Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, November 20, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 30% | 101 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Magic | 32% | 99 | 84 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Lakers | 24% | 92 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Heat | 18% | 83 | 68 |
 | 11 | Pistons | 82% | 95 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Timberwolves | 27% | 98 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Raptors | 49% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 43% | 97 | 79 | |
 | 6 | Celtics | 57% | 99 | 96 |
Tuesday, November 19, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 17 | Jazz | 65% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 21% | 93 | 97 |
 | 10 | Bucks | 79% | 103 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 27% | 99 | 106 |
| 18 | Timberwolves | 73% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 43% | 96 | 98 |
| 12 | Hornets | 57% | 98 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lakers | 23% | 98 | 72 |
 | 1 | Mavericks | 77% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 11% | 97 | 98 |
| 2 | Kings | 89% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Magic | 25% | 101 | 101 |
| 3 | SuperSonics | 75% | 109 | 84 | |
Monday, November 18, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 42% | 102 | 99 |
| 22 | Warriors | 58% | 104 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 14% | 88 | 78 |
| 5 | Spurs | 86% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 24% | 95 | 92 |
| 11 | Hawks | 76% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 11% | 83 | 79 |
| 4 | Nets | 89% | 98 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 63% | 97 | 91 |
 | 24 | Knicks | 37% | 93 | 94 |
Sunday, November 17, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Rockets | 26% | 93 | 93 |
| 7 | Lakers | 74% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 43% | 97 | 82 |
| 20 | Raptors | 57% | 99 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | SuperSonics | 56% | 102 | 84 | |
| 18 | Clippers | 44% | 100 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Magic | 16% | 101 | 99 |
| 2 | Kings | 84% | 114 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 8 | 76ers | 72% | 101 | 100 |
Saturday, November 16, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 25% | 89 | 65 |
| 18 | Wizards | 75% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 63% | 103 | 93 |
| 26 | Knicks | 37% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 33% | 96 | 82 | |
| 12 | Hawks | 67% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 44% | 101 | 96 |
| 4 | Nets | 56% | 103 | 88 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 75% | 100 | 90 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 25% | 91 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 16% | 82 | 53 |
| 10 | Pistons | 84% | 94 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 45% | 97 | 107 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 55% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 40% | 103 | 93 |
| 27 | Bulls | 60% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 44% | 103 | 85 |
| 13 | Bucks | 56% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 65% | 109 | 92 |
| 23 | Warriors | 35% | 104 | 135 |
Friday, November 15, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nuggets | 28% | 88 | 79 |
| 22 | Raptors | 72% | 96 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 20% | 96 | 89 |
| 8 | Lakers | 80% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rockets | 43% | 91 | 87 |
| 21 | Suns | 57% | 94 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kings | 48% | 100 | 97 |
| 3 | SuperSonics | 52% | 101 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 28% | 93 | 88 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 72% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 24% | 95 | 87 |
| 15 | Hornets | 76% | 104 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 51% | 104 | 99 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 49% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Jazz | 33% | 92 | 75 |
| 14 | Pistons | 67% | 97 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 68% | 96 | 93 | |
| 24 | Heat | 32% | 90 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 51% | 106 | 97 |
| 6 | Celtics | 49% | 105 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bucks | 40% | 99 | 100 |
| 17 | Pacers | 60% | 102 | 103 |
Thursday, November 14, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 41% | 106 | 101 |
| 10 | Clippers | 59% | 108 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 43% | 96 | 94 |
| 11 | 76ers | 57% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Jazz | 44% | 96 | 102 |
| 18 | Wizards | 56% | 98 | 105 |
Wednesday, November 13, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 73% | 108 | 104 |
| 23 | Warriors | 27% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 51% | 90 | 75 |
| 27 | Nuggets | 49% | 89 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 36% | 95 | 98 |
| 15 | Hornets | 64% | 100 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 23% | 100 | 101 |
| 13 | Bucks | 77% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 84% | 107 | 103 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 16% | 94 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 37% | 94 | 82 |
| 4 | Nets | 63% | 98 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 76ers | 38% | 99 | 81 |
| 8 | Celtics | 62% | 103 | 91 |
Tuesday, November 12, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 94 | 83 |
| 18 | Rockets | 60% | 97 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SuperSonics | 55% | 97 | 101 | |
| 19 | Wizards | 45% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Raptors | 22% | 100 | 115 |
| 5 | Magic | 78% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 20% | 90 | 75 |
| 15 | Pacers | 80% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 46% | 98 | 108 |
| 24 | Knicks | 54% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 49% | 95 | 101 |
| 23 | Heat | 51% | 96 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 39% | 91 | 87 | |
| 11 | Pistons | 61% | 95 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 31% | 97 | 95 |
| 7 | Lakers | 69% | 103 | 83 |
Monday, November 11, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 25% | 95 | 75 |
| 6 | Spurs | 75% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 26% | 97 | 73 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 74% | 105 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 38% | 101 | 108 |
| 22 | Grizzlies | 62% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Jazz | 30% | 94 | 95 |
| 7 | Celtics | 70% | 100 | 112 |
Sunday, November 10, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 30% | 102 | 120 |
| 7 | Magic | 70% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 57% | 99 | 97 | |
| 23 | Knicks | 43% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 19% | 97 | 97 |
| 1 | Kings | 81% | 108 | 105 |
Saturday, November 9, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Celtics | 51% | 102 | 105 |
| 19 | Timberwolves | 49% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Raptors | 37% | 92 | 84 |
| 15 | Pacers | 63% | 97 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 54% | 96 | 93 |
| 28 | Cavaliers | 46% | 95 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | SuperSonics | 54% | 94 | 84 | |
| 23 | Heat | 46% | 93 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Nets | 75% | 105 | 93 | |
| 29 | Bulls | 25% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 76ers | 35% | 101 | 105 |
| 12 | Bucks | 65% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pistons | 36% | 99 | 75 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 64% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 25% | 95 | 104 |
| 20 | Rockets | 75% | 103 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 91 | 95 |
| 4 | Spurs | 76% | 100 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 36% | 94 | 73 |
| 27 | Nuggets | 64% | 98 | 84 |
Friday, November 8, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 12% | 96 | 91 |
| 2 | Kings | 88% | 110 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Cavaliers | 19% | 92 | 84 |
| 11 | 76ers | 81% | 103 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SuperSonics | 42% | 102 | 98 | |
| 9 | Magic | 58% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 29% | 92 | 94 |
| 16 | Pacers | 71% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 28% | 94 | 92 |
| 5 | Nets | 72% | 101 | 106 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Lakers | 46% | 96 | 99 |
| 19 | Wizards | 54% | 97 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Warriors | 22% | 91 | 104 |
| 14 | Hornets | 78% | 101 | 110 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 74% | 111 | 114 |
| 29 | Bulls | 26% | 104 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 44% | 97 | 97 |
| 17 | Jazz | 56% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 94 | 75 |
| 21 | Suns | 47% | 93 | 86 |
Thursday, November 7, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lakers | 45% | 97 | 95 |
| 10 | Celtics | 55% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pistons | 55% | 90 | 89 |
| 25 | Nuggets | 45% | 89 | 63 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 40% | 100 | 110 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 60% | 104 | 114 |