Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, April 24, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Knicks | 48% | 112 | 118 |
 | 12 | Pistons | 52% | 113 | 116 |
Updated: Apr 24, 2025 10:55 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Thunder | 64% | 115 | 114 |
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Updated: Apr 25, 2025 01:12 AM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Apr 25, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailWednesday, April 23, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Magic | 27% | 99 | 100 |
 | 5 | Celtics | 73% | 109 | 109 |
Updated: Apr 23, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Heat | 28% | 106 | 112 |
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Updated: Apr 23, 2025 11:17 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Updated: Apr 24, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailTuesday, April 22, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Bucks | 42% | 115 | 115 |
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BEC0C2;}%20.st1{fill:%23002D62;}%20.st2{fill:%23FDBB30;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M318.6,100.7c-20.1-24.2-48.9-37.7-81.3-37.7l-129.5,0L47.7,336.1l110.6,0.1l15.9-66.1c14.8,0,53.9,0,53.8,0%20c37,0.3,67.4-12.3,87.9-36.3C353,193.4,346.4,134.3,318.6,100.7z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M168.4,262.9L152.6,329l-96,0l56.9-258.8l123.7,0.1c30.8,0.1,57.2,12.5,75.8,35c27.4,33.1,30.1,88.1-2.7,123.9%20c-20.1,23.6-49.6,34-82.3,33.7L168.4,262.9z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M100.8,127.7l54.2,0c6.2,0,12.9,5.2,10,13.1c-1.8,4.9-3.1,10.6-3.8,15.9c-0.5,4.2,4.2,6.8,6.8,6.8l110.5,0.1%20c2.1,0,3.2-0.6,3.2-1.6c0-1-0.1-4.7-0.5-7.2c-0.4-2.4-0.8-2.9-2.8-2.9c-13.8,0-19.4-6.1-33.8-15.5c-14.4-9.3-35.6-14.7-53.8-14.7%20l-88.7-0.1L100.8,127.7z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M167.7,199.3c-1.9-4.1-3.7-9-4.8-13.4c-1.4-5.7-6.2-10.4-14.5-10.4l-58.2,0l1.4-6.5l188.5,0.1%20c1.9,0,1.5,0.8,1.4,2.9c-0.1,2.1-0.6,5.9-0.9,8.2c-0.3,2.3-2.2,1.7-4,1.8c-4.2,0.1-12.1,1.1-16.7,4.5c-7.8,5.9-24.5,16.2-33.8,19.2%20c-10,3.2-47.6,14.7-58.6-6.5'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M79.9,222.8l98.4,0.1c4.3,0,8.1,1,11,3.4c8.3,6.9,19.1,11.8,30.5,15.1c5.1,1.5,14-0.4,21.9-4.9%20c19.7-11.1,32.4-32.3,36.5-46c1.1-3.6-1-3.3-3.8-3.1c-8.3,0.6-17,8.1-28.5,15.4c-11.5,7.3-34.8,14.2-57,14.2l-107.8-0.1L79.9,222.8%20z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M224.2,91c1.4-0.2,6.4-0.5,9.1,0.5c18.7,7.4,36.4,26.8,43.8,47.5c1.4,4,1.8,6.5,0,6.7%20c-8.6,0.9-12.6-3.3-22.6-10.1c-10.1-6.8-19.4-11.5-32.1-15.5c-12.6-4-35.5-4.6-38.5-4.7c-3-0.1-2.6-1.3-1.3-2.6%20C193.6,101.9,208.3,93.9,224.2,91z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M313.9,162c0.1,0.8-0.8,1.7-1.8,1.7c-0.1,0-21.6,0-21.6,0c-2.8,0-2.8-1.3-2.9-2.9c-0.1-1.6-0.6-4.7-0.6-6.6%20c-0.1-1.8-0.8-3.9,1.7-4.9c6-2.5,11.7-8.4,14.3-13.4c0.9-1.7,2.2-4.5,3.6-2.1C311.7,141.8,313.3,151.9,313.9,162z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M306.2,200.7c-0.4,0.7-1.7,1.3-2.2,0.1c-3.1-8.4-10.6-14.2-15.8-17.1c-1.6-0.9-1.7-1.9-1.5-3.4%20c0.2-1.5,0.9-6.4,1-8.5c0.1-1.6,0.7-2.8,2-2.8l22.5,0c0.8,0,1.8,0.7,1.8,1.3C313.9,181,310.7,191.6,306.2,200.7z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M247.8,242.9c-1.6,0.2-5-0.3,0.4-3.5c16.3-9.5,30.9-31.8,34.7-44.5c1.5-4.9,1.6-5.1,3.5-4.6%20c2.5,0.7,6.4,4.1,9.4,8.3c3,4.1,4.3,12.2,2.6,14.6C286.8,228.8,268.1,239.9,247.8,242.9z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st2'%20d='M289.3,142.1c-3.8,2-4.5,1.7-5.3-1.2c-7.1-24.9-28-43.3-36.6-48.7c-1.6-1-1.2-1.7,0-1.6%20c20.5,2.7,40.5,13.9,50.6,29.2C303.8,128.5,293,140.1,289.3,142.1z'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 13 | Pacers | 58% | 118 | 123 |
Updated: Apr 22, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 22% | 108 | 99 |
| 1 | Thunder | 78% | 119 | 118 |
Updated: Apr 22, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Timberwolves | 44% | 108 | 85 |
 | 10 | Lakers | 56% | 111 | 94 |
Updated: Apr 22, 2025 11:55 PM
game detailMonday, April 21, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 38% | 110 | 100 |
| 8 | Knicks | 62% | 114 | 94 |
Updated: Apr 21, 2025 11:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 43% | 113 | 105 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 57% | 116 | 102 |
Updated: Apr 22, 2025 01:57 AM
game detailSunday, April 20, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 23% | 108 | 80 |
| 1 | Thunder | 77% | 119 | 131 |
Updated: Apr 20, 2025 04:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 23% | 104 | 100 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 77% | 115 | 121 |
Updated: Apr 20, 2025 10:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 47% | 109 | 95 |
| 11 | Rockets | 53% | 110 | 85 |
Updated: Apr 21, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailSaturday, April 19, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 32% | 113 | 98 |
| 11 | Pacers | 68% | 120 | 117 |
Updated: Apr 19, 2025 04:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Clippers | 38% | 112 | 110 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 62% | 116 | 112 |
Updated: Apr 19, 2025 07:12 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 32% | 108 | 112 |
| 9 | Knicks | 68% | 115 | 123 |
Updated: Apr 19, 2025 09:42 PM
game detail| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 41% | 109 | 117 |
| 6 | Lakers | 59% | 112 | 95 |
Updated: Apr 20, 2025 12:12 AM
game detailFriday, April 18, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Mavericks | 34% | 115 | 106 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 66% | 121 | 120 |
Updated: Apr 19, 2025 01:12 AM
game detailWednesday, April 16, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Mavericks | 43% | 114 | 120 |
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Updated: Apr 17, 2025 01:42 AM
game detailTuesday, April 15, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Magic | 60% | 115 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 38% | 116 | 116 |
| 4 | Warriors | 62% | 120 | 121 |
Sunday, April 13, 2025
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Hornets | 15% | 99 | 86 |
| 5 | Celtics | 85% | 114 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Magic | 48% | 108 | 105 |
| 16 | Hawks | 52% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Knicks | 68% | 109 | 113 |
 | 25 | Nets | 32% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 44% | 111 | 126 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 56% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Heat | 72% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Bulls | 59% | 118 | 122 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 76% | 116 | 133 |
| 28 | Bucks | 24% | 106 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 55% | 116 | 126 |
| 8 | Rockets | 45% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 48% | 114 | 97 |
| 19 | Grizzlies | 52% | 115 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Timberwolves | 87% | 124 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Thunder | 86% | 119 | 115 |
 | 30 | Pelicans | 14% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Raptors | 43% | 111 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 47% | 111 | 124 |
| 2 | Warriors | 53% | 112 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Lakers | 52% | 102 | 81 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | Kings | 68% | 117 | 109 |