Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, January 18, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Magic | 25% | 110 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Celtics | 61% | 101 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Timberwolves | 39% | 110 | 98 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, January 17, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Hornets | 49% | 107 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Nets | 41% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Pelicans | 53% | 111 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Pistons | 27% | 103 | 91 |
 | 4 | Raptors | 73% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 23 | Bulls | 22% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Knicks | 49% | 103 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Heat | 45% | 104 | 106 |
 | 13 | Bucks | 55% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Lakers | 27% | 101 | 90 |
 | 6 | Thunder | 73% | 110 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, January 16, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 72% | 115 | 102 |
| 28 | Magic | 28% | 107 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 35% | 103 | 116 |
| 5 | Celtics | 65% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Mavericks | 37% | 106 | 102 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 63% | 111 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 16 | Trail Blazers | 74% | 113 | 118 |
Monday, January 15, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raptors | 52% | 110 | 111 |
| 8 | 76ers | 48% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 30% | 104 | 104 |
| 7 | Wizards | 70% | 112 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 41% | 106 | 119 |
| 23 | Nets | 59% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 67% | 107 | 99 |
| 26 | Hawks | 33% | 101 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 52% | 105 | 111 |
| 24 | Bulls | 48% | 104 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 42% | 102 | 114 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 58% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 18% | 98 | 88 |
| 9 | Thunder | 82% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 67% | 120 | 118 |
| 10 | Cavaliers | 33% | 114 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 33% | 101 | 109 |
| 16 | Jazz | 67% | 107 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 64% | 116 | 102 |
| 18 | Clippers | 36% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hornets | 48% | 104 | 118 |
| 19 | Pistons | 52% | 105 | 107 |
Sunday, January 14, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 42% | 104 | 79 |
| 11 | Heat | 58% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 48% | 109 | 123 |
| 19 | Knicks | 52% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 61% | 113 | 120 |
| 29 | Suns | 39% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 104 | 103 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 67% | 110 | 120 |
Saturday, January 13, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Lakers | 40% | 107 | 107 |
| 21 | Mavericks | 60% | 110 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 28% | 103 | 105 |
| 18 | Clippers | 72% | 112 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 52% | 107 | 101 |
| 14 | Hornets | 48% | 106 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nets | 26% | 105 | 113 |
| 6 | Wizards | 74% | 114 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 62% | 114 | 127 |
| 10 | Raptors | 38% | 110 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 57% | 106 | 105 |
| 27 | Bulls | 43% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 33% | 103 | 80 |
| 5 | Spurs | 67% | 109 | 112 |
Friday, January 12, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 42% | 103 | 88 |
| 14 | Hornets | 58% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 49% | 114 | 95 |
| 22 | Pacers | 51% | 115 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 20% | 104 | 119 |
| 6 | Wizards | 80% | 116 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nets | 44% | 107 | 110 |
| 25 | Hawks | 56% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 62% | 112 | 108 |
| 15 | Bucks | 38% | 108 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 30% | 104 | 108 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 70% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 109 | 113 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 51% | 110 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Grizzlies | 32% | 102 | 78 |
| 10 | Nuggets | 68% | 109 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rockets | 78% | 123 | 112 |
| 28 | Suns | 22% | 112 | 95 |
Thursday, January 11, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 48% | 104 | 114 |
| 6 | 76ers | 52% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 42% | 112 | 99 |
| 8 | Raptors | 58% | 114 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Clippers | 58% | 107 | 121 |
| 30 | Kings | 42% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Spurs | 56% | 106 | 81 |
| 25 | Lakers | 44% | 104 | 93 |
Wednesday, January 10, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Mavericks | 37% | 104 | 115 |
| 16 | Hornets | 63% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 45% | 106 | 114 |
| 20 | Pacers | 55% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 36% | 102 | 107 |
| 5 | Wizards | 64% | 107 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 49% | 106 | 114 |
| 24 | Nets | 51% | 107 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bulls | 40% | 104 | 122 |
| 21 | Knicks | 60% | 108 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 25% | 104 | 112 |
| 2 | Rockets | 75% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 56% | 107 | 102 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 44% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 22% | 105 | 103 |
| 11 | Bucks | 78% | 116 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 33% | 105 | 88 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 67% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 25% | 105 | 110 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 75% | 115 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Clippers | 20% | 102 | 125 |
| 1 | Warriors | 80% | 114 | 106 |
Tuesday, January 9, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 38% | 104 | 90 |
| 7 | Raptors | 62% | 108 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 99 | 117 |
| 10 | Thunder | 68% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Magic | 30% | 105 | 99 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 70% | 113 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 27% | 103 | 86 |
| 25 | Lakers | 73% | 111 | 99 |
Monday, January 8, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 53% | 110 | 96 |
| 18 | Pacers | 47% | 109 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 68% | 115 | 114 |
| 25 | Nets | 32% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 67% | 114 | 116 |
| 23 | Bulls | 33% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 43% | 112 | 99 |
| 5 | Timberwolves | 57% | 115 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 35% | 105 | 109 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 65% | 110 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 68% | 105 | 107 |
| 30 | Kings | 32% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 26% | 108 | 114 |
| 1 | Warriors | 74% | 117 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 36% | 105 | 107 |
| 26 | Clippers | 64% | 110 | 108 |
Sunday, January 7, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 44% | 101 | 102 |
| 13 | Heat | 56% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 39% | 104 | 100 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 61% | 108 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 71% | 114 | 100 |
| 28 | Suns | 29% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Spurs | 52% | 100 | 110 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 99 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Hawks | 46% | 108 | 113 |
| 27 | Lakers | 54% | 110 | 132 |
Saturday, January 6, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 70% | 115 | 121 |
| 16 | Clippers | 30% | 108 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Celtics | 57% | 107 | 87 |
| 23 | Nets | 43% | 105 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 71% | 118 | 131 |
| 29 | Magic | 29% | 110 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Rockets | 66% | 110 | 101 |
| 21 | Pistons | 34% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 35% | 105 | 86 |
| 19 | Pacers | 65% | 110 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bucks | 35% | 105 | 110 |
| 8 | Wizards | 65% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 42% | 110 | 98 |
| 6 | Timberwolves | 58% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 76% | 111 | 98 |
| 30 | Kings | 24% | 102 | 106 |
Friday, January 5, 2018
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 42% | 104 | 84 |
| 6 | Celtics | 58% | 107 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 36% | 104 | 78 |
| 11 | 76ers | 64% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 38% | 103 | 103 |
| 14 | Heat | 62% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Raptors | 55% | 110 | 129 |
| 13 | Bucks | 45% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 17% | 101 | 89 |
| 3 | Spurs | 83% | 115 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 39% | 104 | 127 |
| 18 | Mavericks | 61% | 108 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Jazz | 36% | 104 | 91 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 64% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wizards | 66% | 107 | 102 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 34% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hawks | 38% | 103 | 89 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 107 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 56% | 110 | 108 |
| 26 | Lakers | 44% | 108 | 94 |