Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Grizzlies23%10880
1Thunder77%119131
Updated: Apr 20, 2025 04:42 PM
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Desmond Bane
G · 6'6" 215 · 26.8
27.4
34.4
9
35%
2
0
0
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
50%
1-6
17%
Jaren Jackson Jr.
F · 6'11" 242 · 25.6
28.5
35.2
4
15%
3
2
1
1
0
3
3
0
0-0
-
2-9
5-11
22%
50%
0-4
0%
Zach Edey
C · 7'4" 305 · 22.9
19.6
27.0
4
37%
9
1
0
1
0
2
4
5
0-1
0%
2-5
4-7
40%
56%
0-0
-
Scotty Pippen Jr.
G · 6'3" 170 · 24.4
22.2
23.4
2
11%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
49%
0-4
0%
Ja Morant
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.7
26.2
32.9
17
44%
3
4
0
1
1
1
1
2
4-5
80%
5-11
7-13
45%
49%
1-6
17%
John Konchar
G · 6'5" 210 · 29.1
25.3
15.2
2
25%
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Santi Aldama
F-C · 6'11" 215 · 24.3
19.4
23.8
5
42%
4
3
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-3
33%
54%
1-3
33%
Vince Williams Jr.
G · 6'6" 205 · 24.6
19.0
9.3
3
75%
3
1
1
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-2
50%
Marvin Bagley III
F · 6'11" 234 · 26.1
16.2
11.0
17
106%
5
0
2
0
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
7-7
2-3
100%
53%
1-1
100%
Luke Kennard
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.8
12.0
11.9
5
63%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Jay Huff
F · 7'1" 240 · 27.7
12.0
4.1
8
69%
2
0
0
0
2
1
1
1
4-4
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
61%
0-1
0%
Lamar Stevens
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.8
12.0
4.1
4
22%
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
1-1
33%
48%
0-3
0%
GG Jackson
F · 6'9" 210 · 20.3
Brandon Clarke
F · 6'8" 207 · 28.6
Jaylen Wells
F · 6'8" 205 · 21.7
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jalen Williams
G-F · 6'6" 195 · 24.0
25.9
31.4
20
63%
5
6
3
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
10-12
7-12
83%
55%
0-4
0%
Chet Holmgren
C-F · 7'0" 195 · 23.0
21.1
29.9
19
70%
10
2
1
1
2
0
1
9
6-6
100%
2-7
4-7
29%
59%
3-4
75%
Isaiah Hartenstein
C-F · 7'0" 250 · 27.0
21.0
24.2
14
88%
8
5
1
1
0
0
4
4
0-0
-
7-8
4-7
88%
61%
0-0
-
Luguentz Dort
G · 6'4" 222 · 26.0
21.7
26.2
12
75%
3
2
3
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
4-8
50%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
G · 6'6" 180 · 26.8
23.1
33.5
15
47%
3
5
0
2
2
2
0
3
6-7
86%
3-6
9-16
50%
55%
1-7
14%
Aaron Wiggins
G-F · 6'5" 190 · 26.3
26.3
11.6
21
68%
4
3
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
4-8
2-3
50%
58%
4-7
57%
Isaiah Joe
G · 6'5" 165 · 25.8
19.6
17.6
6
60%
1
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
55%
2-5
40%
Jaylin Williams
F · 6'10" 240 · 22.8
18.7
14.1
9
83%
5
3
1
0
2
3
0
5
1-1
100%
1-1
1-1
100%
52%
2-4
50%
Kenrich Williams
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 30.4
15.9
5.4
6
33%
8
1
2
0
0
0
2
6
0-0
-
3-5
1-1
60%
56%
0-4
0%
Ajay Mitchell
G · 6'5" 190 · 22.8
14.5
3.8
5
42%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
55%
1-4
25%
Cason Wallace
G · 6'4" 195 · 21.5
12.7
22.1
2
100%
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
57%
0-0
-
Alex Caruso
G · 6'5" 186 · 31.1
11.8
23.9
0
0%
3
4
0
2
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Dillon Jones
F · 6'6" 235 · 23.5
7.8
2.8
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Nikola Topić
G · 6'6" 200 · 19.7
Ousmane Dieng
F · 6'10" 185 · 21.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.