Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Monday, February 5, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 15 | Pistons | 58% | 106 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Magic | 27% | 101 | 111 |
 | 12 | Heat | 73% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 18 | Pelicans | 49% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Hornets | 38% | 108 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 51% | 106 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Mavericks | 41% | 107 | 101 |
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Sunday, February 4, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Lakers | 24% | 104 | 108 |
 | 5 | Thunder | 76% | 114 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 67% | 114 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 99 | 96 |
 | 19 | Celtics | 54% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Bucks | 57% | 109 | 109 |
 | 24 | Nets | 43% | 107 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Knicks | 68% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Raptors | 82% | 111 | 101 |
Saturday, February 3, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bulls | 31% | 107 | 103 |
| 20 | Clippers | 69% | 114 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 42% | 99 | 107 |
| 15 | Pistons | 58% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Pacers | 49% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 63% | 112 | 115 |
| 28 | Magic | 37% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 27% | 107 | 107 |
 | 4 | Timberwolves | 73% | 115 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 38% | 95 | 120 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 9 | Nuggets | 39% | 113 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 67% | 106 | 106 |
| 30 | Kings | 33% | 100 | 99 |
Friday, February 2, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 44% | 106 | 126 |
| 15 | Hornets | 56% | 108 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 31% | 98 | 110 |
| 19 | Celtics | 69% | 104 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 46% | 109 | 102 |
| 25 | Nets | 54% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 35% | 104 | 105 |
| 3 | Raptors | 65% | 110 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 37% | 101 | 97 |
| 5 | 76ers | 63% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 44% | 105 | 90 |
| 18 | Bucks | 56% | 108 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 38% | 108 | 114 |
| 6 | Thunder | 62% | 112 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 68% | 109 | 129 |
| 29 | Suns | 32% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 90% | 119 | 119 |
| 30 | Kings | 10% | 101 | 104 |
Thursday, February 1, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 24% | 95 | 102 |
| 14 | Pistons | 76% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 55% | 109 | 119 |
| 15 | Wizards | 45% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 33% | 105 | 89 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 67% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 55% | 105 | 102 |
| 7 | Spurs | 45% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 51% | 110 | 124 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 49% | 109 | 127 |
Wednesday, January 31, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 31% | 100 | 101 |
| 18 | Pacers | 69% | 107 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Lakers | 55% | 111 | 105 |
| 27 | Magic | 45% | 109 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hornets | 59% | 108 | 123 |
| 23 | Hawks | 41% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 73% | 113 | 108 |
| 28 | Nets | 27% | 104 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 47% | 109 | 89 |
| 15 | Cavaliers | 53% | 110 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 32% | 98 | 73 |
| 14 | Celtics | 68% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 32% | 103 | 108 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 110 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 60% | 111 | 88 |
| 29 | Suns | 40% | 107 | 102 |
Tuesday, January 30, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 55% | 109 | 96 |
| 16 | Wizards | 45% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 35% | 107 | 95 |
| 19 | Knicks | 65% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Timberwolves | 33% | 106 | 104 |
| 3 | Raptors | 67% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 54% | 110 | 114 |
| 22 | Pistons | 46% | 108 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 12% | 104 | 107 |
| 2 | Rockets | 88% | 121 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 23% | 103 | 114 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 77% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 39% | 102 | 104 |
| 9 | Spurs | 61% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 74% | 112 | 99 |
| 10 | Jazz | 26% | 103 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 108 | 104 |
| 20 | Clippers | 51% | 109 | 96 |
Monday, January 29, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 48% | 107 | 96 |
| 15 | Pacers | 52% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 65% | 112 | 100 |
| 25 | Hawks | 35% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 33% | 101 | 109 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 67% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 43% | 104 | 95 |
| 16 | Bucks | 57% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 51% | 102 | 95 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 49% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 47% | 105 | 111 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 53% | 106 | 110 |
Sunday, January 28, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 51% | 109 | 110 |
| 23 | Bulls | 49% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 10% | 105 | 102 |
| 2 | Rockets | 90% | 123 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Clippers | 42% | 110 | 112 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 58% | 113 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 31% | 108 | 104 |
| 8 | Cavaliers | 69% | 115 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 20% | 104 | 111 |
| 3 | Raptors | 80% | 115 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 41% | 104 | 112 |
| 4 | Thunder | 59% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 18% | 92 | 98 |
| 10 | Spurs | 82% | 105 | 113 |
Saturday, January 27, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 57% | 104 | 121 |
| 20 | Pistons | 43% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Magic | 33% | 105 | 112 |
| 17 | Pacers | 67% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 63% | 109 | 129 |
| 24 | Hawks | 37% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 40% | 101 | 91 |
| 13 | Heat | 60% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 18% | 103 | 105 |
| 1 | Warriors | 82% | 116 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 22% | 104 | 97 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 78% | 115 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Mavericks | 31% | 104 | 89 |
| 9 | Nuggets | 69% | 111 | 91 |
Friday, January 26, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 33% | 104 | 110 |
| 16 | Hornets | 67% | 110 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pacers | 36% | 111 | 108 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 64% | 116 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 32% | 101 | 97 |
| 3 | Raptors | 68% | 107 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 40% | 108 | 108 |
| 23 | Bulls | 60% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Clippers | 60% | 107 | 109 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 40% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 38% | 106 | 91 |
| 18 | Bucks | 62% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 64% | 115 | 113 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 36% | 110 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 55% | 107 | 107 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 45% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 41% | 99 | 97 |
| 9 | Spurs | 59% | 102 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 51% | 113 | 107 |
| 29 | Suns | 49% | 112 | 85 |
Thursday, January 25, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 22% | 95 | 89 |
| 11 | Heat | 78% | 106 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 39% | 104 | 112 |
| 4 | Thunder | 61% | 108 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 33% | 105 | 118 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 67% | 112 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Timberwolves | 13% | 105 | 113 |
| 1 | Warriors | 87% | 121 | 126 |
Wednesday, January 24, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 47% | 109 | 101 |
| 16 | Hornets | 53% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 48% | 101 | 98 |
| 19 | Pistons | 52% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 35% | 107 | 101 |
| 22 | Pacers | 65% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 30% | 103 | 101 |
| 6 | 76ers | 70% | 111 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 69% | 112 | 108 |
| 24 | Hawks | 31% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 71% | 114 | 104 |
| 20 | Mavericks | 29% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Spurs | 62% | 98 | 108 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 38% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 49% | 107 | 114 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 108 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 49% | 106 | 113 |
| 17 | Clippers | 51% | 107 | 102 |
Tuesday, January 23, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 30% | 103 | 105 |
| 26 | Magic | 70% | 111 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 27% | 102 | 108 |
| 6 | Thunder | 73% | 111 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Cavaliers | 42% | 105 | 102 |
| 10 | Spurs | 58% | 108 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 14% | 104 | 112 |
| 1 | Warriors | 86% | 119 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 69% | 109 | 107 |
| 27 | Lakers | 31% | 102 | 108 |