Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, November 27, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 15% | 95 | 82 |
 | 6 | Celtics | 85% | 108 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Heat | 16% | 86 | 74 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Lakers | 49% | 102 | 102 |
 | 18 | Magic | 51% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Knicks | 33% | 97 | 87 |
 | 19 | Raptors | 67% | 103 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Mavericks | 58% | 99 | 102 |
 | 12 | Pistons | 42% | 97 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Bucks | 86% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Timberwolves | 44% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SuperSonics | 61% | 102 | 99 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Hornets | 66% | 102 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nets | 63% | 95 | 75 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, November 26, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 86% | 106 | 91 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 14% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 63% | 96 | 85 |
| 26 | Heat | 37% | 91 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SuperSonics | 47% | 100 | 116 | |
| 11 | Hawks | 53% | 101 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 79% | 94 | 81 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 21% | 84 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 23% | 89 | 71 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23FFFFFF;}%20.st1{fill:%23C8102E;}%20.st2{fill:%231D428A;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%20id='Layer_2_1_'%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M42.4,200.4c0-86.9,70.4-157.3,157.3-157.3S357,113.5,357,200.4s-70.4,157.3-157.3,157.3%20S42.4,287.3,42.4,200.4'/%3e%3cpath%20d='M199.8,56.1c-79.6,0-144.3,64.7-144.3,144.3s64.7,144.3,144.3,144.3S344.1,280,344.1,200.4%20C344.1,120.9,279.3,56.1,199.8,56.1%20M304.1,120.3c16.5,21.4,25.9,47,27.2,73.9h-54.4C278.2,167.2,287.6,141.7,304.1,120.3%20M95.5,120.3c16.5,21.4,25.9,47,27.3,73.9H68.2C69.6,167.1,78.9,141.7,95.5,120.3%20M95.5,280.6c-16.5-21.4-25.9-47-27.2-73.9h54.4%20C121.4,233.7,112,259.2,95.5,280.6%20M206.1,332v-37.7h-12.7V332c-34.3-1.6-66-16.3-89.6-41.4c19.3-24.1,30.1-53,31.4-83.7v-12.7%20c-1.3-30.7-12.2-59.6-31.4-83.7c23.6-25.1,55.3-39.8,89.6-41.4v37.4h12.7V68.9c34.3,1.6,66,16.3,89.6,41.4%20c-19.3,24.1-30.1,53-31.4,83.7v12.7c1.3,30.7,12.2,59.6,31.4,83.7C272.1,315.6,240.3,330.3,206.1,332%20M304.1,280.6%20c-16.5-21.4-25.9-47-27.3-73.9h54.4C329.9,233.7,320.6,259.2,304.1,280.6'/%3e%3cpolygon%20class='st1'%20points='167.6,140%20167.6,260.4%20232,260.4%20232,243.9%20184.8,243.9%20184.8,140%20'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M253.8,180.3v-49.6c0-7.5-3-10.5-10.3-10.5h-87.6c-7.2,0-10.2,3.1-10.2,10.5v139.4c0,7.5,3,10.5,10.2,10.5%20h87.6c7.3,0,10.3-3.1,10.3-10.5v-49.7h-17.4v44.9H163V135.5h73.5v44.8L253.8,180.3L253.8,180.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M232,239.2V140h-41.9l-0.4,99.2h16.7l0.3-30.9h8.5l-0.1,30.9H232z%20M215.1,191.7h-8.4v-35.2h8.4V191.7z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 16 | Clippers | 52% | 99 | 94 |
Monday, November 25, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 37% | 94 | 87 | |
| 8 | 76ers | 63% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 44% | 97 | 81 |
| 21 | Suns | 56% | 98 | 86 |
Sunday, November 24, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 54% | 98 | 94 |
| 20 | Raptors | 46% | 97 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 35% | 95 | 89 |
| 16 | Clippers | 65% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 32% | 95 | 75 |
| 17 | Magic | 68% | 101 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Timberwolves | 41% | 100 | 106 |
| 24 | Knicks | 59% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SuperSonics | 32% | 94 | 91 | |
| 4 | Spurs | 68% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 32% | 99 | 99 |
| 8 | Lakers | 68% | 105 | 111 |
Saturday, November 23, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 43% | 98 | 109 |
| 10 | Hawks | 57% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | 41% | 89 | 106 |
| 15 | Pacers | 59% | 92 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 73% | 100 | 97 | |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 27% | 92 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 49% | 99 | 96 | |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 51% | 100 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 52% | 99 | 74 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 48% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SuperSonics | 27% | 99 | 105 | |
| 1 | Mavericks | 73% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 15% | 94 | 90 |
| 11 | Jazz | 85% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 25% | 83 | 80 |
| 23 | Suns | 75% | 92 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 44% | 99 | 95 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 101 | 94 |
Friday, November 22, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Magic | 42% | 101 | 70 |
| 16 | Pacers | 58% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 32% | 98 | 98 |
| 8 | Celtics | 68% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 11% | 88 | 79 |
| 5 | Nets | 89% | 103 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 26% | 94 | 80 |
| 9 | 76ers | 74% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | 59% | 89 | 75 |
| 24 | Heat | 41% | 86 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 23% | 94 | 97 |
| 11 | Hornets | 77% | 103 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Wizards | 49% | 95 | 86 |
| 22 | Rockets | 51% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 14% | 92 | 86 |
| 4 | Spurs | 86% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Suns | 14% | 90 | 101 |
| 2 | Kings | 86% | 103 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 67% | 96 | 70 |
| 29 | Nuggets | 33% | 91 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 16% | 95 | 73 |
| 7 | Lakers | 84% | 108 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 54% | 106 | 95 |
| 20 | Warriors | 46% | 105 | 91 |
Thursday, November 21, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 14% | 95 | 90 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 86% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 93 | 89 |
| 3 | SuperSonics | 73% | 101 | 85 | |
Wednesday, November 20, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 43% | 97 | 79 | |
| 6 | Celtics | 57% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 51% | 97 | 97 |
| 22 | Raptors | 49% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 27% | 98 | 103 |
| 13 | Hawks | 73% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 18% | 83 | 68 |
| 11 | Pistons | 82% | 95 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Lakers | 24% | 92 | 88 |
| 5 | Spurs | 76% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 64% | 103 | 95 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 36% | 99 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 60% | 92 | 96 |
| 28 | Nuggets | 40% | 89 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 32% | 99 | 84 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 105 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 54% | 104 | 93 |
| 17 | Clippers | 46% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 30% | 101 | 94 |
| 21 | Warriors | 70% | 108 | 100 |
Tuesday, November 19, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 21% | 93 | 97 |
| 10 | Bucks | 79% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 27% | 99 | 106 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 73% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 43% | 96 | 98 |
| 12 | Hornets | 57% | 98 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 23% | 98 | 72 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 77% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 19% | 91 | 80 |
| 20 | Rockets | 81% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 35% | 90 | 76 |
| 17 | Jazz | 65% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 11% | 97 | 98 |
| 2 | Kings | 89% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 25% | 101 | 101 |
| 3 | SuperSonics | 75% | 109 | 84 | |
Monday, November 18, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 63% | 97 | 91 |
| 24 | Knicks | 37% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 11% | 83 | 79 |
| 4 | Nets | 89% | 98 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 24% | 95 | 92 |
| 11 | Hawks | 76% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 14% | 88 | 78 |
| 5 | Spurs | 86% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 42% | 102 | 99 |
| 22 | Warriors | 58% | 104 | 89 |
Sunday, November 17, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 43% | 97 | 82 |
| 20 | Raptors | 57% | 99 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SuperSonics | 56% | 102 | 84 | |
| 18 | Clippers | 44% | 100 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 28% | 93 | 84 |
| 8 | 76ers | 72% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 16% | 101 | 99 |
| 2 | Kings | 84% | 114 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rockets | 26% | 93 | 93 |
| 7 | Lakers | 74% | 101 | 89 |
Saturday, November 16, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 63% | 103 | 93 |
| 26 | Knicks | 37% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 25% | 89 | 65 |
| 18 | Wizards | 75% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 33% | 96 | 82 | |
| 12 | Hawks | 67% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 44% | 101 | 96 |
| 4 | Nets | 56% | 103 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 75% | 100 | 90 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 25% | 91 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 16% | 82 | 53 |
| 10 | Pistons | 84% | 94 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 45% | 97 | 107 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 55% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 40% | 103 | 93 |
| 27 | Bulls | 60% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 44% | 103 | 85 |
| 13 | Bucks | 56% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 65% | 109 | 92 |
| 23 | Warriors | 35% | 104 | 135 |
Friday, November 15, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 28% | 88 | 79 |
| 22 | Raptors | 72% | 96 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 40% | 99 | 100 |
| 17 | Pacers | 60% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 51% | 106 | 97 |
| 6 | Celtics | 49% | 105 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 68% | 96 | 93 | |
| 24 | Heat | 32% | 90 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jazz | 33% | 92 | 75 |
| 14 | Pistons | 67% | 97 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 51% | 104 | 99 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 49% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 24% | 95 | 87 |
| 15 | Hornets | 76% | 104 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 28% | 93 | 88 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 72% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings | 48% | 100 | 97 |
| 3 | SuperSonics | 52% | 101 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 43% | 91 | 87 |
| 21 | Suns | 57% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 20% | 96 | 89 |
| 8 | Lakers | 80% | 107 | 96 |
Thursday, November 14, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 44% | 96 | 102 |
| 18 | Wizards | 56% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 43% | 96 | 94 |
| 11 | 76ers | 57% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 41% | 106 | 101 |
| 10 | Clippers | 59% | 108 | 80 |