Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, November 17, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Pistons | 47% | 109 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Heat | 41% | 107 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Nets | 46% | 108 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Knicks | 29% | 109 | 84 |
 | 5 | Raptors | 71% | 117 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Hornets | 67% | 107 | 120 |
 | 28 | Bulls | 33% | 101 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Thunder | 47% | 102 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Timberwolves | 62% | 114 | 111 |
 | 24 | Mavericks | 38% | 110 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 25 | Lakers | 73% | 120 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Pelicans | 41% | 111 | 114 |
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Thursday, November 16, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Celtics | 34% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 29 | Suns | 15% | 111 | 116 |
Wednesday, November 15, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 37% | 104 | 80 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wizards | 48% | 108 | 102 |
| 15 | Heat | 52% | 109 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 43% | 105 | 101 |
| 19 | Knicks | 57% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 46% | 112 | 115 |
| 14 | Hornets | 54% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 40% | 103 | 116 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 38% | 105 | 95 |
 | 11 | Bucks | 62% | 109 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 41% | 109 | 125 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 59% | 113 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 19% | 97 | 79 |
| 3 | Thunder | 81% | 109 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 37% | 107 | 86 |
| 4 | Timberwolves | 63% | 112 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Magic | 41% | 108 | 94 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 112 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 25 | Lakers | 38% | 109 | 109 |
Tuesday, November 14, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 67% | 111 | 109 |
| 27 | Nets | 33% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 28% | 109 | 129 |
| 2 | Rockets | 72% | 117 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Spurs | 62% | 108 | 97 |
| 25 | Mavericks | 38% | 104 | 91 |
Monday, November 13, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 20% | 103 | 92 |
| 5 | Wizards | 80% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 57% | 116 | 104 |
| 21 | Knicks | 43% | 113 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 43% | 104 | 103 |
| 7 | Bucks | 57% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 25% | 105 | 105 |
| 9 | Pelicans | 75% | 114 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Lakers | 55% | 116 | 100 |
| 29 | Suns | 45% | 115 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 53% | 109 | 109 |
| 20 | Jazz | 47% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 49% | 111 | 82 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 112 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 20% | 108 | 100 |
| 2 | Warriors | 80% | 120 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 76ers | 46% | 112 | 109 |
| 17 | Clippers | 54% | 113 | 105 |
Sunday, November 12, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 49% | 106 | 94 |
| 17 | Celtics | 51% | 107 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 47% | 106 | 103 |
| 19 | Pistons | 53% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rockets | 60% | 114 | 118 |
| 20 | Pacers | 40% | 111 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 18% | 101 | 99 |
| 3 | Thunder | 82% | 114 | 112 |
Saturday, November 11, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 33% | 108 | 103 |
| 7 | Pelicans | 67% | 114 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 19% | 106 | 94 |
| 4 | Wizards | 81% | 118 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 32% | 104 | 91 |
| 23 | Knicks | 68% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 29% | 104 | 96 |
| 2 | Rockets | 71% | 112 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 76ers | 18% | 109 | 114 |
| 1 | Warriors | 82% | 122 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 24% | 96 | 94 |
| 11 | Spurs | 76% | 106 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 31% | 107 | 90 |
| 8 | Bucks | 69% | 114 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 59% | 114 | 111 |
| 24 | Mavericks | 41% | 111 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 27% | 103 | 106 |
| 16 | Jazz | 73% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 75% | 123 | 110 |
| 30 | Suns | 25% | 114 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 32% | 110 | 107 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 68% | 117 | 125 |
Friday, November 10, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 29% | 105 | 104 |
| 19 | Pistons | 71% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 37% | 103 | 87 |
| 13 | Celtics | 63% | 108 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pacers | 49% | 106 | 105 |
| 25 | Bulls | 51% | 107 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 45% | 102 | 84 |
| 17 | Jazz | 55% | 104 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 63% | 119 | 128 |
| 30 | Suns | 37% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 40% | 104 | 94 |
| 9 | Spurs | 60% | 108 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Clippers | 38% | 106 | 111 |
| 3 | Thunder | 62% | 110 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 29% | 110 | 101 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 118 | 97 |
Thursday, November 9, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 21% | 109 | 95 |
| 6 | Wizards | 79% | 120 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 42% | 110 | 118 |
| 7 | Raptors | 58% | 112 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 35% | 112 | 113 |
| 2 | Rockets | 65% | 118 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 76ers | 74% | 112 | 108 |
| 30 | Kings | 26% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 56% | 112 | 94 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 44% | 110 | 102 |
Wednesday, November 8, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 34% | 110 | 99 |
| 22 | Magic | 66% | 116 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 33% | 108 | 97 |
| 19 | Pistons | 67% | 114 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 26% | 104 | 96 |
| 11 | Celtics | 74% | 113 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 67% | 115 | 126 |
| 29 | Suns | 33% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Timberwolves | 25% | 110 | 101 |
| 1 | Warriors | 75% | 120 | 125 |
Tuesday, November 7, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bucks | 40% | 111 | 119 |
| 11 | Cavaliers | 60% | 115 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pelicans | 55% | 112 | 117 |
| 21 | Pacers | 45% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Mavericks | 27% | 107 | 113 |
| 5 | Wizards | 73% | 115 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 48% | 110 | 113 |
| 22 | Knicks | 52% | 111 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bulls | 27% | 101 | 114 |
| 8 | Raptors | 73% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 48% | 106 | 107 |
| 12 | Spurs | 52% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 24% | 113 | 104 |
| 15 | Nuggets | 76% | 122 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 76ers | 43% | 105 | 104 |
| 14 | Jazz | 57% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 47% | 105 | 98 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 106 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Thunder | 79% | 111 | 86 |
| 30 | Kings | 21% | 99 | 94 |
Monday, November 6, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 68% | 109 | 110 |
| 26 | Hawks | 32% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 54% | 121 | 98 |
| 29 | Suns | 46% | 119 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 14% | 105 | 80 |
| 1 | Warriors | 86% | 120 | 97 |
Sunday, November 5, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 21% | 109 | 117 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 79% | 120 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 36% | 106 | 104 |
| 4 | Clippers | 64% | 111 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 57% | 109 | 104 |
| 23 | Magic | 43% | 107 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 38% | 111 | 107 |
| 6 | Raptors | 62% | 115 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 36% | 101 | 110 |
| 3 | Rockets | 64% | 106 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 23% | 105 | 95 |
| 12 | Spurs | 77% | 115 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 48% | 112 | 101 |
| 22 | Knicks | 52% | 113 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Hornets | 41% | 111 | 94 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 59% | 114 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 55% | 109 | 99 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 108 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 59% | 109 | 102 |
| 27 | Lakers | 41% | 106 | 107 |
Saturday, November 4, 2017
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 35% | 103 | 113 |
| 4 | Clippers | 65% | 109 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 24% | 99 | 99 |
| 20 | Pistons | 76% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Pelicans | 62% | 106 | 96 |
| 25 | Bulls | 38% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Mavericks | 25% | 108 | 99 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 75% | 117 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 75% | 121 | 127 |
| 11 | Nuggets | 25% | 111 | 108 |