Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, January 12, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | SuperSonics | 45% | 101 | 122 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Bucks | 45% | 98 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Mavericks | 64% | 96 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Raptors | 54% | 99 | 95 |
 | 27 | Celtics | 46% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Bobcats | 40% | 98 | 126 |
 | 25 | Knicks | 60% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Pistons | 58% | 93 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 13 | Timberwolves | 46% | 96 | 116 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 30 | Hornets | 32% | 95 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Magic | 34% | 93 | 106 |
 | 6 | Lakers | 66% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 19 | Heat | 38% | 99 | 118 |
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Thursday, January 11, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Nets | 35% | 92 | 86 | |
 | 5 | Bulls | 65% | 97 | 83 |
Wednesday, January 10, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 43% | 88 | 96 | |
| 28 | Hawks | 57% | 91 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bulls | 48% | 101 | 103 |
| 10 | Wizards | 52% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 47% | 93 | 97 |
| 25 | Celtics | 53% | 94 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 40% | 96 | 99 |
| 26 | Knicks | 60% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bobcats | 34% | 91 | 103 |
| 20 | Pistons | 66% | 96 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Raptors | 35% | 101 | 90 |
| 17 | Bucks | 65% | 106 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Lakers | 29% | 91 | 77 |
| 4 | Rockets | 71% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 9% | 86 | 74 |
| 1 | Mavericks | 91% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 18 | Nuggets | 41% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 46% | 97 | 107 |
| 22 | SuperSonics | 54% | 99 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Magic | 38% | 97 | 91 |
| 12 | Warriors | 62% | 101 | 76 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 11 | Timberwolves | 60% | 95 | 91 |
Tuesday, January 9, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Cavaliers | 44% | 95 | 108 |
| 9 | Kings | 56% | 97 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | SuperSonics | 16% | 100 | 102 | |
| 2 | Suns | 84% | 113 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 57% | 97 | 108 |
| 7 | Jazz | 43% | 95 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 13% | 85 | 84 |
| 3 | Spurs | 87% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 57% | 101 | 118 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 43% | 98 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Raptors | 40% | 95 | 86 |
| 15 | Nets | 60% | 99 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 29% | 90 | 72 |
| 14 | Pacers | 71% | 97 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 47% | 91 | 98 |
| 24 | 76ers | 53% | 92 | 89 |
Monday, January 8, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 38% | 102 | 92 |
| 15 | Nuggets | 62% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 66% | 92 | 100 |
| 30 | Hornets | 34% | 87 | 90 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 35% | 89 | 84 |
| 4 | Bulls | 65% | 93 | 77 |
Sunday, January 7, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 55% | 98 | 98 |
| 6 | Lakers | 45% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Heat | 47% | 93 | 93 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 94 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Warriors | 18% | 104 | 105 |
| 1 | Suns | 82% | 116 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 35% | 92 | 79 |
| 14 | Magic | 65% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 69% | 96 | 110 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 31% | 90 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 54% | 91 | 99 |
| 12 | Timberwolves | 46% | 89 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wizards | 49% | 105 | 111 |
| 17 | Raptors | 51% | 106 | 116 |
Saturday, January 6, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Nets | 35% | 92 | 91 | |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 65% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | SuperSonics | 28% | 103 | 104 | |
| 11 | Warriors | 72% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Trail Blazers | 24% | 92 | 110 |
| 8 | Kings | 76% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 46% | 101 | 96 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 54% | 103 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 32% | 88 | 89 |
| 5 | Bulls | 68% | 94 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 70% | 93 | 100 |
| 30 | Hornets | 30% | 86 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Clippers | 54% | 93 | 74 |
| 28 | Hawks | 46% | 92 | 86 |
Friday, January 5, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 49% | 96 | 86 |
| 14 | Nets | 51% | 97 | 91 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 31% | 94 | 92 |
| 19 | Raptors | 69% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 36% | 98 | 105 |
| 10 | Wizards | 64% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 30% | 91 | 74 |
| 17 | Magic | 70% | 97 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 40% | 95 | 128 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 60% | 98 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Mavericks | 32% | 90 | 90 |
| 2 | Spurs | 68% | 96 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | 76ers | 32% | 90 | 102 |
| 13 | Timberwolves | 68% | 96 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 46% | 99 | 95 |
| 12 | Bucks | 54% | 100 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 35% | 91 | 86 |
| 4 | Rockets | 65% | 96 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 12% | 95 | 80 |
| 1 | Suns | 88% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Nuggets | 37% | 101 | 104 |
| 5 | Lakers | 63% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Knicks | 37% | 98 | 111 |
| 22 | SuperSonics | 63% | 102 | 93 | |
Thursday, January 4, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Lakers | 44% | 99 | 132 |
| 11 | Kings | 56% | 101 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 22% | 89 | 91 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 78% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pistons | 66% | 91 | 92 |
| 30 | Hornets | 34% | 85 | 68 | |
Wednesday, January 3, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 68% | 109 | 100 |
| 22 | Raptors | 32% | 103 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Bucks | 39% | 107 | 105 |
| 9 | Wizards | 61% | 110 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Cavaliers | 53% | 95 | 107 |
| 24 | Celtics | 47% | 94 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 41% | 91 | 110 |
| 20 | Heat | 59% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 44% | 100 | 135 |
| 21 | Grizzlies | 56% | 102 | 144 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | SuperSonics | 17% | 87 | 96 | |
| 4 | Rockets | 83% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | 76ers | 22% | 92 | 87 |
| 8 | Jazz | 78% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 34% | 94 | 99 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 66% | 99 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 58% | 94 | 101 |
| 14 | Timberwolves | 42% | 92 | 103 |
Tuesday, January 2, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 60% | 104 | 97 |
| 8 | Bulls | 40% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 41% | 90 | 86 |
| 16 | Magic | 59% | 93 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 56% | 94 | 78 |
| 6 | Cavaliers | 44% | 92 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Warriors | 67% | 100 | 97 |
| 30 | Hornets | 33% | 95 | 89 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | SuperSonics | 17% | 90 | 88 | |
| 2 | Mavericks | 83% | 103 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | 76ers | 29% | 97 | 108 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 71% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Knicks | 24% | 95 | 100 |
| 10 | Kings | 76% | 104 | 112 |
Monday, January 1, 2007
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 39% | 93 | 89 |
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 61% | 97 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Timberwolves | 58% | 97 | 102 |
| 27 | Bobcats | 42% | 94 | 96 |
Sunday, December 31, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Celtics | 42% | 97 | 95 |
| 23 | SuperSonics | 58% | 100 | 101 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Hawks | 13% | 86 | 81 |
| 3 | Spurs | 87% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 31% | 93 | 80 |
| 18 | Clippers | 69% | 99 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suns | 67% | 103 | 108 |
| 19 | Pistons | 33% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Grizzlies | 18% | 83 | 109 |
| 4 | Rockets | 82% | 95 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 58% | 102 | 89 |
| 14 | Nuggets | 42% | 100 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 76ers | 24% | 93 | 94 |
| 5 | Lakers | 76% | 102 | 104 |
Saturday, December 30, 2006
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 30% | 88 | 68 |
| 13 | Magic | 70% | 95 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Warriors | 36% | 101 | 96 |
| 5 | Kings | 64% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Trail Blazers | 20% | 90 | 86 |
| 11 | Jazz | 80% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Hornets | 7% | 80 | 80 | |
| 2 | Mavericks | 93% | 99 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wizards | 41% | 106 | 102 |
| 12 | Bucks | 59% | 109 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cavaliers | 39% | 91 | 96 |
| 8 | Bulls | 61% | 94 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Raptors | 37% | 93 | 104 |
| 20 | Grizzlies | 63% | 97 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Timberwolves | 40% | 92 | 92 |
| 15 | Nets | 60% | 95 | 100 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 30% | 90 | 113 |
| 16 | Pacers | 70% | 97 | 102 |