Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Celtics | 72% | 98 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Raptors | 36% | 99 | 109 |
 | 12 | Bulls | 64% | 104 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Mavericks | 60% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bucks | 34% | 100 | 108 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Pistons | 61% | 92 | 96 |
 | 24 | Heat | 39% | 88 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Timberwolves | 62% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 46% | 102 | 73 | |
 | 21 | Knicks | 54% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Bobcats | 35% | 88 | 73 |
 | 15 | Magic | 65% | 93 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hornets | 43% | 89 | 98 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Thunder | 39% | 95 | 126 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, April 14, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 31% | 89 | 79 |
| 11 | Hawks | 69% | 96 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 57% | 94 | 100 |
| 17 | 76ers | 43% | 92 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 2 | Lakers | 71% | 105 | 125 |
Monday, April 13, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 54% | 99 | 117 |
| 15 | Pacers | 46% | 97 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 45% | 99 | 97 |
| 25 | Wizards | 55% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bulls | 41% | 95 | 91 |
| 13 | Pistons | 59% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bobcats | 45% | 93 | 87 |
| 18 | Nets | 55% | 95 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 58% | 96 | 80 |
| 22 | Bucks | 42% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 17% | 93 | 94 |
| 4 | Mavericks | 83% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 33% | 89 | 66 | |
| 5 | Rockets | 67% | 95 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Kings | 11% | 94 | 98 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 89% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Clippers | 18% | 93 | 85 |
| 6 | Jazz | 82% | 105 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Grizzlies | 23% | 96 | 110 |
| 14 | Suns | 77% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 15% | 89 | 83 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 85% | 103 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 49% | 100 | 101 |
| 19 | Warriors | 51% | 101 | 72 |
Sunday, April 12, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 45% | 96 | 92 |
| 9 | Hornets | 55% | 98 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Celtics | 35% | 88 | 76 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 65% | 93 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 34% | 99 | 105 |
| 16 | Heat | 66% | 104 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 46% | 96 | 104 |
| 22 | Raptors | 54% | 98 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Spurs | 68% | 101 | 95 |
| 29 | Kings | 32% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 14% | 91 | 75 |
| 2 | Lakers | 86% | 105 | 92 |
Saturday, April 11, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 42% | 96 | 102 |
| 16 | Pacers | 58% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Magic | 60% | 96 | 93 |
| 22 | Nets | 40% | 93 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 59% | 105 | 110 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 41% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bobcats | 38% | 94 | 106 |
| 15 | Bulls | 62% | 98 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Thunder | 28% | 93 | 98 |
| 24 | Bucks | 72% | 101 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Warriors | 25% | 102 | 118 |
| 7 | Jazz | 75% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 99 | 87 |
| 26 | Clippers | 31% | 93 | 72 |
Friday, April 10, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 21% | 95 | 105 |
| 4 | Magic | 79% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 65% | 94 | 102 |
| 20 | 76ers | 35% | 88 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 36% | 97 | 118 |
| 13 | Hawks | 64% | 102 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 29% | 89 | 98 |
| 8 | Celtics | 71% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 37% | 92 | 93 | |
| 14 | Pistons | 63% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 64% | 105 | 89 |
| 26 | Grizzlies | 36% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Bobcats | 62% | 94 | 81 |
| 28 | Thunder | 38% | 90 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 33% | 97 | 100 |
| 22 | Raptors | 67% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hornets | 39% | 95 | 92 | |
| 7 | Mavericks | 61% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 49% | 95 | 99 |
| 12 | Spurs | 51% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 40% | 97 | 98 |
| 3 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 49% | 102 | 113 |
| 21 | Warriors | 51% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 36% | 100 | 78 |
| 27 | Clippers | 64% | 105 | 109 |
Thursday, April 9, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | 76ers | 39% | 96 | 99 |
| 16 | Bulls | 61% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 72% | 102 | 115 |
| 26 | Kings | 28% | 95 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nuggets | 30% | 98 | 102 |
| 1 | Lakers | 70% | 105 | 116 |
Wednesday, April 8, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wizards | 16% | 88 | 86 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 84% | 101 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Raptors | 36% | 100 | 101 |
| 18 | Pacers | 64% | 105 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 12% | 87 | 78 |
| 2 | Magic | 88% | 102 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 28% | 91 | 104 | |
| 8 | Celtics | 72% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 56% | 100 | 113 |
| 23 | Knicks | 44% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 49% | 96 | 113 |
| 24 | Bucks | 51% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 40% | 99 | 105 |
| 10 | Hornets | 60% | 103 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 92 | 95 |
| 11 | Spurs | 54% | 93 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Thunder | 15% | 92 | 112 |
| 7 | Nuggets | 85% | 105 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Jazz | 45% | 99 | 101 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 55% | 101 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 26% | 101 | 105 |
| 22 | Warriors | 74% | 109 | 97 |
Tuesday, April 7, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 76ers | 41% | 89 | 98 |
| 17 | Bobcats | 59% | 92 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 46% | 97 | 118 |
| 18 | Raptors | 54% | 98 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hornets | 43% | 92 | 93 | |
| 11 | Heat | 57% | 94 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 71% | 98 | 96 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 29% | 91 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 67% | 95 | 99 |
| 26 | Thunder | 33% | 90 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 32% | 102 | 103 |
| 14 | Bulls | 68% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Magic | 49% | 92 | 83 |
| 6 | Rockets | 51% | 93 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 80% | 106 | 122 |
| 29 | Kings | 20% | 95 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 43% | 98 | 87 |
| 28 | Clippers | 57% | 100 | 77 |
Sunday, April 5, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 38% | 90 | 81 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 62% | 94 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 37% | 103 | 116 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 63% | 107 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bobcats | 46% | 88 | 97 |
| 18 | Pistons | 54% | 89 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 36% | 102 | 112 |
| 19 | Raptors | 64% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 91 | 88 |
| 7 | Rockets | 59% | 94 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nuggets | 65% | 103 | 110 |
| 28 | Timberwolves | 35% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Jazz | 46% | 96 | 108 |
| 11 | Hornets | 54% | 97 | 94 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pacers | 59% | 101 | 117 |
| 26 | Thunder | 41% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | 76ers | 43% | 95 | 67 |
| 20 | Nets | 57% | 97 | 96 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Warriors | 60% | 109 | 105 |
| 30 | Kings | 40% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Clippers | 10% | 92 | 85 |
| 1 | Lakers | 90% | 109 | 88 |
Saturday, April 4, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 49% | 104 | 102 |
| 24 | Knicks | 51% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nets | 36% | 98 | 94 | |
| 14 | Bulls | 64% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 41% | 90 | 90 |
| 16 | 76ers | 59% | 93 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Magic | 54% | 95 | 88 |
| 15 | Hawks | 46% | 93 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 53% | 98 | 118 |
| 23 | Wizards | 47% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 30% | 92 | 107 |
| 25 | Bucks | 70% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Clippers | 14% | 95 | 104 |
| 5 | Nuggets | 86% | 109 | 120 |
Friday, April 3, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 43% | 90 | 97 |
| 13 | Bobcats | 57% | 92 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 59% | 99 | 126 |
| 20 | Pacers | 41% | 96 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Hawks | 30% | 89 | 92 |
| 4 | Celtics | 70% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 68% | 100 | 102 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 32% | 93 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 99 | 107 |
| 26 | Thunder | 32% | 92 | 72 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 37% | 90 | 87 |
| 3 | Magic | 63% | 95 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 19% | 94 | 103 |
| 7 | Jazz | 81% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 20% | 100 | 111 |
| 12 | Suns | 80% | 112 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hornets | 58% | 104 | 103 | |
| 22 | Warriors | 42% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 34% | 93 | 81 |
| 2 | Lakers | 66% | 99 | 93 |
Thursday, April 2, 2009
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 29% | 92 | 95 |
| 17 | 76ers | 71% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavaliers | 79% | 100 | 101 |
| 25 | Wizards | 21% | 89 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jazz | 42% | 99 | 104 |
| 6 | Nuggets | 58% | 102 | 114 |