free throw 2 of 239
22.3%
57
77.7%
Q2 - 5:46WizardsRui Hachimura makes regular free throw 1 of 239
21.1%
57
78.9%
Q2 - 5:46MavericksDorian Finney-Smith shooting foul (Rui Hachimura draws the foul)39
21.5%
56
78.5%
Q2 - 5:47MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Corey Kispert steals)39
22.2%
56
77.8%
Q2 - 6:06WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point putback layup39
25.4%
56
74.6%
Q2 - 6:06WizardsRui Hachimura offensive rebound39
27.0%
54
73.0%
Q2 - 6:10WizardsIsh Smith misses three point jump shot39
28.9%
54
71.1%
Q2 - 6:29MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie turnover (out of bounds bad pass)39
27.0%
54
73.0%
Q2 - 6:39WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point driving layup (Ish Smith assists)39
29.7%
54
70.3%
Q2 - 6:53WizardsCorey Kispert defensive rebound39
31.5%
52
68.5%
Q2 - 6:56MavericksJalen Brunson misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot39
32.4%
52
67.6%
Q2 - 7:06MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound39
35.5%
52
64.5%
Q2 - 7:09WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot39
34.8%
52
65.2%
Q2 - 7:21MavericksJalen Brunson makes regular free throw 1 of 139
33.0%
52
67.0%
Q2 - 7:21WizardsIsh Smith shooting foul (Jalen Brunson draws the foul)38
32.7%
52
67.3%
Q2 - 7:40WizardsDeni Avdija makes three point jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)36
28.5%
52
71.5%
Q2 - 7:53WizardsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound36
32.9%
49
67.1%
Q2 - 7:56MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses regular free throw 2 of 236
33.3%
49
66.7%
Q2 - 7:56MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes regular free throw 1 of 236
34.9%
49
65.1%
Q2 - 7:56WizardsCorey Kispert shooting foul (Spencer Dinwiddie draws the foul)35
34.3%
49
65.7%
Q2 - 8:03MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie defensive rebound35
33.3%
49
66.7%
Q2 - 8:07WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot35
32.6%
49
67.4%
Q2 - 8:28WizardsWizards defensive rebound35
31.0%
49
69.0%
Q2 - 8:30MavericksDavis Bertans misses three point jump shot35
31.7%
49
68.3%
Q2 - 8:43WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes two point hook shot35
33.4%
49
66.6%
Q2 - 9:03MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point driving layup35
36.2%
47
63.8%
Q2 - 9:12MavericksJosh Green defensive rebound33
33.9%
47
66.1%
Q2 - 9:15WizardsKristaps Porzingis misses two point pullup jump shot33
33.2%
47
66.8%
Q2 - 9:26WizardsAnthony Gill defensive rebound33
31.6%
47
68.4%
Q2 - 9:30MavericksMaxi Kleber misses three point jump shot33
32.3%
47
67.7%
Q2 - 9:44WizardsIsh Smith turnover (out of bounds step)33
33.9%
47
66.1%
Q2 - 10:01MavericksMaxi Kleber makes three point jump shot (Jalen Brunson assists)33
32.4%
47
67.6%
Q2 - 10:09MavericksMavericks defensive rebound30
28.2%
47
71.8%
Q2 - 10:11WizardsDeni Avdija misses three point jump shot30
27.6%
47
72.4%
Q2 - 10:16WizardsAnthony Gill defensive rebound30
26.2%
47
73.8%
Q2 - 10:21MavericksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot30
26.8%
47
73.2%
Q2 - 10:39WizardsIsh Smith makes two point pullup jump shot30
28.2%
47
71.8%
Q2 - 10:58WizardsAnthony Gill defensive rebound30
30.2%
45
69.8%
Q2 - 11:02MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie misses three point jump shot30
32.3%
45
67.7%
Q2 - 11:17WizardsDeni Avdija makes two point pullup jump shot (Kristaps Porzingis assists)30
33.5%
45
66.5%
Q2 - 11:30WizardsDeni Avdija defensive rebound30
35.9%
43
64.1%
Q2 - 11:30MavericksJosh Green misses three point jump shot30
36.5%
43
63.5%
Q2 - 11:49WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes two point tip dunk30
37.9%
43
62.1%
Q2 - 11:49WizardsKristaps Porzingis offensive rebound30
40.4%
41
59.6%
Q2 - 11:49WizardsDeni Avdija misses two point layup30
41.9%
41
58.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.30
40.4%
41
59.6%
Q1 - 0:00.8WizardsAnthony Gill makes regular free throw 1 of 130
43.1%
41
56.9%
Q1 - 0:00.8MavericksJosh Green shooting foul (Anthony Gill draws the foul)30
43.5%
40
56.5%
Q1 - 0:14.0MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving layup30
48.1%
38
51.9%
Q1 - 0:33.2WizardsIsh Smith makes two point pullup jump shot28
45.4%
38
54.6%
Q1 - 0:39.9WizardsDaniel Gafford offensive rebound28
48.1%
36
51.9%
Q1 - 0:43.4WizardsCorey Kispert misses three point jump shot28
49.5%
36
50.5%
Q1 - 0:58.2MavericksJosh Green makes two point floating jump shot (Spencer Dinwiddie assists)28
48.1%
36
51.9%
Q1 - 1:04MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound26
45.8%
36
54.2%
Q1 - 1:08WizardsDaniel Gafford misses two point floating jump shot26
45.2%
36
54.8%
Q1 - 1:17MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie makes two point driving layup (Luka Doncic assists)26
43.8%
36
56.2%
Q1 - 1:29WizardsCorey Kispert makes three point jump shot (Deni Avdija assists)24
41.2%
36
58.8%
Q1 - 1:41MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 2 of 224
46.1%
33
53.9%
Q1 - 1:41MavericksLuka Doncic makes regular free throw 1 of 223
45.5%
33
54.5%
Q1 - 1:41WizardsDeni Avdija personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)22
44.9%
33
55.1%
Q1 - 1:58WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)22
43.4%
33
56.6%
Q1 - 2:09MavericksSpencer Dinwiddie turnover (bad pass) (Daniel Gafford steals)22
49.0%
30
51.0%
Q1 - 2:13WizardsDeni Avdija turnover (bad pass) (Dorian Finney-Smith steals)22
51.4%
30
48.6%
Q1 - 2:16WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope defensive rebound22
49.0%
30
51.0%
Q1 - 2:21MavericksJosh Green misses three point jump shot22
49.7%
30
50.3%
Q1 - 2:45WizardsDaniel Gafford makes regular free throw 2 of 222
51.3%
30
48.7%
Q1 - 2:45WizardsDaniel Gafford makes regular free throw 1 of 222
51.9%
29
48.1%
Q1 - 2:45MavericksMaxi Kleber shooting foul (Daniel Gafford draws the foul)22
52.6%
28
47.4%
Q1 - 2:57MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)22
53.5%
28
46.5%
Q1 - 3:10WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point driving layup22
56.0%
28
44.0%
Q1 - 3:27MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point layup (Reggie Bullock assists)22
57.8%
26
42.2%
Q1 - 3:30MavericksReggie Bullock offensive rebound20
56.0%
26
44.0%
Q1 - 3:34MavericksReggie Bullock misses two point jump shot20
54.2%
26
45.8%
Q1 - 3:34MavericksReggie Bullock offensive rebound20
56.0%
26
44.0%
Q1 - 3:35MavericksIsh Smith blocks Reggie Bullock's three point jump shot20
54.2%
26
45.8%
Q1 - 3:55WizardsIsh Smith makes two point pullup jump shot20
56.0%
26
44.0%
Q1 - 3:59WizardsDaniel Gafford offensive rebound20
57.8%
24
42.2%
Q1 - 4:02WizardsDeni Avdija misses two point pullup jump shot20
60.3%
24
39.7%
Q1 - 4:13MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving layup20
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q1 - 4:28WizardsRui Hachimura makes three point jump shot (Ish Smith assists)18
56.8%
24
43.2%
Q1 - 4:38MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point driving layup18
60.5%
21
39.5%
Q1 - 4:45MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound16
58.8%
21
41.2%
Q1 - 4:48WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope misses two point pullup jump shot16
58.1%
21
41.9%
Q1 - 4:56MavericksLuka Doncic personal foul (Deni Avdija draws the foul)16
56.4%
21
43.6%
Q1 - 5:05MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 216
57.4%
21
42.6%
Q1 - 5:05MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 215
57.0%
21
43.0%
Q1 - 5:05WizardsRui Hachimura shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)14
56.5%
21
43.5%
Q1 - 5:18WizardsRui Hachimura makes two point pullup jump shot14
55.6%
21
44.4%
Q1 - 5:30MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (traveling)14
57.3%
19
42.7%
Q1 - 5:37MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound14
59.6%
19
40.4%
Q1 - 5:40WizardsKristaps Porzingis misses two point pullup jump shot14
58.9%
19
41.1%
Q1 - 5:56MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 2 of 214
57.3%
19
42.7%
Q1 - 5:56MavericksDwight Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 213
56.9%
19
43.1%
Q1 - 5:56WizardsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Dwight Powell draws the foul)12
56.5%
19
43.5%
Q1 - 6:06WizardsTomas Satoransky personal foul (Luka Doncic draws the foul)12
55.9%
19
44.1%
Q1 - 6:09MavericksDorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound12
55.9%
19
44.1%
Q1 - 6:13WizardsKristaps Porzingis misses three point jump shot12
55.3%
19
44.7%
Q1 - 6:17WizardsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound12
53.9%
19
46.1%
Q1 - 6:20MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point pullup jump shot12
54.5%
19
45.5%
Q1 - 6:33WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes two point stepback jump shot (Tomas Satoransky assists)12
55.9%
19
44.1%
Q1 - 6:52MavericksReggie Bullock makes three point jump shot (Dorian Finney-Smith assists)12
57.8%
17
42.2%
Q1 - 7:06WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Rui Hachimura assists)9
54.7%
17
45.3%
Q1 - 7:10WizardsRui Hachimura offensive rebound9
56.4%
15
43.6%
Q1 - 7:12WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point layup9
57.9%
15
42.1%
Q1 - 7:20WizardsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound9
56.4%
15
43.6%
Q1 - 7:23MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point driving floating jump shot9
57.1%
15
42.9%
Q1 - 7:34WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 2 of 29
58.5%
15
41.5%
Q1 - 7:34WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes regular free throw 1 of 29
58.8%
14
41.2%
Q1 - 7:34MavericksDwight Powell shooting foul (Kristaps Porzingis draws the foul)9
59.1%
13
40.9%
Q1 - 7:47MavericksJalen Brunson makes three point pullup jump shot9
60.2%
13
39.8%
Q1 - 8:05WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes two point driving layup (Tomas Satoransky assists)6
57.4%
13
42.6%
Q1 - 8:23MavericksReggie Bullock makes regular free throw 2 of 26
59.0%
11
41.0%
Q1 - 8:23MavericksReggie Bullock makes regular free throw 1 of 25
58.7%
11
41.3%
Q1 - 8:23WizardsKristaps Porzingis shooting foul (Reggie Bullock draws the foul)4
58.4%
11
41.6%
Q1 - 8:36MavericksDwight Powell defensive rebound4
57.3%
11
42.7%
Q1 - 8:39WizardsRui Hachimura misses two point running pullup jump shot4
56.7%
11
43.3%
Q1 - 8:45WizardsKristaps Porzingis defensive rebound4
55.2%
11
44.8%
Q1 - 8:47MavericksDwight Powell misses two point alley-oop layup4
55.8%
11
44.2%
Q1 - 8:55WizardsTomas Satoransky personal foul (Dorian Finney-Smith draws the foul)4
57.3%
11
42.7%
Q1 - 9:09WizardsTomas Satoransky makes regular free throw 2 of 24
57.5%
11
42.5%
Q1 - 9:09WizardsTomas Satoransky makes regular free throw 1 of 24
57.8%
10
42.2%
Q1 - 9:09MavericksLuka Doncic shooting foul (Tomas Satoransky draws the foul)4
58.1%
9
41.9%
Q1 - 9:17WizardsRui Hachimura defensive rebound4
59.0%
9
41.0%
Q1 - 9:21MavericksLuka Doncic misses three point jump shot4
59.7%
9
40.3%
Q1 - 9:29MavericksLuka Doncic defensive rebound4
61.2%
9
38.8%
Q1 - 9:32WizardsKristaps Porzingis misses two point pullup jump shot4
60.5%
9
39.5%
Q1 - 9:47MavericksJalen Brunson makes two point pullup jump shot4
59.0%
9
41.0%
Q1 - 10:01WizardsCorey Kispert makes two point running layup (Tomas Satoransky assists)2
57.9%
9
42.1%
Q1 - 10:02WizardsTomas Satoransky defensive rebound2
59.5%
7
40.5%
Q1 - 10:06MavericksLuka Doncic misses two point stepback jump shot2
60.1%
7
39.9%
Q1 - 10:22WizardsKristaps Porzingis makes two point pullup jump shot (Corey Kispert assists)2
61.4%
7
38.6%
Q1 - 10:38MavericksLuka Doncic makes two point floating jump shot2
62.9%
5
37.1%
Q1 - 11:00WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes three point running pullup jump shot0
61.4%
5
38.6%
Q1 - 11:04MavericksLuka Doncic turnover (bad pass) (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope steals)0
64.9%
2
35.1%
Q1 - 11:23WizardsKentavious Caldwell-Pope makes two point pullup jump shot (Tomas Satoransky assists)0
66.7%
2
33.3%
Q1 - 11:31WizardsTomas Satoransky defensive rebound0
68.0%
0
32.0%
Q1 - 11:35MavericksJalen Brunson misses three point jump shot0
68.6%
0
31.4%
Q1 - 12:00Dwight Powell vs. Kristaps Porzingis (Reggie Bullock gains possession)0
69.8%
0
30.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.11 55.4%
WAS
1.36 68.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
8
10
80%
WAS
10
13
77%
Midrange
DAL
15
30
50%
WAS
22
44
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
11
16.5
38
29%
43%
WAS
17
25.5
33
52%
77%
Free Throws
DAL
24
26
92%
WAS
20
22
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Dončić3667%18.0 / 27
J. Brunson2181%10.5 / 13
R. Bullock844%4.0 / 9
D. Finney-Smith867%4.0 / 6
D. Powell857%4.0 / 7
S. Dinwiddie844%4.0 / 9
M. Kleber660%3.0 / 5
J. Green440%2.0 / 5
M. Chriss220%1.0 / 5
F. Ntilikina250%1.0 / 2
D. Bertans0-0.0 / 1
B. Knight0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
WAS logo Wizards
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Caldwell-Pope3592%17.5 / 19
K. Porziņģis2457%12.0 / 21
R. Hachimura2170%10.5 / 15
D. Avdija1470%7.0 / 10
I. Smith1250%6.0 / 12
A. Gill1083%5.0 / 6
C. Kispert650%3.0 / 6
D. Gafford675%3.0 / 4
T. Bryant583%2.5 / 3
T. Satoransky250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
85
+8
-13
93
WAS
88
+10
-9
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.11 55.4%
WAS
1.36 68.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
112.9
110.8
DAL 105.1
WAS 139.2 +34.1
Pace
95.3
97.3
DAL 100.8 +6.5
WAS 94.4
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.1
DAL 14.3 +1.0
WAS 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
53.8%
53.3%
DAL 50.6%
WAS 63.9% +13.3%
TO %
12.2%
12.9%
DAL 12.7%
WAS 8.3% +4.4%
ORB %
21.4%
20.9%
DAL 11.9%
WAS 20.5% +8.6%
FTrt
24.9
25.2
DAL 33.3 +8.9
WAS 24.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.5%
61.7%
DAL 41.2%
WAS 67.3% +26.1%
STL %
7.0%
6.5%
DAL 3.1%
WAS 7.2% +4.1%
BLK %
7.4%
8.7%
DAL 5.3%
WAS 10.0% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.15 and 2.15.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.8%
55.5%
DAL 55.4%
WAS 68.2% +12.8%
Rim FG%
65.4%
65.8%
DAL 80.0% +3.1%
WAS 76.9%
Mid FG%
43.8%
40.8%
DAL 50.0%
WAS 50.0%
3P %
35.0%
34.2%
DAL 28.9%
WAS 51.5% +22.6%
FT %
77.1%
78.3%
DAL 92.3% +1.4%
WAS 90.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.7%
34.7%
DAL 12.8%
WAS 14.4% +1.6%
Mid Att. %
27.5%
29.7%
DAL 38.5% +10.4%
WAS 48.9%
3P Att. %
43.8%
35.6%
DAL 48.7% +12.1%
WAS 36.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDALWAS
Possessions9897
Possession Minutes23.324.7
Points103135
Rebounds3645
Assists1433
Steals37
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)9 (0)
Fouls1619
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)37 (1)
Field Goals34-7849-90
At-the-Rim FG8-1010-13
Midrange FG15-3022-44
2-Point FG23-4032-57
3-Point FG11-3817-33
Free Throws24-2620-22
Fast Break Pts820
2nd Chance Pts414
Points in Paint3030
Pts off Turnovers522
Bench Points2247
Biggest Lead034

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#77 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 23
36.3
36
67%
7
6
0
1
5
3
0
7
10-10
100%
7-13
54%
4-9
44%
#25 · SF · 6'7" 205 · 31
34.3
8
44%
4
2
0
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
#13 · PG · 6'2" 190 · 26
32.1
21
81%
5
2
1
0
1
3
0
5
2-2
100%
8-10
80%
1-3
33%
#10 · PF · 6'7" 220 · 29
27.1
8
67%
2
1
1
0
1
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
2-5
40%
#7 · C · 6'10" 240 · 31
20.6
8
57%
6
0
0
1
1
2
1
5
6-6
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
#42 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 30
25.9
6
60%
5
0
1
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-5
40%
#26 · PG · 6'5" 215 · 29
23.4
8
44%
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
2
4-6
67%
2-3
67%
0-3
0%
#8 · SG · 6'5" 200 · 21
13.7
4
40%
1
0
0
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
#44 · PF · 6'10" 210 · 29
10.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#32 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 25
9.8
2
20%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-2
0%
#20 · PG · 6'2" 182 · 30
3.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
#21 · PG · 6'5" 190 · 24
3.2
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
#51 · C · 7'3" 290 · 34
DNP – Coach's Decision
#3 · PG · 6'1" 191 · 29
Inactive - Not With Team
#11 · SG · 6'5" 205 · 30
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Foot; Surgery
#5 · PF · 6'8" 226 · 23
Inactive - G League - Two-Way
#1 · SG · 6'6" 218 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Fifth Finger; Fracture
#0 · SG · 6'6" 230 · 27
Inactive - Health and Safety Protocols
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
55%
36
14
3
3
13
16
5
31
24-26
92%
23-40
57%
11-38
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.