Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, April 20, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Magic | 17% | 104 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Hornets | 37% | 103 | 97 |
 | 19 | Knicks | 63% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Nets | 53% | 120 | 134 |
 | 13 | Pelicans | 47% | 119 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Timberwolves | 43% | 115 | 134 |
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Monday, April 19, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Pistons | 49% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bulls | 31% | 105 | 102 |
 | 10 | Celtics | 69% | 112 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Heat | 69% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Thunder | 19% | 107 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 4 | Bucks | 55% | 114 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cpath%20d='M376,81.4L341.7,155H204.3L161,247.8h-38.8c0.3-4.6,1.2-9.3,2.7-13.8c3.7-11.2,10.7-20.4,19.5-27c2.3,2.6,4.4,5.5,6.3,8.5%20c0.3,0.5,0.9,0.4,1.1,0c0,0,0,0,0,0l62.6-134.2H376z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M57.8,276.6c-3.9,7.8-9.5,14.5-16.3,19.6c-5.7-6.6-10.2-14.3-13.1-23.1c-2-5.9-3.1-11.8-3.4-17.7h38.6%20C63.1,262.7,61.2,269.9,57.8,276.6'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,255.4v64.2c-15.8-0.9-30.7-7.3-42.3-17.9c7.4-5.7,13.4-13.1,17.8-21.7c3.9-7.8,6.1-16.1,6.6-24.6H89.1z'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M60.9,234c1.5,4.5,2.4,9.2,2.7,13.8H25c0.8-15.1,6.7-29.4,16.5-40.7C50.2,213.7,57.1,222.9,60.9,234'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M89.1,183.7v64.2H71.2c-0.3-5.4-1.4-10.9-3.1-16.2c-4.1-12.4-11.7-22.6-21.3-30c6.9-6.4,15.2-11.4,24.7-14.6%20C77.3,185.1,83.2,184,89.1,183.7'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M114.6,247.8H96.7v-64.2c15.8,0.9,30.8,7.2,42.4,17.9c-9.9,7.6-17.3,18-21.4,30.1C115.9,237,114.9,242.4,114.6,247.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M139.1,301.8c-6.9,6.3-15.2,11.3-24.6,14.5c-5.9,2-11.9,3.1-17.8,3.4v-64.2h17.8c0.5,8.5,2.7,16.8,6.6,24.6%20C125.5,288.7,131.6,296.1,139.1,301.8'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M161,255.4c-0.8,15.1-6.7,29.5-16.6,40.9c-6.9-5.1-12.5-11.8-16.4-19.7c-3.4-6.7-5.3-13.9-5.8-21.2H161z'/%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 1 | Jazz | 65% | 109 | 111 |
 | 16 | Lakers | 35% | 103 | 97 |
Sunday, April 18, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 42% | 111 | 117 |
| 13 | Hawks | 58% | 114 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 45% | 108 | 112 |
| 18 | Knicks | 55% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nets | 47% | 112 | 107 |
| 12 | Heat | 53% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 116 | 101 |
| 27 | Hornets | 35% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 62% | 111 | 114 |
| 29 | Magic | 38% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 33% | 104 | 106 |
 | 26 | Raptors | 67% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 24% | 111 | 121 |
 | 6 | Mavericks | 76% | 121 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 18% | 108 | 105 |
| 1 | Clippers | 82% | 121 | 124 |
Saturday, April 17, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 48% | 106 | 115 |
| 18 | Lakers | 52% | 107 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Pistons | 44% | 110 | 100 |
| 22 | Wizards | 56% | 112 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 44% | 108 | 96 |
| 20 | Bulls | 56% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 43% | 110 | 114 |
| 7 | Celtics | 57% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 32% | 110 | 128 |
| 6 | Bucks | 68% | 117 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 23% | 106 | 111 |
| 2 | Suns | 77% | 117 | 85 |
Friday, April 16, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 25% | 108 | 111 |
| 1 | Jazz | 75% | 118 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 38% | 103 | 104 |
| 28 | Pistons | 62% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Clippers | 38% | 106 | 103 |
| 3 | 76ers | 62% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 56% | 117 | 115 |
| 24 | Wizards | 44% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 27% | 109 | 115 |
| 13 | Nets | 73% | 118 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 33% | 102 | 102 |
| 26 | Raptors | 67% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 55% | 112 | 126 |
| 21 | Bulls | 45% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 63% | 115 | 128 |
| 19 | Rockets | 37% | 110 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 59% | 112 | 111 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 41% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 116 | 107 |
| 16 | Spurs | 48% | 115 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 31% | 105 | 117 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 69% | 112 | 109 |
Thursday, April 15, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bucks | 45% | 112 | 120 |
| 14 | Hawks | 55% | 114 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Warriors | 61% | 113 | 119 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 39% | 109 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 59% | 107 | 121 |
| 18 | Lakers | 41% | 104 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Kings | 16% | 107 | 114 |
| 2 | Suns | 84% | 121 | 122 |
Wednesday, April 14, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Bucks | 72% | 116 | 130 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 28% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 46% | 107 | 103 |
| 25 | Hornets | 54% | 109 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 31% | 110 | 117 |
| 4 | 76ers | 69% | 117 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 48% | 109 | 112 |
| 16 | Raptors | 52% | 110 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 56% | 108 | 100 |
| 27 | Pistons | 44% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 23% | 103 | 115 |
| 15 | Bulls | 77% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 46% | 108 | 116 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 54% | 109 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 45% | 112 | 132 |
| 22 | Rockets | 55% | 114 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Warriors | 82% | 116 | 147 |
| 30 | Thunder | 18% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 51% | 114 | 114 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 49% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 30% | 104 | 106 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 70% | 112 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 45% | 117 | 123 |
| 23 | Kings | 55% | 119 | 111 |
Tuesday, April 13, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 64% | 117 | 127 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 36% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Clippers | 55% | 112 | 126 |
| 16 | Pacers | 45% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 53% | 113 | 108 |
| 22 | Raptors | 47% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Lakers | 51% | 106 | 101 |
| 25 | Hornets | 49% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Thunder | 9% | 100 | 96 |
| 1 | Jazz | 91% | 119 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 35% | 106 | 86 |
| 2 | Suns | 65% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 48% | 115 | 116 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 52% | 116 | 115 |
Monday, April 12, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 54% | 102 | 96 |
| 19 | Knicks | 46% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 51% | 111 | 113 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 49% | 110 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 67% | 111 | 120 |
| 29 | Magic | 33% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 38% | 111 | 90 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 62% | 116 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 45% | 115 | 110 |
| 20 | Pelicans | 55% | 117 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 17% | 106 | 125 |
| 1 | Jazz | 83% | 120 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nuggets | 49% | 113 | 107 |
| 9 | Warriors | 51% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 22% | 107 | 120 |
| 2 | Suns | 78% | 118 | 126 |
Sunday, April 11, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 59% | 114 | 105 |
| 24 | Hornets | 41% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 41% | 109 | 105 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 59% | 113 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 66% | 114 | 116 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 34% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 69% | 112 | 124 |
| 28 | Magic | 31% | 105 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 32% | 103 | 96 |
| 18 | Knicks | 68% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 32% | 108 | 119 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 68% | 115 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 39% | 111 | 132 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 61% | 115 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 55% | 116 | 117 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 45% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 17% | 98 | 124 |
| 9 | Clippers | 83% | 112 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Heat | 46% | 112 | 107 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 114 | 98 |
Saturday, April 10, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 60% | 111 | 135 |
| 27 | Cavaliers | 40% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 37% | 108 | 126 |
| 8 | Nets | 63% | 112 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 76ers | 79% | 115 | 117 |
| 30 | Thunder | 21% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 19% | 108 | 112 |
| 1 | Jazz | 81% | 121 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rockets | 32% | 110 | 109 |
| 12 | Warriors | 68% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 13% | 103 | 106 |
| 2 | Suns | 87% | 120 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 21% | 106 | 103 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 79% | 117 | 118 |
Friday, April 9, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 65% | 111 | 111 |
| 29 | Magic | 35% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 25% | 108 | 136 |
| 6 | Celtics | 75% | 117 | 145 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 52% | 108 | 129 |
| 19 | Knicks | 48% | 107 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 37% | 112 | 108 |
| 14 | Hawks | 63% | 116 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 76ers | 67% | 116 | 94 |
| 23 | Pelicans | 33% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 31% | 108 | 127 |
| 9 | Bucks | 69% | 115 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 34% | 108 | 119 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 66% | 114 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 34% | 112 | 110 |
| 13 | Warriors | 66% | 118 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 19% | 103 | 109 |
| 1 | Clippers | 81% | 115 | 126 |
Thursday, April 8, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bulls | 48% | 111 | 122 |
| 22 | Raptors | 52% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Lakers | 39% | 100 | 104 |
| 10 | Heat | 61% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 58% | 109 | 129 |
| 30 | Thunder | 42% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bucks | 45% | 112 | 101 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 55% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 31% | 112 | 103 |
| 1 | Jazz | 69% | 119 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Suns | 37% | 108 | 103 |
| 2 | Clippers | 63% | 112 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 31% | 108 | 113 |
| 19 | Kings | 69% | 115 | 101 |
Wednesday, April 7, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 48% | 113 | 137 |
| 24 | Pacers | 52% | 114 | 141 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 55% | 110 | 131 |
| 29 | Magic | 45% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 40% | 103 | 99 |
| 11 | Celtics | 60% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 24% | 112 | 111 |
| 7 | Nets | 76% | 122 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 65% | 115 | 93 |
| 23 | Rockets | 35% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 48% | 113 | 131 |
| 19 | Hawks | 52% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 63% | 110 | 113 |
| 30 | Thunder | 37% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Spurs | 35% | 109 | 96 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 65% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 49% | 113 | 113 |
| 3 | Suns | 51% | 114 | 117 |