FinalWin Prob.pScore
2521%102
100
879%114
123
ORTG#PossPace
SAC logo SAC
104.296101.9
MIA logo MIA
128.19690.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatKingsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSACMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.100
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:05.9HeatOmer Yurtseven makes two point putback layup100
0%
123
100%
Q4 - 0:08.7HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound100
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:10.7HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot100
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:07.9HeatOmer Yurtseven offensive rebound100
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:08.5HeatOmer Yurtseven misses two point tip layup100
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:31.3KingsDonte DiVincenzo makes three point stepback jump shot100
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:39.8HeatUdonis Haslem makes two point cutting layup (Max Strus assists)97
0%
121
100%
Q4 - 0:53.4KingsDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup97
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0KingsChimezie Metu defensive rebound95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00HeatUdonis Haslem misses three point jump shot95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16HeatHaywood Highsmith defensive rebound95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:19KingsChimezie Metu misses three point jump shot95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26KingsDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30HeatMax Strus misses two point stepback jump shot95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:45HeatOmer Yurtseven defensive rebound95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:48KingsChimezie Metu misses three point jump shot95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00HeatUdonis Haslem turnover (3-second violation)95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:10HeatUdonis Haslem defensive rebound95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16KingsDavion Mitchell misses two point pullup jump shot95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Take) (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30HeatBam Adebayo makes two point layup95
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44KingsHarrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)95
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)92
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 3:21KingsDavion Mitchell makes two point pullup jump shot92
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:37HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)90
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 3:44HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46KingsDavion Mitchell misses three point jump shot90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:59HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)90
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27KingsDavion Mitchell makes three point jump shot90
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running finger roll layup87
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 4:47HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50KingsBam Adebayo blocks Trey Lyles's two point turnaround hook shot87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09HeatJimmy Butler makes two point driving reverse layup87
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27KingsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot87
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:41HeatBam Adebayo makes two point driving dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)87
0.2%
105
99.8%
Q4 - 5:53KingsChimezie Metu makes two point running dunk (Donte DiVincenzo assists)87
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 5:59HeatMax Strus turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)85
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 6:18KingsDonte DiVincenzo personal foul (Max Strus draws the foul)85
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 6:19KingsTrey Lyles turnover (out of bounds bad pass)85
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 6:33KingsChimezie Metu defensive rebound85
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 6:36HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot85
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 6:53KingsTrey Lyles makes regular free throw 1 of 185
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 6:53HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Trey Lyles draws the foul)84
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 7:04HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot82
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 7:24KingsHarrison Barnes makes two point running dunk (Chimezie Metu assists)82
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 7:25KingsDavion Mitchell defensive rebound80
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 7:33HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point running pullup jump shot80
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 7:38KingsChimezie Metu turnover (lost ball) (Gabe Vincent steals)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:57HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving finger roll layup80
0.2%
101
99.8%
Q4 - 8:08HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound80
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 8:10KingsDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot80
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 8:21KingsTrey Lyles defensive rebound80
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 8:23HeatJimmy Butler misses three point stepback jump shot80
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 8:49KingsTrey Lyles personal foul (Loose ball) (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)80
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 8:49HeatHeat defensive rebound80
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 8:49KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot80
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 9:05KingsChimezie Metu defensive rebound80
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 9:08HeatJimmy Butler misses three point fadeaway jump shot80
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 9:34KingsTrey Lyles makes regular free throw 2 of 280
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 9:34KingsTrey Lyles makes regular free throw 1 of 279
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 9:34KingsJustin Holiday makes technical free throw 1 of 178
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 9:34HeatDewayne Dedmon technical foul77
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 9:34HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Trey Lyles draws the foul)77
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 9:34KingsKings offensive rebound77
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 9:34KingsTrey Lyles misses two point tip layup77
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 9:34KingsTrey Lyles offensive rebound77
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 9:34KingsJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot77
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 9:49HeatDewayne Dedmon turnover (offensive foul)77
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 9:49HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive foul (Off the ball) (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)77
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 9:54KingsChimezie Metu turnover (bad pass) (Gabe Vincent steals)77
0.2%
99
99.8%
Q4 - 10:07HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 177
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 10:07KingsDonte DiVincenzo shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)77
0.3%
98
99.7%
Q4 - 10:23KingsDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup77
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 10:32HeatTyler Herro turnover (offensive foul)75
0.4%
96
99.6%
Q4 - 10:32HeatTyler Herro offensive foul (Charge) (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 10:36KingsChimezie Metu makes two point running dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)75
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 10:42HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Davion Mitchell steals)73
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 10:56KingsDavion Mitchell makes regular free throw 1 of 173
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 10:56HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)72
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 11:08HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot70
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 11:21KingsChimezie Metu turnover (offensive foul)70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q4 - 11:21KingsChimezie Metu offensive foul (Charge) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)70
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 11:28HeatTyler Herro turnover (lost ball) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)70
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q4 - 11:50KingsChimezie Metu makes two point alley-oop dunk (Davion Mitchell assists)70
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.1HeatHeat offensive rebound68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.2HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:00.3HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:04.5KingsDonte DiVincenzo misses three point pullup jump shot68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:20.3KingsChimezie Metu defensive rebound68
0.3%
93
99.7%
Q3 - 0:23.2HeatGabe Vincent misses two point pullup jump shot68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:41.3HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound68
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:44.5KingsNeemias Queta misses regular free throw 2 of 268
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:44.5KingsNeemias Queta makes regular free throw 1 of 268
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:44.5HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Neemias Queta draws the foul)67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:53.7HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)67
0.2%
93
99.8%
Q3 - 0:56.6KingsJustin Holiday personal foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)67
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 1:11KingsJustin Holiday makes three point jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)67
0.4%
90
99.6%
Q3 - 1:23HeatTyler Herro makes three point pullup jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)64
0.3%
90
99.7%
Q3 - 1:42KingsDavion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds step)64
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 1:43KingsChimezie Metu defensive rebound64
0.5%
87
99.5%
Q3 - 1:44HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot64
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 1:46HeatKyle Lowry offensive rebound64
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 1:49HeatMax Strus misses three point running jump shot64
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 1:55HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound64
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 2:00KingsChimezie Metu misses two point turnaround jump shot64
0.4%
87
99.6%
Q3 - 2:15HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point reverse layup (Kyle Lowry assists)64
0.6%
87
99.4%
Q3 - 2:24HeatMax Strus defensive rebound64
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 2:28KingsDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot64
0.7%
85
99.3%
Q3 - 2:41HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving layup64
0.8%
85
99.2%
Q3 - 2:56HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound64
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 2:59KingsDavion Mitchell misses two point driving floating jump shot64
1.0%
83
99.0%
Q3 - 3:06KingsDavion Mitchell defensive rebound64
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 3:08HeatMax Strus misses two point pullup jump shot64
1.3%
83
98.7%
Q3 - 3:31KingsDamian Jones makes two point cutting dunk (Donte DiVincenzo assists)64
1.1%
83
98.9%
Q3 - 3:47HeatBam Adebayo personal foul (Take) (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)62
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 3:47HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)62
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 3:54KingsDavion Mitchell turnover (out of bounds bad pass)62
0.8%
83
99.2%
Q3 - 4:00HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)62
0.9%
83
99.1%
Q3 - 4:03HeatP.J. Tucker offensive rebound62
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 4:06HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point jump shot62
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 4:15KingsDamian Jones personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)62
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 4:27HeatHeat offensive rebound62
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 4:28HeatDavion Mitchell blocks Tyler Herro's two point running layup62
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 4:34KingsDonte DiVincenzo turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)62
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 4:36KingsDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound62
1.7%
80
98.3%
Q3 - 4:39HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot62
1.6%
80
98.4%
Q3 - 4:54KingsDamian Jones makes two point putback layup62
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 4:55KingsDamian Jones offensive rebound60
1.3%
80
98.7%
Q3 - 4:58KingsDavion Mitchell misses two point driving layup60
1.1%
80
98.9%
Q3 - 5:08HeatTyler Herro makes three point jump shot (Max Strus assists)60
1.4%
80
98.6%
Q3 - 5:26KingsDamian Jones makes regular free throw 2 of 260
1.9%
77
98.1%
Q3 - 5:26KingsDamian Jones makes regular free throw 1 of 259
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 5:26HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Damian Jones draws the foul)58
1.8%
77
98.2%
Q3 - 5:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting layup (Jimmy Butler assists)58
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 5:54KingsDamian Jones makes three point jump shot58
1.9%
75
98.1%
Q3 - 6:11HeatJimmy Butler makes three point pullup jump shot55
1.5%
75
98.5%
Q3 - 6:30KingsDonte DiVincenzo makes three point running pullup jump shot55
2.0%
72
98.0%
Q3 - 6:35KingsDamian Jones defensive rebound52
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 6:38HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot52
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 6:51KingsHarrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)52
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 7:04HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)49
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 7:23KingsTrey Lyles makes two point driving layup (Donte DiVincenzo assists)49
1.4%
69
98.6%
Q3 - 7:37HeatBam Adebayo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 7:49KingsHarrison Barnes turnover (out of bounds bad pass)47
1.0%
69
99.0%
Q3 - 7:59KingsDamian Jones defensive rebound47
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 8:02HeatBam Adebayo misses two point alley-oop dunk47
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 8:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound47
1.1%
69
98.9%
Q3 - 8:22KingsDavion Mitchell misses two point pullup jump shot47
1.2%
69
98.8%
Q3 - 8:35HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)47
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 8:56HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound47
1.7%
66
98.3%
Q3 - 8:58KingsJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot47
1.8%
66
98.2%
Q3 - 9:09HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point driving layup (Kyle Lowry assists)47
2.1%
66
97.9%
Q3 - 9:34KingsHarrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 247
2.4%
64
97.6%
Q3 - 9:34KingsHarrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 246
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q3 - 9:34HeatMax Strus shooting foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)45
2.3%
64
97.7%
Q3 - 9:44KingsTrey Lyles defensive rebound45
2.1%
64
97.9%
Q3 - 9:47HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot45
2.0%
64
98.0%
Q3 - 9:53HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound45
1.8%
64
98.2%
Q3 - 9:56KingsDavion Mitchell misses two point driving layup45
1.9%
64
98.1%
Q3 - 10:19HeatP.J. Tucker makes two point turnaround hook shot (Kyle Lowry assists)45
2.2%
64
97.8%
Q3 - 10:37KingsDavion Mitchell makes two point running layup45
2.5%
62
97.5%
Q3 - 10:40HeatMax Strus turnover (lost ball) (Justin Holiday steals)43
2.2%
62
97.8%
Q3 - 11:01KingsHarrison Barnes makes two point cutting dunk (Damian Jones assists)43
2.0%
62
98.0%
Q3 - 11:16HeatMax Strus makes two point alley-oop dunk (Kyle Lowry assists)41
1.7%
62
98.3%
Q3 - 11:24KingsHarrison Barnes turnover (offensive foul)41
2.0%
60
98.0%
Q3 - 11:24KingsHarrison Barnes offensive foul (Off the ball) (Kyle Lowry draws the foul)41
2.2%
60
97.8%
Q3 - 11:38HeatJimmy Butler makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)41
2.2%
60
97.8%
Q3 - 11:41HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound41
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q3 - 11:44HeatMax Strus misses three point pullup jump shot41
3.2%
57
96.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.41
2.9%
57
97.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0KingsDonte DiVincenzo turnover (bad pass) (Kyle Lowry steals)41
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q2 - 0:22.7KingsDamian Jones defensive rebound41
3.4%
57
96.6%
Q2 - 0:24.9HeatGabe Vincent misses three point jump shot41
3.3%
57
96.7%
Q2 - 0:40.3KingsDamian Jones makes two point layup (Davion Mitchell assists)41
3.0%
57
97.0%
Q2 - 0:56.0HeatBam Adebayo makes two point tip dunk39
2.6%
57
97.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound39
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 0:56.7HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point floating jump shot39
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q2 - 0:58.9HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound39
3.0%
55
97.0%
Q2 - 1:01HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot39
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 1:11HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound39
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q2 - 1:15KingsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot39
3.3%
55
96.7%
Q2 - 1:34HeatKyle Lowry makes three point pullup jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)39
3.5%
55
96.5%
Q2 - 1:47KingsDavion Mitchell turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)39
4.7%
52
95.3%
Q2 - 1:53HeatGabe Vincent makes three point jump shot (Kyle Lowry assists)39
5.1%
52
94.9%
Q2 - 2:09KingsDamian Jones makes two point floating jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)39
6.8%
49
93.2%
Q2 - 2:20KingsDamian Jones defensive rebound37
6.1%
49
93.9%
Q2 - 2:23HeatKyle Lowry misses three point jump shot37
5.9%
49
94.1%
Q2 - 2:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q2 - 2:46KingsDavion Mitchell misses two point stepback jump shot37
5.6%
49
94.4%
Q2 - 2:59HeatMax Strus turnover (out of bounds step)37
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 3:04KingsJustin Holiday turnover (lost ball) (Max Strus steals)37
5.6%
49
94.4%
Q2 - 3:09KingsTrey Lyles defensive rebound37
6.4%
49
93.6%
Q2 - 3:13HeatBam Adebayo misses two point running layup37
6.1%
49
93.9%
Q2 - 3:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
5.6%
49
94.4%
Q2 - 3:21KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot37
5.8%
49
94.2%
Q2 - 3:39HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 237
6.4%
49
93.6%
Q2 - 3:39HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 237
6.5%
48
93.5%
Q2 - 3:39KingsTrey Lyles shooting foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)37
6.7%
47
93.3%
Q2 - 3:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 3:46KingsJustin Holiday misses two point driving layup37
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q2 - 3:52KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound37
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 3:55HeatBam Adebayo misses two point cutting layup37
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 4:16HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 4:20KingsJustin Holiday misses regular free throw 2 of 237
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q2 - 4:20KingsJustin Holiday misses regular free throw 1 of 237
7.7%
47
92.3%
Q2 - 4:20HeatKyle Lowry shooting foul (Justin Holiday draws the foul)37
8.4%
47
91.6%
Q2 - 4:26KingsTrey Lyles defensive rebound37
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 4:29HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot37
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 4:35HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound37
7.1%
47
92.9%
Q2 - 4:37KingsDavion Mitchell misses two point pullup jump shot37
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 4:54KingsHarrison Barnes defensive rebound37
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 4:58HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot37
7.6%
47
92.4%
Q2 - 5:05HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound37
6.9%
47
93.1%
Q2 - 5:08KingsJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot37
7.2%
47
92.8%
Q2 - 5:29HeatJimmy Butler makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)37
7.9%
47
92.1%
Q2 - 5:48KingsDavion Mitchell makes two point driving layup37
8.5%
45
91.5%
Q2 - 6:05HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 135
7.9%
45
92.1%
Q2 - 6:05KingsChimezie Metu shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)35
8.0%
44
92.0%
Q2 - 6:20KingsHarrison Barnes makes regular free throw 2 of 235
9.5%
42
90.5%
Q2 - 6:20KingsHarrison Barnes makes regular free throw 1 of 234
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 6:20HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)33
9.2%
42
90.8%
Q2 - 6:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 2 of 233
8.8%
42
91.2%
Q2 - 6:35HeatJimmy Butler makes regular free throw 1 of 233
8.9%
41
91.1%
Q2 - 6:35KingsChimezie Metu shooting foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)33
9.0%
40
91.0%
Q2 - 6:36HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound33
9.5%
40
90.5%
Q2 - 6:40KingsChimezie Metu misses two point fadeaway jump shot33
9.8%
40
90.2%
Q2 - 6:55HeatJimmy Butler makes two point putback layup33
10.7%
40
89.3%
Q2 - 6:56HeatJimmy Butler offensive rebound33
11.5%
38
88.5%
Q2 - 6:58HeatJimmy Butler misses two point turnaround hook shot33
12.5%
38
87.5%
Q2 - 7:19KingsDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Harrison Barnes assists)33
11.7%
38
88.3%
Q2 - 7:39HeatGabe Vincent turnover (out of bounds lost ball)30
9.7%
38
90.3%
Q2 - 7:50HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound30
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 7:52KingsChimezie Metu misses regular free throw 2 of 230
8.9%
38
91.1%
Q2 - 7:52KingsChimezie Metu makes regular free throw 1 of 230
9.5%
38
90.5%
Q2 - 7:52HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Chimezie Metu draws the foul)29
9.3%
38
90.7%
Q2 - 7:58KingsChimezie Metu defensive rebound29
8.8%
38
91.2%
Q2 - 8:01HeatTyler Herro misses two point jump shot29
8.7%
38
91.3%
Q2 - 8:06HeatHeat offensive rebound29
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 8:06HeatJeremy Lamb blocks Gabe Vincent's two point driving layup29
8.7%
38
91.3%
Q2 - 8:18KingsNeemias Queta makes two point dunk (Harrison Barnes assists)29
8.1%
38
91.9%
Q2 - 8:21KingsNeemias Queta offensive rebound27
7.4%
38
92.6%
Q2 - 8:25KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot27
6.9%
38
93.1%
Q2 - 8:42HeatGabe Vincent makes two point pullup jump shot27
7.4%
38
92.6%
Q2 - 8:49HeatDuncan Robinson defensive rebound27
8.1%
36
91.9%
Q2 - 8:53KingsChimezie Metu misses two point fadeaway jump shot27
8.3%
36
91.7%
Q2 - 9:04KingsChimezie Metu defensive rebound27
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 9:06HeatDewayne Dedmon misses three point jump shot27
8.8%
36
91.2%
Q2 - 9:12HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound27
8.2%
36
91.8%
Q2 - 9:17KingsDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot27
8.4%
36
91.6%
Q2 - 9:28HeatTyler Herro makes two point driving floating jump shot27
9.0%
36
91.0%
Q2 - 9:58KingsChimezie Metu makes two point driving layup (Donte DiVincenzo assists)27
9.9%
34
90.1%
Q2 - 10:09KingsDonte DiVincenzo offensive rebound25
9.2%
34
90.8%
Q2 - 10:12KingsDonte DiVincenzo misses two point running layup25
8.6%
34
91.4%
Q2 - 10:15HeatJimmy Butler turnover (bad pass) (Jeremy Lamb steals)25
9.1%
34
90.9%
Q2 - 10:28KingsJeremy Lamb makes three point pullup jump shot25
8.3%
34
91.7%
Q2 - 10:33HeatTyler Herro personal foul (Harrison Barnes draws the foul)22
6.9%
34
93.1%
Q2 - 10:41HeatGabe Vincent turnover (offensive foul)22
6.9%
34
93.1%
Q2 - 10:41HeatGabe Vincent offensive foul (Off the ball) (Jeremy Lamb draws the foul)22
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q2 - 10:49HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound22
6.3%
34
93.7%
Q2 - 10:52KingsDonte DiVincenzo misses two point pullup jump shot22
6.5%
34
93.5%
Q2 - 11:03KingsChimezie Metu defensive rebound22
7.0%
34
93.0%
Q2 - 11:06HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point driving layup22
6.8%
34
93.2%
Q2 - 11:23KingsJeremy Lamb makes regular free throw 1 of 122
6.4%
34
93.6%
Q2 - 11:23HeatGabe Vincent shooting foul (Jeremy Lamb draws the foul)21
6.4%
34
93.6%
Q2 - 11:42HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)19
5.3%
34
94.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.19
6.4%
31
93.6%
Q1 - 0:00.1KingsKings offensive rebound19
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q1 - 0:01.5KingsDonte DiVincenzo misses three point pullup jump shot19
6.6%
31
93.4%
Q1 - 0:06.6HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)19
7.0%
31
93.0%
Q1 - 0:25.9HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound19
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q1 - 0:29.5KingsJeremy Lamb misses three point running jump shot19
8.6%
28
91.4%
Q1 - 0:33.3KingsChimezie Metu defensive rebound19
9.1%
28
90.9%
Q1 - 0:36.5HeatTyler Herro misses two point driving layup19
8.9%
28
91.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0KingsDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Davion Mitchell assists)19
8.4%
28
91.6%
Q1 - 1:00HeatTyler Herro makes two point floating jump shot (Dewayne Dedmon assists)16
7.0%
28
93.0%
Q1 - 1:01HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound16
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q1 - 1:04HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot16
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q1 - 1:08HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound16
7.8%
26
92.2%
Q1 - 1:11KingsDonte DiVincenzo misses two point pullup jump shot16
8.0%
26
92.0%
Q1 - 1:23HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point driving bank jump shot16
8.4%
26
91.6%
Q1 - 1:48KingsDavion Mitchell makes three point stepback jump shot16
9.2%
24
90.8%
Q1 - 2:05HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Jeremy Lamb draws the foul)13
7.9%
24
92.1%
Q1 - 2:06KingsJeremy Lamb offensive rebound13
7.9%
24
92.1%
Q1 - 2:07KingsJeremy Lamb misses two point driving floating jump shot13
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 2:16HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point bank jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)13
7.9%
24
92.1%
Q1 - 2:38KingsDavion Mitchell turnover (lost ball) (Duncan Robinson steals)13
8.6%
22
91.4%
Q1 - 2:52HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)13
9.3%
22
90.7%
Q1 - 3:03HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)13
9.5%
22
90.5%
Q1 - 3:15HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound13
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 3:17KingsDavion Mitchell misses two point driving layup13
11.3%
19
88.7%
Q1 - 3:34KingsJustin Holiday defensive rebound13
12.1%
19
87.9%
Q1 - 3:37HeatP.J. Tucker misses two point layup13
11.7%
19
88.3%
Q1 - 3:46HeatMax Strus defensive rebound13
11.0%
19
89.0%
Q1 - 3:48KingsTrey Lyles misses two point pullup jump shot13
11.3%
19
88.7%
Q1 - 4:05HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk (Tyler Herro assists)13
12.2%
19
87.8%
Q1 - 4:10HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound13
12.9%
17
87.1%
Q1 - 4:13KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot13
13.3%
17
86.7%
Q1 - 4:41HeatTyler Herro makes three point fadeaway jump shot (P.J. Tucker assists)13
14.1%
17
85.9%
Q1 - 4:58KingsDamian Jones makes two point layup (Harrison Barnes assists)13
16.1%
14
83.9%
Q1 - 5:25HeatBam Adebayo makes two point cutting dunk (Tyler Herro assists)11
15.0%
14
85.0%
Q1 - 5:39HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound11
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 5:39KingsHarrison Barnes misses three point jump shot11
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 6:03HeatJimmy Butler turnover (out of bounds bad pass)11
17.0%
12
83.0%
Q1 - 6:08KingsTrey Lyles makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)11
15.9%
12
84.1%
Q1 - 6:21HeatP.J. Tucker makes three point jump shot (Jimmy Butler assists)9
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 6:46KingsHarrison Barnes makes three point jump shot (Trey Lyles assists)9
17.0%
9
83.0%
Q1 - 7:10HeatKyle Lowry makes three point jump shot6
14.7%
9
85.3%
Q1 - 7:32KingsTrey Lyles turnover (out of bounds bad pass)6
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 7:33KingsTrey Lyles defensive rebound6
17.9%
6
82.1%
Q1 - 7:35HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving floating jump shot6
17.5%
6
82.5%
Q1 - 7:43HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound6
16.7%
6
83.3%
Q1 - 7:45KingsDamian Jones misses two point jump shot6
17.0%
6
83.0%
Q1 - 7:59HeatJimmy Butler makes two point floating jump shot6
17.9%
6
82.1%
Q1 - 8:12HeatP.J. Tucker defensive rebound6
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 8:15KingsJustin Holiday misses three point jump shot6
19.0%
4
81.0%
Q1 - 8:24HeatMax Strus turnover (offensive foul)6
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 8:24HeatMax Strus offensive foul (Charge) (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)6
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 8:31HeatMax Strus defensive rebound6
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 8:34KingsDamian Jones misses two point stepback jump shot6
19.0%
4
81.0%
Q1 - 8:56HeatBam Adebayo makes two point putback dunk6
20.0%
4
80.0%
Q1 - 8:57HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound6
21.1%
2
78.9%
Q1 - 8:59HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot6
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 9:09KingsDamian Jones personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)6
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 9:24HeatJimmy Butler defensive rebound6
20.9%
2
79.1%
Q1 - 9:27KingsDavion Mitchell misses three point stepback jump shot6
21.4%
2
78.6%
Q1 - 9:37HeatBam Adebayo makes two point jump shot6
22.4%
2
77.6%
Q1 - 9:50KingsJustin Holiday makes two point bank jump shot (Trey Lyles assists)6
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 10:00KingsJustin Holiday defensive rebound4
22.4%
0
77.6%
Q1 - 10:04HeatMax Strus misses three point jump shot4
21.3%
0
78.7%
Q1 - 10:23KingsTrey Lyles makes two point driving layup (Davion Mitchell assists)4
20.4%
0
79.6%
Q1 - 10:35HeatHeat turnover (shot clock violation)2
19.4%
0
80.6%
Q1 - 10:36HeatHeat offensive rebound2
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 10:36HeatJimmy Butler misses two point pullup jump shot2
19.0%
0
81.0%
Q1 - 10:49KingsJustin Holiday personal foul (Jimmy Butler draws the foul)2
18.2%
0
81.8%
Q1 - 11:02KingsDavion Mitchell makes two point pullup jump shot2
17.8%
0
82.2%
Q1 - 11:11HeatMax Strus personal foul (Davion Mitchell draws the foul)0
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 11:16KingsDamian Jones defensive rebound0
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 11:18HeatBam Adebayo misses two point floating jump shot0
16.6%
0
83.4%
Q1 - 11:36HeatKyle Lowry defensive rebound0
15.8%
0
84.2%
Q1 - 11:39KingsTrey Lyles misses three point jump shot0
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 12:00Damian Jones vs. Bam Adebayo (Kings gains possession)0
16.9%
0
83.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.11 55.6%
MIA
1.29 64.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAC
18
24
75%
MIA
20
29
69%
Midrange
SAC
7
22
32%
MIA
10
21
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAC
12
18.0
35
34%
51%
MIA
19
28.5
40
48%
71%
Free Throws
SAC
14
18
78%
MIA
6
6
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Mitchell2155%10.5 / 19
H. Barnes1771%8.5 / 12
D. Jones1583%7.5 / 9
D. DiVincenzo1250%6.0 / 12
T. Lyles1150%5.5 / 11
C. Metu945%4.5 / 10
J. Holiday633%3.0 / 9
J. Lamb675%3.0 / 4
N. Queta375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Butler2790%13.5 / 15
B. Adebayo2265%11.0 / 17
T. Herro2067%10.0 / 15
D. Robinson1594%7.5 / 8
K. Lowry9113%4.5 / 4
M. Strus833%4.0 / 12
P. Tucker758%3.5 / 6
D. Dedmon650%3.0 / 6
G. Vincent550%2.5 / 5
O. Yurtseven250%1.0 / 2
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAC
82
+8
-14
90
MIA
81
+14
-15
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAC
1.11 55.6%
MIA
1.29 64.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.1
113.3
SAC 104.2
MIA 128.1 +24.0
Pace
99.5
96.2
SAC 101.9 +11.3
MIA 90.6
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.0
SAC 14.1 +1.8
MIA 15.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.5%
54.7%
SAC 53.1%
MIA 65.0% +11.9%
TO %
13.5%
14.2%
SAC 13.6% +1.1%
MIA 14.7%
ORB %
21.3%
23.5%
SAC 11.6%
MIA 27.0% +15.4%
FTrt
26.4
25.2
SAC 22.2 +15.5
MIA 6.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
64.4%
SAC 56.8%
MIA 61.2% +4.4%
STL %
7.2%
7.6%
SAC 6.3%
MIA 7.3% +1.0%
BLK %
8.1%
7.1%
SAC 4.0% +1.8%
MIA 2.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
55.1%
56.8%
SAC 55.6%
MIA 64.7% +9.1%
Rim FG%
61.8%
63.4%
SAC 75.0% +6.0%
MIA 69.0%
Mid FG%
42.1%
41.4%
SAC 31.8%
MIA 47.6% +15.8%
3P %
34.4%
37.9%
SAC 34.3%
MIA 47.5% +13.2%
FT %
76.9%
80.8%
SAC 77.8%
MIA 100.0% +22.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
34.4%
30.6%
SAC 29.6%
MIA 32.2% +2.6%
Mid Att. %
28.0%
27.1%
SAC 27.2%
MIA 23.3% +3.8%
3P Att. %
37.7%
42.2%
SAC 43.2%
MIA 44.4% +1.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSACMIA
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points100123
Rebounds3248
Assists2130
Steals67
Blocks21
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)15 (1)
Fouls1220
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)10 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (0)38 (1)
Field Goals37-8149-90
At-the-Rim FG18-2420-29
Midrange FG7-2210-21
2-Point FG25-4630-50
3-Point FG12-3519-40
Free Throws14-186-6
Fast Break Pts116
2nd Chance Pts1116
Points in Paint4454
Pts off Turnovers2419
Bench Points3050
Biggest Lead626

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
#15 · PG · 6'0" 202 · 24
40.9
21
55%
2
9
1
1
4
0
0
2
1-1
100%
7-15
47%
2-4
50%
#40 · SF · 6'8" 225 · 30
37.9
17
71%
2
3
0
0
2
1
0
2
4-4
100%
2-2
100%
3-8
38%
#41 · PF · 6'10" 234 · 26
30.7
11
50%
6
2
0
0
2
2
1
5
3-3
100%
4-7
57%
0-3
0%
#30 · C · 7'0" 245 · 27
25.4
15
83%
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
5-7
71%
1-1
100%
#9 · SG · 6'6" 185 · 33
22.6
6
33%
2
0
1
0
1
2
0
2
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
#0 · SG · 6'4" 203 · 25
32.0
12
50%
3
5
3
0
2
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0%
4-9
44%
#7 · C · 6'10" 219 · 25
26.2
9
45%
9
1
0
0
3
3
0
9
1-2
50%
4-7
57%
0-2
0%
#88 · C · 7'0" 248 · 23
15.3
3
75%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
#26 · SG · 6'5" 185 · 30
8.9
6
75%
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
1-1
100%
1-2
50%
1-2
50%
#25 · C · 7'1" 250 · 29
NWT - Not With Team | Non-Covid Related Illness
#8 · SF · 6'9" 220 · 29
DNP – Coach's Decision
#5 · PG · 6'3" 185 · 24
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Hand; Soreness
#55 · SF · 6'8" 200 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | -; Non-COVID Illness
#10 · PF · 6'10" 240 · 26
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Left Knee; Contusion
#3 · SG · 6'4" 201 · 25
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right Wrist; ECU Tendon Recovery
#22 · PF · 6'9" 235 · 28
Inactive – Personal
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
56%
32
21
6
2
14
12
5
27
14-18
78%
25-46
54%
12-35
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.