Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, May 27, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Bucks | 48% | 109 | 113 |
 | 13 | Heat | 52% | 110 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Lakers | 60% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, May 26, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Knicks | 55% | 108 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, May 25, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Celtics | 28% | 111 | 108 |
 | 1 | Nets | 72% | 119 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 42% | 106 | 109 |
| 5 | Suns | 58% | 109 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Mavericks | 29% | 106 | 127 |
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Monday, May 24, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 33% | 106 | 98 |
| 5 | Bucks | 67% | 113 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 112 | 109 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 59% | 115 | 128 |
Sunday, May 23, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 28% | 108 | 118 |
| 10 | 76ers | 72% | 117 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 49% | 106 | 90 |
| 14 | Suns | 51% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 37% | 102 | 107 |
| 15 | Knicks | 63% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 27% | 105 | 112 |
| 4 | Jazz | 73% | 113 | 109 |
Saturday, May 22, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 31% | 106 | 107 |
| 9 | Bucks | 69% | 113 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 34% | 107 | 113 |
| 4 | Clippers | 66% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 32% | 110 | 93 |
| 5 | Nets | 68% | 117 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 112 | 123 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 52% | 113 | 109 |
Friday, May 21, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 39% | 112 | 117 |
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Thursday, May 20, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 17 | Wizards | 54% | 120 | 142 |
Wednesday, May 19, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Grizzlies | 69% | 116 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 38% | 108 | 100 |
| 3 | Lakers | 62% | 112 | 103 |
Tuesday, May 18, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Hornets | 44% | 114 | 117 |
| 17 | Pacers | 56% | 116 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 42% | 114 | 100 |
| 14 | Celtics | 58% | 117 | 118 |
Sunday, May 16, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 54% | 111 | 125 |
 | 26 | Raptors | 46% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Hornets | 37% | 115 | 110 |
| 15 | Wizards | 63% | 120 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 34% | 103 | 92 |
| 11 | Knicks | 66% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 66% | 115 | 123 |
| 23 | Spurs | 34% | 109 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 45% | 112 | 101 |
| 12 | Warriors | 55% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Hawks | 68% | 121 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Nets | 83% | 122 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Magic | 20% | 102 | 117 |
| 20 | 76ers | 80% | 114 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 65% | 108 | 120 |
 | 27 | Pistons | 35% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 65% | 115 | 112 |
 | 21 | Bulls | 35% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 62% | 119 | 121 |
 | 17 | Timberwolves | 38% | 114 | 136 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 90% | 119 | 112 |
 | 30 | Thunder | 10% | 100 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 39% | 113 | 116 |
| 4 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 117 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 76% | 119 | 121 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 64% | 110 | 110 |
 | 22 | Pelicans | 36% | 105 | 98 |
Saturday, May 15, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 29% | 112 | 91 |
| 4 | Nets | 71% | 120 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 58% | 111 | 122 |
| 16 | Pacers | 42% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 35% | 105 | 109 |
| 11 | Knicks | 65% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 46% | 114 | 124 |
| 15 | Timberwolves | 54% | 116 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Suns | 63% | 116 | 140 |
| 20 | Spurs | 37% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 35% | 110 | 108 |
| 1 | Bucks | 65% | 116 | 122 |
Friday, May 14, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 32% | 110 | 105 |
| 21 | Wizards | 68% | 117 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jazz | 90% | 119 | 109 |
| 30 | Thunder | 10% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 8% | 99 | 97 |
| 5 | 76ers | 92% | 118 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 72% | 112 | 104 |
| 28 | Pistons | 28% | 104 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 56% | 112 | 115 |
| 25 | Rockets | 44% | 110 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 19% | 103 | 110 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 81% | 116 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 27% | 108 | 106 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 73% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pelicans | 25% | 106 | 122 |
| 7 | Warriors | 75% | 116 | 125 |