Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, December 5, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bucks | 43% | 100 | 80 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Timberwolves | 47% | 102 | 114 |
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Wednesday, December 4, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Celtics | 41% | 96 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 43% | 99 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Magic | 56% | 106 | 87 |
 | 23 | Knicks | 44% | 104 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Pistons | 72% | 94 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Raptors | 37% | 94 | 74 |
| 14 | Hornets | 63% | 98 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Lakers | 37% | 98 | 85 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Mavericks | 52% | 102 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 7 | SuperSonics | 63% | 101 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Heat | 33% | 92 | 80 |
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Tuesday, December 3, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 46% | 96 | 78 |
| 19 | Wizards | 54% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hawks | 28% | 95 | 72 |
| 10 | Nets | 72% | 102 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 61% | 101 | 115 | |
| 27 | Bulls | 39% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 24% | 97 | 86 |
| 2 | Kings | 76% | 106 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 19% | 96 | 91 |
| 5 | Lakers | 81% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 32% | 93 | 89 |
| 21 | Warriors | 68% | 99 | 110 |
Monday, December 2, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 43% | 102 | 102 |
| 12 | Magic | 57% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 28% | 95 | 93 |
| 24 | Knicks | 72% | 102 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 12% | 96 | 102 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 88% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 38% | 95 | 91 |
| 11 | Jazz | 62% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 40% | 88 | 100 |
| 23 | Suns | 60% | 91 | 90 |
Sunday, December 1, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 51% | 101 | 92 |
| 16 | Clippers | 49% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 47% | 99 | 92 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 53% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 26% | 93 | 86 | |
| 5 | Celtics | 74% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 24% | 92 | 84 |
| 2 | Kings | 76% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 32% | 96 | 95 | |
| 3 | SuperSonics | 68% | 102 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 26% | 97 | 110 |
| 4 | Lakers | 74% | 105 | 107 |
Saturday, November 30, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 55% | 100 | 86 | |
| 26 | Knicks | 45% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 55% | 96 | 95 |
| 19 | Wizards | 45% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 31% | 102 | 92 |
| 12 | Magic | 69% | 108 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 22% | 88 | 79 |
| 25 | Heat | 78% | 97 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 8% | 97 | 90 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 92% | 114 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 31% | 92 | 85 |
| 4 | Spurs | 69% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | 41% | 93 | 86 |
| 16 | Bucks | 59% | 96 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 41% | 94 | 93 | |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 96 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Suns | 40% | 96 | 90 |
| 22 | Warriors | 60% | 99 | 100 |
Friday, November 29, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 29% | 91 | 94 |
| 15 | Hawks | 71% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 79% | 102 | 106 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 21% | 92 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 22% | 93 | 98 |
| 8 | Celtics | 78% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 35% | 91 | 91 |
| 14 | Pistons | 65% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 32% | 93 | 84 |
| 10 | Pacers | 68% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 65% | 103 | 112 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 35% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 53% | 95 | 92 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 47% | 94 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 32% | 97 | 77 |
| 11 | Jazz | 68% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 63% | 93 | 87 |
| 21 | Suns | 37% | 89 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 20% | 96 | 94 |
| 2 | Kings | 80% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 24% | 93 | 83 |
| 4 | SuperSonics | 76% | 101 | 72 | |
Thursday, November 28, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 48% | 102 | 98 |
| 11 | Pacers | 52% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Nets | 47% | 97 | 118 | |
| 16 | Clippers | 53% | 98 | 126 |
Wednesday, November 27, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 15% | 95 | 82 |
| 6 | Celtics | 85% | 108 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 16% | 86 | 74 |
| 8 | 76ers | 84% | 99 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 49% | 102 | 102 |
| 18 | Magic | 51% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 33% | 97 | 87 |
| 19 | Raptors | 67% | 103 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 58% | 99 | 102 |
| 12 | Pistons | 42% | 97 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 14% | 91 | 80 |
| 16 | Bucks | 86% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 56% | 104 | 74 |
| 17 | Timberwolves | 44% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SuperSonics | 61% | 102 | 99 | |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 39% | 99 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 34% | 96 | 94 |
| 14 | Hornets | 66% | 102 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nuggets | 10% | 80 | 68 |
| 4 | Spurs | 90% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 63% | 95 | 75 | |
| 23 | Suns | 37% | 91 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 39% | 97 | 91 |
| 22 | Warriors | 61% | 101 | 84 |
Tuesday, November 26, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pacers | 49% | 96 | 88 |
| 20 | Wizards | 51% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 86% | 106 | 91 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 14% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 63% | 96 | 85 |
| 26 | Heat | 37% | 91 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SuperSonics | 47% | 100 | 116 | |
| 11 | Hawks | 53% | 101 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 79% | 94 | 81 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 21% | 84 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 23% | 89 | 71 |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 77% | 98 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 48% | 98 | 99 |
| 16 | Clippers | 52% | 99 | 94 |
Monday, November 25, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 37% | 94 | 87 | |
| 8 | 76ers | 63% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 44% | 97 | 81 |
| 21 | Suns | 56% | 98 | 86 |
Sunday, November 24, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 54% | 98 | 94 |
| 20 | Raptors | 46% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 35% | 95 | 89 |
| 16 | Clippers | 65% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 32% | 95 | 75 |
| 17 | Magic | 68% | 101 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 41% | 100 | 106 |
| 24 | Knicks | 59% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SuperSonics | 32% | 94 | 91 | |
| 4 | Spurs | 68% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 32% | 99 | 99 |
| 8 | Lakers | 68% | 105 | 111 |
Saturday, November 23, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 43% | 98 | 109 |
| 10 | Hawks | 57% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | 41% | 89 | 106 |
| 15 | Pacers | 59% | 92 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 73% | 100 | 97 | |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 27% | 92 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 49% | 99 | 96 | |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 51% | 100 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 52% | 99 | 74 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 48% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SuperSonics | 27% | 99 | 105 | |
| 1 | Mavericks | 73% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 15% | 94 | 90 |
| 11 | Jazz | 85% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 25% | 83 | 80 |
| 23 | Suns | 75% | 92 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 44% | 99 | 95 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 101 | 94 |
Friday, November 22, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 42% | 101 | 70 |
| 16 | Pacers | 58% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 32% | 98 | 98 |
| 8 | Celtics | 68% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 11% | 88 | 79 |
| 5 | Nets | 89% | 103 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 26% | 94 | 80 |
| 9 | 76ers | 74% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | 59% | 89 | 75 |
| 24 | Heat | 41% | 86 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 23% | 94 | 97 |
| 11 | Hornets | 77% | 103 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 49% | 95 | 86 |
| 22 | Rockets | 51% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 14% | 92 | 86 |
| 4 | Spurs | 86% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 14% | 90 | 101 |
| 2 | Kings | 86% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 67% | 96 | 70 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 33% | 91 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 16% | 95 | 73 |
| 7 | Lakers | 84% | 108 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 54% | 106 | 95 |
| 20 | Warriors | 46% | 105 | 91 |