Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, December 4, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Knicks | 49% | 99 | 101 |
 | 31 | Bobcats | 51% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 12 | Magic | 61% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 32 | Nets | 74% | 95 | 109 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Raptors | 28% | 93 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 35 | Bulls | 24% | 97 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Pistons | 68% | 89 | 92 |
| 34 | Hornets | 32% | 83 | 69 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Bucks | 36% | 94 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 5 | Mavericks | 77% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Heat | 45% | 96 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Timberwolves | 48% | 98 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 6 | SuperSonics | 72% | 102 | 99 | |
Friday, December 3, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 34% | 97 | 89 |
 | 14 | Celtics | 66% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Magic | 43% | 102 | 104 |
| 20 | Knicks | 57% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 61% | 103 | 114 |
| 36 | Hawks | 39% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 33% | 95 | 86 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 67% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 27% | 84 | 77 |
| 2 | Spurs | 73% | 92 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Heat | 71% | 103 | 105 |
| 33 | Bulls | 29% | 96 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Timberwolves | 43% | 103 | 97 |
| 8 | Suns | 57% | 105 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Warriors | 30% | 95 | 88 |
 | 11 | Lakers | 70% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pacers | 22% | 93 | 87 |
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Thursday, December 2, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Rockets | 29% | 93 | 106 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 71% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Cavaliers | 33% | 92 | 92 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 67% | 97 | 73 |
Wednesday, December 1, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 28% | 98 | 100 |
| 16 | Celtics | 72% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Nets | 29% | 93 | 68 | |
| 24 | Wizards | 71% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 32% | 97 | 108 |
| 20 | Magic | 68% | 103 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 43% | 100 | 82 |
| 18 | Knicks | 57% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 62% | 98 | 94 |
| 33 | Hornets | 38% | 94 | 81 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Lakers | 58% | 101 | 84 |
| 35 | Bulls | 42% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | 76ers | 22% | 89 | 72 |
| 2 | Spurs | 78% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Cavaliers | 29% | 98 | 101 |
| 7 | Suns | 71% | 105 | 120 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Jazz | 22% | 95 | 119 |
| 5 | SuperSonics | 78% | 105 | 129 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 42% | 93 | 76 |
| 13 | Clippers | 58% | 96 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 63% | 99 | 107 |
| 30 | Warriors | 37% | 95 | 99 |
Tuesday, November 30, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Bobcats | 40% | 88 | 86 |
| 34 | Nets | 60% | 91 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 61% | 102 | 110 |
| 35 | Hawks | 39% | 99 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 26% | 96 | 94 |
| 7 | Heat | 74% | 104 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Lakers | 48% | 102 | 95 |
| 28 | Bucks | 52% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 54% | 104 | 98 |
| 18 | Grizzlies | 46% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pistons | 44% | 89 | 93 |
| 14 | Rockets | 56% | 91 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 48% | 95 | 107 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 52% | 96 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Suns | 54% | 104 | 115 | |
| 26 | Jazz | 46% | 102 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | SuperSonics | 52% | 98 | 94 | |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 97 | 100 |
Monday, November 29, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Celtics | 33% | 97 | 117 |
| 16 | Magic | 67% | 103 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Hornets | 23% | 87 | 67 | |
| 14 | Nuggets | 77% | 97 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 41% | 95 | 82 |
| 13 | Clippers | 59% | 97 | 94 |
Sunday, November 28, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Wizards | 45% | 103 | 114 |
| 26 | Raptors | 55% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Warriors | 35% | 94 | 91 |
| 12 | Clippers | 65% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 31% | 95 | 104 |
| 7 | Heat | 69% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Nets | 28% | 86 | 71 | |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 72% | 94 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 36% | 100 | 121 |
| 3 | Kings | 64% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 29% | 94 | 95 |
| 6 | SuperSonics | 71% | 101 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Hornets | 28% | 92 | 76 | |
| 11 | Lakers | 72% | 99 | 89 |
Saturday, November 27, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 40% | 99 | 102 |
| 24 | Knicks | 60% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Hawks | 38% | 94 | 92 |
| 33 | Bobcats | 62% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 35% | 97 | 99 |
| 15 | Magic | 65% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Bulls | 28% | 95 | 74 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 72% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 48% | 100 | 98 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 52% | 101 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nuggets | 36% | 93 | 82 |
| 16 | Rockets | 64% | 98 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 26% | 89 | 76 |
| 2 | Spurs | 74% | 97 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 47% | 96 | 90 |
| 26 | Bucks | 53% | 97 | 96 |
Friday, November 26, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 95 | 83 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 68% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 39% | 95 | 98 |
| 21 | Celtics | 61% | 98 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 38% | 100 | 114 |
| 24 | 76ers | 62% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Magic | 63% | 100 | 117 |
| 34 | Hawks | 37% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 41% | 92 | 77 |
| 12 | Pistons | 59% | 95 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bobcats | 21% | 90 | 77 |
| 14 | Pacers | 79% | 100 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 33% | 94 | 90 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 67% | 100 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 62% | 96 | 89 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 38% | 92 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 32% | 93 | 80 |
| 9 | Jazz | 68% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Hornets | 21% | 94 | 86 | |
| 7 | Suns | 79% | 104 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 53% | 103 | 109 |
| 13 | Lakers | 47% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 43% | 95 | 98 |
| 29 | Warriors | 57% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Nets | 14% | 87 | 79 | |
| 5 | SuperSonics | 86% | 101 | 92 | |
Thursday, November 25, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 58% | 95 | 102 |
| 25 | Pacers | 42% | 92 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Nets | 28% | 88 | 88 | |
| 16 | Clippers | 72% | 95 | 101 |
Wednesday, November 24, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 42% | 98 | 91 |
| 24 | Raptors | 58% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Celtics | 44% | 95 | 97 |
| 30 | 76ers | 56% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 96 | 89 |
| 15 | Magic | 68% | 102 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pistons | 42% | 92 | 76 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 58% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 66% | 100 | 99 |
| 34 | Hawks | 34% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | SuperSonics | 40% | 99 | 93 | |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 60% | 103 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 23% | 92 | 80 |
| 2 | Spurs | 77% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Bulls | 12% | 91 | 101 |
| 6 | Jazz | 88% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 20% | 101 | 104 |
| 9 | Suns | 80% | 111 | 111 | |
Tuesday, November 23, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Raptors | 45% | 102 | 86 |
| 28 | Wizards | 55% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 71% | 97 | 89 |
| 35 | Bobcats | 29% | 90 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 38% | 92 | 96 |
| 13 | Pacers | 62% | 95 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 | Hawks | 24% | 93 | 88 |
| 21 | Knicks | 76% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 95 | 99 |
| 9 | Heat | 71% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SuperSonics | 36% | 97 | 103 | |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 64% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Nets | 29% | 88 | 88 | |
| 20 | Nuggets | 71% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 25% | 95 | 96 |
| 3 | Kings | 75% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 35% | 100 | 96 |
| 15 | Lakers | 65% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 | Hornets | 31% | 90 | 109 | |
| 26 | Warriors | 69% | 96 | 115 |
Monday, November 22, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 53% | 96 | 90 |
| 14 | Grizzlies | 47% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 49% | 100 | 83 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 51% | 101 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Hornets | 18% | 89 | 76 | |
| 6 | Jazz | 82% | 101 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bulls | 14% | 98 | 82 |
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Sunday, November 21, 2004
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 71% | 98 | 91 |
| 27 | Raptors | 29% | 91 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 52% | 101 | 122 | |
| 15 | Clippers | 48% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SuperSonics | 49% | 100 | 83 | |
| 19 | Celtics | 51% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 27% | 96 | 83 |
| 12 | Heat | 73% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36 | Bobcats | 8% | 84 | 116 |
| 4 | Pistons | 92% | 102 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Cavaliers | 32% | 97 | 88 |
| 21 | Knicks | 68% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Rockets | 39% | 92 | 97 |
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 96 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 58% | 102 | 82 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 42% | 99 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 21% | 101 | 79 |
| 3 | Kings | 79% | 111 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | Bulls | 22% | 95 | 93 |
| 16 | Lakers | 78% | 105 | 102 |