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All Games Saturday, May 15, 2021
FinalWin Prob.pScore
9
Heat
35%110
108
1
Bucks
65%116
122
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
108.0100100.0
MIL logo MIL
123.29999.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0End of 4th Quarter.108
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:23.3HeatMax Strus makes three point jump shot (Gabe Vincent assists)108
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.5BucksBryn Forbes makes three point pullup jump shot (Mamadi Diakite assists)105
0.1%
122
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.3HeatNemanja Bjelica makes three point jump shot (Precious Achiuwa assists)105
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Nemanja Bjelica draws the foul)102
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:00BucksPat Connaughton turnover (bad pass) (Nemanja Bjelica steals)102
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:04BucksPat Connaughton offensive rebound102
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot102
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10BucksJordan Nwora offensive rebound102
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12BucksMax Strus blocks Jordan Nwora's two point driving layup102
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26HeatPrecious Achiuwa makes two point hook shot102
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:41BucksBryn Forbes makes two point pullup jump shot (Thanasis Antetokounmpo assists)100
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound100
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 1:50HeatPrecious Achiuwa misses three point jump shot100
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:12BucksBrook Lopez makes two point floating jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)100
0.1%
117
99.9%
Q4 - 2:31HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving floating jump shot100
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44BucksJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)98
0.1%
115
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound98
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 3:09HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point pullup jump shot98
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 3:24HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound98
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 3:27BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point turnaround jump shot98
0.2%
112
99.8%
Q4 - 3:39BucksBucks offensive rebound98
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 3:39BucksAndre Iguodala blocks Giannis Antetokounmpo's two point turnaround jump shot98
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 3:48BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound98
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 3:52HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point driving reverse layup98
0.4%
112
99.6%
Q4 - 4:08BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)98
0.5%
112
99.5%
Q4 - 4:26HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point turnaround jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)98
1.0%
109
99.0%
Q4 - 4:38HeatGoran Dragic defensive rebound95
0.5%
109
99.5%
Q4 - 4:41BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot95
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 4:57BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound95
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 5:00HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot95
0.4%
109
99.6%
Q4 - 5:13BucksKhris Middleton personal foul (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)95
0.8%
109
99.2%
Q4 - 5:17HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound95
0.8%
109
99.2%
Q4 - 5:20BucksBrook Lopez misses two point alley-oop dunk95
0.7%
109
99.3%
Q4 - 5:41HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)95
0.6%
109
99.4%
Q4 - 5:56BucksJrue Holiday makes two point pullup bank jump shot92
0.3%
109
99.7%
Q4 - 6:15HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (out of bounds step)92
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 6:20BucksJrue Holiday personal foul (Trevor Ariza draws the foul)92
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 6:33BucksBryn Forbes turnover (offensive foul)92
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 6:33BucksBryn Forbes offensive foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)92
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 6:36HeatAndre Iguodala personal foul (Loose ball) (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)92
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 6:36HeatAndre Iguodala turnover (lost ball)92
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 6:37HeatHeat defensive rebound92
0.9%
107
99.1%
Q4 - 6:37BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point pullup jump shot92
0.8%
107
99.2%
Q4 - 6:51BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound92
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 6:53HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot92
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 7:12BucksBryn Forbes makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)92
1.3%
107
98.7%
Q4 - 7:23BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound92
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 7:26HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot92
1.7%
105
98.3%
Q4 - 7:48HeatHeat defensive rebound92
2.1%
105
97.9%
Q4 - 7:49BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot92
1.9%
105
98.1%
Q4 - 8:05HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup92
2.0%
105
98.0%
Q4 - 8:10HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound90
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 8:13BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot90
1.5%
105
98.5%
Q4 - 8:33BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound90
1.2%
105
98.8%
Q4 - 8:37HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot90
1.3%
105
98.7%
Q4 - 8:41HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound90
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 8:44BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot90
1.4%
105
98.6%
Q4 - 8:59BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound90
1.2%
105
98.8%
Q4 - 9:02HeatTyler Herro misses three point running jump shot90
1.6%
105
98.4%
Q4 - 9:07BucksBobby Portis turnover (lost ball) (Andre Iguodala steals)90
1.9%
105
98.1%
Q4 - 9:22HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)90
1.5%
105
98.5%
Q4 - 9:24HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound87
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 9:26HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot87
0.8%
105
99.2%
Q4 - 9:41BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 2 of 287
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 9:41BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses regular free throw 1 of 287
1.0%
104
99.0%
Q4 - 9:41HeatDewayne Dedmon shooting foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)87
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 9:41BucksKhris Middleton offensive rebound87
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 9:42BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot87
1.1%
104
98.9%
Q4 - 10:00HeatKendrick Nunn makes regular free throw 1 of 187
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 10:00BucksBobby Portis shooting foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)86
0.9%
104
99.1%
Q4 - 10:05HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound84
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 10:07BucksBobby Portis misses two point turnaround hook shot84
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 10:23BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound84
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 10:26HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot84
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 10:38HeatHeat defensive rebound84
0.8%
104
99.2%
Q4 - 10:38BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses two point running layup84
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 10:39BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound84
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 10:42HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point alley-oop dunk84
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 10:53BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 184
0.7%
104
99.3%
Q4 - 10:53HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)84
0.8%
103
99.2%
Q4 - 11:09HeatDewayne Dedmon makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)84
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 11:16HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound81
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 11:20BucksPat Connaughton misses three point running jump shot81
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 11:25BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound81
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 11:28HeatTyler Herro misses two point pullup jump shot81
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 11:41BucksKhris Middleton makes two point cutting layup (Donte DiVincenzo assists)81
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0End of 3rd Quarter.81
1.1%
99
98.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatHeat offensive rebound81
1.4%
99
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot81
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q3 - 0:17.5BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point cutting dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)81
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q3 - 0:32.8BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound81
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q3 - 0:35.5HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot81
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q3 - 0:39.5HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound81
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q3 - 0:42.8BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot81
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q3 - 0:54.9HeatDewayne Dedmon makes regular free throw 2 of 281
2.0%
97
98.0%
Q3 - 0:54.9HeatDewayne Dedmon misses regular free throw 1 of 280
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q3 - 0:54.9BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo shooting foul (Dewayne Dedmon draws the foul)80
2.2%
97
97.8%
Q3 - 1:11HeatHeat defensive rebound80
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q3 - 1:11BucksPat Connaughton misses three point jump shot80
2.2%
97
97.8%
Q3 - 1:15BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound80
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q3 - 1:18HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating bank jump shot80
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q3 - 1:39BucksJrue Holiday makes three point jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)80
2.4%
97
97.6%
Q3 - 1:56HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Andre Iguodala assists)80
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q3 - 2:13BucksBobby Portis makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)77
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q3 - 2:26BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound77
3.9%
91
96.1%
Q3 - 2:32HeatNemanja Bjelica misses three point jump shot77
4.1%
91
95.9%
Q3 - 2:42HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound77
4.7%
91
95.3%
Q3 - 2:47BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 2 of 277
4.5%
91
95.5%
Q3 - 2:47BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 277
4.1%
91
95.9%
Q3 - 2:47HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)77
4.3%
90
95.7%
Q3 - 3:09HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Nemanja Bjelica assists)77
5.0%
90
95.0%
Q3 - 3:11HeatNemanja Bjelica offensive rebound74
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q3 - 3:16HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot74
3.2%
90
96.8%
Q3 - 3:28BucksP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 2 of 274
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q3 - 3:28BucksP.J. Tucker makes regular free throw 1 of 274
3.8%
89
96.2%
Q3 - 3:28HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (P.J. Tucker draws the foul)74
4.0%
88
96.0%
Q3 - 3:29HeatBam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (P.J. Tucker steals)74
4.3%
88
95.7%
Q3 - 3:48HeatAndre Iguodala defensive rebound74
5.1%
88
94.9%
Q3 - 3:52BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 174
5.0%
88
95.0%
Q3 - 3:52HeatBam Adebayo shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)74
4.5%
88
95.5%
Q3 - 4:01BucksBucks offensive rebound74
6.4%
86
93.6%
Q3 - 4:01BucksJrue Holiday misses two point driving floating bank jump shot74
7.2%
86
92.8%
Q3 - 4:07BucksP.J. Tucker defensive rebound74
6.3%
86
93.7%
Q3 - 4:10HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot74
6.7%
86
93.3%
Q3 - 4:16HeatNemanja Bjelica defensive rebound74
7.6%
86
92.4%
Q3 - 4:19BucksBryn Forbes misses two point pullup jump shot74
7.2%
86
92.8%
Q3 - 4:48HeatTrevor Ariza makes two point cutting layup (Bam Adebayo assists)74
6.3%
86
93.7%
Q3 - 4:58HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound72
5.5%
86
94.5%
Q3 - 5:01BucksJrue Holiday misses three point stepback jump shot72
5.8%
86
94.2%
Q3 - 5:17HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point tip layup72
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q3 - 5:17HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound70
4.5%
86
95.5%
Q3 - 5:20HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot70
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q3 - 5:35BucksKhris Middleton turnover (out of bounds lost ball)70
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q3 - 5:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point pullup jump shot (Nemanja Bjelica assists)70
3.8%
86
96.2%
Q3 - 6:07BucksBryn Forbes makes three point running jump shot (Donte DiVincenzo assists)67
3.1%
86
96.9%
Q3 - 6:12BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound67
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 6:15HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot67
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q3 - 6:31HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound67
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q3 - 6:34BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point running pullup jump shot67
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 6:40BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound67
4.1%
83
95.9%
Q3 - 6:44HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot67
4.3%
83
95.7%
Q3 - 6:56BucksBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)67
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q3 - 7:13HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving dunk67
6.5%
80
93.5%
Q3 - 7:24BucksKhris Middleton personal foul (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)65
5.8%
80
94.2%
Q3 - 7:24BucksKhris Middleton turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)65
5.8%
80
94.2%
Q3 - 7:42HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point running layup65
4.9%
80
95.1%
Q3 - 7:45BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo turnover (bad pass) (Nemanja Bjelica steals)63
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q3 - 7:57HeatKendrick Nunn turnover (bad pass) (Donte DiVincenzo steals)63
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q3 - 8:08BucksDonte DiVincenzo personal foul (Loose ball) (Nemanja Bjelica draws the foul)63
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q3 - 8:08HeatHeat offensive rebound63
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q3 - 8:11HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot63
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 8:24BucksDonte DiVincenzo personal foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)63
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q3 - 8:30HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound63
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q3 - 8:34BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point jump shot63
4.4%
80
95.6%
Q3 - 8:44BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound63
3.9%
80
96.1%
Q3 - 8:46HeatNemanja Bjelica misses two point driving floating jump shot63
4.1%
80
95.9%
Q3 - 8:57BucksBrook Lopez makes two point alley-oop dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)63
4.6%
80
95.4%
Q3 - 9:09BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound63
5.4%
78
94.6%
Q3 - 9:09HeatBam Adebayo misses two point driving layup63
5.6%
78
94.4%
Q3 - 9:16BucksKhris Middleton makes two point turnaround fadeaway bank jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)63
6.2%
78
93.8%
Q3 - 9:25BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound63
7.0%
76
93.0%
Q3 - 9:25HeatBam Adebayo misses two point pullup jump shot63
7.3%
76
92.7%
Q3 - 9:37BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 3 of 363
8.1%
76
91.9%
Q3 - 9:37BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 2 of 363
8.2%
75
91.8%
Q3 - 9:37BucksKhris Middleton makes regular free throw 1 of 363
8.3%
74
91.7%
Q3 - 9:37HeatTrevor Ariza shooting foul (Khris Middleton draws the foul)63
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q3 - 9:45HeatNemanja Bjelica makes three point jump shot (Trevor Ariza assists)63
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q3 - 9:50HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound60
8.1%
73
91.9%
Q3 - 9:54BucksJrue Holiday misses three point pullup jump shot60
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q3 - 10:14HeatBam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 160
7.3%
73
92.7%
Q3 - 10:14BucksKhris Middleton personal foul (Loose ball) (Bam Adebayo draws the foul)59
7.1%
73
92.9%
Q3 - 10:28BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)57
5.7%
73
94.3%
Q3 - 10:47HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point running jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)57
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q3 - 10:54BucksBrook Lopez turnover (bad pass) (Trevor Ariza steals)54
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 11:04BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound54
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 11:07HeatDuncan Robinson misses two point pullup jump shot54
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q3 - 11:19HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound54
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q3 - 11:21BucksKhris Middleton misses two point driving floating jump shot54
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 11:46HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)54
5.1%
70
94.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0End of 1st Half.51
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0BucksJrue Holiday misses two point cutting finger roll layup51
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q2 - 0:15.6BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound51
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q2 - 0:18.3HeatGoran Dragic misses two point pullup jump shot51
4.0%
70
96.0%
Q2 - 0:27.0HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound51
4.2%
70
95.8%
Q2 - 0:30.2BucksP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot51
4.1%
70
95.9%
Q2 - 0:45.6HeatAndre Iguodala makes two point cutting dunk (Duncan Robinson assists)51
3.9%
70
96.1%
Q2 - 1:01BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 249
3.6%
70
96.4%
Q2 - 1:01BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 249
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q2 - 1:01HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)49
3.4%
69
96.6%
Q2 - 1:12BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound49
3.7%
69
96.3%
Q2 - 1:15HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot49
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q2 - 1:21HeatKendrick Nunn offensive rebound49
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q2 - 1:21HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point floating jump shot49
3.8%
69
96.2%
Q2 - 1:37BucksBrook Lopez makes two point putback dunk49
4.0%
69
96.0%
Q2 - 1:37BucksBrook Lopez offensive rebound49
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q2 - 1:40BucksJrue Holiday misses two point running layup49
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q2 - 1:45BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound49
4.7%
67
95.3%
Q2 - 1:49HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot49
4.8%
67
95.2%
Q2 - 1:55BucksJrue Holiday turnover (bad pass) (Duncan Robinson steals)49
5.1%
67
94.9%
Q2 - 2:10HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)49
5.0%
67
95.0%
Q2 - 2:20HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound46
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q2 - 2:23BucksBryn Forbes misses three point jump shot46
3.9%
67
96.1%
Q2 - 2:31HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)46
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q2 - 2:34BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound46
3.5%
67
96.5%
Q2 - 2:37HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot46
3.7%
67
96.3%
Q2 - 2:50BucksJrue Holiday makes two point floating jump shot46
4.0%
67
96.0%
Q2 - 2:58BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound46
4.5%
65
95.5%
Q2 - 3:02HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot46
5.1%
65
94.9%
Q2 - 3:05HeatBam Adebayo offensive rebound46
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q2 - 3:08HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot46
5.0%
65
95.0%
Q2 - 3:25BucksBryn Forbes makes regular free throw 3 of 346
5.5%
65
94.5%
Q2 - 3:25BucksBryn Forbes makes regular free throw 2 of 346
5.6%
64
94.4%
Q2 - 3:25BucksBryn Forbes misses regular free throw 1 of 346
5.7%
63
94.3%
Q2 - 3:25HeatGoran Dragic shooting foul (Bryn Forbes draws the foul)46
5.2%
63
94.8%
Q2 - 3:36HeatBam Adebayo makes two point running dunk46
6.0%
63
94.0%
Q2 - 3:38BucksKhris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Bam Adebayo steals)44
5.5%
63
94.5%
Q2 - 3:57HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point running pullup jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)44
4.8%
63
95.2%
Q2 - 4:01HeatTrevor Ariza defensive rebound41
4.2%
63
95.8%
Q2 - 4:06BucksKendrick Nunn blocks Jrue Holiday's two point driving layup41
4.1%
63
95.9%
Q2 - 4:22HeatGoran Dragic makes two point floating jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)41
3.8%
63
96.2%
Q2 - 4:37BucksDonte DiVincenzo personal foul (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)39
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q2 - 4:54BucksJrue Holiday makes two point layup39
3.4%
63
96.6%
Q2 - 4:59BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound39
3.8%
61
96.2%
Q2 - 5:03HeatPat Connaughton blocks Duncan Robinson's three point jump shot39
4.0%
61
96.0%
Q2 - 5:17BucksBrook Lopez makes two point jump shot39
4.4%
61
95.6%
Q2 - 5:29BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound39
4.8%
59
95.2%
Q2 - 5:32HeatGoran Dragic misses two point floating jump shot39
5.0%
59
95.0%
Q2 - 5:49BucksBrook Lopez makes two point fadeaway jump shot39
5.4%
59
94.6%
Q2 - 5:56BucksPat Connaughton defensive rebound39
5.9%
57
94.1%
Q2 - 6:00HeatDewayne Dedmon misses two point cutting layup39
6.1%
57
93.9%
Q2 - 6:16HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound39
6.8%
57
93.2%
Q2 - 6:17BucksJrue Holiday misses two point pullup jump shot39
6.6%
57
93.4%
Q2 - 6:22HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)39
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q2 - 6:31HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point running jump shot (Kendrick Nunn assists)39
6.0%
57
94.0%
Q2 - 6:37BucksKhris Middleton turnover (lost ball) (Trevor Ariza steals)36
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q2 - 6:45HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Jrue Holiday steals)36
4.4%
57
95.6%
Q2 - 6:54HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound36
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q2 - 6:56BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses two point pullup jump shot36
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q2 - 7:03BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound36
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q2 - 7:05HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot36
5.0%
57
95.0%
Q2 - 7:18HeatDewayne Dedmon defensive rebound36
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q2 - 7:20BucksKhris Middleton misses three point jump shot36
5.1%
57
94.9%
Q2 - 7:24HeatDuncan Robinson personal foul (Brook Lopez draws the foul)36
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q2 - 7:29BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound36
4.8%
57
95.2%
Q2 - 7:30HeatBam Adebayo misses two point jump shot36
4.9%
57
95.1%
Q2 - 7:44BucksBrook Lopez makes two point jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)36
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q2 - 7:59HeatTrevor Ariza makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)36
5.8%
55
94.2%
Q2 - 8:10BucksKhris Middleton makes two point driving layup33
5.0%
55
95.0%
Q2 - 8:23HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup33
5.5%
53
94.5%
Q2 - 8:34BucksDonte DiVincenzo turnover (out of bounds bad pass)31
5.0%
53
95.0%
Q2 - 8:41BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound31
4.5%
53
95.5%
Q2 - 8:43HeatTyler Herro misses three point pullup jump shot31
4.6%
53
95.4%
Q2 - 9:01HeatHeat defensive rebound31
5.2%
53
94.8%
Q2 - 9:02BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point turnaround jump shot31
5.1%
53
94.9%
Q2 - 9:15HeatBam Adebayo turnover (back court violation)31
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 9:31BucksBobby Portis makes two point turnaround hook shot31
5.2%
53
94.8%
Q2 - 9:54HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds lost ball)31
5.7%
51
94.3%
Q2 - 10:03BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving finger roll layup31
6.5%
51
93.5%
Q2 - 10:16HeatTyler Herro makes regular free throw 1 of 131
7.1%
49
92.9%
Q2 - 10:16BucksKhris Middleton shooting foul (Tyler Herro draws the foul)30
7.0%
49
93.0%
Q2 - 10:19HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound28
6.0%
49
94.0%
Q2 - 10:21BucksP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot28
5.8%
49
94.2%
Q2 - 10:29BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound28
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q2 - 10:32HeatKendrick Nunn misses two point pullup jump shot28
5.6%
49
94.4%
Q2 - 10:52BucksBobby Portis makes two point running dunk (Khris Middleton assists)28
5.9%
49
94.1%
Q2 - 10:56HeatTyler Herro turnover (bad pass) (Bobby Portis steals)28
6.5%
47
93.5%
Q2 - 11:13BucksKhris Middleton makes three point stepback jump shot28
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q2 - 11:21BucksBobby Portis defensive rebound28
8.8%
44
91.2%
Q2 - 11:25HeatTyler Herro misses three point jump shot28
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 11:27HeatAndre Iguodala offensive rebound28
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q2 - 11:30HeatKendrick Nunn misses three point jump shot28
9.0%
44
91.0%
Q2 - 11:42HeatTyler Herro misses technical free throw 1 of 128
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q2 - 11:42Bucks technical foul (Defensive three second)28
10.1%
44
89.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0End of 1st Quarter.28
9.5%
44
90.5%
Q1 - 0:01.2BucksJrue Holiday makes two point pullup bank jump shot28
9.6%
44
90.4%
Q1 - 0:21.5BucksJrue Holiday defensive rebound28
10.6%
42
89.4%
Q1 - 0:24.4HeatTyler Herro misses two point stepback jump shot28
10.9%
42
89.1%
Q1 - 0:32.8HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound28
11.4%
42
88.6%
Q1 - 0:35.7BucksBobby Portis misses three point jump shot28
11.1%
42
88.9%
Q1 - 0:47.1HeatGoran Dragic makes three point jump shot (Bam Adebayo assists)28
10.6%
42
89.4%
Q1 - 0:53.2BucksPat Connaughton personal foul (Kendrick Nunn draws the foul)25
8.8%
42
91.2%
Q1 - 1:02BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 125
9.0%
42
91.0%
Q1 - 1:02HeatAndre Iguodala shooting foul (Bobby Portis draws the foul)25
9.2%
41
90.8%
Q1 - 1:02BucksBobby Portis offensive rebound25
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q1 - 1:03BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses three point jump shot25
11.3%
39
88.7%
Q1 - 1:12HeatKendrick Nunn makes two point driving layup (Bam Adebayo assists)25
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q1 - 1:23BucksJrue Holiday makes two point hook shot (Bobby Portis assists)23
9.8%
39
90.2%
Q1 - 1:46HeatGoran Dragic turnover (out of bounds bad pass)23
10.8%
37
89.2%
Q1 - 1:53BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 2 of 223
11.5%
37
88.5%
Q1 - 1:53BucksBobby Portis makes regular free throw 1 of 223
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q1 - 1:53HeatDewayne Dedmon personal foul (Loose ball) (Bobby Portis draws the foul)23
12.0%
35
88.0%
Q1 - 1:53BucksBucks defensive rebound23
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q1 - 1:53HeatAndre Iguodala misses three point jump shot23
13.0%
35
87.0%
Q1 - 2:13BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 2 of 223
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q1 - 2:13BucksJrue Holiday makes regular free throw 1 of 223
14.1%
34
85.9%
Q1 - 2:13HeatKendrick Nunn shooting foul (Jrue Holiday draws the foul)23
14.4%
33
85.6%
Q1 - 2:23HeatTyler Herro turnover (out of bounds bad pass)23
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q1 - 2:30HeatTyler Herro defensive rebound23
16.2%
33
83.8%
Q1 - 2:33BucksP.J. Tucker misses three point jump shot23
15.8%
33
84.2%
Q1 - 2:46HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Tyler Herro assists)23
15.1%
33
84.9%
Q1 - 3:01BucksBryn Forbes makes three point jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)20
13.1%
33
86.9%
Q1 - 3:09HeatDewayne Dedmon makes two point putback layup20
15.0%
30
85.0%
Q1 - 3:10HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound18
14.1%
30
85.9%
Q1 - 3:13HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving finger roll layup18
13.3%
30
86.7%
Q1 - 3:36BucksJrue Holiday makes two point cutting layup (P.J. Tucker assists)18
14.1%
30
85.9%
Q1 - 3:46HeatGoran Dragic misses three point jump shot18
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q1 - 4:07BucksBobby Portis personal foul (Loose ball) (Duncan Robinson draws the foul)18
15.4%
28
84.6%
Q1 - 4:17BucksP.J. Tucker defensive rebound18
17.7%
26
82.3%
Q1 - 4:19HeatGoran Dragic misses two point driving floating jump shot18
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q1 - 4:30HeatDewayne Dedmon offensive rebound18
19.2%
26
80.8%
Q1 - 4:33HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot18
18.2%
26
81.8%
Q1 - 4:46BucksBobby Portis makes two point pullup jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)18
19.2%
26
80.8%
Q1 - 5:01HeatNemanja Bjelica makes regular free throw 2 of 218
20.7%
24
79.3%
Q1 - 5:01HeatNemanja Bjelica makes regular free throw 1 of 217
20.4%
24
79.6%
Q1 - 5:01BucksP.J. Tucker shooting foul (Nemanja Bjelica draws the foul)16
20.1%
24
79.9%
Q1 - 5:06BucksKhris Middleton makes two point stepback jump shot16
19.5%
24
80.5%
Q1 - 5:29HeatDuncan Robinson makes two point cutting layup (Nemanja Bjelica assists)16
20.7%
22
79.3%
Q1 - 5:47BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo makes two point alley-oop dunk (Khris Middleton assists)14
19.5%
22
80.5%
Q1 - 6:02HeatNemanja Bjelica makes three point jump shot14
20.9%
20
79.1%
Q1 - 6:12HeatHeat defensive rebound11
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 6:12BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses three point pullup jump shot11
18.0%
20
82.0%
Q1 - 6:28BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound11
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q1 - 6:31HeatNemanja Bjelica misses two point reverse layup11
17.6%
20
82.4%
Q1 - 6:48BucksBrook Lopez makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Khris Middleton assists)11
18.4%
20
81.6%
Q1 - 6:59HeatBam Adebayo makes two point pullup jump shot11
19.6%
18
80.4%
Q1 - 7:10BucksBryn Forbes makes three point stepback jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)9
18.6%
18
81.4%
Q1 - 7:26HeatTrevor Ariza turnover (back court violation)9
20.9%
15
79.1%
Q1 - 7:41HeatBam Adebayo defensive rebound9
22.3%
15
77.7%
Q1 - 7:43BucksDonte DiVincenzo misses regular free throw 2 of 29
22.1%
15
77.9%
Q1 - 7:43BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes regular free throw 1 of 29
21.3%
15
78.7%
Q1 - 7:43HeatDuncan Robinson shooting foul (Donte DiVincenzo draws the foul)9
21.6%
14
78.4%
Q1 - 7:55HeatDuncan Robinson makes three point jump shot (Nemanja Bjelica assists)9
22.2%
14
77.8%
Q1 - 7:59HeatNemanja Bjelica offensive rebound6
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 8:02HeatTrevor Ariza misses two point driving reverse layup6
18.9%
14
81.1%
Q1 - 8:20BucksBrook Lopez makes two point cutting dunk (Khris Middleton assists)6
19.8%
14
80.2%
Q1 - 8:29HeatTrevor Ariza personal foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)6
20.8%
12
79.2%
Q1 - 8:37BucksKhris Middleton defensive rebound6
20.8%
12
79.2%
Q1 - 8:41HeatBrook Lopez blocks Duncan Robinson's two point cutting layup6
21.3%
12
78.7%
Q1 - 8:53BucksBrook Lopez makes two point fadeaway jump shot (Jrue Holiday assists)6
22.3%
12
77.7%
Q1 - 9:08BucksBucks defensive rebound6
23.4%
10
76.6%
Q1 - 9:09HeatNemanja Bjelica misses three point jump shot6
23.9%
10
76.1%
Q1 - 9:16HeatKendrick Nunn defensive rebound6
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 9:19BucksJrue Holiday misses two point alley-oop layup6
24.5%
10
75.5%
Q1 - 9:24BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound6
23.4%
10
76.6%
Q1 - 9:28HeatTrevor Ariza misses three point jump shot6
23.9%
10
76.1%
Q1 - 9:43BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point running pullup jump shot6
25.1%
10
74.9%
Q1 - 9:48BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound6
27.7%
7
72.3%
Q1 - 9:51HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot6
28.3%
7
71.7%
Q1 - 10:00HeatHeat defensive rebound6
29.5%
7
70.5%
Q1 - 10:01BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses regular free throw 1 of 16
29.0%
7
71.0%
Q1 - 10:01HeatNemanja Bjelica shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)6
28.1%
7
71.9%
Q1 - 10:16HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point pullup jump shot6
30.6%
5
69.4%
Q1 - 10:26HeatHeat defensive rebound3
27.7%
5
72.3%
Q1 - 10:26BucksGiannis Antetokounmpo misses two point alley-oop dunk3
27.2%
5
72.8%
Q1 - 10:35BucksBrook Lopez defensive rebound3
26.1%
5
73.9%
Q1 - 10:39HeatDuncan Robinson misses three point jump shot3
26.6%
5
73.4%
Q1 - 10:56BucksDonte DiVincenzo makes three point pullup jump shot (Giannis Antetokounmpo assists)3
27.7%
5
72.3%
Q1 - 11:07HeatKendrick Nunn makes three point jump shot (Duncan Robinson assists)3
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 11:28BucksKhris Middleton makes two point running layup (Donte DiVincenzo assists)0
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 11:29BucksDonte DiVincenzo defensive rebound0
28.9%
0
71.1%
Q1 - 11:32HeatGiannis Antetokounmpo blocks Nemanja Bjelica's two point cutting layup0
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 11:39HeatNemanja Bjelica defensive rebound0
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 11:41BucksJrue Holiday misses two point pullup bank jump shot0
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 12:00Bam Adebayo vs. Brook Lopez (Khris Middleton gains possession)0
28.9%
0
71.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
MIL
1.28 64.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
24
58%
MIL
16
23
70%
Midrange
MIA
4
23
17%
MIL
17
28
61%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
22
33.0
49
45%
67%
MIL
13
19.5
35
37%
56%
Free Throws
MIA
6
8
75%
MIL
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Nunn3191%15.5 / 17
D. Robinson1757%8.5 / 15
G. Dragic1753%8.5 / 16
T. Ariza1150%5.5 / 11
N. Bjelica1161%5.5 / 9
D. Dedmon660%3.0 / 5
B. Adebayo525%2.5 / 10
T. Herro317%1.5 / 9
M. Strus3150%1.5 / 1
A. Iguodala233%1.0 / 3
P. Achiuwa250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Middleton2188%10.5 / 12
B. Forbes21105%10.5 / 10
J. Holiday2056%10.0 / 18
B. Lopez1890%9.0 / 10
G. Antetokounmpo1554%7.5 / 14
B. Portis1478%7.0 / 9
D. DiVincenzo1146%5.5 / 12
P. Tucker225%1.0 / 4
P. Connaughton0-0.0 / 4
J. Nwora0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
89
+11
-11
100
MIL
88
+7
-11
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.07 53.5%
MIL
1.28 64.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.1
116.9
MIA 108.0
MIL 123.2 +15.2
Pace
96.7
102.5
MIA 100.0 +1.1
MIL 99.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.7
13.6
MIA 14.4 +0.2
MIL 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
54.6%
56.6%
MIA 53.1%
MIL 61.0% +7.9%
TO %
13.7%
13.0%
MIA 10.0% +0.2%
MIL 10.2%
ORB %
19.4%
23.3%
MIA 17.3% +2.6%
MIL 14.7%
FTrt
25.2
23.3
MIA 8.3
MIL 27.9 +19.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.1%
56.9%
MIA 62.5%
MIL 63.0% +0.5%
STL %
8.2%
7.9%
MIA 8.0% +4.0%
MIL 4.0%
BLK %
8.5%
8.6%
MIA 5.9%
MIL 6.4% +0.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
56.5%
58.2%
MIA 53.5%
MIL 64.2% +10.7%
Rim FG%
64.8%
65.0%
MIA 58.3%
MIL 69.6% +11.3%
Mid FG%
41.8%
43.5%
MIA 17.4%
MIL 60.7% +43.3%
3P %
35.8%
38.9%
MIA 44.9% +7.8%
MIL 37.1%
FT %
79.0%
76.0%
MIA 75.0% +4.2%
MIL 70.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
32.9%
MIA 25.0%
MIL 26.7% +1.7%
Mid Att. %
23.5%
26.7%
MIA 24.0% +8.6%
MIL 32.6%
3P Att. %
43.2%
40.4%
MIA 51.0% +10.3%
MIL 40.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions10099
Possession Minutes24.024.0
Points108122
Rebounds3848
Assists2529
Steals84
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)11 (0)11 (0)
Fouls1815
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (8)43 (2)
Field Goals40-9646-86
At-the-Rim FG14-2416-23
Midrange FG4-2317-28
2-Point FG18-4733-51
3-Point FG22-4913-35
Free Throws6-817-24
Fast Break Pts1310
2nd Chance Pts138
Points in Paint3450
Pts off Turnovers1915
Bench Points3337
Biggest Lead124

BOXSCORE

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9 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Kendrick Nunn
#25 · PG · 6'3" 193 · 26
36.7
31
91%
6
3
0
1
1
1
3
3
1-1
100%
9-13
69%
4-5
80%
Bam Adebayo
#13 · C · 6'9" 255 · 24
33.2
5
25%
8
8
2
0
2
1
1
7
1-1
100%
2-9
22%
0-0
-
Duncan Robinson
#55 · SG · 6'7" 215 · 27
30.8
17
57%
0
2
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
5-12
42%
Trevor Ariza
#8 · PF · 6'8" 215 · 36
29.7
11
50%
5
1
2
0
1
4
0
5
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-8
38%
Nemanja Bjelica
#70 · SF · 6'10" 230 · 33
20.5
11
61%
4
4
2
0
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
3-5
60%
Goran Dragic
#7 · PG · 6'3" 190 · 35
27.1
17
53%
1
0
0
0
2
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-7
14%
5-9
56%
Andre Iguodala
#28 · SF · 6'6" 215 · 37
23.0
2
33%
2
3
1
1
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
Tyler Herro
#14 · SG · 6'5" 195 · 21
17.6
3
17%
6
2
0
0
3
0
0
6
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-5
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
#21 · C · 7'0" 245 · 32
12.6
6
60%
6
0
0
0
0
3
2
4
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
1-1
100%
Max Strus
#31 · SF · 6'5" 215 · 25
2.2
3
150%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
KZ Okpala
#11 · PF · 6'9" 210 · 22
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Gabe Vincent
#2 · PG · 6'2" 200 · 25
2.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Precious Achiuwa
#5 · PF · 6'9" 225 · 22
2.2
2
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
Jimmy Butler
#22 · SF · 6'7" 230 · 32
DND - Injury/Illness | Lower Back; Tightness
Udonis Haslem
#40 · PF · 6'8" 235 · 41
DNP - Coach's Decision
Victor Oladipo
#4 · SG · 6'4" 210 · 29
Inactive - Injury/Illness | Right knee: Surgery
Omer Yurtseven
#77 · C · 7'0" 275 · 23
Inactive - Coach's Decision
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
54%
38
25
8
3
11
18
9
29
6-8
75%
18-47
38%
22-49
45%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.