Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, January 3, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Celtics | 69% | 113 | 122 |
 | 26 | Pistons | 31% | 106 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Lakers | 74% | 114 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Nets | 73% | 126 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Timberwolves | 35% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Mavericks | 67% | 119 | 108 |
 | 30 | Bulls | 33% | 113 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Saturday, January 2, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Knicks | 25% | 106 | 106 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Thunder | 39% | 107 | 108 |
 | 23 | Magic | 61% | 112 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Hornets | 19% | 106 | 112 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Raptors | 55% | 110 | 116 |
 | 18 | Pelicans | 45% | 108 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Friday, January 1, 2021
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 71% | 113 | 93 |
| 30 | Pistons | 29% | 105 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 48% | 113 | 108 |
| 23 | Hornets | 52% | 114 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Heat | 44% | 113 | 83 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 56% | 115 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 32% | 121 | 114 |
| 7 | Nets | 68% | 128 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 13% | 110 | 96 |
 | 2 | Bucks | 87% | 126 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 67% | 116 | 109 |
| 19 | Spurs | 33% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 41% | 119 | 130 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 59% | 122 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 47% | 111 | 106 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 53% | 112 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 46% | 111 | 100 |
| 3 | Jazz | 54% | 112 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 121 | 123 |
| 18 | Warriors | 49% | 120 | 98 |
Thursday, December 31, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 26% | 108 | 99 |
| 9 | Pacers | 74% | 117 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 38% | 120 | 133 |
| 21 | Wizards | 62% | 124 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 76ers | 59% | 115 | 116 |
| 22 | Magic | 41% | 112 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 34% | 110 | 119 |
| 6 | Rockets | 66% | 116 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 28% | 106 | 83 |
| 8 | Raptors | 72% | 115 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pelicans | 52% | 109 | 113 |
| 23 | Thunder | 48% | 108 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 39% | 111 | 106 |
| 3 | Jazz | 61% | 115 | 95 |
Wednesday, December 30, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 34% | 105 | 107 |
| 9 | Celtics | 66% | 111 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hawks | 29% | 117 | 141 |
| 4 | Nets | 71% | 124 | 145 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 63% | 116 | 108 |
| 19 | Heat | 37% | 111 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 25% | 110 | 118 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 75% | 120 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 71% | 118 | 121 |
| 20 | Spurs | 29% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 112 | 105 |
| 7 | Clippers | 55% | 114 | 128 |
Tuesday, December 29, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 55% | 121 | 116 |
| 25 | Pistons | 45% | 119 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 36% | 119 | 115 |
| 19 | Wizards | 64% | 124 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 47% | 112 | 93 |
| 13 | 76ers | 53% | 113 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 44% | 110 | 116 |
| 12 | Pacers | 56% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 45% | 111 | 95 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 55% | 113 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bucks | 54% | 114 | 144 |
| 14 | Heat | 46% | 112 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 62% | 112 | 118 |
| 30 | Thunder | 38% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Nuggets | 51% | 115 | 115 |
| 17 | Kings | 49% | 114 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 26% | 108 | 101 |
| 6 | Clippers | 74% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 36% | 110 | 86 |
| 9 | Suns | 64% | 116 | 111 |
Monday, December 28, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Grizzlies | 45% | 114 | 116 |
| 16 | Nets | 55% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Pistons | 30% | 112 | 120 |
| 17 | Hawks | 70% | 120 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Jazz | 71% | 116 | 110 |
| 25 | Thunder | 29% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 47% | 111 | 111 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 53% | 112 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 112 | 115 |
| 1 | Lakers | 66% | 117 | 107 |
Sunday, December 27, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 27% | 112 | 124 |
| 1 | Clippers | 73% | 120 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nets | 78% | 124 | 104 |
| 28 | Hornets | 22% | 113 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 46% | 119 | 120 |
| 24 | Wizards | 54% | 120 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 35% | 113 | 95 |
| 16 | Pelicans | 65% | 119 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 76ers | 67% | 117 | 94 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 33% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bucks | 81% | 119 | 110 |
| 29 | Knicks | 19% | 106 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 49% | 111 | 107 |
| 13 | Pacers | 51% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Warriors | 57% | 121 | 129 |
| 27 | Bulls | 43% | 118 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 54% | 117 | 116 |
| 18 | Kings | 46% | 116 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 23% | 106 | 91 |
| 6 | Lakers | 77% | 117 | 127 |
Saturday, December 26, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hawks | 43% | 119 | 122 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 57% | 122 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 47% | 110 | 109 |
| 28 | Hornets | 53% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Cavaliers | 46% | 112 | 128 |
| 26 | Pistons | 54% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 44% | 116 | 130 |
| 21 | Wizards | 56% | 118 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 71% | 121 | 109 |
| 30 | Knicks | 29% | 113 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 62% | 118 | 125 |
| 25 | Bulls | 38% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 59% | 116 | 114 |
| 19 | Spurs | 41% | 113 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 30% | 110 | 116 |
| 3 | Jazz | 70% | 118 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 53% | 114 | 126 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 113 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 53% | 116 | 103 |
| 18 | Kings | 47% | 115 | 106 |
Friday, December 25, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Warriors | 21% | 107 | 99 |
| 2 | Bucks | 79% | 119 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 47% | 113 | 123 |
| 11 | Celtics | 53% | 114 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 34% | 109 | 115 |
| 3 | Lakers | 66% | 115 | 138 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 56% | 115 | 121 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 44% | 112 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pelicans | 33% | 111 | 98 |
| 6 | Heat | 67% | 117 | 111 |
Wednesday, December 23, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hornets | 51% | 112 | 114 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 49% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 26% | 102 | 107 |
| 15 | Pacers | 74% | 111 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Heat | 61% | 112 | 107 |
| 22 | Magic | 39% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wizards | 31% | 108 | 107 |
| 9 | 76ers | 69% | 115 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Bucks | 55% | 107 | 121 |
| 11 | Celtics | 45% | 105 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 34% | 105 | 113 |
| 8 | Raptors | 66% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hawks | 48% | 115 | 124 |
| 25 | Bulls | 52% | 116 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Spurs | 42% | 106 | 131 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 58% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 26% | 107 | 101 |
| 16 | Timberwolves | 74% | 116 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 35% | 110 | 124 |
| 12 | Nuggets | 65% | 115 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Jazz | 53% | 113 | 120 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 43% | 113 | 102 |
| 10 | Suns | 57% | 115 | 106 |
Tuesday, December 22, 2020
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 27% | 110 | 99 |
| 6 | Nets | 73% | 119 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Clippers | 41% | 107 | 116 |
| 1 | Lakers | 59% | 110 | 109 |