Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, January 13, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Heat | 47% | 101 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Knicks | 41% | 98 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Celtics | 79% | 100 | 111 |
| 29 | Nets | 21% | 90 | 87 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 12 | Hornets | 73% | 102 | 108 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Thunder | 48% | 94 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Lakers | 35% | 94 | 100 |
 | 4 | Mavericks | 65% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Timberwolves | 23% | 96 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Magic | 40% | 99 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Bucks | 32% | 93 | 108 |
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Tuesday, January 12, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 65% | 103 | 109 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 41% | 94 | 85 |
| 4 | Spurs | 59% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Clippers | 41% | 98 | 102 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Pistons | 33% | 97 | 99 |
| 22 | Wizards | 67% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 49% | 94 | 94 |
 | 17 | Bobcats | 51% | 95 | 102 |
Monday, January 11, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Raptors | 47% | 105 | 101 |
| 26 | Pacers | 53% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 43% | 97 | 92 | |
| 15 | 76ers | 57% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 31% | 93 | 102 |
| 2 | Celtics | 69% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 44% | 92 | 87 |
 | 25 | Bulls | 56% | 94 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 41% | 96 | 88 |
| 16 | Thunder | 59% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 21% | 99 | 101 |
| 6 | Suns | 79% | 110 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Heat | 27% | 91 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 20 | Warriors | 34% | 99 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 17% | 96 | 94 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 83% | 109 | 105 |
Sunday, January 10, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 25% | 93 | 77 |
| 4 | Lakers | 75% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 59% | 97 | 106 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 11% | 88 | 85 | |
| 3 | Spurs | 89% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 49% | 94 | 84 |
| 20 | Clippers | 51% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 52% | 102 | 115 | |
| 24 | Wizards | 48% | 101 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Celtics | 59% | 101 | 114 |
| 14 | Raptors | 41% | 97 | 107 |
Saturday, January 9, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pacers | 28% | 95 | 102 |
| 16 | Thunder | 72% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 31% | 94 | 87 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 69% | 100 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 35% | 95 | 81 |
| 6 | Magic | 65% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 39% | 95 | 104 |
| 23 | Pistons | 61% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 31% | 93 | 96 |
| 26 | Bulls | 69% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 30% | 94 | 111 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 70% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 33% | 97 | 96 |
| 10 | Rockets | 67% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 59% | 105 | 100 |
| 27 | Kings | 41% | 102 | 102 |
Friday, January 8, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 66% | 104 | 97 |
| 24 | Wizards | 34% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 39% | 105 | 101 |
| 20 | Warriors | 61% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 57% | 98 | 97 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 43% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 59% | 97 | 98 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 95 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 30% | 100 | 109 |
| 6 | Suns | 70% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 39% | 95 | 112 |
| 5 | Spurs | 61% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 42% | 92 | 93 |
| 23 | Bucks | 58% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Nets | 22% | 93 | 99 | |
| 10 | Hornets | 78% | 103 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pacers | 53% | 103 | 109 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 47% | 102 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 51% | 101 | 89 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 49% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 51% | 96 | 85 |
| 8 | Hawks | 49% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 46% | 101 | 108 |
| 18 | 76ers | 54% | 102 | 106 |
Thursday, January 7, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bobcats | 48% | 95 | 93 |
| 19 | Knicks | 52% | 96 | 97 |
Wednesday, January 6, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 12% | 90 | 98 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 88% | 105 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 15% | 92 | 89 | |
| 8 | Hawks | 85% | 105 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 26% | 97 | 108 |
| 2 | Magic | 74% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 58% | 93 | 112 |
| 17 | Heat | 42% | 91 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 51% | 108 | 107 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 49% | 107 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 45% | 95 | 97 | |
| 12 | Thunder | 55% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 19% | 90 | 92 |
| 4 | Spurs | 81% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 36% | 103 | 110 |
| 5 | Suns | 64% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Grizzlies | 34% | 97 | 94 |
| 14 | Jazz | 66% | 102 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 62% | 99 | 91 |
| 24 | Clippers | 38% | 95 | 102 |
Tuesday, January 5, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 33% | 95 | 79 |
| 3 | Lakers | 67% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 61% | 109 | 113 |
| 27 | Kings | 39% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Grizzlies | 39% | 97 | 109 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 30% | 101 | 122 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 70% | 108 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 25% | 92 | 93 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 75% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 57% | 99 | 98 |
| 28 | Nets | 43% | 96 | 76 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 40% | 101 | 104 |
| 18 | 76ers | 60% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Magic | 78% | 104 | 90 |
| 29 | Pacers | 22% | 94 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 31% | 86 | 108 |
| 16 | Bobcats | 69% | 92 | 113 |
Monday, January 4, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hawks | 56% | 99 | 75 |
| 17 | Heat | 44% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Thunder | 52% | 92 | 98 |
| 25 | Bulls | 48% | 91 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 54% | 96 | 95 |
| 26 | Clippers | 46% | 94 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 38% | 97 | 91 | |
| 9 | Jazz | 62% | 101 | 87 |
Sunday, January 3, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 31% | 95 | 96 |
| 2 | Lakers | 69% | 102 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 33% | 96 | 108 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 67% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 61% | 101 | 86 |
| 19 | Raptors | 39% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pacers | 28% | 98 | 89 |
| 16 | Knicks | 72% | 105 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bobcats | 20% | 85 | 91 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 80% | 96 | 88 |
Saturday, January 2, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Rockets | 47% | 98 | 95 |
| 12 | Hornets | 53% | 99 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 83% | 101 | 94 |
| 29 | Nets | 17% | 89 | 86 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bobcats | 43% | 90 | 107 |
| 15 | Heat | 57% | 92 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 35% | 98 | 111 |
| 28 | Pacers | 65% | 103 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 59% | 102 | 97 |
| 20 | Wizards | 41% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 26% | 92 | 96 |
| 5 | Celtics | 74% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 65% | 96 | 93 |
| 25 | Bulls | 35% | 91 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Thunder | 49% | 95 | 97 |
| 24 | Bucks | 51% | 96 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 25% | 104 | 128 |
| 7 | Suns | 75% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 43% | 99 | 105 |
| 10 | Jazz | 57% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Warriors | 34% | 99 | 89 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 73% | 104 | 99 |
| 27 | Kings | 27% | 96 | 91 |
Friday, January 1, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 16% | 95 | 108 |
| 2 | Lakers | 84% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Magic | 78% | 105 | 106 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 22% | 95 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 30% | 98 | 112 |
| 9 | Hawks | 70% | 105 | 108 |
Thursday, December 31, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 40% | 91 | 98 |
| 21 | Pistons | 60% | 94 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 47% | 96 | 88 |
| 26 | Clippers | 53% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 48% | 96 | 86 |
| 16 | Thunder | 52% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 26% | 92 | 78 |
| 5 | Spurs | 74% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 52% | 99 | 94 |
| 11 | Rockets | 48% | 98 | 97 |