Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, January 19, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Raptors | 24% | 95 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 16 | Heat | 62% | 101 | 113 |
Monday, January 18, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Pistons | 33% | 94 | 91 |
 | 15 | Knicks | 67% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Thunder | 33% | 93 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Bobcats | 65% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bucks | 33% | 94 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 30% | 93 | 95 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 30 | Timberwolves | 32% | 95 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 13 | Hornets | 48% | 97 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Bulls | 49% | 101 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 7 | Mavericks | 36% | 92 | 99 |
 | 6 | Celtics | 64% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Magic | 40% | 96 | 92 |
 | 3 | Lakers | 60% | 99 | 98 |
Sunday, January 17, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 56% | 102 | 88 |
| 13 | Raptors | 44% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, January 16, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 47% | 100 | 99 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 53% | 101 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 49% | 102 | 101 | |
| 22 | Pacers | 51% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 44% | 104 | 86 |
| 25 | Wizards | 56% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 49% | 98 | 90 |
| 27 | Pistons | 51% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 60% | 101 | 86 |
| 23 | Grizzlies | 40% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 40% | 91 | 80 |
| 17 | Thunder | 60% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 25% | 92 | 95 |
| 10 | Jazz | 75% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 77% | 100 | 102 |
| 28 | Clippers | 23% | 90 | 101 |
Friday, January 15, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 55% | 93 | 76 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 45% | 92 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 40% | 100 | 86 |
| 16 | 76ers | 60% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 41% | 104 | 101 |
| 9 | Hawks | 59% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Wizards | 43% | 95 | 119 |
| 22 | Bulls | 57% | 98 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 58% | 99 | 104 | |
| 28 | Pistons | 42% | 96 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 30% | 100 | 110 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 70% | 107 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pacers | 58% | 103 | 121 |
| 30 | Nets | 42% | 100 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 46% | 103 | 112 |
| 18 | Knicks | 54% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Thunder | 29% | 91 | 98 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 71% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 35% | 92 | 115 |
| 11 | Rockets | 65% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 46% | 102 | 113 |
| 24 | Warriors | 54% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 21% | 90 | 86 |
| 2 | Lakers | 79% | 101 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | 53% | 98 | 87 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 97 | 102 |
Thursday, January 14, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 26% | 87 | 96 |
| 6 | Celtics | 74% | 95 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 55% | 97 | 96 |
| 10 | Jazz | 45% | 96 | 97 |
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 21% | 96 | 82 |
| 10 | Hawks | 79% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 60% | 111 | 114 |
| 23 | Pacers | 40% | 108 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 41% | 98 | 93 |
| 16 | 76ers | 59% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 79% | 100 | 111 |
| 29 | Nets | 21% | 90 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 27% | 94 | 94 |
| 12 | Hornets | 73% | 102 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 52% | 95 | 109 |
| 17 | Thunder | 48% | 94 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 35% | 94 | 100 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 65% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 23% | 96 | 114 |
| 11 | Rockets | 77% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Magic | 40% | 99 | 97 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 60% | 103 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 32% | 93 | 108 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 99 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 47% | 101 | 115 |
| 22 | Warriors | 53% | 102 | 102 |
Tuesday, January 12, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 49% | 94 | 94 |
| 17 | Bobcats | 51% | 95 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 33% | 97 | 99 |
| 22 | Wizards | 67% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 41% | 98 | 102 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 59% | 101 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 41% | 94 | 85 |
| 4 | Spurs | 59% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 65% | 103 | 109 |
| 26 | Kings | 35% | 98 | 88 |
Monday, January 11, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Raptors | 47% | 105 | 101 |
| 26 | Pacers | 53% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 43% | 97 | 92 | |
| 15 | 76ers | 57% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 31% | 93 | 102 |
| 2 | Celtics | 69% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 44% | 92 | 87 |
| 25 | Bulls | 56% | 94 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 41% | 96 | 88 |
| 16 | Thunder | 59% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 17% | 96 | 94 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 83% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 21% | 99 | 101 |
| 6 | Suns | 79% | 110 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 27% | 91 | 89 |
| 9 | Jazz | 73% | 99 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 66% | 105 | 117 |
| 20 | Warriors | 34% | 99 | 114 |
Sunday, January 10, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 59% | 101 | 114 |
| 14 | Raptors | 41% | 97 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 52% | 102 | 115 | |
| 24 | Wizards | 48% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 49% | 94 | 84 |
| 20 | Clippers | 51% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 11% | 88 | 85 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 89% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 59% | 97 | 106 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 25% | 93 | 77 |
| 4 | Lakers | 75% | 102 | 95 |
Saturday, January 9, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 31% | 94 | 87 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 69% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 35% | 95 | 81 |
| 6 | Magic | 65% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 39% | 95 | 104 |
| 23 | Pistons | 61% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 31% | 93 | 96 |
| 26 | Bulls | 69% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pacers | 28% | 95 | 102 |
| 16 | Thunder | 72% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 30% | 94 | 111 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 70% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 33% | 97 | 96 |
| 10 | Rockets | 67% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 59% | 105 | 100 |
| 27 | Kings | 41% | 102 | 102 |
Friday, January 8, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 46% | 101 | 108 |
| 18 | 76ers | 54% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 66% | 104 | 97 |
| 24 | Wizards | 34% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 51% | 96 | 85 |
| 8 | Hawks | 49% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 51% | 101 | 89 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 49% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pacers | 53% | 103 | 109 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 47% | 102 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 22% | 93 | 99 | |
| 10 | Hornets | 78% | 103 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 42% | 92 | 93 |
| 23 | Bucks | 58% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 39% | 95 | 112 |
| 5 | Spurs | 61% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 30% | 100 | 109 |
| 6 | Suns | 70% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 59% | 97 | 98 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 57% | 98 | 97 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 43% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 39% | 105 | 101 |
| 20 | Warriors | 61% | 109 | 108 |
Thursday, January 7, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bobcats | 48% | 95 | 93 |
| 19 | Knicks | 52% | 96 | 97 |
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 15% | 92 | 89 | |
| 8 | Hawks | 85% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 12% | 90 | 98 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 88% | 105 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 26% | 97 | 108 |
| 2 | Magic | 74% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 58% | 93 | 112 |
| 17 | Heat | 42% | 91 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 51% | 108 | 107 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 49% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 45% | 95 | 97 | |
| 12 | Thunder | 55% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 19% | 90 | 92 |
| 4 | Spurs | 81% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 36% | 103 | 110 |
| 5 | Suns | 64% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 34% | 97 | 94 |
| 14 | Jazz | 66% | 102 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 62% | 99 | 91 |
| 24 | Clippers | 38% | 95 | 102 |