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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 24, 2004
12:00 PM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
14Pistons42%9276
25Cavaliers58%9592
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Hamilton
G · 6'7" 193 · 26.8
44.3
34.4
28
69%
2
4
2
1
0
2
1
1
8-10
80%
10-16
6-14
63%
44%
0-0
-
Rasheed Wallace
F-C · 6'11" 230 · 30.2
41.6
25.8
11
35%
9
2
2
1
0
2
2
7
2-2
100%
3-11
4-8
27%
47%
1-4
25%
Chauncey Billups
G · 6'3" 210 · 28.2
37.5
29.4
7
51%
5
6
3
1
0
3
2
3
2-2
100%
1-5
2-6
20%
41%
1-1
100%
Antonio McDyess
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 30.2
29.5
31.4
7
30%
14
1
1
1
2
1
5
9
1-4
25%
3-10
4-8
30%
47%
0-0
-
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 24.7
27.5
38.0
4
29%
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
4-10
40%
47%
0-2
0%
Elden Campbell
C-F · 7'0" 279 · 36.3
16.8
9.2
6
44%
3
2
0
0
1
3
1
2
4-4
100%
1-5
1-3
20%
42%
0-0
-
Lindsey Hunter
G · 6'2" 195 · 34.0
16.3
21.3
6
77%
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
37%
0-0
-
Smush Parker
G · 6'4" 190 · 23.5
10.7
16.0
3
54%
1
1
0
1
0
2
1
0
3-4
75%
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
0-0
-
Darvin Ham
F-G · 6'7" 240 · 31.3
7.7
13.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Derrick Coleman
F · 6'10" 270 · 37.4
6.1
8.1
4
52%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
43%
0-2
0%
Darko Milicic
C · 7'0" 275 · 19.4
2.0
3.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
43%
0-0
-
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jeff McInnis
G · 6'4" 190 · 30.1
42.1
34.5
16
54%
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
1-2
50%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
3-6
50%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 19.9
37.5
36.8
43
79%
6
5
3
2
1
3
3
3
11-12
92%
13-19
6-14
68%
46%
2-3
67%
Zydrunas Ilgauskas
C · 7'3" 260 · 29.5
29.9
33.3
6
25%
6
0
5
1
0
1
1
5
2-2
100%
2-11
5-11
18%
47%
0-0
-
Ira Newble
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 29.8
29.6
22.3
4
29%
4
1
0
1
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
2-5
29%
46%
0-0
-
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 23.2
26.4
33.1
4
34%
6
1
2
1
0
2
2
4
2-2
100%
1-5
5-10
20%
47%
0-0
-
Eric Snow
G · 6'3" 205 · 31.6
23.3
20.2
5
66%
3
5
1
1
0
3
1
2
3-4
75%
1-1
1-3
100%
44%
0-1
0%
Robert Traylor
F-C · 6'8" 284 · 27.8
21.6
14.5
6
63%
3
2
0
1
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-0
-
DeSagana Diop
C · 7'0" 280 · 22.8
18.1
6.3
0
0%
4
2
0
0
2
0
2
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
39%
0-0
-
Dajuan Wagner
G · 6'3" 200 · 21.8
6.7
10.1
2
33%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-3
100%
39%
0-2
0%
Lucious Harris
G · 6'5" 205 · 33.9
2.7
11.7
2
50%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
42%
0-0
-
Luke Jackson
F-G · 6'7" 215 · 23.1
2.0
1.9
4
139%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
0-0
0-1
-
44%
1-1
100%
Scott Williams
F-C · 6'10" 260 · 36.7
7.1
0
1-2
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.