Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, April 13, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Celtics | 59% | 96 | 93 |
 | 16 | Bulls | 41% | 93 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Lakers | 83% | 104 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, April 12, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Magic | 60% | 102 | 118 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Heat | 55% | 95 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Raptors | 40% | 99 | 111 |
 | 24 | Pistons | 60% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Bobcats | 63% | 95 | 105 |
| 28 | Nets | 37% | 91 | 95 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Knicks | 61% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Bucks | 49% | 95 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Timberwolves | 9% | 91 | 111 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 3 | Nuggets | 80% | 107 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Thunder | 37% | 90 | 95 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 25 | Kings | 53% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 9 | Mavericks | 74% | 103 | 117 |
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Sunday, April 11, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic | 60% | 98 | 98 |
%20--%3e%3csvg%20version='1.1'%20id='Layer_1'%20xmlns='http://www.w3.org/2000/svg'%20xmlns:xlink='http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink'%20x='0px'%20y='0px'%20viewBox='0%200%20400%20400'%20style='enable-background:new%200%200%20400%20400;'%20xml:space='preserve'%3e%3cstyle%20type='text/css'%3e%20.st0{fill:%23BC945C;}%20.st1{fill:%23860038;}%20%3c/style%3e%3cg%3e%3cpath%20class='st0'%20d='M356.2,121.3V98.4l-5.6-5.7c-72-68.5-226.2,21.4-278.6,64.8l-25.9,40.1l32.2-8c-49.4,62-31.8,102.7-29.7,106.9%20c5.2,14.6,17.1,26.3,36.3,34c14.6,5.8,31.2,6.6,45.4,5.9c61.4-2.9,134-41.2,180.9-81.9l1.1-0.9l9.3-47.1l-18.2,10.1%20c-63.3,27.8-114.2,43.2-114.2,43.2c-33.3,10.4-48.6,12.1-59.5,9.5l-1.3-0.4c-3-1.2-3.5-3.9-3.5-4.6c-0.5-20.8,35.4-65.6,53.4-85%20c16.8-18.1,43.3-37.9,65.7-47.3c15-6.3,24.7-8.8,29.2-8.4c-1.2,3.9-3.3,8.7-6.2,14.5c0,0-24,47.3-25,49.2L356.2,121.3z'/%3e%3cpath%20class='st1'%20d='M213.9,118c-20.6,10.9-44.3,32.8-51.7,40.7C101.8,223,59.5,309,191.7,267.8c0,0,51.4-15.6,115.2-43.6%20C126.3,376.8-44.2,313,123.6,152.5c-15.3,3.5-30.7,6.8-45.8,11c53.7-44.5,201.1-127.4,266.9-64.8l-70.3,43.1%20C304.6,82.7,250.2,96.6,213.9,118'/%3e%3c/g%3e%3c/svg%3e) | 13 | Cavaliers | 40% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Trail Blazers | 48% | 94 | 91 |
| 9 | Lakers | 52% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 48% | 100 | 104 |
| 21 | Raptors | 52% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 30% | 99 | 86 |
| 20 | Hornets | 70% | 106 | 114 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 58% | 99 | 111 |
| 22 | Knicks | 42% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thunder | 60% | 107 | 117 |
| 18 | Warriors | 40% | 104 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 29% | 103 | 106 |
| 6 | Suns | 71% | 110 | 116 |
Saturday, April 10, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 29% | 88 | 95 |
| 13 | Bobcats | 71% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 25% | 96 | 102 | |
| 16 | Pacers | 75% | 104 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 65% | 99 | 105 |
| 27 | Wizards | 35% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 41% | 96 | 120 |
| 24 | Grizzlies | 59% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 54% | 93 | 105 |
| 15 | Bucks | 46% | 91 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 35% | 98 | 104 |
| 3 | Nuggets | 65% | 103 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 58% | 100 | 126 |
| 23 | Kings | 42% | 98 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Warriors | 56% | 108 | 104 |
| 28 | Clippers | 44% | 106 | 107 |
Friday, April 9, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 17% | 95 | 103 |
| 1 | Magic | 83% | 107 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bucks | 55% | 96 | 95 |
| 24 | 76ers | 45% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Raptors | 25% | 97 | 101 |
| 11 | Hawks | 75% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 14% | 86 | 106 |
| 3 | Celtics | 86% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 41% | 96 | 116 |
| 14 | Cavaliers | 59% | 98 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 25% | 87 | 106 |
| 12 | Heat | 75% | 96 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 73% | 103 | 97 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 27% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 57% | 98 | 116 |
| 29 | Nets | 43% | 96 | 127 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 58% | 104 | 114 |
| 19 | Hornets | 42% | 101 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 45% | 102 | 91 |
| 10 | Thunder | 55% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bobcats | 48% | 94 | 90 |
| 17 | Rockets | 52% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 19% | 91 | 107 |
| 4 | Spurs | 81% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 34% | 94 | 83 |
| 2 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 99 | 77 |
Thursday, April 8, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Cavaliers | 52% | 96 | 108 |
| 18 | Bulls | 48% | 95 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 34% | 97 | 94 |
| 22 | Kings | 66% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 49% | 101 | 96 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 51% | 102 | 98 |
Wednesday, April 7, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 33% | 100 | 105 |
| 17 | Pacers | 67% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 65% | 100 | 115 |
| 21 | Raptors | 35% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 56% | 97 | 88 |
| 23 | Pistons | 44% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 22% | 88 | 95 |
| 11 | Heat | 78% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 26% | 90 | 89 | |
| 15 | Bucks | 74% | 99 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 57% | 111 | 116 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 43% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bobcats | 44% | 95 | 104 |
| 16 | Hornets | 56% | 97 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Nuggets | 48% | 100 | 98 |
| 10 | Thunder | 52% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 9% | 86 | 94 |
| 1 | Magic | 91% | 104 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Grizzlies | 19% | 93 | 84 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 81% | 105 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Jazz | 59% | 104 | 96 |
| 19 | Rockets | 41% | 101 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 101 | 93 |
| 27 | Clippers | 29% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 41% | 102 | 101 |
| 8 | Suns | 59% | 105 | 112 |
Tuesday, April 6, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 47% | 90 | 100 |
| 14 | Bobcats | 53% | 91 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Raptors | 18% | 97 | 101 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 82% | 109 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 41% | 95 | 124 |
| 24 | 76ers | 59% | 98 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 58% | 106 | 94 |
| 28 | Wizards | 42% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Celtics | 67% | 101 | 101 |
| 23 | Knicks | 33% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 48% | 94 | 79 |
| 20 | Bulls | 52% | 95 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 45% | 100 | 113 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 55% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 36% | 96 | 139 |
| 7 | Jazz | 64% | 101 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 69% | 101 | 95 |
| 25 | Kings | 31% | 95 | 86 |
Sunday, April 4, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 45% | 94 | 113 |
| 4 | Celtics | 55% | 95 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Spurs | 40% | 94 | 100 |
| 5 | Lakers | 60% | 98 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Rockets | 43% | 101 | 102 |
| 19 | Pacers | 57% | 103 | 133 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Grizzlies | 19% | 92 | 92 |
| 1 | Magic | 81% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Warriors | 45% | 110 | 113 |
| 17 | Raptors | 55% | 112 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 38% | 93 | 99 | |
| 29 | Wizards | 62% | 97 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 17% | 93 | 108 |
| 11 | Thunder | 83% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 54% | 103 | 113 |
| 27 | Clippers | 46% | 102 | 107 |
Saturday, April 3, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 49% | 101 | 128 |
| 25 | 76ers | 51% | 102 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 23% | 90 | 85 |
| 11 | Hawks | 77% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hornets | 59% | 101 | 87 | |
| 28 | Nets | 41% | 98 | 115 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bobcats | 49% | 92 | 88 |
| 20 | Bulls | 51% | 93 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 66% | 99 | 97 |
| 30 | Timberwolves | 34% | 93 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 37% | 94 | 121 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 63% | 98 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 47% | 101 | 98 |
| 13 | Bucks | 53% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Clippers | 16% | 96 | 90 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 84% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 70% | 101 | 98 |
| 24 | Kings | 30% | 94 | 87 |
Friday, April 2, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 43% | 89 | 86 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 57% | 91 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 51% | 97 | 105 |
| 19 | Pacers | 49% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bulls | 59% | 96 | 95 |
| 29 | Wizards | 41% | 93 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 22% | 91 | 119 |
| 4 | Celtics | 78% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 30% | 95 | 88 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 70% | 102 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Suns | 67% | 105 | 109 |
| 26 | Pistons | 33% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hornets | 49% | 101 | 96 | |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 51% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic | 45% | 95 | 100 |
| 9 | Spurs | 55% | 96 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 41% | 109 | 117 |
| 20 | Warriors | 59% | 111 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 38% | 97 | 92 |
| 5 | Lakers | 62% | 101 | 106 |
Thursday, April 1, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic | 52% | 98 | 97 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 48% | 97 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 38% | 98 | 92 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 62% | 102 | 109 |
Wednesday, March 31, 2010
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 49% | 97 | 92 |
| 11 | Hawks | 51% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 26% | 87 | 84 |
| 15 | Bobcats | 74% | 95 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bucks | 18% | 90 | 98 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 82% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Clippers | 27% | 99 | 92 |
| 18 | Raptors | 73% | 107 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thunder | 28% | 88 | 109 |
| 5 | Celtics | 72% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 60% | 93 | 98 |
| 26 | Pistons | 40% | 90 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Suns | 68% | 108 | 116 |
| 27 | Nets | 32% | 102 | 105 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 57% | 101 | 106 |
| 17 | Grizzlies | 43% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Kings | 52% | 102 | 99 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 48% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Wizards | 18% | 91 | 96 |
| 14 | Hornets | 82% | 104 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Rockets | 21% | 92 | 102 |
| 9 | Spurs | 79% | 103 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 21% | 94 | 90 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 79% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 23% | 104 | 104 |
| 6 | Jazz | 77% | 114 | 128 |