FinalWin Prob.pScore
2922%88
79
2578%97
85
ORTG#PossPace
CLE logo CLE
83.295111.7
MIA logo MIA
93.49179.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatCavaliersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCLEMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0CLE79
0%
85
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0CLEPalacio 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHEAT Rebound77
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 277
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 277
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0CLEBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0CLEMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 276
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0CLECavaliers Rebound76
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0CLEMISS Palacio 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)76
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0MIAButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)76
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0CLEMISS Wagner 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAButler Layup (14 PTS)76
0.6%
83
99.4%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAButler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)76
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
2.0%
81
98.0%
Q4 - 1:08CLEPalacio Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)76
1.8%
81
98.2%
Q4 - 1:08CLEPalacio Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)75
1.5%
81
98.5%
Q4 - 1:09MIAButler 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)74
1.1%
81
98.9%
Q4 - 1:29CLEWagner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Palacio 2 AST)74
2.3%
79
97.7%
Q4 - 1:32CLEPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Best 22' Jump Shot71
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q4 - 1:49CLEPalacio Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)71
0.7%
79
99.3%
Q4 - 1:49CLEPalacio Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)70
0.6%
79
99.4%
Q4 - 2:02MIAEllis 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Best 5 AST)69
0.5%
79
99.5%
Q4 - 2:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)69
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 2:18CLEMISS Wagner Free Throw 2 of 269
0.8%
77
99.2%
Q4 - 2:18CLEWagner Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)69
1.0%
77
99.0%
Q4 - 2:36MIAJump Ball Allen vs. Palacio: Tip to Jones68
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 2:58CLEWagner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)68
0.7%
77
99.3%
Q4 - 3:15MIAEllis 20' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)65
0.3%
77
99.7%
Q4 - 3:23CLEButler STEAL (3 STL)65
0.4%
75
99.6%
Q4 - 3:40MIAAllen Foul Turnover (P3.T16)65
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q4 - 3:57MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)65
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q4 - 3:59MIAMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q4 - 4:20MIAHEAT Rebound65
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q4 - 4:20CLEMISS Ilgauskas Tip Shot65
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q4 - 4:21CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q4 - 4:22CLEMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot65
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q4 - 4:37MIABest 18' Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q4 - 4:51CLEIlgauskas 8' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wagner 2 AST)65
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q4 - 5:07MIABest Reverse Layup (11 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)63
1.6%
73
98.4%
Q4 - 5:12MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)63
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q4 - 5:14CLEMISS Wagner 8' Jump Shot63
2.4%
71
97.6%
Q4 - 5:26CLEParker Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)63
3.1%
71
96.9%
Q4 - 5:35MIAButler Foul Turnover (P5.T15)62
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q4 - 5:38MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
1.6%
71
98.4%
Q4 - 5:40CLEEllis BLOCK (2 BLK)62
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q4 - 5:50CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
2.2%
71
97.8%
Q4 - 5:52CLEMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
1.7%
71
98.3%
Q4 - 6:10MIAJones 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)62
2.8%
71
97.2%
Q4 - 6:24MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)62
3.5%
69
96.5%
Q4 - 6:26CLEJones BLOCK (1 BLK)62
3.9%
69
96.1%
Q4 - 6:44MIAButler Dunk (10 PTS)62
4.9%
69
95.1%
Q4 - 6:46MIAButler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot62
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q4 - 7:03CLEParker Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)62
7.1%
67
92.9%
Q4 - 7:03CLEParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
9.4%
67
90.6%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot62
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q4 - 7:25CLEParker Traveling Turnover (P3.T18)62
7.0%
67
93.0%
Q4 - 7:43CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)62
9.3%
67
90.7%
Q4 - 7:45MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot62
8.5%
67
91.5%
Q4 - 8:07CLEWagner Driving Dunk (21 PTS)62
7.9%
67
92.1%
Q4 - 8:27CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)60
6.2%
67
93.8%
Q4 - 8:29MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot60
5.8%
67
94.2%
Q4 - 8:51CLEBoozer Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q4 - 8:51CLEMISS Boozer Free Throw 1 of 259
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q4 - 9:07CLECavaliers Rebound59
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q4 - 9:09MIAMISS Grant 15' Jump Shot59
4.9%
67
95.1%
Q4 - 9:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
4.2%
67
95.8%
Q4 - 9:32CLEMISS Boozer 17' Jump Shot59
4.5%
67
95.5%
Q4 - 9:43MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)59
5.3%
67
94.7%
Q4 - 9:43MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)59
5.5%
66
94.5%
Q4 - 9:58CLEIlgauskas Tip Shot (5 PTS)59
6.6%
65
93.4%
Q4 - 10:00CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
5.3%
65
94.7%
Q4 - 10:02CLEMISS Ilgauskas 12' Jump Shot57
4.9%
65
95.1%
Q4 - 10:14MIABest 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS)57
5.8%
65
94.2%
Q4 - 10:27CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 157
7.2%
63
92.8%
Q4 - 10:27CLEIlgauskas Layup (3 PTS) (Boozer 2 AST)57
7.0%
63
93.0%
Q4 - 10:43CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q4 - 10:44MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot55
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q4 - 10:59MIAHEAT Rebound55
4.5%
63
95.5%
Q4 - 11:00CLEMISS Ilgauskas Layup55
4.9%
63
95.1%
Q4 - 11:03CLEParker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q4 - 11:05CLEMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot55
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q4 - 11:11CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
6.3%
63
93.7%
Q4 - 11:13MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot55
5.9%
63
94.1%
Q4 - 11:20MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)55
5.1%
63
94.9%
Q4 - 11:22CLEMISS Ilgauskas 12' Jump Shot55
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q4 - 11:34MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#14)55
6.2%
63
93.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA55
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0CLEAllen STEAL (3 STL)55
5.0%
63
95.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIABest Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)55
6.6%
63
93.4%
Q3 - 0:09.0CLEParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)55
5.4%
63
94.6%
Q3 - 0:09.0CLEParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)54
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAEllis 12' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 5 AST)53
4.4%
63
95.6%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
5.4%
61
94.6%
Q3 - 0:48.0CLEMISS Wagner Free Throw 2 of 253
5.5%
61
94.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0CLEWagner Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)53
6.3%
61
93.7%
Q3 - 1:03CLEParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
5.8%
61
94.2%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Butler 17' Jump Shot52
5.4%
61
94.6%
Q3 - 1:18CLEJones Foul Turnover (P3.T16)52
4.7%
61
95.3%
Q3 - 1:26MIAEllis 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)52
5.7%
61
94.3%
Q3 - 1:42CLEParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)52
6.8%
59
93.2%
Q3 - 1:42CLEParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
6.6%
59
93.4%
Q3 - 1:58CLECavaliers Rebound50
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q3 - 2:00CLEMISS Boozer 8' Hook Shot50
5.0%
59
95.0%
Q3 - 2:14MIAEllis Foul Turnover (P1.T12)50
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 2:27CLEParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)50
4.9%
59
95.1%
Q3 - 2:38CLECavaliers Rebound50
6.0%
59
94.0%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot50
5.7%
59
94.3%
Q3 - 2:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
4.9%
59
95.1%
Q3 - 2:47CLEMISS Boozer Driving Layup50
5.2%
59
94.8%
Q3 - 3:01MIAEllis 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)50
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q3 - 3:28CLEBoozer Driving Dunk (13 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)50
8.7%
56
91.3%
Q3 - 3:33MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)48
7.5%
56
92.5%
Q3 - 3:39MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
6.2%
56
93.8%
Q3 - 3:41CLEMISS Wagner 12' Jump Shot48
6.6%
56
93.4%
Q3 - 3:54MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)48
7.4%
56
92.6%
Q3 - 3:54MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)48
7.7%
55
92.3%
Q3 - 4:02MIAHEAT Rebound48
8.7%
54
91.3%
Q3 - 4:03MIAMISS Allen 8' Jump Shot48
9.9%
54
90.1%
Q3 - 4:05MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
8.7%
54
91.3%
Q3 - 4:06MIAMISS Allen 20' Jump Shot48
9.9%
54
90.1%
Q3 - 4:22MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
8.7%
54
91.3%
Q3 - 4:23CLEMISS Boozer Tip Shot48
9.2%
54
90.8%
Q3 - 4:24CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)48
10.4%
54
89.6%
Q3 - 4:26CLEMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot48
9.2%
54
90.8%
Q3 - 4:32CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
10.4%
54
89.6%
Q3 - 4:34MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
9.9%
54
90.1%
Q3 - 4:48CLEBoozer 12' Jump Shot (11 PTS)48
8.7%
54
91.3%
Q3 - 5:00MIAJones Layup (6 PTS)46
7.6%
54
92.4%
Q3 - 5:11MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
9.1%
52
90.9%
Q3 - 5:12CLEMISS Wagner 15' Jump Shot46
9.5%
52
90.5%
Q3 - 5:21CLEMISS Wagner Free Throw Technical46
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q3 - 5:38MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (James 4 AST)46
10.6%
52
89.4%
Q3 - 5:54CLEJones Foul Turnover (P2.T14)46
12.1%
50
87.9%
Q3 - 5:58CLEPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q3 - 6:00MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup46
13.6%
50
86.4%
Q3 - 6:06CLEJames STEAL (1 STL)46
12.2%
50
87.8%
Q3 - 6:11MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)46
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q3 - 6:15MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)46
12.2%
50
87.8%
Q3 - 6:17CLEMISS Ilgauskas 8' Jump Shot46
12.8%
50
87.2%
Q3 - 6:19CLECavaliers Rebound46
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q3 - 6:22CLEGrant BLOCK (2 BLK)46
12.8%
50
87.2%
Q3 - 6:39MIAButler Driving Dunk (8 PTS)46
14.2%
50
85.8%
Q3 - 6:55MIAButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Shot46
17.8%
48
82.2%
Q3 - 7:08CLEGrant STEAL (4 STL)46
16.0%
48
84.0%
Q3 - 7:34MIAGrant 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 3 AST)46
18.5%
48
81.5%
Q3 - 8:00CLEWagner Reverse Layup (18 PTS)46
20.6%
46
79.4%
Q3 - 8:14CLEPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
18.4%
46
81.6%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup44
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q3 - 8:29CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)44
16.0%
46
84.0%
Q3 - 8:29CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 243
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q3 - 8:41MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)43
16.3%
46
83.7%
Q3 - 8:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
18.1%
44
81.9%
Q3 - 8:53CLEMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot43
18.9%
44
81.1%
Q3 - 8:58CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)43
20.8%
44
79.2%
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup43
20.0%
44
80.0%
Q3 - 9:27CLEJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)43
17.8%
44
82.2%
Q3 - 9:27CLEJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)42
17.1%
44
82.9%
Q3 - 9:42CLEPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
15.8%
44
84.2%
Q3 - 9:44MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot41
15.2%
44
84.8%
Q3 - 10:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
13.9%
44
86.1%
Q3 - 10:02CLEMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot41
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q3 - 10:20CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)41
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS Allen 9' Hook Shot41
15.0%
44
85.0%
Q3 - 10:33CLEJones STEAL (3 STL)41
13.6%
44
86.4%
Q3 - 10:57MIAGrant 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 4 AST)41
15.6%
44
84.4%
Q3 - 11:13CLEGrant STEAL (3 STL)41
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q3 - 11:25CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
19.2%
42
80.8%
Q3 - 11:27MIAMISS Jones Layup41
18.5%
42
81.5%
Q3 - 11:42CLEGrant STEAL (2 STL)41
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
19.2%
42
80.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound41
17.0%
42
83.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot41
18.5%
42
81.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0CLEWagner 12' Jump Shot (16 PTS)41
17.4%
42
82.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAAllen 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)39
15.1%
42
84.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
17.4%
40
82.6%
Q2 - 0:51.0CLEMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot39
17.8%
40
82.2%
Q2 - 1:00MIAButler Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T9)39
18.8%
40
81.2%
Q2 - 1:21MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 1:22CLEMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 239
17.8%
40
82.2%
Q2 - 1:22CLEJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)39
18.9%
40
81.1%
Q2 - 1:26CLEWagner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
16.8%
40
83.2%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
16.5%
40
83.5%
Q2 - 1:37CLEJones STEAL (2 STL)38
15.9%
40
84.1%
Q2 - 1:58MIAJames 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)38
16.8%
40
83.2%
Q2 - 2:20CLEWagner Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)38
19.1%
38
80.9%
Q2 - 2:20CLEWagner Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)37
18.7%
38
81.3%
Q2 - 2:23MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T8)36
17.1%
38
82.9%
Q2 - 2:43CLEWagner Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)36
15.6%
38
84.4%
Q2 - 2:43CLEWagner Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)35
15.2%
38
84.8%
Q2 - 2:53MIAButler Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)34
13.8%
38
86.2%
Q2 - 3:12MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
12.4%
38
87.6%
Q2 - 3:14CLEMISS Ilgauskas 20' Jump Shot34
12.9%
38
87.1%
Q2 - 3:30MIAButler Foul Turnover (P1.T6)34
13.9%
38
86.1%
Q2 - 3:36MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
12.4%
38
87.6%
Q2 - 3:38CLEMISS Coles 20' Jump Shot34
12.9%
38
87.1%
Q2 - 3:57MIABest 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)34
13.9%
38
86.1%
Q2 - 4:18CLEStewart Tip Shot (2 PTS)34
16.7%
35
83.3%
Q2 - 4:19CLEStewart REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)32
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 4:20CLEMISS Wagner 6' Hook Shot32
14.1%
35
85.9%
Q2 - 4:38MIABest Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
15.2%
35
84.8%
Q2 - 4:45CLEWagner Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
16.7%
33
83.3%
Q2 - 4:45CLEWagner Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)31
16.3%
33
83.7%
Q2 - 4:49CLEWagner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
15.2%
33
84.8%
Q2 - 4:51CLEEllis BLOCK (1 BLK)30
14.1%
33
85.9%
Q2 - 4:59CLEDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
15.2%
33
84.8%
Q2 - 5:01MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot30
14.6%
33
85.4%
Q2 - 5:19MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)30
13.6%
33
86.4%
Q2 - 5:21CLEMISS Palacio 19' Jump Shot30
14.0%
33
86.0%
Q2 - 5:41CLEColes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 5:42MIAMISS Allen 15' Jump Shot30
14.6%
33
85.4%
Q2 - 5:54MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)30
13.6%
33
86.4%
Q2 - 5:56CLEMISS Diop 14' Jump Shot30
14.0%
33
86.0%
Q2 - 6:09CLEDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 6:11MIAMISS Best 22' Jump Shot30
14.6%
33
85.4%
Q2 - 6:22CLEAllen STEAL (2 STL)30
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q2 - 6:36CLEPalacio REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q2 - 6:38MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot30
14.6%
33
85.4%
Q2 - 6:52MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q2 - 6:53CLEMISS Boozer Free Throw 2 of 230
13.7%
33
86.3%
Q2 - 6:53CLEBoozer Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
14.5%
33
85.5%
Q2 - 7:01MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)29
13.8%
33
86.2%
Q2 - 7:14CLEParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Boozer 1 AST)29
15.0%
31
85.0%
Q2 - 7:41MIAHouse 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS)26
12.6%
31
87.4%
Q2 - 7:57CLEWagner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Diop 1 AST)26
13.7%
29
86.3%
Q2 - 8:15MIAEllis Layup (2 PTS)23
11.6%
29
88.4%
Q2 - 8:16MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
12.5%
27
87.5%
Q2 - 8:18MIAMISS James Driving Layup23
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q2 - 8:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
12.5%
27
87.5%
Q2 - 8:28CLEMISS Wagner 7' Jump Shot23
12.9%
27
87.1%
Q2 - 8:49MIAJones 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)23
13.8%
27
86.2%
Q2 - 8:59CLEJones STEAL (1 STL)23
15.0%
25
85.0%
Q2 - 9:12CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)23
16.3%
25
83.7%
Q2 - 9:14MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot23
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q2 - 9:29CLEBoozer Reverse Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)23
14.8%
25
85.2%
Q2 - 9:39CLEDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
13.8%
25
86.2%
Q2 - 9:41MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
13.4%
25
86.6%
Q2 - 10:05CLEBoozer Tip Shot (6 PTS)21
12.6%
25
87.4%
Q2 - 10:06CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)19
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q2 - 10:07CLEMISS Parker Layup19
10.9%
25
89.1%
Q2 - 10:12MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)19
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q2 - 10:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
10.6%
25
89.4%
Q2 - 10:20CLEMISS Wagner 17' Jump Shot19
10.9%
25
89.1%
Q2 - 10:45MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)19
11.7%
25
88.3%
Q2 - 11:03MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
12.5%
23
87.5%
Q2 - 11:05CLEMISS Coles 20' Jump Shot19
12.8%
23
87.2%
Q2 - 11:26MIAButler Reverse Layup (6 PTS)19
13.6%
23
86.4%
Q2 - 11:47CLEJones 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)19
14.8%
21
85.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLE17
13.6%
21
86.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0CLEDiop REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
13.6%
21
86.4%
Q1 - 0:02.0CLEMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 217
12.7%
21
87.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0CLEParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)17
13.5%
21
86.5%
Q1 - 0:15.0CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)16
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Butler 10' Jump Shot16
12.1%
21
87.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
11.6%
21
88.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0CLEMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
11.8%
21
88.2%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIAButler Layup (4 PTS)16
12.4%
21
87.6%
Q1 - 1:02MIAHEAT Rebound16
13.7%
19
86.3%
Q1 - 1:04CLEMISS Diop 14' Jump Shot16
14.0%
19
86.0%
Q1 - 1:28MIAHouse 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 1 AST)16
14.6%
19
85.4%
Q1 - 1:49MIAButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
17.4%
16
82.6%
Q1 - 1:51CLEGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)16
17.7%
16
82.3%
Q1 - 2:13MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)16
18.6%
16
81.4%
Q1 - 2:35CLEIlgauskas Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)16
17.3%
16
82.7%
Q1 - 2:50CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
18.5%
16
81.5%
Q1 - 2:51MIAMISS Allen 16' Jump Shot16
18.2%
16
81.8%
Q1 - 2:58CLEAllen STEAL (1 STL)16
17.3%
16
82.7%
Q1 - 3:07CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
18.4%
16
81.6%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot16
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 3:24CLEJones Layup (5 PTS) (Wagner 1 AST)16
17.0%
16
83.0%
Q1 - 3:27CLEColes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
15.9%
16
84.1%
Q1 - 3:29MIAMISS Best Driving Layup14
15.5%
16
84.5%
Q1 - 3:39MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
14.6%
16
85.4%
Q1 - 3:40CLEMISS Wagner 7' Jump Shot14
15.0%
16
85.0%
Q1 - 3:57MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)14
15.9%
16
84.1%
Q1 - 4:09CLEBoozer 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Palacio 1 AST)14
14.3%
16
85.7%
Q1 - 4:34MIAButler Reverse Dunk (2 PTS)12
13.5%
16
86.5%
Q1 - 4:54CLEGrant STEAL (1 STL)12
14.3%
14
85.7%
Q1 - 5:06CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
15.3%
14
84.7%
Q1 - 5:08MIAMISS Best 19' Jump Shot12
14.9%
14
85.1%
Q1 - 5:25MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
14.1%
14
85.9%
Q1 - 5:27CLEMISS Wagner Driving Layup12
14.5%
14
85.5%
Q1 - 5:45MIAHouse Layup (2 PTS) (Best 3 AST)12
15.3%
14
84.7%
Q1 - 5:49MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)12
16.3%
12
83.7%
Q1 - 5:50CLEAllen BLOCK (1 BLK)12
16.7%
12
83.3%
Q1 - 6:04MIAAllen 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Best 2 AST)12
17.4%
12
82.6%
Q1 - 6:23CLEButler STEAL (2 STL)12
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 6:28MIABest Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)12
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 6:37MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
18.5%
10
81.5%
Q1 - 6:39CLEMISS Boozer 18' Jump Shot12
18.9%
10
81.1%
Q1 - 6:55CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 6:57CLEMISS Ilgauskas 15' Jump Shot12
18.9%
10
81.1%
Q1 - 7:17MIAGrant 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 7:29CLEButler STEAL (1 STL)12
20.4%
8
79.6%
Q1 - 7:51MIABest 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
21.9%
8
78.1%
Q1 - 8:08CLEWagner 5' Running Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
22.7%
6
77.3%
Q1 - 8:13CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Butler Driving Layup10
21.1%
6
78.9%
Q1 - 8:35CLEWagner 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
20.2%
6
79.8%
Q1 - 8:50MIAAllen 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Best 1 AST)7
18.0%
6
82.0%
Q1 - 9:02CLEJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)7
18.7%
4
81.3%
Q1 - 9:02CLEMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 26
18.3%
4
81.7%
Q1 - 9:17MIAAllen 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
19.0%
4
81.0%
Q1 - 9:35CLEBoozer Layup (2 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)6
19.9%
2
80.1%
Q1 - 9:43CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
19.0%
2
81.0%
Q1 - 9:45MIAMISS Butler Reverse Layup4
18.6%
2
81.4%
Q1 - 10:01CLEJones Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
17.6%
2
82.4%
Q1 - 10:09MIABest Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 10:17MIABest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 10:19CLEMISS Palacio 19' Jump Shot2
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 10:27CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.6%
2
83.4%
Q1 - 10:28MIAMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot2
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 10:39MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 10:40CLEMISS Ilgauskas 16' Jump Shot2
15.8%
2
84.2%
Q1 - 10:57MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 10:57MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
16.9%
1
83.1%
Q1 - 11:18CLEPalacio Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 11:18CLEPalacio Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 11:38CLEBoozer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
16.5%
0
83.5%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS Grant Layup0
16.2%
0
83.8%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Grant vs. Ilgauskas: Tip to Jones0
15.5%
0
84.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.90 44.9%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CLE
12
21
57%
MIA
12
21
57%
Midrange
CLE
6
37
16%
MIA
22
48
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CLE
5
7.5
9
56%
83%
MIA
3
4.5
8
38%
56%
Free Throws
CLE
28
39
72%
MIA
8
10
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wagner2858%14.0 / 24
C. Boozer1547%7.5 / 16
J. Jones1045%5.0 / 11
S. Parker950%4.5 / 9
M. Palacio850%4.0 / 8
Z. Ilgauskas727%3.5 / 13
M. Stewart2100%1.0 / 1
B. Coles0-0.0 / 2
D. Diop0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Butler1650%8.0 / 16
B. Grant1464%7.0 / 11
T. Best1365%6.5 / 10
L. Ellis1365%6.5 / 10
M. Allen1033%5.0 / 15
E. Jones850%4.0 / 8
E. House750%3.5 / 7
M. James440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CLE
75
+13
-20
88
MIA
75
+9
-16
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CLE
0.90 44.9%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
94.7
94.5
CLE 83.2
MIA 93.4 +10.2
Pace
95.9
90.0
CLE 111.7 +31.9
MIA 79.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
16.2
CLE 12.9 +5.2
MIA 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
44.4%
43.9%
CLE 38.1%
MIA 50.0% +11.9%
TO %
18.1%
14.8%
CLE 19.2%
MIA 17.3% +1.9%
ORB %
30.9%
26.8%
CLE 22.7% +6.5%
MIA 16.2%
FTrt
29.8
25.9
CLE 58.2 +45.2
MIA 13.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
55.8%
CLE 47.8%
MIA 56.8% +9.0%
STL %
8.0%
7.9%
CLE 10.5%
MIA 15.4% +4.9%
BLK %
9.3%
6.4%
CLE 5.8%
MIA 10.3% +4.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
46.8%
46.0%
CLE 44.9%
MIA 50.0% +5.1%
Rim FG%
55.1%
53.7%
CLE 57.1%
MIA 57.1%
Mid FG%
35.4%
37.6%
CLE 16.2%
MIA 45.8% +29.6%
3P %
32.7%
31.6%
CLE 55.6% +18.1%
MIA 37.5%
FT %
74.7%
76.5%
CLE 71.8%
MIA 80.0% +8.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.7%
28.9%
CLE 31.3% +4.1%
MIA 27.3%
Mid Att. %
50.0%
54.2%
CLE 55.2% +7.1%
MIA 62.3%
3P Att. %
13.3%
16.9%
CLE 13.4% +3.0%
MIA 10.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.
Game TotalsCLEMIA
Possessions9591
Possession Minutes20.427.4
Points7985
Rebounds4140
Assists1121
Steals1014
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)20 (0)16 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)10 (3)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)34 (3)
Field Goals23-6737-77
At-the-Rim FG12-2112-21
Midrange FG6-3722-48
2-Point FG18-5834-69
3-Point FG5-93-8
Free Throws28-398-10
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 200 · 20
43.9
28
58%
2
2
2
0
3
4
1
1
8-11
73%
4-14
29%
4-5
80%
F · 6'9" 258 · 21
41.3
15
47%
11
2
1
2
3
2
3
8
3-6
50%
6-13
46%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 230 · 24
41.0
10
45%
4
1
1
1
3
4
0
4
4-6
67%
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 7'3" 260 · 27
34.5
7
27%
8
1
3
0
4
4
3
5
1-3
33%
3-11
27%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 210 · 25
27.0
8
50%
5
2
1
1
2
3
0
5
6-6
100%
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'4" 190 · 21
19.6
9
50%
4
2
0
0
4
2
1
3
6-7
86%
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 182 · 35
12.6
0
0%
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 230 · 28
10.4
2
100%
1
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 21
9.8
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 195 · 23
F · 6'9" 250 · 35
C · 7'0" 265 · 23
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
45%
41
11
10
4
20
0
10
31
28-39
72%
18-58
31%
5-9
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.